Largest remainder method

The largest remainder method (also known as Hare–Niemeyer method, Hamilton method or as Vinton's method[1]) is one way of allocating seats proportionally for representative assemblies with party list voting systems. It contrasts with various highest averages methods (also known as divisor methods).

Method

The largest remainder method requires the numbers of votes for each party to be divided by a quota representing the number of votes required for a seat (i.e. usually the total number of votes cast divided by the number of seats, or some similar formula). The result for each party will usually consist of an integer part plus a fractional remainder. Each party is first allocated a number of seats equal to their integer. This will generally leave some remainder seats unallocated: the parties are then ranked on the basis of the fractional remainders, and the parties with the largest remainders are each allocated one additional seat until all the seats have been allocated. This gives the method its name.

Quotas

There are several possibilities for the quota. The most common are: the Hare quota and the Droop quota. The use of a particular quota with the largest remainders method is often abbreviated as "LR-[quota name]", such as "LR-Droop".[2]

The Hare (or simple) quota is defined as follows

It is used for legislative elections in Russia (with a 5% exclusion threshold since 2016), Ukraine (5% threshold), Bulgaria (4% threshold), Lithuania (5% threshold for party and 7% threshold for coalition), Tunisia,[3] Taiwan (5% threshold), Namibia and Hong Kong. The Hamilton method of apportionment is actually a largest-remainder method which uses the Hare Quota. It is named after Alexander Hamilton, who invented the largest-remainder method in 1792.[4] It was first adopted to apportion the U.S. House of Representatives every ten years between 1852 and 1900.

The Droop quota is the integer part of

and is applied in elections in South Africa. The Hagenbach-Bischoff quota is virtually identical, being

either used as a fraction or rounded up.

The Hare quota tends to be slightly more generous to less popular parties and the Droop quota to more popular parties. This means that Hare can arguably be considered more proportional than Droop quota.[5][6][7][8][9] However, an example shows that the Hare quota can fail to guarantee that a party with a majority of votes will earn at least half of the seats (though even the Droop quota can very rarely do so).

The Imperiali quota

is rarely used since it suffers from the defect that it might result in more seats being allocated than there are available (this can also occur with the Hagenbach-Bischoff quota but it is very unlikely, and it is impossible with the Hare and Droop quotas). This will certainly happen if there are only two parties. In such a case, it is usual to increase the quota until the number of candidates elected is equal to the number of seats available, in effect changing the voting system to the Jefferson apportionment formula.

Examples

These examples take an election to allocate 10 seats where there are 100,000 votes.

Hare quota

PartyYellowsWhitesRedsGreensBluesPinksTotal
Votes 47,00016,00015,80012,0006,1003,100100,000
Seats 10
Hare Quota 10,000
Votes/Quota 4.701.601.581.200.610.31
Automatic seats 4111007
Remainder 0.700.600.580.200.610.31
Highest-remainder seats 1100103
Total seats 52111010

Droop quota

PartyYellowsWhitesRedsGreensBluesPinksTotal
Votes 47,00016,00015,80012,0006,1003,100100,000
Seats 10+1=11
Droop quota 9,091
Votes/quota 5.1701.7601.7381.3200.6710.341
Automatic seats 5111008
Remainder 0.1700.7600.7380.3200.6710.341
Highest-remainder seats 0110002
Total seats 52210010

Pros and cons

It is relatively easy for a voter to understand how the largest remainder method allocates seats. The Hare quota gives an advantage to smaller parties while the Droop quota favours larger parties.[10] However, whether a list gets an extra seat or not may well depend on how the remaining votes are distributed among other parties: it is quite possible for a party to make a slight percentage gain yet lose a seat if the votes for other parties also change. A related feature is that increasing the number of seats may cause a party to lose a seat (the so-called Alabama paradox). The highest averages methods avoid this latter paradox; but since no apportionment method is entirely free from paradox,[11] they introduce others like quota violation (see Quota rule).[12]

Technical evaluation and paradoxes

The largest remainder method satisfies the quota rule (each party's seats amount to its ideal share of seats, either rounded up or rounded down) and was designed to satisfy that criterion. However, that comes at the cost of paradoxical behaviour. The Alabama paradox is exhibited when an increase in seats apportioned leads to a decrease in the number of seats allocated to a certain party. In the example below, when the number of seats to be allocated is increased from 25 to 26 (with the number of votes held constant), parties D and E counterintuitively end up with fewer seats.

With 25 seats, the results are:

PartyABCDEFTotal
Votes 150015009005005002005100
Seats 25
Hare quota 204
Quotas received 7.357.354.412.452.450.98
Automatic seats 77422022
Remainder 0.350.350.410.450.450.98
Surplus seats 0001113
Total seats 77433125

With 26 seats, the results are:

PartyABCDEFTotal
Votes 150015009005005002005100
Seats 26
Hare quota 196
Quotas received 7.657.654.592.552.551.02
Automatic seats 77422123
Remainder 0.650.650.590.550.550.02
Surplus seats 1110003
Total seats 88522126

References

  1. Tannenbaum, Peter (2010). Excursions in Modern Mathematics. New York: Prentice Hall. p. 128. ISBN 978-0-321-56803-8.
  2. Gallagher, Michael; Mitchell, Paul (2005-09-15). The Politics of Electoral Systems. OUP Oxford. ISBN 978-0-19-153151-4.
  3. "2". Proposed Basic Law on Elections and Referendums - Tunisia (Non-official translation to English). International IDEA. 26 January 2014. p. 25. Retrieved 9 August 2015.
  4. Eerik Lagerspetz (26 November 2015). Social Choice and Democratic Values. Studies in Choice and Welfare. Springer. ISBN 9783319232614. Retrieved 2017-08-17.
  5. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015-09-24. Retrieved 2011-05-08.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  6. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2006-09-01. Retrieved 2006-09-01.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  7. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2007-09-26. Retrieved 2007-09-26.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  8. "Notes on the Political Consequences of Electoral Laws by Lijphart, Arend, American Political Science Review Vol. 84, No 2 1990". Archived from the original on 2006-05-16. Retrieved 2006-05-16.
  9. "Lipjhart on PR formulas".
  10. See for example the 2012 election in Hong Kong Island where the DAB ran as two lists and gained twice as many seats as the single-list Civic despite receiving fewer votes in total: New York Times report
  11. Balinski, Michel; H. Peyton Young (1982). Fair Representation: Meeting the Ideal of One Man, One Vote. Yale Univ Pr. ISBN 0-300-02724-9.
  12. Messner; et al. "RangeVoting: Apportionment and rounding schemes". Retrieved 2014-02-02.
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