2020 United States presidential election in Indiana
The 2020 United States presidential election in Indiana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]
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| Turnout | 61.37% [1]  | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Indiana |
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Indiana was the home state of Pence, who served as Governor of Indiana from 2013 to 2017. Pence retained a 59% approval among voters in his home state.[4] On the day of the election, most news organizations considered Indiana a state Trump would win, or a likely red state. Trump won Indiana by 57% to Biden's 41%, a slight increase in his vote share from 2016, but a reduction in his margin of victory. This election marked the first time since 1952 and only the third time since 1888 that Vigo County, home to Terre Haute and a significant bellwether county, voted for the losing candidate in a presidential election. Biden subsequently became the first presidential nominee of either party since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1952, and the first Democrat since Grover Cleveland in 1884, to win without carrying Vigo County.[5]
Biden also became the first Democrat since FDR in 1944 to win without carrying traditionally Democratic Perry County in Southern Indiana. Biden did flip Tippecanoe County, home to Lafayette, from Republican to Democratic, marking the first time since 1936 that the county voted against Indiana's statewide winner. Biden was also the first Democrat to win without LaPorte County since 1976. Trump also became the first Republican since Ronald Reagan in 1984 to carry exurban Madison County with more than 60% of the vote.
Notably, Biden reduced the Republican margin in Hamilton County, a suburban county in the Indianapolis metropolitan area that is the state's fourth-most populous county.[6] Hamilton County has never supported a candidate of the Democratic Party for president except for 1912, when the split in the Republicans allowed Woodrow Wilson to carry the county with a 34.9% plurality.[5] Hamilton broke 60%-38% for John McCain in 2008, when Barack Obama won Indiana. Mitt Romney won Hamilton County 66%–32% in 2012 and Trump won it 56%-37% in 2016, nearly identical to his statewide margin. In this election, Trump narrowly won Hamilton County, 52%-45%, a margin that is to the left of the statewide result. Biden's 45% vote share in Hamilton County is higher than that of even Lyndon B. Johnson in his nationwide landslide in 1964 and higher than that of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936.[5] Biden's vote share in Hamilton is only equaled by Roosevelt's 44.85% share in his 1932 landslide.
Primary elections
The primary elections were held on June 2, 2020.
Republican primary
Donald Trump won the Republican primary, and received all of the state's 58 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[7]
Democratic primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[9] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 380,836 | 76.48 | 80 |
| Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) | 67,688 | 13.59 | 2 |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 17,957 | 3.61 | |
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 14,344 | 2.88 | |
| Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 4,783 | 0.96 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 4,426 | 0.89 | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 3,860 | 0.78 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | 2,657 | 0.53 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 1,376 | 0.28 | |
| Total | 497,927 | 100% | 82 |
Libertarian nominee
The 2020 Libertarian National Convention was held on May 22–24, 2020, selecting Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University, as their presidential nominee.
Green primary
The Green primary was held on May 1–31, 2020, with mail-in ballots being post marked no later than June 1, 2020, and results being published by June 14, 2020.[10]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Likely R | October 6, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Safe R | October 6, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Likely R | October 6, 2020 |
| Politico[14] | Safe R | October 6, 2020 |
| RCP[15] | Lean R | October 6, 2020 |
| Niskanen[16] | Safe R | October 6, 2020 |
| CNN[17] | Safe R | October 6, 2020 |
| The Economist[18] | Safe R | October 6, 2020 |
| CBS News[19] | Likely R | October 6, 2020 |
| 270towin[20] | Safe R | October 6, 2020 |
| ABC News[21] | Safe R | October 6, 2020 |
| NPR[22] | Likely R | October 6, 2020 |
| NBC News[23] | Likely R | October 6, 2020 |
| 538[24] | Safe R | October 6, 2020 |
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win | October 14 - November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 51.0% | 7.0% | Trump +9.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 52.9% | 5.1% | Trump +10.8 |
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,729 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54%[lower-alpha 3] | 44% | – | – | – |
| Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 264 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 55% | 43% | 2% | – | – |
| Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 42% | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,734 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
| Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 53% | 42% | 5% | – | – |
| Ragnar Research (R) | Oct 18–21, 2020 | 529 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 40% | 5% | – | 7% |
| SurveyUSA/Election Twitter | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 49% | 42% | – | 3% | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,367 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – |
| Change Research/IndyPolitics | Sep 3–7, 2020 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 39% | 5% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
| Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020[lower-alpha 4] | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,175 (LV) | – | 56% | 43% | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 57% | 40% | – | – | – |
| Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General[upper-alpha 1] | May 21–23, 2020 | 894 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 39% | – | – | – |
| Indy Politics/Change Research | Apr 10–13, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 39% | – | 5% | 3% |
Former candidates | ||||||||||||||
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Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
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Statewide results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence |
1,729,519 | 57.02% | +0.55% | |
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris |
1,242,416 | 40.96% | +3.5% | |
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen |
59,232 | 1.95% | −2.9% | |
| Green | Howie Hawkins (write-in) Angela Walker (write-in) |
988 | 0.03% | −0.3% | |
| American Solidarity | Brian T. Carroll (write-in) Amar Patel (write-in) |
893 | 0.03% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 70 | 0.00% | +0.0% | ||
| Total votes | 3,033,118 | 100.0% | |||
Results by county
| Trump/Pence Republican |
Biden/Harris Democratic |
Jorgensen/Cohen Libertarian |
Write-ins | Margin | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Adams | 10,686 | 75.21% | 3,236 | 22.77% | 287 | 2.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 7,450 | 52.44% | 14,209 |
| Allen | 92,083 | 54.56% | 73,189 | 43.29% | 3,728 | 2.20% | 82 | 0.05% | 18,894 | 11.27% | 169,082 |
| Bartholomew | 22,410 | 61.85% | 12,934 | 35.69% | 872 | 2.41% | 19 | 0.07% | 9,476 | 26.16% | 36,235 |
| Benton | 3,007 | 73.09% | 1,009 | 24.53% | 92 | 2.24% | 6 | 0.15% | 1,998 | 48.56% | 4,114 |
| Blackford | 3,841 | 71.78% | 1,376 | 25.71% | 132 | 2.47% | 2 | 0.04% | 2,465 | 46.07% | 5,351 |
| Boone | 22,351 | 58.02% | 15,244 | 39.57% | 905 | 2.40% | 20 | 0.05% | 7,107 | 18.45% | 38,520 |
| Brown | 5,777 | 64.32% | 3,036 | 33.80% | 168 | 1.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 2,741 | 30.52% | 8,981 |
| Carroll | 7,086 | 74.63% | 2,224 | 23.42% | 185 | 1.95% | 0 | 0.00% | 4,862 | 51.21% | 9,495 |
| Cass | 10,552 | 69.43% | 4,304 | 28.32% | 333 | 2.19% | 9 | 0.06% | 6,248 | 41.11% | 15,198 |
| Clark | 33,668 | 58.18% | 23,093 | 39.91% | 1,108 | 1.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 10,575 | 18.27% | 57,869 |
| Clay | 9,499 | 77.44% | 2,552 | 20.80% | 208 | 1.70% | 8 | 0.07% | 6,947 | 56.64% | 12,267 |
| Clinton | 9,334 | 72.08% | 3,361 | 25.60% | 246 | 1.90% | 8 | 0.06% | 5,973 | 46.48% | 12,949 |
| Crawford | 3,483 | 70.45% | 1,355 | 27.41% | 106 | 2.14% | 0 | 0.00% | 2,128 | 43.04% | 4,944 |
| Daviess | 9,576 | 80.11% | 2,169 | 18.14% | 204 | 1.71% | 5 | 0.04% | 7,407 | 61.97% | 11,954 |
| Dearborn | 19,528 | 76.93% | 5,446 | 21.46% | 387 | 1.52% | 22 | 0.09% | 14,082 | 55.47% | 25,383 |
| Decatur | 9,575 | 77.93% | 2,439 | 19.85% | 273 | 2.22% | 0 | 0.00% | 7,136 | 58.08% | 12,287 |
| Dekalb | 14,237 | 72.53% | 4,966 | 25.30% | 425 | 2.17% | 0 | 0.00% | 9,271 | 47.23% | 19,628 |
| Delaware | 26,827 | 55.67% | 20,474 | 42.49% | 890 | 1.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 6,353 | 13.18% | 48,191 |
| Dubois | 15,033 | 69.05% | 6,292 | 28.90% | 432 | 1.98% | 13 | 0.06% | 8,741 | 40.15% | 21,770 |
| Elkhart | 46,972 | 63.15% | 26,108 | 35.10% | 1,241 | 1.67% | 66 | 0.11% | 20,864 | 28.05% | 74,387 |
| Fayette | 7,755 | 76.51% | 2,237 | 22.07% | 144 | 1.42% | 0 | 0.00% | 5,518 | 54.44% | 10,136 |
| Floyd | 23,400 | 55.98% | 17,511 | 41.89% | 850 | 2.03% | 41 | 0.10% | 5,889 | 14.09% | 41,802 |
| Fountain | 6,154 | 77.06% | 1,629 | 20.40% | 200 | 2.50% | 3 | 0.04% | 4,525 | 56.66% | 7,986 |
| Franklin | 9,691 | 80.76% | 2,137 | 17.81% | 169 | 1.41% | 3 | 0.03% | 7,554 | 62.95% | 12,000 |
| Fulton | 6,694 | 73.18% | 2,280 | 24.93% | 170 | 1.86% | 3 | 0.03% | 4,414 | 48.25% | 9,147 |
| Gibson | 11,817 | 73.12% | 4,023 | 24.89% | 321 | 1.99% | 0 | 0.00% | 7,794 | 48.23% | 16,161 |
| Grant | 18,543 | 68.28% | 8,015 | 29.51% | 584 | 2.15% | 17 | 0.06% | 10,528 | 38.77% | 27,159 |
| Greene | 11,103 | 75.10% | 3,389 | 22.92% | 290 | 1.96% | 2 | 0.01% | 7,614 | 52.18% | 14,784 |
| Hamilton | 101,587 | 52.36% | 88,390 | 45.56% | 3,894 | 2.01% | 128 | 0.07% | 13,197 | 6.80% | 193,999 |
| Hancock | 28,996 | 67.57% | 12,895 | 30.05% | 1,016 | 2.37% | 4 | 0.01% | 16,101 | 37.52% | 42,911 |
| Harrison | 14,565 | 71.98% | 5,343 | 26.40% | 323 | 1.60% | 5 | 0.02% | 9,222 | 45.58% | 20,236 |
| Hendricks | 53,802 | 60.79% | 32,604 | 36.84% | 2,052 | 2.32% | 47 | 0.05% | 21,198 | 23.95% | 88,505 |
| Henry | 15,043 | 71.53% | 5,544 | 26.36% | 434 | 2.06% | 9 | 0.04% | 9,499 | 45.17% | 21,030 |
| Howard | 26,449 | 65.10% | 13,303 | 32.74% | 858 | 2.11% | 20 | 0.05% | 13,146 | 32.36% | 40,630 |
| Huntington | 13,147 | 73.74% | 4,255 | 23.87% | 408 | 2.29% | 19 | 0.11% | 8,892 | 49.87% | 17,829 |
| Jackson | 14,555 | 75.66% | 4,302 | 22.36% | 381 | 1.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 10,253 | 53.30% | 19,238 |
| Jasper | 11,383 | 73.56% | 3,798 | 24.54% | 288 | 1.86% | 6 | 0.04% | 7,585 | 49.02% | 15,475 |
| Jay | 6,361 | 75.18% | 1,926 | 22.76% | 169 | 2.00% | 5 | 0.06% | 4,435 | 52.42% | 8,461 |
| Jefferson | 9,663 | 65.75% | 4,731 | 32.19% | 296 | 2.01% | 7 | 0.05% | 4,932 | 33.56% | 14,697 |
| Jennings | 9,490 | 77.46% | 2,523 | 20.59% | 238 | 1.94% | 0 | 0.00% | 6,967 | 56.87% | 12,251 |
| Johnson | 51,219 | 65.99% | 24,736 | 31.87% | 1,618 | 2.08% | 45 | 0.06% | 26,483 | 34.12% | 77,618 |
| Knox | 11,655 | 72.79% | 4,067 | 25.40% | 282 | 1.76% | 7 | 0.04% | 7,588 | 47.39% | 16,011 |
| Kosciusko | 26,499 | 74.05% | 8,364 | 22.74% | 903 | 2.52% | 21 | 0.06% | 18,135 | 51.31% | 35,787 |
| Lagrange | 8,110 | 76.27% | 2,355 | 22.15% | 168 | 1.58% | 0 | 0.00% | 5,755 | 54.12% | 10,633 |
| Lake | 91,760 | 41.72% | 124,870 | 56.77% | 3,212 | 1.46% | 114 | 0.05% | -33,110 | -15.05% | 219,956 |
| LaPorte | 25,997 | 52.63% | 22,427 | 45.41% | 968 | 1.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 3,570 | 7.22% | 49,392 |
| Lawrence | 15,601 | 74.20% | 4,961 | 23.60% | 463 | 2.20% | 0 | 0.00% | 10,640 | 50.60% | 21,025 |
| Madison | 31,215 | 60.26% | 19,524 | 37.69% | 1,026 | 1.98% | 28 | 0.05% | 11,691 | 22.57% | 51,793 |
| Marion | 134,175 | 34.44% | 247,772 | 63.59% | 7,228 | 1.48% | 444 | 0.09% | -113,597 | -29.15% | 389,619 |
| Marshall | 13,844 | 69.47% | 5,712 | 28.66% | 362 | 1.82% | 9 | 0.05% | 8,132 | 40.81% | 19,927 |
| Martin | 4,029 | 78.32% | 1,011 | 19.65% | 104 | 2.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 3,018 | 58.67% | 5,144 |
| Miami | 10,925 | 75.49% | 3,235 | 22.35% | 306 | 2.11% | 7 | 0.05% | 7,690 | 53.14% | 14,473 |
| Monroe | 22,071 | 34.95% | 39,861 | 63.12% | 1,105 | 1.75% | 114 | 0.18% | -17,790 | -28.17% | 63,151 |
| Montgomery | 12,659 | 73.61% | 4,213 | 24.50% | 326 | 1.90% | 0 | 0.00% | 8,446 | 49.11% | 17,198 |
| Morgan | 27,512 | 76.09% | 7,781 | 21.52% | 862 | 2.38% | 4 | 0.01% | 19,731 | 54.57% | 36,159 |
| Newton | 4,942 | 74.99% | 1,509 | 22.90% | 140 | 2.12% | 0 | 0.00% | 3,433 | 52.09% | 6,591 |
| Noble | 14,195 | 73.97% | 4,660 | 24.28% | 335 | 1.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 9,535 | 49.69% | 19,190 |
| Ohio | 2,392 | 75.60% | 750 | 23.70% | 22 | 0.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 1,642 | 51.90% | 3,164 |
| Orange | 6,432 | 72.83% | 2,224 | 25.18% | 174 | 1.97% | 2 | 0.02% | 4,208 | 47.65% | 8,832 |
| Owen | 7,286 | 73.57% | 2,420 | 24.43% | 198 | 2.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 4,866 | 49.14% | 9,904 |
| Parke | 5,400 | 77.00% | 1,503 | 21.43% | 110 | 1.57% | 0 | 0.00% | 3,897 | 55.57% | 7,013 |
| Perry | 5,345 | 61.28% | 3,203 | 36.72% | 174 | 1.99% | 0 | 0.00% | 2,142 | 24.56% | 8,722 |
| Pike | 4,692 | 75.43% | 1,415 | 22.75% | 113 | 1.82% | 0 | 0.00% | 3,277 | 52.68% | 6,220 |
| Porter | 45,008 | 52.03% | 39,746 | 45.94% | 1,656 | 1.91% | 99 | 0.11% | 5,262 | 6.09% | 86,509 |
| Posey | 9,206 | 69.55% | 3,811 | 28.79% | 214 | 1.62% | 5 | 0.04% | 5,395 | 40.76% | 13,236 |
| Pulaski | 4,246 | 73.13% | 1,463 | 25.20% | 97 | 1.67% | 0 | 0.00% | 2,783 | 47.93% | 5,806 |
| Putnam | 12,278 | 73.98% | 3,946 | 23.78% | 371 | 2.24% | 2 | 0.01% | 8,332 | 50.20% | 16,597 |
| Randolph | 8,312 | 75.09% | 2,513 | 22.70% | 243 | 2.20% | 2 | 0.02% | 5,799 | 52.39% | 11,070 |
| Ripley | 11,261 | 78.91% | 2,774 | 19.44% | 229 | 1.60% | 7 | 0.05% | 8,487 | 59.47% | 14,271 |
| Rush | 6,035 | 76.08% | 1,754 | 22.11% | 143 | 1.80% | 0 | 0.00% | 4,281 | 53.97% | 7,932 |
| Scott | 7,331 | 72.11% | 2,701 | 26.57% | 134 | 1.32% | 1 | 0.01% | 4,630 | 45.54% | 10,167 |
| Shelby | 14,568 | 72.87% | 5,023 | 25.13% | 400 | 2.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 9,545 | 47.74% | 19,991 |
| Spencer | 7,357 | 68.32% | 3,213 | 29.84% | 199 | 1.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 4,144 | 38.48% | 10,769 |
| St. Joseph | 53,164 | 46.17% | 59,896 | 52.02% | 1,925 | 1.67% | 153 | 0.13% | -6,732 | -5.85% | 115,138 |
| Starke | 7,466 | 72.56% | 2,650 | 25.75% | 174 | 1.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 4,816 | 46.81% | 10,290 |
| Steuben | 11,327 | 70.08% | 4,513 | 27.92% | 312 | 1.93% | 10 | 0.06% | 6,814 | 42.16% | 16,162 |
| Sullivan | 6,691 | 74.39% | 2,153 | 23.94% | 150 | 1.67% | 0 | 0.00% | 4,538 | 50.45% | 8,994 |
| Switzerland | 3,133 | 75.42% | 964 | 23.21% | 55 | 1.32% | 2 | 0.05% | 2,169 | 52.21% | 4,154 |
| Tippecanoe | 34,581 | 48.40% | 35,017 | 49.01% | 1,832 | 2.56% | 18 | 0.03% | -436 | -0.61% | 71,448 |
| Tipton | 6,110 | 75.28% | 1,834 | 22.60% | 171 | 2.11% | 1 | 0.01% | 4,276 | 52.68% | 8,116 |
| Union | 2,688 | 77.17% | 736 | 21.13% | 59 | 1.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 1,952 | 56.04% | 3,483 |
| Vanderburgh | 41,844 | 53.88% | 34,415 | 44.31% | 1,322 | 1.70% | 81 | 0.10% | 7,429 | 9.57% | 77,662 |
| Vermillion | 5,184 | 69.30% | 2,145 | 28.67% | 151 | 2.02% | 1 | 0.01% | 3,039 | 40.63% | 7,481 |
| Vigo | 24,545 | 56.30% | 18,123 | 41.57% | 900 | 2.06% | 26 | 0.06% | 6,422 | 14.73% | 43,594 |
| Wabash | 10,762 | 73.85% | 3,494 | 23.98% | 317 | 2.18% | 0 | 0.00% | 7,268 | 49.87% | 14,573 |
| Warren | 3,401 | 76.05% | 974 | 21.78% | 96 | 2.15% | 1 | 0.02% | 2,427 | 54.27% | 4,472 |
| Warrick | 21,326 | 63.04% | 11,923 | 35.24% | 557 | 1.65% | 23 | 0.07% | 9,403 | 27.80% | 33,829 |
| Washington | 9,114 | 75.08% | 2,784 | 22.93% | 233 | 1.92% | 8 | 0.07% | 6,330 | 52.15% | 12,139 |
| Wayne | 17,567 | 63.47% | 9,524 | 34.41% | 571 | 2.06% | 17 | 0.06% | 8,043 | 29.06% | 27,679 |
| Wells | 10,855 | 77.26% | 2,928 | 20.84% | 261 | 1.86% | 6 | 0.04% | 7,927 | 56.42% | 14,050 |
| White | 7,957 | 71.26% | 3,032 | 27.15% | 170 | 1.52% | 7 | 0.06% | 4,925 | 44.11% | 11,166 |
| Whitley | 12,862 | 73.26% | 4,234 | 24.12% | 453 | 2.58% | 7 | 0.04% | 8,628 | 49.14% | 17,556 |
Results by congressional district
Trump and Republican candidates won 7 of 9 congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 44.8% | 53.6% | Frank J. Mrvan |
| 2nd | 59.4% | 38.9% | Jackie Walorski |
| 3rd | 63.9% | 34% | Jim Banks |
| 4th | 63.8% | 34% | Jim Baird |
| 5th | 50.1% | 47.9% | Victoria Spartz |
| 6th | 68.8% | 29.1% | Greg Pence |
| 7th | 35.3% | 62.9% | André Carson |
| 8th | 65.1% | 33.1% | Larry Bucshon |
| 9th | 60.8% | 37.2% | Trey Hollingsworth |
See also
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Partisan clients
- This poll is sponsored by Karen Tallian's campaign (D)
References
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- "Indiana Counties by Population".
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- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
- David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
- "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
- "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
- "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
- "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
- "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
- "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- "Presidential Electors for US President & VP". Indiana Secretary of State. December 3, 2020. Retrieved December 13, 2020.
Further reading
- Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington DC: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020,
Indiana
- David Wasserman (October 6, 2020), "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble", The New York Times. (Describes bellwether Vigo County, Indiana)
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Indiana", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Indiana: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Indiana". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Indiana at Ballotpedia
