Next Serbian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections will be held in Serbia by 30 April 2026 to elect members of the National Assembly. Throughout 2023, the possibility of having a snap election in 2023 or 2024 was discussed; Aleksandar Vučić, the president of Serbia, announced, first in September and again in October 2023, that the elections could be held instead on 17 December 2023, concurrently with the provincial, local, and Belgrade City Assembly elections.

Next Serbian parliamentary election
Serbia
by 30 April 2026
All 250 seats in the National Assembly
126 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader Current seats
SNS coalition Miloš Vučević 109
SPS–ZS Ivica Dačić 23
PE Marinika Tepić 15
NADA Miloš Jovanović 14
DS Zoran Lutovac 10
JS Dragan Marković 8
Narodna Vuk Jeremić 8
NPS–EU–NLS Miroslav Aleksić 8
SSZ Milica Đurđević
Stamenkovski		 8
SDPS Rasim Ljajić 7
PUPS Milan Krkobabić 6
Dveri Boško Obradović 6
SPP–DSHV–USS Usame Zukorlić 6
Zajedno Nebojša Zelenović 5
VMSZ István Pásztor 5
ZLF Radomir Lazović 5
Independents 7
Incumbent Prime Minister
Ana Brnabić
SNS

The Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) came to power after the 2012 election when it formed a coalition government with the Socialist Party of Serbia. In the 2022 parliamentary election, SNS lost its parliamentary majority while opposition parties returned to the National Assembly. The United for the Victory of Serbia alliance, which placed second, was dissolved shortly after the election. Ana Brnabić, who has been the prime minister since 2017, and her third cabinet were inaugurated in October 2022. Her cabinet saw several changes in 2023; Branko Ružić resigned and Rade Basta was dismissed.

Brnabić's cabinet has also been involved in the North Kosovo crisis and has been faced with the anti-government protests since May 2023, which were triggered after the Belgrade school shooting and a mass murder near Mladenovac and Smederevo. Opposition parties organising the protests formed a joint coalition, while Dveri and Serbian Party Oathkeepers also formalised the Serbian State-Building Bloc coalition in October 2023 for the upcoming elections.

Background

A populist coalition, led by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), came to power after the 2012 election, along with the Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS).[1][2] Aleksandar Vučić, who initially served as deputy prime minister and later as prime minister, was elected president in 2017 and re-elected in 2022.[3][4] Since he came to power, observers have assessed that Serbia has suffered from democratic backsliding into authoritarianism, followed by a decline in media freedom and civil liberties.[5][6] In 2023, the V-Dem Institute categorised Serbia as an electoral autocracy, while Freedom House noted that SNS "eroded political rights and civil liberties, put pressure on independent media, the opposition, and civil society organisations".[7][8][9]

The Together We Can Do Everything coalition, which was led by SNS, lost its parliamentary majority in the 2022 parliamentary election, but the election also oversaw twelve electoral lists in total, including the ones from the opposition, that crossed the 3 percent threshold.[10] Non-governmental and election monitoring organisations reported that electoral irregularities occurred during the voting day.[11][12][13] Following the election, the United for the Victory of Serbia (UZPS) coalition, which placed second, was dissolved.[14][15]

Ana Brnabić, who has been the prime minister since 2017, and her third cabinet were sworn in on 26 October 2022.[16] Rade Basta, a minister in Brnabić's cabinet, voiced his support for introducing sanctions on Russia in March 2023.[17] SPS and United Serbia (JS) later submitted a proposal to dismiss him from government, which went successful.[18][19] In May 2023, Vučić was succeeded by Miloš Vučević as president of SNS.[20]

North Kosovo crisis
Further information: North Kosovo crisis (2022–present) and Banjska attack
Two trucks roadblocking in North Kosovo
Tensions between Serbia and Kosovo escalated in July 2022

Beginning in July 2022, tensions between Serbia and Kosovo heightened, firstly due to the expiration of the eleven-year validity period for car documents.[21][22] After negotiations with the diplomatic representatives of the European Union in August, an agreement on car documents was reached.[23] The agreement went into effect on 1 September, with the deadline for obtaining new car documents set for 31 October 2022.[22] A proposed agreement to normalise tensions, later-informally known as the Ohrid Agreement, was sent to Serbia and Kosovo by Jens Plötner and Emmanuel Bonne and was leaked in September 2022.[24] Its existence was confirmed by Serbia and Kosovo a month later.[25] Shortly before the deadline for the car documents expired, Albin Kurti, the prime minister of Kosovo, announced that a phased implementation would instead be implemented up to 21 April 2023.[26] In protest to the announcement, hundreds of Kosovo Serb police officers, mayors, and Serb List politicians resigned from their positions.[27] Another agreement was reached in November 2022, after negotiations with the European Union; it was announced that licence plates issued by Serbia would continue to be in use in North Kosovo.[28][29]

After claims that the Regional Operational Support Unit (ROSU) allegedly raided North Mitrovica in December 2022, Serbia announced that it would deploy Serbian forces to Kosovo.[30] The government of Kosovo rejected the claim that ROSU entered North Mitrovica, while Kosovo Force rejected Serbia's request to deploy Serbian forces to Kosovo.[31][32] Amidst this, barricades were put up in North Kosovo and ultranationalist protests were organised in Belgrade.[33][34] Negotiations between Serbia and Kosovo continued, and in March 2023 Vučić and Kurti verbally agreed to implement the Ohrid Agreement.[35]

An attack perpetrated by Serb militants occurred on 24 September 2023 in Banjska, a village in North Kosovo.[36][37] The attack resulted in death of one Kosovo Police officer and three Serb militants.[36] Milan Radoičić, a businessman and member of the Serb List, admitted being involved in the attack; he was later arrested by the government of Serbia, but the Supreme Court denied the motion to place Radoičić in custody for 30 days and he was ultimately released.[38][39] In response to the attack, Serbia declared a national day of mourning for 27 September due to the death of three Serb militants.[40] Kosovo alleged that the Serb participants had close relations with Vučić and the government of Serbia.[41][42] The European Parliament also adopted a resolution to introduce measures against Serbia if proven to be directly involved in the attack.[43]

2023 protests
Further information: 2023 Serbian protests
Demonstrators protesting in the Kneza Miloša Street on 19 May 2023
Demonstrators on 19 May 2023

In May 2023, the Belgrade school shooting and a mass murder near Mladenovac and Smederevo occurred.[44][45] The government responded by adopting measures such as stricter regulations on gun ownership and hiring 1,200 police officers to schools.[46][47] It was also criticised, particularly due to the statement of Branko Ružić, the minister of education, who said that "a cancerous, pernicious influence of the Internet, video games, and so-called Western values, is evident" in the shooting, and Brnabić, who said that the "system did not fail" when responding to the claims that the government could have stopped the shootings.[48][49]

This resulted in mass protests, named Serbia Against Violence, which began on 8 May.[50][51] Tens of thousands attended the protests.[52][53][54] Despite being organised by the Democratic Party (DS), Do not let Belgrade drown (NDB), Party of Freedom and Justice (SSP), People's Party (Narodna), and Together opposition parties, no party signs were reported to be seen at the protests.[55] In response to Serbia Against Violence protests, Vučić held an SNS-organised gathering on 26 May.[56] A number of farmers also protested from 16 to 20 May.[57][58] As of October 2023, the protests have been continuously organised in Belgrade and other cities since May 2023.[59][60][61]

In response to the shootings, and a day before the protests began, Ružić announced his resignation.[62] Đorđe Milićević was appointed as acting minister and was succeeded by Slavica Đukić Dejanović in late July 2023.[63][64] As one of the demands of the protests, organisers initiated a motion in the National Assembly to dismiss minister Bratislav Gašić in early July 2023, however, the motion was unsuccessful.[65]

Electoral system
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Elections
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The 250 members of the National Assembly are elected by closed-list proportional representation from a single nationwide constituency.[66][67] Eligible voters vote for electoral lists, on which the candidates of the accepted lists are present.[67] A maximum of 250 candidates could be present on a single electoral list.[67] An electoral list could be submitted by a registered political party, a coalition of political parties, or a citizens' group.[67] To submit an electoral list, at least 10,000 valid signatures must be collected, though ethnic minority parties only need to collect 5,000 signature to qualify on ballot.[67][68] At least 40 percent of candidates on electoral lists must be female.[69] The electoral list is submitted by its chosen representative.[70] An electoral list could be declined, after which those who had submitted can fix the deficiencies in a span of 48 hours, or rejected, if the person is not authorised to nominate candidates.[70] The name and date of the election, names of the electoral lists and its representatives, and information on how to vote are only present on the voting ballot.[70]

The Republic Electoral Commission (RIK), local election commissions, and polling boards oversee the election.[70] Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method with an electoral threshold of 3 percent of all votes cast, although the threshold is waived for ethnic minority parties.[66][71] The seats are distributed by dividing the total number of votes received by the electoral list participating in the distribution of seats by each number from one to 250.[70] If two or more electoral lists receive the same quotients on the basis of which the seat is distributed, the electoral list that received the greater number of votes has priority.[70] Parliamentary seats are awarded to candidates from electoral lists according to their order, starting with the first candidate from an electoral list.[67]

A parliamentary election is called by the president, who also has to announce its date and dissolve the National Assembly in the process.[67][70] According to law, the next parliamentary election is supposed to take place by 30 April 2026.[72] It is possible for a snap election to take place.[73] To vote, a person has to be a citizen and resident of Serbia and at least 18 years old.[72] For those who live abroad, they are able to vote at diplomatic missions.[66] At least five days before the election, citizens are notified about the election; citizens receive information about the day and time of the election and the address of the polling station where they can vote.[67] During the election day, eligible voters could vote from 07:00 (UTC+01:00) to 20:00, though if the polling station is opened later than 07:00, voting is then extended by the amount of time for which the opening of the polling station was delayed.[70]

Election date

In April 2023, newspaper Danas reported that a snap parliamentary election, local elections, the Vojvodina provincial election, and the Belgrade City Assembly election could be held as early as in November 2023.[74] Days after the beginning of the 2023 protests, Vučić said that snap elections could take place before September 2023.[75][76] A month later, Vučić said that "now it is clear that we will have early parliamentary elections, it is only a matter of time when they will be held".[77] At a press conference in July 2023, Vučić said that an early election "could take place in September or December if the opposition parties agree. And if not, we will have general elections in April or May 2024, to be held concurrently with the Vojvodina provincial election and the regular local elections".[78] By law, the Vojvodina provincial election and regular local elections could be held as late as 30 June 2024.[79] A month later, in August, Vučić said that provincial and local elections will "certainly be held in the next six or seven months", and that "most likely, parliamentary ones will be held as well".[80]

Newspaper Nova and news portal N1 reported in September 2023 that local, provincial, and parliamentary elections could be held as early as 19 December 2023.[81][82] Vučić and Vučević also held a gathering with officials from Vojvodina on 5 September.[83] In late September, Vučić announced that the elections will be called in December 2023 for them to be organised on 4 March 2024.[84] He subsequently announced, first in September and again in October, that the elections could be held on 17 December 2023.[85][86] The decision to hold snap elections was confirmed on 28 September at a government session.[87] For the election to take place on 17 December, the government of Serbia has to formally propose to dissolve the National Assembly between 18 October and 2 November.[88] The president of Serbia then has 72 hours to decide whether to dissolve the National Assembly or not.[88] However, the official campaign period would only last 45 days if the election is to be called on 2 November.[89]

Election conditions

A group of opposition parties, the Forward to Europe (PE) and Green–Left Front (ZLF) parliamentary groups, sent a joint letter to Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) and other election observers in Serbia in September 2023, with the request to declare the election conditions for the upcoming elections.[90] PE and ZLF alleged that the conditions have worsened since the 2022 parliamentary election while they also added that the organisations should "consider them unfree and undemocratic if they are held without the recommendations from the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR) report.[90] In an Insajder interview, political scientist Cvijetin Milivojević also claimed that the conditions are "now maybe even worse", however, he added that due to the short campaign timespan "it is impossible to fix those conditions now".[91] Dejan Bursać, a teaching associate at the Institute for Political Studies, and Jovana Đurbabić, from non-governmental and monitoring organisation CRTA, listed "unequal access to the media, campaign of party officials, and control of the elections at the polling stations" as main three problems of the election conditions in Serbia.[92]

After PE and ZLF, Brnabić also called OSCE and ODIHR in October 2023 to monitor the elections, while claiming that opposition parties are "frivolous and are trying to involve foreign factors in causing chaos" and that they are "trying to form a perception that there is no framework for free and democratic elections".[93][94][95] Brnabić claimed that "79 percent of ODIHR's recommendations have been implemented" and that election conditions have been improved.[96][97] In its analysis, CRTA claimed that conditions have been only improved in administrative aspects and that recommendations related to voter pressure, misuse of public resources, and media coverage remain unfulfilled.[97] DS sent another request to OSCE in October 2023.[98] The Committee for Culture and Information of the National Assembly amended the ban on campaign of party officials, extending it to 30 days, as part of the proposed changes to the Law on Public Information and Media which the National Assembly adopted on 26 October.[99][100]

ODIHR announced that it would monitor the elections and that it would deploy 30 long-term observers and 250 observers that would observe the elections on the election day.[101]

Political parties
See also: List of political parties in Serbia

The table below lists political parties and coalitions elected in the National Assembly after the 2022 parliamentary election.[102] Out of 19 electoral lists, only 7 crossed the 3 percent threshold while 5 minority electoral lists crossed the waived electoral threshold.[102] The official results were postponed until 5 July, due to the repeated voting in Veliki Trnovac, where a seat in the National Assembly was battled between SPS and the Albanian Coalition of Preševo Valley (KSLP), led by the Party for Democratic Action.[103][104] At the fifth repeat election, held on 30 June, KSLP won enough votes to earn a seat in the National Assembly.[105]

Name Ideology Political position Leader 2022 result
Votes (%) Seats
SNS–led coalition Populism Big tent Aleksandar Vučić 44.27%
120 / 250
United for the Victory of Serbia Anti-corruption Centre Marinika Tepić 14.09%
38 / 250
SPS–JS–ZS Populism Big tent Ivica Dačić 11.79%
31 / 250
National Democratic Alternative National conservatism Right-wing Miloš Jovanović 5.54%
15 / 250
We Must Green politics Centre-left to left-wing Nebojša Zelenović 4.84%
13 / 250
Dveri–POKS Serbian nationalism Right-wing to far-right Boško Obradović 3.92%
10 / 250
Serbian Party Oathkeepers Ultranationalism Far-right Milica Đurđević
Stamenkovski		 3.82%
10 / 250
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians Minority politics István Pásztor 1.63%
5 / 250
Justice and Reconciliation Party Usame Zukorlić 0.97%
3 / 250
DSHV–ZZV Tomislav Žigmanov 0.65%
2 / 250
SDA Sandžak Sulejman Ugljanin 0.56%
2 / 250
Party for Democratic Action Shaip Kamberi 0.27%
1 / 250

Current composition

The thirteenth convocation of the National Assembly held its first session on 1 August 2022, at which the current parliamentary composition was formalised.[106][107] Vladimir Orlić of SNS was elected president of the National Assembly on 2 August, while Sandra Božić (SNS), Snežana Paunović (SPS), Elvira Kovács (Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians), Usame Zukorlić (Justice and Reconciliation Party), Božidar Delić (National Democratic Alternative), Borko Stefanović (SPP), and Zoran Lutovac (DS) were elected vice-presidents.[108] Delić died shortly after taking office and was replaced by Vojislav Mihailović in November 2022.[109][110] The composition of the National Assembly has changed since the first session in August 2022; for example, the European Regions, a parliamentary group composed of minority interest parties, briefly existed until October 2022.[111][112] The last session of the thirteenth convocation was held from 23 to 26 October.[113][114]

Current parliamentary composition[115]
Groups Parties MPs
Seats Total
Aleksandar Vučić – Together We Can Do Everything SNS 99 109
PSS–BK 3
SNP 2
PS 2
SPO 2
NSS 1
Ivica Dačić – Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS) SPS 22 23
ZS 1
Forward to Europe – SSP, PSG, Reversal, Sloga SSP 9 15
PSG 3
PZP 1
USS Sloga 1
Fatherland 1
NADA – New DSS – POKS NDSS 7 14
POKS 7
Democratic Party – DS DS 10 10
United Serbia – Dragan Marković Palma JS 7 8
People's Party Narodna 8 8
People's Movement of Serbia – Ecological Uprising – New Face of Serbia NPS 4 8
EU 3
NLS 1
Serbian Party Oathkeepers SSZ 8 8
Social Democratic Party of Serbia SDPS 7 7
PUPS – Solidarity and Justice PUPS 6 6
Serbian Movement Dveri – Patriotic Bloc Dveri 6 6
For Reconciliation SPP–USS–DSHV SPP 2 6
DSHV 1
USS 1
Independents 2
We Must – Together Together 5 5
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians VMSZ/SVM 5 5
Green–Left Front, Do not let Belgrade drown ZLF 5 5
MPs not members of parliamentary groups SDAS 1 7
NN–IJS 1
PVD/PDD 1
SSD 1
ZZV 1
Independents 2

Pre-election activities

Government parties

Vučić hinted at a potential formation of a bloc or a movement in September 2022, which he later revealed in March 2023 to be the People's Movement for the State (NPZD).[116][117] He said that NPZD would act as a "supra-party movement" and that SNS would not be dissolved.[118] Vučević confirmed that SNS would take part in the movement.[119][120] It was announced that the movement is set to be formed in autumn 2023.[121] As of October 2023, the movement has not yet been formed.[122] Political commentators have pointed out that SPS is divided on the issue of joining NPZD and that as a result, the formalisation of NPZD was delayed.[122] Predrag J. Marković, one of the vice-presidents of SPS, has said that "SPS would lose its identity if it joins [NPZD]".[123] Bojan Klačar, the executive director of CeSID, has said that with the September 2023 announcement that the elections would be held on 17 December, "the creation of the Movement could be risky".[124] Considering that NPZD was not mentioned at the main board session of SNS in October 2023, Đorđe Vukadinović of Nova srpska politička misao (NSPM) and political analyst Dragomir Anđelković argued that NPZD could be used only as a slogan for the upcoming elections.[125] Vučić, however, announced in late October 2023 that NPZD will be formed "in the coming period".[126]

Tomislav Žigmanov, the president of the Democratic Alliance of Croats in Vojvodina (DSHV), announced in October 2023 that DSHV would contest the next election in an electoral alliance, with the justification being "because minorities in Serbia do not have guaranteed seats in the parliament".[127] Rasim Ljajić, the president of the Social Democratic Party of Serbia (SDPS), announced that SDPS would most likely contest the elections again with SNS.[128] SDPS has contested every parliamentary election since 2014 on the SNS-led electoral list.[129] Additionally, SNS and SPS announced that they would not contest the parliamentary election together and that SPS would again take part in the election Greens of Serbia.[130] Nova also reported that disagreements between SPS and JS occurred due to the number of seats JS received in the 2022 parliamentary election, with SPS proposing JS to not have more than three tantamount to election seats for the next parliamentary election.[131] The Party for Sandžak, aligned with Ljajić since 2004, announced that it would contest the elections alone and not with SDPS.[132]

Opposition parties

After the dissolution of the UZPS coalition, SSP, Movement of Free Citizens, Movement for Reversal, and United Trade Unions of Serbia Sloga, formed the Ujedinjeni parliamentary group in the National Assembly in August 2022.[14][133] Ujedinjeni changed its name to Forward to Europe in July 2023.[134] Zdravko Ponoš, the presidential candidate of the UPZS coalition, left Narodna after the 2022 elections.[135] He formed the Serbia Centre (SRCE) organisation in June 2022 and in July 2023 it was registered as a political party.[136][137] The Movement of Free Serbia, which was also a member of the UZPS coalition, merged into DS in September 2022.[138]

Within Narodna, a dispute between its president Vuk Jeremić and vice-president Miroslav Aleksić began in June 2023.[139] Aleksić was eventually removed from the position of the party's executive board in July 2023; he then publicly acknowledged the conflict between him and Jeremić.[140][141] Although a leadership was scheduled for October 2023, Aleksić left Narodna and reconstituted the People's Movement of Serbia (NPS) in August 2023.[142] Together with Miloš Parandilović, the president of the New Face of Serbia (NLS), they formed a parliamentary group in the National Assembly.[143]

The We Must alliance was also dissolved after the 2022 elections, but its member parties said that they would continue cooperating in the National Assembly.[107][144] Together, with Aleksandar Jovanović Ćuta, Biljana Stojković, and Nebojša Zelenović as its co-presidents, was formed in June 2022 as a merger of Together for Serbia, Ecological Uprising (EU), and Assembly of Free Serbia.[145][146] Solidarity, which was also affiliated with the We Must alliance, merged into Together in January 2023.[147] In August 2023, Ćuta and other members of EU left Together and joined the parliamentary group led by NPS.[148][149]

NDB announced in late June 2022 that it had adopted a platform to work on becoming a registered political party; it began collecting signatures in May 2023.[150][151] NDB also announced that it would rename itself to Green–Left Front (ZLF).[152] ZLF was formalised in July 2023.[153]

Following his dismissal from JS, Basta formed the European Way Movement (PEP), now portraying himself as an opposition politician.[154][155] Mladen Mrdalj, a political scientist, criticised Basta, describing him as an opportunist.[155] PEP announced in September 2023 that it would contest the upcoming elections.[156] Besides Basta, former SNS-turned-opposition politicians Zorana Mihajlović, Dragan Šormaz, and Stanislava Pak formed the Always for Serbia organisation in September 2023.[157] Opposition parties organising the Serbia Against Violence protests refused to cooperate with them due to formerly being aligned with SNS.[158]

Election alliances
Borislav Novaković, Biljana Đorđević, Đorđe Pavićević, Robert Kozma, Zoran Lutovac, Dragan Rakić, Marinika Tepić, Radomir Lazović, Nebojša Zelenović, Pavle Grbović, Srđan Milivojević, Miroslav Aleksić, Đorđe Miketić, Borko Stefanović, Željko Veselinović, and Janko Veselinović at a press conference inside the National Assembly of Serbia in September 2023
Opposition parties organising the Serbia Against Violence protests (representatives pictured) formed a joint coalition in October 2023

In an interview for newspaper Nova in August 2023, Marinika Tepić, one of the vice-presidents of SSP, stated that the creation of an electoral alliance of political parties that organise the Serbia Against Violence protests is possible.[159] "During this one year of work in the National Assembly, and especially in these last three months during the protests, we, [opposition parties], managed to build trust stronger than ever before", Tepić said.[159] It has been noted that DS, SRCE, Together, and ZLF opposition parties have intensively cooperated with each other, as early as April 2023.[160][161] DS, SRCE, and Together signed a cooperation agreement in late August 2023, establishing greater cooperation between the parties.[162][163] Slobodan Cvejić of SRCE added that "there is room for greater coalition cooperation" between opposition parties.[164]

Radomir Lazović of ZLF has also announced in July 2023 that ZLF prepared framework principles of cooperation to achieve non-aggression among opposition parties, joint control of elections, and consolidation of parties into a bigger alliance.[165] Lazović has, however, opposed the creation of a single coalition of all opposition parties, stating that it could possibly lead to the loss of votes.[166] PE member parties, ZLF, DS, Together, NPS, EU, and NLS signed an agreement, titled Agreement for Victory, in late September 2023, announcing joint support for calling snap elections and electoral reforms.[167] Since then, the parties that signed the agreement have held meetings on discussing the creation of a joint electoral alliance; N1 reported that the distribution of seats among parties in the alliance is "the biggest obstacle to the formation of a single alliance".[168][169] At a 18 October press conference, Srđan Milivojević of DS, said that there were "no dissonant voices" at the discussions about the creation of a joint Serbia Against Violence alliance.[170] Nova–DS2P and the Social Democratic Party (SDS), led by Boris Tadić, both expressed support for joining the Serbia Against Violence alliance.[171][172] The agreement between the parties was reached on 26 October.[173]

Aleksić has also proposed the formation of a "stronger, wider bloc" for the upcoming elections; Nova also reported that SRCE and Nova–DS2P could take part in such an electoral alliance.[174][175] SDS held negotiations with Aleksić's NPS in October 2023 about the formation of a joint coalition.[176] Parandilović of NLS has also expressed his support for the creation of a wide electoral alliance; Aleksandar Olenik, a representative of Together for Vojvodina in the National Assembly, on the other hand, has said that opposition parties should run on two electoral lists instead.[160] Ćuta has also expressed his support for the creation of an alliance that would include opposition parties from the left and right.[177] Milica Đurđević Stamenkovski, the president of the Serbian Party Oathkeepers (SSZ), expressed her opposition towards creating a joint opposition alliance due to foreign policy differences.[178]

Boško Obradović, the president of Dveri, has also voiced his support for the formation of a "state-building bloc" that would include SSZ and National Democratic Alternative (NADA); Obradović also added that he also sees Narodna as a member in their bloc.[179] Predrag Marsenić of New Democratic Party of Serbia (NDSS) has, however, said in August 2023 that "it is early to discuss possible coalitions and columns".[160] Miloš Jovanović, the president of NDSS, stated that NADA would be open to cooperate with Dveri and SSZ, while Jeremić has called for the formation of a coalition that would include Dveri, SSZ, NADA, and Enough is Enough.[180][181] In October 2023, Dveri and SSZ formalised a coalition, named Serbian State-Building Bloc, for the upcoming elections; they also invited NADA and Narodna to join their bloc.[182] NADA, however, held negotiations with Narodna instead.[183][184]

Opinion polls
Main article: Opinion polling for the next Serbian parliamentary election

Opinion polling for the next parliamentary election in Serbia has been conducted by various monitoring and research organisations such as Demostat, NSPM, Agency Faktor Plus, Šta Srbija misli?/New Third Way, Stata Agency, and CRTA.[185] Stata Agency has also published scenario polls, featuring a SNS–SPS alliance, the Serbia Against Violence coalition, and the "state-building opposition"; Vukadinović of NSPM has criticised Stata's scenario polls, saying that the coalition "Serbia Against Violence is not exactly a fiction, then, for now, only a projection and, possibly, the desire of some media and political factors. It is difficult to compare something that actually exists with something that could possibly be".[186] Anđelković also said that "public's pulse is very fluid when the elections are still relatively far away".[186] Besides Stata, CRTA has also published a scenario poll in October 2023.[187]

The Bureau of Social Research (BIRODI) has criticised opinion polling in which "information about the name of the agency that conducted the opinion poll, the individual who ordered the opinion poll, the number of respondents, the time when the opinion poll was carried out, as well as the question that were asked to the respondents" is not present, and has called news agencies to not publish those opinion polls.[188] BIRODI has stated these organisations "give the opportunity to use opinion polls for propaganda purposes" and has noted that the elements lead to the "deprofessionalisation of a public opinion researcher".[188] Srećko Mihailović of Demostat has also stated that most opinion polls in Serbia are "biased and unprofessional", claiming that "clients are political parties and the government, and researchers manipulate the ratings of parties" in opinion polls.[189] The World Association for Public Opinion Research, an international professional association of opinion poll researchers, has listed Serbia as a country where there is a denial of the right to public opinion research, stating that "there is pressure from the government, politicians, and some media".[190]

Graphical summary

The graph below showcases major parties and alliances featured in opinion polls conducted since the 2022 parliamentary election.

Local regression chart of poll results from 3 April 2022 to present day

References
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  121. "Vučević: Ne kasnimo sa novim pokretom za državu, videćete kako ćemo ga formirati" [Vučević: We are not late with the new movement for the state, you will see how we will form it]. 021.rs (in Serbian). 11 August 2023. Retrieved 12 August 2023.
  122. Kojić, Nikola (1 October 2023). "Zašto ni Vučić više ne pominje Narodni pokret za državu" [Why even Vučić no longer mentions the People's Movement for the State]. N1 (in Serbian). Retrieved 8 October 2023.
  123. "Predrag Marković protiv utapanja SPS u Vučićev Narodni pokret za državu" [Predrag Marković against submerging the SPS in Vučić's People's Movement for the State]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). 8 June 2023. Retrieved 26 June 2023.
  124. "Narodni pokret za državu i dalje samo u najavi – koliko je izvesno njegovo skorije formiranje?" [The People's Movement for the State is still only in the announcement – how certain is its recent formation?]. Euronews (in Serbian). 18 September 2023. Retrieved 8 October 2023.
  125. Radovanović, Vojin (17 October 2023). ""Bio formiran ili ne – svešće se na slogan": Svi rokovi prošli, izbori se bliže, a Narodnog pokreta za državu još nema" ["Whether formed or not – it will come down to a slogan": All deadlines have passed, the elections are approaching, and there is still no People's Movement for the State]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 18 October 2023.
  126. Lukač, Davor (22 October 2023). "Uskoro narodni pokret" [The People's Movement will be formed soon]. FoNet portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 23 October 2023.
  127. "Žigmanov: DSHV ide na izbore u koaliciji jer u Srbiji manjine nemaju garantovana mesta u parlamentu" [Žigmanov: DSHV will take part in the elections in a coalition because minorities in Serbia do not have guaranteed seats in the parliament]. N1 (in Serbian). 8 October 2023. Retrieved 8 October 2023.
  128. "Ljajić: SDPS spremna za izbore, najverovatnije u koaliciji sa SNS" [Ljajić: SDPS is ready for elections, most likely in a coalition with SNS]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). 14 October 2023. Retrieved 15 October 2023.
  129. "Rasim Ljajić drugi na listi SNS?" [Rasim Ljajić second on the SNS list?]. N1 (in Serbian). 14 February 2016. Retrieved 18 October 2023.
  130. Bednar, Bojan (18 October 2023). "Bez jedne liste SPS i SNS" [Without a single list of SPS and SNS]. FoNet portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 18 October 2023.
  131. Latković, Nataša (19 October 2023). "SPS i SNS neće zajedno na izbore, Dačić preispituje koaliciju sa Palmom" [SPS and SNS will not go to the elections together, Dačić is reconsidering the coalition with Palma]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 22 October 2023.
  132. Novosel, S. (22 October 2023). "SZS samostalno izlazi na parlamentarne izbore" [SZS goes to parliamentary elections independently]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 23 October 2023.
  133. "SSP, PSG, Pokret za preokret i Sindikat Sloga zajedno u Skupštinu, predvodnik Marinika Tepić" [SSP, PSG, the Movement for Reversal and Union Sloga together in the Assembly, to be led by Marinika Tepić]. Danas (in Serbian). 24 May 2022. Archived from the original on 25 May 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  134. Đurić, Vanja (19 July 2023). "Poslanička grupa "Ujedinjeni" menja naziv" [Parliamentary group "United" is changing its name]. N1 (in Serbian). Retrieved 19 July 2023.
  135. "Zdravko Ponoš napustio Narodnu stranku" [Zdravko Ponoš left the People's Party]. Politika (in Serbian). 5 April 2022. Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  136. "Ponoš i zvanično izabran za predsednika pokreta SRCE" [Ponoš is officially elected as the president of the movement SRCE]. N1 (in Serbian). 4 December 2022. Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  137. "Srbija Centar upisan u registar političkih stranaka" [Serbia Centre registered in the register of political parties]. Danas (in Serbian). 23 July 2023. Retrieved 25 July 2023.
  138. "Pokret Slobodna Srbija postaje deo Demokratske stranke" [The Movement of Free Serbia to become part of the Democratic Party]. Radio Television of Serbia (in Serbian). 4 September 2022. Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  139. Jelovac, Jelena (21 June 2023). "Šta se to dešava u Narodnoj stranci i da li Vuk Jeremić i Miki Aleksić vode tihi rat? Jer nešto se definitivno dešava" [What is happening in the People's Party and are Vuk Jeremić and Miki Aleksić fighting a silent war? Because something is definitely happening]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 15 July 2023.
  140. "Izabran novi Izvršni odbor Narodne stranke, Aleksić ostaje potpredsednik i šef poslaničke grupe" [The new executive committee of the People's Party has been elected, Aleksić remains vice-president and head of the parliamentary group]. Novinska agencija Beta (in Serbian). 15 July 2023. Retrieved 15 July 2023.
  141. Kamenković, Sonja (15 July 2023). "Aleksić: Ovo je sada frontalni sukob između Jeremića i mene" [Aleksić: This is now a frontal conflict between Jeremić and me]. N1 (in Serbian). Retrieved 15 July 2023.
  142. Latković, Nataša (6 August 2023). "Miroslav Aleksić napustio Narodnu stranku, osniva Narodni pokret Srbije" [Miroslav Aleksić leaves the People's Party and forms the People's Movement of Serbia]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 6 August 2023.
  143. Nastevski, Aleksandar (7 August 2023). "Aleksić: Parandilović će biti deo naše nove poslaničke grupe, nisam promenio politiku, ne možemo da bežimo od evropskog puta" [Aleksić: Parandilović will be part of our new parliamentary group, I have not changed my policy, we cannot run away from the European path]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 7 August 2023.
  144. Čongradin, Snežana (15 June 2022). "Čije je "Moramo" i zašto: Sagovornici Danasa o tome ko je u pravu u borbi za brend imena koalicije" [Who is "We Must" and why: Danas interviewees on who is right in the fight for the brand name of the coalition]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  145. Mirilović, Filip (1 June 2022). "Aleksandar Jovanović Ćuta: Moramo se neće deliti kao amebe" [Aleksandar Jovanović Ćuta: We Must will not divide like amoebas]. Vreme (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 9 June 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  146. "Deo koalicije "Moramo" formirao političku organizaciju "Zajedno"" [Part of the "We Must" coalition forms the "Together" political organisation]. Danas (in Serbian). 11 June 2022. Archived from the original on 11 June 2022. Retrieved 1 July 2022.
  147. "Politička platforma Solidarnost se priključila stranci Zajedno" [Political Platform Solidarity joins the Together party]. Novinska agencija Beta (in Serbian). 20 January 2023. Retrieved 21 January 2023.
  148. Latković, Nataša (6 September 2023). "Ćuta podnosi ostavku: "Ovo je kap koja je prelila čašu"" [Ćuta resigned: "This is the drop that poured the glass"]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 6 September 2023.
  149. "Ćuta Jovanović u poslaničkom klubu sa Aleksićem i Parandilovićem" [Ćuta Jovanović in the parliamentary group with Aleksić and Parandilović]. Novinska agencija Beta (in Serbian). 15 September 2023. Retrieved 17 September 2023.
  150. "Pokret "Ne davimo Beograd" prerasta u partiju" [Movement "Do not let Belgrade drown" is becoming a political party]. Radio Television of Serbia (in Serbian). 21 June 2022. Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  151. "Pavićević: Počelo prikupljanje potpisa za formiranje partije Zeleno-levi front" [Pavićević: The collection of signatures for the formation of the Green-Left Front party has begun]. N1 (in Serbian). 23 May 2023. Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  152. Spalović, Dejan (6 February 2023). "Ne davimo Beograd menja ime u zeleno-levi front" [Do not let Belgrade drown to change its name to Green-Left Front]. Politika (in Serbian). Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  153. "Pokret Ne davimo Beograd danas je zvanično postao stranka Zeleno-levi front" [The Do not let Belgrade drown movement officially became the Green-Left Front party today]. Novinska agencija Beta (in Serbian). 14 July 2023. Archived from the original on 14 July 2023. Retrieved 14 July 2023.
  154. "Rade Basta: Formirao sam pokret Evropski put (PEP) i izlazim na sve predstojeće izbore" [Rade Basta: I formed the European Way Movement (PEP) and I am participating in all upcoming elections]. Danas (in Serbian). 20 June 2023. Retrieved 23 October 2023.
  155. Valtner, Lidija (10 July 2023). "Rade Basta, novi opozicionar ili potencijal za buduće koalicije sa SPS i SNS?" [Rade Basta, new opposition member or potential for future coalitions with SPS and SNS?]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 23 October 2023.
  156. "Rade Basta najavio da će pokret Evropski put izaći na izbore" [Rade Basta announced that the European Way Movement will participate in the elections]. Danas (in Serbian). 21 September 2023. Retrieved 23 October 2023.
  157. "Zorana Mihajlović formirala pokret, uz nju Dragan Šormaz i Stanislava Pak" [Zorana Mihajlović forms a movement, along with Dragan Šormaz and Stanislava Pak]. N1 (in Serbian). 29 September 2023. Retrieved 23 October 2023.
  158. Radovanović, Vojin (29 September 2023). "Može li proevropska opozicija da sarađuje sa pokretima Zorane Mihajlović i Radeta Baste?" [Can the pro-European opposition cooperate with the movements of Zorana Mihajlović and Rade Basta?]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 23 October 2023.
  159. Savić, Danilo (18 August 2023). "Intervju Marinika Tepić: Uskoro predstavljamo novi plan protesta, verujem u zajedničku izbornu listu organizatora "Srbija protiv nasilja"" [Interview Marinika Tepić: We will soon present a new protest plan, I believe in the joint electoral list of the "Serbia Against Violence" organisers]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  160. Radovanović, Vojin (18 August 2023). "Crnogorski scenario ili jedna kolona: Kako će opozicija izaći na naredne izbore?" [The Montenegrin scenario or one column: How will the opposition come out in the next elections?]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  161. Živić, Miona (1 April 2023). "Tribina u kafani: "Koliko se vidi Leskovac iz Beograda? Ne vidi se od Vučića"" [Tribune in a pub: "How far can you see Leskovac from Belgrade? You can't see it from Vučić"]. N1 (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 26 May 2023. Retrieved 21 July 2023.
  162. "DS, SRCE, Zajedno i Rumunska partija potpisali Deklaraciju o saradnji" [DS, SRCE, Together, and the Romanian part sign a Declaration on Cooperation]. N1 (in Serbian). 30 August 2023. Retrieved 30 August 2023.
  163. Radovanović, Vojin (1 September 2023). "Šta mogu biti motivi Zajedno, DS i SRCE koji započinju zajedničko delovanje?" [What can be the motives of Together, DS, and SRCE who began jointly cooperating?]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 4 September 2023.
  164. "Cvejić (SRCE): Postoji prostor za veću koalicionu saradnju u opoziciji" [Cvejić (SRCE): There is room for greater coalition cooperation in the opposition]. Danas (in Serbian). 2 September 2023. Retrieved 4 September 2023.
  165. Milenković, M. R. (31 July 2023). "Lazović: Zeleno-levi front uskoro predstavlja dokument Put do pobede" [Lazović: The Green-Left Front will soon present the document Path to Victory]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  166. "Lazović: Jedna kolona opozicije nije imperativ, dovela bi do gubitka glasova" [Lazović: One bloc of the opposition is not imperative, it would lead to the loss of votes]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). 2 September 2023. Retrieved 4 September 2023.
  167. "Organizatori protesta potpisali "Dogovor za pobedu"" [Protest organisers signed the "Agreement for Victory"]. N1 (in Serbian). 21 September 2023. Retrieved 21 September 2023.
  168. Kojić, Nikola (11 October 2023). "Jedinstvo na ispitu: Koliko je opozicija daleko od izlaska na izbore u jednoj koloni" [Unity on the exam: How far is the opposition from going to the elections in one column]. N1 (in Serbian). Retrieved 11 October 2023.
  169. Latković, Nataša (9 October 2023). "U toku sastanak opozicije o izborima" [The opposition's meeting about the elections is underway]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 11 October 2023.
  170. "Organizatori protesta "Srbija protiv nasilja": Nema disonantnih tonova oko jedne liste za izbore" [Organisers of the "Serbia Against Violence" protests: There are no dissonant tones around one list for the elections]. Danas (in Serbian). 18 October 2023. Retrieved 18 October 2023.
  171. "Da se struka pita spremna za učestvovanje u dogovoru opozicije o jednoj listi" [The Profession Should Ask Itself is ready to take part in opposition agreement for one list]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). 18 October 2023. Retrieved 21 October 2023.
  172. "Tadić: SDS želi na listu "Srbija protiv nasilja", razgovaramo s Miroslavom Aleksićem" [Tadić: SDS wants to be on the "Serbia Against Violence" list, we are talking to Miroslav Aleksić]. N1 (in Serbian). 23 October 2023. Retrieved 24 October 2023.
  173. "Postignut dogovor o nastupu opozicije okupljene oko "Srbija protiv nasilja" na izborima" [An agreement was reached on the appearance of the opposition gathered around "Serbia Against Violence" in the elections]. N1 (in Serbian). 26 October 2023. Retrieved 26 October 2023.
  174. "Aleksić: Probudila se tiha većina u Srbiji, opozicija u što širi blok za izbore" [Aleksić: The silent majority in Serbia has woken up, the opposition should take part in a wide bloc in the elections]. N1 (in Serbian). 17 August 2023. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  175. Savić, Danilo (19 August 2023). "Kako do pobede nad Vučićem: Opozicija mora da napravi dogovor, a dva pitanja su ključna" [How to win over Vučić: The opposition must make an agreement, and two issues are crucial]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  176. Latković, Nataša (17 October 2023). "Stranka Borisa Tadića pregovara o koaliciji sa Miroslavom Aleksićem" [Boris Tadić's party negotiating a coalition with Miroslav Aleksić]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 18 October 2023.
  177. "Ćuta poziva i levu i desnu opoziciju da se ujedine: Naša obaveza rušenje Vučića" [Ćuta calls on both the left and right opposition to unite: Our obligation is to overthrow Vučić]. N1 (in Serbian). 9 August 2023. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  178. Zrnić, Sanja (19 October 2023). "Milica Đurđević Stamenkovski: Bez saradnje sa "probriselskom" opozicijom" [Milica Đurđević Stamenkovski: No cooperation with the "pro-Brussels" opposition]. Vreme (in Serbian). Retrieved 22 October 2023.
  179. "Boško Obradović hoće koaliciju sa Vukom Jeremićem: Vidim ih u našem bloku" [Boško Obradović wants a coalition with Vuk Jeremic: I see them in our bloc]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). 17 August 2023. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  180. Radovanović, Vojin (6 September 2023). ""Beogradskih izbora neće biti ako ne bude 200.000 ljudi na ulicama": DSS i POKS spremni da razgovaraju sa Zavetnicima i Dverima o izbornoj koaliciji" ["There will be no Belgrade elections if there are not 200,000 people on the streets": DSS and POKS ready to talk to the Oathkeepers and Dveri about the electoral coalition]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 6 September 2023.
  181. "Jeremić: Potrebno je ujedinjenje svih patriotskih snaga na izborima" [Jeremić: It is necessary to unite all patriotic forces in the elections]. Danas (in Serbian). 1 October 2023. Retrieved 3 October 2023.
  182. "Zavetnici i Dveri formirali "Srpski državotvorni blok", pozvali koaliciju NADA i druge stranke da im se pridruže" [Oathkeepers and Dveri formed the "Serbian State-Building Bloc", they invited the NADA coalition and other parties to join them]. Danas (in Serbian). 4 October 2023. Retrieved 5 October 2023.
  183. "Miloš Jovanović o izbornoj koloni desnice i saradnji sa Narodnom strankom" [Miloš Jovanović on the electoral list of the right and cooperation with the People's Party]. Danas (in Serbian). 19 October 2023. Retrieved 22 October 2023.
  184. Savić, Danilo (19 October 2023). "Miloš Jovanović: Razgovaramo o saradnji sa Narodnom strankom, a za Milana Radoičića neću reći da je kriminalac" [Miloš Jovanović: We are discussing cooperation with the People's Party, and I will not say that Milan Radoičić is a criminal]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). Retrieved 22 October 2023.
  185. Multiple sources:
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  187. "Proevropski ili nacionalni: Koji blok je širi?" [Pro-European or the national: which bloc is wider?]. NOVA portal (in Serbian). 18 October 2023. Retrieved 18 October 2023.
  188. "BIRODI: Mediji da ne objavljuju istraživanja javnog mnjenja ako se ne zna naručilac istraživanja" [BIRODI: The media should not publish public opinion surveys if the person who commissioned the survey is not known]. Danas (in Serbian). 26 July 2023. Retrieved 14 October 2023.
  189. "Srećko Mihailović: Istraživanja javnog mnjenja u Srbiji su uglavnom neprofesionalna i pristrasna" [Srećko Mihailović: Public opinion surveys in Serbia are mostly unprofessional and biased]. Danas (in Serbian). 7 July 2023. Retrieved 14 October 2023.
  190. Živanović, Katarina (20 April 2022). "Gavrilović: Istraživači prolaze "toplog zeca" kada objave rezultate koji "žuljaju" vlast" [Gavrilović: Researchers go through a "hot rabbit" when they publish results that "scald" the government]. Danas (in Serbian). Retrieved 14 October 2023.
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