2010 Arkansas gubernatorial election

The 2010 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on Tuesday, November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Mike Beebe ran for re-election, and faced former State Senator Jim Keet, whom he defeated in a landslide to win a second and final term as governor, despite the year being a Republican midterm wave year and Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln being unseated by a 21-point margin on the same ballot. Beebe's vote percentage and margin of victory was the highest of any Democratic gubernatorial candidate in the country that year.

2010 Arkansas gubernatorial election

November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Mike Beebe Jim Keet
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 503,336 262,784
Percentage 64.4% 33.6%

Beebe:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Mike Beebe
Democratic

Elected Governor

Mike Beebe
Democratic

As of 2023, this remains the last time that a Democrat has won the governorship or any statewide race in Arkansas and the last time a candidate of either party carried every county in a contested election.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Green Party

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[1] Safe D October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[2] Safe D October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[3] Likely D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] Likely D October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[5] Safe D October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Mike
Beebe (D)
Jim
Keet (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2010 60% 38%
CNN/Time Magazine October 15–19, 2010 62% 35%
Rasmussen Reports September 30, 2010 51% 41%
Mason-Dixon September 12–14, 2010 54% 33%
Rasmussen Reports August 18, 2010 53% 33%
Rasmussen Reports July 20, 2010 50% 40%
Ipsos/Reuters July 16–18, 2010 57% 35%
Talk Business July 17, 2010 50% 41%
Rasmussen Reports June 15, 2010 57% 33%
Rasmussen Reports May 19, 2010 53% 38%

Results

Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2010[6]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Mike Beebe (incumbent) 503,336 64.42% +8.81%
Republican Jim Keet 262,784 33.63% -7.03%
Green Jim Lendall 14,513 1.86% +0.21%
Write-in 700 0.09% N/A
Total votes 781,333 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

  1. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  2. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  3. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  4. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  5. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  6. "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved June 27, 2014.
Official campaign websites (archived)


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