Aberavon (Senedd constituency)

Aberavon (Welsh: Aberafan) is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of seven constituencies in the South Wales West electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to seven constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

Aberavon
Aberafan
Senedd constituency
for the Senedd
Aberavon shown as one of the 40
Senedd constituencies
Current Senedd constituency
Created1999
PartyLabour
MSDavid Rees
Electoral regionSouth Wales West
Preserved countyWest Glamorgan

History

Having only elected Labour MSs with huge majority this can be considered a Labour safe seat. Plaid Cymru are Labour's main opposition in the constituency and have been since its creation.

Party averages from 5 elections: Labour – 54.9, Plaid Cymru – 18.4, Conservative – 9.3, Lib Dem – 8.6,

UKIP stood for the first time in this constituency in the 2016 election and finished third with 15.0% of the vote.

Boundaries

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Aberavon Westminster constituency, and it is entirely within the preserved county of West Glamorgan. Boundaries were unchanged by the review whose proposals come into effect for the 2007 Welsh Assembly election.

The constituency is composed of the Neath Port Talbot electoral divisions: Aberavon, Baglan, Briton Ferry East, Briton Ferry West, Bryn & Cwmavon, Coedffranc Central, Coedffranc North, Coedffranc West, Cymmer, Glyncorrwg, Gwynfi, Margam, Port Talbot, Sandlands East, Sandlands West, and Tai-bach.

The other six constituencies of the region are Bridgend, Gower, Neath, Ogmore, Swansea East and Swansea West.

Voting

In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

Assembly members and members of the Senedd

ElectionMemberPartyPortrait
1999 Brian Gibbons Labour
2011 David Rees

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

2021 Senedd election: Aberavon
Party Candidate Constituency Regional[1]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour David Rees 10,505 47.4 -3.3 10,081 45.4 -0.5
Plaid Cymru Victoria Griffiths 4,760 21.5 +1.5 4,987 22.5 +1.2
Conservative Liz Hill O'Shea 2,947 13.3 +6.9 3,141 14.1 +7.9
Independent Scott Jones 1,357 6.1 New
Liberal Democrats Helen Ceri Clarke 953 4.3 -1.7 670 3.0 -2.4
Abolish Sarah Allen 646 2.9 New 789 3.6 ±0.0
Independent Caroline Jones 519 2.3 New
UKIP Timothy Jenkins 407 1.8 -13.2 395 1.8 -12.7
Gwlad Ceri Golding 386 1.7 New 279 1.3 New
Reform UK Dennis May 208 0.9 New 208 0.9 New
Green 659 3.0 +1.2
Propel 195 0.9 New
Freedom Alliance (UK) 170 0.8 New
Communist 78 0.4 +0.1
TUSC 42 0.2 -0.4
Majority 5,745 25.9 −4.8
Turnout 22,688 42.3[2] −0.2
Labour hold Swing
Notes

    Regional Ballot void votes: 150. Want of an Official Mark (0), Voting for more than ONE party or individual candidate (38), Writing or mark by which the Voter could be identified (1), Unmarked or Void for uncertainty (111)

    Elections in the 2010s

    Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Aberavon
    Party Candidate Constituency[3] Regional[4]
    Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
    Labour David Rees 10,578 50.7 −13.4 9,556 45.9 -11.3
    Plaid Cymru Bethan Jenkins 4,176 20.0 +5.2 4,446 21.3 +8.5
    UKIP Glenda Davies 3,119 15.0 New 3,019 14.5 +10.6
    Conservative David Jenkins 1,342 6.4 −7.9 1,298 6.2 -4.7
    Liberal Democrats Helen Ceri Clarke 1,248 6.0 −0.8 1,128 5.4 +0.8
    Green Jonathan Tier 389 1.9 New 370 1.8 ±0.0
    Abolish 742 3.6 New
    TUSC 115 0.6 +0.3
    Monster Raving Loony 111 0.5 New
    Communist 54 0.3 ±0.0
    Majority 6,402 30.7 −18.6
    Turnout 20,852 42.5 +5.5
    Labour hold Swing −9.3
    Welsh Assembly Election 2011: Aberavon
    Party Candidate Constituency[5] Regional[6]
    Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
    Labour David Rees 12,104 64.1 +14.8 10,671 57.2
    Plaid Cymru Paul Nicholls-Jones 2,793 14.8 −2.5 2,391 12.8
    Conservative T. Morgan 2,704 14.3 +4.6 2,030 10.9
    Liberal Democrats Helen Ceri Clarke 1,278 6.8 −0.3 860 4.6
    BNP 627 3.4
    UKIP 719 3.9
    Socialist Labour 669 3.6
    Green 340 1.8
    Welsh Christian 174 0.9 New
    TUSC 113 0.6 New
    Communist 61 0.3
    Majority 9,311 49.3 +17.3
    Turnout 18,879 37.0 −2.8
    Labour hold Swing +8.7

    Regional ballots rejected at the count: 134[7]

    Elections in the 2000s

    Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Aberavon[8]
    Party Candidate Constituency Regional[9]
    Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
    Labour Brian Gibbons[lower-alpha 1] 10,129 49.3 −10.1 9,303
    Plaid Cymru Linett Purcell 3,558 17.3 −0.4 3,610
    Independent Andrew Tutton 2,561 12.5 New
    Conservative Daisy Meyland-Smith 1,990 9.7 +0.5 2,058
    Liberal Democrats Claire Waller 1,450 7.1 −2.7 1,775
    New Millennium Bean Party Captain Beany 840 4.1 New
    BNP 1,185 New
    Green 663
    UKIP 653
    Socialist Labour 423 0. New
    Welsh Christian 230 New
    Socialist Alternative (UK) 196 New
    Keith James - Independent 146 New
    Respect 73 0. New
    Communist 66 0. New
    CPA 37 0. New
    Joel Jenkins - Independent 26 New
    Majority 6,571 32.0 −9.7
    Turnout 20,528 39.8 +2.1
    Labour hold Swing −11.3
    Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Aberavon
    Party Candidate Constituency[10] Regional[11]
    Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
    Labour Brian Gibbons[lower-alpha 1] 11,137 59.4 +8.1 9,769
    Plaid Cymru Geraint D. Owen 3,324 17.7 −4.6 3,242
    Liberal Democrats Claire Waller 1,840 9.8 −3.8 1,934
    Conservative Myr A. Boult 1,732 9.2 +2.2 1,599
    Independent Robert Williams 608 3.2 New
    Independent Gwenno M. Saunders 114 0.6 New
    Green 678
    Socialist Labour 572
    UKIP 509
    Cymru Annibynnol 217
    ProLife Alliance 58 0.
    Majority 7,813 41.7 +12.7
    Turnout 18,755 37.7 −9.2
    Labour hold Swing +6.4

    2003 Electorate: 50,208
    Regional ballots rejected: 348

    Elections in the 1990s

    Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Aberavon[10]
    Party Candidate Votes % ±%
    Labour Brian Gibbons 11,941 51.3 N/A
    Plaid Cymru Janet Davies 5,198 22.3 N/A
    Liberal Democrats Keith Davies 3,165 13.6 N/A
    Conservative Mary E. Davies 1,624 7.0 N/A
    Independent Captain Beany 849 3.6 N/A
    Independent David Pudner 517 2.2 N/A
    Majority 6,743 29.0 N/A
    Turnout 23,294 46.9 N/A
    Labour win (new seat)

    See also

    Notes

    1. Incumbent member for this constituency

    References

    1. "South Wales West Electoral Region Aberavon Constituency STATEMENT OF LOCAL TOTALS" (PDF). Retrieved 12 May 2021.
    2. Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 19 November 2021.
    3. "Wales elections > Bridgend". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
    4. "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
    5. "Wales elections > Aberavon". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
    6. "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
    7. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
    8. "Welsh assembly election 2007 – Aberavon". BBC News. 4 May 2007. Retrieved 30 June 2008.
    9. "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 24 October 2021.
    10. "Assembly Election results, 1999 and 2003". Political Science Resources. Richard Kimber. Retrieved 30 June 2008.
    11. The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 1 August 2021.

    51.600°N 3.812°W / 51.600; -3.812

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