Russian National Wealth Fund
The Russian National Wealth Fund (Russian: Фонд национального благосостояния России) is Russia's sovereign wealth fund. It was created after the Stabilization Fund of the Russian Federation was split into two separate investment funds on 30 January 2008.
Native name | Фонд национального благосостояния России |
---|---|
Industry | Sovereign wealth fund |
Founded | 2008 |
Total assets | $148.4 bn (January 2023) |
Website | minfin |
Fund development
The two funds were the Reserve Fund, which was invested abroad in low-yield securities and used when oil and gas incomes fall, and the National Wealth Fund, which invests in riskier, higher return vehicles, as well as federal budget expenditures. The Reserve Fund was given $125 billion and the National Wealth Fund (NWF) was given $32 billion. The Reserve fund was exhausted by 2017. The Reserve fund had been depleted by budget deficits and the low oil price prices and it was emptied by the end of 2017 [1] and ceased to exist, leaving the National Wealth Fund as the sole reserve fund.
In October 2008 the National Wealth Fund was permitted to invest in shares on the Russian Stock market, to support the country’s financial markets by buying shares in Russian companies, until December 2009. Support was also provided from the NWF to Russian banks, making the NWF a “lender of last resort” to banks. [2]
One of the fund's main responsibilities is to support the Russian pension system,[3] and since the closure of the Reserve Fund also funds budget deficits.
Once the NWF's liquid assets exceeds 7% of GDP, the Government can use monies from the NWF, as it proposed to do in 2020 to fund infrastructure projects .[4]
Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 1 trillion rubles ($10 billion) was ordered to be invested by the NWF in shares in Russian companies to support the stock markets and aid Russian companies.[5] In January 2023 changes were proposed to allow "anti-crisis" investments to be made, with a cap of 4.25 trillion roubles ($61.24 billion) on these investments, irrespective of liquidity levels in the Fund which at that date stood at $87.2 billion, or 4.6% of GDP.[6]
For 2024, Russia has changed the rules, so that the expected 2024 11.5 trillion rubles of oil revenue will first go to the Russian budget with just 1.8 trillion rubles being given to the National Wealth Fund in 2025.[7]
Overview
The National Wealth Fund will receive funds from investment returns and any excess funds from oil and gas revenues.[3] The existence of the NWF helps with the credit rating for Russia, by providing a reserve to provide "resilience to short-term shocks".[8]
According to the Russian Ministry of Finance, the foreign debt securities the fund can invest in must have credit ratings of AA- or higher by Fitch or Standard & Poor's, or a rating of Aa3 by Moody's.[3] Despite this, the fund agreed to buy (on 17 December 2013) $15 billion of Ukrainian Eurobonds, despite the fact that Ukraine had lower credit ratings at the time.[3][9][10]
The NWF stands out from other global funds with it gathering investments into the national economy itself instead investing everything overseas, so it can provide a boost to the slow modernization of Russian infrastructure in a time of otherwise anemic investment. Other countries like Indonesia are following the Russian example in running a National Wealth Fund it is reported in 2020.[3] Of course, because of a lack of a real "hard currency" reserve, the fund can quickly lose value in a case of internal crisis.
Administration
The National Wealth fund is controlled by the Ministry of Finance.
In 2020 the NWF bought 50% +1 share in Sberbank from Russia's Central Bank.[11]
Expenses of the NWF are limited in 2023-2025 to 8 trillion rubles ($114 billion)[12]
Funds comprise liquid assets and long term investments. In December 2022 long term investments stood at 4.3 trillion rubles, with liquid assets at 6.1 trillion rubles.[13]
Previously holding liquid assets in US dollars, Euros, UK Pounds, Yen, Yuan and Gold, Russia began selling some Sterling and all the US dollars in the summer of 2021,[14] whilst buying Yuan to reach 30% and Euros to reach 40%, Sterling and Yen each at 5% and Gold 20% of the liquid fund value. After the start of the Ukraine war, Russia then decided to close the Euro holdings aiming to achieve this before the end of 2023 in favour of Chinese yuan, which would be limited to 60% of the fund value, with gold limited to 40% of the liquid fund value.[15]
Major changes in National Wealth Fund values
- In the second half of 2019, the effect of an OPEC+ agreement to increase oil prices resulted in Russia receiving a high level of revenues, allowing 4.04 trillion rubles ($65.1 billion) to be added to the NWF.[16]
- In 2020, despite COVID-19 effects on the economy the NWF values increased by 50%, helped by high oil prices, a surplus in the Russian budget in 2019 and an investment in Sberbank. NWF purchased 50% +1 shares in 2020 for 2.14 trillion rubles.[17]
- In 2022, with very high oil prices, additional funds would normally have been added to the Fund, however with the cost of the war with Ukraine, in October $16.2 billion was withdrawn from the $127.9 billion liquid portion of the NWF.
- In 2023, the budget deficit in December 2022 of 3.8 trillion rubles (€49.4 billion)[18] and the effect of the 2022 Russian crude oil price cap sanctions required $38.1 billion to be withdrawn, with further withdrawals expected in 2023 as a result of the continuing sanctions over crude oil.
- Russia expects to spend 2.9 trillion roubles in 2023 to cover budget deficits.
Size of the fund and historic numbers
Source by the Ministry of Finance of Russia:[19]
National Wealth Fund value | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | billions of $ | billions of ₽ | % of GDP | liquid assets ₽b | Ref. |
1 February 2008 | 32.000 | 783.310 | 1.9% | [19] | |
1 January 2009 | 87.970 | 2 584.490 | 6.3% | [19] | |
1 January 2010 | 91.560 | 2 769.020 | 7.1% | [19] | |
1 January 2011 | 88.440 | 2 695.520 | 5.8% | [19] | |
1 January 2012 | 86.790 | 2 794.430 | 4.6% | [19] | |
1 January 2013 | 88.590 | 2 690.630 | 4.0% | [19] | |
1 January 2014 | 88.630 | 2 900.640 | 4.0% | [19][20] | |
1 January 2015 | 78.000 | 4 388.090 | 5.3% | [19][20] | |
1 January 2016 | 71.720 | 5 227.18 | 6.1% | [19][20] | |
1 January 2017 | 71.870 | 4 359.160 | 4.7% | [19][20] | |
1 January 2018 | 65.150 | 3 752.940 | 3.6% | [19][20] | |
1 January 2019 | 58.100 | 4 036.05 | 3.7% | 4036.0 | [19][20] |
1 January 2020 | 125.560 | 7 773.06 | 7.3% | [20] | |
1 January 2021 | 183.360 | 13 545.66 | 11.7% | 8659.0 | [21] |
1 November 2021 | 197.750 | 13 945.07 | 12.1% | ||
1 February 2022 | 174.900 | 13 610.27 | 10.2% | ||
1 August 2022 | 201.000 | 12 155.00 | 9.1% | [22] | |
1 October 2022 | 187.900 | 10 792.0 | 8.1% | 7 873.0 | [23] |
1 January 2023 | 148.400 | 10 434.58 | 7.8% | [24][25] | |
1 February 2023 | 155.300 | 10 807.60 | 7.2% | [26] | |
1 March 2023 | 147.200 | 11 106.40 | 7.4% | 6 450.0 | [27] |
1 April 2023 | 154.500 | 12 281.9 | 7.9% | 6 710.0 | [28] |
1 May 2023 | 162.000 | 12 475.6 | 8.3% | 6 820.0 | [29] |
1 June 2023 | 153.100 | 12 356.7 | 8.2% | 6 640.0 | [30] |
1 July 2023 | 145.580 | 12 670.27 | 8.4% | [31] | |
1 August 2023 | 146.300 | 13 313.0 | 8.9% | 7 183.0 | [32] |
1 September 2023 | 142.800 | 13 704.0 | 9.1% | 7 252.0 | [33] |
1 October 2023 | 140.106 | 13 648.0 | 9.1% | 7 140.0 | [34] |
Major reductions in the National Wealth Fund liquid assets
Withdrawals | |||
---|---|---|---|
Date | billions of $ | reason | Ref. |
June 2020 | 12.5 | to cover budget deficit | [35] |
March 2022 | 10.0 | to buy Russian company shares | [36] |
October 2022 | 16.2 | to cover budget deficit | [37] |
January 2023 | 38.1 | to cover budget deficit | [38] |
March 2023 | 7.0 | to cover budget deficit | [39] |
Sanctions
Following the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, several countries imposed economic sanctions on Russian banks, individuals and companies. On February 22, 2022, United States President Joe Biden announced new restrictions on activities involving the National Wealth Fund.[40] The EU adopted sanctions in its 10th package in February 2023.[41]
Assets in June 2023 include €9 billion that is frozen in foreign banks by sanctions.[42]
See also
References
- "Reserve Fund runs dry". 29 January 2018.
- "Sovereign Wealth Funds as domestic investors of last resort during crises". Retrieved 13 April 2023.
- Ukraine bailout could derail Putin's drive to boost Russian economy, Financial Times (18 December 2013)
- "Russia proposes $15.7 bln spend from National Wealth Fund in 2020-2022". Reuters. 2 December 2019.
- "Russia to spend up to $10 billion from rainy-day fund on buying Russian shares, source says". Reuters. 1 March 2022.
- "Russia Eyes End to Liquidity Caps on Wealth Fund 'Anti-Crisis' Spending". 26 January 2023.
- "Russia to make extra $17.7 bln in energy revenues available to budget next year". 25 September 2023.
- "Russia: This annex refers to the release of the rating action of 29 October 2021". 29 October 2021.
- Russia cuts Ukraine gas price by a third, BBC News (17 December 2013)
- Ukraine to issue Eurobonds; Russia will purchase $15 bln, says Russian finance minister, Interfax-Ukraine (17 December 2013)
- "Сбербанк могут продать без закона". Газета Коммерсантъ. Retrieved 11 November 2015.
- "Russia to replenish National Wealth Fund in yuan from 2023 — Finance Ministry". 27 December 2022.
- "Russian economy in 2022. Adaptation and a growing budget gap". 16 February 2023.
- "Russia to convert around $40 bln from National Wealth Fund, says Accounts Chamber head". 10 June 2021.
- "Russia to remove euro from National Wealth Fund". 9 February 2023.
- "Effect from OPEC+ deal was main cause of NWF doubling in 2019 — wealth fund". 22 January 2020.
- "Russia's relative resilience: Why Putin feels vindicated by the pandemic". 17 December 2020.
- "War unbudgeted for". 29 January 2023.
- "Ministry of Finance Russia, STATISTICS". Retrieved 25 December 2019.
- "RUSSIAN ECONOMY IN 2019 TRENDS AND OUTLOOKS (Issue 41)" (PDF). Retrieved 14 April 2023.
- "The volume of the Russian National Wealth Fund tops $183.93bn as gold overtakes dollar asset for first time". 15 January 2021.
- "Russian National Wealth Fund up almost $23 bln in July to over $200 bln, ministry says". 8 August 2022.
- "Russia's National Wealth Fund increased by 582 bln rubles in Oct to 11.37 trln rubles, liquid part at 5.9% of GDP". 8 November 2022.
- "Russia's National Wealth Fund at $148 billion at Jan 1 - Finance Ministry". euronews. 19 January 2023.
- "Russia | National Wealth Fund: Total Amount | CEIC". www.ceicdata.com. Retrieved 18 March 2023.
- "Russia | National Wealth Fund: Total Amount | CEIC". www.ceicdata.com. Retrieved 18 March 2023.
- "Russia | National Wealth Fund: Total Amount | CEIC". www.ceicdata.com. Retrieved 18 March 2023.
- "Russia's National Wealth Fund up $7 bn to $154.5 bln - finance ministry". 5 April 2023.
- "Russia's National Wealth Fund totals $162 bln as of May 1 — finance ministry". 5 May 2023.
- "Russia National Wealth Fund edges down to $153bln on June 1". 2 June 2023.
- Ministry of Finance (20 July 2023). "Volume of the National Wealth Fund".
- "NWF stands at $146.3 bln as of August 1 — Russian Finance Ministry". 4 August 2023.
- "Russia's National Wealth Fund up 390 bln rubles to 13.704 trln rubles in Aug, liquid assets 4.8% of GDP". 6 September 2023.
- "Russia's National Wealth Fund down 55.3 bln rubles to 13.65 trln rubles in Sept, liquid assets 4.8% of GDP". 5 October 2023.
- "BETTER ARMED TO HANDLE THE SHOCK". Retrieved 13 April 2023.
- "Russia to Spend up to $10 Billion From Rainy-Day Fund on Buying Russian Shares, Source Says". 1 March 2022.
- "Russia raids wealth fund to cover country's budget deficit". 20 October 2022.
- "Russia rainy day fund shrinks by $38 bln as government plugs deficit". Reuters. 18 January 2023.
- "Russia's National Wealth Fund up $7 bln to $154.5 bln in March - finmin". Reuters. 5 April 2023.
- "Fact Sheet: United States Imposes First Tranche of Swift and Severe Costs on Russia". The White House. 22 February 2022. Retrieved 23 February 2022.
- "EU adopts 10th package of sanctions against Russia". 20 March 2023.
- "Russia sells gold and yuan from its National Wealth Fund to finance budget deficit". 5 June 2023.