2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 to elect the twenty-seven U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty seven congressional districts, a loss of two seats following the 2010 United States Census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. The two existing districts that were eliminated were District 9, held by Republican Rep. Bob Turner,[1][2] and District 22, held by retiring Democratic Rep. Maurice Hinchey.[3][4]

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)

All 27 New York seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 21 8
Seats won 21 6
Seat change Steady Decrease 2
Popular vote 4,143,408 2,252,253
Percentage 58.22% 31.65%
Swing Increase0.15% Decrease9.60%

Results:
     Democratic hold      Democratic gain
     Republican hold      Republican gain

Party primary elections occurred June 26, 2012,[5] with the general election coinciding with the national elections on November 6, 2012.

On election day, the Democratic Party regained two seats previously held by Republicans, while the Republican Party regained one seat previously held by a Democrat.[6] In the 113th Congress, which first met on January 3, 2013, the New York delegation initially consisted of 21 Democrats and six Republicans.[7][8]

Redistricting

Each caucus in the New York State Legislature submitted their proposed 27-district maps to an appointed special master on February 29, 2012.[9] On March 6, the special master Judge Roanne L. Mann released her own proposed map, and slightly revised them again on March 12.[10][11] On March 19, the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York imposed the special master's maps, with minor modifications.[12][13]

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2012[14]
Party Votes Percentage Seats +/–
Democratic 4,127,348 58.00% 21 -
Republican 2,252,253 31.65% 6 -2
Green 41,672 0.59% 0 -
Conservative 23,414 0.33% 0 -
Socialist Workers 5,533 0.08% 0 -
Libertarian 2,986 0.04% 0 -
Others 663,130 9.32% 0 -
Totals 7,116,336 100.00% 27 -2
Popular vote
Democratic
58.00%
Republican
31.65%
Other
10.35%
House seats by Party Nomination
Democratic
77.78%
Working Families
74.07%
Independence
25.93%
Republican
22.22%
Conservative
18.52%
House seats by Party Registration
Democratic
77.78%
Republican
22.22%

District 1

Incumbent Democrat Tim Bishop, who was first elected in 2002, kicked off his re-election campaign in April 2011.[15]

In March 2011, Bishop was included in a list of potentially vulnerable Democrats by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, having only won by 593 votes in 2010.[16]

Nominee

Bishop also had the endorsement of the Working Families Party.

Nominee
Withdrawn

Primary results

Republican primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Randy Altschuler 7,394 86.4
Republican George Demos 1,166 13.6
Total votes 8,560 100.0

Altschuler also had the endorsement of the Conservative Party and Independence Party.

Disqualified
  • Rick Witt

Endorsements

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Bishop (D)
Randy
Altschuler (R)
Undecided
McLaughlin (R-Altschuler) October 14–15, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 43% 48% 9%
McLaughlin (R-Prosperity First) October 10–11, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 46% 49% 5%
Siena College September 5–10, 2012 624 ± 3.9% 52% 39% 9%
Global Strategy (D-Bishop) August 26–28, 2012 402 ± 4.9% 53% 39% 8%
Pulse Opinion Research (R-Altschuler) July 29, 2012 1,000 ± 3.0% 43% 47% 10%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) July 17–18, 2012 407 ± 4.9% 56% 32% 12%
Global Strategy (D-Bishop) March 20–25, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 53% 36% 11%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Tilts D November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Lean D November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Lean D November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Tossup November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

On election day, Bishop prevailed by a 52.2%-47.8% margin.[7]

New York's 1st congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tim Bishop 135,118 48.5
Working Families Tim Bishop 11,061 4.0
Total Tim Bishop (incumbent) 146,179 52.5
Republican Randy Altschuler 107,226 38.5
Conservative Randy Altschuler 20,125 7.2
Independence Randy Altschuler 4,953 1.8
Total Randy Altschuler 132,304 47.5
Total votes 278,483 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

Republican incumbent Peter King, who was redistricted from the 3rd district, said in May 2011 that the Nassau County Republican Party had encouraged him to run for president. King also said, however, that he was focused "entirely on getting re-elected to Congress."[38]

Nominee
Disqualified
  • Paul Mourino

King had the endorsement of the Conservative Party and Independence Party.

Nominee
  • Vivianne Falcone, teacher
Declined

Falcone also had the endorsement of the Working Families Party.

Endorsements

Results

King won re-election by a margin of more than 15%.[7]

New York's 2nd congressional district, 2012 [37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Peter King 116,363 47.9
Conservative Peter King 19,515 8.0
Independence Peter King 6,431 2.7
Total Peter King (incumbent) 142,309 58.6
Democratic Vivianne Falcone 93,932 38.7
Working Families Vivianne Falcone 6,613 2.7
Total Vivianne Falcone 100,545 41.4
Total votes 242,854 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2012 New York's 3rd congressional district election

  Majority party Minority party
 
Candidate Steve Israel Stephen LaBate
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Independence
Conservative
Popular vote 157,880 113,203
Percentage 57.8% 41.5%

County Results
Israel:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Israel
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Israel
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Steve Israel ran for re-election.

Nominee

Israel, also has the endorsement of the Working Families Party and the Independence Party.

Nominee
  • Stephen LaBate, U.S. Army reservist and financial planning advisor
Disqualified
  • Robert Previdi, teacher

Conservative Party also endorsed LaBate.[42]

Nominee
  • Michael McDermott

Endorsements

Stephen LaBate (R)

Results

New York's 3rd congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Israel 146,271 53.5
Working Families Steve Israel 6,506 2.4
Independence Steve Israel 5,103 1.9
Total Steve Israel (incumbent) 157,880 57.8
Republican Stephen LaBate 98,614 36.1
Conservative Stephen LaBate 14,589 5.4
Total Stephen LaBate 113,203 41.5
Libertarian Michael McDermott 1,644 0.6
Constitution Anthony Tolda 367 0.1
Total votes 273,094 100
Democratic hold

District 4

Democratic incumbent Carolyn McCarthy, who had represented the 4th district since 1997, ran for another term.

Nominee

The Independence Party and Working Families Party endorsed McCarthy.

Nominee
  • Fran Becker, Nassau County Legislator and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

On June 26, 2012, Nassau County Legislator Fran Becker, defeated Frank Scaturro in a primary election for the Republican nomination, while Scaturro defeated Becker in the Conservative Party primary as a write-in candidate.

Republican primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Fran Becker 6,357 55.1
Republican Frank Scaturro 5,175 44.9
Total votes 11,532 100.0
Conservative Primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Conservative Frank Scaturro 253 56.6
Conservative Fran Becker 194 43.4
Total votes 447 100.0

Endorsements

Frank Scaturro (C)
Organizations

Results

New York's 4th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carolyn McCarthy 152,590 57.5
Working Families Carolyn McCarthy 7,472 2.8
Independence Carolyn McCarthy 3,893 1.5
Total Carolyn McCarthy (incumbent) 163,955 61.8
Republican Fran Becker 84,982 32.0
Tax Revolt Fran Becker 711 0.3
Total Fran Becker 85,693 32.3
Conservative Frank Scaturro 15,603 5.9
Total votes 265,251 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks ran for re-election.

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Alan Jennings, former New York City Council member
  • Joseph Marthone, small-business owner
  • Michael Scala, rapper

Primary results

Democratic primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gregory Meeks (incumbent) 9,920 66.5
Democratic Alan Jennings 1,972 13.2
Democratic Michael Scala 1,694 11.4
Democratic Joseph Marthone 1,327 8.9
Total votes 14,913 100.0
Nominee
Nominee
  • Catherine Wark

Endorsements

Results

New York's 5th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gregory Meeks (incumbent) 167,836 89.7
Republican Alan Jennings 17,875 9.6
Libertarian Catherine Wark 1,345 0.7
Total votes 187,056 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

The 6th district was an open seat, consisting mostly of territory from the former 5th and 9th districts. Neither of the two incumbents in those districts, Democrat Gary Ackerman from the 5th and Republican Bob Turner from the 9th, sought re-election. Ackerman, who represented most of the territory in the newly-drawn 6th, retired,[45] while Turner dropped out of the race in March 2012 to run against incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand in the Senate election.[46]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Grace Meng

Primary results

Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Grace Meng 14,825 53.0
Democratic Rory Lancman 7,089 25.3
Democratic Elizabeth Crowley 4,606 16.5
Democratic Robert Mittman 1,462 5.2
Total votes 27,982 100.0

The Working Families Party endorsed Lancman.

Nominee
Withdrawn
Nominee

Endorsements

Results

New York's 6th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Grace Meng 107,507 65.5
Working Families Grace Meng 3,994 2.4
Total Grace Meng 111,501 67.9
Republican Dan Halloran 45,993 28.0
Conservative Dan Halloran 4,853 3.0
Total Dan Halloran 50,846 31.0
Green Evergreen Chou 1,913 1.2
Total votes 164,260 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

Incumbent Nydia Velazquez, who was redistricted from the 12th district, ran for re-election.

Democratic primary

New York City Councilman Erik Martin Dilan, the son of current New York State Senator Martin Malave Dilan, challenged Velazquez in the primary with the backing of Brooklyn Democratic Party chairman Vito Lopez; the Dilan family and Velazquez supporters having been engaged in a political feud for several years.[53][54]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Nydia Velazquez

Primary results

Democratic primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nydia Velazquez (incumbent) 17,208 57.9
Democratic Erik Dilan 10,408 35.0
Democratic Daniel O'Connor 1,351 4.6
Democratic George Martinez 745 2.5
Total votes 29,712 100.0
Nominee
  • James Murray

Endorsements

Results

New York's 7th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nydia Velázquez 134,802 88.8
Working Families Nydia Velázquez 9,128 6.0
Total Nydia Velázquez (incumbent) 143,930 94.8
Conservative James Murray 7,971 5.2
Total votes 151,901 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

Incumbent Democrat Edolphus Towns, who was redistricted from the 10th district and was first elected in 1982, announced in April 2012 that he would abandon his plans for re-election.[57]

Democratic primary

Towns's son Darryl, a former member of the New York State Assembly, was formerly considered the "next in line" for the seat; however in 2011 he accepted a position in the administration of Governor Andrew Cuomo.[58]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Hakeem Jeffries

Primary results

Democratic primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hakeem Jeffries 28,271 71.8
Democratic Charles Barron 11,130 28.2
Total votes 39,401 100.0
Nominee
Nominee
  • Alan Bellone

Endorsements

Results

New York's 8th congressional district, 2012 [37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hakeem Jeffries 178,688 87.5
Working Families Hakeem Jeffries 5,351 2.6
Total Hakeem Jeffries 184,039 90.1
Republican Alan Bellone 15,841 7.8
Conservative Alan Bellone 1,809 0.9
Total Alan Bellone 17,650 8.7
Green Colin Beavan 2,441 1.2
Total votes 204,130 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was redistricted from the 11th district and has represented that district since 2007, sought re-election in her new district.

Democratic primary

Sylvia Kinard, an attorney and the ex-wife of Bill Thompson (a current/former Democratic nominee for Mayor of New York City), challenged Clarke.[68]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Sylvia Kinard, attorney

Primary results

Democratic primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Yvette Clarke 15,069 88.3
Democratic Sylvia Kinard 1,993 11.7
Total votes 17,062 100.0
Nominee
  • Daniel Cavanaugh

Endorsements

Results

New York's 9th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Yvette Clarke 178,168 83.5
Working Families Yvette Clarke 7,973 3.7
Total Yvette Clarke (incumbent) 186,141 87.2
Republican Daniel Cavanaugh 20,899 9.8
Conservative Daniel Cavanaugh 3,265 1.5
Total Daniel Cavanaugh 24,164 11.3
Green Vivia Morgan 2,991 1.5
Total votes 213,296 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

The new 10th district is located in New York City and includes the Upper West Side of Manhattan, the west side of Lower Manhattan, including Greenwich Village and the Financial District, and parts of Brooklyn, including Borough Park. Incumbent Democrat Jerrold Nadler, who had represented the 8th district since 1993 and the 17th district from 1992 to 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected in 2010 with 76% of the vote and the district had a PVI of D+24

Nominee
Nominee

Endorsements

Results

New York's 10th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jerrold Nadler 156,619 76.3
Working Families Jerrold Nadler 9,124 4.4
Total Jerrold Nadler (incumbent) 165,743 80.7
Republican Michael Chan 35,538 17.3
Conservative Michael Chan 3,875 1.9
Total Michael Chan 39,413 19.2
Total votes 205,156 100.0
Democratic hold

District 11

2012 New York's 11th congressional district election

  Majority party Minority party
 
Candidate Michael Grimm Mark Murphy
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative Working Families
Popular vote 103,118 92,430
Percentage 52.2% 46.8%

County Results
Grimm:      50–60%
Murphy:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Michael Grimm
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michael Grimm
Republican

Incumbent Republican Michael Grimm, who was redistricted from the 13th district and was first elected in 2010, sought re-election.[69]

Nominee
Declined
Nominee
Withdrawn
Declined
Nominee
  • Henry "Hank" Bardel

Endorsements

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Michael
Grimm (R)
Mark
Murphy (D)
Henry
Bardel (G)
Undecided
Siena College October 27–28, 2012 627 ± 3.9% 52% 34% 5% 9%
Siena College September 19–23, 2012 621 ± 3.9% 48% 38% 6% 8%
Global Strategy (D-Murphy) June 22–25, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 47% 32% 21%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Likely R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Lean R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Likely R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Likely R November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Likely R November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Likely R November 4, 2012

Results

Grimm won re-election by a margin of 52.8% to 46.2%.[7]

New York's 11th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Grimm 91,030 46.1
Conservative Michael Grimm 12,088 6.1
Total Michael Grimm (incumbent) 103,118 52.2
Democratic Mark Murphy 87,720 44.4
Working Families Mark Murphy 4,710 2.4
Total Mark Murphy 92,430 46.8
Green Henry Bardel 1,939 1.0
Total votes 197,487 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

2012 New York's 12th congressional district election

  Majority party Minority party
 
Candidate Carolyn Maloney Christopher Wight
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Independence
Conservative
Popular vote 194,370 46,841
Percentage 80.6% 19.4%

County Results
Maloney:      70–80%      80-90%

U.S. Representative before election

Carolyn Maloney
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Carolyn Maloney
Democratic

Incumbent Carolyn Maloney, who was redistricted from the 14th district, ran for re-election.

Nominee
Declined
Nominee
  • Christopher Wight, investor

Endorsements

Results

New York's 12th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carolyn Maloney 185,757 77.0
Working Families Carolyn Maloney 8,613 3.6
Total Carolyn Maloney (incumbent) 194,370 80.6
Republican Christopher Wight 42,110 17.5
Independence Christopher Wight 2,474 1.0
Conservative Christopher Wight 2,257 0.9
Total Christopher Wight 46,841 19.4
Total votes 241,211 100.0
Democratic hold

District 13

Incumbent Democrat Charles B. Rangel, who was redistricted from the 15th district and was censured by the House of Representatives after being found guilty of ethics violations, filed to run for re-election in February 2011.[84]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Clyde Williams

Primary results

On the night of the June 26 primary, it seemed as though the incumbent Rangel had defeated his closest challenger, State Senator Espaillat, by a 45%-40% margin; Rangel celebrated victory and Espaillat conceded defeat.[88] However, as the counting continued, that margin narrowed considerably. A number of precincts were very late in reporting and Espaillat went to court claiming irregularities in that his supporters had been improperly turned away from polling locations.[88][89] On Saturday July 7, 2012, Rangel received the primary victory by a margin of 990 votes. The New York City Board of Elections released that Rangel received 18,940 votes and Espaillat had 17,950.[89] On July 9, 2012, Espaillat conceded the election to Rangel.[89]

Democratic primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Rangel (incumbent) 19,187 44.4
Democratic Adriano Espaillat 18,101 41.9
Democratic Clyde Williams 4,266 9.9
Democratic Joyce Johnson 1,018 2.4
Democratic Craig Schley 598 1.4
Total votes 43,170 100.00
Nominee
  • Craig Schley, community activist

Endorsements

Results

New York's 13th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Rangel 170,690 88.6
Working Families Charlie Rangel 4,326 2.2
Total Charlie Rangel (incumbent) 175,016 90.8
Republican Craig Schley 12,147 6.3
Socialist Deborah Liatos 5,548 2.9
Total votes 192,711 100.0
Democratic hold

District 14

The redrawn 14th district runs from Newtown Creek in Sunnyside and over LaGuardia Airport and over the three Long Island Sound bridges to the Pelham, Westchester, border. Incumbent Democrat Joe Crowley, who has been redistricted from the 7th district ran for re-election.

Nominee
Declined
Nominee
  • William Gibbons

Endorsements

Results

New York's 14th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Crowley 116,117 80.0
Working Families Joe Crowley 4,644 3.2
Total Joe Crowley (incumbent) 120,761 83.2
Republican William Gibbons 19,191 13.2
Conservative William Gibbons 2,564 1.8
Total William Gibbons 21,755 15.0
Green Anthony Gronowicz 2,570 1.8
Total votes 145,086 100.0
Democratic hold

District 15

José E. Serrano, incumbent Representative for the 16th district, ran for an 11th term.

Nominee
Nominee
  • Frank Della Valle

Endorsements

Results

New York's 15th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic José Serrano 150,243 95.7
Working Families José Serrano 2,418 1.5
Total José Serrano (incumbent) 152,661 97.2
Republican Frank Della Valle 3,487 2.2
Conservative Frank Della Valle 940 0.6
Total Frank Della Valle 4,427 2.8
Total votes 157,088 100.0
Democratic hold

District 16

Eliot Engel, incumbent Representative for the 17th district, ran for a 12th term.

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Aniello Grimaldi

Primary results

Democratic primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Eliot Engel (incumbent) 12,856 87.3
Democratic Aniello Grimaldi 1,864 12.7
Total votes 14,720 100.0
Nominee
  • Joseph McLaughlin
Declined

Endorsements

Results

New York's 16th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Eliot Engel 173,886 73.5
Working Families Eliot Engel 5,676 2.4
Total Eliot Engel (incumbent) 179,562 75.9
Republican Joseph McLaughlin 53,935 22.8
Green Joseph Diaferia 2,974 1.3
Total votes 236,471 100.0
Democratic hold

District 17

Incumbent Democrat Nita Lowey, who was redistricted from the 18th district, ran for re-election.[92]

Nominee
Declined

Republican primary

Mark Rosen who ran against in Lowey 2010, but was forced to drop out of the race after being deployed to Afghanistan, was expected to seek the Republican nomination.[94] Rosen retired from the Army, eliminating the threat of redeployment during election cycle, but was redistricted out of the district and choose not to run against Lowey a second time.

Nominee
  • Joe Carvin, Rye town supervisor, and candidate for senate in 2012[95]
Eliminated in primary
  • Jim Russell, computer programmer, conservative Christian activist and nominee for this seat in 2010
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Carvin 4,225 64.7
Republican Jim Russell 2,307 35.3
Total votes 6,532 100.0

Independents

Frank Morganthaler, former Lieutenant of NYFD and private investigator, challenged Nita Lowey and ran on an independent line, We the People.

Endorsements

Joe Carvin (R)
Organizations

Results

New York's 17th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nita Lowey 161,624 60.7
Working Families Nita Lowey 9,793 3.7
Total Nita Lowey (incumbent) 171,417 64.4
Republican Joe Carvin 91,899 34.5
We The People Francis Morganthaler 2,771 1.0
Total votes 266,087 100.0
Democratic hold

District 18

Republican Nan Hayworth, who was redistricted from the 19th district and has represented that district since January 2011, ran for re-election.[92]

Nominee
Declined
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Anne Jacobs Moultrie, registered nurse and vice president of Local 1199[98]
Declined

Endorsements

Primary results

Maloney, won the Democratic primary with 48% of the vote on June 26, 2012.

Democratic primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sean Patrick Maloney 7,493 48.3
Democratic Richard H. Becker 5,036 32.4
Democratic Matthew C. Alexander 1,857 12.0
Democratic Duane Jackson 780 5.0
Democratic Thomas Wilson 356 2.3
Total votes 15,522 100.0

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nan
Hayworth (R)
Sean
Maloney (D)
Undecided
Siena College October 16–17, 2012 615 ± 4% 49% 42% 9%
Global Strategy (D-Maloney) October 4–7, 2012 403 ± 4.9% 44% 42% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D-NY AFl-CIO) September 19–20, 2012 602 ± 4.0% 43% 43% 13%
Siena College September 12–16, 2012 628 ± 3.9% 46% 33% 21%
Tarrance (R-Hayworth) August 26–28, 2012 408 ± 4.9% 51% 42% 7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) July 25–29, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 48% 45% 7%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Tossup November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Tilts R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Lean R November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Lean R November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Lean R November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

On election day, Maloney won by a narrow margin,[7] becoming New York's first openly LGBQ+ Member of Congress.[106]

New York's 18th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sean Patrick Maloney 132,456 47.8
Working Families Sean Patrick Maloney 11,389 4.1
Total Sean Patrick Maloney 143,845 51.9
Republican Nan Hayworth 113,386 41.0
Conservative Nan Hayworth 19,663 7.1
Total Nan Hayworth (incumbent) 133,049 48.1
Total votes 276,894 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 19

Republican Chris Gibson, who was redistricted from the 20th district, has represented that district since 2011. With redistricting settled, the new 19th district went from being a Republican-leaning district to being a swing district.[107] Because of the dissolution of Maurice Hinchey's district, much of that district, including all of Ulster and Sullivan counties, was dissolved into this new district.

Nominee
Nominee
  • Julian Schreibman, former federal prosecutor and Ulster County Democratic Party chairman
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Julian Schreibman

Primary results

Schreibman prevailed in the Democratic primary.[113]

Democratic primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Julian Schreibman 6,653 58.8
Democratic Joel Tyner 4,657 41.2
Total votes 11,310 100.0

Endorsements

Debates

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chris
Gibson (R)
Julian
Schreibman (D)
Undecided
Siena College October 27–28, 2012 649 ± 3.8% 48% 43% 9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson) October 24–25, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 49% 39%  %
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson) October 9–10, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 50% 39% 11%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) October 5–7, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 43% 41% 16%
OnMessage (R-NRCC) September 30–October 1, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 47% 39% 16%
Siena College September 17–18, 2012 635 ± 3.9% 52% 36% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gibson) July 25–26, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 53% 36% 10%
Global Strategy (D-Schreibman) July 18–22, 2012 402 ± 4.9% 42% 32% 24%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Tossup November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Tilts R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Lean R November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Lean R November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Lean R November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

New York's 19th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Gibson 123,066 43.3
Conservative Chris Gibson 17,629 6.2
Independence Chris Gibson 9,550 3.3
Total Chris Gibson (incumbent) 150,245 52.8
Democratic Julian Schreibman 120,959 42.5
Working Families Julian Schreibman 13,336 4.7
Total Julian Schreibman 134,295 47.2
Total votes 284,540 100.0
Republican hold

District 20

Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko ran for re-election in his heavily Democratic, mostly unchanged, district that was formerly numbered as the 21st.

Nominee
Nominee

Endorsements

Results

New York's 20th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Tonko 181,093 60.9
Working Families Paul Tonko 12,017 4.0
Independence Paul Tonko 10,291 3.5
Total Paul Tonko (incumbent) 203,401 68.4
Republican Robert Dieterich 79,102 26.6
Conservative Robert Dieterich 14,676 5.0
Total Robert Dieterich 93,778 31.6
Total votes 297,179 100.0
Democratic hold

District 21

Democratic incumbent Bill Owens (who was redistricted from the 23rd district), ran for re-election.

Nominee

Republican primary

Matt Doheny a businessman who came within 2,000 votes of beating Owens in 2010, faced Kellie Greene, an Oswego County native and theologian who most recently lived in Arizona, in the primary.

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Kellie Greene, Oswego County native and theologian[116]
Withdrawn
  • Tim Stampfler, corrections officer[117]
Declined

Primary results

Doheny defeated Greene in the Republican primary.[120] Hassig dropped out of the race November 3, endorsing Owens, but remained on the ballot.[121]

Republican primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matthew A. Doheny 9,331 70.8
Republican Kellie A. Greene 3,847 29.2
Total votes 13,178 100.0

Doheny secured the Independence Party line[122] and the Conservative Party lines, the latter of which he did not have in 2010.[123]

Nominee
  • Donald Hassig, anti-cancer activist[124]

Hassig appeared on the Green line despite the party's disavowal of him over his stance on immigration.[125]

Endorsements

Matthew Doheny (R)

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Owens (D)
Matthew
Doheny (R)
Donald
Hassig (G)
Undecided
Siena College October 29–30, 2012 629 ± 3.9% 44% 43% 4% 9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Doheny) October 24–25, 2012 400 ± 5.0% 42% 40% 18%
Global Strategy (D-Owens) October 21–23, 2012 403 ± 4.3% 47% 40% 13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Doheny/NRCC) October 1–2, 2012 400 ± 5.0% 45% 40% 15%
Global Strategy (D-Owens) September 30–October 2, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 50% 36% 14%
Siena College September 4–6, 2012 638 ± 3.9% 49% 36% 6% 8%
Anzalone Liszt (D-DCCC) July 29–31, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 50% 38% 4% 8%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Tilts D November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Lean D November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Lean D November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Tossup November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Lean D November 4, 2012

Results

New York's 21st congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bill Owens 117,856 46.7
Working Families Bill Owens 8,775 3.5
Total Bill Owens (incumbent) 126,631 50.2
Republican Matt Doheny 104,368 41.3
Conservative Matt Doheny 12,877 5.1
Independence Matt Doheny 4,401 1.8
Total Matt Doheny 121,646 48.2
Green Donald Hassig 4,174 1.6
Total votes 252,451 100.0
Democratic hold

District 22

Republican Richard Hanna, who was redistricted from the 24th district having represented that district since 2011, ran for re-election.

Republican primary

Hanna defeated Michael Kicinski, who was backed by Carl Paladino, Doug Hoffman and other Tea Party activists, in the Republican primary.[127][128]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Michael Kicinski, Tea Party activist and electronics engineer.
Withdrawn
  • Tom Engel
  • George Phillips

Primary results

Republican primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard L. Hanna (incumbent) 10,627 71.1
Republican Michael Kicinski 4,314 28.9
Total votes 14,941 100.0
Nominee
Declined

Endorsements

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Safe R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe R November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Lean R November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Safe R November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Likely R November 4, 2012

Results

New York's 22nd congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Hanna 145,042 55.8
Independence Richard Hanna 12,899 5.0
Total Richard Hanna (incumbent) 157,941 60.8
Democratic Dan Lamb 102,080 39.2
Total votes 260,021 100.0
Republican hold

District 23

Incumbent Republican Tom Reed, who was redistricted from the 29th district, was elected to his seat in November 2010. Reed was initially noncommittal regarding re-election, stating in July 2011 that "Re-election is the farthest thing from my mind;"[131] he officially announced for re-election on April 30, 2012.[132]

Nominee
Nominee
  • Nate Shinagawa, Tompkins County legislator
Eliminated in primary
  • Leslie Danks Burke
  • Melissa K. Dobson

Endorsements

Matthew Zeller, an Afghanistan war veteran and former CIA officer who unsuccessfully challenged Reed in 2010, endorsed Nate Shinagawa for the seat.[133]

Primary results

Nate Shinagawa won the Democratic Primary election over Leslie Danks Burke (also an Ithaca resident) and Melissa Dobson on June 26, 2012.[134]

Democratic primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nate Shinagawa 6,162 53.9
Democratic Leslie Danks Burke 4,246 37.1
Democratic Melissa K. Dobson 1,033 9.0
Total votes 11,441 100.0

Endorsements

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Safe R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe R November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Lean R November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Safe R November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Safe R November 4, 2012

Results

New York's 23rd congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Reed 117,641 44.3
Conservative Tom Reed 14,273 5.4
Independence Tom Reed 5,755 2.2
Total Tom Reed (incumbent) 137,669 51.9
Democratic Nate Shinagawa 114,590 43.2
Working Families Nate Shinagawa 12,945 4.9
Total Nate Shinagawa 127,535 48.1
Total votes 265,204 100.0
Republican hold

District 24

2012 New York's 24th congressional district election

  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Candidate Dan Maffei Ann Marie Buerkle Ursula Rozum
Party Democratic Republican Green
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Independence
Popular vote 143,044 127,054 22,670
Percentage 48.8% 43.4% 7.8%

County Results
Maffei:      40–50%      50–60%
Buerkle:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Ann Marie Buerkle (25th)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Maffei
Democratic

The new 24th district included all of Cayuga, Onondaga and Wayne counties, and the western part of Oswego County. Incumbent Republican Ann Marie Buerkle, who had represented the 25th district since 2011, sought re-election in the redrawn 24th district.[135] The district had a PVI of D+3.

Republican primary

On February 6, Robert Paul Spencer announced he would run in the Republican Primary against Buerkle, citing his opposition to Buerkle's vote in favor of the National Defense Authorization Act, which Spencer believed to be unconstitutional.[136] However he didn't appear on the primary ballot

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Robert Spencer
Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Brianne Murphy, attorney[138]
Declined
Nominee
  • Ursula Rozum, public-transportation advocate[140]

Endorsements

Debates

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ann Marie
Buerkle (R)
Dan
Maffei (D)
Ursula
Rozum (G)
Undecided
Siena College October 31–November 2, 2012 670 ± 3.8% 44% 44% 8% 4%
Lake Research Partners (D-Friends of Democracy) October 15–17, 2012 425 ± 4.6% 44% 46% 6% 4%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) September 23–24, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 38% 46% 7% 9%
Siena College September 5–10, 2012 625 ± 3.9% 43% 43% 7% 7%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) August 26–28, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 42% 48% 4% 6%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) July 16–18, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 40% 44% 5% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D-League of Conservation Voters) July 10–11, 2012 642 ± 3.9% 42% 45% 13%
McLaughlin (R-Buerkle) April 16–17, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 42% 38% 20%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Tilts D (flip) November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

New York's 24th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan Maffei 133,908 45.7
Working Families Dan Maffei 9,136 3.1
Total Dan Maffei 143,044 48.8
Republican Ann Marie Buerkle 105,584 36.1
Conservative Ann Marie Buerkle 16,481 5.6
Independence Ann Marie Buerkle 4,989 1.7
Total Ann Marie Buerkle (incumbent) 127,054 43.4
Green Ursula Rozum 22,670 7.8
Total votes 292,768 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 25

Incumbent Democrat Louise Slaughter, who was redistricted from the 28th district and has represented the Rochester metropolitan area since 1987, ran for re-election.[142]

Nominee
Nominee
  • Maggie Brooks, Monroe County Executive[143]
Withdrawn
  • Andrew Decker, the sixth great-nephew of Betsy Ross
Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Louise
Slaughter (D)
Maggie
Brooks (R)
Undecided
Siena College October 29–30, 2012 624 ± 3.5% 52% 42% 6%
GBA Strategies (D-DCCC) October 17–18, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 53% 43% 4%
Siena College October 7–11, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 49% 44% 6%
Siena College September 24–26, 2012 634 ± 3.9% 52% 42% 6%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Likely D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Likely D November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Likely D November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Lean D November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Lean D November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Lean D November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Likely D November 4, 2012

Results

New York's 25th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Louise Slaugher 168,761 53.9
Working Families Louise Slaughter 11,049 3.5
Total Louise Slaughter (incumbent) 179,810 57.4
Republican Maggie Brooks 109,292 34.9
Conservative Maggie Brooks 18,543 5.9
Independence Maggie Brooks 5,554 1.8
Total Maggie Brooks 133,389 42.6
Total votes 313,199 100.0
Democratic hold

District 26

Incumbent Democrat Brian Higgins, who was redistricted from the 27th district, sought re-election.

Democratic primary

Although his district was expected to become more friendly to Democrats in redistricting, the defeat of Higgins' protege, Chris Fahey, to Republican-backed Democrat Michael P. Kearns in a New York State Assembly race led to the perception that Higgins may have been more vulnerable than previously believed.[146]

Nominee
Nominee
  • Michael Madigan, businessman[147]
Declined

Endorsements

Results

New York's 26th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brian Higgins 195,234 68.7
Working Families Brian Higgins 17,354 6.1
Total Brian Higgins (incumbent) 212,588 74.8
Republican Michael Madigan 57,368 20.2
Conservative Michael Madigan 10,243 3.6
Independence Michael Madigan 4,055 1.4
Total Michael Madigan 71,666 25.2
Total votes 284,254 100.0
Democratic hold

District 27

Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul, who was redistricted from the 26th district seat that she won in a June 2011 special election, sought election to her first full term.

Nominee
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

David Bellavia

Primary results

Republican primary results [19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Collins 11,677 59.9
Republican David Bellavia 7,830 40.1
Total votes 19,507 100.0

Endorsements

Debates

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Chris
Collins (R)
Undecided
Siena College October 31–November 1, 2012 636 ± 3.9% 47% 48% 5%
Siena College October 1–4, 2012 633 ± 3.9% 47% 47% 6%
Siena College August 12–14, 2012 628 ± 3.9% 45% 47% 8%
National Research (R-American Action Network) August 8–9, 2012 400 ± ?% 34% 47% 19%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean R (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[31] Tilt R (flip) November 2, 2012
Roll Call[32] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Lean R (flip) November 5, 2012
NY Times[34] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[35] Tossup November 4, 2012
The Hill[36] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

New York's 27th congressional district, 2012[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Collins 137,250 43.2
Conservative Chris Collins 23,970 7.6
Total Chris Collins 161,220 50.8
Democratic Kathy Hochul 140,008 44.1
Working Families Kathy Hochul 16,211 5.1
Total Kathy Hochul (incumbent) 156,219 49.2
Total votes 317,439 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

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