2024 Brandenburg state election

The next election to the Landtag of Brandenburg is scheduled for 22 September 2024.

2024 Brandenburg state election

22 September 2024

All 88 seats of the Landtag of Brandenburg
45 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Party SPD AfD CDU
Last election 25 seats, 26.2% 23 seats, 23.5% 15 seats, 15.6%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Party Greens Left BVB/FW
Last election 10 seats, 10.8% 10 seats, 10.7% 5 seats, 5.0%

Government before election

Third Woidke cabinet
SPDCDUGreen

Government after election

TBD

Background

The 2019 Brandenburg state election resulted in the formation of the Third Woidke cabinet; a Kenya coalition of the SPD, CDU, and Greens.[1] The SPD became the strongest party with small losses, just ahead of the AfD, which gained many votes. The CDU lost significantly and was fell from second to third place. Die Linke also lost significantly and ended up behind the Greens. Brandenburg United Civic Movements/Free Voters remained in state parliament with 5.0 percent. The FDP missed out with just 4.1 percent.

In the 2021 German federal election, the Social Democratic Party won all 10 constituencies across the state.

Opinion polls

Local regression of polls conducted
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD AfD CDU Grüne Linke BVB/FW FDP BSW Others Lead
Infratest dimap 8–11 Sep 2023 1,160 20 32 18 8 8 6 4 - 4 12
Wahlkreisprognose 10–14 Aug 2023 1,003 25 30 15 7 8 7 2 - 6 5
22 22 13 6.5 5.5 5 2 19.5 4.5 Tie
INSA 26 Jun–3 Jul 2023 1,000 21 28 18 9 10 5 3 - 6 7
IFM 22 May–1 Jun 2023 1,000 24 24 17 10 12 8 4 - 2 Tie
Infratest dimap 19–24 Apr 2023 1,200 22 23 23 9 7 5 5 - 6 Tie
INSA 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 1,000 21 25 19 10 10 5 4 - 6 4
Wahlkreisprognose 7–13 Mar 2023 978 23.5 26 17 9 8 6.5 3 - 7 2.5
pmg – policy matters 28 Nov–15 Dec 2022 1,011 27 23 17 7 9 5 6 - 6 4
Wahlkreisprognose 6–18 Nov 2022 1,922 26 26 13.5 10 8 7 3.5 - 6 Tie
INSA 4–10 Oct 2022 1,000 22 25 17 11 10 5 4 - 6 3
Infratest dimap 22–26 Sep 2022 1,165 24 24 18 11 9 4 4 - 6 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 4–11 Sep 2022 1,100 26.5 25 12 12 6 7 5 - 6.5 1.5
Wahlkreisprognose 9–17 May 2022 1,001 30 19 16 13 6 6 4.5 - 5.5 11
Infratest dimap 21–24 Apr 2022 1,182 30 19 18 10 7 4 6 - 3 11
Wahlkreisprognose 21–29 Mar 2022 1,002 29 20 15 11 6 8 5 - 6 9
Forsa 9–17 Dec 2021 1,008 28 17 14 11 11 8 6 - 5 11
Wahlkreisprognose 8–16 Dec 2021 1,040 34 19 10 9 7 8 7 - 6 15
Wahlkreisprognose 7–14 Oct 2021 980 32 19.5 9 9.5 7 9.5 7 - 6.5 12.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.5 18.1 15.3 9.0 8.5 9.3 10.3 11.4
Infratest dimap 25–30 Aug 2021 1,157 34 17 13 8 9 7 7 - 5 17
Infratest dimap 12–15 May 2021 1,183 23 18 16 16 11 4 7 - 5 5
Wahlkreisprognose 7–13 May 2021 22 18 14 19 9 8 5 - 5 3
Wahlkreisprognose 12–19 Mar 2021 24 18 14 14 10.5 9 5 - 5.5 6
Forsa 10–15 Dec 2020 1,001 23 16 20 15 12 6 4 - 4 7
Infratest dimap 12–17 Nov 2020 1,002 26 19 20 12 11 3 5 - 4 7
Wahlkreisprognose 30 Sep–7 Oct 2020 1,089 23 19 17 13.5 12.5 7.5 2 - 5.5 4
INSA 29 Sep–6 Oct 2020 1,043 21 20 17 16 13 5 4 - 4 1
Wahlkreisprognose 19–27 Aug 2020 26 16.5 19 11 12 7 3 - 5.5 7
Wahlkreisprognose 12–19 Jun 2020 28 16 22 10 10 7 3 - 4 6
Wahlkreisprognose 4–11 May 2020 29.5 20 23 7.5 7.5 4 4 - 4.5 6.5
Wahlkreisprognose 3–8 Apr 2020 28 21 20.5 8 8 6 3 - 5.5 7
Infratest dimap 31 Mar–4 Apr 2020 1,000 27 20 19 12 11 3 4 - 4 7
Forsa 20–25 Feb 2020 1,001 22 18 14 15 15 7 3 - 6 4
Infratest dimap 11–16 Nov 2019 1,000 25 22 14 12 12 5 5 - 5 1
2019 state election 1 Sep 2019 26.2 23.5 15.6 10.8 10.7 5.0 4.1 4.1 2.7

References

See also

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