2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary
The 49 delegates from Virginia to the Republican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the popular vote.[1] Donald Trump edged out a narrow plurality of pledged delegates, with Marco Rubio coming in second place and Ted Cruz placing in a distant third.
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 Virginia results by county
Donald Trump Marco Rubio | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Virginia |
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The Virginia Democratic presidential primary occurred on the same day.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 356,840 | 34.80% | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| Marco Rubio | 327,918 | 31.98% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| Ted Cruz | 171,150 | 16.69% | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| John Kasich | 97,784 | 9.54% | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Ben Carson | 60,228 | 5.87% | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 3,645 | 0.36% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 2,917 | 0.28% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 1,458 | 0.14% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,102 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 914 | 0.09% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) | 653 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) | 444 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 399 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 1,025,452 | 100.00% | 49 | 0 | 49 |
Polling
- Winner
Donald Trump- Primary date
- March 1, 2016
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [1] | March 1, 2016 | Donald Trump 34.80% |
Marco Rubio 31.98% |
Ted Cruz 16.69% |
John Kasich 9.54%, Ben Carson 5.87%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Rand Paul 0.28%, Mike Huckabee 0.14%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Jim Gilmore 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, Rick Santorum 0.04% |
| CBS/YouGov[3]
Margin of error: ± 8.6% Sample size: 481 |
February 22–26, 2016 | Donald Trump 40% |
Marco Rubio 27% |
Ted Cruz 22% |
John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Undecided 1% |
| Monmouth University[4]
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 421 |
February 22–24, 2016 | Donald Trump 41% |
Marco Rubio 27% |
Ted Cruz 14% |
John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 4% |
| Roanoke College[5]
Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 466 |
February 16–24, 2016 | Donald Trump 38% |
Ted Cruz 15% |
Marco Rubio 13% |
John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 19% |
| Christopher Newport University[6]
Margin of error: ± 5.6%
|
February 3–14, 2016 | Donald Trump 28% |
Marco Rubio 22% |
Ted Cruz 19% |
Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 6% |
| University of Mary Washington[7]
Margin of error: ± ?%
|
November 4–9, 2015 | Ben Carson 29% |
Donald Trump 24% |
Marco Rubio 11% |
Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Don't know 2% |
| Christopher Newport University
Margin of error: ± 5.1%
|
September 29 – October 8, 2015 | Donald Trump 23% |
Ben Carson 17% |
Marco Rubio 14% |
Carly Fiorina 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal <1%, George Pataki <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 5% |
| Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[8]
Margin of error: ± 4.1%
|
August 2–3, 2015 | Donald Trump 27.9% |
Jeb Bush 14.8% |
Scott Walker 10.1% |
Ben Carson 8%, Carly Fiorina 6.8%, Ted Cruz 6.4%, Rand Paul 5.1%, Marco Rubio 3.5%, John Kasich 3.2%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.3%, Mike Huckabee 1.5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, George Pataki 0.7%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 1.8%, Undecided 3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling[9]
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
|
July 13–15, 2015 | Jeb Bush 18% |
Donald Trump 14% |
Scott Walker 14% |
Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry 2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else/Not sure 3% |
| Christopher Newport University
Margin of error: ± ?
|
April 13–24, 2015 | Jeb Bush 17% |
Marco Rubio 16% |
Chris Christie 10% |
Rand Paul 10%, Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Donald Trump 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich <1%, Rick Perry <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Someone else <1%, Undecided 7% |
| Christopher Newport University
Margin of error: ± 3.6%
|
January 30 – February 10, 2015 | Jeb Bush 21% |
Scott Walker 16% |
Chris Christie 10% |
Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Pence 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rob Portman 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 4% |
| Christopher Newport University
Margin of error: ± 5.3%
|
February 23–28, 2014 | Chris Christie 19% |
Jeb Bush 18% |
Mike Huckabee 13% |
Paul Ryan 13%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Undecided 13% |
| University of Mary Washington
Margin of error: ±?
|
September 25–29, 2013 | Chris Christie 20% |
Jeb Bush 10% |
Rand Paul 10% |
Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, None 14%, Don't know 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[10]
Margin of error: ±4.8%
|
July 11–14, 2013 | Jeb Bush 16% |
Chris Christie 16% |
Rand Paul 15% |
Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Bob McDonnell 8%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 7% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±4.4%
|
May 24–26, 2013 | Marco Rubio 17% |
Chris Christie 15% |
Jeb Bush 14% |
Bob McDonnell 12%, Rand Paul 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 11% |
| Chris Christie 20% |
Marco Rubio 20% |
Jeb Bush 17% |
Paul Ryan 10%, Rand Paul 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10% | ||
| University of Mary Washington[11]
Margin of error: ±3.5
|
March 20–24, 2013 | Chris Christie 18% |
Bob McDonnell 12% |
Rand Paul 11% |
Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Other 1%, None 10%, Don't know 16% |
References
- "Virginia Republican Delegation 2016". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 23, 2017.
- "2016 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions : Virginia Republican". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
- "Poll: Donald Trump leads in Virginia, Georgia; Ted Cruz hanging on in Texas". YouGov. Retrieved February 29, 2016.
- "VIRGINIA: TRUMP, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES" (PDF). Monmouth University. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved February 26, 2016.
- "RC Poll: Clinton, Trump hold leads in Virginia primary elections; Cruz, Rubio in tight battle for second". Roanoke College Institute of Policy and Opinion Research. Retrieved February 27, 2016.
- "Trump leads GOP field, with Rubio and Cruz next;Clinton leads Sanders among Virginia Democrats" (PDF). Christopher Newport University. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 23, 2016. Retrieved February 17, 2016.
- "Virginia survey 2015: Princeton Data Source for University of Mary Washington" (PDF). umw.edu. November 16, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
- "GOP Presidential Primary Poll". Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage. August 6, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
- "Bush leads GOP Field in Virginia Poll" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. July 16, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
- "Warner leads 2014 Senate Race" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. July 19, 2013. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
- Farnsworth, Dr Stephen J (March 2013). "University of Mary Washington Center for Leadership and Media Studies Virginia Survey - March 2013" (PDF). umw.edu. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 8, 2013.
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