2023 Hamilton Centre provincial by-election

The 2023 Hamilton Centre provincial by-election was held on March 16, 2023.[1] The election was triggered by the resignation of Ontario New Democratic Party (ONDP) MPP Andrea Horwath.[2] ONDP candidate Sarah Jama won the election, retaining the seat for the party.[3]

2023 Hamilton Centre provincial by-election
March 16, 2023 (2023-03-16)
Riding of Hamilton Centre
Turnout21.97%
  First party Second party
 
Candidate Sarah Jama Deirdre Pike
Party New Democratic Liberal
Popular vote 9,477 3,542
Percentage 54.28% 20.07%
Swing Decrease 2.98 pp Increase 7.04 pp
  Third party Fourth party
 
Candidate Pete Wiesner Lucia Iannantuono
Party Progressive Conservative Green
Popular vote 2,690 1,206
Percentage 15.52% 6.93%
Swing Decrease0.95% Decrease1.84 pp
MPP before election

Andrea Horwath
New Democratic

 Elected MPP

Sarah Jama
New Democratic

Location of Hamilton Centre in the urban area of Hamilton.

Background

Constituency profile

The Hamilton Centre constituency consists of the part of the City of Hamilton bounded by a line drawn south from the city limit along Ottawa Street, west along the Niagara Escarpment, southwest along James Mountain Road, south along West 5th Street, west along Lincoln M. Alexander Parkway, north along the hydroelectric transmission line situated west of Upper Horning Road, northeast along Highway No. 403, east along the Desjardins Canal to Hamilton Harbour.

Trigger and campaign

On July 26, 2022, incumbent MPP Andrea Horwath announced her candidacy for mayor of Hamilton,[4] and resigned her seat in the provincial legislature on August 15, 2022.[2] The ONDP was considered favoured to retain the seat in the days leading up to the March 2023 election.[5]

Candidates

Result
Ontario provincial by-election, Hamilton Centre
Resignation of Andrea Horwath
** Preliminary results — Not yet official **
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticSarah Jama9,56054.28-2.98
LiberalDeirdre Pike3,53520.07+7.04
Progressive ConservativePete Wiesner2,73315.52-0.95
GreenLucia Iannantuono1,2206.93-1.84
New BlueLee Weiss Vassor1480.84-0.82
Electoral ReformPeter House1210.69
LibertarianMark Snow1050.60
IndependentMatthew Lingard1020.58
IndependentNathalie Xian Yi Yan510.29-0.21
IndependentJohn Turmel370.21
Total valid votes 17,612—
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots —
Turnout 21.97
Eligible voters 80,172
New Democratic hold Swing -5.01
Source: Elections Ontario[13]

Previous result
2022 Ontario general election: Hamilton Centre
Party Candidate Votes%±%
New DemocraticAndrea Horwath16,69057.26-7.99
Progressive ConservativeSarah Bokhari4,80016.47+0.80
LiberalEkaterini Dimakis3,79913.03+2.15
GreenSandy Crawley2,5548.76+3.02
New BlueJohn Chroust4831.66
Ontario PartyBrad Peace4511.55
CommunistNigel Cheriyan2250.77+0.41
IndependentNathalie Xian Yi Yan1450.50
Total valid votes 29,147 99.01+0.19
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 2910.99-0.19
Turnout 29,43837.94-10.97
Eligible voters 77,599
New Democratic hold Swing -4.40
Source: Elections Ontario[14]

References
  1. "Ontario Newsroom". news.ontario.ca.
  2. "Andrea Horwath | Legislative Assembly of Ontario".
  3. "NDP candidate Sarah JAMA wins provincial Hamilton Centre byelection". Toronto Star. March 16, 2023.
  4. Rosas, Aura (July 26, 2022). "Here's who is running so far in the 2022 municipal election in Hamilton". CBC News. Retrieved July 26, 2022.
  5. Hristova, Bobby (March 14, 2023). "Hamilton Centre is NDP's to lose, says expert, but low advance turnout makes outcome hard to predict". CBC. Retrieved August 9, 2023.
  6. Beattie, Samantha (March 5, 2023). "Hamilton Centre byelection: Where candidates stand on provincial issues, from housing to health care". CBC News. Retrieved March 8, 2023.
  7. "Lucia Iannantuono, Green Party Candidate for Hamilton Centre". Ontario Greens.
  8. Bobby Hristova (October 16, 2022). "Disability activist Sarah Jama to be acclaimed as Ontario NDP candidate for Hamilton Centre". CBC News. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  9. Desmond Brown (February 3, 2022). "Ontario PC Party names police sergeant as Hamilton Centre candidate ahead of byelection". CBC News. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  10. Saira Peesker (January 13, 2023). "Equity advocate Deirdre Pike to be Ontario Liberals' Hamilton-Centre candidate". CBC News. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  11. "Hamilton Centre". New Blue Party of Ontario.
  12. "Lucia Iannantuono running for Greens in Hamilton Centre byelection". thestar.com. February 23, 2023.
  13. "Elections Ontario Real Time Results".
  14. "Elections Ontario Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 24, 2022.
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