2021 Kosovan parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections were held in Kosovo on 14 February 2021. The results were a landslide victory for Vetëvendosje led by Albin Kurti and its coalition partner, Vjosa Osmani, former speaker of the parliament of Kosovo. The alliance won more than 50% of the total votes, the highest share since the first elections held in 2001, while their nearest rivals, the Democratic Party, finished in second place, trailing by more than 33%.

2021 Kosovan parliamentary election
Kosovo
14 February 2021

All 120 seats in the Assembly
61 seats needed for a majority
Turnout48.78% (Increase4.19%)
PartyLeader % Seats +/–
Vetëvendosje Albin Kurti 50.28 58 +29
PDK Enver Hoxhaj 17.01 19 -5
LDK Avdullah Hoti 12.73 15 -15
AAK Ramush Haradinaj 7.12 8 -5
Serb List Goran Rakić 5.09 10 0
KDTP Fikrim Damka 0.75 2 0
Vakat Bahrim Šabani 0.62 1 -1
IRDK Elbert Krasniqi 0.38 1 0
RI Gazmend Salijević 0.36 1 New
NDS Emilija Redžepi 0.33 1 0
SDU Duda Balje 0.29 1 New
JGP Adem Hodža 0.25 1 0
PAI Bekim Arifi 0.25 1 0
LPRK Erxhan Galushi 0.14 1 New
Results by each municipality;
  LVV   SL   PDK   AAK   KDTP
Prime Minister before Prime Minister after
Avdullah Hoti
Democratic League
Albin Kurti
Vetëvendosje

Background

The October 2019 parliamentary elections saw opposition party Vetëvendosje emerge as the largest faction in parliament, finishing just ahead of the Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK). The two parties formed a new government on 3 February 2020, with Vetëvendosje leader Albin Kurti as the Prime Minister. Kurti was elected Prime Minister with 66 votes and ten abstentions. The 34 opposition MPs boycotted the vote and left the Assembly building. The coalition soon collapsed as the LDK filed a no-confidence motion on 25 March 2020 due to disagreements over how to handle the coronavirus pandemic. The motion passed, with 82 members of the Assembly voting in favor, the first time a Kosovan government had fallen in such a manner. The Kurti cabinet continued in office as a caretaker government, while the LDK leader Avdullah Hoti attempted to form a government. Although Hoti's eligibility to be Prime Minister had been questioned by Kurti and Vetëvendosje, who claimed that a government could not be formed without the party that won the most seats in the previous elections, on 28 May the Constitutional Court confirmed the LDK had the right to form a government without fresh elections. The Court ruled that after the party that won the elections failed again to form a new government, another party was able to, and Hoti could be approved as Prime Minister in a parliamentary vote.

On 3 June Hoti was elected Prime Minister by a vote of 61–24, with one abstention. However, on 21 December the Constitutional Court ruled that the vote of Etem Arifi of the minority Ashkali Party for Integration in favour of Hoti was invalid (as Arifi had been convicted of fraud) and consequently the government had not received the support of the majority of the Assembly.[1] As a result, fresh elections were called, with the Hoti government continuing as a caretaker government.

Electoral system

The 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities.[2] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.[3] To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.

Parties and coalitions

The Election Commission published the official list of the 28 participating parties and coalitions.[4]

Opinion polls

Pollster Date LVV LDK PDK AAK SL NISMA Other Abstention Lead
UBO Consulting 14 February 2021[nb 1] 47.9 14.6 17.7 6.6 [nb 2] 2.7 [nb 1] 30.2
Albanian Post 14 February 2021[nb 1] 53 17 20 7 [nb 2] 2 [nb 1] 33
KOHA 14 February 2021[nb 1] 50.7 15.1 15.4 6.8 5.8 2.9 3.3 [nb 1] 35.3
PIPOS 14 February 2021[nb 1] 41.8 15.2 16.5 7.2 [nb 2] 2.6 [nb 1] 25.3
PIPOS 12 February 2021 40.95 19.35 22.3 7.8 [nb 2] 3.15 1.4 5.0 18.65
Albanian Post 2 February 2021 51.3 15.5 13.2 5.5 [nb 2] 1.8 35.8
KOZMO 26–30 January 2021 53.6 16.0 17.4 7.2 [nb 2] 3.6 3.2 37.6
PIPOS 29 January 2021 43.8 17.2 21.1 7.0 [nb 2] 2.9 1.0 7.2 22.7
PIPOS 22 January 2021 44.2 17.4 20.4 7.2 [nb 2] 3.1 0.6 7.2 23.8
T7 & GE 22 January 2021 50.8 16.0 16.9 7.0 [nb 2] 3.0 33.9
Riinvest Analytics 11–17 January 2021 54.1 10.3 14.9 6.4 5.0 1.4 4.4 3.5 39.2
PIPOS 15 January 2021 41.6 16.3 20.1 7.5 [nb 2] 1.5 4.7 5.2 21.5
PIPOS 7 January 2021 41.4 15.7 20.8 8.6 [nb 2] 2.0 5.3 6.5 20.6
UBO Consulting 23 December 2020 46.2 14.9 16.0 7.0 2.5 3.5 1.0 1.9 30.2
2019 election 6 October 2019 26.2 24.5 21.2 11.5 6.4 5.0 5.0 1.7

Results

Vetëvendosje won the most votes that any party has won in any Kosovan election since independence. The previous vote share record was held by Ibrahim Rugova's victory in 2001 with 359,851 votes. The 2021 election saw a record number of non-resident citizens who participated in the election via postal voting. In comparison to 35,087 in the 2019 election, 102,100 non-resident citizens gained the right to vote via postal voting in the 2021 election.[5] The counting of the locally cast ballots was completed within a week, while the diaspora vote count was finished on by 3 March.[6]

In the initial results, two newly created minorities parties that had been backed by the Serb List (Romani Initiative and United Community) won two and one seat, respectively. However, the parties faced accusations of strategic voting organised by the Serb List in order gain control of seats outside the ten reserved for Serbs.[7] More than 200 complaints to the Election Panel triggered an investigation that discovered many irregularities, including a suspicious 49% increase in the Bosnian minority vote compared to the 2019 elections, with a large share of those votes having been cast in Serb-dominated areas rather than in their own communities.[8] This led the panel to remove hundreds of votes cast,[9] which caused the loss of one of the two seats won by the Romani Initiative and the single seat won by United Community, a decision confirmed by the Supreme Court.[10][11] The final result was certified by the Central Election Commission (KQZ) on 13 March.[12]

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Vetëvendosje438,33550.2858+29
Democratic Party of Kosovo148,28517.0119–5
Democratic League of Kosovo110,98512.7315–15
Alliance for the Future of Kosovo62,1117.128–5
Serb List44,4075.09100
Social Democratic Initiative21,9972.520–4
Turkish Democratic Party of Kosovo6,4960.7520
Vakat Coalition5,3660.621–1
New Democratic Initiative of Kosovo3,3050.3810
Romani Initiative3,1720.361New
New Democratic Party2,8850.3310
Social Democratic Union2,5490.291New
Egyptian Liberal Party2,4300.280–1
United Community2,2170.250New
Unique Gorani Party2,1610.2510
Ashkali Party for Integration2,1380.2510
Democratic Ashkali Party of Kosovo1,9600.2200
Civic Initiative for Freedom, Justice and Survival1,5080.170New
Our Initiative1,3750.160New
Movement for Integration1,2610.140New
Innovative Turkish Movement Party1,2430.140New
Progressive Movement of Kosovar Roma1,2080.141New
Fjala1,0870.1200
United Roma Party of Kosovo1,0740.120–1
Coalition Together (GIG–PG)1,0100.1200
Kosovar New Romani Party6000.0700
Serbian Democratic Alliance4760.050New
Albanian National Front Party1550.020New
Total871,796100.001200
Valid votes871,79696.38
Invalid/blank votes32,7563.62
Total votes904,552100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,851,92748.84
Source: CEC, CEC, CEC

Reactions

Albin Kurti, leader of the winning party, Vetëvendosje, called the results a vindication of his campaign claim that the election was a "referendum" on what he called a "seizure of the state" during the no-confidence vote held in 2020. All parties which are likely to stand in the opposition were part of the LDK-led governing coalition. They all accepted the results and congratulated Vetëvendosje.[13]

Albanian prime minister Edi Rama and main opposition leader Lulzim Basha both congratulated Kurti.[14][13] Ali Ahmeti, leader of DUI, the main ethnic Albanian party in North Macedonia, congratulated Vetëvendosje and pledged that his party would be a "brother, ally and supporter… as well as partner and cooperator". Shaip Kamberi, an ethnic Albanian MP in the parliament of Serbia, hailed the electoral process and the election results, which according to Kamberi showed "both democratic capacities and functional institutions".[13]

In light of the disappointing results for LDK, party leader Isa Mustafa announced that he would resign.[15]

On 4 April Vjosa Osmani was elected as the second female president of Kosovo by the Assembly.[16]

Notes

  1. Exit poll
  2. Survey processed Albanian settlements only.

References

  1. Kosovo's highest court rules parliamentary vote electing government was illegal Reuters, 21 December 2020
  2. Kosovo IFES/electionguide.org
  3. Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2
  4. "ZGJEDHJET E PARAKOHSHME PËR KUVENDIN E REPUBLIKËS SË KOSOVËS 2021 - PREVREMENI IZBORI ZA SKUPŠTINU REPUBLIKE KOSOVO 2021 - 2021 KOSOVA CUMHURİYETİ MECLİSİ ERKEN SEÇİMLERİ" (PDF). Election Commission (in Albanian). Retrieved 14 February 2021.
  5. "The data behind Kosovo's election". Exit. Archived from the original on 6 March 2021. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
  6. "Kuvendi i ri i Kosovës, kështu do të jetë shpërndarja e deputetëve". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 3 March 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.
  7. "Kosovo Bosniaks Protest About 'Election Trickery'". Balkan Insight. 2 March 2021. Retrieved 10 March 2021.
  8. "Kosovo Election Panel Cancels 'Manipulated' Bosniak and Roma Votes". Balkan Insight. balkaninsight. 8 March 2021. Retrieved 10 March 2021..
  9. Cour Suprême du Kosovo (12 March 2021). "AA.nr.30/2021" (PDF) (in Albanian). Retrieved 12 March 2021.
  10. "Kosovo Election Panel Cancels 'Manipulated' Bosniak and Roma Votes". Balkan Insight. 8 March 2021. Retrieved 10 March 2021.
  11. "AA.nr.30/2021" (PDF). Supreme Court (in Albanian). 12 March 2021. Retrieved 12 March 2021.
  12. "KQZ-ja certifikon rezultatet e zgjedhjeve, VV-ja fiton me mbi 50 % të votave". Koha (in Albanian). 13 March 2021. Retrieved 13 March 2021.
  13. Bami, Xhorxhina (15 February 2021). "Defeated Rivals Congratulate Vetevendosje on Victory in Kosovo Election". BalkanInsight. Retrieved 15 February 2021.
  14. "Rama uron fitoren e Lëvizjes Vetëvendosje: Vullneti i popullit të mishërohet me kapitull të ri!". Kallxo.
  15. "LDK leader Isa Mustafa steps down following electoral defeat". Archived from the original on 5 March 2021. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
  16. "Kosovo MPs elect lawyer Vjosa Osmani as president". Deutsche Welle. 4 April 2021. Retrieved 5 April 2021.
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