Rambukkana Polling Division

The Rambukkana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Rambukkana
Coordinates: 7.309397°N 80.382153°E / 7.309397; 80.382153
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKegalle Electoral District
Area
  Total129.29 km2 (49.92 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
  Total82,769
  Density640/km2 (1,700/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-22D

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Rambukkana has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Rambukkana is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Rambukkana Kegalle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 4.08% SLPP 6.83%
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.24% NDF 6.43%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.25% UPFA 6.00%
2005 UPFA UPFA 3.24% UPFA 3.98%
1999 PA PA 4.46% PA 4.37%
1994 PA PA 3.31% PA 2.86%
1988 UNP UNP 2.11% UNP 3.40%
1982 UNP UNP 1.41% UNP 1.80%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 2.89% 8/8 4.46%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rambukkana[4] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 31,902 59.54% 320,484 55.66% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 18,657 34.82% 228,032 39.60% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,828 3.41% 15,043 2.61% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,197 2.23% 12,272 2.13% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 53,584 99.04% 575,831 99.11% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 519 0.96% 5,152 0.89% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 54,103 84.80% 580,983 85.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 63,798 676,440 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rambukkana[5] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,400 54.12% 278,130 51.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 22,690 44.82% 252,533 47.05% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 538 1.06% 6,108 1.14% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 50,628 99.11% 536,771 98.80% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 457 0.89% 6,515 1.20% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 51,085 78.19% 543,286 79.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 65,337 680,414 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rambukkana[6] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,864 64.20% 296,639 61.80% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 15,967 34.33% 174,877 36.44% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 686 1.47% 8,448 1.76% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 46,517 99.26% 479,964 99.25% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 346 0.74% 3,604 0.75% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 46,863 75.19% 483,568 76.11% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 62,325 635,342 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rambukkana[7] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,559 54.36% 239,184 51.02% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 20,078 44.44% 223,483 47.67% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 541 1.20% 6,106 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 45,178 98.91% 468,773 98.99% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 496 1.09% 4,795 1.01% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 45,674 76.49% 473,568 78.68% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 59,711 601,872 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rambukkana[8] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,909 55.79% 210,185 51.30% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 15,635 38.07% 176,376 43.05% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,740 4.24% 14,997 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 781 1.90% 8,122 1.98% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 41,065 98.07% 409,680 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 809 1.93% 8,136 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 41,874 77.08% 417,816 76.52% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 54,323 546,038 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rambukkana[9] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,224 59.42% 211,676 56.06% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 13,899 38.91% 159,707 42.30% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 597 1.67% 6,209 1.64% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 35,720 97.91% 377,592 98.14% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 761 2.09% 7,139 1.86% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 36,481 72.97% 384,731 74.84% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 49,996 514,055 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rambukkana[10] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,033 55.18% 168,720 57.11% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 12,490 42.98% 119,769 40.54% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 535 1.84% 6,923 2.34% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 29,058 98.61% 295,412 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 411 1.39% 4,277 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 29,469 67.21% 299,689 67.98% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 43,847 440,836 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rambukkana[11] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,130 55.68% 195,444 57.02% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,220 38.48% 126,538 36.92% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,799 5.24% 13,706 4.00% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 206 0.60% 7,074 2.06% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 34,355 99.05% 342,762 98.69% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 328 0.95% 4,537 1.31% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 34,683 83.35% 347,299 84.30% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 41,612 411,994 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Rambukkana has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Rambukkana is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Rambukkana Kegalle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 1.01% UNP 2.71%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.93% UPFA 5.00%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.01% UPFA 4.70%
2001 UNP UNP 0.80% UNP 3.05%
2000 PA PA 1.99% PA 3.03%
1994 PA UNP 3.46% PA 2.66%
1989 UNP UNP 2.54% UNP 6.42%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 6/7 1.96% 7/7 3.94%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rambukkana[14] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,447 48.24% 247,467 49.52% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 21,491 46.18% 227,208 45.47% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,249 4.83% 18,394 3.68% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 346 0.74% 6,661 1.33% 101,045 0.91%
Valid Votes 46,533 96.32% 499,730 96.35% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,774 3.67% 18,770 3.62% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 48,312 73.94% 518,674 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 65,337 649,878 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rambukkana[15] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,317 67.74% 242,463 66.89% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 9,545 27.73% 104,925 28.95% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,427 4.15% 13,518 3.73% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 133 0.39% 1,549 0.43% 33,973 0.42%
Valid Votes 34,422 93.46% 362,455 93.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,407 6.54% 25,965 6.68% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 36,829 59.09% 388,420 60.93% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 62,325 637,524 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rambukkana[16] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,187 53.49% 214,267 50.88% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 16,858 40.64% 186,641 44.32% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,256 5.44% 18,034 4.28% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 176 0.42% 2,187 0.52% 59,247 0.64%
Valid Votes 41,477 94.71% 421,134 94.25% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,316 5.29% 25,685 5.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 43,793 74.75% 446,816 78.35% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 58,588 570,299 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rambukkana[17] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,972 48.61% 208,104 49.36% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 17,068 41.54% 170,901 40.53% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,454 8.41% 36,711 8.71% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 591 1.44% 5,924 1.40% 123,245 1.38%
Valid Votes 41,085 95.26% 421,640 94.90% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,045 4.74% 22,669 5.10% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 43,130 76.23% 444,309 80.10% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 56,580 554,698 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rambukkana[18] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,907 51.26% 201,114 48.88% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 16,647 40.81% 175,627 42.69% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,356 5.78% 22,028 5.35% 518,725 6.03%
SU 461 1.13% 4,549 1.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 416 1.02% 8,094 1.97% 291,648 3.39%
Valid Votes 40,787 N/A 411,412 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rambukkana[19] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,346 51.19% 190,689 47.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 17,976 47.57% 203,938 51.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 469 1.24% 3,383 0.85% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 37,791 96.04% 398,010 95.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,560 3.96% 17,043 4.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 39,351 78.71% 415,053 80.78% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 49,996 513,825 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rambukkana[20] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 13,525 63.17% 174,334 61.12% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 6,803 31.78% 80,668 28.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 633 2.96% 14,056 4.93% 67,723 1.21%
USA 362 1.69% 15,168 5.32% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 86 0.40% 1,028 0.36% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 21,409 94.02% 285,254 93.95% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,361 5.98% 18,362 6.05% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 22,770 53.33% 303,616 69.46% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 42,695 437,131 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Rambukkana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.4%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Rambukkana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Rambukkana[1]

  Sinhalese (95.4%)
  Moor (3.3%)
  Other (1.3%)

Religion

The Rambukkana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (91.0%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Rambukkana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) [1]

Religion in Rambukkana[1]

  Buddhist (91.0%)
  Muslim (3.4%)
  Other Christian (3.0%)
  Roman Catholic (1.6%)
  Other (1.0%)

References

  1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rambukkana and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rambukkana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rambukkana and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rambukkana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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