Milstein method

In mathematics, the Milstein method is a technique for the approximate numerical solution of a stochastic differential equation. It is named after Grigori N. Milstein who first published it in 1974.[1][2]

Description

Consider the autonomous Itō stochastic differential equation:

with initial condition , where stands for the Wiener process, and suppose that we wish to solve this SDE on some interval of time . Then the Milstein approximation to the true solution is the Markov chain defined as follows:

  • partition the interval into equal subintervals of width :
  • set
  • recursively define for by:
    where denotes the derivative of with respect to and:
    are independent and identically distributed normal random variables with expected value zero and variance . Then will approximate for , and increasing will yield a better approximation.

Note that when , i.e. the diffusion term does not depend on , this method is equivalent to the Euler–Maruyama method.

The Milstein scheme has both weak and strong order of convergence, , which is superior to the Euler–Maruyama method, which in turn has the same weak order of convergence, , but inferior strong order of convergence, .[3]

Intuitive derivation

For this derivation, we will only look at geometric Brownian motion (GBM), the stochastic differential equation of which is given by:

with real constants and . Using Itō's lemma we get:

Thus, the solution to the GBM SDE is:

where

See numerical solution is presented above for three different trajectories.[4]

Numerical solution for the stochastic differential equation just presented, the drift is twice the diffusion coefficient.

Computer implementation

The following Python code implements the Milstein method and uses it to solve the SDE describing the Geometric Brownian Motion defined by

# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
# Milstein Method

import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

num_sims = 1  # One Example

# One Second and thousand grid points
t_init, t_end = 0, 1
N = 1000 # Compute 1000 grid points
dt = float(t_end - t_init) / N

## Initial Conditions
y_init = 1
μ, σ = 3, 1

# dw Random process
def dW(Δt):
    """Random sample normal distribution"""
    return np.random.normal(loc=0.0, scale=np.sqrt(Δt))

# vectors to fill
ts = np.arange(t_init, t_end + dt, dt)
ys = np.zeros(N + 1)
ys[0] = y_init

# Loop
for _ in range(num_sims):
    for i in range(1, ts.size):
        t = (i - 1) * dt
        y = ys[i - 1]
        # Milstein method
        dw_ = dW(dt)
        ys[i] = y + μ * dt * y + σ * y * dw_ + 0.5 * σ**2 * y * (dw_**2 - dt)
    plt.plot(ts, ys)

# Plot
plt.xlabel("time (s)")
plt.grid()
h = plt.ylabel("y")
h.set_rotation(0)
plt.show()

See also

References

  1. Mil'shtein, G. N. (1974). "Approximate integration of stochastic differential equations". Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya (in Russian). 19 (3): 583–588.
  2. Mil’shtein, G. N. (1975). "Approximate Integration of Stochastic Differential Equations". Theory of Probability & Its Applications. 19 (3): 557–000. doi:10.1137/1119062.
  3. V. Mackevičius, Introduction to Stochastic Analysis, Wiley 2011
  4. Umberto Picchini, SDE Toolbox: simulation and estimation of stochastic differential equations with Matlab. http://sdetoolbox.sourceforge.net/

Further reading

  • Kloeden, P.E., & Platen, E. (1999). Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations. Springer, Berlin. ISBN 3-540-54062-8.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
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