Hiniduma Polling Division

The Hiniduma Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Galle Electoral District, in the Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

Hiniduma
Polling Division
Location of Hiniduma
Coordinates: 6.309662°N 80.347707°E / 6.309662; 80.347707
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSouthern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total442.46 km2 (170.83 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total96,823
 • Density219/km2 (570/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-07E

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hiniduma has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Hiniduma is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Hiniduma Galle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.78% SLPP 9.49%
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.99% NDF 9.89%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.16% UPFA 5.56%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.85% UPFA 6.21%
1999 PA PA 0.28% PA 3.59%
1994 PA PA 2.74% PA 3.77%
1988 SLFP SLFP 3.78% UNP 3.00%
1982 UNP UNP 4.03% UNP 2.06%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.08% 8/8 5.45%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Hiniduma[4] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 54,299 62.66% 466,148 64.26% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 28,046 32.37% 217,401 29.97% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,479 2.86% 27,006 3.72% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,827 2.11% 14,803 2.04% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 86,651 99.29% 725,358 99.20% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 624 0.71% 5,878 0.80% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 87,275 87.02% 731,236 85.15% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 100,295 858,749 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Hiniduma[5] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,464 57.58% 377,126 55.64% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 34,022 41.27% 293,994 43.37% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 942 1.14% 6,691 0.99% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 82,428 99.05% 677,811 99.05% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 790 0.95% 6,516 0.95% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 83,218 82.59% 684,327 80.46% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 100,757 850,549 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Hiniduma[6] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,987 63.60% 386,971 63.69% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 26,061 34.54% 211,633 34.83% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,405 1.86% 9,017 1.48% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 75,453 99.40% 607,621 99.38% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 457 0.60% 3,765 0.62% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 75,910 80.55% 611,386 77.82% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 94,245 785,663 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Hiniduma[7] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,304 56.46% 347,233 58.41% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 31,489 42.03% 239,320 40.26% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,136 1.52% 7,915 1.33% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 74,929 99.13% 594,468 99.08% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 654 0.87% 5,540 0.92% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 75,583 84.78% 600,008 79.86% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 89,156 751,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Hiniduma[8] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,712 54.85% 281,154 54.91% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 25,292 38.85% 195,906 38.26% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,183 4.89% 27,257 5.32% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 922 1.42% 7,702 1.50% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 65,109 98.68% 512,019 98.14% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 873 1.32% 9,716 1.86% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 65,982 83.78% 521,735 77.43% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 78,752 673,785 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Hiniduma[9] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 34,003 58.59% 285,398 61.40% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 23,216 40.00% 173,282 37.28% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 819 1.41% 6,135 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 58,038 98.21% 464,815 98.49% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,059 1.79% 7,112 1.51% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 59,097 79.50% 471,927 73.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 74,337 646,373 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Hiniduma[10] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 22,347 49.47% 148,615 53.09% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 22,029 48.77% 124,912 44.62% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 794 1.76% 6,417 2.29% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 45,170 98.38% 279,944 98.43% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 745 1.62% 4,461 1.57% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 45,915 70.30% 284,405 49.34% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 65,310 576,390 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election
Party Hiniduma[11] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,209 55.73% 211,544 50.23% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 19,649 40.25% 180,925 42.96% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,629 3.34% 20,962 4.98% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 334 0.68% 7,707 1.83% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 48,821 98.78% 421,138 98.78% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 605 1.22% 5,198 1.22% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 49,426 86.60% 426,336 81.84% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 57,075 520,909 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hiniduma has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Hiniduma is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Hiniduma Galle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.46% UNP 4.39%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.72% UPFA 5.62%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.26% UPFA 6.65%
2001 PA UNP 0.96% UNP 3.62%
2000 PA PA 0.94% PA 3.00%
1994 PA PA 1.27% PA 3.64%
1989 UNP UNP 2.95% UNP 5.43%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 1.51% 7/7 4.62%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Hiniduma[14] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 39,237 51.16% 312,518 50.07% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 33,999 44.33% 265,180 42.49% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 3,020 3.94% 37,778 6.05% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 441 0.57% 8,659 1.39% 82,852 0.74%
Valid Votes 76,697 97.33% 624,135 97.63% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,094 2.66% 15,107 2.36% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 78,800 78.21% 639,318 78.00% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 100,757 819,666 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Hiniduma[15] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,083 68.26% 305,307 66.17% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 15,616 26.59% 120,101 26.03% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,717 4.63% 33,663 7.30% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 309 0.53% 2,317 0.50% 32,313 0.40%
Valid Votes 58,725 94.14% 461,388 95.05% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,657 5.86% 24,013 4.95% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 62,382 66.19% 485,401 61.67% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 94,245 787,139 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Hiniduma[16] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,633 57.25% 306,385 56.58% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 27,440 40.66% 209,399 38.67% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,119 1.66% 22,826 4.22% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 291 0.43% 2,901 0.54% 60,066 0.65%
Valid Votes 67,483 93.92% 541,511 94.69% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,371 6.08% 30,380 5.31% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 71,854 83.22% 571,891 79.81% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 86,343 716,609 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Hiniduma[17] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,151 44.68% 232,931 42.98% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 29,666 43.97% 238,989 44.10% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 6,717 9.95% 61,806 11.41% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 942 1.40% 8,188 1.51% 143,033 1.60%
Valid Votes 67,476 95.69% 541,914 95.66% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,042 4.31% 24,561 4.34% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 70,518 84.65% 566,475 81.09% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 83,302 698,558 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Hiniduma[18] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 34,278 51.74% 264,601 50.08% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 26,629 40.19% 212,055 40.14% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,493 6.78% 41,620 7.88% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 852 1.29% 10,072 1.91% 250,489 2.91%
Valid Votes 66,252 N/A 528,348 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Hiniduma[19] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 33,648 55.45% 277,956 56.39% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 26,099 43.01% 203,268 41.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 939 1.55% 11,690 2.37% 159,429 2.01%
Valid Votes 60,686 95.67% 492,914 95.96% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,747 4.33% 20,763 4.04% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 63,433 85.33% 513,677 79.57% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 74,337 645,559 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election
Party Hiniduma[20] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,466 52.05% 183,962 50.40% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 22,597 46.19% 152,096 41.67% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 863 1.76% 28,947 7.93% 502,202 8.97%
Valid Votes 48,926 94.31% 365,005 93.94% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,954 5.69% 23,536 6.06% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 51,880 80.49% 388,541 68.03% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 64,452 571,146 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Hiniduma Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.9%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Hiniduma Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Hiniduma[1]

  Sinhalese (95.9%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (2.8%)
  Indian Tamil (1.3%)
  Other (0.0%)

Religion

The Hiniduma Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (95.7%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Hiniduma Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (93.9%) [1]

Religion in Hiniduma[1]

  Buddhist (95.7%)
  Hindu (3.1%)
  Other (1.2%)

References
  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiniduma and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiniduma and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiniduma and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiniduma and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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