2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Democratic hold | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in New Hampshire |
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Overview
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 205,606 | 51.32% | 185,159 | 46.21% | 9,896 | 2.47% | 400,661 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 2 | 208,289 | 53.91% | 168,886 | 43.70% | 9,266 | 2.40% | 386,441 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 413,469 | 52.59% | 353,650 | 44.98% | 19,136 | 2.43% | 787,102 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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 Municipality results Pappas: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Mowers: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent is Democrat Chris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Nominee
- Chris Pappas, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Chris Pappas
- U.S. Presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[2]
- Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Pappas (incumbent) | 70,643 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 70,643 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Matt Mowers, former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and former U.S. State Department staffer.[7]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- William Fowler, state representative (endorsed Mowers)[10]
Declined
- Eddie Edwards, former police chief of South Hampton, former chief of the New Hampshire State Division of Liquor Enforcement, and nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2018[11]
Endorsements
Matt Mayberry
- State officials
- Craig Benson, former Governor of New Hampshire (2003–2005) (along with 25 other people)[12]
Matt Mowers
- Federal officials
- Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader and Representative for California's 23rd congressional district[13]
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[14]
- State officials
- Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present)[15]
- Organizations
- Tea Party Express, conservative PAC[16]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Matt Mayberry | Matt Mowers | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 323 (LV) | – | 17% | 48% | 0%[lower-alpha 2] | 34% |
| Saint Anselm College | August 15–17, 2020 | 261 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 12% | 23% | 8%[lower-alpha 3] | 57% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Mowers | 41,100 | 59.4 | |
| Republican | Matt Mayberry | 18,479 | 26.7 | |
| Republican | Kevin Rondeau | 4,203 | 6.1 | |
| Republican | Jeff Denaro | 2,723 | 3.9 | |
| Republican | Michael Callis | 2,703 | 3.9 | |
| Total votes | 69,208 | 100.0 | ||
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Chris Pappas | Matt Mowers | Zachary Dumont | |||||
| 1 | October 7, 2020 | NHPR New Hampshire PBS |
Peter Biello Laura Knoy |
YouTube | P | P | N |
| 1 | October 21, 2020 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR |
YouTube | P | P | N | |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Likely D | August 14, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Likely D | August 7, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Likely D | October 8, 2020 |
| Politico[22] | Lean D | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[23] | Likely D | October 26, 2020 |
| RCP[24] | Lean D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[25] | Safe D | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Chris Pappas (D) |
Matt Mowers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 24–28, 2020 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 50% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 0% |
| Saint Anselm College | October 23–26, 2020 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 44% | 2%[lower-alpha 5] | 5% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 9–12, 2020 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 43% | 1%[lower-alpha 6] | 3% |
| Saint Anselm College | October 1–4, 2020 | 595 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 41% | 3%[lower-alpha 7] | 7% |
| University of New Hampshire | September 24–28, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 38% | 2%[lower-alpha 8] | 4% |
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 925 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | 2%[lower-alpha 9] | 12% |
Hypothetical polling
- with Matt Mayberry
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Chris Pappas (D) |
Matt Mayberry (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 926 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | 2%[lower-alpha 9] | 12% |
- Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College | June 13–16, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 42% | 2% | 8% |
| Saint Anselm College | April 23–27, 2020 | 442 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 43% | 1% | 6% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Pappas (incumbent) | 205,606 | 51.3 | |
| Republican | Matt Mowers | 185,159 | 46.2 | |
| Libertarian | Zachary Dumont | 9,747 | 2.4 | |
| N/A | Scatter | 149 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 400,661 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
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 Municipality results Kuster: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% Negron: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent is Democrat Annie Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Nominee
- Annie Kuster, incumbent U.S. Representative[27]
Eliminated in primary
- Joseph Mirzoeff[28]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Annie Kuster (incumbent) | 71,358 | 92.8 | |
| Democratic | Joseph Mirzoeff | 5,500 | 7.2 | |
| Total votes | 76,858 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Steve Negron, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2018
Eliminated in primary
- Matthew Bjelobrk, Haverhill town selectman[28]
- Lynne Blankenbeker, former state representative and candidate for this district in 2018[29]
- Eli Clemmer, school media specialist[30][31]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Lynn Blankenbeker | Steve Negron | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 367 (LV) | – | 20% | 50% | 1%[lower-alpha 10] | 29% |
| Saint Anselm College | August 15–17, 2020 | 216 (RV) | ± 6.7% | 15% | 37% | 4%[lower-alpha 11] | 44% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve Negron | 30,503 | 48.3 | |
| Republican | Lynne Blankenbeker | 24,464 | 38.7 | |
| Republican | Matthew Bjelobrk | 4,381 | 6.9 | |
| Republican | Eli Clemmer | 3,850 | 6.1 | |
| Total votes | 63,198 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Annie Kuster (D)
- U.S. Presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[2]
- Local officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020), and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination[32]
- Organizations
Steve Negron (R)
Declared
- Andrew Olding[28]
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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| Annie Kuster | Steve Negron | Andrew Olding | |||||
| 1 | October 22, 2020 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR |
YouTube | P | P | N | |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Safe D | August 5, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Safe D | August 7, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Likely D | July 23, 2020 |
| Politico[22] | Likely D | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[23] | Safe D | July 21, 2020 |
| RCP[24] | Lean D | October 24, 2020 |
| Niskanen[25] | Safe D | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Annie Kuster (D) |
Steve Negron (R) |
Andrew Olding (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 24–28, 2020 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 41% | 7% | 0%[lower-alpha 12] | 1% |
| Saint Anselm College | October 23–26, 2020 | 458 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 54% | 39% | 3% | 1%[lower-alpha 13] | 3% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 9–12, 2020 | 410 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 2% | 0%[lower-alpha 2] | 3% |
| Saint Anselm College | October 1–4, 2020 | 552 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 52% | 38% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 14] | 5% |
| University of New Hampshire | September 24–28, 2020 | 463 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 42% | 5% | 0%[lower-alpha 2] | 5% |
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 917 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 15] | 4% |
Hypothetical polling
- with Lynne Blankenbeker
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Annie Kuster (D) |
Lynne Blankenbeker (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 920 (LV) | – | 52% | 39% | 5%[lower-alpha 16] | 5% |
- Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College | Jun 13–16, 2020 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 44% | 3% | 9% |
| Saint Anselm College | Apr 23–27, 2020 | 378 (RV) | ± 5% | 47% | 41% | 5% | 7% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Annie Kuster (incumbent) | 208,289 | 53.9 | |
| Republican | Steve Negron | 168,886 | 43.7 | |
| Libertarian | Andrew Olding | 9,119 | 2.4 | |
| N/A | Scatter | 147 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 386,441 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Another candidate" with 0%
- "Someone else" with 8%
- Dumont (L) with 2%; "Other" with no voters
- Dumont (L) and "Someone else" with 1%
- Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
- Olding (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- Dumont (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
- Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- "Another candidate" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 4%
- "Other" with no voters
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Another candidate" with 3%
- "Another candidate" with 3%; Olding (L) with 2%
References
- Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on April 3, 2019. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- "Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium. September 25, 2020.
- Sittenfeld, Tiernan (June 5, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
- Imse, Elliot (November 26, 2019). "Victory Fund Endorses 39 LGBTQ Candidates for 2019 and 2020". Retrieved March 25, 2020.
- "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
- "2020 State Primary Democratic State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
- Sexton, Adam (August 26, 2020). "Republicans Mayberry, Mowers push for chance to unseat Pappas in First Congressional District". WMUR 9. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- Markos, Mary (August 21, 2020). "2020 Voter's Guide: How to Cast a Ballot in New England During the Pandemic". New England Cable News. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- DiStaso, John (December 5, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Republican Matt Mayberry says he'll run for 1st District US House seat". WMUR 9. Retrieved December 9, 2019.
- DiStaso, John (April 9, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Fowler ends US House campaign, endorses Mowers". WMUR. WMUR9.
- DiStaso, John (January 17, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Eddie Edwards is being urged to run again for US House". WMUR. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- DiStaso, John (January 6, 2020). "Republican Mayberry launches 1st Distric US House bid, rolls out 26 endorsements". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV. Retrieved December 17, 2021.
- DiStaso, John (June 1, 2020). "US House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy endorses Matt Mowers in 1st Congressional District race". WMUR.
- DiStaso, John (June 12, 2020). "Trump gives 'Complete and Total Endorsement' to former appointee Mowers in 1st US House District". WMUR.
- Staff report. "Trump endorses Mowers in Republican primary". UnionLeader.com.
- "Tea Party Express Endorses Matt Mowers for Congress in New Hampshire". Insider NJ. June 30, 2020.
- "2020 State Primary Republican State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
- DiStaso, John (August 27, 2020). "Libertarian Party says it has enough certified petitions for its candidates to appear on Nov. ballot". WMUR 9. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
- Gardner, William M. (November 19, 2020). "2020 General Election Results". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.
- "Home - Annie Kuster for Congress". www.kusterforcongress.com.
- Rooney, Jack (August 29, 2020). "Four Republicans seek Congressional seat in NH-2". Sentinel Source. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- Steinhauser, Paul (October 10, 2019). "On the trail: Blankenbeker launches 2020 congressional bid, Gabbard accuses Dems of election rigging". Retrieved October 28, 2019.
- "Clemmer For NH". Clemmer For NH. Archived from the original on February 22, 2020. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
- "Berlin 1-14-20". The Berlin Sun. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
- Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020). "Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements". CNN. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
- "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved January 29, 2020.
- Sittenfeld, Tiernan (August 13, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Annie Kuster for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
- "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Archived from the original on November 15, 2019. Retrieved January 29, 2020.
- Donald Trump [@realDonaldTrump] (October 31, 2020). "Steve Negron (@SteveNegronNH) will be a tireless advocate in Congress for the State of New Hampshire! An Air Force Veteran, he is Strong on the Economy, our Brave Law Enforcement and your Second Amendment. Steve has my Complete and Total Endorsement! #NH02 t.co/9Zq8LQXZkn" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 6, 2020. Retrieved January 29, 2021 – via Twitter.
- "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "New Hampshire", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "New Hampshire: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of New Hampshire". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- New Hampshire at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Zachary Dumont (L) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Matt Mowers (R) for Congress
- Chris Pappas (D) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
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