2020 United States presidential election in California
The 2020 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate Kamala Harris, the junior senator from California. California had, in the 2020 election 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most of any state. California was one of six states where Trump received more percentage of the two-party vote than he did in 2016.[lower-alpha 1] This election also marked the first time since 2004 that the Republican candidate won more than one million votes in Los Angeles County, due to increased turnout statewide.
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Turnout | 80.67% (of registered voters) ![]() 70.88% (of eligible voters) ![]() | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in California |
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California is considered a safe blue state in presidential elections, due to significant concentrations of Democratic voters in large urban regions such as the San Francisco Bay Area, Sacramento, Los Angeles, and San Diego.
As predicted, Biden easily carried California on election day, earning 63.5% of the vote and a margin of 29.2% over Trump. Biden earned the highest percentage of the vote in the state for any candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936, although Biden's margin of victory was slightly smaller than Hillary Clinton's 30.1% in 2016, making it one of just seven states in which Trump improved on his 2016 margin. Biden became the first candidate in any race for any office in U.S. history to win more than 10 million votes in a single state, while Trump also received the most votes a Republican has ever received in any state in any race since the country's founding, even narrowly besting his vote total in Texas, a state that he won.[3] Biden's vote margin was the largest vote margin for a presidential candidate in a singular state.
Per exit polls by Edison Research, Biden dominated key Democratic constituencies in the state including Latinos with 75%, African Americans with 82%, Asian Americans with 76%, and union households with 63%.[4] Post-election analysis by Cook Political Report showed Trump made inroads with some Asian American constituencies, particularly Vietnamese American voters in Orange County and Filipino American voters in San Mateo County.[5]
Biden flipped Butte County and Inyo County into the Democratic column, which had not voted Democratic since 2008 and 1964, respectively. Biden's victory in Orange County was only the second time a Democrat carried the county since 1936, as well as only the fourth time in the county's history. In contrast, while he improved his total vote share by nearly three percentage points, Trump did not flip any counties and his main regions of strength came from Republican strongholds in Gold Country, Shasta Cascade, and parts of the Central Valley. California Secretary of State Alex Padilla certified the results on December 4, and took Harris's seat in the Senate upon her resignation to become Vice President, having been appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom.[6]
California was one of five states in the nation in which Biden's victory margin was larger than 1 million raw votes, the others being New York, Maryland, Massachusetts and Illinois. Over 5 million votes of Biden's 7 million vote lead nationwide were Californian votes.
Primary elections
In a departure from previous election cycles, California held its primaries on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[7] Early voting began several weeks earlier.
Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on March 17, 2020, defeating several longshot candidates, most notably former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld. Kamala Harris, the state's junior U.S. senator, was among the Democratic candidates declared until she dropped out on December 3, 2019. Representative Eric Swalwell from the 15th district was also a Democratic candidate but dropped out of the race on July 8, 2019. Other prominent state figures, including former Governor Jerry Brown, current Governor Gavin Newsom, and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti declined to run.[8][9][10]
Republican primary
The Republican Party's primary campaign was dominated by a lawsuit over the President's taxes.[11] The suit alleges that the new requirement for several years of a candidate's taxes was unconstitutional and onerous. The law was blocked in September 2019 while State Supreme court heard testimony and made a ruling.[12]
As a contingency, the Republican state committee changed its delegate selection process, turning the primary into a mere "beauty contest" and setting up an emergency state convention to Trump's delegate choices.[13] If Trump were allowed on the ballot, the convention would be canceled and the so-called "winner-take-most" rules, which require a challenger to get 20% of the vote, would apply.
Incumbent Trump was allowed on the ballot, and the contingency convention was canceled.
Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 2,279,120 | 92.2% | 172 |
Bill Weld | 66,904 | 2.7% | 0 |
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) | 64,749 | 2.6% | 0 |
Rocky De La Fuente | 24,351 | 1.0% | 0 |
Matthew John Matern | 15,469 | 0.6% | 0 |
Robert Ardini | 12,857 | 0.5% | 0 |
Zoltan Istvan | 8,141 | 0.3% | 0 |
Total | 2,471,591 | 100% |
Democratic primary
Candidates began filing their paperwork on November 4, 2019, and the final list was announced on December 9.
Leading California Democrats complained that Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren were snubbing the state by refusing to attend a forum at the State's "endorsement convention".[15] Early voting began on February 11 and ended the day before primary day.
![](../I/2020_California_Democratic_presidential_primary_election_results_map_by_county_(vote_share).svg.png.webp)
2020 California Democratic presidential primary[16] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[17] |
Bernie Sanders | 2,080,846 | 35.97 | 225 |
Joe Biden | 1,613,854 | 27.90 | 172 |
Elizabeth Warren | 762,555 | 13.18 | 11 |
Michael Bloomberg | 701,803 | 12.13 | 7 |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 2] | 249,256 | 4.31 | |
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 2] | 126,961 | 2.19 | |
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 2] | 113,092 | 1.96 | |
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 3] | 43,571 | 0.75 | |
Tulsi Gabbard | 33,769 | 0.58 | |
Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 13,892 | 0.24 | |
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 3] | 7,377 | 0.13 | |
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 7,052 | 0.12 | |
Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 6,000 | 0.10 | |
John Delaney (withdrawn) | 4,606 | 0.08 | |
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 3,270 | 0.06 | |
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)[lower-alpha 3] | 2,022 | 0.03 | |
Other candidates / Write-in | [lower-alpha 4]14,438 | 0.25 | |
Total | 5,784,364 | 100% | 415 |
![](../I/Signs%252C_Bernie_Sanders_Rally%252C_LA_Convention_Center%252C_Los_Angeles%252C_California%252C_USA_(49609094436).jpg.webp)
![](../I/Bernie_Sanders_-_Rally_at_San_Jose%252C_CA_-_5.jpg.webp)
![](../I/Biden_Bel_Air_Event--18_-_49628171937.jpg.webp)
District | Bernie Sanders | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Elizabeth Warren | Total delegates | District Region | Largest City | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 34% | 2 | 23.7% | 2 | 10.3% | 0 | 12.9% | 0 | 4 | Shasta Cascade | Chico, Redding |
2nd | 33.3% | 3 | 25.3% | 2 | 13.5% | 0 | 15.9% | 1 | 6 | North Coast | Eureka |
3rd | 34.3% | 3 | 29.3% | 2 | 12% | 0 | 12% | 0 | 5 | Sacramento Valley | Fairfield |
4th | 26.1% | 2 | 29.6% | 3 | 14.7% | 0 | 11.4% | 0 | 5 | Sierras | Roseville |
5th | 32.7% | 3 | 27.2% | 3 | 14.9% | 0 | 12.6% | 0 | 6 | Wine Country | Santa Rosa |
6th | 35.8% | 3 | 28.1% | 2 | 10.7% | 0 | 14.3% | 0 | 5 | Sacramento Valley | Sacramento |
7th | 30.9% | 2 | 31.4% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 11.2% | 0 | 5 | Sacramento Valley | Elk Grove |
8th | 35.7% | 2 | 31.2% | 2 | 11.8% | 0 | 8.8% | 0 | 4 | Eastern Desert | Victorville |
9th | 32.9% | 2 | 32.5% | 2 | 15.9% | 1 | 7% | 0 | 5 | San Joaquin Valley | Stockton |
10th | 35.5% | 2 | 29.1% | 1 | 15.3% | 1 | 7.2% | 0 | 4 | San Joaquin Valley | Modesto |
11th | 29% | 2 | 30.7% | 3 | 15.3% | 1 | 14.7% | 0 | 6 | Bay Area | Concord |
12th | 33.8% | 3 | 23.9% | 2 | 11% | 0 | 23.4% | 2 | 7 | San Francisco Bay Area | San Francisco |
13th | 38.7% | 3 | 22.4% | 2 | 8.1% | 0 | 24.7% | 2 | 7 | Bay Area | Oakland |
14th | 31.9% | 3 | 26.4% | 2 | 15.6% | 1 | 14.8% | 0 | 6 | Bay Area | Daly City |
15th | 34.1% | 3 | 29.5% | 3 | 14.4% | 0 | 11.5% | 0 | 6 | Bay Area | Hayward |
16th | 40.9% | 3 | 26.2% | 1 | 12.6% | 0 | 7.2% | 0 | 4 | San Joaquin Valley | Fresno, Merced |
17th | 36.1% | 3 | 25.9% | 2 | 14.3% | 0 | 12.5% | 0 | 5 | Bay Area | Fremont, Santa Clara |
18th | 26.6% | 2 | 29% | 2 | 15.4% | 1 | 17.1% | 1 | 6 | Bay Area | Sunnyvale |
19th | 38.9% | 4 | 25.9% | 2 | 13.6% | 0 | 10.7% | 0 | 6 | Bay Area | San Jose |
20th | 39.8% | 3 | 25.5% | 2 | 10.9% | 0 | 13% | 0 | 5 | Central Coast | Salinas |
21st | 43.2% | 3 | 25.3% | 1 | 13.7% | 0 | 5.1% | 0 | 4 | San Joaquin Valley | Kings, Kern, SW Fresno |
22nd | 34.4% | 2 | 29.1% | 2 | 13% | 0 | 8.8% | 0 | 4 | San Joaquin Valley | Visalia |
23rd | 34.9% | 2 | 30.2% | 2 | 12.2% | 0 | 9% | 0 | 4 | South Central California | Bakersfield |
24th | 35.3% | 3 | 26.8% | 2 | 10.5% | 0 | 14.7% | 0 | 5 | Central Coast | Santa Maria |
25th | 35.6% | 3 | 33.6% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 10% | 0 | 5 | LA County | Santa Clarita |
26th | 34.4% | 3 | 31.1% | 2 | 12.1% | 0 | 11.5% | 0 | 5 | Central Coast | Oxnard |
27th | 35.9% | 2 | 29.2% | 2 | 10.2% | 0 | 15.7% | 1 | 5 | LA County | San Gabriel Valley |
28th | 40% | 3 | 22.7% | 2 | 7.5% | 0 | 21.7% | 1 | 6 | LA County | Glendale |
29th | 49.8% | 3 | 21.5% | 2 | 7.7% | 0 | 11.2% | 0 | 5 | LA County | San Fernando Valley |
30th | 32.6% | 3 | 31.2% | 2 | 11.2% | 0 | 15.4% | 1 | 6 | LA County | San Fernando Valley |
31st | 39.1% | 3 | 32.3% | 2 | 11% | 0 | 8.3% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | San Bernardino |
32nd | 44.7% | 3 | 28.2% | 2 | 10.5% | 0 | 7.5% | 0 | 5 | LA County | El Monte |
33rd | 26.2% | 2 | 34.2% | 3 | 14.3% | 0 | 16.1% | 1 | 6 | LA County | Santa Monica, Coastal LA |
34th | 53.7% | 4 | 16.8% | 1 | 8.1% | 0 | 14.7% | 0 | 5 | LA County | Downtown Los Angeles |
35th | 46.6% | 2 | 28.2% | 2 | 10.9% | 0 | 6.2% | 0 | 4 | Southern California | Fontana |
36th | 27.5% | 1 | 29.8% | 2 | 15.4% | 1 | 8.1% | 0 | 4 | Eastern Desert | Indio |
37th | 35.6% | 3 | 31.3% | 2 | 10.1% | 0 | 16.2% | 1 | 6 | LA County | West LA |
38th | 41.7% | 3 | 30.8% | 2 | 10.5% | 0 | 7.6% | 0 | 5 | LA County | Norwalk |
39th | 36.7% | 3 | 30.5% | 2 | 12.6% | 0 | 9.6% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Fullerton |
40th | 56.4% | 4 | 20.9% | 1 | 8.9% | 0 | 5.4% | 0 | 5 | LA County | East Los Angeles |
41st | 45% | 3 | 27.9% | 2 | 10.7% | 0 | 7.5% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Riverside |
42nd | 37% | 3 | 31.6% | 2 | 12.4% | 0 | 7.9% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Corona |
43rd | 36.5% | 3 | 34.3% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 10.3% | 0 | 5 | LA County | Inglewood |
44th | 44% | 3 | 29.6% | 2 | 6.2% | 0 | 9.6% | 0 | 5 | Los Angeles County | Compton |
45th | 34% | 3 | 29.1% | 2 | 13.5% | 0 | 12% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Irvine |
46th | 53.7% | 2 | 20% | 2 | 10.5% | 0 | 7.7% | 0 | 4 | Southern California | Anaheim |
47th | 38.5% | 3 | 27.3% | 2 | 10.6% | 0 | 12.2% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Long Beach |
48th | 30.4% | 2 | 30.3% | 2 | 16.3% | 1 | 11% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Huntington Beach |
49th | 30.6% | 3 | 30.5% | 2 | 14.6% | 0 | 12.2% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Oceanside |
50th | 34.9% | 2 | 27.6% | 2 | 13% | 0 | 11.3% | 0 | 4 | Southern California | Escondido |
51st | 49.2% | 3 | 23.7% | 2 | 11.3% | 0 | 6.8% | 0 | 5 | Southern California | Downtown San Diego and Border Communities |
52nd | 30.6% | 3 | 30% | 3 | 13.4% | 0 | 14.6% | 0 | 6 | Southern California | North San Diego |
53rd | 37.8% | 3 | 27.3% | 3 | 10.1% | 0 | 14.5% | 0 | 6 | Southern California | Eastern San Diego and suburbs |
Total | 36.0% | 144 | 27.9% | 109 | 12.1% | 7 | 13.2% | 11 | 271 |
Delegate type | Bernie Sanders | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Elizabeth Warren |
---|---|---|---|---|
At-large | 51 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
PLEO | 30 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
District-level | 144 | 109 | 7 | 11 |
Total | 225 | 172 | 7 | 11 |
Libertarian primary
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![]() Election results by county
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The Libertarian Party of California permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[20]
Green primary
2020 California Green primary[21] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates |
Howie Hawkins | 4,202 | 36.2% | 16 estimated |
Dario Hunter | 2,558 | 22.0% | 9 estimated |
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry | 2,071 | 17.8% | 8 estimated |
Dennis Lambert | 1,999 | 17.2% | 7 estimated |
David Rolde | 774 | 6.7% | 3 estimated |
Total | 9,656 | 100.00% | 43 |
American Independent primary
The American Independent Party permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.[20]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
American Independent | Phil Collins | 11,532 | 32.8 | |
American Independent | Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 7,263 | 21.0 | |
American Independent | Don Blankenship | 6,913 | 19.7 | |
American Independent | J. R. Myers | 5,099 | 14.5 | |
American Independent | Charles Kraut | 4,216 | 12.0 | |
Total votes | 35,723 | 100% |
Peace and Freedom primary
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Peace and Freedom | Gloria La Riva | 2,570 | 66.0 | |
Peace and Freedom | Howie Hawkins | 1,325 | 34.0 | |
Total votes | 3,895 | 100% |
General election
Final predictions
Source | Ranking |
---|---|
The Cook Political Report[24] | Solid D |
Inside Elections[25] | Solid D |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe D |
Politico[27] | Solid D |
RCP[28] | Solid D |
Niskanen[29] | Safe D |
CNN[30] | Solid D |
The Economist[31] | Safe D |
CBS News[32] | Likely D |
270towin[33] | Safe D |
ABC News[34] | Solid D |
NPR[35] | Likely D |
NBC News[36] | Solid D |
538[37] | Solid D |
Polling
- Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 5] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.7% | 32.3% | 6.0% | Biden +29.4 |
Real Clear Politics | September 26 – October 21, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 60.7% | 31.0% | 8.3% | Biden +29.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.6% | 32.4% | 6.0% | Biden +29.2 |
Average | 61.3% | 31.9% | 6.8% | Biden +29.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 12,370 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 36%[lower-alpha 7] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
David Binder Research | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 62% | – | – | 3% | 4% |
USC Schwarzenegger Institute | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,155 (RV) | ± 3% | 28% | 65% | – | – | 4%[lower-alpha 8] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 30 – Oct 28, 2020 | 22,450 (LV) | – | 37%[lower-alpha 7] | 61% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 35% | 62% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
UC Berkeley/LA Times | Oct 16–21, 2020 | 5,352 (LV) | ± 2% | 29% | 65% | 1% | 0% | 0%[lower-alpha 9][lower-alpha 10] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California | Oct 9–18, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 32% | 58% | 3% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 11] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 20,346 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 26–28, 2020 | 588 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 34% | 59% | – | – | 3%[lower-alpha 12] | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 19–21, 2020 | 1,775 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | 1% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 13] | 8% |
UC Berkeley/LA Times | Sep 9–15, 2020 | 5,942 (LV) | ± 2% | 28% | 67% | 1% | 0% | 0%[lower-alpha 9][lower-alpha 10] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 1,168 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 31% | 60% | 3% | 2% | 1%[lower-alpha 11] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front Archived September 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [lower-alpha 14] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 17,537 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
David Binder Research | Aug 22–24, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 61% | – | – | 3%[lower-alpha 15] | 5% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 9, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 25% | 61% | 1% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 16] | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 19,027 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
University of California Berkeley | Jul 21–27, 2020 | 6,756 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 28% | 67% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 8,412 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Institute of California | May 19–26, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 33% | 57% | – | – | 6%[lower-alpha 17] | 3% |
SurveyUSA | May 18–19, 2020 | 537 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 30% | 58% | – | – | 5% | 7% |
Emerson College | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 35%[lower-alpha 18] | 65% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 28–29, 2020 | 962 (RV) | – | 29% | 67% | – | – | – | 3% |
AtlasIntel | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 62% | – | – | 12% | – |
YouGov | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 31% | 59% | – | – | 4% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 3%[lower-alpha 19] | 3% |
University of California Berkeley | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 31% | 58% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 57% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 30% | 60% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 35% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 56% | – | – | 3%[lower-alpha 19] | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
Emerson College | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | 64% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 57% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 27% | 61% | – | – | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 56% | – | – | – | 11% |
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Bernie Sanders (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 28% | 60% | 12% | – |
YouGov | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 31% | 59% | 6%[lower-alpha 20] | 4% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | 59% | 3%[lower-alpha 19] | 2% |
University of California Berkeley | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 31% | 59% | – | 10% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 58% | – | 6% |
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 31% | 61% | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 36% | 59% | – | 5% |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 54% | 4%[lower-alpha 21] | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 34% | 60% | – | 7% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 59% | – | 8% |
Emerson College | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 63% | – | – |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 57% | – | 10% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 29% | 62% | – | 9% |
with Donald Trump and Tulsi Gabbard
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Tulsi Gabbard (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 28% | 60% | 12% | – |
YouGov | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 32% | 57% | 5%[lower-alpha 22] | 6% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 56% | 3%[lower-alpha 19] | 4% |
University of California Berkeley | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 33% | 58% | – | 10% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 54% | – | 8% |
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 59% | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 55% | – | 7% |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 37% | 53% | 4%[lower-alpha 21] | 6% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 35% | 56% | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 33% | 55% | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 56% | – | 8% |
Emerson College | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 61% | – | – |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 35% | 53% | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 30% | 58% | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 53% | – | 14% |
with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Michael Bloomberg (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 25% | 51% | 24% | – |
YouGov | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 32% | 51% | 10%[lower-alpha 23] | 7% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 55% | 4%[lower-alpha 24] | 5% |
University of California Berkeley | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 30% | 54% | – | 16% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 34% | 59% | – | 7% |
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 31% | 57% | – | 6% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 36% | 56% | – | 8% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 34% | 50% | – | 16% |
with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Amy Klobuchar (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 31% | 59% | 7%[lower-alpha 25] | 7% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 55% | 4%[lower-alpha 24] | 6% |
University of California Berkeley | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 30% | 57% | – | 13% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 52% | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 50% | – | 11% |
with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Pete Buttigieg (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 33% | 54% | 8%[lower-alpha 26] | 6% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 56% | 4%[lower-alpha 24] | 4% |
University of California Berkeley | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 30% | 58% | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 56% | – | 8% |
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 31% | 57% | – | 6% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 53% | – | 10% |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 53% | 4%[lower-alpha 21] | 7% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 34% | 52% | – | 14% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 54% | – | 13% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 30% | 53% | – | 17% |
with Donald Trump and Tom Steyer
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Tom Steyer (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 54% | 9% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 53% | 10% |
with Donald Trump and Deval Patrick
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Deval Patrick (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 34% | 32% |
with Donald Trump and Andrew Yang
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Andrew Yang (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 53% | 10% |
with Donald Trump and Cory Booker
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Cory Booker (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 39% | 26% |
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 35% | 56% | 8% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Emerson College | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 61% | – |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 35% | 53% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 30% | 59% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 54% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 33% | 53% | 13% |
with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Beto O'Rourke (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 34% | 51% | 15% |
with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 47% | 19% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 46% | 22% |
with Donald Trump and Jerry Brown
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 54% | 11% |
with Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Sherrod Brown (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 36% | 29% |
with Donald Trump and Eric Garcetti
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Eric Garcetti (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 49% | 17% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 46% | 21% |
with Donald Trump and Tom Hanks
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Tom Hanks (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 51% | 15% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 31% | 56% | 14% |
with Donald Trump and Eric Holder
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Eric Holder (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 38% | 26% |
with Donald Trump and Mitch Landrieu
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Mitch Landrieu (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 36% | 29% |
with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Michelle Obama (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 28% | 64% | 8% |
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 36% | 57% | 8% |
with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Oprah Winfrey (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 28% | 57% | 14% |
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 52% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 56% | 12% |
with Donald Trump and Mark Zuckerberg
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Mark Zuckerberg (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 36% | 42% | 22% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 31% | 50% | 19% |
with Mike Pence and Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 29% | 59% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 30% | 58% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 27% | 58% | 15% |
with Mike Pence and Michael Bloomberg
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence (R) |
Michael Bloomberg (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 32% | 48% | 20% |
with Mike Pence and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence (R) |
Pete Buttigieg (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 34% | 48% | 17% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 34% | 45% | 21% |
with Mike Pence and Bernie Sanders
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence (R) |
Bernie Sanders (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 31% | 59% | 9% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 31% | 58% | 10% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 57% | 13% |
with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 34% | 53% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 33% | 55% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 33% | 50% | 16% |
with Nikki Haley and Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 21% | 56% | 23% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 21% | 56% | 24% |
with Nikki Haley and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley (R) |
Pete Buttigieg (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 24% | 44% | 32% |
with Nikki Haley and Bernie Sanders
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley (R) |
Bernie Sanders (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 23% | 58% | 19% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 24% | 56% | 19% |
with Nikki Haley and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley (R) |
Elizabeth Warren (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 23% | 52% | 24% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 25% | 49% | 26% |
with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence (R) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 34% | 54% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 33% | 55% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 34% | 51% | 15% |
with Mike Pence and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence (R) |
Beto O'Rourke (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 34% | 47% | 20% |
with Nikki Haley and Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley (R) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 23% | 52% | 25% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 24% | 51% | 25% |
with Nikki Haley and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 6] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley (R) |
Beto O'Rourke (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 25% | 44% | 30% |
Results
Biden won California with a smaller margin of victory than Hillary Clinton in 2016. Nevertheless, he performed well in most urban areas of the state. Biden is also the first candidate for any statewide race in American history to receive over ten million votes.
![](../I/2016-2020_Swing_by_Census_Block_Group(California)_using_2010_Census_Block_Groups.svg.png.webp)
- >50%
- 40–50%
- 30–40%
- 20–30%
- 15–20%
- 10–15%
- 5–10%
- 1–5%
- 1–5%
- 5–10%
- 10–15%
- 15–20%
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- >50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris |
11,110,250 | 63.48% | +1.75% | |
Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence |
6,006,429 | 34.32% | +2.70% | |
Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen |
187,895 | 1.07% | −2.30% | |
Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker |
81,029 | 0.46% | −1.51% | |
American Independent | Rocky De La Fuente Kanye West |
60,160 | 0.34% | N/A | |
Peace and Freedom | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman |
51,037 | 0.29% | −0.18% | |
American Solidarity | Brian T. Carroll Amar Patel (write-in) |
2,605 | 0.0 | - | |
Independent | Jesse Ventura (write-in) | 611 | 0.0 | N/A | |
Independent | Mark Charles Adrian Wallace (write-in) |
559 | 0.0 | N/A | |
Independent | Brock Pierce Karla Ballard (write-in) |
185 | 0.0 | N/A | |
Socialist Equality | Joseph Kishore Norissa Santa Cruz (write-in) |
121 | 0.0 | N/A | |
Total votes | 17,500,881 | 100% |
By county
[39]: 22
County | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Rocky De La Fuente American Independent | Gloria La Riva Peace and Freedom | Write-in votes | Margin | Total votes | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Alameda | 80.21% | 617,659 | 17.70% | 136,309 | 0.82% | 6,295 | 0.61% | 4,664 | 0.31% | 2,399 | 0.33% | 2,538 | 0.03% | 206 | 62.51% | 481,350 | 770,070 |
Alpine | 64.24% | 476 | 32.93% | 244 | 2.02% | 15 | 0.54% | 4 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.27% | 2 | 0.00% | 0 | 31.31% | 232 | 741 |
Amador | 36.55% | 8,153 | 60.91% | 13,585 | 1.56% | 349 | 0.49% | 110 | 0.29% | 64 | 0.18% | 41 | 0.01% | 2 | -24.36% | -5,432 | 22,304 |
Butte | 49.41% | 50,426 | 47.74% | 48,730 | 1.74% | 1,774 | 0.50% | 507 | 0.32% | 324 | 0.28% | 281 | 0.02% | 24 | 1.67% | 1,696 | 102,066 |
Calaveras | 36.98% | 10,046 | 60.81% | 16,518 | 1.32% | 359 | 0.46% | 125 | 0.27% | 72 | 0.16% | 44 | 0.00% | 0 | -23.83% | -6,472 | 27,164 |
Colusa | 40.69% | 3,239 | 57.27% | 4,559 | 1.02% | 81 | 0.31% | 25 | 0.38% | 30 | 0.34% | 27 | 0.00% | 0 | -16.58% | -1,320 | 7,961 |
Contra Costa | 71.63% | 416,386 | 26.30% | 152,877 | 1.05% | 6,116 | 0.45% | 2,618 | 0.34% | 1,949 | 0.22% | 1,284 | 0.01% | 86 | 45.33% | 263,509 | 581,316 |
Del Norte | 40.84% | 4,677 | 56.41% | 6,461 | 1.31% | 150 | 0.68% | 78 | 0.46% | 53 | 0.29% | 33 | 0.01% | 1 | -15.57% | -1,784 | 11,453 |
El Dorado | 44.44% | 51,621 | 53.24% | 61,838 | 1.61% | 1,871 | 0.40% | 460 | 0.21% | 240 | 0.09% | 108 | 0.01% | 21 | -8.80% | -10,217 | 116,159 |
Fresno | 52.90% | 193,025 | 45.09% | 164,464 | 1.10% | 4,031 | 0.40% | 1,474 | 0.31% | 1,147 | 0.18% | 668 | 0.03% | 108 | 7.81% | 28,561 | 364,917 |
Glenn | 35.36% | 3,995 | 62.52% | 7,063 | 1.13% | 128 | 0.30% | 34 | 0.35% | 39 | 0.29% | 33 | 0.04% | 5 | -27.16% | -3,068 | 11,297 |
Humboldt | 65.03% | 44,768 | 31.62% | 21,770 | 1.64% | 1,132 | 0.91% | 625 | 0.36% | 251 | 0.41% | 282 | 0.02% | 15 | 33.41% | 22,998 | 68,843 |
Imperial | 61.11% | 34,678 | 36.74% | 20,847 | 0.69% | 390 | 0.41% | 234 | 0.51% | 291 | 0.49% | 278 | 0.04% | 25 | 24.37% | 13,831 | 56,743 |
Inyo | 48.86% | 4,634 | 48.71% | 4,620 | 1.35% | 128 | 0.47% | 45 | 0.34% | 32 | 0.23% | 22 | 0.03% | 3 | 0.15% | 14 | 9,484 |
Kern | 43.68% | 133,366 | 53.88% | 164,484 | 1.29% | 3,942 | 0.35% | 1,074 | 0.41% | 1,264 | 0.36% | 1,096 | 0.02% | 66 | -10.20% | -31,118 | 305,292 |
Kings | 42.63% | 18,699 | 54.88% | 24,072 | 1.38% | 604 | 0.28% | 125 | 0.41% | 180 | 0.41% | 178 | 0.01% | 3 | -12.25% | -5,373 | 43,861 |
Lake | 51.86% | 14,941 | 45.55% | 13,123 | 1.30% | 374 | 0.72% | 207 | 0.31% | 89 | 0.23% | 66 | 0.04% | 12 | 6.31% | 1,818 | 28,812 |
Lassen | 23.10% | 2,799 | 74.98% | 8,970 | 1.18% | 141 | 0.26% | 31 | 0.22% | 26 | 0.15% | 18 | 0.02% | 2 | -51.88% | -6,171 | 11,987 |
Los Angeles | 71.03% | 3,028,885 | 26.86% | 1,145,530 | 0.83% | 35,452 | 0.51% | 21,660 | 0.38% | 15,999 | 0.37% | 15,917 | 0.02% | 922 | 44.17% | 1,883,355 | 4,264,365 |
Madera | 43.12% | 23,168 | 54.68% | 29,378 | 1.16% | 621 | 0.40% | 217 | 0.32% | 173 | 0.31% | 165 | 0.02% | 10 | -11.56% | -6,210 | 53,732 |
Marin | 82.53% | 128,288 | 15.79% | 24,612 | 0.99% | 1,536 | 0.46% | 724 | 0.24% | 380 | 0.17% | 261 | 0.02% | 29 | 66.74% | 103,678 | 155,830 |
Mariposa | 39.77% | 4,088 | 57.88% | 5,950 | 1.51% | 155 | 0.38% | 39 | 0.25% | 26 | 0.21% | 22 | 0.00% | 0 | -18.11% | -1,862 | 10,280 |
Mendocino | 66.41% | 28,782 | 30.61% | 13,267 | 1.36% | 591 | 0.91% | 394 | 0.28% | 123 | 0.41% | 179 | 0.01% | 4 | 35.80% | 15,615 | 43,340 |
Merced | 54.10% | 48,991 | 43.51% | 39,397 | 1.04% | 941 | 0.43% | 388 | 0.43% | 391 | 0.48% | 433 | 0.01% | 13 | 10.59% | 9,594 | 90,554 |
Modoc | 26.48% | 1,150 | 71.59% | 3,109 | 0.90% | 39 | 0.35% | 15 | 0.30% | 13 | 0.28% | 12 | 0.12% | 5 | -45.11% | -1,959 | 4,343 |
Mono | 59.56% | 4,013 | 37.30% | 2,513 | 1.87% | 126 | 0.62% | 42 | 0.37% | 25 | 0.27% | 18 | 0.01% | 1 | 22.26% | 1,500 | 6,738 |
Monterey | 69.52% | 113,953 | 28.24% | 46,299 | 1.11% | 1,820 | 0.46% | 749 | 0.35% | 566 | 0.30% | 496 | 0.02% | 40 | 41.28% | 67,654 | 163,923 |
Napa | 69.05% | 49,817 | 28.66% | 20,676 | 1.27% | 914 | 0.43% | 310 | 0.33% | 241 | 0.23% | 164 | 0.04% | 28 | 40.39% | 29,141 | 72,150 |
Nevada | 56.15% | 36,359 | 41.36% | 26,779 | 1.42% | 919 | 0.53% | 345 | 0.29% | 189 | 0.23% | 147 | 0.02% | 12 | 14.79% | 9,580 | 64,750 |
Orange | 53.49% | 814,009 | 44.44% | 676,498 | 1.14% | 17,325 | 0.38% | 5,819 | 0.30% | 4,642 | 0.23% | 3,432 | 0.02% | 388 | 9.05% | 137,511 | 1,522,113 |
Placer | 45.46% | 106,869 | 52.10% | 122,488 | 1.68% | 3,948 | 0.33% | 779 | 0.25% | 593 | 0.14% | 340 | 0.03% | 67 | -6.64% | -15,619 | 235,084 |
Plumas | 40.51% | 4,561 | 57.24% | 6,445 | 1.36% | 153 | 0.35% | 39 | 0.28% | 31 | 0.24% | 27 | 0.04% | 4 | -16.73% | -1,884 | 11,260 |
Riverside | 52.98% | 528,340 | 45.04% | 449,144 | 1.00% | 9,970 | 0.34% | 3,372 | 0.34% | 3,392 | 0.28% | 2,789 | 0.01% | 149 | 7.94% | 79,196 | 997,156 |
Sacramento | 61.36% | 440,808 | 36.11% | 259,405 | 1.36% | 9,770 | 0.45% | 3,254 | 0.37% | 2,630 | 0.34% | 2,423 | 0.02% | 150 | 25.25% | 181,403 | 718,440 |
San Benito | 61.14% | 17,628 | 36.73% | 10,590 | 1.20% | 345 | 0.32% | 91 | 0.29% | 84 | 0.29% | 83 | 0.03% | 9 | 24.41% | 7,038 | 28,830 |
San Bernardino | 54.18% | 455,859 | 43.52% | 366,257 | 1.05% | 8,791 | 0.43% | 3,619 | 0.40% | 3,355 | 0.36% | 3,050 | 0.02% | 199 | 10.66% | 89,602 | 841,130 |
San Diego | 60.21% | 964,650 | 37.46% | 600,094 | 1.33% | 21,386 | 0.46% | 7,421 | 0.33% | 5,302 | 0.18% | 2,869 | 0.02% | 421 | 22.75% | 364,556 | 1,602,143 |
San Francisco | 85.26% | 378,156 | 12.72% | 56,417 | 0.74% | 3,299 | 0.63% | 2,781 | 0.28% | 1,262 | 0.35% | 1,543 | 0.02% | 95 | 72.54% | 321,739 | 443,553 |
San Joaquin | 55.85% | 161,137 | 41.98% | 121,098 | 1.02% | 2,929 | 0.37% | 1,064 | 0.43% | 1,251 | 0.33% | 964 | 0.02% | 49 | 13.87% | 40,039 | 288,492 |
San Luis Obispo | 55.29% | 88,310 | 42.22% | 67,436 | 1.51% | 2,408 | 0.50% | 794 | 0.28% | 455 | 0.17% | 278 | 0.01% | 33 | 13.07% | 20,874 | 159,714 |
San Mateo | 77.91% | 291,496 | 20.25% | 75,584 | 0.95% | 3,554 | 0.43% | 1,595 | 0.31% | 1,145 | 0.21% | 797 | 0.02% | 80 | 57.66% | 215,912 | 374,251 |
Santa Barbara | 64.87% | 129,963 | 32.81% | 65,736 | 1.21% | 2,416 | 0.47% | 939 | 0.35% | 714 | 0.26% | 520 | 0.03% | 51 | 32.06% | 64,227 | 200,339 |
Santa Clara | 72.64% | 617,967 | 25.23% | 214,612 | 1.07% | 9,131 | 0.47% | 4,040 | 0.31% | 2,623 | 0.25% | 2,149 | 0.03% | 219 | 47.41% | 403,355 | 850,741 |
Santa Cruz | 78.88% | 114,246 | 18.62% | 26,937 | 1.18% | 1,704 | 0.73% | 1,062 | 0.30% | 434 | 0.29% | 413 | 0.03% | 41 | 60.26% | 87,309 | 144,837 |
Shasta | 32.28% | 30,000 | 65.41% | 60,789 | 1.37% | 1,277 | 0.40% | 368 | 0.30% | 281 | 0.20% | 185 | 0.04% | 30 | -33.13% | -30,789 | 92,930 |
Sierra | 37.80% | 730 | 59.14% | 1,142 | 1.40% | 27 | 0.67% | 13 | 0.62% | 12 | 0.31% | 6 | 0.05% | 1 | -21.34% | -412 | 1,931 |
Siskiyou | 40.87% | 9,593 | 56.62% | 13,290 | 1.35% | 318 | 0.49% | 116 | 0.34% | 79 | 0.23% | 54 | 0.09% | 22 | -15.75% | -3,697 | 23,472 |
Solano | 63.94% | 131,639 | 33.66% | 69,306 | 1.20% | 2,475 | 0.47% | 958 | 0.40% | 825 | 0.31% | 628 | 0.02% | 46 | 30.28% | 62,333 | 205,877 |
Sonoma | 74.52% | 199,938 | 23.04% | 61,825 | 1.27% | 3,418 | 0.56% | 1,499 | 0.31% | 832 | 0.28% | 740 | 0.02% | 65 | 51.48% | 138,113 | 268,317 |
Stanislaus | 49.24% | 105,841 | 48.45% | 104,145 | 1.16% | 2,494 | 0.35% | 742 | 0.43% | 926 | 0.34% | 728 | 0.04% | 78 | 0.79% | 1,696 | 214,954 |
Sutter | 40.73% | 17,367 | 57.16% | 24,375 | 1.22% | 521 | 0.32% | 136 | 0.30% | 126 | 0.27% | 115 | 0.01% | 4 | -16.43% | -7,008 | 42,644 |
Tehama | 31.02% | 8,911 | 66.62% | 19,141 | 1.40% | 403 | 0.31% | 90 | 0.39% | 111 | 0.23% | 65 | 0.03% | 10 | -35.60% | -10,230 | 28,731 |
Trinity | 45.55% | 2,851 | 50.93% | 3,188 | 1.87% | 117 | 0.80% | 50 | 0.43% | 27 | 0.40% | 25 | 0.02% | 1 | -5.38% | -337 | 6,259 |
Tulare | 45.00% | 66,105 | 52.82% | 77,579 | 1.02% | 1,498 | 0.33% | 483 | 0.43% | 632 | 0.36% | 535 | 0.04% | 53 | -7.82% | -11,474 | 146,885 |
Tuolumne | 39.39% | 11,978 | 58.17% | 17,689 | 1.44% | 439 | 0.48% | 145 | 0.30% | 91 | 0.19% | 59 | 0.02% | 7 | -18.78% | -5,711 | 30,408 |
Ventura | 59.45% | 251,388 | 38.36% | 162,207 | 1.20% | 5,069 | 0.42% | 1,766 | 0.30% | 1,278 | 0.23% | 990 | 0.03% | 127 | 21.09% | 89,181 | 422,825 |
Yolo | 69.48% | 67,598 | 28.05% | 27,292 | 1.24% | 1,206 | 0.56% | 547 | 0.31% | 298 | 0.33% | 323 | 0.03% | 30 | 41.43% | 40,306 | 97,294 |
Yuba | 37.69% | 11,230 | 59.32% | 17,676 | 1.71% | 510 | 0.42% | 124 | 0.51% | 153 | 0.32% | 94 | 0.03% | 9 | -21.63% | -6,446 | 29,796 |
![](../I/California_County_Swing_2020.svg.png.webp)
![](../I/California_County_Flips_2020.svg.png.webp)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Biden won 46 of the 53 congressional districts in California, including four that were flipped or held by Republicans in Congress.[40]
Analysis
Despite Biden's overall victory closely mirroring Clinton's, under a point behind her margin, there were large swings underneath the statewide margins. Biden lost ground in large diverse counties while improving in mostly whiter and more suburban counties.[41] Trump improved his standing in Los Angeles County, thanks to growth in mainly Latino neighborhoods in the Gateway Cities and the San Fernando Valley alongside improvements in mainly Asian communities in the San Gabriel Valley. Trump also managed to gain in white neighborhoods as well, with visible gains made in Beverly Hills and other Westside communities, Burbank and Glendale in the eastern San Fernando Valley, and the Valley's southern wealthy neighborhoods such as Encino and Tarzana.[42][43]
Biden also saw his margins fall in Santa Clara County, located in Silicon Valley, home to one of the largest concentrations of Asian Americans in the country. His margins slightly shrank in the more suburban communities of Santa Clara and Sunnyvale, even improving in very wealthy cities like Los Altos Hills and Saratoga, but his margins dramatically collapsed in the heavily Asian parts of San Jose, Daly City, and Milpitas, as Trump's comparison of Biden to Socialism and Communism during the campaign drove Vietnamese-American voters towards him. The issue over China in the South China Sea helped swing Vietnamese Americans, as well as Filipino American voters to the Republican Party.[44] Trump also gained in Alameda and San Francisco County, but his improvements were smaller than Santa Clara County and Los Angeles County.[41] Meanwhile, Biden gained in the more white and suburban San Diego County and Riverside County.[45] In the former, Biden's improvements in wealthy suburban areas, like Carlsbad and Encinitas, alongside gains in more working-class Escondido and Oceanside,[46] helped overcome Trump's growth in the more Hispanic neighborhoods in southern San Diego County. In Riverside County, Trump lost ground in whiter more Republican territory in the southern part of the county like Menifee and Temecula, and in very liberal communities like Palm Springs in the Coachella Valley, which overcame Biden's decline in Hispanic communities towards the county's northwest, including Moreno Valley and Perris.[43]
Outside the large population centers and the Inland Empire, both parties largely ran in line with their 2016 performances. In the Central Valley, Biden's margin was roughly unchanged, though he lost some support in the northern counties like Merced and Stanislaus while gaining in the more Republican southern counties around Kern (Bakersfield).[47] Biden improved by a point in Sacramento County but saw visible growth in suburban Placer County. However, Trump overwhelmingly outperformed his 2016 performance in rural and heavily Hispanic Imperial County, gaining 17 points.[47]
See also
- United States presidential elections in California
- 2020 California elections
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Green Party presidential primaries
- 2020 United States elections
Notes
- The other six states were Arkansas, Florida, Hawaii, Nevada, and Utah, as well as Washington DC.
- Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary, when all-mail voting had already begun.
- Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when all-mail voting had already begun.
- Including 34 write-in votes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- "Someone else" with 4%
- De La Fuente (A) and De La Riva (PSOL) with 0%
- De La Fuente listed as Guerra
- Would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with no voters
- "Another candidate" with 3%
- "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
- Archived September 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- "Someone else" with 3%
- "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 2%
- "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
- Other with 0%; neither with 3%
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 3%
- Other with 1%; neither with 3%
- "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 4%
- Other with 0%; neither with 4%
- "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
- "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
References
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- 2020 General election cdn.sos.ca.gov
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- Cai, Weiyi; Fessenden, Ford (December 21, 2020). "Immigrant Neighborhoods Shifted Red as the Country Chose Blue". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
- Dotinga, Randy (December 17, 2020). "How San Diego Got So Blue in a Relatively Short Amount of Time". Voice of San Diego. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
- Supplement to Statement of Vote
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Further reading
- Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington DC: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020,
California