Division of Forde

The Division of Forde is an Australian Electoral Division in Queensland.

For the Canberra suburb, see Forde, Australian Capital Territory.

Forde
Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of Forde in Queensland, as of the 2019 federal election
Created1984
MPBert van Manen
PartyLiberal National
NamesakeFrank Forde
Electors119,198 (2022)
Area418 km2 (161.4 sq mi)
DemographicProvincial

Geography

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]

History
Frank Forde, the division's namesake

The division was created in 1984 and is named after Frank Forde, who was Prime Minister of Australia for seven days in 1945 following the death of John Curtin. When it was created it was a marginal seat in the southern suburbs of Brisbane, but it now has no territory in common with the original seat and is located in exurban and semi-rural areas south of the city, including Beenleigh and Loganlea.

It was a fairly safe seat for the Liberal Party after the 2004 election. Kay Elson announced that she would not re-contest her seat in the 2007 election. Wendy Creighton, a Boonah resident and editor of the local newspaper, the Fassifern Guardian, contested Forde as the Liberal candidate instead. She was defeated at the Federal election by Brett Raguse, the opposing Labor Party candidate, making Forde the safest Liberal Party seat to be claimed by the Labor Party at the 2007 election. The seat returned to the LNP with Bert van Manen in 2010. Incumbent van Manen then held on to the seat during the 2013, 2016 & 2019 elections.

Ahead of the 2016 federal election, ABC psephologist Antony Green listed the seat in his election guide as one of eleven which he classed as bellwether electorates.[2] Roy Morgan Research found the Division of Forde to be the least politically involved electorate in Australia, with only 7% of voters interested in political analysis as a type of media content.[3]

Members
Image Member Party Term Notes
  David Watson
(1945–)		 Liberal 1 December 1984 –
11 July 1987		 Lost seat. Later elected to the Legislative Assembly of Queensland seat of Moggill in 1989
  Mary Crawford
(1947–)		 Labor 11 July 1987 –
2 March 1996		 Lost seat
  Kay Elson
(1947–)		 Liberal 2 March 1996 –
17 October 2007		 Retired
  Brett Raguse
(1960–)		 Labor 24 November 2007 –
21 August 2010		 Lost seat
  Bert van Manen
(1965)		 Liberal Nationals 21 August 2010 –
present		 Incumbent
Currently Chief Opposition Whip in the House under Peter Dutton

Election results
Main article: Electoral results for the Division of Forde
This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland § Forde.[edit]
2022 Australian federal election: Forde[4]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal National Bert van Manen 34,920 36.91 −6.59
Labor Rowan Holzberger 26,497 28.01 −1.50
Greens Jordan Hall 9,319 9.85 +1.12
One Nation Seschelle Matterson 7,578 8.01 −3.80
United Australia Roxanne O'Halloran 7,485 7.91 +3.87
Independent Christopher Greaves 2,973 3.14 +3.14
Liberal Democrats Tobby Sutherland 2,668 2.82 +2.82
Animal Justice Linda McCarthy 2,444 2.58 +2.58
TNL Samuel Holland 728 0.77 +0.77
Total formal votes 94,612 93.22 −2.14
Informal votes 6,884 6.78 +2.14
Turnout 101,496 85.23 −4.26
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal National Bert van Manen 51,311 54.23 −4.37
Labor Rowan Holzberger 43,301 45.77 +4.37
Liberal National hold Swing−4.37
Primary vote results in Forde (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted)
  Liberal National
  Liberal
  National
  Labor
  Greens
  Australian Democrats
  One Nation
  Family First
  Palmer United/United Australia Party
  Independent
Two-candidate-preferred results in Forde

References
  1. Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
  2. The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC
  3. "The 10 most (and least) politically engaged electorates". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 4 July 2017.
  4. Forde, QLD, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

27.762°S 153.181°E / -27.762; 153.181

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