Ampara Polling Division

The Ampara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ampara Electoral District, in the Eastern Province, Sri Lanka.

Ampara
Polling Division
Location of Ampara
Coordinates: 7.454697°N 81.373128°E / 7.454697; 81.373128
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceEastern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictAmpara Electoral District
Area
 • Total1,984.68 km2 (766.29 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total201,450
 • Density102/km2 (260/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-13A

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ampara has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Ampara is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Ampara Ampara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP NDF 31.06% SLPP 11.35%
2015 UPFA NDF 26.91% NDF 13.19%
2010 UPFA NDF 19.33% UPFA 9.72%
2005 UPFA UNP 12.79% UPFA 5.50%
1999 PA PA 2.84% PA 0.45%
1994 PA PA 17.02% PA 7.09%
1988 UNP UNP 2.46% UNP 1.74%
1982 UNP UNP 3.12% UNP 1.21%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 5/8 14.44% 8/8 6.28%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ampara[4] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 89,674 64.69% 135,058 32.82% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 42,241 30.47% 259,673 63.09% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,984 2.87% 7,460 1.81% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,717 1.96% 9,379 2.28% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 138,616 99.45% 411,570 99.24% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 772 0.55% 3,158 0.76% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 139,388 87.20% 414,728 82.32% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 159,857 503,790 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ampara[5] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 76,409 61.10% 121,027 33.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 47,658 38.11% 233,360 65.22% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 997 0.80% 3,430 0.96% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 125,064 99.28% 357,817 99.27% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 911 0.72% 2,625 0.73% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 125,975 77.76% 360,442 73.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 161,999 488,067 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ampara[6] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 73,389 67.94% 146,912 47.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 32,895 30.45% 153,105 49.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,742 1.61% 6,545 2.13% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 108,026 99.44% 306,562 99.06% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 608 0.56% 2,912 0.94% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 108,634 74.67% 309,474 36.77% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 145,479 841,672 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ampara[7] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 57,624 55.85% 122,329 42.88% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 44,218 42.86% 159,198 55.81% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,337 1.30% 3,740 1.31% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 103,179 99.09% 285,267 98.98% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 949 0.91% 2,941 1.02% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 104,128 76.15% 288,208 70.65% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 136,738 407,918 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ampara[8] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 48,385 51.78% 149,593 55.59% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 39,712 42.50% 109,805 40.80% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,275 3.50% 3,822 1.42% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,074 2.22% 5,634 2.09% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 93,446 98.38% 269,100 98.34% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,538 1.62% 4,549 1.66% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 94,984 78.24% 273,649 78.47% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 121,407 348,712 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ampara[9] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 44,423 55.11% 168,289 72.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 34,832 43.21% 59,074 25.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,353 1.68% 5,218 2.24% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 80,608 97.87% 232,581 98.47% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,751 2.13% 3,621 1.53% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 82,359 73.50% 236,202 74.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 112,046 319,166 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ampara[10] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 34,251 50.37% 96,420 50.77% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 32,915 48.40% 83,137 43.78% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 839 1.23% 10,352 5.45% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 68,005 98.79% 189,909 98.04% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 831 1.21% 3,802 1.96% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 68,836 73.18% 193,711 72.72% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 94,068 266,396 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Ampara[11] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,049 54.71% 90,772 56.39% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 20,552 38.71% 53,096 32.99% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 3,039 5.72% 7,679 4.77% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 459 0.86% 9,423 5.85% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 53,099 99.09% 160,970 98.71% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 486 0.91% 2,101 1.29% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 53,585 82.77% 163,071 79.22% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 64,740 205,838 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ampara has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Ampara is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Ampara Ampara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 11.32% UNP 5.74%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.20% UPFA 2.60%
2004 UPFA UPFA 22.00% UPFA 9.13%
2001 UNP SLMC 20.69% UNP 2.99%
2000 PA PA 4.22% PA 3.68%
1994 PA UNP 22.31% PA 2.78%
1989 UNP UNP 24.61% UNP 6.33%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 15.91% 7/7 4.75%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ampara[14] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 60,506 52.72% 89,334 27.42% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 49,751 43.35% 151,013 46.34% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 4,029 3.51% 5,391 1.65% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 476 0.41% 80,110 24.59% 681,497 6.12%
Valid Votes 114,762 94.25% 325,848 94.55% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 6,963 5.72% 18,423 5.35% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 121,766 75.16% 344,618 73.99% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 161,999 465,757 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ampara[15] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,777 61.38% 132,096 51.66% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 29,812 35.34% 90,757 35.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,188 2.59% 2,917 1.14% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 575 0.68% 29,711 11.62% 275,183 3.43%
Valid Votes 84,352 1687040.00% 255,688 1345726.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2 40.00% 9 47.37% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 5 250.00% 19 237.50% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 2 8 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ampara[16] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 55,729 61.63% 111,747 38.56% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 31,525 34.86% 42,121 14.53% 3,486,792 37.73%
SLMC 1,681 1.86% 76,563 26.42% 186,880 2.02%
JHU 945 1.05% 1,130 0.39% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 545 0.60% 58,268 20.10% 720,358 7.79%
Valid Votes 90,425 92.69% 289,829 93.91% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 7,061 7.24% 18,264 5.92% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 97,561 73.70% 308,625 81.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 132,371 379,044 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ampara[17] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 41,149 45.33% 58,468 20.87% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 40,243 44.33% 65,246 23.29% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 7,994 8.81% 9,502 3.39% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,390 1.53% 146,974 52.46% 659,895 7.37%
Valid Votes 90,776 92.12% 280,190 94.20% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 7,764 7.88% 17,225 5.79% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 98,544 77.80% 297,440 82.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 126,660 360,497 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ampara[18] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 44,391 49.12% 136,423 51.13% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 40,526 44.84% 101,628 38.09% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,627 5.12% 5,696 2.13% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 836 0.92% 23,053 8.64% 225,112 2.62%
Valid Votes 90,380 N/A 266,800 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ampara[19] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 42,819 49.93% 54,150 22.49% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 42,100 49.09% 78,767 32.72% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 841 0.98% 107,849 44.79% 439,019 5.53%
Valid Votes 85,760 95.08% 240,766 94.98% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 4,439 4.92% 12,736 5.02% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 90,199 80.50% 253,502 79.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 112,046 318,710 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Ampara[20] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 37,611 56.02% 62,600 29.29% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 28,602 42.60% 45,400 21.24% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 924 1.38% 105,714 49.47% 391,575 7.00%
Valid Votes 67,137 94.24% 213,714 95.22% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 4,104 5.76% 10,727 4.78% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 71,241 76.68% 224,441 84.45% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 92,901 265,768 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Ampara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (99.1%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Ampara Polling Division) has a Moor plurality (43.4%), a significant Sinhalese population (38.9%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (17.3%) [1]

Ethnicity in Ampara[1]

  Sinhalese (99.1%)
  Other (0.9%)

Religion

The Ampara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (98.8%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Ampara Polling Division) has a Muslim plurality (43.4%), a significant Buddhist population (38.7%) and a significant Hindu population (15.8%) [1]

Religion in Ampara[1]

  Buddhist (98.8%)
  Other (1.2%)

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ampara and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ampara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ampara and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ampara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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