Llanelli (Senedd constituency)

Llanelli is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

Not to be confused with Llanelli (UK Parliament constituency).

Llanelli
Senedd county constituency
for the Senedd
Llanelli shown within the Mid and West Wales electoral region and the region shown within Wales
Current Senedd county constituency
Created1999
PartyWelsh Labour and Co-operative
Member of the SeneddLee Waters
Preserved countyDyfed

Boundaries

1999 to 2007

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Llanelli Westminster constituency. It is a Dyfed constituency, one of five constituencies covering, and entirely within, the preserved county of Dyfed.

The other four Dyfed constituencies are Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion and Preseli Pembrokeshire. They are all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consists of the eight constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Llanelli, Meirionnydd Nant Conwy, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

From 2007

The constituency includes the whole of 9 Carmarthenshire communities (Kidwelly; Llanedi; Llanelli; Llanelli Rural; Llangennech; Llannon; Pembrey and Burry Port Town; Pontyberem; and Trimsaran).

Boundaries changed for the 2007 Assembly election. Llanelli remained one of five Dyfed constituencies and one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales region. However, boundaries within Dyfed changed, to realign them with local government ward boundaries and to reduce disparities in the sizes of constituency electorates, and the boundaries of the region changed, to align them with the boundaries of preserved counties.

The other four Dyfed constituencies were, again, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion and Preseli Pembrokeshire, all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consisted of the constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Dwyfor Meirionnydd, Llanelli, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

For Westminster purposes, the same new constituency boundaries became effective for the 2010 United Kingdom general election.

Voting

In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

It is a marginal seat between Plaid and the Labour Party, and until the 2016 Assembly election, had never been held by the same party for more than one consecutive term.

Members of the Senedd
ElectionMemberPortrait Party
1999 Helen Mary Jones Plaid Cymru
2003 Catherine Thomas Welsh Labour
2007 Helen Mary Jones Plaid Cymru
2011 Keith Davies Welsh Labour
2016 Lee Waters Welsh Labour and Co-operative

Results

Elections in the 2020s
2021 Senedd election: Llanelli[1][2]
Party Candidate Constituency Regional[3]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour Lee Waters[lower-alpha 1] 13,930 46.1 +9.6 12,387 41.4 +4.0
Plaid Cymru Helen Mary Jones[lower-alpha 2] 8,255 27.3 -7.9 8,149 27.3 -3.5
Conservative Stefan Ryszewski 4,947 16.4 +9.5 5,122 17.1 +9.1
UKIP Howard Lillyman 722 2.4 -12.3 529 1.8 -12.4
Reform UK Gareth Beer 672 2.2 New 398 1.3 New
Liberal Democrats Jonathan Buree 606 2.0 +0.7 624 2.1 +1.0
Gwlad Siân Caiach 544 1.8 New 372 1.2 New
Independent Shahana Najmi 542 1.8 New
Green 901 3.0 +1.9
Abolish 855 2.9 +0.3
Christian 194 0.6 New
Freedom Alliance (UK) 160 0.5 New
Propel 90 0.3 New
Communist 64 0.2 0.0
TUSC 58 0.2 New
Majority 5,675 18.8 +17.5
Turnout 30,218 48.14[4] +1.0
Labour hold Swing
Notes
  1. Incumbent member for this constituency
  2. Incumbent member on the party list, or for another constituency

Elections in the 2010s
Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Llanelli
Party Candidate Constituency[5] Regional[6]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour Lee Waters 10,267 36.5 -3.2 10,492 37.4 -1.4
Plaid Cymru Helen Mary Jones 9,885 35.2 -4.2 8,648 30.8 -3.9
UKIP Kenneth Rees 4,132 14.7 New 3,996 14.2 New
Conservative Stefan Ryszewski 1,937 6.9 -4.1 2,257 8.0 -3.6
Putting Llanelli First Siân Caiach 1,113 4.0 -3.7
Green Guy Smith 427 1.5 New 521 1.9 New
Liberal Democrats Gemma Bowker 355 1.3 -0.8 297 1.1 -1.5
Abolish 716 2.6 New
People First (Wales) 710 2.5 New
Monster Raving Loony 138 0.5 New
Welsh Christian 169 0.6 -0.5
Association of Welsh Independents 74 0.3 New
Communist 56 0.2 -0.1
Majority 382 1.3 +1.0
Turnout 28,116 47.1 +2.5
Labour hold Swing +0.6
Welsh Assembly Election 2011: Llanelli
Party Candidate Constituency[7] Regional[8]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour Keith Davies 10,359 39.7 +3.6 10,119 38.8 +6.3
Plaid Cymru Helen Mary Jones 10,279 39.4 -10.7 9,045 34.7 -5.8
Conservative Andrew Morgan 2,880 11.0 +1.1 3,036 11.6 +1.5
Putting Llanelli First Siân Caiach 2,004 7.7 New
Liberal Democrats Cheryl Philpott 548 2.1 -1.7 682 2.6 -0.9
UKIP 1,014 3.9 +1.1
Socialist Labour 727 2.8 +1.5
Green 599 2.3 -0.4
BNP 480 1.8 -2.4
Welsh Christian 284 1.1 +0.3
Communist 79 0.3 0.0
Majority 80 0.3 N/A
Turnout 26,070 44.6 +3.0
Labour gain from Plaid Cymru Swing +7.2

Regional ballots rejected: 136[9]

Elections in the 2000s
Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Llanelli
Party Candidate Constituency [10] Regional[11]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Plaid Cymru Helen Mary Jones 13,839 50.1 +7.3 11,119 40.5 +5.5
Labour Catherine Thomas 9,955 36.1 -6.7 8,913 32.5 -9.6
Conservative Andrew D Morgan 2,757 10.0 +2.6 2,768 10.1 -2.2
Liberal Democrats Jeremy N Townsend 1,051 3.8 -3.3 960 3.5 -3.6
BNP 1,166 4.2 New
UKIP 768 2.8 +1.1
Green 732 2.7 -0.1
Socialist Labour 349 1.3 New
Welsh Christian 213 0.8 New
Gwynoro Jones - Independent 186 0.7 New
Caroline Evans - Independent 100 0.4 New
Veritas 61 0.2 New
Communist 69 0.3 New
CPA 55 0.2 New
Majority 3,698 13.8 N/A
Turnout 26,889 41.6 -6.2
Plaid Cymru gain from Labour Swing -8.8
Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Llanelli
Party Candidate Constituency Regional[12]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Labour Catherine Thomas 9,916 42.8 +3.1 9,761 42.1 +5.2
Plaid Cymru Helen Mary Jones 9,895 42.8 -0.7 8,136 35.1 -9.0
Conservative Gareth John Jones 1,712 7.4 +0.8 1,830 7.9 +1.3
Liberal Democrats Kenneth Denver Rees 1,644 6.1 -3.2 1,648 7.1 -0.7
Green 659 2.8 Unknown
Mid and West Wales Pensioners 461 2.0 New
UKIP 396 1.7 New
Cymru Annibynnol 150 0.6 New
Vote 2 Stop the War 75 0.3 New
ProLife Alliance 60 0.3 New
Majority 21 0.0 N/A
Turnout 23,167 40.3 -8.6
Labour gain from Plaid Cymru Swing +1.3

2003 Electorate: 33,742
Regional ballots rejected: 166

Elections in the 1990s
Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Llanelli
Party Candidate Constituency Regional
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Plaid Cymru Helen Mary Jones 11,973 42.1 N/A 12,540 44.1 N/A
Labour Co-op Ann Garrard 11,285 39.7 N/A 10,485 36.9 N/A
Liberal Democrats Tim R. Dumper 2,920 10.3 N/A 2,210 7.8 N/A
Conservative Barrie Harding 1,864 6.6 N/A 1,870 6.6 N/A
Independent Anthony G. Popham 345 1.3 N/A
Other list parties 1,317 4.6 N/A
Majority 688 2.4 N/A
Turnout 28,387 48.9 N/A
Plaid Cymru win (new seat)

References
  1. Llanelli Statement of Persons Nominated
  2. The full Senedd election 2021 result 2021 for Llanelli as Lee Waters wins record majority
  3. "Senedd Cymru Elections: Mid and West Wales region - Llanelli". Camarthenshire Council. Retrieved 29 July 2021.
  4. Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 20 November 2021.
  5. "Wales elections > Llanelli". BBC News. 6 May 2016.
  6. "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
  7. "Wales elections > Llanelli". BBC News. 6 May 2016.
  8. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales Election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 30 October 2021.
  9. "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
  10. Election results – 2007 Archived 9 May 2011 at the Wayback Machine, National Assembly for Wales
  11. "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 1 August 2021.
  12. The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 1 August 2021.

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