2022 Mississauga—Lakeshore federal by-election

A by-election was held in the federal riding of Mississauga—Lakeshore in Ontario on December 12, 2022, following the resignation of incumbent Liberal MP Sven Spengemann.[1] After 6 years in Parliament, Spengemann resigned on May 27, 2022, to accept a role with the United Nations.[2][3] The election was won by former Ontario finance minister Charles Sousa.

2022 Mississauga—Lakeshore federal by-election

December 12, 2022 (2022-12-12)

Riding of Mississauga—Lakeshore
  First party Second party
 
Candidate Charles Sousa Ron Chhinzer
Party Liberal Conservative
Popular vote 12,766 9,215
Percentage 51.45% 37.14%
Swing Increase 6.50% Decrease 1.54%

  Third party Fourth party
 
Candidate Julia Kole Mary Kidnew
Party New Democratic Green
Popular vote 1,231 792
Percentage 4.96% 3.19%
Swing Decrease 4.79% Increase 0.94%

MP before election

Sven Spengemann
Liberal

Elected MP

Charles Sousa
Liberal

Background

Constituency

Mississauga—Lakeshore includes the Mississauga neighbourhoods of Clarkson, Lakeview, Lorne Park, Mineola, Port Credit, Sheridan, Sheridan Park, Southdown and parts of Erindale and Cooksville.

Conservative support is centred in the central part of the riding, particularly in the upscale Lorne Park and Mineola areas, while the Liberals tend to do better along the waterfront of the riding, such as Port Credit and Lakeview, and the eastern and western edges of the riding in neighbourhoods like Clarkson and Sheridan.

Representation

The riding has been continuously represented by Liberals since 1993, except from between 2011 and 2015 when the riding was held by the Conservatives. Despite its recent history as a Liberal riding, the Liberals have rarely won the riding by large margins since the merger of the Conservative Party in 2003. Starting in 2015, as a part of the overall Liberal dominance of Greater Toronto Area seats and ridings, the riding has gone and stayed Liberal. Incumbent Sven Spengemann successfully defeated Conservative Stella Ambler in 2015 and 2019 and Conservative challenger Michael Ras in the 2021 snap election.

Campaign

The Speaker's warrant regarding the vacancy was received on May 30, 2022; under the Parliament of Canada Act the writ for a by-election had to be dropped no later than November 26, 2022, 180 days after the Chief Electoral Officer was officially notified of the vacancy via a warrant issued by the Speaker.[4] Under the Canada Elections Act, the minimum length of a campaign is 36 days between dropping the writ and election day.[4]

Candidates

Running for the Liberals is former MPP Charles Sousa, who represented the area provincially from 2007 to 2018 and previously served in the provincial cabinets of Dalton McGuinty and Kathleen Wynne, including as Minister of Finance from 2013 to 2018.[5][6][7] Alex Crombie, a former Queen's Park staffer and son of Mississauga mayor Bonnie Crombie, was seen as a potential candidate prior to Sousa's nomination.[8]

Running for the Conservatives is Ron Chhinzer, a police officer of 20 years.[6] As a police officer, Chhinzer was a founding member of the Toronto Police Service's Integrated Gang Prevention Task Force, which was involved in implementing the city's gang exit strategy.[9] Former Conservative candidate Michael Ras, who finished second to Spengemann in 2021, considered running for the nomination before declining on social media.[5]

The NDP has nominated Julia Kole, who ran for the seat's provincial counterpart in the provincial election earlier in the year. Julia previously worked as a Constituency Assistant for an MPP in Brampton. She holds a BA in accounting and an MSc in Environmental Policy and Management.[10]

Running for the Green Party is Mary Kidnew, the founder of the Mississauga-Lakeshore Green Party Electoral District Association (EDA), known community advocate and a past president of the Hillcrest Ratepayers Association.[6][11]

The People's Party nominated Khaled Al-Sudani as their candidate.[12]

Rhinoceros Party leader Sébastien CoRhino will contest the by-election.[13]

The Longest Ballot Committee[14] organized a protest against the Trudeau government's abandonment of electoral reform in 2017 by running thirty-three independent candidates, breaking their own record for most candidates nominated in a single riding in Canada, previously set in the riding of Saint Boniface—Saint Vital in the 2021 Canadian federal election.[15]

Polling

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Undecided Margin
of Error[1]
Sample
Size[2]
Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet ResearchOctober 27, 2022PDF40.537.96.45.31.11.713.2±4.3 pp521IVR
43.540.86.95.71.21.9
Mainstreet ResearchDecember 8, 2022PDF47.538.86.04.63.121.5±5.9 pp279IVR
48.739.84.73.22.11.5

Results

Canadian federal by-election, December 12, 2022: Mississauga—Lakeshore
Resignation of Sven Spengemann
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalCharles Sousa12,76651.45+6.50
ConservativeRon Chhinzer9,21537.14-1.54
New DemocraticJulia Kole1,2314.96-4.79
GreenMary Kidnew7923.19+0.94
People'sKhaled Al-Sudani2931.18-3.03
IndependentSean Carson480.19
IndependentCharles Currie440.18
IndependentPatrick Strzalkowski380.15
IndependentPeter House310.12
IndependentMélodie Anderson290.12
RhinocerosSébastien CoRhino240.10-0.07
IndependentConrad Lukawski230.09
IndependentAdam Smith230.09
IndependentStephen Davis210.08
IndependentMarie-Hélène LeBel170.07
IndependentEliana Rosenblum170.07
IndependentMyriam Beaulieu160.06
IndependentRoger Sherwood140.06
IndependentJohn The Engineer Turmel140.06
IndependentJevin David Carroll120.05
IndependentSpencer Rocchi120.05
IndependentTomas Szuchewycz120.05
IndependentJulie St-Amand110.04
IndependentMark Dejewski110.04
IndependentJulian Selody100.04
IndependentBen Teichman100.04
IndependentMylène Bonneau90.04
IndependentKerri Hildebrandt90.04
IndependentLine Bélanger80.03
IndependentAlexandra Engering80.03
IndependentSamuel Jubinville80.03
IndependentJean-Denis Parent Boudreault70.03
IndependentDaniel Gagnon70.03
IndependentDarcy Justin Vanderwater60.02
IndependentDonovan Eckstrom50.02
IndependentDonald Gagnon50.02
IndependentMartin Acetaria Caesar Jubinville30.01
IndependentYsack Dupont20.01
IndependentPascal St-Amand20.01
IndependentAlain Lamontagne10.00
Total valid votes 24,814
Total rejected ballots 1350.54
Turnout 24,94927.76
Eligible voters 89,863
Liberal hold Swing +4.02
Source: Elections Canada[16][17]

2021 result

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalSven Spengemann25,28444.94-3.14
ConservativeMichael Ras21,76138.68+1.65
New DemocraticSarah Walji5,4889.75+1.44
People'sVahid Seyfaie2,3674.21+3.04
GreenElizabeth Robertson1,2652.25-2.33
RhinocerosKayleigh Tahk940.17-
Total valid votes 56,259
Total rejected ballots 5240.92
Turnout 56,78363.82
Eligible voters 88,977
Liberal hold Swing -2.40
Source: Elections Canada[18]

References

  1. Lee, Heidi (November 6, 2022). "Federal by-election to take place in Mississauga-Lakeshore on Dec. 12". Global News. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  2. Tumilty, Ryan (May 18, 2022). "Liberal MP Sven Spengemann to resign from GTA seat almost eight months after re-election". Montreal Gazette. Retrieved May 18, 2022.
  3. Cornwell, Steve (May 19, 2022). "Mississauga Liberal MP resigns to work for United Nations less than a year after re-election". The Mississauga News. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
  4. "Vacant Seats in the House of Commons Since the 2021 General Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  5. Rana, Abbas (June 3, 2022). "Former Ontario finance minister Sousa not ruling out run for federal Liberal nomination in coveted Mississauga-Lakeshore riding". The Hill Times. Retrieved June 3, 2022.
  6. Rana, Abbas (October 17, 2022). "'High stakes' byelection in Mississauga-Lakeshore considered 'first battle of the next general election campaign,' say political insiders". The Hill Times. Retrieved October 18, 2022.
  7. Callan, Isaac (November 5, 2022). "Former Ontario finance minister Charles Sousa set to run in federal byelection". Global News. Retrieved November 5, 2022.
  8. Rana, Abbas (October 31, 2022). "Alex Crombie could seek Liberal nomination for byelection in Mississauga-Lakeshore". The Hill Times. Retrieved October 31, 2022.
  9. "MVote Ron Chhinzer for Mississauga-Lakeshore". ronchhinzer.ca. Retrieved November 30, 2022.
  10. "Julia Kole (she/her)". LinkedIn. Retrieved November 27, 2022.
  11. Cornwell, Steven (August 20, 2022). "'NDP and Green Party announce candidates for upcoming Mississauga federal byelection". Mississauga News. Retrieved October 18, 2022.
  12. PPC HQ - People's Party of Canada [@peoplespca] (November 12, 2022). "Congratulations to Khaled Al-Sudani, our candidate for the upcoming Mississauga-Lakeshore by-election on December 12! t.co/uwEmbizCMu" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 18, 2022. Retrieved December 2, 2022 via Twitter.
  13. Sébastien CoRhino (November 9, 2022). "Done deal. Next thing: I'll win this election. Get ready Mississauga!!!!". Facebook. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
  14. Longest Ballot Committee Mississauga-Lakeshore [@LongestBallot] (November 22, 2022). "It's ok to run as an independent candidate and I'm tired of pretending it's not. #mississaugalakeshore #cdnpoli #longestballot t.co/tfCM3D3jp9" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 28, 2022. Retrieved December 2, 2022 via Twitter.
  15. Patrick Cain (November 22, 2022). "Mississauga-Lakeshore byelection will have at least 40 candidates, a national record". ipolitics.ca. Retrieved November 24, 2022.
  16. "Election Candidates - By-election - December 12, 2022". Elections Canada. Retrieved December 2, 2022.
  17. "Election Night Results - Electoral Districts". Elections Canada. December 16, 2022. Retrieved December 22, 2022.
  18. "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.