2024 Russian presidential election
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in March 2024. In accordance with country's electoral law, the first round will be held on Sunday, 17 March.[1][2] If no candidate receives more than half the vote, a second round will take place exactly three weeks later, on 7 April 2024.[3] The winner of the election is scheduled to be inaugurated on 7 May 2024.[4]
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The election will be the first after the 2020 amendments to the Constitution of Russia. Incumbent president Vladimir Putin is eligible to seek re-election as a result of such amendments. Russian newspaper Kommersant reported in January 2023 that preparation was underway for his election campaign.[5] This was later denied by his spokesman.[6] Putin has not yet announced whether he will run for re-election, although it is widely assumed he will.[7] In September 2023, Putin stated that he would make an announcement only after the election is called.[8]
As was the case in the 2018 Russian presidential election, one of the prominent opposition leaders, Alexei Navalny,[9][10][11] is barred from running due to a prior criminal conviction,[12][13] which is widely seen as politically motivated.[14][15] In addition, Navalny is expected to be in prison as of the election date.[16][17][18]
Background
2020 constitutional reform
According to clause 3 of article 81 of the Constitution of Russia, prior to the 2020 constitutional revision, the same person could not hold the position of President of the Russian Federation for more than two consecutive terms, which allowed Vladimir Putin to become President in 2012 for a third term not consecutive with his prior terms.[19] The constitutional reform established a hard limit of two terms overall. However, terms served before the constitutional revision were not counted, which gives Vladimir Putin eligibility for two more presidential terms.
New requirements for candidates
According to the new version of the Constitution, presidential candidates must:[20]
- Be at least 35 years old (the requirement has not changed);
- Be resident in Russia for at least 25 years (previously 10 years);
- Not have foreign citizenship or residence permit in a foreign country, neither at the time of the election nor at any time before (new requirement).
Candidates
Announced
Individuals in this section have publicly announced their participation in the election, but have not yet submitted documents to the Central Election Commission (CEC). According to Russian law, they will be able to submit documents to the CEC only after the Federation Council officially calls the election, which will happen no earlier than December 2023.
Candidate name, age, political party |
Experience | Home state | Campaign details | Announcement date | Ref | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ivan Otrakovsky (47) Independent |
Leader of the Army of Defenders of the Fatherland movement (2020–present) Captain of the Russian Naval Infantry Anti-vaccine activist |
Otrakovsky was nominated by the All-Russian Officers' Assembly, a public organization of retired officers of the Russian Armed Forces headed by Vladimir Kvachkov. | 21 April 2023 | [21][22] | |||
Ustin Chashchikhin (48) Independent |
Author of books on demography Anti-vaccine activist[23] |
Chashchikhin announced his intent to run for president on his social media page on 23 June 2023. | 23 June 2023 | [24] | |||
Igor Girkin (48) Independent |
Minister of Defense of the Donetsk People's Republic (2014–2015) Founder of the organisation Club of Angry Patriots[25] |
Igor Girkin announced his intention to participate in the 2024 Russian Presidential elections through his telegram channel. | 31 August 2023 | [26] | |||
Boris Nadezhdin (60) Independent |
Deputy of the Council of Deputies of the Dolgoprudny urban district, Moscow oblast (1990-1997, 2019–present) Founder and President of the Institute of Regional Projects and Legislation Foundation (2001–present) Deputy of the State Duma (1999–2003) |
Nadezhdin’s participation was announced by Dmitry Kisiev, founder of the Candidates’ Headquarters, on his social media. | 6 October 2023 | [27] |
Publicly expressed interest
Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president.
United Russia
Communist Party
Liberal Democratic Party |
A Just Russia — For TruthYabloko
Party of Social Protection
|
Independent
- Andrey Zamay, rapper.[40]
- Dmitri Nossov, sportsman, judoka and former Deputy of the State Duma.[41]
- Maxim Suraykin, Former Deputy of the Legislative Assembly of Ulyanovsk Oblast, former leader of the Communists of Russia, 2018 presidential candidate.[42]
- Boris Yakemenko, public activist and co-founder of the Nashi movement.[43]
- Igor Girkin, Russian army veteran and former Federal Security Service.[44]
Potential candidates
Individuals in this section are the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy.
United Russia
- Alexey Dyumin, Governor of Tula Oblast.[45][46][47][48][49]
- Dmitry Medvedev, leader of United Russia party, former Prime Minister of Russia and former President of Russia.[50][51][52]
- Dmitry Mironov, assistant to the President of Russia, former Governor of Yaroslavl Oblast.[48]
- Sergey Naryshkin, Director of the Foreign Intelligence Service, former Deputy and Chairman of the State Duma.[52]
- Alexander Novak, Deputy Prime Minister, former Minister of Energy.[53][54]
- Sergei Shoigu, Minister of Defence, former Governor of Moscow Oblast, former Minister of Emergency Situations.[55][49]
- Sergey Sobyanin, Mayor of Moscow.[56][57][52]
- Andrey Turchak, Senator from Pskov Oblast and First Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council, former Governor of Pskov Oblast.[55]
- Former President
Dmitry Medvedev - Presidential assistant
Dmitry Mironov
Communist Party
- Yury Afonin, Deputy of the State Duma.[58]
- Nikolai Bondarenko, former Deputy of the Saratov Oblast Duma.[58]
- Leonid Kalashnikov, Deputy of the State Duma.[58]
- Andrey Klychkov, Governor of Oryol Oblast.[58]
- Nikolay Kolomeytsev, Deputy of the State Duma.[58]
- Alexey Kurinny, Deputy of the State Duma.[58]
- Anatoly Lokot, Mayor of Novosibirsk, former Deputy of the State Duma.[59]
- Oleg Mikhailov, Deputy of the State Duma.[58]
- Nikita Mikhalkov,[a 3] filmmaker, actor, chairman of the Russian Cinematographers' Union.[60]
- Dmitry Novikov, Deputy of the State Duma.[58]
- Maria Prusakova, Deputy of the State Duma.[58]
- Gennady Zyuganov, leader of the Communist Party, Deputy of the State Duma.[61]
- Mayor
Anatoly Lokot
Liberal Democratic Party
- Mikhail Degtyarev, Governor of Khabarovsk Krai,[62] former Deputy of the State Duma.
- Igor Lebedev, former Deputy of the State Duma.[63]
- Alexey Ostrovsky, Governor of Smolensk Oblast, former Deputy of the State Duma.[64]
- Leonid Slutsky, Leader of the Liberal Democratic Party, Deputy of the State Duma.[65]
- Party leader
Leonid Slutsky
A Just Russia — For Truth
- Zakhar Prilepin, writer, publicist, TV anchor, public activist, former leader of the For Truth party.[49][66]
Independent
- Andrey Belousov, First Deputy Prime Minister.[67]
- Kirill Dmitriev, CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund.[68]
- Sergey Kiriyenko, Kremlin First Deputy Chief of Staff and former Prime Minister of Russia.[69]
- Alexei Kudrin, Former Chairman of the Accounts Chamber, former Minister of Finace.[70]
- Mikhail Mishustin, Prime Minister of Russia.[71]
- Dmitry Patrushev, Minister of Agriculture.[72][73]
- Vladimir Putin, incumbent President, former Prime Minister of Russia, former Director of the Federal Security Service.
- Kremlin First Deputy Chief of Staff
Sergey Kiriyenko
Declined
The individuals in this section have publicly denied interest in running.
United Russia
A Just Russia — For Truth
- Sergey Mironov, Leader of the A Just Russia — For Truth party, Deputy of the State Duma, Former Chairman of the Federation Council, presidential candidate in 2004 and 2012.[75] (endorsed Putin)
Yabloko
- Dmitry Muratov, journalist, editor-in-chief of the Novaya Gazeta newspaper and 2021 Nobel Peace Prize laureate.[76]
- Nikolay Rybakov, leader of the Yabloko party.[77] (endorsed Yavlinsky)
Independent
- Maxim Galkin, comedian and TV anchor.[78]
Disqualified
This section contains candidates who expressed their intention to run or the most well-known potential candidates who have lost their right to run.
Independent
- Alexei Navalny, Russian opposition leader and anti-corruption activist. He is barred from running in the election due to a prior criminal conviction, which is widely seen by political analysts, jurists and human rights organizations, as politically motivated.[14][79][15][13] In addition, Navalny is currently serving a jail sentence that will be followed by another sentence which is set to expire in 2032, years after the election takes place.[16][17] In August 2023, Navalny was sentenced to a further 19 years and is now expected to be released in 2050.[18]
- Sergei Polonsky, businessman, former CEO of the Mirax Group.[80] In 2013, he received Cambodian citizenship, and now does not have the right to become President of Russia, even if he renounces his foreign citizenship.
- Ksenia Sobchak, TV anchor, opposition activist and journalist, Civic Initiative's presidential nominee in 2018.[81] In 2022, she received Israeli citizenship, and now does not have the right to become President of Russia, even if she renounces her foreign citizenship.
Endorsements
- Deputies of the State Duma
- Sergey Mironov, Deputy of the State Duma, leader of the A Just Russia — For Truth party, former Chairman of the Federation Council[75]
Opinion polls
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Others | Undecided | Abstention | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Putin | Grudinin | Zyuganov | Shoigu | Lavrov | Medvedev | Sobyanin | Dyumin | Mishustin | Platoshkin | Bondarenko | |||||||||
23 Aug 2023 | Death of Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin | ||||||||||||||||||
1–9 Aug 2023 | CIPKR | 60% | 4% | 2% | — | 4% | 2% | — | 1% | — | — | 3% | — | — | — | — | 11% | 7% | 3% |
30 Jul 2023 | VCIOM | 37.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | — | 1.7% | 6.9% | 12.9% | — | — | — | 16.8% | — | 0.8% | 0.8% | — | |||
20–26 Jul 2023 | Levada Center | 44% | — | 3% | — | 1% | 7% | 13% | 3% | 4% | — | 18% | — | — | — | — | 7% | 19% | 5.9% |
22–28 Jun 2023 | Levada Center | 42% | — | 4% | — | — | 8% | 14% | 4% | 4% | — | 18% | — | — | — | 2% | 5% | ||
23–24 Jun 2023 | Wagner Group rebellion | ||||||||||||||||||
13–16 May 2023 | Russian Field | 30.2% | 1.1% | — | — | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | — | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 3% | 26.4% | 28.8% | 5.9% |
21–28 Feb 2023 | Levada Center | 43% | 1% | 5% | — | 1% | 12% | 15% | 3% | 3% | — | 17% | 1% | — | — | — | 6% | 17% | 16% |
24–30 Nov 2022 | Levada Center | 39% | — | 5% | — | 1% | 12% | 14% | 3% | 3% | — | 17% | — | — | 1% | — | 5% | 7% | 18% |
30 Sep 2022 | Russia annexes part of southeastern Ukraine | ||||||||||||||||||
21–27 Jul 2022 | Levada Center | 43% | — | 4% | — | 1% | 14% | 14% | 3% | 4% | — | 16% | — | — | 1% | — | 5% | 16% | 16% |
6 Apr 2022 | Liberal Democratic Party of Russia leader Vladimir Zhirinovsky dies[82] | ||||||||||||||||||
24 Feb 2022 | Beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine | ||||||||||||||||||
21 Feb 2022 | Russia announces international recognition of the Donetsk People's Republic and the Luhansk People's Republic | ||||||||||||||||||
10–28 Dec 2021 | CIPKR | — | 3% | — | 0% | 5% | 18% | — | 2% | 1% | 1% | 15% | — | — | — | — | 24% | 31% | |
25 Nov–1 Dec 2021 | Levada Center | 32% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | — | — | — | — | 1% | — | — | 1% | — | 3% | 21% | 27% |
22–28 Apr 2021 | Levada Center | 40% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | — | — | — | — | — | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | — | 3% | 18% | 23% |
17 Jan 2021 | Arrest of Alexei Navalny | ||||||||||||||||||
Dec 2020 | CIPKR | — | 5% | — | 1% | 2% | 18% | — | 4% | 2% | 0% | 8% | — | — | — | – | 33% | 27% | |
19–26 Nov 2020 | Levada Center | 39% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 1% | — | — | — | — | 1% | — | 1% | — | — | 2% | 16% | 24% |
20–26 Aug 2020 | Levada Center | 40% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | — | — | — | — | 1% | 1% | 1% | — | — | 2% | 26% | 22% |
18–23 Dec 2019 | CIPKR | — | 9% | — | 4% | — | 24% | — | 11% | 5% | 1% | — | — | — | — | – | 26% | 20% | |
12–18 Dec 2019 | Levada Center | 38% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | — | 1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | – | 2% | 26% | 22% |
18–24 Jul 2019 | Levada Center | 40% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | — | — | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | – | 2% | 31% | 19% |
21–27 Mar 2019 | Levada Center | 41% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | – | 3% | 26% | 19% |
18–24 Oct 2018 | Levada Center | 40% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | – | 2% | 27% | 23% |
Notes
- Pavel Grudinin is not a member of the Communist party, but expressed his intention to run for this party.
- Grigory Yavlinsky previously refused to be a candidate[37]
- Nikita Mikhalkov is not a member of the Communist party, but according to media reports, he may run for this party.
- Has not declared his candidacy
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