2015 French regional elections

Regional elections were held in France on 6 and 13 December 2015. At stake were the regional councils in metropolitan and overseas France including the Corsican Assembly and inaugural seats in the Assembly of French Guiana and Assembly of Martinique, all for a six-year term. The Departmental Council of Mayotte, which also exercises the powers of a region, was the only region not participating in this election, having already been renewed on 2 April 2015. There were 18 regional presidencies at stake, with 13 in mainland France and Corsica, as well as 5 overseas. Though they do not have legislative autonomy, these territorial collectivities manage sizable budgets. Moreover, regional elections are often taken as a mid-term opinion poll.

2015 French regional elections

6 and 13 December 2015

All 17 regional presidencies
All 1,757 regional councillors
All 153 territorial councillors
  First party Second party Third party
 
Nicolas Sarkozy February 2015.jpg
Jean-Christophe Cambadélis 2007 (cropped).jpg
Le Pen, Marine-9586 (cropped).jpg
Leader Nicolas Sarkozy Jean-Christophe Cambadélis Marine Le Pen
Party LR PS FN
Regions won 7 + 1 (UDI) 5 + 1 (GUSR) + 1 (GR) 0
Change Increase 5 Decrease 15 Steady
First round 5,785,073 5,019,723 6,018,672
Percentage 26.65% 23.12% 27.73%
Second round 10,127,196 7,263,567 6,820,147
Percentage 40.24% 28.86% 27.10%

Second round results by region.
  The Republicans and Union of Democrats and Independents
  Socialist Party
  Regionalists
  Miscellaneous left

These elections were the first to be held for the redrawn regions: the 27 regions of France were amalgamated into 18, this went into effect on 1 January 2016.[1][2]

Voting system

The regional elections are held in direct universal suffrage using proportional representation lists. The election is held over two rounds, with majority bonus. The lists must be gender balanced by alternatively have a male candidate and a female candidate from the top to the bottom of the list. Only lists with as many candidates as available seats[3] in every departement of the region may compete. Before 2004, lists could be presented only at the departement level, allowing smaller parties (e.g. Hunting, Fishing, Nature, Tradition, Alsace d'abord, Lutte Ouvrière, Revolutionary Communist League) to be represented as such in the regional councils and thus forcing major parties to enter into negotiations to rule some regions.

Following the 1999 and 2003 electoral reforms, with a first implementation in 2004, a two-round runoff voting system is used to elect the regional presidents.[4] If no party gets at least 50% of the vote in the first round, a second round is held, which any party who got at least 10% in the first round may enter. Lists that obtain at least 5% of the vote in the first round may merge in the second round with a 'qualified list', which includes candidates from each merged list.

At the decisive round (first round if a list won 50%, the second round if not), the leading list receives a premium of 25% of the seats while the remaining seats are distributed among all lists who received at least 5% of votes. Thus, the majority bonus allows a leading list to have an absolute majority of seats in the Regional Council from one-third of votes in the second round. The seats are distributed among the lists at the regional level but within each list, seats are allocated by departement branch in proportion to the number of votes in each department.

Opinion polls

National results

France uses a two-round runoff system to elect the regional presidencies, and as such not all seats contested will see a candidate elected in the first round.

First round

The first round election was held on 6 December 2015.

ListVotesVotes %
Union of the Left5,019,72323.12
Europe Ecology – The Greens1,440,2266.63
Left Front541,4092.49
Miscellaneous left401,5171.85
French Communist Party337,3901.55
Socialist Party62,0700.29
Radical Party of the Left4,2270.02
Total left-wing 7,806,562 35.96
  Union of the Right5,785,07326.65
France Arise827,2623.81
Miscellaneous right142,8360.66
Democratic Movement85,4500.39
The Republicans42,3460.20
Union of Democrats and Independents1,8180.01
Total right-wing 6,884,785 31.72
National Front6,018,67227.73
  Miscellaneous far-right34,0610.16
Total far-right 6,052,733 27.89
  Miscellaneous far-left334,1401.54
  Regionalists273,4311.26
Popular Republican Union189,0460.87
  Miscellaneous ecologists127,4510.59
  Miscellaneous other39,8830.18
Total22,609,602100
Registered voters/turnout45,298,64149.91

Second round

Runoff elections were held on 13 December 2015 in regions where no candidate was able to win outright in the first round.

After the first round, the Socialist Party withdrew its lists in the regions of Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur and Hauts-de-France, where they finished in third place, in an attempt to block the Front National from winning seats in the second round due to split opposition from the centre-left and centre-right blocs.[5] However, despite instructions from the party, the Socialist candidate chose to maintain his list in the region of Le Grand-Est, which similarly had them in third and the FN with a sizable lead after the first round.[6]

The result was a disappointment for the Front National, which was unable to win any of the regional presidencies in the face of concerted tactical voting. However, in both the north and the south, they managed to increase their share of the vote from the first round.[7] Of the 12 regions in mainland France, 7 were won by the Republicans and 5 were retained by the Socialists.[8]

List Votes Votes % Seats Seats %
Union of the Right 10,127,196 40.63 818 42.83
Union of the Left7,263,56729.1452027.23
Miscellaneous left622,3822.501447.54
Socialist Party18,2880.07130.68
Total left-wing 7,904,237 31.71 677 35.45
National Front 6,820,147 27.36 358 18.74
Regionalists 72,829 0.29 57 2.98
Total24,924,4091001914100
Registered voters/turnout44,832,73758.44

By region

The following table shows regional presidents before and after the elections, with merged regions shown alongside the region taking effect in 2016. The candidates on the left were the incumbents, whereas the candidates on the right were those elected (or re-elected) to the new regions. In the case of Corsica and Martinique, multiple presidencies were at stake.

RegionPresident BeforePartyRegionPresident AfterParty
Alsace Philippe Richert LR Grand Est Philippe Richert LR
Champagne-Ardenne Jean-Paul Bachy DVG
Lorraine Jean-Pierre Masseret PS
Aquitaine Alain Rousset PS Nouvelle-Aquitaine Alain Rousset PS
Limousin Gérard Vandenbroucke PS
Poitou-Charentes Jean-François Macaire PS
Auvergne René Souchon PS Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes Laurent Wauquiez LR
Rhône-Alpes Jean-Jack Queyranne PS
Burgundy François Patriat PS Bourgogne-Franche-Comté Marie-Guite Dufay PS
Franche-Comté Marie-Guite Dufay PS
Brittany Pierrick Massiot PS Brittany Jean-Yves Le Drian PS
Centre-Val de Loire François Bonneau PS Centre-Val de Loire François Bonneau PS
Corsica Assembly Dominique Bucchini PCF Corsica Assembly Jean-Guy Talamoni CL
Executive Council Paul Giacobbi DVG Executive Council Gilles Simeoni FC
French Guiana Regional Council Rodolphe Alexandre GR French Guiana Assembly Rodolphe Alexandre GR
General Council Alain Tien-Liong MDES
Guadeloupe Victorin Lurel PS Guadeloupe Ary Chalus GUSR
Île-de-France Jean-Paul Huchon PS Île-de-France Valérie Pécresse LR
Languedoc-Roussilon Damien Alary PS Occitania (administrative region) Carole Delga PS
Midi-Pyrénées Martin Malvy PS
Réunion Didier Robert LR Réunion Didier Robert LR
Martinique Regional Council Serge Letchimy PPM Martinique Assembly Claude Lise RDM
General Council Josette Manin BPM Executive Council Alfred Marie-Jeanne MIM
Nord-Pas-de-Calais Daniel Percheron PS Hauts-de-France Xavier Bertrand LR
Picardy Claude Gewerc PS
Lower Normandy Laurent Beauvais PS Normandy Hervé Morin UDI
Upper Normandy Nicolas Mayer-Rossignol PS
Pays de la Loire Jacques Auxiette PS Pays de la Loire Bruno Retailleau LR
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur Michel Vauzelle PS Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur Christian Estrosi LR

The following table shows each major party's performance by region. The bolded candidates received the most votes, and were thus elected president of their respective regions.

Region Union of the Right Union of the Left National Front Regionalists
Auvergne-Rhône-AlpesLaurent Wauquiez
1,201,528 (40.61%)
Jean-Jack Queyranne
1,089,791 (36.84%)
Christophe Boudot
667,084 (22.55%)
Bourgogne-Franche-ComtéFrançois Sauvadet
382,177 (32.89%)
Marie-Guite Dufay
402,941 (34.68%)
Sophie Montel
376,902 (32.44%)
BrittanyMarc Le Fur
387.836 (29.72%)
Jean-Yves Le Drian
670,754 (51.41%)
Gilles Pennelle
246,177 (18.87%)
Centre-Val de LoirePhilippe Vigier
355,475 (34.58%)
François Bonneau
364,211 (35.43%)
Philippe Loiseau
308,422 (30.0%)
CorsicaJosé Rossi
40,480 (27.07%)
Paul Giacobbi
42,607 (28.09%)
Christophe Canioni
13,599 (9.09%)
Gilles Simeoni
52,839 (35.34%)
French GuianaRodolphe Alexandre
21,163 (54.55%)
Alain Tien-Liong
17,361 (45.45%)
Grand EstPhilippe Richert
1,060,029 (48.4%)
Jean-Pierre Masseret
339,749 (15.51%)
Florian Philippot
790,141 (36.08%)
GuadeloupeVictorin Lurel
72,721 (42.48)
Ary Chalus[9]
98,464 (57.42%)
Hauts-de-FranceXavier Bertrand
1,389,316 (57.7%)
WithdrewMarine Le Pen
1,015,649 (42.23%)
Île-de-FranceValérie Pécresse
1,629,249 (43.8%)
Claude Bartolone
1,569,093 (42.18%)
Wallerand de Saint-Just
521,383 (14.02%)
MartiniqueSerge Letchimy
70,776 (45.86%)
Alfred Marie-Jeanne
83,541 (54.14%)
NormandyHervé Morin
495,591 (36.43%)
Nicolas Mayer-Rossignol
490,840 (36.08%)
Nicolas Bay
374,089 (27.5%)
Nouvelle-AquitaineVirginie Calmels
798,142 (34.06%)
Alain Rousset
1,037,330 (44.27%)
Jacques Colombier
507,660 (21.67%)
OccitanieDominique Reynié
520,011 (21.32%)
Carole Delga
1,092,969 (48.81%)
Louis Aliot
826,023 (33.87%)
Pays de la LoireBruno Retailleau
620,245 (42.7%)
Christophe Clergeau
545,637 (37.56%)
Pascal Gannat
286,723 (19.74%)
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'AzurChristian Estrosi
1,073,485 (54.78%)
WithdrewMarion Maréchal
886,147 (45.22%)
RéunionDidier Robert
173,592 (52.69%)
Huguette Bello
155,896 (47.31%)

References

  1. La carte à 13 régions définitivement adoptée, Le Monde, 17 December 2014, accessed 2 January 2015
  2. "LOI n° 2015–29 du 16 janvier 2015 relative à la délimitation des régions, aux élections régionales et départementales et modifiant le calendrier électoral – Legifrance". Retrieved 13 December 2015.
  3. also compulsory in French municipal elections
  4. "French regional elections results". France in the United Kingdom - La France au Royaume-Uni. Archived from the original on 2017-09-19. Retrieved 2017-09-19.
  5. Siraud, Mathilde (6 December 2015). "Face au FN, le PS choisit le "barrage républicain" contre l'avis de ses candidats". Le Figaro (in French). Retrieved 7 December 2015.
  6. "Régionales/Grand-Est: Masseret (PS) maintient sa liste". Le Figaro (in French). 7 December 2015. Retrieved 7 December 2015.
  7. "France's far-right National Front loses a round, but they will be back". The Economist. 13 December 2015. Retrieved 14 December 2015.
  8. "Elections régionales : Les résultats, région par région". Le Monde.fr. 13 December 2015.
  9. Whilst not strictly a regionalist platform, Ary Chalus' list included a combination of local parties, socialists and conservative dissidents opposed to the list of the Socialist Party and its allies.
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