Next Indian general election
The next Indian general election is expected to be held in India between April and May 2024 to elect the members of the 18th Lok Sabha.
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543 seats in the Lok Sabha 272 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Seats by constituency. As this is a FPTP election, seat totals are not determined proportional to each party's total vote share, but instead by the plurality in each constituency. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
The tenure of Lok Sabha is scheduled to end on 16 June 2024.[1] The previous general elections were held in April–May 2019. After the election, National Democratic Alliance, led by Bharatiya Janata Party, formed the union government, with Narendra Modi continuing as Prime Minister.[2]
Electoral system
All 543 elected MPs are elected from single-member constituencies using first-past-the-post voting.[3] The 104th amendment to the constitution abolished the two seats that were reserved for the Anglo-Indian community.[4]
Eligible voters must be Indian citizens, 18 years or older, an ordinary resident of the polling area of the constituency and registered to vote (name included in the electoral rolls), possess a valid voter identification card issued by the Election Commission of India or equivalent.[5] Some people convicted of electoral or other offenses are barred from voting.[6]
Article 83 of the Constitution of India requires elections to the Lok Sabha be held once every five years.[7]
Election schedule
Election schedule for 18th Lok Sabha will be announced by Election Commission of India (ECI). The tenure of 17th Lok Sabha is scheduled to end on 16 June 2024.[8]
Parties and alliances
Most of the contesting parties are small with regional appeal. There are 6 national parties — Bharatiya Janata Party, Indian National Congress, Communist Party of India (Marxist), Bahujan Samaj Party, National People's Party and Aam Aadmi Party.
National Democratic Alliance
The National Democratic Alliance abbreviated as NDA (IAST: Rāṣhṭrīya Jānātānātrik Gaṭhabandhan) is a big-tent, mostly centre-right to right-wing political alliance led by the Bharatiya Janata Party.
Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance
The Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance is a big-tent, mostly centre-left to left-wing political alliance of opposition parties led by the Indian National Congress.[27][28]
The following is the seat sharing summary for Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance's candidates in 2024 Indian general election.
Bahujan Samaj Party +
Bahujan Samaj Party leader Mayawati announced that her party will contest the election on its own strength in most states and ally with other non-BJP, non-Congress parties in Punjab and Haryana.[29][30]
| Party | Symbol | Leader | States/UTs | Seats | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Won | Lost | Contested | |||||
| Bahujan Samaj Party |  |
Mayawati | National party | ||||
| Shiromani Akali Dal |  |
Sukhbir Singh Badal | Punjab | ||||
| Indian National Lok Dal |  |
Abhay Singh Chautala | Haryana | ||||
| Gondwana Ganatantra Party |  |
Hira Singh Markam | Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh | ||||
Unallied regional parties
On 11 May 2023, Biju Janata Dal leader and Chief Minister of Odisha Naveen Patnaik said that his party will go solo for the Lok Sabha polls.[31]
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Party campaigns
Bharatiya Janata Party
The national executive meeting of BJP held on 16 and 17 January 2023 saw the party reaffirm its faith in Prime Minister Narendra Modi and extend the tenure of BJP national president J. P. Nadda.
Charting out the BJP’s strategy for the upcoming polls, PM Modi in his speech to party workers said they should reach out to every section of society, including the marginalised and minority communities, “without electoral considerations”.[32]
Indian National Congress
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
Candidates
Surveys and polls
According to an India TV-CNX poll released on 03 October 2023, 61% of participants preferred the incumbent Narendra Modi (BJP) followed by Rahul Gandhi (INC) at 21% as the next Prime Minister of India.[33]
Opinion polls
| Polling agency | Date published | Sample size | Margin of Error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | I.N.D.I.A. | Others | |||||
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[34][35] | 54,250 | ±3% | ||||
| Times Now-ETG | October 2023[36] | 135,100 | ±3% | 42.6 | 40.2 | 17.2 | 2.4 |
| August 2023[37][38] | 110,662 | ±3% | 42.6 | 40.2 | 17.2 | 2.4 |
| Polling agency | Date published | Sample size | Margin of Error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | I.N.D.I.A. | Others | |||||
| India TV-CNX | October 2023[34][35] | 54,250 | ±3% | 315 | 172 | 56 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | October 2023[36] | 135,100 | ±3% | 297-317 | 165-185 | 81-41 | NDA |
| August 2023[37][38] | 110,662 | ±3% | 296-326 | 160-190 | 56-64 | NDA |
Exit polls
| Polling agency | Date published | Sample size | Margin of Error | Majority | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | I.N.D.I.A. | Others | |||||
Results
See also
References
- "Terms of the Houses". Election Commission of India. Retrieved 7 March 2022.
- "Narendra Modi sworn in as Prime Minister for second time". Tribuneindia News Service. 30 May 2019. Retrieved 7 March 2022.
- Electoral system Archived 6 May 2017 at the Wayback Machine IPU
- "House ratifies quota for SC/STs in Assembly, Lok Sabha". The Hindu. 10 January 2020. ISSN 0971-751X. Retrieved 19 January 2021.
- "Lok Sabha Election 2019 Phase 3 voting: How to vote without voter ID card". Business Today. 23 April 2019. Archived from the original on 24 May 2019.
- "General Voters". Systematic Voters' Education and Electoral Participation. Archived from the original on 4 January 2019. Retrieved 4 January 2019.
- "The Constitution of India Update" (PDF). Government of India. Retrieved 4 February 2021.
- "The Union Parliament: Term of Office/House". Election Commission of India. Retrieved 12 September 2023.
- "National Democratic Alliance". Britannica.
- "BJP, NPP to form government in Meghalaya". Deccan Herald. 3 March 2023.
- "Shiv Sena is NDA's 'senior ally': Maharashtra CM Eknath Shinde". The Indian Express. 25 July 2023.
- "NCP leader Ajit Pawar joins NDA govt in Maharashtra, takes oath as deputy chief minister". The Times of India. 2 July 2023.
- "JD(S) announces alliance with BJP; Nadda welcomes Karnataka party into NDA fold". The Times of India. 22 September 2023.
- "Chirag Paswan Decides To Join NDA, "Welcome To Family," Says BJP Chief". NDTV. 18 July 2023.
- "Why the two Paswans in NDA are fighting over Hajipur seat". The Indian Express. 24 July 2023.
- "Will attend NDA meet, received invitation a day ago, says former Union minster Upendra Kushwaha". Economic Times. 17 July 2023.
- "Jitan Ram Manjhi's HAM(S) joins BJP-led NDA after meeting with Amit Shah". Hindustan Times. 21 July 2023.
- "AJSU's Yashoda Devi named NDA candidate for Dumri assembly by-polls in Sept". Hinduistan Times. 13 August 2023.
- "As AGP joins hands with BJP again, many in Assam feel betrayed". The Indian Express. 13 March 2019.
- "Amit Shah congratulates ally UPPL as NDA crosses majority mark in BTC polls in Assam". Hindustan Times. 13 December 2020.
- "'NDA will make hat-trick in 2024, no scope of opposition's return':Apna Dal's Anupriya Patel".
- "Healthy seat-sharing pact with BJP on Sanjay Nishad's agenda". Hindustan Times. 26 July 2023.
- "How 'gharwapsi' of OP Rajbhar, Dara Singh Chauhan will bolster BJP's Mission 80 in UP". India Today. 18 July 2023.
- "NDPP-BJP welcomes exit poll prediction, reaffirms alliance to run Nagaland govt". Deccan Herald. 2 March 2023.
- "SKM stakes claim to govt., joins NDA". The Hindu. 26 May 2019.
- "Naga People's Front joins government, Nagaland becomes opposition less". Economic Times. 17 August 2021.
- Kumar, Raju (18 July 2023). "INDIA, Indian National Democratic Inclusive Alliance of Opposition parties, to take on Modi-led NDA in 2024". IndiaTV.
- "'I-N-D-I-A' Name Finalised For 26-Party Opposition Coalition". NDTV.
- "NDA or I.N.D.I.A? BSP chief Mayawati on joining alliance for 2024". Hindustan Times. 19 July 2023. Retrieved 23 July 2023.
- "BJP, SAD rule out re-alliance for 2024 Lok Sabha polls". Retrieved 23 July 2023.
- "BJD to go solo in 2024 Lok Sabha elections, no possibility of 'third front': Naveen Patnaik". 12 May 2023.
- "BJP's big meet ahead of 9 state polls, 2024 Lok Sabha elections: Here's what happened". The Indian Express. 18 January 2023. Retrieved 25 January 2023.
- Bhandari, Shashwat (3 October 2023). "India TV-CNX Survey: 61% of voters prefer Narendra Modi as PM, Rahul Gandhi at 21%". India TV.
- "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: NDA expected to cross 300-mark once again, I.N.D.I.A. bloc to remain distant second". India TV. 7 October 2023.
- "Modi-led NDA may get clear majority with 315 Lok Sabha seats if polls are held now: India TV-CNX Poll". India TV. 8 October 2023.
- "Who Is Likely To Win If Lok Sabha Polls Are Held Today? ETG Survey Reveals : The Newshour Debate". Times Now. 3 October 2023.
- "'Phir Ek Baar, Modi Sarkar', Predicts Times Now ETG Survey if Election Held Today". Times Now. 16 August 2023.
- "2024 का संग्राम: आज चुनाव हुए तो 'एक बार फिर मोदी सरकार', ETG रिसर्च के साथ टाइम्स नाउ नवभारत का सबसे बड़ा सर्वे". Times Now Navbharat (in Hindi). 17 August 2023.
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