2016 Missouri Democratic presidential primary
The 2016 Missouri Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Missouri as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 United States presidential election.
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 Election results by county. Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Tie | |||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Missouri |
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On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Florida, Illinois, North Carolina and Ohio, while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own Missouri primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.
Opinion polling
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official Primary results | March 15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 49.6% |
Bernie Sanders 49.4% |
Others / Uncommitted 1.0% | |
| Public Policy Polling[2]
Margin of error: ± 3.4%
|
March 11–12, 2016 | Bernie Sanders 47% |
Hillary Clinton 46% |
Others / Undecided 7% | |
| RABA Research[3]
Margin of error: ± 4%
|
March 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 44% |
Bernie Sanders 40% |
Others / Undecided 16% | |
| Fort Hayes State University[4]
Margin of error: ± 8%
|
March 3–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 47% |
Bernie Sanders 40% |
Others / Undecided 13% | |
| Public Policy Polling[5]
Margin of error: 5.2%
|
August 7–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 53% |
Bernie Sanders 25% |
Martin O'Malley 5% |
Jim Webb 5%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Not sure 12% |
Results
Clinton went into election night in Missouri down to Senator Sanders in the polls. Throughout the evening Sanders maintained a lead over Clinton. However St. Louis County and Jackson County, home of a large section of Kansas City, came in late and it was just enough to push Clinton over the finish line. Senator Sanders refused to request a recount citing concerns over wasting taxpayer dollars.[6]
| Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 312,285 | 49.61% | 36 | 11 | 47 |
| Bernie Sanders | 310,711 | 49.36% | 35 | 2 | 37 |
| Henry Hewes | 650 | 0.10% | |||
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 442 | 0.07% | |||
| Jon Adams | 433 | 0.07% | |||
| Rocky De La Fuente | 345 | 0.05% | |||
| Willie Wilson | 307 | 0.05% | |||
| Keith Russell Judd | 288 | 0.05% | |||
| John Wolfe Jr. | 247 | 0.04% | |||
| Uncommitted | 3,717 | 0.59% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 629,425 | 100% | 71 | 13 | 84 |
| Source: The Green Papers, Missouri Secretary of State - Official Primary Results | |||||
| State of Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Delegates | Votes Clinton | Votes Sanders | Votes Qualified | Clinton delegates | Sanders delegates | |
| 1 | 10 | 85656 | 59567 | 145223 | 6 | 4 | |
| 2 | 6 | 46785 | 49661 | 96446 | 3 | 3 | |
| 3 | 5 | 28983 | 35664 | 64647 | 2 | 3 | |
| 4 | 5 | 26178 | 33428 | 59606 | 2 | 3 | |
| 5 | 7 | 51696 | 45974 | 97670 | 4 | 3 | |
| 6 | 5 | 28786 | 32129 | 60915 | 2 | 3 | |
| 7 | 4 | 21574 | 31389 | 52963 | 2 | 2 | |
| 8 | 5 | 20944 | 21259 | 42203 | 2 | 3 | |
| Total | 47 | 310,602 | 309,071 | 619,673 | 23 | 24 | |
| PLEO | 9 | 310,602 | 309,071 | 619,673 | 5 | 4 | |
| At Large | 15 | 310,602 | 309,071 | 619,673 | 8 | 7 | |
| Gr. Total | 71 | 310,602 | 309,071 | 619,673 | 36 | 35 | |
| Total vote | 626,075 | 49.61% | 49.37% | ||||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander statewide results and Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander District results | |||||||
Results by county
| County[7] | Clinton | % | Sanders | % | Others | % | Totals | TEV | TO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adair | 799 | 40.7% | 1,153 | 58.8% | 15,231 | ||||
| Andrew | 498 | 39.9% | 728 | 58.4% | 12,188 | ||||
| Atchison | 141 | 44.5% | 173 | 54.6% | 3,815 | ||||
| Audrain | 749 | 49.6% | 728 | 48.2% | |||||
| Barry | 796 | 47.0% | 874 | 51.6% | |||||
| Barton | 205 | 48.1% | 214 | 50.2% | |||||
| Bates | 518 | 43.5% | 632 | 53.1% | |||||
| Benton | 669 | 53.3% | 567 | 45.2% | |||||
| Bollinger | 242 | 53.8% | 203 | 45.1% | |||||
| Boone | 9,628 | 38.7% | 15,076 | 60.6% | |||||
| Buchanan | 3,443 | 44.5% | 4,148 | 53.7% | |||||
| Butler | 889 | 52.7% | 766 | 45.4% | |||||
| Caldwell | 244 | 43.2% | 314 | 55.6% | |||||
| Callaway | 1,378 | 44.5% | 1,678 | 54.2% | |||||
| Camden | 1,388 | 48.9% | 1,419 | 49.9% | |||||
| Cape Girardeau | 2,076 | 46.6% | 2,335 | 52.4% | |||||
| Carroll | 233 | 43.2% | 255 | 50.7% | |||||
| Carter | 138 | 48.6% | 142 | 50.0% | |||||
| Cass | 3,765 | 46.8% | 4,185 | 52.1% | |||||
| Cedar | 332 | 47.0% | 361 | 51.1% | |||||
| Chariton | 321 | 52.1% | 274 | 44.5% | |||||
| Christian | 2,146 | 40.8% | 3,073 | 58.4% | |||||
| Clark | 202 | 51.4% | 178 | 45.3% | |||||
| Clay | 10,630 | 45.5% | 12,542 | 53.7% | |||||
| Clinton | 765 | 46.2% | 852 | 51.4% | |||||
| Cole | 2,798 | 45.3% | 3,303 | 53.5% | |||||
| Cooper | 516 | 50.1% | 501 | 48.6% | |||||
| Crawford | 522 | 41.2% | 712 | 56.2% | |||||
| Dade | 201 | 48.1% | 213 | 51.0% | |||||
| Dallas | 397 | 42.9% | 515 | 55.7% | |||||
| Daviess | 239 | 51.0% | 221 | 47.1% | |||||
| DeKalb | 221 | 39.0% | 328 | 57.8% | |||||
| Dent | 327 | 40.5% | 449 | 55.6% | |||||
| Douglas | 268 | 40.5% | 384 | 58.1% | |||||
| Dunklin | 724 | 60.9% | 448 | 37.7% | |||||
| Franklin | 3,701 | 42.9% | 4,784 | 55.4% | |||||
| Gasconade | 401 | 43.8% | 507 | 55.3% | |||||
| Gentry | 171 | 48.0% | 176 | 49.4% | |||||
| Greene | 10,910 | 38.3% | 17,403 | 61.1% | |||||
| Grundy | 219 | 44.6% | 262 | 53.4% | |||||
| Harrison | 158 | 48.5% | 163 | 50.0% | |||||
| Henry | 780 | 51.7% | 696 | 46.1% | |||||
| Hickory | 73 | 53.7% | 60 | 44.1% | |||||
| Holt | 128 | 52.2% | 110 | 44.9% | |||||
| Howard | 413 | 48.8% | 408 | 48.2% | |||||
| Howell | 833 | 40.2% | 1,209 | 58.4% | |||||
| Iron | 349 | 43.8% | 426 | 53.5% | |||||
| Jackson | 48,860 | 52.9% | 42,823 | 46.4% | |||||
| Jasper | 2,289 | 37.1% | 3,826 | 62.0% | |||||
| Jefferson | 9,637 | 44.2% | 11,830 | 54.3% | |||||
| Johnson | 1,473 | 42.5% | 1,944 | 56.2% | |||||
| Knox | 134 | 56.8% | 94 | 39.8% | |||||
| Laclede | 737 | 43.6% | 927 | 54.8% | |||||
| Lafayette | 1,173 | 46.2% | 1,324 | 52.2% | |||||
| Lawrence | 872 | 45.3% | 1,028 | 53.5% | |||||
| Lewis | 239 | 48.3% | 239 | 48.3% | |||||
| Lincoln | 1,561 | 43.1% | 1,976 | 54.6% | |||||
| Linn | 436 | 50.5% | 409 | 47.3% | |||||
| Livingston | 397 | 48.5% | 398 | 48.6% | |||||
| Macon | 421 | 43.7% | 505 | 52.4% | |||||
| Madison | 346 | 49.4% | 334 | 47.6% | |||||
| Maries | 305 | 50.2% | 291 | 47.9% | |||||
| Marion | 925 | 54.7% | 707 | 41.8% | |||||
| McDonald | 364 | 47.6% | 385 | 50.3% | |||||
| Mercer | 69 | 51.9% | 63 | 47.4% | |||||
| Miller | 432 | 46.5% | 480 | 51.7% | |||||
| Mississippi | 486 | 67.2% | 209 | 28.9% | |||||
| Moniteau | 340 | 44.6% | 409 | 53.7% | |||||
| Monroe | 252 | 50.9% | 226 | 45.7% | |||||
| Montgomery | 330 | 49.4% | 324 | 48.5% | |||||
| Morgan | 554 | 51.5% | 506 | 47.1% | |||||
| New Madrid | 691 | 64.2% | 360 | 33.5% | |||||
| Newton | 1,240 | 43.9% | 1,553 | 55.0% | |||||
| Nodaway | 616 | 41.6% | 831 | 56.1% | |||||
| Oregon | 319 | 53.0% | 271 | 45.0% | |||||
| Osage | 314 | 47.7% | 326 | 49.5% | |||||
| Ozark | 217 | 42.1% | 293 | 56.8% | |||||
| Pemiscot | 602 | 69.4% | 250 | 28.8% | |||||
| Perry | 436 | 49.3% | 437 | 49.4% | |||||
| Pettis | 1,265 | 44.8% | 1,509 | 53.5% | |||||
| Phelps | 1,137 | 38.4% | 1,744 | 58.9% | |||||
| Pike | 661 | 57.0% | 475 | 41.0% | |||||
| Platte | 4,645 | 47.1% | 5,142 | 52.1% | |||||
| Polk | 744 | 46.1% | 851 | 52.7% | |||||
| Pulaski | 860 | 44.6% | 1,020 | 52.8% | |||||
| Putnam | 102 | 46.8% | 108 | 49.5% | |||||
| Ralls | 415 | 54.5% | 311 | 40.9% | |||||
| Randolph | 647 | 44.9% | 750 | 52.0% | |||||
| Ray | 945 | 48.2% | 968 | 49.5% | |||||
| Reynolds | 230 | 47.1% | 228 | 46.7% | |||||
| Ripley | 259 | 49.1% | 250 | 47.3% | |||||
| Saline | 910 | 51.4% | 805 | 45.5% | |||||
| Schuyler | 124 | 49.2% | 119 | 47.2% | |||||
| Scotland | 108 | 44.1% | 134 | 54.7% | |||||
| Scott | 1,067 | 55.0% | 834 | 43.0% | |||||
| Shannon | 317 | 50.6% | 291 | 46.5% | |||||
| Shelby | 240 | 51.1% | 200 | 42.6% | |||||
| St. Charles | 17,805 | 44.8% | 21,593 | 54.3% | |||||
| St. Clair | 340 | 49.9% | 320 | 47.0% | |||||
| St. Francois | 1,939 | 45.3% | 2,267 | 53.0% | |||||
| St. Louis (City) | 34,458 | 55.0% | 27,748 | 44.3% | |||||
| St. Louis (County) | 89,373 | 55.3% | 71,134 | 44.0% | |||||
| Ste. Genevieve | 842 | 50.3% | 798 | 47.6% | |||||
| Stoddard | 674 | 56.6% | 489 | 41.1% | |||||
| Stone | 806 | 46.9% | 885 | 51.5% | |||||
| Sullivan | 177 | 59.8% | 112 | 37.8% | |||||
| Taney | 1,199 | 46.2% | 1,373 | 52.9% | |||||
| Texas | 603 | 46.3% | 666 | 51.2% | |||||
| Vernon | 490 | 47.8% | 518 | 50.5% | |||||
| Warren | 986 | 44.0% | 1,222 | 54.5% | |||||
| Washington | 754 | 51.4% | 664 | 45.3% | |||||
| Wayne | 393 | 57.8% | 264 | 38.8% | |||||
| Webster | 940 | 44.0% | 1,170 | 54.8% | |||||
| Worth | 59 | 41.5% | 76 | 53.5% | |||||
| Wright | 402 | 50.5% | 385 | 48.4% | |||||
| Total | 310,602 | 49.6% | 309,071 | 49.4% | 6,429 |
Analysis
Hillary Clinton, having narrowly lost the Missouri primary to Barack Obama eight years prior, managed a slim 0.2-percentage-point-victory over an increasingly popular insurgent Bernie Sanders in 2016. With Sanders winning men 56-44, voters under the age of 45 67-32, and white voters 54-45, Clinton won among women 54-44, older voters 62-37, and African American voters 67-32.
Sanders won among voters who made less than $50k and $100k per year, with Clinton winning more affluent voters. And while Sanders won 67-33 among self-identified Independents who made up 24% of the electorate, Clinton won 55-44 among the 74% of voters who identified as Democrats. While Sanders won among liberals 53-46, Clinton won moderates and conservatives 55-44. Sanders was able to win 54-45 among union households, a key voting bloc in the industrial Midwest, and he won 53-46 among those who believe trade with other countries takes away U.S. jobs; trade deals championed by Bill and Hillary Clinton have not always gone over well in the industrial Rust Belt. In terms of each voters' family financial situation, voters who were "getting ahead" or "holding steady" opted for Clinton, while those who felt they were "falling behind" overwhelmingly favored Sanders.[8]
Clinton won a large victory in St. Louis City and St. Louis County (she won 55-44 according to exit polls, likely thanks to her ardent African American support), and she also managed a 51-48 victory in Kansas City on the western side of the state. Sanders, meanwhile, won victories in Columbia and Springfield, keeping the race close statewide, and won in the largely white, rural and more conservative counties, including areas of Northwestern Missouri bordering Kansas and Nebraska, and Southwestern Missouri bordering Oklahoma. All three neighboring states are Great Plains states that Sanders won earlier in March.
References
- "Missouri Secretary of State - Official Primary Results". Archived from the original on April 12, 2019. Retrieved June 17, 2016.
- "Midwestern States a Toss Up Tuesday" (PDF).
- "Missouri Poll Results". RABA Research. Retrieved March 11, 2016.
- "Missouri Poll Results". Fort Hayes State University. Retrieved March 12, 2016.
- "Trump Up Big in Missouri; GOP Hopefuls Lead Clinton in State" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved August 12, 2015.
- Dann, Carrie (March 17, 2016). "Sanders Concedes Missouri Primary, Won't Seek Recount". Retrieved December 2, 2019.
- "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
- "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved October 10, 2016.