2018 London, Ontario municipal election

The 2018 London municipal election was a municipal election that occurred on October 22, 2018, to elect the Mayor of London, London City Council and the Thames Valley District School Board, London District Catholic School Board, Conseil scolaire catholique Providence and Conseil scolaire Viamonde. The election was held on the same day as elections in every other municipality in Ontario.

2018 London municipal election

October 22, 2018
 
ED
PP
Candidate Ed Holder Paul Paolatto
Round 13 44,373
58.82%
31,061
41.18%
Round 1 33,042
34.19%
21,456
22.20%

 
TP
PC
Candidate Tanya Park Paul Cheng
Round 1 19,656
20.34%
19,161
19.83%

Map of London's wards used in the 2018 election

Mayor before election

Matt Brown
Independent

Elected Mayor

Ed Holder
Independent

As per the Ontario Municipal Elections Act, 1996, nomination papers for candidates for municipal and school board elections could be filed from May 1, 2018, at which time the campaign period began.[1]

For the first time since Calgary's last use in 1971, a city in Canada used preferential voting to elect members of its city council, the mayor and city councillors.[2]

The major issues facing candidates in this election included Bus Rapid Transit, safe injection sites, affordable rent and social housing stock as well as city unemployment rates.[3]

The use of Instant-runoff voting means (theoretically) that to be elected an aldermanic candidate had to have the majority of the ward vote. In the mayor's case the successful candidate needed to have a majority of the city vote. Where no candidate had majority in first preferences, votes transfers were used to assemble a majority behind one of them. London's rule that only two back-up preferences could be marked (and some voters' not even marking the three choices allowed) meant that in a few of the contests many votes had to be set aside as they had been transferred twice and still had not gone to a candidate with a chance to be elected. Although a majority is required to be elected, that could be a majority of votes still in play. Due to the number of votes being deemed invalid or becoming exhausted, in a few cases the majority accumulated by the winning candidate was less than a majority of valid votes or less than a majority of votes cast.

Holder, the winning mayoral candidate, was elected in the end with 44,373 votes when 48,320 was a majority of valid votes that were cast.

In Ward 5, Cassidy won with 3922 votes, 44 percent of votes cast.

In Ward 8, Lehman won with 3058 votes, 39 percent of votes cast.

In Ward 12, Peloza won with 3139 votes, 48 percent of votes cast.

Ward 13, Kayabaga won with 2325 votes, 41 percent of votes cast.

Ward 14, Hillier won with 2522 votes, 48 percent of votes cast.

The amount of support recorded for the winning candidate is more than shown in those vote totals. Unusually, in the vote count for the 2018 London election, transfers of votes between candidates continued even after a candidate had accumulated a majority of votes still in play and had been declared the winner. In the mayoral contest for example, the winner (Holder) was determined in the 13th round so there was no need for a 14th round where Holder apparently is recorded as accumulating 100 percent of the votes.

That the winner in nine out of 15 of the contests held in London in 2018 was elected with a majority of votes cast is noteworthy though. In other municipal elections where first past the post is used, more than half the winners are elected with just a minority of votes cast. (The 2017 Edmonton municipal election is an example where this happened.)

Perhaps in part due to the large number of "exhausted" votes, the leader in the first count won in the end in all the contests in this election. There were no "turn-overs" caused by the front-runner not having the most overall support.

Although ranked ballots were expected to increase the civility of the election, it failed to prevent the creation of two negative websites targeting former city councillor, Virginia Ridley (ward 10), and city councillor, Maureen Cassidy (ward 5).[4] The controversy has since triggered an OPP investigation into the behaviour of several organizations and candidates in the 2018 municipal election.[5]

Mayor

The mayoralty was an open seat, as incumbent mayor Matt Brown was not running for re-election.[6]

London, Ontario mayoral election, 2018[7]
Candidate % 1st PrefCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Count 7Count 8Count 9Count 10Count 11Count 12Count 13Count 14
Ed Holder 34.2 33,042 33,056 33,073 33,101 33,135 33,183 33,240 33,280 33,325 33,391 33,543 38,690 44,373 57,609
Paul Paolatto 22.2 21,456 21,464 21,471 21,487 21,516 21,541 21,579 21,604 21,637 21,675 21,856 25,943 31,061
Tanya Park 20.3 19,656 19,676 19,690 19,740 19,781 19,801 19,828 19,960 20,071 20,199 20,434 22,415
Paul Cheng 19.8 19,161 19,175 19,190 19,211 19,238 19,254 19,329 19,362 19,396 19,442 19,616
Mohamed Moussa 1.0 919 922 925 933 949 1,023 1,035 1,043 1,063 1,077
Sean M. O'Connell 0.4 370 372 380 389 401 406 416 442 483
David Millie 0.3 337 343 347 358 380 385 391 401
Nina McCutcheon 0.4 340 344 351 361 364 375 384
Vahide Bahramporian 0.4 348 351 351 357 363 368
Ali Hamadi 0.3 304 304 304 306 311
Dan Lenart 0.3 255 258 263 275
Jordan Minter 0.2 212 217 224
Carlos Murray 0.1 127 131
Jonas White 0.1 111
Electorate: 244,962   Valid: 96,638   Spoilt: 1,297   Quota: 48,320   Turnout: 40.0%  
    Analysis of transferred votes, ranked in order of 1st preference votes
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Ed Holder 14 57,609 100.0%
    Paul Paolatto 13 31,061 41.2%
    Tanya Park 12 22,415 25.8%
    Paul Cheng 11 19,616 20.6%
    Mohamed Moussa 10 1,077 1.1%
    Sean M. O'Connell 9 483 0.5%
    Vahide Bahramporian 6 368 0.4%
    Nina McCutcheon 7 384 0.4%
    David Millie 8 401 0.4%
    Al Hamadi 5 311 0.3%
    Dan Lenart 4 275 0.3%
    Jordan Minter 3 224 0.2%
    Carlos Murray 2 131 0.2%
    Jonas White 1 111 0.1%
    Eligible votes 96,638 59.6%
    Exhausted votes 39,029 40.4%

    City Council

    Ward 1 results[8]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Michael van Holst (X) 1 2,581 50.7%
    Melanie O'Brien 1 1,332 26.2%
    Bud Polhill 1 1,178 23.1%
    Eligible votes 5,091 100.0%
    Ward 2 results[9]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Shawn Lewis 1 3,481 63.9%
    Bill Armstrong (X) 1 1,799 33.1%
    Alan Jackson* 1 163 3.0%
    Eligible votes 5,443 100.0%

    *Withdrew in September 2018[10]

    Ward 3 results[11]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Mo Mohamed Salih (X) 1 3,421 72.8%
    Harry Prince 1 1,281 27.2%
    Eligible votes 4,702 100.0%
    Ward 4 results[12]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Jesse Helmer (X) 1 2,559 50.5%
    Stephen William Orser 1 1,191 23.5%
    Tricia Lystar 1 1,003 19.8%
    Connor Garrett 1 180 3.6%
    Xuemei Jiang 1 130 2.6%
    Eligible votes 5,063 100.0%
    Ward 5 results[13]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Maureen Cassidy (X) 6 4,741 100.0%
    Randy Warden 5 3,816 49.3%
    Charles Knott 4 1,833 21.6%
    Stephanie Marentette Di Battista 3 937 10.7%
    Shane Clarke 2 809 9.0%
    Shiv Chokhani 1 88 1.0%
    Eligible votes 9,002 52.7%
    Exhausted votes 4,261 47.3%
    Ward 6 results[14]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Philip Squire (X) 1 3,959 69.5%
    Mike Bloxam 1 1,737 30.5%
    Eligible votes 5,696 100.0%
    Ward 7 results[15]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Josh Morgan (X) 1 6,117 75.2%
    Joe Kolenko 1 2,020 24.8%
    Eligible votes 8,137 100.0%
    Ward 8 results[16]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Steve Lehman 9 3,823 100.0%
    Matt Reid 8 2,904 48.7%
    Bill Downie 7 1,282 19.3%
    Tariq Khan 6 1,059 14.6%
    Morena Hernandez 5 743 9.9%
    Osam Ali 4 464 6.1%
    Nour Hamid 3 374 4.8%
    Matthew Greer 2 191 2.4%
    Moon Inthavong 1 112 1.4%
    Eligible votes 7,835 48.7%
    Exhausted votes 4,012 51.2%
    Ward 9 results[17]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Anna Hopkins (X) 3 4,948 54.4%
    Matt Millar 3 2,606 28.7%
    Kyle Thompson 3 1,536 16.9%
    Ben Charlebois 2 922 9.9%
    Veronica Marie Warner 1 240 2.5%
    Eligible votes 9,418 96.5%
    Exhausted votes 328 3.5%
    Ward 10 results[18]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Paul Van Meerbergen 1 4,402 53.1%
    Virginia Ridley (X) 1 3,040 36.7%
    Kevin May 1 404 4.9%
    Gary Manley 1 298 3.6%
    Thomas Risley 1 140 1.7%
    Eligible votes 8,284 100.0%
    Ward 11 results[19]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Stephen Turner (X) 1 4,255 54.1%
    Rachel Powell 1 1,803 22.9%
    Vicki Van Linden 1 671 8.5%
    Paul-Michael Anderson 1 509 6.5%
    Menno Meijer 1 419 5.3%
    Eric H. Deleeuw 1 209 2.7%
    Eligible votes 7,866 100.0%
    Ward 12 results[20]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Elizabeth Peloza 5 3,403 58.3%
    Eric Weniger 5 2,434 41.7%
    Gord Evans 4 1,061 17.2%
    Rowa Mohamed 3 730 11.4%
    Faisal Mahmood 2 219 3.4%
    Jesse Haidar 1 132 2.0%
    Eligible votes 6,546 89.2%
    Exhausted votes 709 10.8%
    Ward 13 results[21]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Arielle Kayabaga 8 2,804 100.0%
    John Fyfe-Millar 7 2,186 48.5%
    Jonathan Hughes 6 1,100 21.6%
    Kevin Wilbee 5 831 15.3%
    Ben Benedict 4 391 7.5%
    Gil Warren 3 358 6.3%
    David Lundquist 2 240 4.2%
    Rod Morley 1 57 1.0%
    Eligible votes 5,714 49.1%
    Exhausted votes 2,910 50.9%
    Ward 14 results[22]
    Candidate Maximum
    round
    Maximum
    votes
    Share in
    maximum
    round
    Maximum votes
    First round votesTransfer votes
    Steven Hillier 4 3,370 100.0%
    Jared Zaifman (X) 3 2,128 45.8%
    Allan Tipping 2 787 15.8%
    Annette Swalwell 1 647 12.4%
    Eligible votes 5,229 64.4%
    Exhausted votes 1,859 35.6%

    School Board Trustee

    TVDSB Wards 7, 8, 9, 10, 13

    Elected: Jake Skinner, Joyce Bennett

    TVDSB Wards 1, 11, 12, 14

    Elected: Lori-Ann Pizzolato, Sherry Polhill

    TVDSB Wards 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

    Elected: Peter Cuddy, Corrine Rahman

    LDCSB Wards 5, 6, 7

    Elected: Gabe Pizzuti

    LDCSB Wards 11, 12, 13

    Elected: John Jevnikar

    LDCSB Wards 1, 14

    Elected: Pedro Almeida

    LDCSB Wards 2, 3, 4

    Elected: Sandra Cruz

    LDCSB Wards 8, 9, 10

    Elected: Linda Steel[23]

    References

    1. "Municipal Election Resources - 2018 Regular Election". Ministry of Municipal Affairs. Retrieved July 15, 2017.
    2. Stacey, Megan (October 24, 2018). "London city clerk praised for smooth shift to ranked ballots". The London Free Press.
    3. "Municipal Election Issues". Archived from the original on August 25, 2018. Retrieved August 24, 2018.
    4. Dubinski, Kate (October 22, 2018). "How did London's municipal election campaign turn so nasty?". CBC. Retrieved January 19, 2020.
    5. Stacey, Megan (January 15, 2020). "Everything we know about Blackridge, attack websites and London's 2018 election fallout". The London Free Press. Retrieved January 19, 2020.
    6. "London Mayor Matt Brown won't seek a second term". CBC London, April 6, 2018.
    7. "Mayor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 24, 2018. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
    8. "Ward 1 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    9. "Ward 2 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    10. Stacey, Megan (September 5, 2018). "London city hall: Ward 2 candidate drops out, endorses competitor". The London Free Press.
    11. "Ward 3 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 23, 2018. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
    12. "Ward 4 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    13. "Ward 5 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    14. "Ward 6 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 23, 2018. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
    15. "Ward 7 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    16. "Ward 8 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    17. "Ward 9 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    18. "Ward 10 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    19. "Ward 11 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    20. "Ward 12 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    21. "Ward 13 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    22. "Ward 14 Councillor". london.ca. Archived from the original on October 25, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
    23. "2018 Official Municipal Election Results". www.london.ca. Archived from the original on March 21, 2020. Retrieved March 21, 2020.
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