Rolling blackout

Rolling blackouts are a common or even a normal daily event in many developing countries,[1] where electricity generation capacity is underfunded or infrastructure is poorly managed. In well managed under-capacity systems blackouts are planned and schedules are published in advance to allow people to work around them. In poorly managed systems they happen without warning, typically whenever the transmission frequency falls below the 'safe' limit.

These have wide-ranging impacts, and can effect the expectations of communities—for example—in Ghana dumsor describes the widespread expectations for intermittent unexpected power outages due to rolling blackouts.

Rolling blackouts in developed countries sometimes occur due to economic forces at the expense of system reliability (such as in the 2000–01 California energy crisis),[11][12] or during natural disasters such as heat waves.[13] In California rolling blackouts occurred in June 2000 and in January, March and May 2001.[14] The 2021 Texas power crisis involved rolling blackouts caused by the February 13–17, 2021 North American winter storm and lack of winterization.[15] The Late December 2022 North American winter storm resulted in rolling blackouts in parts of the eastern US.[16][17][18]

Intermittent access to electricity causes major economic problems for businesses, which incur costs in the form of lost resources, reduced patronage, or curtailed production if electrical equipment—for example refrigeration, lighting, or machinery—abruptly stops working.[21] Businesses in areas that are subject to regular blackouts may invest in backup power generation to avoid these costs, but power backup is itself a cost because generators must be purchased and maintained and fuel must be regularly replenished.

When blackouts are scheduled in advance, they are easier to work around.[22]

The speed at which blackouts roll may be adjusted so that no blackout lasts longer than a certain limit. For instance, in Italy, the PESSE (Piano di Emergenza per la Sicurezza del Sistema Electrico, Emergency plan for national grid safety) does not permit a controlled blackout longer than 90 minutes. In Canada, blackouts have been rolled so that no area had to spend more than one hour without power.[23][24]

In some countries, generating capacity is chronically below demand.[25][26][27][22] Assorted factors may prevent adequate investment in generation.[28] Alternately, generating capacity may temporarily decrease below demand due to power station outages[29] or loss of renewable capacity due to the wind dropping[24] or the sun shining less.[30] Natural disasters can also abruptly reduce supply by damaging power plants.[28] A lack of fuel makes some types of power plant useless.[31] Industrial accidents and poor maintenance can also take generation capacity offline.[32][33] Conflict can disrupt fuel supply,[34] as well as damage or destroy generating and delivery infrastructure.[35][10]

In electricity grids where power generators are paid a flexible market rate, power suppliers sometimes deliberately keep the generating capacity too low, or fake accidents that take capacity offline, to jack up prices.[36][24]

Demand spikes can also cause blackouts. Unusually hot[22][37] or cold weather[38][39][40][23] can cause demand spikes.

In the case of South Africa, failing and aged infrastructure, lack of maintenance and alleged corruption in the country's African National Congress-led government in the running of their primary electricity provider, Eskom, is the direct cause of rolling blackouts.