Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign

Donald Trump, the 45th President of the United States who served from 2017 to 2021, announced his campaign for a non-consecutive second presidential term in the 2024 U.S. presidential election on November 15, 2022.

Donald Trump for President 2024
CampaignRepublican primaries for 2024 U.S. presidential election
CandidateDonald Trump
45th President of the United States (2017–2021)
AffiliationRepublican Party
AnnouncedNovember 15, 2022
HeadquartersArlington, Virginia[1]
Key people
ReceiptsUS$18,240,154[5]
Slogan
Website
www.donaldjtrump.com

After his loss in the 2020 United States presidential election, Trump and his allies in seven key states allegedly devised a plot to create and submit fraudulent certificates of ascertainment that falsely asserted Trump had won the electoral college vote in those states.[6] The intent was to pass the fraudulent certificates to Mike Pence to count them rather than the authentic certificates and overturn Joe Biden's victory. Trump reportedly had been considering a 2024 presidential run immediately after his loss in the election if the plot failed to "work out."[7][8] In the week of November 9, 2020, Trump indicated to Republican Party senator Kevin Cramer: "If this doesn't work out, I'll just run again in four years."[9] Later, a group of Trump's supporters attacked the United States Capitol building to prevent the election results from being certified.[10][11]

In December 2021, CNN reported that "Trump's wait-and-see approach to the 2024 election has frozen the next Republican presidential primary", with potential challengers keeping their heads down while awaiting Trump's official decision on the matter.[12] After months of speculation, Trump announced his candidacy for president in a November 15, 2022, speech to supporters at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida.[13][14] His announcement received wide media coverage and a mixed response from both Democrats and Republicans. Some Democrats warily welcomed the campaign, viewing Trump as beatable,[15][16] while others opposed it, citing negative effects it could have on U.S. democracy.[17][18][19] Some Republicans, consisting mostly of Trump loyalists, welcomed the campaign, while others (including many Republican elected officials)[20] opposed it, viewing Trump as a weak and beatable candidate who had cost the Republicans the past several election cycles.[21][22][23]

Trump was a historically unpopular president who left office amid scandal after just 4 years and has since been indicted four times. In August 2023, Trump was indicted separately both by the federal government and the state of Georgia on numerous criminal conspiracy and fraud charges he is alleged to have committed along with co-conspirators during efforts to illegally change and overturn the results of the lost 2020 presidential election.[24] The indictments allege that Trump engaged in a criminal conspiracy to illegally alter the results of the 2020 election via fraudulent electors in the Trump fake electors plot as well as pressuring government officials to illegally change vote tallies during incidents such as the Trump-Raffensperger phone call. Prior to these indictments on charges relating to Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election, on March 30, 2023, Trump was also indicted for 34 felony counts of fraud stemming from his alleged role in falsifying business records related to hush money payments made to pornographic film actress Stormy Daniels during his 2016 U.S. presidential election campaign.[25][26] Trump called his indictment political persecution and election interference.[27] Later, on June 8, Trump was indicted by a federal grand jury for allegedly improperly retaining classified documents at his Mar-a-Lago residence and destroying evidence related to the government probe. [28] In addition to the four criminal indictments brought against Trump in Georgia, Washington, Florida, and New York, on May 9, Trump was found liable in a civil lawsuit for sexual abuse and defamation against journalist E. Jean Carroll.[29] Trump said that he will appeal the decision, describing it to be "unconstitutional silencing" and "political persecution."[30]

Background

Trump, the incumbent president, unsuccessfully sought election to a second term in the 2020 United States presidential election, losing to Democratic nominee Joe Biden, who obtained an electoral vote of 306 to Trump's 232. Trump also lost the popular vote by 7 million votes.[31] He refused to concede the loss and claimed that the election was stolen. With one week remaining in his presidency, Trump was impeached by the House of Representatives for incitement of insurrection for his actions during the January 6, 2021, Capitol Hill attack, but was acquitted in the Senate with a bipartisan 57–43 vote in favor of conviction, which fell short of the two-thirds supermajority (67 out of 100 senators) required.[32]

In the days before the end of his term in January 2021, Trump began discussing the possibility of forming a third party, to be called the "Patriot Party", to contest the election against both Democratic and Republican candidates.[33] Spokespersons for Trump later denied that he had such plans.[34]

In July 2022, as the public hearings of the House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack were progressing, Trump was reportedly considering making an early announcement of his 2024 candidacy.[35][36] On July 14, 2022, Intelligencer published an interview with Trump, based upon which they reported that Trump had already made up his mind, and was just deciding when to declare.[37] Following the August 2022 FBI search of Mar-a-Lago, many of Trump's allies urged that he announce his candidacy sooner, including some who had previously advised that he defer an announcement until after the mid-term elections.[38] During a rally in Iowa in the run-up to the 2022 United States midterm elections, Trump stated, "in order to make our country successful and safe and glorious, I will very, very, very probably do it again", indicating that he might announce his candidacy soon thereafter, prompting speculation that he would announce as soon as the week of November 14, 2022.[39][40]

Announcement

On November 15, 2022, Trump announced his candidacy at Mar-a-Lago in an hour-long speech.[41][42][43][44] The announcement came one week after the 2022 mid-term elections in which Trump-endorsed candidates underperformed non-Trump-endorsed candidates.[45] His announcement speech had at least "20 false and misleading claims",[43] uttering the first inaccurate claim "about two minutes in and a few minutes later, tick(ing) off at least four hyperbolic claims about his own accomplishments".[44] The New York Times Fact Check stated that "Mr. Trump repeated many familiar exaggerations about his own achievements, reiterated misleading attacks on political opponents and made dire assessments that were at odds with reality."[44]

Official portrait, 2017

The New York Post mocked Trump's announcement by relegating it to page 26 and noting it on the cover with a banner reading "Florida Man Makes Announcement".[46] The article referred to Mar-a-Lago as "Trump's classified-documents library" in reference to the ongoing investigation regarding Trump's alleged improper handling of classified materials which he had brought to Mar-a-Lago following his presidency for as yet unclear reasons.[46]

Attendees

The announcement was attended by comedian Alex Stein;[47] consultant Roger Stone; businessman Mike Lindell; outgoing Representative Madison Cawthorn (R-NC); former deputy director of the Office of Management and Budget Russell Vought; political advisor Jason Miller; attorney Kash Patel; political analyst Sebastian Gorka; and political aide Hogan Gidley.[48][49] The Insider noted "many members of congress were not in attendance", including Matt Gaetz.[48] Family members who attended included Trump's wife and former first lady Melania, Trump's sons Barron and Eric, Eric's wife Lara, and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner. His daughters Ivanka and Tiffany did not attend the announcement party; Ivanka said she would not be engaging in politics going forward and would not be a part of her father's presidential bid.[50] Trump's son Donald Trump Jr. also did not attend.[48] Stan Fitzgerald president of Veterans for America First attended[51]

Platform

In campaign speeches, Trump stated that he would centralize government power under his authority, replace career federal employees with political appointees, and use the military for domestic law enforcement and the deportation of immigrants.[52] He used violent rhetoric, calling for shoplifters to be shot and making fun of the hammer attack that critically injured the husband of former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. [53]

Campaign events

On January 28, 2023, Trump held his first campaign events in South Carolina and New Hampshire.[54][55]

On March 4, 2023, Trump delivered a lengthy keynote speech at the CPAC convention, also attended by Nikki Haley, but not by other prospective Republican candidates. In his speech, Trump promised to serve as the retribution for those who were wronged, and stated that he was the only candidate who could prevent World War III.[56]

On March 25, 2023, Trump staged a rally in Waco, Texas during the 30th anniversary of the Waco siege.[57][58][59][60]

In late April, Trump suggested he was not interested in debating other Republican contenders, at least not until later in the year.[61]

On May 10, 2023, Trump appeared one-on-one with news host Kaitlan Collins on CNN Republican Town Hall with Donald Trump at St. Anselm College in New Hampshire, with an audience of Republican and undecided voters.[62][63] During the event Trump took credit for the overturning of Roe v. Wade, supported defaulting on the national debt in the debt ceiling showdown, and again claimed that the 2020 election was stolen.[64] Trump also suggested pardoning those convicted as a result of the January 6 United States Capitol attack.[65]

Eligibility

The questions of Trump's eligibility to run for president in 2024 are delineated by the U.S. Constitution. Two amendments addressing this issue are the 14th and 22nd Amendments.

Eligibility under the 22nd Amendment

Trump has only been elected president once, in 2016, so is not limited from running again by the 22nd Amendment, which permits two full terms. Even before losing the 2020 election, he publicly proclaimed his willingness to seek a third term in 2024, despite this being explicitly prohibited. Trump claimed that Barack Obama had spied on him and his campaign, and that this meant he was "'entitled' [to a third term] because he was spied on."[66][67][68]

Trump is seeking to become the second president to ever serve non-consecutive terms, after Grover Cleveland who was re-elected in 1892. The last one-term president to campaign for a second non-consecutive term was Herbert Hoover, who after serving from 1929 to 1933 made unsuccessful runs in 1936 and 1940 after his loss in 1932.[69]

Eligibility under the 14th Amendment

In the aftermath of the American Civil War, the 14th Amendment was passed. Section 3 of the amendment prohibits anyone from holding public office if they had previously sworn an oath to support the Constitution, but then "engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the [United States], or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof." The full text of this section reads:

Section 3. No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any State, who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any State legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any State, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof. But Congress may, by a vote of two-thirds of each House, remove such disability.

Trump's role in the January 6 United States Capitol attack is cited by opponents as a reason for his disqualification from seeking public office. On January 10, 2021, Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of the House, formally requested Representatives' input as to whether Section 3 pertained to the outgoing President.[70][71] On January 13, 2021, the House of Representatives impeached Trump for 'incitement of insurrection' by a vote of 232-to-197. On February 13, 2021, the Senate voted on the charge, with 57 senators casting votes of 'Guilty' to 43 as 'Not Guilty'; removal by impeachment requires a two-thirds supermajority of the United States Senate to convict in an impeachment trial.

Some legal experts believe a court would be required to make a final determination if Trump was disqualified under Section 3.[72] In September 2022, a New Mexico District Court Judge removed local official Couy Griffin from office due to his participation in the January 6 attack,[73][74] which some commentators felt established a precedent to bar Trump from office.[75]

A state may also make a determination that Trump is disqualified under Section 3 from appearing on that state's ballot.[70] Trump could appeal in court any disqualification by Congress or by a state.[76] In addition to state or federal legislative action, a court action could be brought against Trump seeking his disqualification under Section 3.[77] The 14th Amendment itself provides a path for Congress to allow such a candidate to run, but this would require a vote of two-thirds of each House to remove such disability.

Efforts to keep Trump off state ballots

The non-profit group Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW) and other advocacy groups and individuals are planning state-by-state efforts to keep Trump off state ballots.[78][79]

Post-announcement developments

Three days after Trump announced his candidacy, U.S. Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed Jack Smith to serve as special counsel for the investigations regarding Trump's role in the January 6 attack and into mishandling of government records.[80][81] Special counsels can be appointed when there can be a conflict of interest or the appearance of it, and Garland said the announced political candidacies of both Trump and President Biden prompted him to take what he described as an "extraordinary step".[80] Special counsel investigations operate largely independent of Justice Department control under decades-old federal regulations, and Garland said the "appointment underscores the department's commitment to both independence and accountability in particularly sensitive matters".[81]

On November 19, 2022, Elon Musk, four weeks after taking ownership of Twitter, resinstated both Trump's personal account and Trump's campaign account, nearly two years after Trump was permanently banned from the platform by previous Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, due to Twitter's Glorification of Violence and Civic Integerity policies, following the January 6 United States Capitol attack.[82]

In late November 2022, Kanye West announced his own candidacy for the 2024 presidential election. Shortly thereafter, West visited Trump at Mar-a-Lago, bringing with him Nick Fuentes, a white nationalist and Holocaust denier.[83][84] West claimed that after he asked Trump to be his vice-presidential candidate, "Trump started basically screaming at me at the table telling me I was going to lose".[85] Trump responded with a statement that West "unexpectedly showed up with three of his friends, whom I knew nothing about",[86] and in a further statement acknowledged advising West to drop out of the race.[87] Several other possible 2024 contenders spoke in the aftermath of this event, with Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson calling the meeting "very troubling",[88] and Trump's former vice president Mike Pence calling on Trump to apologize for giving Fuentes "a seat at the table".[89] Mitch McConnell said that Trump was unlikely to win the 2024 presidential election as a result of the dinner.[90]

On December 3, 2022, following the publication of "The Twitter Files" by Elon Musk, Trump complained of election fraud and posted to Truth Social, calling for "the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution."[91][92][93]

Vice-presidential choice

Mike Pence served as Trump's vice president from 2017 to 2021, with Pence having been Trump's chosen running mate in both the 2016 and 2020 elections. In March 2021, Bloomberg News reported that if Trump runs again in 2024, Pence "likely won't be on the ticket" and that Trump had "discussed alternatives to Pence", while Trump's advisors "have discussed identifying a Black or female running mate for his next run".[94] In April 2021, Trump indicated that he was considering Florida governor Ron DeSantis for the position, noting his friendship with him;[95] he later criticized and ridiculed DeSantis[96] who launched his own presidential campaign on May 24, 2023.[97] In June 2022, a former aide testified that Trump had opined to his staff during the Capitol Hill attack that Pence "deserved" the chants of "hang Mike Pence" made by the mob.[98][99] Names raised as possible candidates for the position include South Dakota governor Kristi Noem and South Carolina senator Tim Scott.[94]

Endorsements

A number of Republican officials at both federal and state levels were quick to endorse Trump's candidacy, while others were noted for being silent on the question, with a few stating opposition, including former Attorney General Bill Barr, Senator Bill Cassidy, and Senator Mitt Romney.[100][101][102][103][104][105][106]

Support

Politico noted in December 2020 that many Republican figures were expressing support for a Trump 2024 run, quoting Missouri Senator Josh Hawley as saying "If he were to run in 2024, I think he would be the nominee. And I would support him doing that."[107] National public opinion polling showed Trump quickly dominating the field of potential 2024 Republican candidates. Utah Senator Mitt Romney, though opposed to Trump, stated in February 2021 that if Trump ran in 2024, he would win the Republican nomination in a landslide.[108] The same month, Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said that he would "absolutely" support Trump if the latter was nominated again.[109]

Russian state TV host Olga Skabeyeva said Russia, which interfered in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections to aid Trump, "will have to think whether to reinstall him again as the American president."[110] In April 2022, American intelligence officials assessed that Russia intended to exact revenge on the Biden administration for its sanctions against Russia and aid for Ukraine by intervening in the election on Trump's behalf. A Russian state TV host, Evgeny Popov, said in March 2020, "to again help our partner Trump to become president".[111]

Opposition

The donor network of Charles Koch announced it would fund a primary challenge to Trump.[112]

Nikki Haley announced her 2024 presidential campaign on February 14, 2023, becoming the first challenger to Trump in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries.[113] One of her first statements as a candidate was to call for candidates over the age of 75—which would include both Trump and Biden—to be required to take a competency test.[114]

Primary election polling

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since January 2023.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Larry
Elder
Nikki
Haley
Will
Hurd
Asa
Hutchinson
Perry
Johnson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
270 to Win September 19 – October 1, 2023 October 3, 2023 0.6% 2.6% 14.0% 0.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.4% 3.8% 5.8% 2.4% 56.2% 6.2% 42.2%
Race to the WH July 21 – September 29, 2023 October 2, 2023 0.5% 2.5% 13.2% 0.4% 5.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 4.2% 6.9% 2.6% 55.5% 7.5% 42.3%
Real Clear Politics September 15 – October 1, 2023 October 3, 2023 0.9% 3.1% 13.7% 6.9% 0.4% 4.0% 5.2% 2.7% 56.5% 6.6% 42.8%
FiveThirtyEight July 19 – October 1, 2023 October 3, 2023 0.8% 2.8% 13.7% 7.8% 0.1% 0.5% 3.4% 6.4% 2.2% 55.4% 6.9% 41.7%
Average 0.7% 2.8% 13.7% 0.2% 7.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 3.9% 6.1% 2.5% 55.9% 6.2% 42.2%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[lower-alpha 2] Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Larry
Elder
Nikki
Haley
Will
Hurd
Asa
Hutchinson
Perry
Johnson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided
Margin
Survey USA September 30 – October 3, 2023 1,055 (LV) 1% 3% 9% 5% 4% 8% 2% 65% 3%[lower-alpha 3]
YouGov/The Economist September 30 – October 3, 2023 570 (RV) 1% 1% 13% 0% 7% 0% 0% 3% 4% 2% 58% 11%[lower-alpha 4]
Premise September 28 – October 2, 2023 500 (A) 1% 14% 5% 6% 5% 3% 60% 6%[lower-alpha 5]
Morning Consult September 29 – October 1, 2023 3,587 (LV) 1% 3% 13% 7% 0% 0% 5% 7% 1% 61% 1%[lower-alpha 6]
Insider Advantage September 29–30, 2023 850 (LV) 1% 5% 15% 0% 14% 0% 1% 0% 1% 3% 2% 50% 8%[lower-alpha 7]
WPA Intelligence/FairVote September 28–30, 2023 801 (LV) 0.4% 8.5% 12.7% 0.3% 7.7% 1.0% 1.1% 4.4% 12.6% 2.8% 47.6% 0.9%[lower-alpha 8]
HarrisX/The Messenger September 28–29, 2023 770 (RV) 1% 1% 11% 1% 7% 0% 0% 0% 5% 8% 1% 56% 6%[lower-alpha 9]
TIPP/I&I September 27–29, 2023 584 (RV) 1% 2% 13% 1% 4% 0% 0% 4% 6% 1% 56% 11%[lower-alpha 10]
Léger/New York Post September 27–28, 2023 495 (LV) 1% 0% 10% 6% 3% 7% 3% 62% 9%[lower-alpha 11]
Echelon Insights September 25–28, 2023 402 (LV) 0% 1% 11% 0% 5% 0% 0% 5% 10% 1% 62% 4%[lower-alpha 12]
September 27, 2023 Second debate held with Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott.
YouGov/The Economist September 23–26, 2023 559 (A) 0% 2% 12% 0% 7% 0% 0% 5% 5% 3% 51% 15%[lower-alpha 13]
McLaughlin & Associates September 22–26, 2023 454 (LV) 1% 2% 12% 0% 6% 1% 1% 1% 5% 10% 2% 54% 6%[lower-alpha 14]
Marquette University Law School September 18–25, 2023 418 (A) 0% 0% 11% 0% 6% 0% 0% 4% 4% 1% 56% 16%[lower-alpha 15]
Morning Consult September 22–24, 2023 3,552 (LV) 1% 2% 15% 7% 0% 1% 6% 9% 2% 58% 1%[lower-alpha 16]
Monmouth University September 19–24, 2023 514 (RV) 0% 1% 15% 6% 0% 1% 4% 3% 48% 23%[lower-alpha 17]
Trafalgar Group September 18–21, 2023 1,091 (LV) 3.2% 3.2% 14.3% 1.3% 4.2% 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 3.8% 5.9% 3.0% 56.1% 3.3%[lower-alpha 18]
ABC News/Washington Post September 15–20, 2023 474 (A) 0% 3% 15% 7% 0% 6% 3% 4% 54% 10%[lower-alpha 19]
NBC News September 15–19, 2023 321 (RV) 0% 4% 16% 7% 1% 4% 2% 3% 59% 4%[lower-alpha 20]
HarrisX/The Messenger September 13–19, 2023 1,089 (RV) 1% 2% 14% 1% 5% 1% 1% 0% 3% 5% 2% 56% 10%[lower-alpha 21]
Emerson College September 17–18, 2023 518 (LV) 1.1% 4.8% 11.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 4.6% 6.8% 2.2% 58.9% 5.2%[lower-alpha 22]
YouGov September 14–18, 2023 470 (RV) 1% 1% 13% 0% 5% 0% 3% 5% 1% 59% 11%[lower-alpha 23]
YouGov/The Liberal Patriot September 7–18, 2023 1,653 (LV) 1% 6% 14% 1% 8% 1% 5% 5% 4% 48% 7%[lower-alpha 24]
Morning Consult September 15–17, 2023 3,404 (LV) 0% 2% 13% 6% 0% 1% 5% 10% 2% 59% 1%[lower-alpha 25]
Harvard/Harris[upper-alpha 1] September 13–14, 2023 758 (RV) 0% 2% 10% 1% 6% 0% 0% 1% 4% 8% 2% 57% 10%[lower-alpha 26]
Ipsos/Reuters September 8–14, 2023 1,749 (A) 0% 2% 14% 4% 0% 0% 4% 13% 2% 51% 10%[lower-alpha 27]
YouGov/The Economist September 10–12, 2023 572 (A) 0% 2% 14% 0% 5% 0% 0% 5% 6% 3% 52% 12%[lower-alpha 28]
Fox News September 9–12, 2023 409 (LV) 2% 13% 5% 3% 11% 3% 60% 2%
Quinnipiac University September 7–11, 2023 728 (RV) 2% 12% 5% 5% 6% 3% 62% 4%[lower-alpha 29]
HarrisX/The Messenger September 6–11, 2023 954 (RV) 0% 2% 11% 1% 4% 1% 0% 1% 4% 7% 2% 59% 8%[lower-alpha 30]
Morning Consult September 8–10, 2023 3,715 (LV) 0% 3% 14% 6% 0% 0% 6% 9% 2% 57% 1%[lower-alpha 31]
Premise August 30 – September 5, 2023 415 (RV) 1% 12% 5% 7% 5% 2% 62% 7%[lower-alpha 32]
Rasmussen August 29 – September 5, 2023 1,418 (LV) 0% 9% 9% 1% 7% 0% 0% 0% 4% 5% 4% 45% 0%[lower-alpha 33]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies September 3–4, 2023 605 (LV) 0% 3% 9% 2% 1% 0% 3% 10% 1% 65% 6%[lower-alpha 34]
Morning Consult September 2–4, 2023 3,745 (LV) 0% 3% 15% 5% 0% 1% 6% 8% 2% 60% 1%[lower-alpha 35]
I&I/TIPP August 30 – September 1, 2023 509 (RV) 0.4% 1% 11% 0.87% 2.8% 0% 0.4% 6% 9% 1.3% 60% 15%[lower-alpha 36]
Echelon Insights August 28–31, 2023 397 (LV) 0% 3% 15% 1% 4% 0% 1% 6% 12% 1% 52% 6%[lower-alpha 37]
SSRS/CNN August 25–31, 2023 784 (RV) 1% 2% 18% 1% 7% 0% 0% 0% 7% 6% 3% 52% 2%[lower-alpha 38]
Wall Street Journal August 24–30, 2023 600 (LV) 1% 3% 13% 0% 8% 0% 1% 0% 2% 5% 2% 59% 4%[lower-alpha 39]
Morning Consult August 29, 2023 3,617 (LV) 0% 3% 14% 5% 0% 1% 6% 10% 2% 58% 1%[lower-alpha 40]
YouGov/The Economist August 26–29, 2023 562 (A) 0% 2% 14% 0% 4% 0% 0% 3% 5% 2% 51% 18%[lower-alpha 41]
August 29, 2023 Francis Suarez withdraws from the race.
FairVote/WPA Intelligence August 24–28, 2023 800 (LV) 0.7% 4.8% 18.5% 0.0% 8.5% 0.7% 0.5% 5.7% 6.9% 3.6% 49.3% 0.7%[lower-alpha 42]
HarrisX/The Messenger August 24–28, 2023 685 (RV) 0% 2% 14% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 6% 8% 2% 59% 6%[lower-alpha 43]
Big Village August 25–27, 2023 722 (A) 0.6% 1.7% 14.0% 0.4% 5.1% 0.9% 1.2% 6.4% 8.8% 1.9% 56.8% 2%[lower-alpha 44]
Emerson College August 25–26, 2023 460 (LV) 0.6% 5.2% 11.6% 6.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 6.9% 8.8% 1.6% 49.6% 7.9%[lower-alpha 45]
Ipsos/Reuters August 24–25, 2023 347 (A) 0% 1% 13% 4% 1% 0% 6% 5% 1% 52% 16%[lower-alpha 46]
Kaplan Strategies August 24, 2023 844 (LV) 2% 4% 10% 8% 1% 5% 13% 4% 45% 8%[lower-alpha 47]
Morning Consult August 24, 2023 1,256 (LV) 0% 4% 14% 3% 0% 0% 6% 11% 3% 58% 1%[lower-alpha 48]
Patriot Polling August 24, 2023 750 (RV) 4.3% 6.2% 21.0% 12.6% 1.0% 5.4% 5.1% 3.5% 40.6% 3.8%[lower-alpha 49]
InsiderAdvantage August 24, 2023 850 (LV) 1.1% 4.2% 17.8% 1.3% 10.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0% 2.2% 6.5% 3.3% 44.9% 6.1%[lower-alpha 50]
Léger/New York Post August 23–24, 2023 658 (RV) 1% 9% 2% 0% 5% 5% 3% 61% 11%[lower-alpha 51]
August 23, 2023 First debate held with Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott.
McLaughlin & Associates August 15–23, 2023 450 (LV) 1% 4% 9% 1% 3% 0% 1% 0% 4% 13% 4% 51% 11%[lower-alpha 52]
Rasmussen August 19–21, 2023 818 (LV) 0% 7% 10% 1% 3% 0% 1% 0% 3% 11% 4% 49% 0%[lower-alpha 53]
Yahoo News/YouGov August 17–21, 2023 482 (RV) 1% 2% 12% 0% 3% 0% 2% 8% 4% 52% 16%[lower-alpha 54]
Premise August 17–21, 2023 463 (A) 1% 15% 2% 4% 5% 3% 63% 8%[lower-alpha 55]
HarrisX August 17–21, 2023 1,057 (LV) 0% 3% 12% 0% 3% 0% 1% 0% 4% 10% 4% 52% 12%[lower-alpha 56]
Insider Advantage August 19–20, 2023 750 (LV) 1.2% 4.2% 9.7% 1.6% 4.8% 1.1% 1.5% 0.6% 3.3% 6.3% 3.3% 50.6% 11.8%[lower-alpha 57]
Morning Consult August 18–20, 2023 3,608 (LV) 0% 3% 14% 3% 0% 1% 6% 10% 3% 58% 1%[lower-alpha 58]
YouGov/CBS News August 16–18, 2023 531 (LV) 1% 2% 16% 0% 2% 0% 1% 5% 7% 3% 62% 0%[lower-alpha 59]
Emerson College August 16–17, 2023 465 (LV) 1.1% 2.8% 10.1% 0.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 3.4% 9.5% 2.4% 55.5% 10.8%[lower-alpha 60]
Echelon Insights[upper-alpha 2] August 15–17, 2023 1,017 (LV) 1% 12% 3% 4% 15% 3% 55%
3D Strategic Research August 15–17, 2023 858 (LV) 0% 5% 16% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 6% 9% 3% 50% 6%[lower-alpha 61]
Victory Insights August 15–17, 2023 825 (LV) 5.9% 12.1% 1.9% 1.1% 3.5% 3.7% 1.2% 60.8% 9.9%[lower-alpha 62]
JMC Analytics August 14–17, 2023 1,100 (LV) 0.9% 4.5% 13.0% 3.4% 0.4% 1.2% 0.1% 3.5% 5.0% 4.1% 52.0% 12.3%[lower-alpha 63]
Kaplan Strategies August 15–16, 2023 1,093 (LV) 1% 3% 10% 5% 3% 6% 11% 3% 47% 11%[lower-alpha 64]
American Pulse August 15–16, 2023 821 (LV) 4.0% 13.0% 3.0% 4.0% 7.1% 3.5% 58.0%
Trafalgar Group August 14–16, 2023 1,082 (LV) 0.1% 4.6% 17.0% 1.2% 4.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 4.6% 4.3% 4.0% 55.4% 2.3%[lower-alpha 65]
The Economist/YouGov August 12–15, 2023 527 (RV) 0% 2% 15% 0% 2% 0% 0% 3% 4% 3% 53% 16%[lower-alpha 66]
Fox News/Beacon Research August 12–14, 2023 413 (RV) 1% 3% 16% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 5% 11% 3% 53% 0%[lower-alpha 67]
RMG Research August 11–14, 2023 229 (LV) 5% 8% 4% 4% 13% 2% 60%
Quinnipiac University August 10–14, 2023 681 (RV) 0% 3% 18% 0% 3% 1% 1% 0% 4% 5% 3% 57% 5%[lower-alpha 68]
Morning Consult August 11–13, 2023 3,064 (LV) 1% 3% 16% 3% 0% 1% 7% 9% 3% 57% 2%[lower-alpha 69]
Kaplan Strategies August 9–10, 2023 800 (LV) 1% 4% 10% 4% 0% 8% 11% 2% 48% 13%[lower-alpha 70]
Premise August 2–7, 2023 484 (A) 2% 16% 3% 6% 6% 3% 57% 6%[lower-alpha 71]
Fairleigh Dickinson University July 31 – August 7, 2023 806 (LV) 1% 5% 15% 0% 3% 0% 0% 5% 3% 2% 58% 6%[lower-alpha 72]
Morning Consult August 4–6, 2023 3,486 (LV) 0% 3% 16% 3% 0% 1% 6% 8% 3% 59% 1%[lower-alpha 73]
I&I/TIPP August 2–4, 2023 529 (RV) 0% 0% 12% 0% 4% 0% 5% 8% 2% 57% 10%[lower-alpha 74]
Reuters/Ipsos August 2–3, 2023 355 (A) 0% 0% 13% 5% 0% 1% 8% 7% 2% 47% 17%[lower-alpha 75]
Cygnal August 1–3, 2023 (LV) 0.2% 2.1% 10.4% 0.2% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 6.6% 11.4% 3.2% 53.3% 9.6%[lower-alpha 76]
Morning Consult July 28–30, 2023 3,716 (LV) 1% 3% 15% 3% 1% 0% 7% 9% 3% 58% 1%[lower-alpha 77]
Echelon Insights July 24–27, 2023 399 (LV) 1% 1% 16% 0% 2% 0% 1% 3% 11% 3% 56% 5%[lower-alpha 78]
The New York Times/Siena College July 23–27, 2023 932 (LV) 0% 2% 17% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 3% 2% 3% 54% 14%[lower-alpha 79]
Big Village July 24–26, 2023 718 (A) 0.5% 0.9% 13.5% 0.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.7% 7.5% 7.2% 2.6% 61.0% 1.8%[lower-alpha 80]
Premise July 21–26, 2023 442 (A) 1% 16% 2% 7% 4% 3% 59% 9%[lower-alpha 81]
Economist/YouGov July 22–25, 2023 537 0% 1% 18% 0% 3% 0% 0% 3% 5% 3% 55% 13%[lower-alpha 82]
McLaughlin & Associates July 19–24, 2023 452 (LV) 0% 2% 13% 0% 3% 1% 0% 1% 5% 8% 3% 52% 12%[lower-alpha 83]
Morning Consult July 21–23, 2023 3,576 1% 2% 16% 4% 0% 0% 6% 8% 2% 59% 1%[lower-alpha 84]
JMC Analytics July 18–22, 2023 1,100 (LV) 1.0% 4.4% 17.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0% 3.2% 2.9% 4.5% 53.0% 10%[lower-alpha 85]
Harvard-Harris July 19–20, 2023 729 (RV) 1% 2% 12% 0% 4% 0% 1% 0% 7% 10% 2% 52% 10%[lower-alpha 86]
Rasmussen Reports July 18–20, 2023 1,031 (LV) 5% 13% 3% 3% 5% 3% 4% 57% 5%
Monmouth University July 12–19, 2023 681 (RV) 1% 3% 22% 0% 3% 0% 0% 1% 3% 5% 3% 54% 6%[lower-alpha 87]
Kaplan Strategies July 17–18, 2023 800 (LV) 0% 5% 12% 3% 1% 4% 12% 5% 48% 10%
Yahoo News July 13–17, 2023 468 1% 1% 23% 0% 3% 0% 3% 3% 4% 48% 13%[lower-alpha 88]
Quinnipiac University July 13–17, 2023 727 (RV) 0% 3% 25% 0% 4% 0% 0% 4% 2% 3% 54% 3%[lower-alpha 89]
Reuters/Ipsos July 11–17, 2023 4,414 0% 3% 19% 3% 0% 0% 7% 9% 2% 47% 11%[lower-alpha 90]
Morning Consult July 14–16, 2023 3,630 0% 2% 20% 4% 0% 0% 7% 8% 3% 55% 1%[lower-alpha 91]
Premise July 7–14, 2023 355 (RV) 2% 19% 3% 5% 4% 2% 58% 9%[lower-alpha 92]
YouGov/The Economist July 8–11, 2023 502 (RV) 0% 2% 22% 0% 3% 0% 0% 5% 2% 3% 48% 13%[lower-alpha 93]
Morning Consult July 7–9, 2023 3,616 0% 3% 17% 3% 0% 1% 7% 8% 3% 56% 1%[lower-alpha 94]
I&I/TIPP July 5–7, 2023 486 (RV) 1% 2% 14% 1% 3% 1% 6% 7% 3% 53% 9%[lower-alpha 95]
Echelon Insights June 26–29, 2023 413 (LV) 1% 2% 16% 0% 5% 0% 0% 5% 10% 4% 49% 7%[lower-alpha 96]
Fox News June 23–26, 2023 391 0% 1% 22% 1% 3% 0% 1% 4% 5% 4% 56% 4%[lower-alpha 97]
Morning Consult June 23–25, 2023 3,650 0% 2% 19% 3% 0% 1% 7% 6% 3% 57% 1%[lower-alpha 98]
June 22, 2023 Will Hurd declares his candidacy.
Emerson College June 19–20, 2023 365 (RV) 1% 2% 21% 4% 1% 6% 2% 2% 59% 2%[lower-alpha 99]
NBC News June 16–20, 2023 500 (RV) 0% 5% 22% 4% 2% 7% 3% 3% 51% 0%[lower-alpha 100]
YouGov June 16–20, 2023 366 (RV) 0% 4% 25% 1% 2% 0% 5% 2% 4% 47% 10%[lower-alpha 101]
Morning Consult June 17–19, 2023 3,521 (PV) 0% 3% 20% 3% 1% 7% 3% 3% 57% 1%[lower-alpha 102]
McLaughlin & Associates June 15–19, 2023 454 1% 2% 19% 0% 4% 0% 0% 5% 2% 5% 52% 9%[lower-alpha 103]
CNN/SSRS June 13–17 2023 1,350 (A) 0% 3% 26% 0% 5% 1% 9% 1% 4% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 104]
Harvard-Harris June 14–15, 2023 2,090 (RV) 0% 2% 14% 4% 0% 8% 3% 2% 59% 7%[lower-alpha 105]
The Messenger/HarrisX June 14–15, 2023 283 (RV) 0% 2% 17% 3% 1% 6% 2% 4% 53% 11%[lower-alpha 106]
June 14, 2023 Francis Suarez declares his candidacy.
Big Village June 9–14, 2023 724 (RV) 1.0% 1.4% 15.3% 1.1% 4.5% 0.8% 0.5% 9.9% 3.2% 3.6% 56.4% 2.5%[lower-alpha 107]
Economist/YouGov June 10–13, 2023 411 (RV) 2% 21% 4% 4% 1% 3% 51% 14%[lower-alpha 108]
Quinnipiac University June 8–12, 2023 700 (RV) 0% 4% 23% 0% 4% 1% 4% 3% 4% 53%
Morning Consult June 9–11, 2023 3,419 0% 2% 19% 3% 1% 8% 3% 4% 59% 1%[lower-alpha 109]
CBS News June 7–10, 2023 2,480 (A) 1% 1% 23% 1% 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% 61%
June 7, 2023 Doug Burgum declares his candidacy.
June 6, 2023 Chris Christie declares his candidacy.
June 5, 2023 Mike Pence declares his candidacy.
USA Today/Suffolk June 5–9, 2023 0% 2% 23% 1% 4% 1% 4% 6% 48%
Reuters/Ipsos June 5–9, 2023 1,005 (A) 1% 2% 22% 0% 3% 0% 7% 3% 2% 43% 17%[lower-alpha 110]
Morning Consult June 2–4, 2023 3,545 (LV) 1% 22% 3% 1% 7% 3% 3% 56% 5%[lower-alpha 111]
I&I/TIPP May 31 – June 2, 2023 1,230 (RV) 1% 19% 0% 3% 1% 6% 2% 3% 55% 10%[lower-alpha 112]
Premise May 29 – June 1, 2023 563 (RV) 1% 20% 3% 4% 1% 2% 57% 11%[lower-alpha 113]
YouGov May 25–30, 2023 432 (RV) 25% 1% 3% 1% 3% 3% 53% 11%
Big Village May 26–28, 2023 389 24% 5% 1% 3% 5% 58% 5%[lower-alpha 114]
Morning Consult May 26–28, 2023 3,485 (LV) 22% 4% 1% 5% 4% 3% 56% 5%[lower-alpha 115]
May 24, 2023 Ron DeSantis declares his candidacy.
McLaughlin & Associates May 17–24, 2023 446 (LV) 0% 1% 16% 0% 3% 0% 1% 7% 4% 2% 54% 13%[lower-alpha 116]
FOX News May 19–22, 2023 412 (RV) 0% 20% 0% 4% 0% 5% 4% 2% 53% 12%[lower-alpha 117]
Quinnipiac May 18–22, 2023 1,616 (RV) 2% 25% 1% 3% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 56% 8%[lower-alpha 118]
Morning Consult May 19–21, 2023 3,526 (LV) 20% 4% 0% 6% 4% 2% 58% 6%[lower-alpha 119]
CNN May 17–20, 2023 467 (RV) 1% 2% 26% 0% 6% 1% 6% 1% 1% 53% 2%[lower-alpha 120]
May 19, 2023 Tim Scott declares his candidacy.
Harvard-Harris May 17–18, 2023 2,004 (RV) 16% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 58% 12%[lower-alpha 121]
Cygnal May 16–18, 2023 2,527 (LV) 20.9% 4.7% 1.0% 4.3% 4.8% 1.5% 51.5% 11.3%[lower-alpha 122]
Marquette University May 8–18, 2023 1,000 (A) 0% 25% 1% 5% 0% 2% 3% 1% 46% 17%[lower-alpha 123]
Rasmussen Reports May 11–15, 2023 996 (LV) 17% 5% 3% 6% 2% 62% 5%[lower-alpha 124]
Reuters/Ipsos May 9–15, 2023 4,410 (A) 21% 4% 1% 5% 4% 1% 49% 15%[lower-alpha 125]
Morning Consult May 12–14, 2023 3,571 (LV) 18% 4% 1% 6% 4% 1% 61% 5%[lower-alpha 126]
Morning Consult May 5–7, 2023 3,574 (RV) 19% 3% 1% 5% 5% 1% 60% 4%[lower-alpha 127]
I&I/TIPP May 3–5, 2023 469 (RV) 17% 1% 4% 1% 6% 4% 2% 55% 10%[lower-alpha 128]
ABC News/Washington Post April 28 – May 3, 2023 438 (LV) 25% 6% 1% 6% 4% 53% 5%[lower-alpha 129]
Premise April 27 – May 1, 2023 752 (RV) 1% 21% 4% 5% 2% 1% 58% 8%[lower-alpha 130]
Morning Consult April 28–30, 2023 3,389 (LV) 22% 4% 7% 3% 2% 56% 5%[lower-alpha 131]
CBS News April 27–29, 2023 2,372 (A) 2% 22% 2% 4% 1% 5% 5% 1% 58%
Emerson College April 24–25, 2023 446 (LV) 2% 16% 3% 2% 7% 3% 62% 4%[lower-alpha 132]
April 23, 2023 Ryan Binkley declares his candidacy.
FOX News April 21–24, 2023 408 (RV) 21% 1% 4% 6% 3% 2% 53% 2%[lower-alpha 133]
Reuters/Ipsos April 21–24, 2023 361 (RV) 23% 1% 3% 6% 2% 49% 17%[lower-alpha 134]
Morning Consult April 21–23, 2023 3,640 (LV) 21% 3% 1% 7% 3% 1% 58% 6%[lower-alpha 135]
April 20, 2023 Larry Elder declares his candidacy.
Cygnal April 18–20, 2023 2,500 (LV) 25.5% 4.6% 1.3% 4.5% 2% 1.5% 46.1% 14.5%[lower-alpha 136]
Harvard-Harris April 18–19, 2023 1,845 (RV) 20% 4% 0% 7% 2% 1% 55% 4%[lower-alpha 137]
NBC News April 14–18, 2023 1,000 (RV) 31% 3% 3% 6% 2% 3% 46% 2%[lower-alpha 138]
Wall Street Journal April 11–17, 2023 600 (LV) 24% 5% 1% 2% 3% 48% 17%[lower-alpha 139]
Morning Consult April 14–16, 2023 3,499 (LV) 24% 4% 7% 3% 2% 53% 5%[lower-alpha 140]
April 12, 2023 Tim Scott forms his exploratory committee
Morning Consult April 7–9, 2023 3,608 (LV) 23% 4% 1% 7% 1% 1% 56% 7%[lower-alpha 141]
Reuters/Ipsos April 5–6, 2023 1,004 (A) 0% 21% 1% 1% 4% 1% 58% 5%[lower-alpha 142]
Reuters March 22 – April 3, 2023 2,005 (LV) 2% 19% 6% 5% 48% 5%[lower-alpha 143]
April 2, 2023 Asa Hutchinson declares his candidacy.
Morning Consult March 31 – April 2, 2023 3,488 (RV) 26% 4% 7% 1% 55% 7% [lower-alpha 144]
Trafalgar March 31 – April 2, 2023 1,123 (RV) 22.5% 0.4% 3.7% 3.8% 0.5% 1% 56.2% 12%[lower-alpha 145]
InsiderAdvantage March 31 – April 1, 2023 550 (LV) 2% 24% 5% 4% 1% 0% 57% 3%[lower-alpha 146]
YouGov March 30–31, 2023 1,089 (A) 2% 21% 5% 3% 1% 52% 2%[lower-alpha 147]
Echelon Insights March 27–29, 2023 370 (RV) 0% 26% 4% 0% 8% 1% 1% 49% 2%[lower-alpha 148]
Morning Consult March 24–28, 2023 3,452 (RV) 26% 5% 7% 1% 2% 52% 7%[lower-alpha 149]
Cygnal March 26–27, 2023 2,550 (RV) 28.7% 4.1% 0.4% 5.7% 1.1% 1% 42.2% 16.7%[lower-alpha 150]
FOX News March 24–27, 2023 426 (RV) 1% 24% 3% 1% 6% 1% 0% 54% 9%[lower-alpha 151]
Beacon Research/Fox News March 24–27, 2023 1% 24% 3% 1% 6% 1% 54% 8%[lower-alpha 152]
Quinnipiac University March 23–27, 2023 671 (RV) 1% 33% 4% 0% 5% 1% 47% 7%[lower-alpha 153]
Harris Poll March 22–23, 2023 24% 5% 7% 0% 2% 50% 6%[lower-alpha 154]
Monmouth University March 16–20, 2023 521 (RV) 27% 3% 1% 1% 41% 6%[lower-alpha 155]
Morning Consult March 17–19, 2023 3,394 (RV) 26% 4% 7% 1% 1% 54% 7%[lower-alpha 156]
Big Village March 15–17, 2023 361 (A) 23.3% 3.6% 10.2% 0.5% 51.9% 10.4%[lower-alpha 157]
Quinnipiac March 9–13, 2023 677 (RV) 1% 32% 5% 0% 0% 3% 0% 1% 46% 12%[lower-alpha 158]
CNN March 8–12, 2023 963 (LV) 36% 6% 1% 6% 2% 40% 8%[lower-alpha 159]
Premise March 4–7, 2023 639 (RV) 23% 6% 5% 1% 55% 11%[lower-alpha 160]
Morning Consult March 3–5, 2023 3,071 (RV) 28% 4% 7% 0% 1% 53% 5%[lower-alpha 161]
March 2, 2023 Perry Johnson declares his candidacy.
Yahoo News February 23–27, 2023 444 (RV) 0% 29% 4% 2% 45% 19%[lower-alpha 162]
Susquehanna February 19–26, 2023 300 (RV) 37% 4% 2% 1% 32% 20%[lower-alpha 163]
Emerson College February 24–25, 2023 536 (RV) 25% 5% 8% 55% 7%[lower-alpha 164]
Morning Consult February 23–25, 2023 3,320 (RV) 30% 6% 7% 1% 1% 48% 7%[lower-alpha 165]
Echelon Insights February 21–23, 2023 419 (LV) 31% 6% 9% 41%
February 21, 2023 Vivek Ramaswamy declares his candidacy.
McLaughlin & Associates February 17–23, 2023 441 (LV) 26% 6% 5% 1% 1% 42% 21%[lower-alpha 166]
Fox News February 19–22, 2023 413 0% 28% 7% 0% 7% 1% 43% 14%[lower-alpha 167]
Rasmussen Reports February 16–20, 2023 24% 15% 52%
Morning Consult February 17–19, 2023 3,217 (RV) 30% 6% 6% 50% 1%[lower-alpha 168]
Big Village February 15–17, 2023 346 (A) 23.6% 6.8% 8.7% 0% 50.2% 10.8%[lower-alpha 169]
Harris Poll February 15–16, 2023 23% 6% 7% 1% 46% 7%[lower-alpha 170]
Morning Consult February 14–16, 2023 2,476 (RV) 29% 5% 7% 50% 1%[lower-alpha 171]
WPA Intelligence February 13–16, 2023 1,000 (LV) 40% 8% 8% 31%
February 14, 2023 Nikki Haley declares her candidacy.
Quinnipiac University February 9–14, 2023 592 (RV) 37% 4% 4% 50% 5%[lower-alpha 172]
592 (RV) 0% 31% 4% 0% 3% 1% 48% 10%[lower-alpha 173]
Morning Consult February 11–13, 2023 2,476 (RV) 31% 4% 8% 47% 1%[lower-alpha 174]
Ipsos February 6–13, 2023 1,465 (RV) 1.1% 30.6% 3.9% 7.5% 42.6% 6.6%[lower-alpha 175]
Morning Consult February 8–10, 2023 2,476 (RV) 29% 4% 6% 48% 2%[lower-alpha 176]
Morning Consult February 5–7, 2023 2,476 (RV) 31% 4% 6% 48% 2%[lower-alpha 177]
OnMessage January 30 – February 5, 2023 566 (RV) 34% 6% 6% 1% 34% 20%[lower-alpha 178]
YouGov February 2–4, 2023 453 (RV) 35% 2% 5% 37%
Morning Consult February 2–4, 2023 2,476 (RV) 32% 3% 7% 48% 2%[lower-alpha 179]
Monmouth University January 26 – February 2, 2023 566 (RV) 33% 1% 2% 33% 7%[lower-alpha 180]
Morning Consult January 30 – February 1, 2023 2,476 (RV) 30% 2% 7% 51% 2%[lower-alpha 181]
Morning Consult January 27–29, 2023 3,592 (RV) 31% 3% 7% 48% 2%[lower-alpha 182]
Morning Consult January 24–26, 2023 2,476 (RV) 30% 3% 7% 50% 2%[lower-alpha 183]
Echelon Insights January 23–25, 2023 467 (LV) 0% 34% 2% 0% 8% 36% 8%[lower-alpha 184]
McLaughlin & Associates January 19–24, 2023 457 (LV) 31% 3% 5% 1% 43% 18%[lower-alpha 185]
Morning Consult January 21–23, 2023 2,476 (RV) 31% 3% 7% 49% 2%[lower-alpha 186]
WPA Intelligence January 17–23, 2023 3,015 (LV) 33% 5% 7% 37%
Emerson College January 19–21, 2023 428 (RV) 24.8% 2.5% 7.5% 55.1% 10.2%[lower-alpha 187]
North Star Opinion Research January 16–21, 2023 1,000 (LV) 39% 4% 9% 1% 28% 21%[lower-alpha 188]
Big Village January 18–20, 2023 355 (A) 27.5% 2.9% 6.8% 52.5% 10.3%[lower-alpha 189]
Harris Poll January 18–19, 2023 28% 3% 7% 48% 0%[lower-alpha 190]
Schoen Cooperman Research January 14–18, 2023 31% 3% 8% 42% 2%[lower-alpha 191]
Morning Consult January 15–17, 2023 2,476 (RV) 32% 3% 8% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 192]
Morning Consult January 15–17, 2023 2,476 (RV) 30% 3% 8% 48% 2%[lower-alpha 193]
YouGov January 14–17, 2023 472 (RV) 32% 4% 5% 44%
500 (A) 29% 5% 6% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 194]
YouGov January 12–16, 2023 450 (LV) 1% 36% 1% 5% 37%
Morning Consult January 12–14, 2023 2,476 (RV) 30% 2% 8% 50% 1%[lower-alpha 195]
Public Policy Polling January 10–11, 2023 446 (LV) 36% 6% 6% 42%
Morning Consult January 9–11, 2023 2,476 (RV) 32% 3% 8% 47% 1%[lower-alpha 196]
YouGov January 5–9, 2023 346 (RV) 34% 3% 1% 7% 2% 37% 14%[lower-alpha 197]
Morning Consult January 6–8, 2023 4,470 (RV) 33% 2% 9% 46% 1%[lower-alpha 198]
Big Village January 4–6, 2023 343 (A) 35% 2% 8% 48%
Morning Consult January 3–5, 2023 2,476 (RV) 32% 2% 8% 48% 1%[lower-alpha 199]
Morning Consult December 31, 2022 – January 2, 2023 4,829 (RV) 34% 3% 8% 45% 2%[lower-alpha 200]
Polls taken between June and December 2022
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Greg
Abbott
Liz
Cheney
Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Larry
Hogan
Mike
Pence
Mike
Pompeo
Marco
Rubio
Tim
Scott
Chris
Sununu
Donald
Trump
Glenn
Youngkin
Other
Morning Consult December 28–30, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 3% 33% 2% 8% 1% 1% 47% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 201]
Morning Consult December 25–27, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 3% 33% 2% 8% 1% 1% 47% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 202]
Morning Consult December 22–24, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 31% 3% 8% 1% 1% 48% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 203]
Morning Consult December 19–21, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 34% 2% 8% 1% 1% 46% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 204]
YouGov December 15–19, 2022 449 (RV) 3% 37% 5% 1% 4% 1% 39% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 205]
Morning Consult December 16–18, 2022 4,105 (RV) 1% 2% 3% 33% 2% 8% 1% 1% 48% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 206]
Big Village December 16–18, 2022 357 (A) 3% 4% 27% 4% 10% 1% 51% 1%
Harris Poll December 14–15, 2022 666 (RV) 2% 25% 4% 6% 2% 1% 1% 48% 0%
Morning Consult December 13–15, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 2% 3% 32% 2% 7% 1% 1% 48% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 207]
Echelon Insights December 12–14, 2022 418 (RV) 0% 0% 2% 35% 3% 0% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 40% 0% 7%[lower-alpha 208]
454 (LV) 0% 1% 2% 32% 4% 0% 4% 0% 1% 1% 0% 41% 0% 6%[lower-alpha 209]
Cygnal December 12–14, 2022 1,019 (LV) 1% 3% 2% 35% 4% 1% 7% 0% 1% 1% 0% 40% 0% 7%[lower-alpha 210]
Morning Consult December 10–14, 2022 825 (RV) 1% 2% 3% 34% 2% 6% 1% 2% 40% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 211]
McLaughlin & Associates December 9–14, 2022 480 (LV) 1% 4% 23% 3% 1% 5% 1% 1% 1% 48% 1% 5%[lower-alpha 212]
Morning Consult December 10–12, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 2% 3% 31% 3% 8% 1% 1% 50% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 213]
Monmouth University December 8–12, 2022 563 (RV) 1% 39% 1% 2% 26%
Morning Consult December 7–9, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 2% 2% 30% 3% 9% 1% 1% 48% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 214]
Morning Consult December 4–6, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 3% 30% 2% 8% 0% 1% 50% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 215]
YouGov December 1–5, 2022 435 (RV) 3% 33% 6% 1% 4% 2% 35% 2% 2%[lower-alpha 216]
521 (A) 2% 30% 5% 1% 5% 2% 35% 2% 2%[lower-alpha 217]
Morning Consult December 1–3, 2022 2,476 (RV) 1% 3% 2% 30% 3% 8% 1% 1% 49% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 218]
Big Village November 30 – December 2, 2022 368 (A) 2% 2% 27% 3% 7% 1% 56% 0%
YouGov November 26–29, 2022 385 (A) 3% 30% 3% 8% 3% 36% 9%[lower-alpha 219]
Cornell University Collaborative Midterm Survey October 26 – November 25, 2022 3,110 (A) 10% 28% 4% 11% 4% 40% 4%[lower-alpha 220]
Ipsos November 18–20, 2022 849 (RV) 1% 2% 2% 37% 3% 2% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 25% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 221]
Morning Consult November 18–20, 2022 849 (RV) 2% 3% 30% 2% 0% 7% 1% 1% 0% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 222]
Emerson College November 18–19, 2022 614 (RV) 4% 3% 25% 3% 1% 8% 42% 2%[lower-alpha 223]
Echelon Insights November 17–19, 2022 424 (RV) 0% 1% 3% 31% 1% 1% 11% 1% 1% 0% 0% 42% 0% 6%[lower-alpha 224]
424 (LV) 0% 1% 3% 37% 1% 1% 9% 1% 1% 0% 0% 38% 0% 5%[lower-alpha 225]
Harris Poll November 16–17, 2022 3% 28% 2% 7% 1% 1% 1% 46% 1%
November 15, 2022 Donald Trump declares his candidacy.
Morning Consult November 10–14, 2022 842 (RV) 1% 2% 33% 1% 1% 5% 0% 1% 0% 47% 1% 6%[lower-alpha 226]
November 11, 2022 Corey Stapleton declares his candidacy.
Zogby Analytics November 9–11, 2022 864 (LV) 28% 3% 8% 1% 47% 1% 4%[lower-alpha 227]
Big Village November 9–10, 2022 384 (A) 3% 34% 10% 50%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Morning Consult November 2–7, 2022 1,691 (RV) 2% 26% 2% 0% 7% 1% 1% 48% 5%[lower-alpha 228]
Big Village November 2–4, 2022 290 (LV) 3% 30% 12% 48%
373 (A) 3% 27% 12% 56%
Big Village October 31 – November 2, 2022 272 (LV) 2% 28% 13% 53%
354 (A) 3% 26% 12% 56%
Morning Consult October 28–31, 2022 838 (RV) 2% 2% 24% 3% 0% 9% 1% 1% 0% 49% 5%[lower-alpha 229]
YouGov October 11–26, 2022 1,720 (RV) 3% 2% 33% 14% 1% 55% 1%
YouGov October 17–19, 2022 3% 29% 4% 6% 0% 0% 53%
McLaughlin & Associates October 12–17, 2022 454 (LV) 1% 1% 23% 0% 7% 1% 0% 53% 4%[lower-alpha 230]
Harris Poll October 12–13, 2022 724 (RV) 3% 17% 2% 7% 2% 3% 1% 0% 55%
Cygnal October 10–12, 2022 1,204 (LV) 1% 3% 2% 26% 3% 1% 9% 1% 1% 0% 0% 45% 0% 4%[lower-alpha 231]
Siena College/The New York Times Upshot October 9–12, 2022 332 (LV) 3% 28% 4% 7% 2% 47%
332 (RV) 4% 26% 3% 6% 2% 49% 6%[lower-alpha 232]
Big Village October 5–7, 2022 287 (RV) 3% 28% 11% 55%
372 (A) 3% 23% 10% 58%
Big Village September 17–22, 2022 323 (RV) 2% 24% 12% 59%
378 (A) 2% 24% 12% 61%
McLaughlin & Associates September 17–22, 2022 465 (LV) 2% 2% 0% 18% 0% 1% 6% 0% 2% 1% 55% 6%[lower-alpha 233]
Morning Consult September 16–18, 2022 831 (RV) 3% 2% 19% 2% 0% 8% 1% 1% 1% 52% 5%[lower-alpha 234]
TIPP Insights September 7–9, 2022 534 (RV) 1% 1% 2% 15% 2% 8% 1% 2% 1% 54% 5%[lower-alpha 235]
Big Village September 7–9, 2022 337 (A) 2% 20% 13% 61%
Harris Poll September 7–8, 2022 667 (RV) 1% 17% 2% 9% 1% 1% 1% 59%
Big Village August 20–24, 2022 329 (A) 2% 22% 11% 59%
McLaughlin & Associates August 20–24, 2022 461 (LV) 2% 3% 0% 15% 0% 2% 6% 0% 1% 1% 55% 8%[lower-alpha 236]
Echelon Insights August 19–22, 2022 422 (RV) 4% 22% 2% 12% 1% 46% 2%[lower-alpha 237]
459 (LV) 5% 25% 1% 13% 1% 46% 1%[lower-alpha 238]
Morning Consult August 19–21, 2022 846 (RV) 3% 2% 18% 3% 1% 8% 0% 1% 1% 57% 4%[lower-alpha 239]
Big Village August 10–12, 2022 342 (A) 0% 16% 11% 68%
Morning Consult August 10, 2022 872 (RV) 2% 2% 18% 2% 1% 8% 1% 1% 1% 56% 5%[lower-alpha 240]
TIPP Insights August 2–4, 2022 575 (RV) 1% 1% 3% 17% 1% 10% 1% 1% 0% 53% 6%[lower-alpha 241]
Harris Poll July 27–28, 2022 679 (RV) 3% 19% 5% 7% 1% 1% 1% 52%
Suffolk University July 22–25, 2022 414 (RV) 3% 34% 3% 7% 1% 43% 1%[lower-alpha 242]
Morning Consult July 15–17, 2022 840 (RV) 2% 3% 23% 2% 0% 7% 1% 1% 1% 53% 5%[lower-alpha 243]
Morning Consult July 8–10, 2022 840 (RV) 2% 2% 21% 3% 1% 8% 1% 1% 0% 52% 5%[lower-alpha 244]
Siena College/The New York Times Upshot July 5–7, 2022 350 (LV) 7% 25% 5% 0% 6% 2% 2% 49% 5%[lower-alpha 245]
Harris Poll June 29–30, 2022 474 (RV) 1% 16% 4% 7% 1% 2% 2% 56%
20% 3% 9% 1% 55%
Morning Consult June 24–26, 2022 2,004 (RV) 1% 2% 23% 2% 0% 8% 0% 2% 0% 51% 5%[lower-alpha 246]
McLaughlin & Associates June 17–22, 2022 436 (LV) 1% 1% 15% 1% 7% 2% 1% 59% 9%[lower-alpha 247]
TIPP Insights June 8–10, 2022 385 (RV) 1% 2% 12% 4% 7% 0% 2% 2% 55% 5%[lower-alpha 248]
Polls taken between 2020 and June 2022
Source of poll Dates
administered
Sample size Margin Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided[lower-alpha 249]
Harvard/Harris January 19–20, 2022 1,815 (RV) 4% 12% 2% 11% 57% 13%[lower-alpha 250]
McLaughlin & Associates January 13–18, 2022 468 (LV) 13% 4% 9% 53% 8%
John Bolton Super PAC January 6, 2022 501 (LV) 5% 19% 4% 4% 36% 22%
UMass Amherst December 14–20, 2021 306 (A) 6% 20% 7% 6% 55%
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 450 (LV) 2% 15% 3% 7% 55% 6% 8%
Zogby Analytics November 8–10, 2021 371 (LV) 2% 7% 5% 12% 59% 6%[lower-alpha 251] 4%
YouGov/Yahoo News November 4–8, 2021 559 (A) 21% 5% 4% 44% 1%[lower-alpha 252] 19%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 10% 9% 47% 15% 19%
YouGov/Yahoo News October 19–21, 2021 629 (A) 18% 4% 5% 41% 2%[lower-alpha 253] 24%
Echelon Insights (Archive) Archived October 20, 2021, at the Wayback Machine October 15–19, 2021 476 (RV) 66%[lower-alpha 254] 31% 4%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 463 (LV) 3% 10% 4% 9% 53%[lower-alpha 254] 9%[lower-alpha 255] 6%
Morning Consult October 8–11, 2021 803 (RV) 3% 12% 3% 12% 47% 6%[lower-alpha 256] 4%
Echelon Insights Archived September 24, 2021, at the Wayback Machine September 17–23, 2021 479 (RV) 59%[lower-alpha 254] 32% 9%
John Bolton Super PAC September 16–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 5% 25% 6% 3% 26% 10%[lower-alpha 257] 20%
Harvard/Harris September 15–16, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 9% 3% 13% 58% 0% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 456 (LV) 3% 8% 2% 10% 59%[lower-alpha 254] 7%[lower-alpha 258] 4%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 395 (RV) ± 4.9% 2% 10% 7% 6% 67% 5%[lower-alpha 259] 1%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) 3% 11% 4% 8% 54%[lower-alpha 254] 7%[lower-alpha 260] 6%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – August 2, 2021 518 (A) 13% 4% 3% 58% 1%[lower-alpha 261] 17%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 6–8, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 2% 19% 3% 8% 47%[lower-alpha 254] 2%[lower-alpha 262] 13%
John Bolton Super PAC July 8, 2021 1,000 (LV) 5% 13% 5% 6% 46% 22%
Echelon Insights Archived June 24, 2021, at the Wayback Machine June 18–22, 2021 386 (RV) 59%[lower-alpha 254] 35% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 444 (LV) 4% 9% 3% 8% 55%[lower-alpha 254] 8%[lower-alpha 263] 7%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 24–26, 2021 378 (A) 65% 19%[lower-alpha 264] 16%
Quinnipiac May 18–24, 2021 ~290 (A)[lower-alpha 265] 66% 30%[lower-alpha 266] 4%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 444 (LV) 3% 8% 5% 10% 57%[lower-alpha 254] 7%[lower-alpha 267] 7%
Echelon Insights Archived May 21, 2021, at the Wayback Machine May 14–17, 2021 479 (RV) 63%[lower-alpha 254] 31% 6%
Morning Consult/Politico May 14–17, 2021 782 (RV) ± 2% 4% 8% 4% 13% 48% 9%[lower-alpha 268]
YouGov/Yahoo News May 11–13, 2021 348 (A) 68% 22%[lower-alpha 269] 10%
Trafalgar Group April 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[lower-alpha 270] [lower-alpha 254] 62% 27%[lower-alpha 271] 11%[lower-alpha 272]
Echelon Insights Archived June 1, 2021, at the Wayback Machine April 16–23, 2021 440 (RV) 59%[lower-alpha 254] 35% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates April 8–13, 2021 441 (LV) 1% 3% 7% 2% 10% 55%[lower-alpha 254] 8%[lower-alpha 273] 9%
PEM Management Corporation April 3–7, 2021 494 (LV) 7% 9% 9% 6% 44% 1%[lower-alpha 274]
Echelon Insights March 15–21, 2021 1,008 (RV) 60%[lower-alpha 254] 30% 10%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill February 20 – March 2, 2021 1,264 (LV) ± 2.7% 3% 7% 6% 9% 51%[lower-alpha 254] 3%[lower-alpha 275] 12%
57%[lower-alpha 276] 16%[lower-alpha 277] 27%
McLaughlin & Associates February 24–28, 2021 448 (LV) 5% 4% 3% 8% 54%[lower-alpha 254] 9%[lower-alpha 278] 10%
Harvard/Harris February 23–25, 2021 546 (RV) 5% 7% 18% 52%[lower-alpha 254] 13%[lower-alpha 279]
Echelon Insights February 12–18, 2021 430 (RV) 55%[lower-alpha 254] 32% 14%
Morning Consult/Politico February 14–15, 2021 645 (RV) ± 4% 4% 6% 12% 54% 10%[lower-alpha 280]
Echelon Insights January 20–26, 2021 – (RV)[lower-alpha 281] 48% 40% 11%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Léger January 15–17, 2021 1,007 (A)[lower-alpha 282] ± 3.09% 6% 2% 7% 13% 29%[lower-alpha 254] 6%[lower-alpha 283]
Ipsos/Axios January 11–13, 2021 334 (A) ± 5.8% 57% 41% 1%[lower-alpha 284]
Morning Consult/Politico January 8–11, 2021 702 (RV) 7% 6% 18% 40% 15%[lower-alpha 285]
January 6, 2021 January 6 United States Capitol attack
McLaughlin & Associates December 9–13, 2020 442 (LV) 5% 1% 3% 11% 56% 5%[lower-alpha 286] 10%
Fox News December 6–9, 2020 ~ 413 (RV) ± 4.5% 71% 21%[lower-alpha 287] 8%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax November 21–23, 2020 442 (LV) ± 3.1% 4% 2% 4% 9% 53%[lower-alpha 254] 6%[lower-alpha 288] 15%
Morning Consult/Politico November 21–23, 2020 765 (RV) ± 2% 4% 4% 12% 53% 11%[lower-alpha 289]
HarrisX/The Hill November 17–19, 2020 599 (RV) ± 2.26% 75% 25%
Seven Letter Insight November 10–19, 2020 ~555 (V)[lower-alpha 290] ± 2.5% 6% 7% 19% 35% 4%[lower-alpha 291]
Léger November 13–15, 2020 304 (A)[lower-alpha 292] ± 3.09% 7% 4% 22% 45%[lower-alpha 254] 5%[lower-alpha 293]
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
YouGov/Washington Examiner October 30, 2020 – (RV)[lower-alpha 294] 38% 43%[lower-alpha 295]

Head-to-head polling

Ron DeSantis versus Donald Trump head-to-head
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Ron
DeSantis
Donald
Trump
Undecided/
Other
Echelon Insights March 27–29, 2023 370 (RV) 34% 59% 7%
Harris Poll March 22–23, 2023 44% 56%
Premise March 4–7, 2023 639 (RV) 37% 53% 10%
Echelon Insights February 17–23, 2023 419 (LV) 42% 53% 5%
McLaughlin & Associates February 17–23, 2023 441 (LV) 38% 56% 6%
Big Village February 15–17, 2023 346 (A) 39% 61%
Harris Poll February 15–16, 2023 44% 56%
WPA Intelligence February 13–16, 2023 1,000 (RV) 55% 37% 12%
Rasmussen Reports February 8–12, 2023 32% 45% 23%
YouGov February 2–6, 2023 453 (RV) 45% 41% 14%
OnMessage January 30 – February 5, 2023 1,000 (LV) 53% 38% 9%
Monmouth University January 26 – February 2, 2023 566 (RV) 53% 40% 7%
Echelon Insights January 23–25, 2023 467 (LV) 48% 43% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates January 19–24, 2023 457 (LV) 41% 52% 7%
WPA Intelligence January 17–23, 2023 3,015 (LV) 49% 40% 11%
North Star Opinion Research January 16–21, 2023 1,000 (LV) 44% 28% 28%
1,000 (LV) 52% 30% 18%
Big Village January 18–20, 2023 355 (A) 39% 61%
Marquette University January 9–20, 2023 352 (RV) 64% 36%
401 (A) 62% 38%
Harris Poll January 18–19, 2023 45% 55%
Schoen Cooperman Research January 14–18, 2023 45% 46% 9%
YouGov January 12–16, 2023 450 (RV) 45% 42% 13%
Public Policy Polling January 10–11, 2023 446 (LV) 43% 42% 15%
YouGov January 5–9, 2023 346 (A) 51% 49%
YouGov December 15–19, 2022 390 (A) 48% 40% 12%
450 (RV) 45% 43% 12%
Harris Poll December 14–15, 2022 666 (RV) 52% 48%
Echelon Insights December 12–14, 2022 418 (RV) 48% 46% 6%
454 (LV) 47% 46% 7%
Morning Consult December 10–14, 2022 825 (RV) 45% 44% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates December 9–14, 2022 480 (LV) 36% 58% 6%
Suffolk University December 7–11, 2022 374 (RV) 56% 33% 11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates December 3–7, 2022 267 (RV) 52% 38% 10%
YouGov December 1–5, 2022 435 (RV) 47% 42% 11%
521 (A) 42% 42% 16%
Marquette University November 15–22, 2022 318 (A) 60% 40%
383 (A) 57% 42%
Quinnipiac University November 16–20, 2022 45% 43% 13%
44% 44% 12%
Echelon Insights November 17–19, 2022 424 (RV) 40% 52% 8%
424 (LV) 46% 46% 8%
YouGov November 13–15, 2022 432 (A) 46% 39% 15%
Léger November 11–13, 2022 316 (A) 45% 43% 12%
YouGov November 9–11, 2022 42% 35% 23%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Echelon Insights October 24–26, 2022 405 (RV) 32% 60% 8%
455 (LV) 34% 56% 10%
YouGov October 11–26, 2022 1,720 (RV) 45% 55%
YouGov October 13–17, 2022 473 (RV) 36% 45% 19%
570 (A) 35% 45% 20%
McLaughlin & Associates October 12–17, 2022 454 (LV) 29% 64% 7%
YouGov September 23–27, 2022 456 (RV) 34% 46% 20%
573 (A) 32% 45% 23%
Echelon Insights August 1 – September 7, 2022 490 (LV) 35% 57% 8%
YouGov September 2–6, 2022 467 (RV) 37% 49% 14%
547 (A) 34% 48% 18%
YouGov August 18–22, 2022 460 (RV) 31% 49% 20%
547 (A) 31% 49% 20%
YouGov July 28 – August 1, 2022 428 (LV) 35% 44% 21%
504 (A) 34% 44% 22%
Echelon Insight July 15–18, 2022 408 (RV) 30% 59% 11%
431 (LV) 32% 56% 12%
YouGov July 8–11, 2022 488 (RV) 31% 47% 22%
575 (A) 29% 50% 21%
YouGov June 24–27, 2022 457 (RV) 36% 44% 20%
542 (A) 33% 45% 27%
Mike Pence versus Donald Trump head-to-head
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Mike
Pence
Donald
Trump
Undecided/
Other
Public Policy Polling January 10–11, 2023 446 (LV) 25% 65% 10%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates December 3–7, 2022 270 (RV) 28% 63% 9%
YouGov June 24–27, 2022 457 (RV) 18% 65% 17%
542 (A) 18% 61% 21%
YouGov June 24–27, 2022 457 (RV) 18% 65% 17%
542 (A) 18% 61% 21%
Echelon Insights April 18–20, 2022 436 (RV) 25% 68% 7%
459 (LV) 28% 64% 8%
Polls without Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Tucker
Carlson
Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Josh
Hawley
Larry
Hogan
Mike
Pence
Mike
Pompeo
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump Jr.
Other Undecided
HarrisX/The Messenger August 24-28, 2023 685 (RV) 33% 6% 12% 23% 3% 9%[lower-alpha 296] 14%
HarrisX/American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce August 17–21, 2023 1,057 (LV) 27% 4% 8% 22% 5% 16%[lower-alpha 297] 17%
Harvard/Harris October 12–13, 2022 724 (RV) 9% 40% 3% 18% 3% 4% 1% 5% 17%
Cygnal October 10–12, 2022 1,204 (LV) 4% 46% 4% 0% 1% 17% 2% 2% 1% 11%[lower-alpha 298] 14%
McLaughlin & Associates September 17–22, 2022 465 (LV) 6% 31% 3% 2% 11% 3% 2% 2% 1% 19% 13%[lower-alpha 299] 12%
Echelon Insights September 16–19, 2022 465 (LV) 5% 49% 2% 1% 0% 10% 1% 3% 2% 0% 6% 8%[lower-alpha 300] 11%
Harvard/Harris September 7–8, 2022 667 (RV) 6% 39% 5% 18% 4% 3% 1% 4% 20%
McLaughlin & Associates August 20–24, 2022 461 (LV) 3% 26% 4% 2% 13% 1% 4% 2% 2% 18% 15%[lower-alpha 301] 12%
Echelon Insights August 19–22, 2022 459 (LV) 5% 41% 5% 0% 1% 10% 0% 1% 1% 0% 11% 7%[lower-alpha 302] 17%
Harvard/Harris July 27–28, 2022 679 (RV) 7% 34% 7% 19% 3% 3% 1% 3% 22%
Echelon Insights July 15–18, 2022 431 (LV) 4% 45% 3% 0% 0% 12% 2% 2% 2% 1% 9% 5%[lower-alpha 303] 13%
Harvard/Harris June 29–30, 2022 474 (RV) 8% 36% 5% 17% 3% 3% 2% 8% 19%
McLaughlin & Associates June 17–22, 2022 436 (LV) 4% 32% 3% 1% 12% 3% 3% 3% 2% 17% 11%[lower-alpha 304] 11%
Echelon Insights Archived June 27, 2022, at the Wayback Machine June 17–20, 2022 409 (LV) 6% 39% 3% 1% 0% 18% 0% 3% 2% 0% 7% 5%[lower-alpha 305] 15%
Zogby Analytics May 23–24, 2022 408 (LV) ± 4.9% 12% 27% 4% 23% 3% 5% 13%[lower-alpha 306] 15%
Echelon Insights May 20–23, 2022 451 (LV) 7% 34% 3% 1% 1% 17% 0% 1% 2% 1% 17% 8%[lower-alpha 307] 18%
Harvard/Harris May 18–19, 2022 9% 25% 5% 15% 2% 3% 2% 9% 29%
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–26, 2022 464 (LV) 6% 31% 2% 1% 11% 1% 4% 3% 1% 16% 12%[lower-alpha 308] 13%
Harvard/Harris April 20–21, 2022 708 (RV) 8% 35% 7% 20% 1% 3% 1% 6% 18%
Echelon Insights April 18–20, 2022 459 (LV) 7% 35% 6% 0% 2% 15% 2% 2% 3% 1% 5% 4%[lower-alpha 309] 17%
Harvard/Harris March 23–24, 2022 719 (RV) 10% 28% 6% 24% 3% 5% 2% 5% 16%
McLaughlin & Associates March 17–22, 2022 459 (LV) 5% 26% 4% 1% 15% 2% 3% 2% 1% 16% 7%[lower-alpha 310] 17%
Echelon Insights March 18–21, 2022 475 (LV) 5% 31% 6% 1% 1% 16% 1% 6% 3% 1% 8% 3%[lower-alpha 311] 17%
Harvard/Harris February 23–24, 2022 729 (RV) 11% 33% 5% 25% 5% 4% 3% 14%
Echelon Insights February 19–23, 2022 451 (LV) 8% 27% 5% 1% 1% 18% 2% 2% 3% 1% 7% 10%[lower-alpha 312]
McLaughlin & Associates February 16–22, 2022 463 (LV) 5% 27% 3% 0% 11% 2% 3% 2% 1% 17% 14%[lower-alpha 313] 13%
Morning Consult/Politico January 22–23, 2022 463 (RV) 6% 25% 4% 1% 12% 1% 2% 1% 1% 24% 6%[lower-alpha 314]
Echelon Insights January 21–23, 2022 423 (RV) 6% 28% 4% 0% 1% 16% 0% 6% 1% 2% 11% 6%[lower-alpha 315]
Harvard/Harris January 19–20, 2022 1815 (RV) 14% 30% 4% 25% 3% 6% 3%
McLaughlin & Associates January 13–18, 2022 468 (LV) 8% 26% 6% 0% 12% 1% 5% 1% 1% 18% 7%[lower-alpha 316] 13%
Echelon Insights December 9–13, 2021 439 (RV) 8% 30% 3% 1% 0% 12% 1% 4% 2% 1% 8% 8%[lower-alpha 317] 19%
Harvard/Harris November 30 – December 2, 2021 1989 (RV) 13% 30% 7% 25% 4% 8% 4% 10%
Echelon Insights November 12–18, 2021 435 (RV) 10% 26% 6% 1% 0% 15% 1% 3% 1% 1% 13% 5%[lower-alpha 318] 20%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 12% 21% 23% 0% 43%
Echelon Insights October 15–19, 2021 476 (RV) 2% 8% 22% 5% 0% 0% 8% 2% 3% 4% 2% 13% 8%[lower-alpha 319] 22%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 463 (LV) 5% 24% 5% 14% 1% 5% 2% 2% 18% 11%[lower-alpha 320] 13%
Echelon Insights Archived September 24, 2021, at the Wayback Machine September 17–23, 2021 479 (RV) 2% 9% 22% 6% 1% 1% 15% 2% 4% 2% 1% 9% 11%[lower-alpha 321] 21%
Harvard/Harris September 15–16, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 14% 20% 32% 0% 38%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 456 (LV) 7% 22% 4% 15% 2% 4% 2% 2% 19% 12%[lower-alpha 322] 11%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 395 (RV) ± 4.9% 13% 32% 10% 6% 24% 6% 9%[lower-alpha 323] 0%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) 9% 23% 4% 11% 2% 4% 4% 1% 12% 16%[lower-alpha 324] 14%
Echelon Insights Archived July 27, 2021, at the Wayback Machine July 19–23, 2021 421 (RV) 1% 9% 32% 4% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 325] 17% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 6%[lower-alpha 326] 13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 6–8, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 7% 39% 4% 0% 1% 15% 1% 3% 2% 4%[lower-alpha 327] 24%
Echelon Insights Archived May 21, 2021, at the Wayback Machine June 18–22, 2021 386 (RV) 1% 6% 21% 6% 0%[lower-alpha 328] 0%[lower-alpha 329] 14% 0%[lower-alpha 330] 4% 3% 2% 7% 7%[lower-alpha 331] 26%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 444 (LV) 6% 24% 4% 19% 1% 5% 2% 1% 15% 13%[lower-alpha 332] 11%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 444 (LV) 1% 12% 18% 5% 19% 2% 3% 1% 2% 13% 13%[lower-alpha 333] 12%
Echelon Insights Archived May 21, 2021, at the Wayback Machine May 14–17, 2021 479 (RV) 2% 9% 22% 5% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 334] 14% 1% 4% 1% 3% 6% 9%[lower-alpha 335] 19%
Trafalgar Group April 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[lower-alpha 336] 15% 35% 6% 1% 10% 10% 21%[lower-alpha 337]
Echelon Insights Archived June 1, 2021, at the Wayback Machine April 16–23, 2021 440 (RV) 2% 8% 20% 6% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 338] 16% 1% 4% 2% 0%[lower-alpha 339] 9% 3%[lower-alpha 340] 28%
McLaughlin & Associates April 8–13, 2021 441 (LV) 3% 10% 14% 3% 19% 2% 3% 3% 1% 15% 13%[lower-alpha 341] 14%
Echelon Insights March 15–21, 2021 1,008 (RV) 4% 5% 17% 4% 16% 4% 3% 2% 3% 7%[lower-alpha 342] 35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill February 20 – March 2, 2021 1,264 (LV) ± 2.7% 13% 17% 8% 2% 1% 19% 4% 5% 4% 1% 7%[lower-alpha 343] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 448 (LV) 1% 9% 9% 5% 15% 6% 2% 21% 16%[lower-alpha 344] 17%
RMG Research/Just the News February 25–27, 2021 363 (RV) 8% 18% 21% 10% 2% 9% 33%[lower-alpha 345]
Harvard/Harris February 23–25, 2021 546 (RV) 16% 10% 6% 41% 7% 19%[lower-alpha 346]
Echelon Insights February 12–18, 2021 430 (RV) 1% 10% 8% 6% ≤1% 1% 21% 1% 4% ≤1% ≤1% 8% 12%[lower-alpha 347] 26%
Echelon Insights January 20–26, 2021 – (RV)[lower-alpha 348] 2% 8% 2% 9% 0% 0% 21% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 10%[lower-alpha 349] 30%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Léger January 15–17, 2021 1,007 (A)[lower-alpha 350] ± 3.09% 9% 3% 8% 2% 7% 22% 3% 20% 4% 3% 11% 8%[lower-alpha 351]
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax November 21–23, 2020 442 (LV) ± 3.1% 1% 7% 2% 6% 20% 1% 5% 3% 2% 20% 13%[lower-alpha 352] 22%
Léger November 13–15, 2020 304 (A)[lower-alpha 353] ± 3.1% 6% 14% 6% 44% 3% 11% 6% 7%[lower-alpha 354]
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates November 2–3, 2020 449 (LV) 2% 5% 2% 8% 30% 5% 2% 1% 20% 5%[lower-alpha 355] 21%
Echelon Insights August 14–18, 2020 423 (LV) 2% 4% 7% 0% 1% 26% 5% 1% 12% 11%[lower-alpha 356] 29%
Léger August 4–7, 2020 309 (LV) ± 2.8% 7% 8% 11% 31% 3% 9% 5% 17% 9%[lower-alpha 357]

General election polling

Donald Trump versus Joe Biden
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 358]
Margin
RealClearPolitics August 10 – 23, 2023 August 23, 2023 45.0% 43.0% 12.0% Biden +2.0
Poll source Date Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
YouGov May 25–30, 2023 1,015 (RV) 48% 41% 11%
Echelon Insights May 22–25, 2023 1,035 (LV) 46% 44% 10%
Quinnipiac May 18–22, 2023 1,616 (RV) 48% 46% 6%
Morning Consult May 12–14, 2023 6,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 44% 41% 15%
WPA Intelligence May 10–13, 2023 1,571 (RV) ± 2.5% 47% 40% 13%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 5–8, 2023 1,060 (RV) 45% 43% 12%
Morning Consult May 5–7, 2023 6,000 (RV) 44% 42% 14%
Emerson College April 24–25, 2023 1,100 (RV) 43% 41% 16%
Morning Consult April 21–23, 2023 6,000 (RV) 43% 42% 15%
Cygnal April 18–20, 2023 2,500 (LV) 46% 45% 9%
Harvard/Harris April 18–19, 2023 1,845 (RV) 40% 45% 15%
YouGov/The Economist April 15–18, 2023 1,316 (RV) 43% 44% 13%
Premise April 14–17, 2023 1,485 (RV) 42% 44% 14%
YouGov/Yahoo News April 14–17, 2023 1,027 (RV) 46% 42% 12%
Morning Consult April 14–16, 2023 6,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 43% 40% 17%
YouGov/The Economist April 8–11, 2023 1,322 (RV) ± 2.9% 43% 44% 13%
Morning Consult April 7–9, 2023 5,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 43% 42% 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies April 4, 2023 1,180 (LV) 44% 43% 13%
YouGov April 1–4, 2023 1,319 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 44% 14%
Premise March 31 – April 3, 2023 1,562 (RV) 44% 43% 13%
Rasmussen Reports March 30 – April 3, 2023 971 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 47% 13%
Morning Consult March 31 – April 2, 2023 5,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 42% 41% 17%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 3] March 31 – April 1, 2023 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 47% 10%
YouGov/Yahoo News March 30–31, 2023 729 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 43% 12%
Echelon Insights March 27–29, 2023 1,007 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 44% 9%
Cygnal March 26–27, 2023 2,550 (LV) ± 1.9% 47% 45% 8%
Quinnipiac University March 23–27, 2023 1,600 (RV) ± 2.5% 48% 46% 6%
Morning Consult March 24–26, 2023 5,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 43% 42% 15%
Harvard/Harris March 22–23, 2023 2,905 (RV) 41% 45% 14%
Marquette University March 12–22, 2023 863 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 38% 24%
Premise March 16–21, 2023 1,509 (RV) 41% 47% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 20, 2023 1,250 (LV) 44% 44% 12%
YouGov/Yahoo News March 16–20, 2023 1,059 (RV) ± 2.7% 45% 43% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates March 16–20, 2023 1,000 (LV) 43% 48% 9%
Morning Consult March 17–19, 2023 5,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 44% 41% 15%
Quinnipiac University March 9–13, 2023 1,635 (RV) ± 2.4% 49% 45% 6%
Morning Consult March 10–12, 2023 5,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 43% 42% 15%
Wick Insights March 6–9, 2023 1,125 (LV) 45% 43% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 7–8, 2023 1,201 (LV) 44% 44% 12%
Premise March 4–7, 2023 1,621 (RV) 44% 45% 11%
Morning Consult March 3–5, 2023 5,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 42% 43% 15%
Cygnal February 24–27, 2023 2,424 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 45% 8%
YouGov/Yahoo News February 23–27, 2023 1,014 (RV) ± 2.7% 43% 45% 12%
Susquehanna February 19–26, 2023 800 (RV) 52% 39%
Emerson College February 24–25, 2023 1,060 (RV) ± 2.9% 42% 46% 12%
Morning Consult February 23–25, 2023 6,000 (RV) 43% 41% 16%
Echelon Insights February 21–23, 2023 1,023 (LV) 47% 44% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates February 17–23, 2023 1,000 (LV) 44% 48% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies February 19, 2023 1,102 (LV) 43% 42% 15%
Morning Consult February 17–19, 2023 6,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 42% 41% 17%
Premise February 16–19, 2023 1,717 (RV) 44% 42% 14%
Morning Consult February 16–19, 2023 2,000 (RV) ± 1.5% 42% 41% 17%
Harvard/Harris February 15–16, 2023 1,838 (RV) 41% 46% 13%
Quinnipac University February 9–14, 2023 1,429 (RV) ± 2.6% 48% 46% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters February 6–13, 2023 915 (RV) ± 4.0% 39% 42% 19%
Morning Consult February 10–12, 2023 6,000 (RV) 43% 41% 16%
Rasmussen Reports February 8–12, 2023 900 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 42% 13%
Public Policy Polling February 10–11, 2023 1,056 (RV) 49% 45% 6%
YouGov/Yahoo News February 2–6, 2023 1,063 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 41% 12%
Morning Consult February 3–5, 2023 6,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 43% 40% 17%
ABC News/The Washington Post January 27 – February 1, 2023 895 (RV) 45% 48% 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies January 28–29, 2023 1,139 (LV) 39% 41% 20%
Morning Consult January 27–29, 2023 6,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 43% 40% 17%
Echelon Insights January 23–25, 2023 1,024 (LV) ± 3.9% 45% 42% 13%
McLaughlin & Associates January 19–24, 2023 1,000 (LV) 43% 48% 9%
Morning Consult January 20–22, 2023 6,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 44% 41% 15%
Emerson College January 19–21, 2023 1,015 (RV) ± 2.5% 41% 44% 15%
Cygnal January 19–20, 2023 2,529 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 44% 9%
Marquette University January 9–20, 2023 790 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 40% 20%
Harvard/Harris January 18–19, 2023 2,050 (RV) 41% 46% 13%
YouGov/The Economist January 14–17, 2023 1,314 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 42% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies January 16, 2023 1,458 (LV) 39% 41% 20%
YouGov/YahooNews January 12–16, 2023 1,028 (RV) ± 2.7% 46% 40% 14%
Morning Consult January 10–12, 2023 6,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 43% 40% 17%
Morning Consult January 6–8, 2023 7,500 (RV) ± 1.0% 44% 41% 15%
WPA Intelligence January 2–8, 2023 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 41% 10%
Morning Consult December 31, 2022 – January 2, 2023 8,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 44% 40% 16%
Data for Progress December 22–29, 2022 1,189 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 45% 8%
YouGov/Yahoo News December 15–19, 2022 1,041 (RV) ± 2.7% 45% 41% 14%
Morning Consult December 16–18, 2022 7,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 43% 41% 16%
Harvard/Harris December 14–15, 2022 1,851 (RV) 40% 45% 15%
Echelon Insights December 12–14, 2022 1,021 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 44% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates December 9–14, 2022 1,000 (LV) 45% 48% 7%
Morning Consult December 9–11, 2022 7,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 43% 41% 16%
Suffolk University December 7–11, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 47% 40% 13%
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research December 3–7, 2022 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 43% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 5, 2022 1,162 (LV) 41% 41% 18%
YouGov/Yahoo News December 1–5, 2022 1,204 (RV) ± 2.6% 45% 42% 13%
Marquette University November 15–22, 2022 840 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 34% 22%
Emerson College November 18–19, 2022 1,380 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 41% 14%
Echelon Insights November 17–19, 2022 1,036 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 45% 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 17, 2022 1,203 (LV) 43% 42% 15%
Harvard/Harris November 16–17, 2022 2,212 (RV) 42% 44% 14%
Léger November 11–13, 2022 1,007 (A) 36% 33% 31%
Rasmussen Reports November 8–9, 2022 1,767 (LV) ± 2.0% 44% 47% 9%
Democracy Corps/GQR November 6–8, 2022 1,000 (RV) 46% 48% 6%
Morning Consult November 2–7, 2022 3,980 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 43% 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 2, 2022 1,084 (LV) 39% 44% 17%
YouGov/Yahoo News October 27–31, 2022 1,172 (RV) ± 2.7% 48% 42% 10%
Benenson Strategy Group October 27–30, 2022 1,000 (V) ± 3.1% 45% 43% 12%
Echelon Insights October 24–26, 2022 1,014 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 46% 9%
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research October 22–26, 2022 1,500 (RV) 46% 46% 8%
Suffolk University October 19–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 42% 12%
Emerson College October 18–19, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 40% 17%
YouGov/Yahoo News October 13–17, 2022 1,209 (RV) ± 2.7% 46% 44% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates October 12–17, 2022 1,000 (LV) 44% 50% 6%
Rasmussen Reports October 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 44% 16%
Harvard/Harris October 12–13, 2022 2,010 (RV) 43% 45% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 12, 2022 1,110 (LV) 40% 41% 19%
Siena College/The New York Times October 9–12, 2022 792 (LV) 44% 45% 11%
John Zogby Strategies October 5, 2022 1,006 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 41% 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 2–3, 2022 1,128 (LV) 43% 41% 16%
YouGov/Yahoo News September 23–27, 2022 1,138 (RV) ± 2.7% 47% 45% 8%
McLaughlin & Associates September 17–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
Emerson College September 20–21, 2022 1,368 (LV) ± 2.6% 45% 44% 11%
ABC News/The Washington Post September 18–21, 2022 908 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 48% 6%
Premise September 16–19, 2022 1,703 (A) 51% 49%
Echelon Insights September 16–19, 2022 1,056 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 44% 9%
Refield & Wilton Strategies September 14–15, 2022 1,163 (LV) 43% 40% 17%
Marquette University September 6–14, 2022 1,282 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 36% 22%
Siena College/The New York Times September 6–14, 2022 1,399 (RV) 45% 42% 13%
Harvard/Harris September 7–8, 2022 1,854 (RV) 42% 45% 13%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 1,228 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 45% 9%
YouGov/Yahoo News September 2–6, 2022 1,247 (RV) ± 2.6% 48% 42% 10%
Premise September 2–5, 2022 1,185 (RV) 51% 49%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 28, 2022 1,050 (LV) 40% 42% 18%
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research August 17–25, 2022 1,313 (RV) 50% 44% 6%
Emerson College August 23–24, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 42% 15%
McLaughlin & Associates August 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
Echelon Insights August 19–22, 2022 1,054 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 42% 11%
YouGov/Yahoo News August 18–22, 2022 1,185 (RV) 46% 42% 12%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies August 17, 2022 1,156 (LV) 39% 42% 19%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 28 – August 1, 2022 1,152 (RV) 45% 42% 13%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies July 29, 2022 1,094 (LV) 35% 42% 23%
Harvard/Harris July 27–28, 2022 1,885 (RV) 41% 45% 14%
Rasmussen Reports July 26–27, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 46% 14%
Suffolk University July 22–25, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 41% 14%
Emerson College July 19–20, 2022 1,078 (RV) ± 2.9% 43% 46% 11%
Echelon Insights July 15–18, 2022 1,022 (LV) 46% 44% 10%
The Trafalgar Group (R) July 11–14, 2022 1,085 (LV) ± 2.9% 43% 48% 10%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 8–11, 2022 1,261 (RV) 44% 43% 13%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies July 9, 2022 1,078 (LV) 41% 43% 16%
The New York Times/Siena College July 5–7, 2022 849 (RV) ± 4.1% 44% 41% 14%
Harvard/Harris June 28–29, 2022 1,308 (RV) 40% 43% 17%
Emerson College June 28–29, 2022 1,271 (RV) ± 2.7% 39% 44% 17%
YouGov/Yahoo News June 24–27, 2022 1,239 (RV) 46% 43% 11%
McLaughlin & Associates June 17–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 44% 49% 7%
Echelon Insights June 17–20, 2022 1,030 (LV) 45% 43% 12%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies June 15, 2022 1,064 (LV) 38% 41% 21%
YouGov/Yahoo News June 10–13, 2022 1,243 (RV) 42% 44% 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 30, 2022 1,173 (LV) 38% 42% 20%
Emerson College May 24–25, 2022 1,148 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 44% 14%
Echelon Insights May 20–23, 2022 1,020 (LV) 45% 44% 11%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 19–22, 2022 1,360 (RV) 44% 42% 14%
Harvard/Harris May 18–19, 2022 1,963 (RV) 42% 45% 13%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 17, 2022 1,120 (LV) 39% 42% 19%
Rasmussen Reports April 28 – May 2, 2022 1,004 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% 50% 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 1, 2022 1,096 (LV) 40% 44% 16%
Emerson College April 25–26, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 43% 15%
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) 43% 50% 7%
Morning Consult April 22–25, 2022 2,004 (RV) ± 2.0% 45% 44% 11%
InsiderAdvantage (R) April 21–23, 2022 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 43% 47% 10%
YouGov/Yahoo News April 19–22, 2022 1,187 (RV) 43% 41% 16%
Harvard/Harris April 20–21, 2022 1,966 (RV) 43% 45% 12%
Echelon Insights April 18–20, 2022 1,001 (LV) 45% 44% 11%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies April 18, 2022 1,500 (LV) 41% 43% 16%
YouGov/Yahoo News March 31 – April 4, 2022 1,233 (RV) 45% 40% 15%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies April 3, 2022 1,205 (LV) 38% 43% 19%
Marquette Law School March 14–24, 2022 1,004 (A) ± 4.0% 41% 37% 22%
Harvard/Harris March 23–24, 2022 1,990 (RV) 41% 47% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates March 17–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 46% 49% 5%
Echelon Insights March 18–21, 2022 1,050 (RV) 46% 44% 10%
University of Massachusetts Lowell March 15–21, 2022 873 (RV) ± 3.7% 44% 42% 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies March 20, 2022 1,193 (LV) 41% 41% 18%
Emerson College March 18–20, 2022 1,023 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 13%
YouGov/Yahoo News March 10–14, 2022 1,225 (RV) 47% 39% 14%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies March 8, 2022 1,194 (LV) 40% 42% 18%
Wall Street Journal March 2–7, 2022 1,500 (RV) 45% 45% 9%
Schoen Cooperman Research March 2–6, 2022 800 (LV) 44% 44% 12%
YouGov/Yahoo News February 24–27, 2022 1,532 (A) ± 2.9% 40% 39% 21%
NewsNation February 23–24, 2022 1,046 (RV) 37% 41% 22%
Harvard/Harris February 23–24, 2022 2,026 (RV) 42% 48% 10%
Echelon Insights February 19–23, 2022 1,078 (RV) 45% 43% 12%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies February 23, 2022 1,367 (LV) 42% 38% 20%
McLaughlin & Associates February 16–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) 45% 48% 7%
Emerson College February 19–20, 2022 1,138 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 48% 8%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies February 6, 2022 1,406 (LV) 41% 41% 18%
YouGov/Yahoo News January 20–24, 2022 1,568 (A) ± 2.8% 42% 40% 18%
Morning Consult January 22–23, 2022 2,005 (RV) ± 2.0% 45% 44% 11%
Echelon Insights January 21–23, 2022 1,098 (RV) 47% 43% 10%
Marquette Law School Archived January 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[lower-alpha 359] January 10–21, 2022 1,000 (A) 43% 33% 24%
Harvard/Harris January 19–20, 2022 1,815 (RV) 40% 46% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates January 13–18, 2022 1,000 (LV) 44% 49% 7%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies January 8–9, 2022 1,430 (LV) 39% 38% 23%
PMC/John Bolton Super Pac January 6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 44% 11%
Rasmussen Reports January 5, 2022 1,015 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 46% 14%
InsiderAdvantage (R) December 17–19, 2021 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 41% 49% 10%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies December 18, 2021 1,411 (LV) 34% 39% 27%
YouGov/Yahoo News December 9–13, 2021 1,558 (A) 47% 41% 12%
Echelon Insights December 9–13, 2021 1,098 (RV) 47% 44% 9%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies December 5, 2021 1,387 (LV) 38% 42% 20%
Harvard/Harris November 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 45% 48% 7%
Rasmussen Reports November 22–23, 2021 1,200 (LV) ± 3.0% 32% 45% 23%
Wall Street Journal November 16–22, 2021 1,500 (RV) 46% 45% 10%
Echelon Insights November 12–18, 2021 1,013 (RV) 45% 45% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 1,000 (LV) 44% 49% 7%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies November 15, 2021 1,500 (RV) 35% 41% 24%
Marquette Law School Archived November 20, 2021, at the Wayback Machine[lower-alpha 360] November 1–10, 2021 1,004 (A) 42% 34% 24%
YouGov/Yahoo News November 4–8, 2021 1,673 (A) 43% 39% 18%
Suffolk University November 3–5, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 44% 16%
Emerson College November 3–4, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 12%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies October 31, 2021 1,387 (LV) 42% 42% 16%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 1,578 (LV) 45% 46% 9%
YouGov/Yahoo News October 19–21, 2021 1,704 (A) 43% 40% 17%
Echelon Insights October 15–19, 2021 1,098 (RV) 48% 42% 10%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies October 17, 2021 1,366 (LV) 42% 40% 18%
Selzer and Company/Grinnell College October 13–17, 2021 745 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 40% 19%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies October 4–6, 2021 1,345 (LV) 43% 41% 16%
Echelon Insights September 17–23, 2021 1,005 (RV) 50% 39% 11%
Rasmussen Reports September 21–22, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 41% 51% 8%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies September 19–20, 2021 1,330 (LV) 42% 40% 18%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 1,000 (LV) 47% 50% 3%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies September 4–5, 2021 1,357 (LV) 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.7% 46% 47% 7%
Rasmussen Reports August 16–17, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 37% 43% 20%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – August 2, 2021 1,552 (A) 47% 37% 16%
PMC/John Bolton Super Pac July 8, 2021 1,000 (LV) 46% 43% 11%
YouGov/Yahoo News June 22–24, 2021 1,592 (A) 47% 35% 18%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 24–26, 2021 1,588 (A) 46% 36% 18%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 11–13, 2021 1,561 (A) 48% 36% 16%
Ipsos/Reuters April 12–16, 2021 1,106 (A) 45% 28% 27%
PMC/John Bolton Super Pac April 3–7, 2021 1,000 (LV) 46% 42% 12%
Joe Biden versus Donald Trump versus Liz Cheney
Poll source Date Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Liz
Cheney

Independent
Other/
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters February 6–13, 2023 915 (RV) ± 4.0% 32% 39% 15% 14%
Premise September 2–5, 2022 1,185 (RV) 37% 42% 21%
Echelon Insights August 19–22, 2022 1,054 (LV) ± 3.6% 38% 41% 12% 9%
YouGov/Yahoo News August 18–22, 2022 1,185 (RV) 32% 40% 11% 17%
Joe Biden versus Donald Trump versus Andrew Yang
Poll source Date Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Andrew
Yang

Forward
Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 19–22, 2022 1,054 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 39% 8% 10%
Echelon Insights October 15–19, 2021 1,098 (RV) 44% 40% 5% 11%
Joe Biden versus Ron DeSantis versus Donald Trump
Poll source Date Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Ron
DeSantis

Republican
Donald
Trump

Independent
Other/
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters May 9–15, 2023 4,415 (A) 37% 19% 22% 22%
Ipsos/Reuters April 21–24, 2023 1,005 (A) 38% 19% 22% 21%
Echelon Insights August 19–22, 2022 1,054 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 23% 21% 10%
Joe Biden versus generic Republican
Poll source Date Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Generic
Republican
Other/
Undecided
NBC News April 14–18, 2023 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 41% 47% 12%
Morning Consult April 22–25, 2022 2,004 (RV) ± 2.0% 39% 46% 15%
Morning Consult January 22–23, 2022 2,005 (RV) ± 2.0% 37% 46% 17%

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Someone Else at 0%; Undecided at 3%
  4. Someone Else at 1%; Not Sure at 7%; Would Not Vote at 3%
  5. Cheney at 3%; Pompeo at 1%; Other at 2%
  6. Someone Else at 1%
  7. "No opinion" at 8%; Ryan Binkley at 0%
  8. Youngkin at 0.8%; Suarez at 0.1%
  9. Don't know/Unsure at 5%; Someone else at 1%; Binkley and Stapleton at 0%
  10. Someone Else at 1%; Not Sure at 10%
  11. Cheney at 1%; Someone Else at 2%; Don't know at 6%
  12. Someone Else at 1%; Unsure at 3%
  13. Someone Else at 1%; Not Sure at 10%; Would Not Vote at 4%
  14. Undecided at 6%
  15. Undecided at 16%
  16. Someone Else at 1%
  17. Other at 3%; Don't Know at 20%
  18. Binkley at 0.2%; Undecided at 3.1%
  19. Other at 4%; No Opinion at 6%
  20. Other at 1%; None at 2%; Would Not Vote at 1%
  21. Binkley at 1%; Stapleton at 1%; Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; Don't Know at 7%
  22. Undecided at 5.2%
  23. Not Sure at 9%; Would Not Vote at 2%
  24. Other at 7%
  25. Someone Else at 1%
  26. Binkley at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; Don't Know at 9%
  27. Cheney and Youngkin at 1%; Don't Know at 7%; None at 1%; Other at 0%
  28. Someone Else 1%; Not Sure at 6%; Would Not Vote 5%
  29. Undecided at 3%, Refused at 1%
  30. Binkley at 0%; Stapleton at 0%; Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; Unsure at 7%
  31. Someone Else at 1%
  32. Cheney at 3%; Cruz at 2%; Pompeo at 1%; Other at 1%
  33. Binkley at 0%; Suarez at 0%
  34. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%
  35. Someone Else at 1%
  36. Someone Else at 7%
  37. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; Unsure at 5%
  38. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; No Opinion at 1%
  39. Suarez at 0%; Undecided at 4%
  40. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%
  41. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; Not Sure at 11%; Would Not Vote at 6%
  42. Youngkin at 0.4%; Suarez at 0.3%
  43. Binkley at 0%; Suarez at 0%; Someone Else and Stapleton at 0%; Undecided at 6%
  44. Binkley at 0.5%; Someone Else at 1.5%
  45. Suarez at 0.3%; Undecided at 7.6%
  46. Suarez at 0%; Don't Know at 16%
  47. Uncertain at 8%
  48. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%
  49. Unsure at 3.8%
  50. Binkley and Suarez at 0.2%; No Opinion at 5.7%
  51. Cheney at 0%; Don't Know at 9%; Someone Else at 2%
  52. Suarez at 0%; Undecided at 11%
  53. Binkley at 0%; Suarez at 0%
  54. Suarez at 0%; Not Sure at 14%; Would Not Vote at 2%
  55. Cheney and Cruz at 2%; Pompeo at 1%; Other at 3%
  56. Binkley at 1%; Stapleton at 0%; Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 2%; Unsure at 9%
  57. Binkley at 0.2%; Suarez at 0.1%; No Opinion at 11.5%
  58. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%
  59. Suarez at 0%
  60. Undecided at 10.8%
  61. Binkley at 0%; Suarez at 0%; Undecided at 6%
  62. Someone Else at 2.3%; Undecided at 7.6%
  63. Suarez at 0.3%; Undecided at 12%
  64. Suarez at 2%; Undecided at 9%
  65. Binkley at 0.2%; Suarez at 0.1%; Undecided at 2.0%
  66. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else 1%; Not Sure at 11%; Would Not Vote 4%
  67. Suarez at 0%
  68. Cheney, Cruz, Hogan, Noem, Pompeo, Suarez, Sununu, and Youngkin at 0%; Someone Else at 0%; Wouldn't Vote at 0%; Undecided at 4%; Refused at 1%
  69. Suarez at 1%; Someone Else at 1%
  70. Uncertain at 13%
  71. Cheney and Cruz at 2%; Pompeo at 0%; Other at 2%
  72. Other at 0%; Don't Know at 6%
  73. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%
  74. Someone Else at 1%; Not Sure at 9%
  75. Youngkin at 1%; Cheney at 0%; Suarez at 0%; Other at 1%; None at 1%; Don't Know at 14%
  76. Suarez at 0.6%; Binkley at 0.2%; Other at 0%; Undecided at 8.8%
  77. Suarez at 0%; Someone else at 1%
  78. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; Unsure at 4%
  79. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; Don't Know at 13%
  80. Binkley at 0.1%; Someone Else at 1.7%
  81. Cheney and Cruz at 2%; Pompeo at 1%; Other at 4%
  82. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; Not Sure at 9%; Would Not Vote at 3%
  83. Cheney at 2%; Romney at 1%; Perry at 0%; Suarez at 0%; Undecided at 9%
  84. Suarez at 0%; Someone else at 1%
  85. Other at 1%; Undecided at 9%
  86. Binkley at 1%; Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%; Unsure at 8%
  87. Suarez at 0%; None of These at 2%; Don’t Know at 4%
  88. Suarez at 0%; Unsure at 12%; Would Not Vote at 1%
  89. Suarez at 0%; Undecided at 3%
  90. Cheney and Sununu at 1%; Youngkin and Suarez at 0%; Other at 1%; None at 1%; Don't Know at 7%
  91. Suarez at 0%; Someone else at 1%
  92. Cheney at 2%; Cruz and Pompeo at 1%; Other at 5%
  93. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 2%; Not Sure at 10%; Would Not Vote at 1%
  94. Suarez at 0%; Someone else at 1%
  95. Not sure at 9%
  96. Suarez at 1%; Perry and Youngkin at 0%; Unsure at 6%
  97. Suarez at 0%; Don't Know at 3%, None of the above 1%
  98. Suarez at 0%; Someone Else at 1%
  99. Someone Else at 2%
  100. None at 3%; Other at 0%
  101. Suarez at 0%; Not Sure at 9%; Would Not Vote at 1%
  102. Someone Else at 1%
  103. Cheney and Suarez at 1%; Perry at 0%; Undecided at 7%
  104. Someone else and no opinion at 1%
  105. Unsure at 7%
  106. Someone Else at 2%; Unsure at 9%
  107. Binkley at 0.4%; Someone Else at 2.1%
  108. Not Sure at 11%, Would Not Vote at 3%
  109. Someone else with 1%
  110. Others/Undecided at 17%
  111. Cheney at 2%; Abbot, Noem, and someone else at 1%
  112. Others/Undecided at 10%
  113. Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Other with 3%
  114. Someone Else with 5%
  115. Cheney at 2%; Abbott, Noem, and Someone Else at 1%
  116. Romney with 3%; Cheney and Perry with 1%; Abbott, Bolton, Sununu, and Youngkin with 0%; Undecided at 8%
  117. Cheney at 2%; Abbott, Noem, Sununu, and Youngkin at 1%; Suarez at 0%; Others/Undecided at 6%
  118. Youngkin, Sununu, Noem, Cheney, at 1%; Undecided at 4%
  119. Cheney at 2%; Abbott and Someone Else at 1%; Noem at 0%; Undecided at 2%
  120. Chris Sununu at 1%; No opinion at 1%
  121. Cruz at 3%; Rubio at 1%; Other/Undecided at 8%
  122. Other at 0.0%; Undecided at 11.3%
  123. Chris Sununu with 1%; Undecided with 16%
  124. Others/Undecided at 5%
  125. Sununu with 1%; Others/Undecided with 14%
  126. Cheney at 2%; Abbott at 1%; Noem at 0%, Someone Else at 2%
  127. Liz Cheney at 2%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem at 1%
  128. Others/Undecided with 10%
  129. Other/Undecided at 5%
  130. Cruz at 3%, Cheney at 1%, Pompeo at 0%, Other at 3%
  131. Cheney and at 2%; Abbott, Noem, and Someone Else at 1%
  132. Someone else at 4%
  133. Cheney with 2%
  134. Sununu at 1%; Others/Undecided at 17%
  135. Cheney with 3%; Abbot, Noem, Youngkin, and someone else at 1%
  136. Undecided with 14.5%
  137. Cruz and Rubio with 1%, Someone Else with 2%
  138. Others with 2%
  139. Noem, Youngkin, Sununu at 1%, Others/Undecided at 14%
  140. Cheney at 2%; Abbot, Noem, and Undecided at 1%
  141. Cheney at 3%; Abbot, Noem, Pompeo, and Undecided at 1%
  142. Cheney with 3%, Pompeo and Youngkin with 1%, Sununu with 0%, Other with 0%
  143. Cheney at 3%; Pompeo and Sununu at 1%, Youngkin with 0%, Other with 1%
  144. Cheney 2%; Abbot, Pompeo, with 1%, others 1%.
  145. Cheney with 10.3%, Pompeo with 1.1%, Youngkin with 0.5%, Sununu with 0.1%
  146. Noem, Pompeo, Sununu with 1%, Youngkin with 0%, Someone Else with 0%
  147. Pompeo with 2%, Cheney, Hogan, and Youngkin with 0%
  148. Noem with 1%, Hawley, Pompeo, R. Scott, Sununu, Youngkin with 0%, Someone Else with 1%
  149. Cheney with 3%; Abbott, Noem, Pompeo, Youngkin with 1%
  150. Noem with 1.5%, Pompeo with 1.2%, Undecided with 14.0%
  151. Cheney with 3%, Abbott with 2%, Noem, Pompeo, and Sununu with 1%, Suarez and Youngkin with 0%, Other with 1%
  152. Cheney with 3%; Abbott with 2%; Noem, Pompeo, Sununu with 1%
  153. Cruz and Noem with 2%; Pompeo, Youngkin, and Sununu with 1%
  154. Cruz with 2%, Pompeo and Rubio with 1%, Someone Else with 2%
  155. Cruz, Paul, and Rice with 1%, Pompeo with <1%, Others with 3%
  156. Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Glenn Youngkin with 1%
  157. Someone else with 10.4%
  158. Cheney and Cruz with 2%; Noem, Pompeo, and Sununu with 1%; Youngkin with 0%; Undecided with 5%
  159. Chris Sununu with 2%, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Someone else with 3%; "No opinion" with 1%
  160. Ted Cruz with 4%; Liz Cheney with 3%, Other with 4%
  161. Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%
  162. Pompeo with 3%; Cheney with 1%; Hogan and Youngkin with 0%, Not Sure with 15%
  163. Cruz with 2%, Pompeo with 1%, Rubio with 0%, Unsure with 17%
  164. Hogan, Noem, and Pompeo with 1%, Sununu with 0%, Someone Else with 4%
  165. Liz Cheney with 3%; Abbott, Noem, Pompeo with 1%; Youngkin with 0%
  166. Romney with 3%, Cheney and Pompeo with 2%, Abbott, Bolton, Hogan, Sununu, and Youngkin with 1%, Undecided with 9%
  167. Abbott and Liz Cheney with 2%; Noem, Pompeo, Youngkin with 1%; Hogan, Suarez and Sununu with 0%, Others with 5%
  168. Noem with 1%
  169. Someone Else with 10.8%
  170. Pompeo with 3%, Rubio with 2%, Cruz with 1%, Someone Else with 1%, Unsure with 9%
  171. Noem with 1%
  172. Undecided with 5%
  173. Pompeo with 4%, Cruz with 2%, Cheney with 1%, Hogan, Noem, Sununu, and Youngkin with 0%, Undecided with 4%
  174. Noem with 1%
  175. Cheney with 1.9%, Pompeo with 1.8%, Hogan with 1.2%, Youngkin with 0.6%, Sununu with 0.5%, Other with 0.6%
  176. Noem with 1%
  177. Noem with 1%
  178. Pompeo with 3%, Cruz, Hogan, Noem, and Rubio with 1%, Other with 2%, Undecided with 11%
  179. Noem with 1%
  180. Cruz, Paul, and Pompeo with 1%, Others with 4%
  181. Noem with 1%
  182. Noem with 1%
  183. Noem with 1%
  184. Romney with 2%; Bolton, Gabbard, Hawley, Noem Rick Scott and Suarez with 0%
  185. Cheney with 3%, Kasich and Romney with 2%, Hogan, Pompeo, and Youngkin with 1%, Abbott, Bolton, Rubio, and Sununu with 0%, Undecided with 8%
  186. Noem with 1%
  187. Cheney with 3.6%, Cruz with 3.4%, Hogan with 0.7%, Hawley with 0.4%, Someone Else with 2.1%
  188. Cheney with 4%, Noem, Hogan, Sununu, and Youngkin with 1%, Would Not Vote with 1%, Undecided with 13%
  189. Cruz with 3.5%, Cheney with 2.7%, Sununu with 1.1%, Youngkin with 0.8%, Someone Else with 2.2%
  190. Rubio with 3%
  191. Cotton with 1%
  192. Noem with 1%
  193. Noem with 1%
  194. Cruz with 2%, Youngkin with 0%, someone else with 1%
  195. Noem with 1%
  196. Noem with 1%
  197. Cruz with 3%, Abbott, Carlson, and Cheney with 2%; Pompeo and Youngkin with 1%, Bolton, Hogan, and Sununu with 0%, Someone Else with 3%
  198. Noem with 0%
  199. Noem with 0%
  200. Noem with 0%
  201. Noem with 1%
  202. Noem with 1%
  203. Noem with 1%
  204. Noem with 1%
  205. Christie with 1%
  206. Noem with 0%
  207. Noem with 1%
  208. Noem, Romney, Christie and Gabbard with 1%; Bolton, Hawley, Kemp, Suarez and Rick Scott with 0%
  209. Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott, Romney, Christie and Gabbard with 1%; Hawley, Kemp, Suarez and Bolton with 0%
  210. Christie with 1%; Bolton, Kemp, Noem, Hutchinson, Hawley, Rick Scott and Crenshaw with 0%
  211. Noem with 0%
  212. Mitt Romney with 2%; Kasich and Bolton with 1%
  213. Noem with 1%
  214. Noem with 1%
  215. Noem with 1%
  216. Chris Christie with 3%
  217. Chris Christie with 2%
  218. Noem with 1%
  219. Donald Trump Jr. with 9%
  220. Chris Christie with 4%
  221. Marjorie Taylor Greene with 1%; Bolton with 0%
  222. Mitt Romney with 2%; Hawley with 1%; Noem, Rick Scott and Christie with 0%
  223. Hawley with 0%
  224. Romney with 1%; Gabbard, Bolton, Suarez, Noem, Hawley, Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  225. Romney with 1%; Bolton, Gabbard, Suarez, Noem, Hawley, Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  226. Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton with 1%; Christie, Rick Scott, Noem and Hawley with 0%
  227. Kristi Noem with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
  228. Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton and Noem with 1%; Rick Scott and Hawley with 0%
  229. Mitt Romney with 2%; Christie with 1%; Cotton, Noem and Rick Scott with 0%
  230. Tom Cotton with 4%; Romney, Bolton and Kasich with 1%
  231. Cotton, Hutchinson, Hawley, Crenshaw, Kemp, Noem, Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  232. Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton and Kasich with 1%; Owens, Rick Scott and Noem with 0%
  233. Mitt Romney and John Bolton with 2%; Cotton and Kasich with 1%; Owens, Rick Scott and Noem with 0%
  234. Mitt Romney with 3%; Cotton, Christie and Noem with 1%; Hawley with 0%
  235. Cotton, Hawley and Noem with 1%; Rick Scott, Stefanik and Christie with 0%
  236. Mitt Romney with 4%; John Bolton with 2%; Cotton and Kasich with 1%; Owens, Rick Scott and Noem with 0%
  237. Christie with 2%
  238. Christie with 1%
  239. Noem and Christie with 1%; Cotton, Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  240. Mitt Romney with 2%; Christie with 1%; Cotton, Noem and Rick Scott with 0%
  241. Chris Christie with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%; Hawley, Stefanik, Cotton, Sasse and Noem with 0%
  242. Chris Christie with 1%
  243. Romney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Christie, Cotton, Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  244. Romney, Noem and Christie with 1%; Cotton, Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  245. Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton, Christie with 1%; Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  246. Mitt Romney with 2%; Cotton, Christie with 1%; Hawley and Rick Scott with 0%
  247. Mitt Romney with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Cotton, Kasich with 1%; Bolton with 0%
  248. Josh Hawley with 2%; Christie, Stefanik with 1%, Cotton, Sasse, Rick Scott, Noem with 0%
  249. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  250. Marco Rubio with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Tim Scott with 1%; and "Someone else" with 7%
  251. "Someone else" with 4%; Greg Abbott with 2%
  252. Glenn Youngkin with 1%, Tucker Carlson with 3%
  253. Tucker Carlson, Josh Hawley, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%
  254. Standard VI response
  255. Candace Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  256. Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  257. Chris Christie with 7%; Kristi Noem with 3%, Josh Hawley with 1%
  258. Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  259. "Someone else" with 5%; Josh Hawley with 1%, Tom Cotton with 0%
  260. John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Candace Owens with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%
  261. Tucker Carlson with 2%, Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
  262. Tom Cotton, Larry Hogan, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  263. Candace Owens with 4%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  264. "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 19%
  265. 22% of a full sample of 1,316 adults
  266. "Do not want Trump to run" as opposed to "want Trump to run" with 30%
  267. Candace Owens with 3%; John Kasich, Liz Cheney, Tucker Carlson, Rick Scott, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
  268. Would not vote with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  269. "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 22%
  270. Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
  271. "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Trump" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Trump" with 24%; Would not vote with 3%
  272. "Consider voting for Trump" with 8%; Undecided with 4%
  273. John Kasich with 3%; Candace Owens with 2%; Tom Cotton, Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  274. Kristi Noem with 1%
  275. Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  276. On whether voters thought they'd support a Trump primary campaign if he ran
  277. "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 16%
  278. Candace Owens with 3%; Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 2%; Kristi Noem, Tucker Carlson, and Tim Scott with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  279. "Someone else" with 12%; Josh Hawley with 2%, Tom Cotton with 1%
  280. Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  281. GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
  282. Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[115]
  283. Larry Hogan with 6%, Ben Sasse with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%; Josh Hawley, Ivanka Trump with 1%
  284. Listed as "Skipped"
  285. Would not vote with 6%; "Someone else" with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, and Rick Scott with 1%
  286. Tucker Carlson with 3%, John Kasich and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  287. "Would not like to see Trump run for president in 2024" with 21%
  288. John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Tucker Carlson, and Rick Scott with 1%
  289. Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Kristi Noem, Josh Hawley, and Rick Scott with 1%; Charlie Baker with 0%
  290. 37% of the full sample of 1,500 2020 general election voters
  291. Ivanka Trump and Tucker Carlson with 2%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 1%
  292. Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
  293. Tucker Carlson with 4%, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%; Rick Santorum with 1%
  294. Republican subsample of 1,200 registered voters
  295. Respondents who think Trump should do something other than running for president in 2024 with 43%
  296. "Someone else" at 3%; Christie at 2%; Binkley, Burgum, Hutchinson and Johnson at 1%; Elder, Hurd, Stapleton and Suarez at 0%
  297. Christie at 4%; Elder at 2%; Binkley, Burgum, Hutchinson, Johnson, Stapleton and Suarez at 1%; Hurd at 0%; Someone Else at 4%
  298. Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 2%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Brian Kemp, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  299. Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, and Candance Owens with 2%; John Bolton, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Rick Scott with 1%.
  300. "Someone Else" with 3%; Chris Christie with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  301. Greg Abbott with 3%; Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Candance Owens with 2%; John Bolton, Tom Cotton, Richard Grenell, and Rick Scott with 1%.
  302. Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  303. Chris Christie with 2%; Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  304. Candance Owens with 4%; Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Rick Scott with 1%.
  305. Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  306. "Someone Else," with 6%; Glenn Youngkin with 4%; Greg Abbott with 3%.
  307. "Someone Else," with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 1%.
  308. Greg Abbott and Candance Owens with 3%; John Bolton, Tom Cotton, Liz Cheney, Richard Grenell, John Kasich, and Rick Scott with 1%.
  309. "Someone Else," Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, and Tom Cotton with 1%.
  310. Candance Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott with 2%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%.
  311. Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, and Rick Scott with 1%.
  312. Liz Cheney and Tom Cotton with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  313. Candance Owens with 4%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, and Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney and Rick Scott with 1%.
  314. "Someone Else" with 14%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, and Kristi Noem with 1%.
  315. Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  316. Candance Owens with 3%; Greg Abbot, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%.
  317. Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 2%, Chris Christie and Kristi Noem with 1%.
  318. Liz Cheney, Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, Rick Scott, and "Someone else" with 1%; Larry Hogan, Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, and Kristi Noem with 0%.
  319. Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  320. Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  321. "Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
  322. Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  323. "Someone else" with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  324. Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  325. No voters
  326. "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  327. Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
  328. No voters
  329. No voters
  330. No voters
  331. "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%
  332. Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  333. Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  334. No voters
  335. Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
  336. Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
  337. "Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
  338. No voters
  339. No voters
  340. Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters
  341. Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%
  342. Greg Abbott with 2%; "Someone else," Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less
  343. Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
  344. Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%
  345. "Other" with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%
  346. "Someone else" with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%
  347. Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
  348. GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
  349. Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  350. Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[115]
  351. Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
  352. Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
  353. Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
  354. Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
  355. John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  356. "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsey Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  357. Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%
  358. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  359. Archived January 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  360. Archived November 20, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
  1. Poll sponsored by Harvard University Center for American Political Studies
  2. Poll commissioned by the Republican Main Street Partnership
  3. This poll was sponsored by Trump's campaign

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