2023 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections
The 2023 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections took place on 22 October 2023.[1] It were the latest 2023 Italian regional elections and determined two seats out of 21 in the Conference of Regions and Autonomous Provinces.
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Provincial election in Trentino | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All 35 seats to the Landtag of South Tyrol | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
Since the 2018 Italian general election, many changes started to occur in the Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol political landscape. For the first time since the 1996 Italian general election, the centre-right coalition managed to defeat the centre-left coalition in Trentino in a general election. Shortly thereafter, the Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party (PATT) decided to run separately (German: Blockfrei), leading to the first victory of the Maurizio Fugatti-led centre-right coalition in a provincial election in Trentino since the start of the Second Italian Republic with the 1994 Italian general election.
In South Tyrol, the traditionally dominant-party system led by the South Tyrolean People's Party (SVP) lost its majority in the 2013 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections. In the 2018 general election, the SVP and the Democratic Party of the centre-left coalition lost their majority, forcing SVP to form a coalition with Lega due to the ethnischer Proporz system (Italian: proporzionale etnica). In the 2019 European Parliament election in Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol, the SVP broke their traditional alliance with the PD and joined forces with the centre-right Forza Italia. Similarly in the 2022 general election SVP and PATT decided to run separated from the centre-left and joined forced with some centre-right autonomist parties like Trentino Project.[2]
After Brothers of Italy became largest party in Trentino in the 2022 general election, FdI proposed Francesca Gerosa as the new centre-right candidate.[3] This led to a conflict with PATT, which joined the centre-right coalition in an election for the first time since 2001, which strongly spoke against her.[4]
Trentino
In Trentino, the president is elected directly by the people; the candidate who gains the most votes is elected president.
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Parties and candidates
| Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Previous result | Candidate | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| Centre-right coalition[5][6] | League Trentino (LT) | 27.1 | 13 | |||
| Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party–Popular Autonomists (PATT–AP) (incl. PT) | 17.8 | 6 | ||||
| La Civica (LC) | 4.6 | 2 | ||||
| Forza Italia (FI) | 2.8 | 1 | ||||
| Union of the Centre (UDC) | 2.1 | 0 | ||||
| Brothers of Italy (FdI) | 1.4 | 0 | ||||
| Fassa Association (Fassa) | 1.0 | 1 | ||||
| Fugatti for President | — | — | ||||
| Democratic Alliance for Trentino[7] | Democratic Party (PD) (incl. Futura) | 13.9 | 4 | Francesco Valduga | ||
| Campobase (CB) | 4.0 | 1 | ||||
| Greens and Left Alliance (AVS) | 1.4 | 0 | ||||
| Action (Az) | — | — | ||||
| Italia Viva (IV) | — | — | ||||
| Fascegn | — | — | ||||
| Autonomy House (CA) | — | — | ||||
| Five Star Movement (M5S) | 7.2 | 1 | Alex Marini | |||
| People's Wave | People's Union | 0.8 | 0 | Filippo Degasperi | ||
| Wave | — | — | ||||
| My Valley | — | — | ||||
| Alliance for Trentino | Us with Divina for President (NcD) | — | — | Sergio Divina | ||
| Popular Alternative (AP) | — | — | ||||
| Youth for Divina | — | — | ||||
| Sovereign Popular Democracy (DSP) | — | — | ||||
| Alternative | — | — | Elena Dardo | |||
Candidates
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Fugatti | Valduga | Marini | Degasperi | Divina | Rizzo | Dardo | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–3 October 2023 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 42.7 | 35.9 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 0.5 | — | 6.8 |
| 12–17 September 2023 | TermometroPolitico | 1,000 | 35 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 6 | — | 3 | 1 |
Political parties
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Centre-right | Centre-left | M5S | Onda Popolare | Alliance for Trentino | DSP | Alt. | Lead | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lega | PATT–PT–AP | La Civica | FI | UdC | FdI | Fassa | NM[lower-alpha 1] | Fugatti | PD | Futura[lower-alpha 1] | CB | AVS | Az | IV | CA | Fascegn | UP | Onda | LMV | TAL[lower-alpha 1] | NcD | AP | GDP | |||||||
| 2–3 October 2023 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 10.6 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 13.6 | 1.1 | — | 5.6 | 16.3 | — | 6.8 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | — | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 2.7 |
| 11–14 July 2023 | Winpoll | 850 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | — | 2 | — | 18 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | 7 | 4 | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | |
Results
| Candidates | Votes | % | Seats | Parties | Votes | % | Seats | +/− | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | |||||||
| League | 30,347 | 13.05 | 5 | –8 | ||||||
| Brothers of Italy | 28,714 | 12.35 | 5 | +5 | ||||||
| Fugatti for President | 24,953 | 10.73 | 4 | New | ||||||
| Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party | 19,011 | 8.18 | 3 | –3 | ||||||
| La Civica | 11,285 | 4.85 | 2 | ±0 | ||||||
| Forza Italia | 4,708 | 2.02 | 0 | –1 | ||||||
| Fassa Association | 2,018 | 0.87 | 1 | ±0 | ||||||
| Union of the Centre | 1,362 | 0.59 | 0 | ±0 | ||||||
| Total | 122,398 | 52.64 | 20 | –3 | ||||||
| Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 | |||||||
| Democratic Party | 38,689 | 16.64 | 7 | +3 | ||||||
| Campobase | 19,553 | 8.41 | 3 | +2 | ||||||
| Autonomy House | 9,968 | 4.29 | 1 | New | ||||||
| Greens and Left Alliance | 7,565 | 3.25 | 1 | +1 | ||||||
| Fascegn | 3,634 | 1.56 | 0 | ±0 | ||||||
| Italia Viva | 3,399 | 1.46 | 0 | New | ||||||
| Action | 3,302 | 1.42 | 0 | New | ||||||
| Total | 86,110 | 37.03 | 12 | +5 | ||||||
| Filippo Degasperi | 9,533 | 3.81 | 1 | |||||||
| Wave | 5,864 | 2.52 | 0 | New | ||||||
| My Valley | 1,204 | 0.52 | 0 | New | ||||||
| People's Union | 1,088 | 0.47 | 0 | ±0 | ||||||
| Total | 8,156 | 3.51 | 0 | — | ||||||
| Marco Rizzo | 5,651 | 2.26 | 0 | Sovereign Popular Democracy | 5,457 | 2.35 | 0 | New | ||
| Sergio Divina | 5,558 | 2.22 | 0 | |||||||
| Popular Alternative | 2,261 | 0.97 | 0 | New | ||||||
| Us with Divina for President | 1,845 | 0.79 | 0 | New | ||||||
| Youth for Divina | 642 | 0.28 | 0 | New | ||||||
| Total | 4,748 | 2.04 | 0 | — | ||||||
| Alex Marini | 4,796 | 1.92 | 0 | Five Star Movement | 4,523 | 1.95 | 0 | –1 | ||
| Elena Dardo | 1,205 | 0.48 | 0 | Alternative | 1,121 | 0.48 | 0 | New | ||
| Total candidates | 250,389 | 100 | 3 | Total parties | 232,513 | 100 | 32 | ±0 | ||
| Source: Autonomous Province of Trento | ||||||||||
South Tyrol
Parties
| Name | Ideology | Leading candidate(s) |
2018 result | Current seats | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
| SVP | South Tyrolean People's Party | Christian democracy Regionalism |
Arno Kompatscher[1] | 41.9% | 15 / 35 |
14 / 35 | |
| TK | Team K | Liberalism Regionalism |
Paul Köllensperger Maria Elisabeth Rieder[8] |
15.2% | 6 / 35 |
4 / 35 | |
| Lega | League – United for South Tyrol | Right-wing populism Regionalism |
Christian Bianchi[9] | 11.4% | 4 / 35 |
3 / 35 | |
| V–G–V | Greens (incl. SI) | Eco-socialism Regionalism |
Brigitte Foppa[10] | 6.8% | 3 / 35 |
3 / 35 | |
| dF | Die Freiheitlichen | National conservatism Separatism |
Sabine Zoderer[11] | 6.2% | 2 / 35 |
2 / 35 | |
| STF | South Tyrolean Freedom | National conservatism Separatism |
Sven Knoll[12] | 6.2% | 2 / 35 |
2 / 35 | |
| PD | Democratic Party (incl. PSI) | Social democracy | Sandro Repetto[13] | 3.8% | 1 / 35 |
1 / 35 | |
| M5S | Five Star Movement | Populism | Diego Nicolini | 2.4% | 1 / 35 |
1 / 35 | |
| FdI | Brothers of Italy | National conservatism | Marco Galateo | 1.7% | 1 / 35 |
1 / 35 | |
| FI | Forza Italia (incl. UdC) | Liberal conservatism | Carlo Vettori | 1.0% | 0 / 35 |
1 / 35 | |
| FSmW | For South Tyrol with Widmann | Christian democracy Regionalism |
Thomas Widmann[14] | DNE |
1 / 35 | ||
| Enzian | Enzian | COVID-19 scepticism Regionalism |
Josef Unterholzner[15] | DNE |
1 / 35 | ||
| Vita | Vita | COVID-19 scepticism Anti-establishment |
Renate Holzeisen[16] | DNE |
0 / 35 | ||
| JWA | JWA List | Separatism Right-wing populism |
Jürgen Wirth Anderlan[17] | DNE |
0 / 35 | ||
| CD | Centre-Right | Conservatism | Filippo Maturi[18] | DNE |
0 / 35 | ||
| LC | La Civica (incl. Az, IV) | Liberalism | Emanuela Albieri | DNE |
0 / 35 | ||
Opinion polling
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | SVP | TK | Lega | V-G-V | dF | STF | PD | M5S | FdI | FI | Enzian | FSmW | JWA | Vita | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2023 | Insa | 1,000 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| Aug–Sep 2023 | Apollis | 1,002 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 4 | — | 7 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
| Jul 2023 | Insa | 1,000 | 37 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 25 |
| Apr 2023 | Demox | – | 36.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 24 |
| Feb–Mar 2023 | Apollis | – | 40 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 26 |
| Early 2023 | Komma (leak, incomplete) | – | 36.5 | TBA | 5 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | 5 | 8 | 1.5 | TBA | — | — | — | – | N/A |
| Aug 2022 | Apollis | – | 37 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | 20 |
| Jan 2022 | Apollis | – | 42 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | 28 |
| Jul 2021 | Apollis | 1,001 | 43 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | 0 | — | — | — | 4 | 30 |
| 21 Oct 2018 | 2018 provincial election | 284,361 | 41.9 | 15.2 | 11.4 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 4.0 | 26.7 |
Results
 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | % | Seats | +/– | |
| South Tyrolean People's Party | 97,092 | 34.53 | 13 | −2 | |
| Team K | 31,201 | 11.09 | 4 | −2 | |
| South Tyrolean Freedom | 30,583 | 10.88 | 4 | +2 | |
| Greens | 25,445 | 9.05 | 3 | ±0 | |
| Brothers of Italy | 16,747 | 5.96 | 2 | +1 | |
| JWA List | 16,596 | 5.90 | 2 | New | |
| Die Freiheitlichen | 13,836 | 4.92 | 2 | ±0 | |
| Democratic Party | 9,707 | 3.45 | 1 | ±0 | |
| For South Tyrol with Widmann | 9,646 | 3.43 | 1 | ±0 | |
| League–United for South Tyrol | 8,541 | 3.04 | 1 | −3 | |
| La Civica | 7,301 | 2.60 | 1 | New | |
| Vita | 7,222 | 2.57 | 1 | New | |
| Five Star Movement | 2,086 | 0.74 | – | −1 | |
| Enzian | 1,990 | 0.71 | – | New | |
| Forza Italia | 1,625 | 0.58 | – | ±0 | |
| Centre-Right | 1,601 | 0.57 | – | New | |
| Total | 281,219 | 100.00 | 35 | – | |
| Valid votes | 281,219 | 96.87 | |||
| Invalid/blank votes | 9,080 | 3.13 | |||
| Total votes | 290,299 | 100.00 | |||
| Registered voters/turnout | 429,841 | 67.54 | |||
| Source: Official Results | |||||
References
- "SVP-Leitung ernennt Arno Kompatscher zum Spitzenkandidaten". Südtirol News (in German). 28 February 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
- "Progetto Trentino e le elezioni, appoggio al Patt e alla Svp, Grisenti: «L'unica scelta per l'autonomia»". ladige.it (in Italian). 19 August 2022. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
- "Fratelli d'Italia sfida Fugatti e lancia Francesca Gerosa come candidata presidente della Provincia". ladige.it (in Italian). 12 January 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
- "Accordo Patt-Lega: c'è la fumata bianca. Marchiori: "Gerosa presidente con Fdi? Mai presa in considerazione, in quel caso non ci sarebbe stata alleanza"". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 1 March 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
- "Provinciali 2023, l'Udc per il Fugatti-bis. Dopo non aver piazzato consiglieri 5 anni fa chiede una modifica a legge elettorale per attenuare premio di maggioranza". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 8 February 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
- "In Trentino il centrodestra si compatta: anche Fratelli d'Italia sosterrà Fugatti presidente". Alto Adige (in Italian). 28 July 2023. Retrieved 30 July 2023.
- "Dagli autonomisti alla sinistra, al tavolo di coalizione ci sono tutti (ma non si parla di nomi)". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 12 January 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
- "Das Spitzenduo". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). 16 January 2023.
- "Bianchi wird Lega-Spitzenkandidat". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). August 2023.
- "Schluss mit einem Südtirol im Standby". V–G–V (in German). 4 April 2023.
- "Freiheitliche: Pläne für die Landtagswahlen". RaiNews (in German). 5 February 2023.
- "Sven Knoll Landeshauptmann-Kandidat der Süd-Tiroler Freiheit". STF (in German). 16 May 2023.
- "„Lega wird nicht wahrgenommen"". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). 11 April 2023.
- "Jetzt spricht Thomas Widmann: Sein Plan für die Landtagswahl". Südtirol Online (in German). 26 July 2023.
- "Die No-Vax-Fraktion". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). 21 January 2023.
- "Sie will Südtirols Landeshauptfrau werden". Unsertirol.com (in German). 19 June 2023.
- "Wirth Anderlan tritt mit eigener Liste zur Wahl an: "Enzian wollte mich nicht"". RaiNews (in German). 18 July 2023.
- "Der ehemalige Lega-Mann Maturi präsentiert neue Partei". RaiNews (in German). 2 March 2023.
- withdrew
| Regional / provincial elections | |
|---|---|
| General elections | |
| European Parliament elections | |
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