Cardiff South and Penarth (UK Parliament constituency)
Cardiff South and Penarth (Welsh: De Caerdydd a Phenarth) is a constituency created in 1983 represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2012 by Stephen Doughty, a Labour Co-op MP.[n 1] It is the largest such entity in Wales, with an electorate of 75,175 and one of the most ethnically diverse.[4]
Cardiff South and Penarth | |
---|---|
Borough constituency for the House of Commons | |
![]() Boundary of Cardiff South and Penarth in Wales | |
Preserved county | South Glamorgan |
Population | 107,455 (2011 census)[1] |
Electorate | 75,175 (December 2010)[2] |
Current constituency | |
Created | 1983 |
Member of Parliament | Stephen Doughty (Labour Co-op) |
Seats | One |
Created from | Cardiff South East & parts of Barry and Monmouth[3] |
Overlaps | |
Senedd | Cardiff South and Penarth, South Wales Central |
The constituency is to retain its name but its boundaries altered, as part of the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies and under the June 2023 final recommendations of the Boundary Commission for Wales for the next United Kingdom general election.[5]
History
Creation and boundary history
Prior to 1983 Penarth had been part of the abolished Barry constituency, represented by the Conservative backbencher Sir Raymond Gower. Most of the electorate of the new constituency had previously fallen into the abolished seat of Cardiff South East, represented by former Prime Minister, James Callaghan.
Its boundaries remained unchanged until the 2010 redistribution, when Sully was added to this constituency from the Vale of Glamorgan seat.
Political history
Cardiff South and Penarth has had three MPs since its creation, containing some very safe Labour wards from Cardiff such as Butetown, Grangetown and Splott, and several wards from the neighbouring borough of the Vale of Glamorgan, with Penarth mostly favourable to Labour, but some decent Conservative areas as Plymouth and Sully in the southern end of the seat. The first, elected at the 1983 general election, was the former Labour Prime Minister James Callaghan, who secured the seat with a 5.4% majority over Conservative David Tredinnick. Callaghan had immediately prior to the dissolution of Parliament, represented Cardiff South East. Callaghan first became an MP at the 1945 general election, for Cardiff South.
The second MP was Alun Michael (Labour and Co-operative Party) who served 25 years from 1987 before choosing to stand down in 2012. Michael's affiliation with the Co-operative Party did not appear on ballot papers at the 2010 general election because the Electoral Commission ruled that any joint candidates who wanted the names of both their parties included on the ballot paper could not also display the Labour red rose logo.[6] Michael opted to drop the reference to the Co-operative Party but after the election denounced the ruling as "an outrageous piece of incompetence by the Electoral Commission".[7] Michael briefly became Secretary of State for Wales in 1998. Michael held the seat at the 2010 general election with a majority of 10.6% following a 6% swing to the Conservative candidate.[8]
In 2012, Michael was selected by the Labour and Co-operative Parties as their candidate for the election of a Police and Crime Commissioner for the South Wales Police force area and announced he would be standing down from Parliament.[9][10]
At a by-election held on 15 November 2012, Labour's decline was reversed coupled with very low turnout (down 38.2% on the previous election). Labour's Stephen Doughty succeeded Alun Michael winning 47.3% of the overall vote. This was an increase (in share-of-the-vote terms) on Michael's 2010 performance. However, in terms of actual votes cast (9,193 compared with 17,262 in 2010), it was Labour's lowest in this constituency. The 2015 result gave the seat the 83rd-smallest majority of Labour's 232 seats by percentage of majority.[11] Labour's result in 2017 saw them secure their largest ever margin in the constituency in terms of raw votes.
Other parties
Five parties' candidates achieved more than the deposit-retaining threshold of 5% of the vote in 2015. The second-placed candidate has been a Conservative candidate since the seat was formed. The closest result was in 1983, when Callaghan won by 5.5% of the vote.
Boundaries
1983–2010: The City of Cardiff wards of Butetown, Grangetown, Llanrumney, Rumney, Splott, and Trowbridge, and the Borough of Vale of Glamorgan wards of Alexandra (became Plymouth and St Augustine's from 2004), Cornerswell, Llandough, and Stanwell.
2010–present: The Cardiff electoral divisions of Butetown, Grangetown, Llanrumney, Rumney, Splott, and Trowbridge, and the Vale of Glamorgan County Borough electoral divisions of Cornerswell, Llandough, Plymouth, St Augustine's, Stanwell, and Sully.
Members of Parliament
Election | Member[12][13] | Party | |
---|---|---|---|
1983 | James Callaghan | Labour | |
1987 | Alun Michael | Labour and Co-operative | |
2012 by-election | Stephen Doughty | Labour and Co-operative | |
Elections
Elections in the 1980s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | James Callaghan | 17,448 | 41.3 | N/A | |
Conservative | David Tredinnick | 15,172 | 35.9 | N/A | |
Liberal | Winston Roddick | 8,816 | 20.8 | N/A | |
Plaid Cymru | Sian Edwards | 673 | 1.6 | N/A | |
Freedom from World Domination | Benjamin Lewis | 165 | 0.4 | N/A | |
Majority | 2,276 | 5.4 | N/A | ||
Turnout | 42,274 | 71.0 | N/A | ||
Registered electors | 59,520 | ||||
Labour win (new seat) |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Alun Michael | 20,956 | 46.7 | +5.4 | |
Conservative | Gareth Neale | 16,382 | 36.5 | +0.6 | |
Liberal | Jenny Randerson | 6,900 | 15.4 | −5.4 | |
Plaid Cymru | Sian Edwards | 599 | 1.3 | −0.3 | |
Majority | 4,574 | 10.2 | +4.8 | ||
Turnout | 44,837 | 76.4 | +5.4 | ||
Registered electors | 58,714 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | +1.5 | |||
Elections in the 1990s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Alun Michael | 26,383 | 55.5 | +8.8 | |
Conservative | Thomas Jarvie | 15,958 | 33.6 | −2.9 | |
Liberal | Prabhat Verma | 3,707 | 7.8 | -7.6 | |
Plaid Cymru | Barbara Anglezarke | 776 | 1.6 | +0.3 | |
Green | Lester Davey | 676 | 1.4 | N/A | |
Majority | 10,425 | 21.9 | +11.7 | ||
Turnout | 47,500 | 77.2 | +0.8 | ||
Registered electors | 61,484 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | +5.9 | |||
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Alun Michael | 22,647 | 53.4 | −2.1 | |
Conservative | Caroline E. Roberts | 8,786 | 20.7 | −12.9 | |
Liberal Democrats | Simon J. Wakefield | 3,964 | 9.3 | +1.5 | |
New Labour | John Foreman | 3,942 | 9.3 | N/A | |
Plaid Cymru | David B. L. Haswell | 1,356 | 3.2 | +1.6 | |
Referendum | Phillip S. E. Morgan | 1,211 | 2.9 | N/A | |
Socialist Alternative | Mike K. Shepherd | 344 | 0.8 | N/A | |
Natural Law | Barbara Caves | 170 | 0.4 | N/A | |
Majority | 13,861 | 32.7 | +10.8 | ||
Turnout | 42,420 | 68.3 | -8.9 | ||
Registered electors | 62,138 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | +5.3 | |||
Elections in the 2000s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Alun Michael | 20,094 | 56.2 | +2.8 | |
Conservative | Maureen Owen | 7,807 | 21.8 | +1.1 | |
Liberal Democrats | Rodney Berman | 4,572 | 12.8 | +3.5 | |
Plaid Cymru | Lila Haines | 1,983 | 5.5 | +2.3 | |
UKIP | Justin Callan | 501 | 1.4 | N/A | |
Socialist Alliance | David Bartlett | 427 | 1.2 | N/A | |
ProLife Alliance | Anne Savoury | 367 | 1.0 | N/A | |
Majority | 12,287 | 34.4 | +1.7 | ||
Turnout | 35,751 | 57.1 | −11.2 | ||
Registered electors | 62,627 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | +0.8 | |||
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Alun Michael | 17,447 | 47.3 | −8.9 | |
Conservative | Victoria Green | 8,210 | 22.2 | +0.4 | |
Liberal Democrats | Gavin Cox | 7,529 | 20.4 | +7.6 | |
Plaid Cymru | Jason Toby | 2,023 | 5.5 | ±0.0 | |
Green | John Matthews | 729 | 2.0 | N/A | |
UKIP | Jennie Tuttle | 522 | 1.4 | ±0.0 | |
Socialist Alternative | David Bartlett | 269 | 0.7 | N/A | |
Independent | Andrew Taylor | 104 | 0.3 | N/A | |
Rainbow Dream Ticket | Catherine Taylor-Dawson | 79 | 0.2 | N/A | |
Majority | 9,237 | 25.1 | -9.3 | ||
Turnout | 36,912 | 56.2 | −0.9 | ||
Registered electors | 65,786 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | -4.7 | |||
Elections in the 2010s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Alun Michael | 17,262 | 38.9 | −7.7 | |
Conservative | Simon Hoare | 12,553 | 28.3 | +4.4 | |
Liberal Democrats | Dominic Hannigan | 9,875 | 22.3 | +2.4 | |
Plaid Cymru | Farida Aslam | 1,851 | 4.2 | −1.1 | |
UKIP | Simon Zeigler | 1,145 | 2.6 | +1.2 | |
Independent | George Burke | 648 | 1.5 | N/A | |
Green | Matthew Townsend | 554 | 1.2 | −0.6 | |
Christian | Clive Bate | 285 | 0.6 | N/A | |
Communist | Robert Griffiths | 196 | 0.4 | N/A | |
Majority | 4,709 | 10.6 | -14.4 | ||
Turnout | 44,369 | 60.2 | +2.0 | ||
Registered electors | 73,707 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | −6.0 | |||
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Stephen Doughty | 9,193 | 47.3 | +8.4 | |
Conservative | Craig Williams | 3,859 | 19.9 | −8.4 | |
Liberal Democrats | Bablin Molik | 2,103 | 10.8 | −11.5 | |
Plaid Cymru | Luke Nicholas | 1,854 | 9.5 | +5.3 | |
UKIP | Simon Zeigler | 1,179 | 6.1 | +3.5 | |
Green | Anthony Slaughter | 800 | 4.1 | +2.9 | |
Socialist Labour | Andrew Jordan | 235 | 1.2 | N/A | |
Communist | Robert Griffiths | 213 | 1.1 | +0.7 | |
Rejected ballots | 135 | ||||
Majority | 5,334 | 27.4 | +16.8 | ||
Turnout | 19,436 | 25.7 | -34.5 | ||
Registered electors | 76,764 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | +8.4 | |||
Of the 135 rejected ballots:
- 63 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.[29]
- 69 voted for more than one candidate.[29]
- 3 had writing or a mark by which the voter could be identified.[29]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Stephen Doughty[33] | 19,966 | 42.8 | +3.9 | |
Conservative | Emma Warman | 12,513 | 26.8 | −1.5 | |
UKIP | John Rees-Evans[34] | 6,423 | 13.8 | +11.2 | |
Plaid Cymru | Ben Foday[35] | 3,443 | 7.4 | +3.2 | |
Liberal Democrats | Nigel Howells | 2,318 | 5.0 | −17.3 | |
Green | Anthony Slaughter | 1,746 | 3.7 | +2.5 | |
TUSC | Ross Saunders | 258 | 0.6 | N/A | |
Rejected ballots | 121 | ||||
Majority | 7,453 | 16.0 | +5.4 | ||
Turnout | 46,667 | 61.4 | +1.2 | ||
Registered electors | 76,006 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | +2.7 | |||
Of the 121 rejected ballots:
- 82 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.[31]
- 35 voted for more than one candidate.[31]
- 4 had writing or a mark by which the voter could be identified.[31]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Stephen Doughty | 30,182 | 59.5 | +16.7 | |
Conservative | Bill Rees[39] | 15,318 | 30.2 | +3.4 | |
Plaid Cymru | Ian Titherington[40] | 2,162 | 4.3 | −3.1 | |
Liberal Democrats | Emma Sands | 1,430 | 2.8 | −2.2 | |
UKIP | Andrew Bevan | 942 | 1.9 | −11.9 | |
Green | Anthony Slaughter[41][42] | 532 | 1.0 | −2.7 | |
Pirate | Jebediah Hedges | 170 | 0.3 | N/A | |
Rejected ballots | 107 | ||||
Majority | 14,864 | 29.3 | +13.3 | ||
Turnout | 50,736 | 66.3 | +4.9 | ||
Registered electors | 76,499 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | +6.7 | |||
Of the 107 rejected ballots:
- 76 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.[38]
- 29 voted for more than one candidate.[38]
- 2 had writing or a mark by which the voter could be identified.[38]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Co-op | Stephen Doughty | 27,382 | 54.1 | −5.4 | |
Conservative | Phillippa Broom | 14,645 | 29.0 | −1.2 | |
Liberal Democrats | Dan Schmeising | 2,985 | 5.9 | +3.1 | |
Plaid Cymru | Nasir Adam | 2,386 | 4.7 | +0.4 | |
Brexit Party | Tim Price | 1,999 | 4.0 | N/A | |
Green | Ken Barker | 1,182 | 2.3 | +1.3 | |
Rejected ballots | 160 | ||||
Majority | 12,737 | 25.1 | -3.8 | ||
Turnout | 50,579 | 64.2 | −2.1 | ||
Registered electors | 78,837 | ||||
Labour Co-op hold | Swing | -2.1 | |||
Of the 160 rejected ballots:
See also
Notes
- A borough constituency in terms of election expenses and type of returning officer
References
- "Cardiff South and Penarth: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Archived from the original on 21 February 2015. Retrieved 20 February 2015.
- "Beyond 20/20 WDS – Table view". 2011 Electorate Figures. StatsWales. 1 December 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
- "'Cardiff South and Penarth', June 1983 up to May 1997". ElectionWeb Project. Cognitive Computing Limited. Archived from the original on 11 March 2016. Retrieved 10 March 2016.
- "Election 2015 – Cardiff South & Penarth". BBC. Retrieved 5 April 2015.
- 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies - The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies in Wales (PDF). Boundary Commission for Wales. 28 June 2023.
- David Ottewell (21 April 2010). "Labour candidates barred from using red rose emblem". Manchester Evening News. Retrieved 9 June 2021.
- Alun Michael (27 May 2010). "Party facts". Penarth Times. Retrieved 9 June 2021.
- A notional calculation using estimated 2005 results for the boundary-changed constituency. "Cardiff South and Penarth". BBC News Online. Retrieved 22 July 2012.
- "Alun Michael stands down as Cardiff South and Penarth MP today". Wales Online. 21 October 2012.
- "Date set for three parliamentary by-elections". BBC News Online. 23 October 2012.
- "Labour Members of Parliament 2015". UK Political.info. Archived from the original on 29 September 2018.
- "Cardiff South and Penarth 1983–". Parliamentary Debates (Hansard). Retrieved 2 February 2015.
- Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "C" (part 2)
- "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "Politics Resources". Election 1983. Politics Resources. 9 June 1983. Archived from the original on 19 March 2012. Retrieved 18 June 2012.
- "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "Politics Resources". Election 1987. Politics Resources. 11 June 1987. Archived from the original on 19 March 2012. Retrieved 18 June 2012.
- "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Archived from the original on 24 July 2011. Retrieved 6 December 2010.
- "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "BBC NEWS>VOTE 2001>Results and Constituencies>Cardiff South and Penarth". Vote 2001. BBC News. 1 May 1997. Retrieved 12 January 2011.
- "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "BBC NEWS > Cardiff South and Penarth". Vote 2001. BBC News. 7 June 2001. Retrieved 22 January 2011.
- "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- "Cardiff South and Penarth parliamentary constituency - Election 2005". BBC.
- "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- Cardiff South and Penarth Archived 9 June 2011 at the Wayback Machine Cardiff County Council – candidates Cardiff South and Penarth
- BBC Election Results BBC News – Election Results – Cardiff South and Penarth
- "Cardiff South and Penarth result". Election results for Cardiff South and Penarth. City of Cardiff Council. 2 October 2014. Retrieved 18 January 2020.
- "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- "Cardiff South and Penarth result". Election results for Cardiff South and Penarth. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- "Cardiff South and Penarth Parliamentary constituency". Election 2015. BBC News. Retrieved 18 January 2020.
- "Labour MP Stephen Doughty Is Nominated To Stand Again In 2015 general election"Archived 21 August 2013 at the Wayback Machine, Penarth Daily News (blog), 15 July 2013.
- "UKIP Takes Its 2015 Parliamentary Election Challenge Onto The Streets Of Penarth"Archived 4 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine, Penarth Daily News (blog), 25 November 2014.
- "UK ELECTION RESULTS: CARDIFF SOUTH & PENARTH 2015". UK Election Results. Election Blog. Retrieved 9 June 2021.
- "Statement of Persons Nominated & Notice of Poll". Caerphilly County Borough Council. Retrieved 25 May 2017.
- "Cardiff South and Penarth Parliamentary constituency". Election 2017 Results. BBC. Retrieved 18 January 2020.
- "Election Results". Cardiff Council. Cardiff Council. 8 June 2017. Retrieved 18 January 2020.
- "Norfolk North and Penistone & Stocksbridge choose their candidates. Latest selection news". Conservative Home. 2 May 2017.
- "GENERAL ELECTION: First candidates for Penarth seat are announced". Penarth Times.
- "Back on the campaign trail as @WalesGreenParty candidate for #GE2017 in Cardiff South and Penarth". Twitter. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- "GENERAL ELECTION: First candidates for Penarth seat are announced". Penarth Times. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- "Scheduled elections and polls" (PDF). Cardiff Council. Cardiff Council. Retrieved 16 November 2019.
- "Cardiff South and Penarth parliamentary constituency - Election 2019". BBC News. Retrieved 18 January 2020.
- "Election-Results/General-Election-2019". Cardiff Council. Cardiff Council. 12 December 2019. Retrieved 18 January 2020.
External links
- nomis Constituency Profile for Cardiff South and Penarth – presenting data from the ONS annual population survey and other official statistics.
- Politics Resources (Election results from 1922 onwards)
- Electoral Calculus (Election results from 1955 onwards)
- 2017 Election House of Commons Library 2017 Election report
- A Vision Of Britain Through Time (Constituency elector numbers)
- "Results: Cardiff South & Penarth". BBC News: Election 2005. BBC News. 6 May 2005. Retrieved 25 May 2006.
- "News Release – South Glamorgan" (PDF). Boundary Commission for Wales. 10 November 2004. Archived from the original (PDF) on 25 December 2004. Retrieved 25 May 2006.
- "Aristotle: Cardiff South and Penarth". The Guardian. London. 8 May 2004. Archived from the original on 24 March 2007. Retrieved 25 May 2006.