June 2010 United Kingdom budget

Osborne predicted that the economy would grow by 1.2% in 2010, rising to 2.9% in 2013.[1]

He said the country was set to miss the previous government's "golden rule" in the current cycle by £485bn.

The Chancellor said he expected consumer price inflation (as measured by the Consumer Price Index) to reach 2.7% in 2010, above the target of 2%.

He forecast that unemployment would peak at 8.1% in 2010, falling over each of the next four years.

Osborne said the state accounted for "almost half" of all national income, including the escalating cost of debt interest, which was "completely unsustainable".

Osborne aimed to balance the structural current account deficit by 2015–16. The balance of tax rises to spending cuts in his budget was 23% to 77%.

Taxes

Income tax personal allowances for people under 65 years old will be raised by £1000 from April 2011, taking about 880,000 people out of the tax system and reducing income tax on the low-paid by £200 p.a.[1][3]

The main rate of VAT will increase from 17.5% to 20% on 4 January 2011. This had been widely predicted before the Budget.[4] No taxes will be imposed on items that are currently zero-rated (e.g. food, children's clothes).[5]

A new bank levy was announced, to raise £2 billion p.a. Corporation Tax will fall progressively in 1% increments for each of the next four years, from 28% to 24%. The small companies' tax rate will be cut from 21% to 20%.

Capital gains tax increases from 18% to 28% from the following day, for higher rate taxpayers only.[6]

There were no changes to duties on fuel (petrol and diesel), alcohol, and tobacco. Osborne cancelled the increase that Labour had planned on cider.[7]

In the light of the change in ruling party, the recession, the novelty of coalition government and the strain which the painful decisions would put on the coalition,[12] this Budget generated a high degree of public interest and discussion in advance.

The government's top priority is to reduce government borrowing from its peacetime record highs. Prime Minister David Cameron said the previous Labour government had refused to publish its own projections showing the escalating cost of interest. He argued that taxes should be spent on public services rather than paying interest on the national debt.[13]

The changes to the UK Budget were expected to focus on cuts to government spending rather than increases in taxation. The Chancellor stated early on that health and international aid expenditure would be protected.[14] On 24 May, he then outlined £6.2 billion of spending cuts.[15]

The coalition agreement included an intention to reduce child tax credits and Child trust funds for better-off families. The parties had agreed to raise the rate of capital gains tax (CGT) to match individuals' highest rates of income tax, excluding gains on business investments, and to reduce the rise in employers' National Insurance contributions which Labour had planned. The Conservatives had also agreed to Liberal Democrat wishes to gradually raise the personal allowance, i.e. the level of income on which no tax is paid.[14]

Tory statements before the election also pointed to a reduction in Corporate tax, perhaps partly paid for by changes to capital allowances which are currently seen as complex.

The Business Secretary, Liberal Democrat Vince Cable, had announced that reducing tax avoidance is a priority of the new government.[16]

The coalition agreement did not resolve all areas of differences between the two parties' tax policies, and tax advisers were complaining of uncertainty ahead of the budget.[17] The Liberal Democrats had wanted to reduce the annual exemption from CGT, and to cap the rate of relief for pension contributions.[18] John Redwood and David Davis publicly argued against the rise in the CGT rate, but Cable insisted that the parties were not divided over the issue.[19]

Acting Labour leader Harriet Harman responded for the opposition, calling the speech a "Tory budget", and predicting that it would increase unemployment and stifle growth.[20]

Some Liberal Democrats were disappointed that capital gains tax (CGT) remained lower than the rates of income tax. Meanwhile, the British Venture Capital Association expressed entrepreneurs' "deep concern" over the CGT hike, warning that it could deter overseas investors. The immediate implementation date for the rise surprised tax advisers.[6]

However, former Bank of England rate setter David Blanchflower warned that the budget risked sending the UK into another recession, and that a "double-dip" is now the best case scenario,[21][22]

The Minister for Women and Equalities, Theresa May, had written to the Chancellor emphasising the need to assess the effect of the budget on women, disabled people and ethnic minorities.[23] As of September 2010 the Fawcett Society is seeking a judicial review of the emergency budget for failing to demonstrate that such an assessment had been made.[24] The High Court refused to grant permission for such a review in December 2010.

A report published in October 2010 by Research Councils UK voiced the opinion that cuts to research and development are likely to do immense damage to the UK economy.[25] The report's author, Romesh Vaitilingam, stated that evidence suggests private sector spending and productivity is encouraged by public sector spending.[25][26]

• United Kingdom government austerity programme
• 2007–2008 financial crisis
• United Kingdom coalition government (2010–2015)
• Finance (No.2) Act 2010

• June 2010 Budget
• Budget glossary, The Guardian, 22 June 2010
• Finance Bill 2010–11