2023 Mulgrave state by-election

The 2023 Mulgrave state by-election will take place on 18 November 2023 to elect the next member for Mulgrave in the Victorian Legislative Assembly, following the resignation of Premier Daniel Andrews.[1]

2023 Mulgrave state by-election
18 November 2023
Electoral district of Mulgrave in the Victorian Legislative Assembly
 
ALP
IND
Candidate Eden Foster Ian Cook
Party Labor Independent
 
LIB
GRN
Candidate Courtney Mann Rhonda Garad
Party Liberal Greens
Map of boundaries
Incumbent MP

Daniel Andrews
Labor


Background

Resignation of Daniel Andrews

At a media conference on 26 September 2023, Daniel Andrews announced his resignation as premier, leader of the Victorian Labor Party, and member for Mulgrave, to take effect the following day. He cited thoughts of life following his premiership, which he felt meant "it is time to go".[2][3]

Seat details

Mulgrave has been represented in the Victorian Legislative Assembly on two separate occasions. Its first appearance as an electoral district was during the 1958 Victorian state election, when it was captured by Ray Wiltshire of the Victorian Liberal Party. At the time, Mulgrave was regarded as a secure stronghold for the Liberal Party as its two-party-preferred vote never reached below 60 per cent. Wiltshire continued to serve as the Member of Parliament (MP) for Mulgrave until the 1967 Victorian state election, when the district was abolished. Subsequently, it was replaced by Syndal which Wiltshire represented until his retirement in 1976. The electorate was reestablished at the 2002 Victorian state election, replacing Dandenong North and won by Daniel Andrews who had held the seat up until his resignation in 2023.

Demographics

At the 2021 Australian census, Mulgrave had a median age of 40, slightly higher than the state and the rest of Australia. The electorate also boasts a significant population with Chinese ancestry comprising 17% of its residents, compared to the state where the rate is 6.6%. There are also large Vietnamese and Greek communities. Furthermore, 32.7% of Mulgrave's residents have attained a bachelor's degree or higher, and the median weekly personal income stands at $746.[4]

Two-party-preferred vote in Mulgrave, 2002-2022
Election 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
  Labor 66.20% 65.60% 58.48% 54.50% 62.71% 60.20%
  Liberal 33.80% 35.40% 41.52% 45.50% 37.30% 39.80%
Government ALP ALP L/NP ALP ALP ALP

Candidates
Party Candidate Background
Independent Ian Cook Small business owner and candidate for Mulgrave at the 2022 election[5]
Victorian Socialists Kelly Cvetkova Retail worker, student and candidate for Thomastown at the 2022 election[6]
Labor Eden Foster Mayor of Greater Dandenong[7]
Libertarian Ethelyn King Libertarian South-Eastern Metropolitain Region candidate at the 2022 election[8]
Greens Rhonda Garad Greater Dandenong councillor
Family First Jane Foreman Family First candidate for Mulgrave at the 2022 election[9]
Sustainable Australia Celeste Ackerly Proud Trawlwoolway woman and environmental studies graduate student[10]
Liberal Courtney Mann Staffer for John Pesutto and candidate for Mulgrave in 2010

Despite former-Premier Jeff Kennett urging the party not to do so[11], Victorian Liberal Party leader John Pesutto has confirmed that the party will run a candidate[12].

2022 Results
This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Victorian state election (Legislative Assembly) § Mulgrave.[edit]
2022 Victorian state election: Mulgrave[13][14][15][16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Daniel Andrews 19,365 51.0 −8.5
Independent Ian Cook 6,838 18.0 +18.0
Liberal Michael Piastrino 6,528 17.2 −11.0
Greens Robert Lim 1,930 5.1 −1.3
Freedom Aidan McLindon 824 2.2 +2.2
Family First Jane Foreman 749 2.0 +2.0
Animal Justice David Mould 419 1.1 +0.9
Democratic Labour Maree Wood 327 0.9 −1.3
Independent Fotini Theodossopoulou 305 0.8 +0.8
Independent Andrew King 173 0.4 +0.4
Ind. (PIBCI) Joseph Toscano 155 0.4 +0.4
Independent Anne Moody 146 0.4 +0.4
Independent Howard Lee 120 0.3 +0.3
Independent Ezra J. D. Isma 92 0.2 +0.2
Total formal votes 37,924 91.2 −2.7
Informal votes 3,650 8.7 +2.7
Turnout 41,574 88.4 +3.3
Notional two-party-preferred count
Labor Daniel Andrews 22,976 60.2 −5.6
Liberal Michael Piastrino 15,191 39.8 +5.6
Two-candidate-preferred result
Labor Daniel Andrews 23,070 60.8 −5.0
Independent Ian Cook 14,854 39.2 +39.2
Labor hold Swing−5.0

See also

References
  1. Eddie, Rachel; Carmody, Broede (26 September 2023). "Daniel Andrews to stand down as Victorian premier immediately". The Age. Retrieved 26 September 2023.
  2. Ore, Adeshola (26 September 2023). "Daniel Andrews resignation: Anthony Albanese 'surprised' by announcement". The Guardian. Retrieved 26 September 2023.
  3. Bennett, Emily (26 September 2023). "How Australians reacted to the resignation of Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews". Nine News. Retrieved 26 September 2023.
  4. "2021 Mulgrave (Vic.), Census All persons QuickStats | Australian Bureau of Statistics". abs.gov.au. Retrieved 2023-09-28.
  5. "I Cook Foods boss says 'the people of Mulgrave have been neglected by the Premier for years'". Herald Sun.
  6. "Victorian Socialists is proud to announce Kelly Cvetkova as our candidate for this election". Twitter. Victorian Socialists.
  7. Lucadou-Wells, Cam. "Mayor running for Mulgrave". Dandenong Star Journal.
  8. "I'm proud to announce that Ethelyn King is the very first Libertarian Party candidate, running for the seat of Mulgrave". Twitter. David Limbrick MP.
  11. Hevesi, Bryant. "Mulgrave by-election set for November 18 after Daniel Andrews' resignation as Jeff Kennett urges Liberals not to contest poll". Sky News.
  12. Hevesi, Bryant. "Mulgrave by-election: John Pesutto confirms Liberal Party will run a candidate in Daniel Andrews' former seat". Sky News.
  13. Green, Antony (11 January 2023). "VIC22 – 2-Party Preferred Results and Swings by District". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 28 January 2023.
  14. VIC 2021 Final Redistribution, ABC News. [Retrieved 1 January 2023.
  15. Mulgrave District results, Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 1 December 2022.
  16. Full preference distributions – 2022 State election, Victorian Electoral Commission. [Retrieved 17 June 2023.
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