2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the 52 seats in California (reduced from 53 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census). This marked the first time in the state's history where it lost a seat.[2]
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All 52 California seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in California |
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This was the second election using congressional districts drawn by the California Citizens Redistricting Commission (after 2012 following the 2010 census). The commission submitted the final maps to the California Secretary of State on December 27, 2021.[3] These new districts are considered "enacted" as of December 27, 2021. However, there was a 90-day period that ended on March 27, 2022, for any referendum petition to be filed to prevent the maps from becoming effective. Even after becoming effective, these newly redrawn districts did not become official until the 2022 primary and general elections, and the new districts will not actually exist until the 2023 inaugurations.[4]
Of the fifty-three incumbents, six retired. All remaining incumbents were re-elected, and five new representatives were elected, two of which were from newly drawn districts.
Overview
Statewide
United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2022 primary election — June 7, 2022 | ||||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Candidates | Advancing to general | Seats contesting | |
Democratic | 4,272,322 | 61.95 | 115 | 58 | 52 | |
Republican | 2,525,467 | 36.62 | 124 | 45 | 45 | |
No party preference | 65,986 | 0.96 | 19 | 0 | 0 | |
Green | 26,314 | 0.38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
Peace and Freedom | 3,343 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Libertarian | 1,836 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
American Independent | 1,460 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Totals | 6,896,728 | 100.00 | 264 | 104 | — |
District
Results of the 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California by district
District | Democratic | Republican | Green | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 93,386 | 37.93% | 152,839 | 62.07% | 0 | 0.00% | 246,225 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 229,720 | 74.40% | 79,029 | 25.60% | 0 | 0.00% | 308,749 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 156,761 | 46.35% | 181,438 | 53.65% | 0 | 0.00% | 338,199 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 176,900 | 67.80% | 84,007 | 32.20% | 0 | 0.00% | 260,907 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 5 | 109,506 | 38.69% | 173,524 | 61.31% | 0 | 0.00% | 283,030 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 6 | 121,058 | 55.95% | 95,325 | 44.05% | 0 | 0.00% | 216,383 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 7 | 150,618 | 68.26% | 70,033 | 31.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 220,651 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 145,501 | 75.73% | 46,634 | 24.27% | 0 | 0.00% | 192,135 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 9 | 95,598 | 54.82% | 78,802 | 45.18% | 0 | 0.00% | 174,400 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | 198,415 | 78.93% | 0 | 0.00% | 52,965 | 21.07% | 251,380 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 11 | 220,848 | 83.95% | 42,217 | 16.05% | 0 | 0.00% | 263,065 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 12 | 217,110 | 90.47% | 22,859 | 9.53% | 0 | 0.00% | 239,969 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 13 | 66,496 | 49.79% | 67,060 | 50.21% | 0 | 0.00% | 133,556 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
District 14 | 137,612 | 69.34% | 60,852 | 30.66% | 0 | 0.00% | 198,464 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 15 | 194,874 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 194,874 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 16 | 241,007 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 241,007 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 17 | 127,853 | 70.93% | 52,400 | 29.07% | 0 | 0.00% | 180,253 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 18 | 99,776 | 65.85% | 51,737 | 34.15% | 0 | 0.00% | 151,513 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 19 | 194,494 | 68.65% | 88,816 | 31.35% | 0 | 0.00% | 283,310 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 20 | 74,934 | 32.75% | 153,847 | 67.25% | 0 | 0.00% | 228,776 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 21 | 68,074 | 54.18% | 57,573 | 45.82% | 0 | 0.00% | 125,647 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 22 | 49,862 | 48.48% | 52,994 | 51.52% | 0 | 0.00% | 102,852 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 23 | 65,908 | 38.97% | 103,197 | 61.03% | 0 | 0.00% | 169,105 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 24 | 159,019 | 60.57% | 103,533 | 39.43% | 0 | 0.00% | 262,552 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 25 | 87,641 | 57.38% | 65,101 | 42.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 152,742 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 26 | 134,575 | 54.53% | 112,214 | 45.47% | 0 | 0.00% | 246,789 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 27 | 91,892 | 46.76% | 104,624 | 53.24% | 0 | 0.00% | 196,516 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 28 | 150,062 | 66.24% | 76,495 | 33.76% | 0 | 0.00% | 226,557 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 29 | 119,435 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 119,435 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 30 | 211,068 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 211,068 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 31 | 91,472 | 59.54% | 62,153 | 40.46% | 0 | 0.00% | 153,625 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 32 | 167,411 | 69.17% | 74,618 | 30.83% | 0 | 0.00% | 242,029 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 33 | 76,588 | 57.71% | 56,119 | 42.29% | 0 | 0.00% | 132,707 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 34 | 121,467 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 121,467 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 35 | 75,121 | 57.36% | 55,832 | 42.64% | 0 | 0.00% | 130,953 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 36 | 194,299 | 69.75% | 84,264 | 30.25% | 0 | 0.00% | 278,563 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 37 | 131,880 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 131,880 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 38 | 101,260 | 58.09% | 73,051 | 41.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 174,311 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 39 | 75,896 | 57.67% | 55,701 | 42.33% | 0 | 0.00% | 131,597 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 40 | 122,722 | 43.16% | 161,589 | 56.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 284,311 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 41 | 112,769 | 47.65% | 123,869 | 52.35% | 0 | 0.00% | 236,638 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 42 | 99,217 | 68.37% | 45,903 | 31.63% | 0 | 0.00% | 145,120 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 43 | 95,462 | 77.33% | 27,985 | 22.67% | 0 | 0.00% | 123,447 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 44 | 100,160 | 72.21% | 38,554 | 27.79% | 0 | 0.00% | 138,714 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 45 | 103,466 | 47.59% | 113,960 | 52.41% | 0 | 0.00% | 217,426 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 46 | 78,041 | 61.79% | 48,257 | 38.21% | 0 | 0.00% | 126,298 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 47 | 137,374 | 51.72% | 128,261 | 48.28% | 0 | 0.00% | 265,635 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 48 | 101,900 | 39.64% | 155,171 | 60.36% | 0 | 0.00% | 257,071 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 49 | 153,541 | 52.63% | 138,194 | 47.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,735 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 50 | 168,816 | 62.84% | 99,819 | 37.16% | 0 | 0.00% | 268,635 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 51 | 144,186 | 61.86% | 88,886 | 38.14% | 0 | 0.00% | 233,072 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 52 | 100,686 | 66.67% | 50,330 | 33.33% | 0 | 0.00% | 151,016 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 6,743,737 | 63.28% | 3,859,666 | 36.22% | 52,965 | 0.50% | 10,656,368 | 100.0% |
District 1
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County results LaMalfa: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% | ||||||||||||||||
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Republican Doug LaMalfa, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57.0% of the vote in 2020.[5] LaMalfa was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- Doug LaMalfa (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[6]
- Max Steiner (Democratic), U.S. Foreign Service veteran[7]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid R | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Doug LaMalfa (incumbent) | 96,858 | 57.1 | |
Democratic | Max Steiner | 55,549 | 32.8 | |
Republican | Tim Geist | 11,408 | 6.7 | |
No party preference | Rose Penelope Yee | 5,777 | 3.4 | |
Total votes | 169,592 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Doug LaMalfa (incumbent) | 152,839 | 62.1 | |
Democratic | Max Steiner | 93,386 | 37.9 | |
Total votes | 246,225 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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County results Huffman: 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Brower: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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Democrat Jared Huffman, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 75.7% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Douglas Brower (Republican), chair of the Humboldt County Republican Party and former Ferndale city councilmember[22]
- Jared Huffman (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[23]
Eliminated in primary
- Chris Coulombe (Republican), businessman[22]
- Darian Elizondo (Republican), business owner[24]
- Beth Hampson (Democratic), educator[25]
- Archimedes Ramirez (Republican), neurosurgeon[22]
Endorsements
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Safe D | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jared Huffman (incumbent) | 145,245 | 68.7 | |
Republican | Douglas Brower | 18,102 | 8.6 | |
Republican | Chris Coulombe | 17,498 | 8.3 | |
Democratic | Beth Hampson | 14,262 | 6.7 | |
Republican | Archimedes Ramirez | 12,202 | 5.8 | |
Republican | Darian J. Elizondo | 4,012 | 1.9 | |
Total votes | 211,321 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Jared Huffman (incumbent) | 229,720 | 74.4 | |
Republican | Douglas Brower | 79,029 | 25.6 | |
Total votes | 308,749 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 3
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County results Kiley: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Jones: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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This seat was open after Democrat John Garamendi, who had represented the 3rd district since 2013, elected to run in the 8th district.[5]
Advanced to general
- Kermit Jones (Democratic), internal medicine physician, U.S. Navy veteran, and former White House Fellow[32][33]
- Kevin Kiley (Republican), state assemblyman and candidate for Governor of California in 2021[34]
Eliminated in primary
- Scott Jones (Republican), Sacramento County Sheriff and runner-up for the 7th district in 2016[35]
- David Peterson (Democratic), technology professional and perennial candidate[36][25]
Withdrew
- Tom McClintock (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative (running in 5th district)[37]
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Likely R | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Likely R | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Likely R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Likely R | November 7, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Likely R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Likely R | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Likely R | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid R | October 19, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Likely R | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
- Scott Jones vs. Kevin Kiley
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Scott Jones (R) |
Kevin Kiley (R) |
Undecided |
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Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived May 15, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[lower-alpha 2][upper-alpha 1] | May 10–12, 2022 | 350 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 13% | 28% | 59% |
Results
Primary election | |||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
Republican | Kevin Kiley | 93,552 | 39.7 | ||
Democratic | Kermit Jones | 91,217 | 38.7 | ||
Republican | Scott Jones | 38,288 | 16.2 | ||
Democratic | David Peterson | 12,675 | 5.4 | ||
Total votes | 235,732 | 100.0 | |||
General election | |||||
Republican | Kevin Kiley | 181,438 | 53.6 | ||
Democratic | Kermit Jones | 156,761 | 46.4 | ||
Total votes | 338,199 | 100.0 | |||
Republican win (new seat) |
District 4
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County results Thompson: 50-60% 70-80% Brock: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The boundaries of the district were redrawn during the 2020 redistricting cycle and incumbent Tom McClintock opted to run in the 5th district.[42] Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the 5th district since 2013, was re-elected with 76.1% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Matt Brock (Republican), water utility supervisor[43]
- Mike Thompson (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[44]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Organizations
- California Republican Party[49]
- Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC[50]
- Lake County Republican Party[51]
- Solano County Republican Party[52]
- Sonoma County Republican Party[53]
- Yolo County Republican Party[54]
- U.S. Senators
- Dianne Feinstein, U.S. Senator from California[44]
- Alex Padilla, U.S. Senator from California[44]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 115,041 | 66.2 | |
Republican | Matt Brock | 28,260 | 16.3 | |
Republican | Scott Giblin | 16,914 | 9.7 | |
Democratic | Andrew Engdahl | 8,634 | 5.0 | |
No party preference | Jason Kishineff | 2,477 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Jimih L. Jones | 2,363 | 1.4 | |
No party preference | Seth T. Newman (write-in) | 15 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 173,704 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 176,900 | 67.8 | |
Republican | Matt Brock | 84,007 | 32.2 | |
Total votes | 260,907 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 5
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County results McClintock: 50-60% 60-70% | ||||||||||||||||
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Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Mike Thompson to Republican Devin Nunes. Nunes initially ran for re-election, but resigned his seat on January 1, 2022, in order to become the CEO of Trump Media & Technology Group. After this, fellow Republican Tom McClintock switched to running in this district. McClintock, who had represented the 4th district since 2009, was re-elected with 55.9% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Michael J. Barkley (Democratic), lawyer[8]
- Tom McClintock (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[37]
Eliminated in primary
- Nathan Magsig (Republican), Fresno County supervisor[55]
- David Main (Republican), emergency room physician[8]
- Kelsten Charles Obert (Republican), businessman[8]
- Steve Wozniak (no party preference), editor[8]
Withdrew
- Phil Arballo (Democratic), financial advisor and runner-up for this district in 2020[56] (running in the 13th district)[57]
- Ricky Gill (Republican), former member of the U.S. National Security Council and the California State Board of Education and runner-up for the 9th district in 2012 (endorsed Tom McClintock)[58]
- Elizabeth Heng (Republican), tech entrepreneur and runner-up for the 16th district in 2020[59] (running in the 13th district)[60]
- Devin Nunes (Republican), former U.S. Representative (2013-2022)[61][62] (endorsed Tom McClintock)[63]
Declined
- Andreas Borgeas (Republican), state senator[64]
- Mike Boudreaux (Republican), Tulare County Sheriff[65] (endorsed Magsig)[66]
- Steve Brandau (Republican), chair of the Fresno County Board of Supervisors[67][68]
- Luis Chavez (Democratic), president of the Fresno city council[55] (running for reelection)[69]
- Jerry Dyer (Republican), mayor of Fresno[55]
- Shannon Grove (Republican), state senator from the 16th district and former Minority Leader of the California Senate[70][65]
- Melissa Hurtado (Democratic), state senator[55] (running for re-election)[71]
- Andrew Janz (Democratic), Fresno County prosecutor, runner-up for this district in 2018, and candidate for mayor of Fresno in 2020[55][72]
- Devon Mathis (Republican), state assemblyman[55][73] (running for reelection)[74]
- Margaret Mims (Republican), Fresno County Sheriff[55]
- Jim Patterson (Republican), state assemblyman[55] (running for reelection, endorsed Magsig)[65][75]
- Lisa Smittcamp (Republican), Fresno County District Attorney[55]
- Paul Vander Poel III (Republican), Tulare County supervisor[55]
- Tim Ward (Republican), Tulare County District Attorney[55]
- Bob Whalen (Republican), Clovis city councilor[55]
Endorsements
- Devin Nunes, former U.S. Representative (2003–2022)[63]
- Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021)[76]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid R | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 87,010 | 45.5 | |
Democratic | Michael J. Barkley | 64,285 | 33.6 | |
Republican | Nathan F. Magsig | 25,299 | 13.2 | |
No party preference | Steve Wozniak | 6,045 | 3.2 | |
Republican | David Main | 5,927 | 3.1 | |
Republican | Kelsten Charles Obert | 2,864 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 191,430 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 173,524 | 61.3 | |
Democratic | Michael J. Barkley | 109,506 | 38.7 | |
Total votes | 283,030 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 6
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Due to redistricting, 6th district incumbent Ami Bera and 7th district incumbent Doris Matsui, both Democrats, swapped districts. Bera, who had represented the 7th district since 2013, was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Ami Bera (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[77]
- Tamika Hamilton (Republican), pastor, U.S. Air Force veteran, and runner-up for CA-03 in 2020[78][25] (previously ran in 8th district)[79]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Likely D | November 7, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Ami Bera (incumbent) | 76,317 | 52.6 | |
Republican | Tamika Hamilton | 27,339 | 18.8 | |
Republican | Bret Daniels | 16,612 | 11.5 | |
Republican | Christine Bish | 11,421 | 7.9 | |
Democratic | Mark Gorman | 7,528 | 5.2 | |
Republican | Karla Black | 3,553 | 2.4 | |
Republican | D. Keith Langford, Jr. | 2,272 | 1.6 | |
Green | Chris Richardson (write-in) | 15 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 145,057 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Ami Bera (incumbent) | 121,058 | 55.9 | |
Republican | Tamika Hamilton | 95,325 | 44.1 | |
Total votes | 216,383 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 7
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Due to redistricting, 6th district incumbent Ami Bera and 7th district incumbent Doris Matsui, both Democrats, swapped districts. Matsui, who had represented the 6th district since 2013, was re-elected with 73.3% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Doris Matsui (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[77]
- Max Semenenko (Republican), small business owner[85]
Eliminated in primary
- Jimmy Fremgen (Democratic), former staffer for U.S. Representative Elijah Cummings[86]
Withdrawn
- Mathew Ray Jedeikin (Democratic)[87]
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 94,896 | 63.2 | |
Republican | Max Semenenko | 42,728 | 28.5 | |
Democratic | Jimmy Fremgen | 12,550 | 8.3 | |
Total votes | 150,174 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 150,618 | 68.3 | |
Republican | Max Semenenko | 70,033 | 31.7 | |
Total votes | 220,651 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 8
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Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Republican Jay Obernolte to Democrat John Garamendi. Garamendi, who had represented the 3rd district since 2013, was re-elected with 54.7% of the vote in 2020.[5] Garamendi was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- John Garamendi (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[89]
- Rudy Recile (Republican), businessman and retired U.S. Army officer[90][25]
Eliminated in primary
- Christopher Riley (Democratic), teacher[91]
- Edwin Rutsch (Democratic), community organizer[91]
- Cheryl Sudduth (Democratic), vice president of the West County Wastewater District board of directors[91]
Withdrew
- Tamika Hamilton (Republican), pastor, U.S. Air Force veteran, and runner-up for CA-03 in 2020[78][25] (running in 6th district)[79]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Equality California[93]
- Feminist Majority PAC[88]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Auto Workers[30]
- Organizations
- Solano County Republican Party[52]
- Yolo County Republican Party[54]
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 72,333 | 63.1 | |
Republican | Rudy Recile | 23,518 | 20.5 | |
Democratic | Cheryl Sudduth | 11,378 | 9.9 | |
Democratic | Christopher Riley | 3,926 | 3.4 | |
Democratic | Edwin Rutsch | 3,268 | 2.9 | |
Democratic | Demnlus Johnson (write-in) | 234 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 114,657 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 145,501 | 75.7 | |
Republican | Rudy Recile | 46,634 | 24.3 | |
Total votes | 192,135 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 9
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Jerry McNerney, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2020.[5] McNerney decided to retire rather than seek re-election, and fellow Democrat Josh Harder then switched to run in this district.[95]
Advanced to general
- Josh Harder (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[95]
- Tom Patti (Republican), chair of the San Joaquin County Board of Supervisors[96]
Eliminated in primary
- Mark Andrews (no party preference), businessman
- Harpreet Chima (Democratic), union organizer and researcher[97][25]
- Karena Feng (Democratic), political consultant[98]
- Khalid Jafri (Democratic), engineer and farmer
- Jonathan Madison (Republican), business owner and former staffer for U.S. Representative
- Jim Shoemaker (Republican), businessman
Declined
- José M. Hernández (Democratic), astronaut and candidate for the 10th district in 2012[99]
- Jerry McNerney (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[95]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[100]
- End Citizens United[101]
- Equality California[93]
- Feminist Majority PAC[88]
- Giffords[102]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[103]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[104]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- Newspapers
- The Mercury News (post-primary)[105]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections[12] | Likely D | July 15, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Lean D | July 13, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Lean D | August 12, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Tossup | October 27, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Lean D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Likely D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Likely D | November 5, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Likely D | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Josh Harder (D) |
Tom Patti (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research | July 19–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 38% | 38% | 3% | 21% |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Josh Harder (incumbent) | 39,026 | 36.7 | |
Republican | Tom Patti | 30,843 | 29.0 | |
Republican | Jim Shoemaker | 15,443 | 14.5 | |
Democratic | Harpreet Chima | 8,433 | 7.9 | |
Republican | Jonathan Madison | 5,992 | 5.6 | |
Democratic | Khalid Jafri | 3,174 | 3.0 | |
Democratic | Karena Feng | 2,632 | 2.5 | |
No party preference | Mark Andrews | 758 | 0.7 | |
Total votes | 106,301 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Josh Harder (incumbent) | 95,598 | 54.8 | |
Republican | Tom Patti | 78,802 | 45.2 | |
Total votes | 174,400 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 10
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Josh Harder to fellow Democrat Mark DeSaulnier. DeSaulnier, who had represented the 11th district since 2015, was re-elected with 73.0% of the vote in 2020.[5] DeSaulnier was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- Mark DeSaulnier (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[106]
- Michael Ernest Kerr (Green), social justice advocate[107]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Mark DeSaulnier (incumbent) | 124,787 | 84.0 | |
Green | Michael Ernest Kerr | 22,210 | 14.9 | |
Republican | Katherine Piccinini (write-in) | 1,638 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 148,635 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Mark DeSaulnier (incumbent) | 198,415 | 78.9 | |
Green | Michael Ernest Kerr | 52,965 | 21.1 | |
Total votes | 251,380 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 11
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Mark DeSaulnier to fellow Democrat Nancy Pelosi. Pelosi, who had represented the 12th district since 2013, was re-elected with 77.6% of the vote in 2020.[5] Pelosi was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- John Dennis (Republican), businessman and perennial candidate[108][109]
- Nancy Pelosi (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative and Former Speaker of the House[110]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Joseph Roberts (Republican)[113]
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 133,798 | 71.7 | |
Republican | John Dennis | 20,054 | 10.7 | |
Democratic | Shahid Buttar | 19,471 | 10.4 | |
Republican | Eve Del Castello | 7,319 | 3.9 | |
Democratic | Jeffrey Phillips | 3,595 | 1.9 | |
Democratic | Bianca Von Krieg | 2,499 | 1.3 | |
Total votes | 186,736 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 220,848 | 84.0 | |
Republican | John Dennis | 42,217 | 16.0 | |
Total votes | 263,065 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 12
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Nancy Pelosi to fellow Democrat Barbara Lee. Lee, who had represented the 13th district since 2013, was re-elected with 90.4% of the vote in 2020.[5] Lee was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- Barbara Lee (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[117]
- Stephen Slauson (Republican), electrical engineer[107]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 135,892 | 87.7 | |
Republican | Stephen Slauson | 8,274 | 5.3 | |
No party preference | Glenn Kaplan | 5,141 | 3.3 | |
Democratic | Eric Wilson | 3,753 | 2.4 | |
Republican | Ned Nuerge | 1,902 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 154,962 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 217,110 | 90.5 | |
Republican | Stephen Slauson | 22,859 | 9.5 | |
Total votes | 239,969 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 13
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Duarte: 50–60% Gray: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Barbara Lee to fellow Democrat Josh Harder. Harder, who had represented the 10th district since 2019, was re-elected with 55.2% of the vote in 2020.[5] Harder was running for re-election in District 9, leaving this seat open.[120] On December 2, the race was called for Duarte, leading with a margin of 584 raw votes.[121]
Advanced to general
- John Duarte (Republican), pistachio farmer and businessman[107]
- Adam Gray (Democratic), state assemblyman[95][122][120]
Eliminated in primary
- Phil Arballo (Democratic), financial advisor and runner-up for California's 22nd congressional district in 2020[57]
- David Giglio (Republican), businessman[123]
- Diego Martinez (Republican), businessman and candidate for governor in the 2021 recall election[124]
Withdrew
- Simon Aslanpour (Republican), florist[125]
- Michael Barkley (Democratic), attorney, U.S. Navy veteran, and perennial candidate[125][25]
- Jolene Daly (Republican), psychologist[126]
- Ricky Gill (Republican), former member of the U.S. National Security Council and the California State Board of Education and runner-up for the 9th district in 2012[127] (ran for the 5th district, then withdrew entirely)[58]
- Jake Griffith (Republican), U.S. Army veteran[128][25]
- Josh Harder (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[125][129] (running in the 9th district)[95]
- Sean Harrison (Republican), clinic patient advocate manager[130][25]
- Elizabeth Heng (Republican), tech entrepreneur and runner-up for the 16th district in 2018[124]
- Eugene Rubio Kilbride (Republican), attorney and U.S. Army veteran[131]
- Angelina Sigala (Democratic), teacher[128][25]
- Matt Stoll (Republican)[124]
Declined
- Anna Caballero (Democratic), State Senator[132]
- Andrew Janz (Democratic), Fresno County prosecutor, runner-up for the 22nd district in 2018, and candidate for mayor of Fresno in 2020[122]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Jim Costa, U.S. Representative[120]
- Alex Padilla, U.S. Senator from California[57]
- State officials
- Gavin Newsom, Governor of California (2019–present)[57]
- Organizations
- Blue Dog PAC[133]
- New Democrat Coalition Action Fund (post-primary)[134]
Debates and forums
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||
Gray | Duarte | |||||||
1[138] | September 26, 2022 | McClatchy | Garth Stapley & Joe Kieta | YouTube | P | P | ||
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | June 28, 2022 |
Inside Elections[12] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Tossup | October 17, 2022 |
538[18] | Lean D | October 19, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Lean D | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Adam Gray (D) |
John Duarte (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moore Information Group (R)[upper-alpha 2] | August 3–7, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
RMG Research | July 26 – August 2, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 37% | 4% | 23% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 3] | October 18, 2022 | – | – | 40% | 37% | 23% |
Moore Information Group (R)[upper-alpha 2] | August 3–7, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | John Duarte | 26,163 | 34.2 | |
Democratic | Adam Gray | 23,784 | 31.1 | |
Democratic | Phil Arballo | 13,099 | 17.1 | |
Republican | David Giglio | 11,320 | 14.8 | |
Republican | Diego Martinez | 2,026 | 2.7 | |
Total votes | 76,392 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | John Duarte | 67,060 | 50.2 | |
Democratic | Adam Gray | 66,496 | 49.8 | |
Total votes | 133,556 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
District 14
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, 14th district incumbent Jackie Speier and 15th district incumbent Eric Swalwell, both Democrats, swapped districts. Swalwell, who had represented the 15th district since 2013, was re-elected with 70.9% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Alison Hayden (Republican), special education teacher and runner-up for this district in 2020[139][140]
- Eric Swalwell (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[141]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Eric Swalwell (incumbent) | 77,120 | 63.6 | |
Republican | Alison Hayden | 12,503 | 10.3 | |
Republican | Tom Wong | 11,406 | 9.4 | |
Republican | Sri "Steve" Iyer | 10,829 | 8.9 | |
Democratic | James Peters | 6,216 | 5.1 | |
No party preference | Major Singh | 2,495 | 2.1 | |
No party preference | Liam Miguel Simard | 657 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 121,226 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Eric Swalwell (incumbent) | 137,612 | 69.3 | |
Republican | Alison Hayden | 60,852 | 30.7 | |
Total votes | 198,464 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 15
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, 14th district incumbent Jackie Speier and 15th district incumbent Eric Swalwell, both Democrats, swapped districts. Jackie Speier, who had represented the 14th district since 2013, was re-elected with 79.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] In November 2021, Speier announced that she would not seek reelection after her next term.[142]
Advanced to general
- David Canepa (Democratic), Member of the San Mateo County Board of Supervisors[143]
- Kevin Mullin (Democratic), Speaker pro tempore of the California State Assembly[144]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Josh Becker (Democratic), state senator[141]
- Rick Bonilla (unknown), San Mateo city councilor[147]
- David Brandt (no party preference)[148]
- Giselle Hale (Democratic), mayor of Redwood City (ran for state assembly)[141][149][147][150]
- Davina Hurt (unknown), Belmont city councilor[147]
- Shelly Masur (Democratic), former Redwood City councilor[141][147]
- Diane Papan (Democratic), San Mateo city councilor (ran for state assembly)[147][150]
- Gina Papan (unknown), Millbrae city councilor[147]
- Adam Rak (unknown), San Carlos city councilor[147]
- Jackie Speier (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[151] (endorsed Kevin Mullin)[152]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Municipal officials
- Myrna Melgar, Member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors from the 7th District (2021-present)[154]
- U.S. Representatives
- Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative for California's 14th congressional district (2008-present)[152]
- Statewide officials
- Rob Bonta, Attorney General of California (2021–present)[141]
- Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer (2019–present)[141]
- State legislators
- Rich Gordon, former state assemblymember from the 24th District (2010-2016)[154]
- Jerry Hill, former state senator from the 13th District (2012-2020)[154]
- Alex Lee, state assemblymember from the 25th District (2014-present)[154]
- Evan Low, state assemblymember from the 28th District (2020-present)[154]
- Anthony Rendon, Speaker of the California State Assembly (2016–present) from the 63rd District (2012–present)[141]
- Scott Wiener, state senator from the 11th District (2016-present)[154]
- County officials
- Dave Pine, San Mateo County supervisor (2011–present)[141]
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[136]
- Equality California[155]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[156]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Emily Beach (D) |
David Canepa (D) |
Jim Garrity (I) |
Gus Mattamal (R) |
Kevin Mullin (D) |
Ferenc Pataki (I) |
Andrew Watters (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research | May 19–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 4% | 9% | – | – | 16% | – | – | 16% | 54% |
FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 4] | Mar 27–30, 2022 | 427 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 8% | 17% | 3% | 9% | 31% | 5% | 1% | – | 27% |
Tulchin Research (D)[upper-alpha 5] | Feb 1–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 7% | 19% | – | 13% | 17% | – | 2% | – | 43% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Kevin Mullin | 58,806 | 41.1 | |
Democratic | David Canepa | 34,488 | 24.1 | |
Republican | Gus Mattammal | 23,625 | 16.5 | |
Democratic | Emily Beach | 20,816 | 14.6 | |
No party preference | Jim Garrity | 3,081 | 2.2 | |
Democratic | Andrew G. Watters | 1,551 | 1.1 | |
No party preference | Ferenc Pataki | 671 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 143,038 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Kevin Mullin | 108,077 | 55.5 | |
Democratic | David Canepa | 86,797 | 44.5 | |
Total votes | 194,874 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 16
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Eshoo: 50-60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Jim Costa to fellow Democrat Anna Eshoo. Eshoo, who had represented the 18th district since 2013, was re-elected with 63.2% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Anna Eshoo (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[141]
- Rishi Kumar (Democratic), Saratoga city councilor and runner-up for this district in 2020[157]
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Fox (Republican), attorney and physician[107]
- John Fredrich (no party preference), teacher[107]
- Peter Ohtaki (Republican), former mayor of Menlo Park[158]
- Ajwang Rading (Democratic), attorney[158]
- Benjamin Solomon (Republican), fintech startup owner[107]
- Greg Tanaka (Democratic), Palo Alto city councilor[159]
Endorsements
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 81,100 | 47.9 | |
Democratic | Rishi Kumar | 26,438 | 15.6 | |
Republican | Peter Ohtaki | 21,354 | 12.6 | |
Republican | Richard Fox | 13,187 | 7.8 | |
Democratic | Ajwang Rading | 11,418 | 6.7 | |
Democratic | Greg Tanaka | 11,107 | 6.6 | |
Republican | Benjamin Solomon | 2,659 | 1.6 | |
No party preference | John Fredrich | 2,120 | 1.3 | |
Democratic | Travis Odekirk (write-in) | 2 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 169,385 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 139,235 | 57.8 | |
Democratic | Rishi Kumar | 101,772 | 42.2 | |
Total votes | 241,007 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 17
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Ro Khanna, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 71.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] Khanna was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Ro Khanna (incumbent) | 74,892 | 66.0 | |
Republican | Ritesh Tandon | 28,730 | 25.3 | |
Democratic | Stephen Forbes | 5,694 | 5.0 | |
Democratic | Rao Ravul | 2,394 | 2.1 | |
Libertarian | Joe Dehn | 1,836 | 1.6 | |
Total votes | 113,546 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Ro Khanna (incumbent) | 127,853 | 70.9 | |
Republican | Ritesh Tandon | 52,400 | 29.1 | |
Total votes | 180,253 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 18
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Anna Eshoo to fellow Democrat Zoe Lofgren. Lofgren, who had represented the 19th district since 2013, was re-elected with 71.7% of the vote in 2020.[5] Lofgren was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- Peter Hernandez (Republican), chair of the San Benito County Board of Supervisors[107]
- Zoe Lofgren (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[117]
Eliminated in primary
- Luis Acevedo-Arreguin (Democratic), U.S. Citizenship instructor[107]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Feminist Majority PAC[88]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 50,104 | 56.1 | |
Republican | Peter Hernandez | 27,935 | 31.3 | |
Democratic | Luis Acevedo-Arreguin | 11,253 | 12.6 | |
Total votes | 89,292 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 99,776 | 65.9 | |
Republican | Peter Hernandez | 51,737 | 34.1 | |
Total votes | 151,513 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 19
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Zoe Lofgren to fellow Democrat Jimmy Panetta. Panetta, who had represented the 20th district since 2017, was re-elected with 76.8% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Jeff Gorman (Republican), small business owner[107]
- Jimmy Panetta (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[162]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[137]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Auto Workers[30]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) | 127,545 | 67.3 | |
Republican | Jeff Gorman | 44,181 | 23.3 | |
Republican | Dalila Epperson | 12,082 | 6.4 | |
Democratic | Douglas Deitch | 5,700 | 3.0 | |
Total votes | 189,508 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) | 194,494 | 68.7 | |
Republican | Jeff Gorman | 88,816 | 31.3 | |
Total votes | 283,310 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 20
| ||||||||||||||||
County results McCarthy: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Jimmy Panetta to Republicans Kevin McCarthy and Connie Conway. McCarthy, who had represented the 23rd district since 2013, was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2020.[5][164] Conway, who was elected in a 2022 special election to replace Devin Nunes after his resignation to become CEO of Trump Media & Technology Group, declined to run for a full term.[62][165]
Advanced to general
- Kevin McCarthy (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative and House Minority Leader[107][5]
- Marisa Wood (Democratic), teacher[166]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined
- Connie Conway (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative (2022–2023)[66][172]
Endorsements
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, former President of the United States (2017–2021)[173]
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid R | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 85,748 | 61.3 | |
Democratic | Marisa Wood | 33,511 | 24.0 | |
Democratic | Ben Dewell | 8,757 | 6.3 | |
Republican | James Davis | 6,382 | 4.6 | |
Republican | James Macaulay | 5,488 | 3.9 | |
Total votes | 139,886 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 153,847 | 67.2 | |
Democratic | Marisa Wood | 74,934 | 32.8 | |
Total votes | 228,781 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 21
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Republican David Valadao to Democrat Jim Costa, who had represented the 16th district since 2013, was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2020.[5] Costa was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
- Nathan Brown (Republican), attorney[176]
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | September 29, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Likely D | October 7, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Jim Costa (D) |
Michael Maher (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 30 – October 3, 2022 | 515 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 33,850 | 47.0 | |
Republican | Michael Maher | 19,040 | 26.4 | |
Republican | Matt Stoll | 11,931 | 16.6 | |
Democratic | Eric Garcia | 7,239 | 10.0 | |
Total votes | 72,060 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 68,074 | 54.2 | |
Republican | Michael Maher | 57,573 | 45.8 | |
Total votes | 125,647 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 22
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Republican Connie Conway to fellow Republican David Valadao. Conway replaced Devin Nunes, who resigned in December 2021 to become CEO of Trump Media & Technology Group, in a 2022 special election.[62] Conway declined to run for reelection.[165] Valadao, who had represented the 21st district since 2021, was elected with 50.4% of the vote in 2020.[5] Valadao was running for re-election. He was one of two House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump during Trump's second impeachment who survived the primary election, along with Dan Newhouse of Washington.
Advanced to general
- Rudy Salas (Democratic), state assemblyman[177]
- David Valadao (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[178]
Eliminated in primary
- Chris Mathys (Republican), former Fresno city councilor[179]
- Adam Medeiros (Republican), Kings County Board of Education trustee[126][25]
Withdrew
- Angel Lara (Democratic), former aide to U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein[180]
- Bryan Osorio (Democratic), mayor of Delano[181] (ran for state senate)[182]
- Nicole Parra (Democratic), former state assemblywoman[183] (ran for state senate)[71]
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
- U.S. Representatives
- TJ Cox, former U.S. Representative from California's 21st congressional district (2019–2021)[184]
- Individuals
- Dolores Huerta, labor leader, civil rights activist, and co-founder of the National Farmworkers Association[185]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Politicians
- Kevin McCarthy, Minority Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives (2019–present) and U.S. Representative for California's 23rd congressional district (2007–present)[188]
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States (2017–2021)
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina[189]
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Tossup | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Lean R | November 7, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Lean R | October 17, 2022 |
538[18] | Lean R | November 8, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Tossup | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
David Valadao (R) |
Rudy Salas (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research | July 30 – August 5, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 34% | 39% | 13% | 14% |
David Binder Research (D)[upper-alpha 6] | July 13–15, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | – | 22% |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Rudy Salas | 25,337 | 45.2 | |
Republican | David Valadao (incumbent) | 14,331 | 25.6 | |
Republican | Chris Mathys | 13,111 | 23.4 | |
Republican | Adam Medeiros | 3,250 | 5.8 | |
Total votes | 56,029 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | David Valadao (incumbent) | 52,994 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Rudy Salas | 49,862 | 48.5 | |
Total votes | 102,856 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 23
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Republican Kevin McCarthy to fellow Republican Jay Obernolte. Obernolte, who had represented the 8th district since 2021, was elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Derek Marshall (Democratic), community organizer[192][25]
- Jay Obernolte (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[193]
Eliminated in primary
- Blanca Gomez (Democratic), Victorville city councilor[194]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
- Labor unions
- Federal officials
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid R | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid R | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Jay Obernolte (incumbent) | 57,988 | 60.9 | |
Democratic | Derek Marshall | 20,776 | 21.8 | |
Democratic | Bianca A. Gómez | 16,516 | 17.3 | |
Total votes | 95,280 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Jay Obernolte (incumbent) | 103,197 | 61.0 | |
Democratic | Derek Marshall | 65,908 | 39.0 | |
Total votes | 169,105 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 24
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Salud Carbajal, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58.7% of the vote in 2020.[5] Carbajal was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- Brad Allen (Republican)[107]
- Salud Carbajal (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[197][198]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Salud Carbajal (incumbent) | 111,199 | 60.0 | |
Republican | Brad Allen | 57,532 | 31.0 | |
No party preference | Michele R. Weslander Quaid | 13,880 | 7.5 | |
No party preference | Jeff Frankenfield | 2,732 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 185,343 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Salud Carbajal (incumbent) | 159,019 | 60.6 | |
Republican | Brad Allen | 103,533 | 39.4 | |
Total votes | 262,552 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 25
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Republican Mike Garcia to Democrat Raul Ruiz. Ruiz, who had represented the 36th district since 2013, was re-elected with 60.3% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Brian Hawkins (Republican), San Jacinto city councilor and pastor[199]
- Raul Ruiz (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[200]
Eliminated in primary
Declined
- Eduardo Garcia (Democratic), state assemblyman[200] (running for re-election)[204]
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Likely D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Lean D | October 30, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Likely D | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | August 2, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | November 8, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Likely D | October 4, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Raul Ruiz (incumbent) | 55,315 | 56.4 | |
Republican | Brian Hawkins | 16,085 | 16.4 | |
Republican | Brian Tyson | 14,186 | 14.5 | |
Republican | James Francis Gibson | 6,059 | 6.2 | |
Republican | Burt Thakur | 2,982 | 3.0 | |
Republican | Ceci Truman | 1,850 | 1.9 | |
Republican | Jonathan Reiss | 1,609 | 1.6 | |
Total votes | 98,086 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Raul Ruiz (incumbent) | 87,641 | 57.4 | |
Republican | Brian Hawkins | 65,101 | 42.6 | |
Total votes | 152,742 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 26
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Julia Brownley, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 60.6% of the vote in 2020.[5]
The boundaries of the district were redrawn during the 2020 redistricting cycle and became effective on March 27, 2022, for the 2022 primary and general elections.
Advanced to general
- Julia Brownley (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[205]
- Matt Jacobs (Republican), attorney[205][25]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
- Daniel Wilson nNo party preference), veteran (ran for state assembly)[25][207]
Endorsements
- Executive Branch officials
- John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)[208]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Julia Brownley (D) |
David Goodman (I) |
Matt Jacobs (R) |
Fadde Mikhail (R) |
Paul Taylor (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OnMessage Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 7] | March 20–22, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 6% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 28% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections[12] | Likely D | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Likely D | April 19, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Lean D | November 3, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Lean D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Likely D | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Likely D | October 16, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | September 29, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Likely D | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Julia Brownley (D) |
Matt Jacobs (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OnMessage Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 7] | September 13–18, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OnMessage Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 7] | March 20–22, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Julia Brownley (incumbent) | 91,535 | 54.3 | |
Republican | Matt Jacobs | 64,835 | 38.4 | |
Republican | Paul Nathan Taylor | 5,612 | 3.3 | |
No party preference | Dave Goodman | 3,950 | 2.3 | |
Republican | Fadde Mikhail | 2,775 | 1.6 | |
Total votes | 168,707 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Julia Brownley (incumbent) | 134,575 | 54.5 | |
Republican | Matt Jacobs | 112,214 | 45.5 | |
Total votes | 246,789 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 27
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Judy Chu to Republican Mike Garcia. Garcia, who had represented the 25th district since 2020, was re-elected with 50.05% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Mike Garcia (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[209]
- Christy Smith (Democratic), former state assemblywoman and runner-up for this district in 2020[210]
Eliminated in primary
- Ruth Luevanos (Democratic), Simi Valley city councilor[211]
- Mark Pierce (Republican), small business owner
- Quaye Quartey (Democratic), retired U.S. Navy officer[212]
- David Rudnick (Republican), business owner, former U.S. Marine Corps Infantryman[213]
Declined
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
- Newspapers
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[136]
- Equality California[223]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund (post-primary)[224]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Stonewall Democrats[225]
- Labor unions
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mike Garcia (R) |
Quaye Quartey (D) |
Christy Smith (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group (R) | April 19–20, 2022 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 10% | 34% | 12% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Tilt R | October 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Lean R | October 26, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Lean R | October 26, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Lean R | October 16, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Lean R | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Tossup | October 14, 2022 |
538[18] | Lean R | October 26, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Lean D (flip) | October 16, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mike Garcia (R) |
Christy Smith (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Mellman Group (D)[upper-alpha 8] | October 3–6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
The Mellman Group (D)[upper-alpha 8] | August 25–30, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
Remington Research Group (R) | April 19–20, 2022 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
- Mike Garcia vs. Quaye Quartey
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mike Garcia (R) |
Quaye Quartey (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group (R) | April 19–20, 2022 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Mike Garcia (incumbent) | 57,469 | 47.1 | |
Democratic | Christy Smith | 45,675 | 37.4 | |
Democratic | Quaye Quartey | 8,303 | 6.8 | |
Democratic | Ruth Luevanos | 6,668 | 5.5 | |
Republican | David Rudnick | 2,648 | 2.2 | |
Republican | Mark Pierce | 1,352 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 122,115 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Mike Garcia (incumbent) | 104,624 | 53.2 | |
Democratic | Christy Smith | 91,892 | 46.8 | |
Total votes | 196,516 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 28
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Adam Schiff to fellow Democrat Judy Chu. Chu, who had represented the 27th district since 2013, was re-elected with 69.8% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 90,395 | 63.0 | |
Republican | Wes Hallman | 41,955 | 29.2 | |
Democratic | Dorothy Caronna | 7,993 | 5.6 | |
No party preference | Giuliano Depaolis | 3,100 | 2.2 | |
Total votes | 143,443 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 150,062 | 66.2 | |
Republican | Wes Hallman | 76,495 | 33.8 | |
Total votes | 226,557 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 29
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Tony Cárdenas, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Tony Cárdenas (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[231]
- Angelica Dueñas (Democratic), former president of the Sun Valley neighborhood council, candidate for this district in 2018, and runner-up in 2020[lower-alpha 3][232]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Tony Cárdenas (incumbent) | 47,941 | 56.7 | |
Democratic | Angélica Dueñas | 19,321 | 22.8 | |
Republican | Margarita Maria Carranza | 7,079 | 8.4 | |
Republican | Andy Miranda | 5,167 | 6.1 | |
Republican | Rudy Melendez | 5,057 | 6.0 | |
Total votes | 84,565 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Tony Cárdenas (incumbent) | 69,915 | 58.5 | |
Democratic | Angélica Dueñas | 49,520 | 41.5 | |
Total votes | 119,435 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 30
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Brad Sherman to fellow Democrat Adam Schiff. Schiff, who had represented the 28th district since 2013, was re-elected with 72.7% of the vote in 2020.[5] Schiff was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- Maebe A. Girl (Democratic), Silver Lake neighborhood council board member, drag queen, and candidate for this district in 2020[234]
- Adam Schiff (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[235]
Eliminated in primary
- Sal Genovese (Republican), community services director[107]
- Patrick Gipson (Republican), former Los Angeles County deputy sheriff[107]
- Ronda Kennedy (Republican), attorney and runner-up for California's 26th congressional district in 2020[236][205][237]
- William "Gunner" Meurer (Green), business owner[107]
- Johnny Nalbandian (Republican), food industry businessman[107]
- Tony Rodriguez, construction recruiter[107]
- Paloma Zuniga (Republican), actress[25][107]
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Ron Placone, former host for The Young Turks[238]
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
- Newspapers
- LA Progressive[239]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 102,290 | 62.4 | |
Democratic | G "Maebe A. Girl" Pudlo | 21,053 | 12.9 | |
Republican | Ronda Kennedy | 13,953 | 8.5 | |
Republican | Patrick Lee Gipson | 10,529 | 6.4 | |
Republican | Johnny J. Nalbandian | 7,693 | 4.7 | |
Republican | Paloma Zuniga | 2,614 | 1.6 | |
Democratic | Sal Genovese | 2,612 | 1.6 | |
Green | William "Gunner" Meurer | 1,598 | 1.0 | |
American Independent | Tony Rodriguez | 1,460 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 163,802 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 150,100 | 71.1 | |
Democratic | G "Maebe A. Girl" Pudlo | 60,968 | 28.9 | |
Total votes | 211,068 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 31
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Pete Aguilar to fellow Democrat Grace Napolitano. Napolitano, who had represented the 32nd district since 2013, was re-elected with 66.6% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Erskine Levi (no party preference) (write-in)[107]
- Daniel Bocic Martinez (Republican), attorney and high school teacher[107][240]
- Grace Napolitano (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[240]
Eliminated in primary
- Rocco De Luca (Democratic), construction project manager[240]
Endorsements
- Political parties
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Grace Napolitano (incumbent) | 49,415 | 55.5 | |
Republican | Daniel Bocic Martinez | 32,721 | 36.7 | |
Democratic | Rocco Anthony De Luca | 6,948 | 7.8 | |
No party preference | Erskine Levi (write-in) | 17 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 89,101 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Grace Napolitano (incumbent) | 91,472 | 59.5 | |
Republican | Daniel Bocic Martinez | 62,153 | 40.5 | |
Total votes | 153,625 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 32
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Grace Napolitano to fellow Democrat Brad Sherman. Sherman, who had represented the 30th district since 2013, was re-elected with 69.5% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Brad Sherman (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[242]
- Lucie Volotzky (Republican), realtor[242][25]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- State legislators
- Nina Turner, president of Our Revolution and former member of the Ohio Senate (2008-2014)[245]
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
- Organizations
- Brand New Congress[233]
- Center for Biological Diversity Action Fund[246]
- Friends of the Earth Action Fund[247]
- Iranian American PAC[248]
- Jewish Voice for Peace Action Fund[249]
- National Iranian American Council Action[250]
- Progressive Democrats of America[251]
- San Fernando Valley Young Democrats[252]
- Roots Action[253]
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Pro-Israel America[254]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Auto Workers[30]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 88,063 | 53.7 | |
Republican | Lucie Lapointe Volotzky | 32,342 | 19.7 | |
Democratic | Shervin Aazami | 15,036 | 9.2 | |
Republican | Melissa Toomim | 13,926 | 8.5 | |
Democratic | Aarika Samone Rhodes | 8,744 | 5.3 | |
Democratic | Jason Potell | 2,943 | 1.8 | |
Democratic | Raji Rab | 2,938 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 163,992 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 167,411 | 69.2 | |
Republican | Lucie Lapointe Volotzky | 74,618 | 30.8 | |
Total votes | 242,029 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 33
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Ted Lieu to fellow Democrat Pete Aguilar. Aguilar, who had represented the 31st district since 2015, was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Pete Aguilar (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative and Vice Chair of the House Democratic Caucus[255]
- John Mark Porter (Republican), disaster response coordinator[256]
Eliminated in primary
- Rex Gutierrez (Republican), pastor and former Rancho Cucamonga city councilor[256][25]
- Ernest Richter (Republican), retired businessman[256]
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Pete Aguilar (incumbent) | 41,046 | 59.8 | |
Republican | John Mark Porter | 12,096 | 17.6 | |
Republican | Rex Gutierrez | 10,587 | 15.4 | |
Republican | Ernest Richter | 4,878 | 7.1 | |
Total votes | 68,607 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Pete Aguilar (incumbent) | 76,588 | 57.7 | |
Republican | John Mark Porter | 56,119 | 42.3 | |
Total votes | 132,707 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 34
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Jimmy Gomez, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020.[5]
The boundaries of the district were redrawn during the 2020 redistricting cycle and became effective on March 27, 2022, for the 2022 primary and general elections.
Advanced to general
- Jimmy Gomez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[107]
- David Kim (Democratic), MacArthur Park neighborhood council board member and runner-up for this district in 2020[257]
Eliminated in primary
- Clifton VonBuck (Republican), small business owner[107]
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jimmy Gomez (incumbent) | 45,376 | 50.7 | |
Democratic | David Kim | 34,921 | 39.0 | |
Republican | Clifton VonBuck | 9,150 | 10.2 | |
Total votes | 89,447 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Jimmy Gomez (incumbent) | 62,244 | 51.2 | |
Democratic | David Kim | 59,223 | 48.8 | |
Total votes | 121,467 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 35
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Norma Torres, who had represented the district since 2015, was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2020.[5]
The boundaries of the district were redrawn during the 2020 redistricting cycle and became effective on March 27, 2022, for the 2022 primary and general elections.
Advanced to general
- Mike Cargile (Republican), independent filmmaker and runner-up for this district in 2020[258]
- Norma Torres (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[259]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Nayib Bukele, President of El Salvador (2019–present)[260]
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Feminist Majority PAC[88]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[83]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Pro-Israel America[254]
- Labor unions
- Newspapers
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Norma Torres (incumbent) | 37,554 | 54.3 | |
Republican | Mike Cargile | 17,431 | 25.2 | |
Republican | Rafael Carcamo | 7,619 | 11.0 | |
Republican | Bob Erbst | 3,480 | 5.0 | |
Democratic | Lloyd Stevens | 3,022 | 4.4 | |
Total votes | 69,106 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Norma Torres (incumbent) | 75,121 | 57.4 | |
Republican | Mike Cargile | 55,832 | 42.6 | |
Total votes | 130,953 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 36
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Raul Ruiz to fellow Democrat Ted Lieu, who had represented the 33rd district since 2015, was re-elected with 67.6% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- Derrick Gates (Republican), pastor and mortgage broker[262][25]
- Ariana Hakami (Republican), financial advisor[107]
- Matthew Jesuele (no party preference), software engineer[107]
- Colin Obrien (Democratic), writer[107]
- Claire Ragge (Republican), bar owner[107][25]
- Steve Williams (no party preference), real estate broker[107]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Black America's Political Action Committee[263]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Ted Lieu (incumbent) | 122,969 | 67.1 | |
Republican | Joe Collins III | 24,553 | 13.4 | |
Republican | Derrick Gates | 10,263 | 5.6 | |
Republican | Ariana Hakami | 9,760 | 5.3 | |
Republican | Claire Ragge | 7,351 | 4.0 | |
Democratic | Colin Obrien | 6,221 | 3.4 | |
No party preference | Steve Williams | 1,180 | 0.6 | |
No party preference | Matthew Jesuele | 976 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 183,273 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Ted Lieu (incumbent) | 194,299 | 69.8 | |
Republican | Joe Collins III | 84,264 | 30.2 | |
Total votes | 278,563 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 37
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Karen Bass, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 85.9% of the vote in 2020.[5] Bass announced that she would be retiring to run for mayor of Los Angeles.[264]
Advanced to general
- Sydney Kamlager-Dove (Democratic), State Senator[265]
- Jan Perry (Democratic), former Los Angeles City Councillor, candidate for mayor of Los Angeles in 2013, and candidate for district 2 of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors in 2020[266][267]
Eliminated in primary
- Chris Champion (Republican), business owner[107]
- Baltazar Fedalizo (Republican), businessman[267]
- Daniel Lee (Democratic), Mayor of Culver City[268][269]
- Sandra Mendoza (Democratic), program manager and perennial candidate[107][25]
- Michael Shure (Democratic), NewsNation national correspondent[270]
Withdrew
- Jamaal Gulledge (Democratic), University of California Los Angeles staffer[269] (ran for state senate)[271]
Declined
- Karen Bass (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative (running for mayor of Los Angeles, endorsed Kamlager-Dove)[272][265]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Karen Bass, U.S. Representative for California's 37th congressional district[265]
- Ted Lieu, U.S. Representative for California's 36th congressional district[265]
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative for Washington's 7th congressional district (2017-present)[273]
- Statewide officials
- Ricardo Lara, California Insurance Commissioner[265]
- Tony Thurmond, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction[265]
- Shirley Weber, California Secretary of State[265]
- State legislators
- Ben Allen, state senator[265]
- Steve Bradford, state senator[265]
- Maria Durazo, state senator[265]
- Mike Gipson, state assemblyman[265]
- Chris Holden, state assemblyman[265]
- Local officials
- Marqueece Harris-Dawson, Los Angeles City Councillor[265]
- Holly Mitchell, Los Angeles County Supervisor and former state senator[265]
- Curren Price, Los Angeles City Councillor[265]
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[136]
- Democracy for America[274]
- EMILY's List[275]
- Equality California[276]
- Giffords (post-primary)[277]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[278]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[279]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Auto Workers[30]
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D) |
Jan Perry (D) |
Michael Shure (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research | May 19–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 16% | 59% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Sydney Kamlager-Dove | 42,628 | 43.7 | |
Democratic | Jan Perry | 17,993 | 18.5 | |
Democratic | Daniel Lee | 17,414 | 17.9 | |
Democratic | Sandra Mendoza | 8,017 | 8.2 | |
Republican | Chris Champion | 5,469 | 5.6 | |
Republican | Baltazar Fedalizo | 3,520 | 3.6 | |
Democratic | Michael Shure | 2,469 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 97,510 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Sydney Kamlager-Dove | 84,338 | 64.0 | |
Democratic | Jan Perry | 47,542 | 36.0 | |
Total votes | 131,880 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 38
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Sánchez: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Linda Sánchez, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 74.3% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Eric Ching (Republican), mayor of Walnut[280][281]
- Linda Sánchez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[281]
Eliminated in primary
- John Sarega (Republican), pastor[107]
Endorsements
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 58,586 | 58.7 | |
Republican | Eric Ching | 30,436 | 30.5 | |
Republican | John Sarega | 10,768 | 10.8 | |
Total votes | 99,790 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 101,260 | 58.1 | |
Republican | Eric Ching | 73,051 | 41.9 | |
Total votes | 174,311 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 39
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Republican Young Kim to Democrat Mark Takano, who had represented the 41st district since 2013. Takano was re-elected with 64.0% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Aja Smith (Republican), small business owner and runner-up for this district in 2020[107][25]
- Mark Takano (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[282]
Eliminated in primary
- John Minnella (Republican), small business owner[107]
- Tony Moreno (Republican), businessman[107]
- Arthur Peterson (Republican), former member of the Wisconsin State Assembly (1951–1955) and the Montana House of Representatives (2000–2002)[283][107]
- Bill Spinney (Republican), retired businessman[107]
- Emmanuel Suarez (Republican), poolman and caretaker[107]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Progressive Democrats of America[118]
- Stonewall Democrats[225]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Auto Workers[30]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Mark Takano (incumbent) | 44,067 | 57.1 | |
Republican | Aja Smith | 9,751 | 12.6 | |
Republican | Bill Spinney | 7,421 | 9.6 | |
Republican | Tony Moreno | 5,527 | 7.2 | |
Republican | Arthur Peterson | 5,081 | 6.6 | |
Republican | John Minnella | 3,662 | 4.7 | |
Republican | Emmanuel Suarez | 1,600 | 2.1 | |
Total votes | 77,109 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Mark Takano (incumbent) | 75,896 | 57.7 | |
Republican | Aja Smith | 55,701 | 42.3 | |
Total votes | 131,597 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 40
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Kim: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Lucille Roybal-Allard to Republican Young Kim. Kim, who had represented the 39th district since 2021, was elected with 50.6% of the vote in 2020.[5] Kim was running for re-election. The New York Times reported that Mahmood aired ads undermining Kim by only mentioning her primary opponent Greg Raths, as part of a Democratic strategy to support further-right Republican primary candidates to make for an easier opponent in general elections in November.[284]
Advanced to general
- Young Kim (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[285][286][287]
- Asif Mahmood (Democratic), pulmonologist, member of the Medical Board of California, and candidate for California Insurance Commissioner in 2018[288][289]
Eliminated in primary
- Greg Raths (Republican), Mission Viejo city councilor, former mayor of Mission Viejo, candidate for the 45th district in 2014 and 2016, and runner-up in 2020[290]
- Nick Taurus (Republican), activist[291][281]
Endorsements
- Executive branch officials
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2019) and former Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[292]
- U.S. Senators
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina[189]
- U.S. Representatives
- Ken Calvert, U.S. Representative for California's 42nd congressional district[287]
- Ed Royce, former U.S. Representative for California's 39th congressional district[287]
- Michelle Steel, U.S. Representative for California's 48th congressional district[287]
- Mimi Walters, former U.S. Representative for California's 45th congressional district[287]
- Organizations
- Executive branch officials
- Hillary Clinton, former U.S. Secretary of State (2009–2013), former U.S. Senator from New York (2001–2009), and former First Lady of the United States (1993–2001)[294]
- U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator form New Jersey (2013–)[295]
- U.S. Representatives
- Tony Cárdenas, U.S. Representative for California's 29th congressional district[289]
- Mike Levin, U.S. Representative for California's 49th congressional district[288]
- Gregory Meeks, U.S. Representative for New York's 5th congressional district[289]
- Statewide officials
- Rob Bonta, California Attorney General[289]
- Eleni Kounalakis, Lieutenant Governor of California[289]
- Ricardo Lara, California Insurance Commissioner[289]
- Betty Yee, California State Controller[289]
- Organizations
- 314 Action Fund[296]
- AAPI Victory Fund (post-primary)[297]
- ASPIRE PAC[298]
- End Citizens United (post-primary)[134]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund (post-primary)[224]
- Let America Vote (post-primary)[134]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[156]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California (post-primary)[299]
- United Auto Workers[30]
- Newspapers
- Los Angeles Times[300] (post-primary)
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Likely R | June 28, 2022 |
Inside Elections[12] | Likely R | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Likely R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Likely R | August 12, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Likely R | October 7, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Likely R | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Likely R | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Likely R | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Young Kim (R) |
Asif Mahmood (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 9] | July 16–20, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 35% | 13% |
- Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 9] | July 16–20, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 40% | 13% |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Asif Mahmood | 74,607 | 40.9 | |
Republican | Young Kim (incumbent) | 63,346 | 34.7 | |
Republican | Greg Raths | 42,404 | 23.2 | |
Republican | Nick Taurus | 2,193 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 182,550 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Young Kim (incumbent) | 161,589 | 56.8 | |
Democratic | Asif Mahmood | 122,722 | 43.2 | |
Total votes | 284,311 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 41
| ||||||||||||||||
Calvert 50-60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Mark Takano to Republican Ken Calvert. Calvert, who had represented the 42nd district since 2013, was re-elected with 57.1% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Ken Calvert (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[301]
- Will Rollins (Democratic), former federal prosecutor[302]
Eliminated in primary
- Shrina Kurani (Democratic), engineer and entrepreneur[303]
- John Michael Lucio (Republican)
- Anna Nevenic (no party preference)
Endorsements
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[304]
- U.S. Representatives
- Newspapers
- The Desert Sun (post-primary)[306]
- Organizations
- End Citizens United (post-primary)[134]
- Human Rights Campaign PAC[307]
- League of Conservation Voters[40]
- Let America Vote (post-primary) [134]
- LGBTQ Victory Fund[308]
- New Politics[153]
- Sierra Club[29]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Lean R | June 28, 2022 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid R | August 25, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Likely R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Lean R | October 18, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Lean R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Likely R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Likely R | July 21, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid R | November 1, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Likely R | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Ken Calvert (R) |
Will Rollins (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulchin Research (D) | September 28 – October 2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
ApplecartUSA (D)[upper-alpha 10] | July 22–27, 2022 | 1,260 (RV) | – | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Tulchin Research (D)[upper-alpha 10] | February 25 – March 3, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | 18% |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 72,700 | 48.2 | |
Democratic | Will Rollins | 45,923 | 30.4 | |
Democratic | Shrina Kurani | 23,483 | 15.6 | |
Republican | John Michael Lucio | 6,880 | 4.6 | |
No party preference | Anna Nevenic | 1,862 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 150,848 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 123,869 | 52.3 | |
Democratic | Will Rollins | 112,769 | 47.7 | |
Total votes | 236,638 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 42
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Republican Ken Calvert to Democrats Lucille Roybal-Allard and Alan Lowenthal, whose districts were combined. Roybal-Allard, who had represented the 40th district since 2013, was re-elected with 72.7% of the vote in 2020. Lowenthal, who had represented the 47th district since 2013, was re-elected with 63.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] Both Roybal-Allard and Lowenthal were retiring.
Advanced to general
- John Briscoe (Republican), Ocean View School District trustee and runner-up for this district in 2018 and 2020[291][309]
- Robert Garcia (Democratic), mayor of Long Beach[310]
Eliminated in primary
- Joaquín Beltrán (Democratic), engineer and community organizer[107]
- Julio Flores (Green), education administrator[107]
- Cristina Garcia (Democratic), state assemblywoman[311]
- Nicole López (Democratic), voter registration professional[312][313][309]
- Peter Mathews (Democratic), college professor and perennial candidate[309][25]
- William Summerville (Democratic), pastor[314]
Withdrew
- William Griffith (no party preference)[315]
Declined
- Lena Gonzalez (Democratic), state senator (endorsed Robert Garcia)[310]
- Alan Lowenthal (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[316]
- Lucille Roybal-Allard (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[317][318]
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
- U.S. Representatives
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative for Washington's 7th congressional district (2017–)[319]
- Statewide officials
- State legislators
- Lena Gonzalez, state senator[310]
- Scott Wiener, state senator[320]
- Local politicians
- Christopher Cabaldon, former mayor of West Sacramento[320]
- Todd Gloria, mayor of San Diego[320]
- Libby Schaaf, mayor of Oakland[320]
- Individuals
- Billie Jean King, former professional tennis player[320]
- Organizations
- Democracy for America[274]
- End Citizens United[115]
- Equality California[320]
- Giffords (post-primary)[277]
- Human Rights Campaign PAC[307]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund (post-primary)[224]
- LGBTQ Victory Fund[320]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America (post-primary)[321]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Auto Workers[30]
- Newspapers
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Robert Garcia | 43,406 | 46.7 | |
Republican | John Briscoe | 24,319 | 26.1 | |
Democratic | Cristina Garcia | 11,685 | 12.6 | |
Democratic | Peter Mathews | 3,415 | 3.7 | |
Democratic | Nicole López | 3,164 | 3.4 | |
Green | Julio Flores | 2,491 | 2.7 | |
Democratic | William Summerville | 2,301 | 2.5 | |
Democratic | Joaquín Beltrán | 2,254 | 2.4 | |
Total votes | 93,035 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Robert Garcia | 99,217 | 68.4 | |
Republican | John Briscoe | 45,903 | 31.6 | |
Total votes | 145,120 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 43
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Maxine Waters, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 71.7% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Omar Navarro (Republican), small business owner, and perennial candidate[107]
- Maxine Waters (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[107]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Feminist Majority PAC[88]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Auto Workers[30]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 55,889 | 74.3 | |
Republican | Omar Navarro | 8,927 | 11.9 | |
Republican | Allison Pratt | 5,489 | 7.3 | |
Democratic | Jean Monestime | 4,952 | 6.6 | |
Total votes | 75,257 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 95,462 | 77.3 | |
Republican | Omar Navarro | 27,985 | 22.7 | |
Total votes | 123,447 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 44
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Nanette Barragán, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Nanette Barragán (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[107]
- Paul Jones (Republican), minister[107]
Eliminated in primary
- Morris Griffin (Democratic), maintenance technician[107]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Feminist Majority PAC[88]
- League of Conservation Voters[26]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Auto Workers[30]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Nanette Barragán (incumbent) | 58,594 | 68.7 | |
Republican | Paul Jones | 20,569 | 24.1 | |
Democratic | Morris Griffin | 6,110 | 7.2 | |
Total votes | 85,273 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Nanette Barragán (incumbent) | 100,160 | 72.2 | |
Republican | Paul Jones | 38,554 | 27.8 | |
Total votes | 138,714 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 45
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Steel: 50–60% Chen: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Katie Porter to Republican Michelle Steel. Steel, who had represented the 48th district since 2021, was elected with 51.1% of the vote in 2020.[5] Steel was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- Jay Chen (Democratic), president of the board of trustees at Mt. San Antonio College, U.S. Navy veteran, and runner-up for the 39th district in 2012[322][73]
- Michelle Steel (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[323][286][324]
Eliminated in primary
- Long Pham (Republican), nuclear engineer[107]
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Tammy Duckworth, U.S. Senator from Illinois (2017–present)[290]
- U.S. Representatives
- Ted Lieu, current U.S. Representative from California's 33rd congressional district (2015-present)[323]
- Organizations
- ASPIRE PAC[298]
- BOLD PAC[186]
- Equality California[155]
- Human Rights Campaign PAC[307]
- New Democrat Coalition[323]
- New Politics[325]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[279]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Stonewall Democrats[225]
- VoteVets.org[326]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Auto Workers[30]
- Executive branch officials
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017-2019) and former Governor of South Carolina (2011-2017)[327]
- U.S. Senators
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina[189]
- U.S. Representatives
- Ken Calvert, U.S. Representative for California's 41st congressional district[324]
- Young Kim, U.S. Representative for California's 40th congressional district[324]
- Kevin McCarthy, Minority Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives[290][324]
- Mimi Walters, former U.S. Representative for California's 45th congressional district[324]
- Local politicians
- Andrew Do, chair of the Orange County Board of Supervisors[324]
- Organizations
- Maggie's List[293]
- Orange County Republican Party[323][324]
- Pro-Israel America[254]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[217]
- Newspapers
- The Orange County Register (post-primary)[328]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Lean R | June 28, 2022 |
Inside Elections[12] | Lean R | August 25, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Lean R | June 22, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Lean R | October 3, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Lean R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Lean R | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Lean R | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Likely R | October 20, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Tossup | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Michelle Steel (incumbent) | 65,641 | 48.2 | |
Democratic | Jay Chen | 58,721 | 43.1 | |
Republican | Long Pham | 11,732 | 8.6 | |
No party preference | Hilaire Fuji Shioura (write-in) | 6 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 136,100 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Michelle Steel (incumbent) | 113,960 | 52.4 | |
Democratic | Jay Chen | 103,466 | 47.6 | |
Total votes | 217,426 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 46
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Correa: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Lou Correa, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 68.8% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Lou Correa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[281]
- Christopher Gonzales (Republican), attorney[291]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Organizations
- The American Council
- California ProLife Council
- California Republican Party
- Crime Victims United
- Freedom Revival
- Hispanic 100
- Republican Party of Orange County
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Pro-Israel America[254]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[94]
- United Farm Workers[31]
- Organizations
- Americans for Democratic Action Southern California[330]
- Center for Biological Diversity Action Fund[330]
- Democratic Socialists of America Orange County[330]
- Our Revolution Orange County[330]
- Progressive Democrats of America[195]
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Lou Correa (incumbent) | 37,311 | 49.1 | |
Republican | Christopher Gonzales | 11,823 | 15.6 | |
Democratic | Michael Ortega | 9,311 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Mike Nguyen | 9,162 | 12.1 | |
Republican | Felix Rocha | 7,084 | 9.3 | |
No party preference | Ed Rushman | 1,264 | 1.7 | |
Total votes | 75,955 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Lou Correa (incumbent) | 78,041 | 61.8 | |
Republican | Christopher Gonzales | 48,257 | 38.2 | |
Total votes | 126,298 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 47
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Porter: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Alan Lowenthal to fellow Democrat Katie Porter. Porter, who had represented the 45th district since 2019, was re-elected with 53.5% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Scott Baugh (Republican), former state assemblyman, former chair of the Orange County Republican Party, and candidate for the 48th district in 2018[73]
- Katie Porter (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[331]
Eliminated in primary
- Brian Burley (Republican), IT analyst and candidate for the 48th district in 2020[332][333]
- Amy Phan West (Republican), former member of the Orange County Parks Commission and perennial candidate[291][333]
- Errol Webber (Republican), filmmaker and runner-up for the 37th district in 2020[333]
Withdrew
- Harley Rouda (Democratic), former U.S. Representative[73][334]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Newspapers
- Individuals
- Michael Flynn, U.S. Army general and former national security advisor[338]
- Organizations
- Brand New Congress[233]
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Democracy for America[339]
- EMILY's List[340]
- End Citizens United[101]
- Equality California[93]
- Feminist Majority PAC[88]
- Giffords[341]
- League of Conservation Voters[26]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[342]
- National Iranian American Council[343]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[27]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Progressive Democrats of America[118]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Stonewall Democrats[225]
- Labor unions
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections[12] | Tilt D | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Lean D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Lean D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Likely D | October 17, 2022 |
538[18] | Likely D | July 11, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Katie Porter (incumbent) | 86,742 | 51.7 | |
Republican | Scott Baugh | 51,776 | 30.9 | |
Republican | Amy Phan West | 13,949 | 8.3 | |
Republican | Brian Burley | 11,952 | 7.1 | |
Republican | Errol Webber | 3,342 | 2.0 | |
Total votes | 167,761 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Katie Porter (incumbent) | 137,374 | 51.7 | |
Republican | Scott Baugh | 128,261 | 48.3 | |
Total votes | 265,635 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 48
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Republican Michelle Steel to fellow Republican Darrell Issa, who had represented the 50th district since 2021, was elected with 54.0% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Stephen Houlahan (Democratic), registered nurse and former Santee city councilor[346]
- Darrell Issa (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative and technology entrepreneur[347]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Mari Barosay (Democratic), urgent care nurse[348]
- Timothy Bilash (Democratic), physician[348][25]
- Joseph Rocha (Democratic), attorney and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[349][346][25] (running for State Senate)[350]
Endorsements
- Newspapers
- Federal officials
- U.S. Representatives
- David Cicilline, U.S. Representative from RI-01 (2011–present)[353]
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative for CA-41 (2013–present)[353]
- State legislators
- Christine Kehoe, former state senator (2004–2012)[353]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid R | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Darrell Issa (incumbent) | 101,280 | 61.5 | |
Democratic | Stephen Houlahan | 45,740 | 27.8 | |
Democratic | Matthew Rascon | 14,983 | 9.1 | |
No party preference | Lucinda Jahn | 2,614 | 1.6 | |
Total votes | 164,617 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Darrell Issa (incumbent) | 155,171 | 60.4 | |
Democratic | Stephen Houlahan | 101,900 | 39.6 | |
Total votes | 257,071 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 49
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Levin: 50–60% Maryott: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Democrat Mike Levin, who had represented the district since 2019, was re-elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2020.[5] Levin was running for re-election.
Advanced to general
- Mike Levin (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[354]
- Brian Maryott (Republican), former mayor of San Juan Capistrano, candidate for this district in 2018, and runner-up in 2020[355]
Eliminated in primary
- Lisa Bartlett (Republican), Orange County supervisor[356]
- Josiah O'Neil (Republican), sheriff's deputy[107]
- Christopher Rodriguez (Republican), Oceanside city councilor[357]
- Nadia Smalley (Democratic), private nurse[107]
- Renee Taylor (Republican), cybersecurity manager[107]
Withdrew
- Anne Elizabeth (Republican), talk show host[358]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[100]
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Council for a Livable World[360]
- Democracy for America[274]
- End Citizens United[101]
- Equality California[93]
- Feminist Majority PAC[88]
- Giffords[341]
- League of Conservation Voters[26]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[361]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[27]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Pro-Israel America[190]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Stonewall Democrats[225]
- Newspapers
- Labor unions
- State legislators
- Brian Jones, member of the California State Senate from the 38th district[361]
- Marie Waldron, minority leader of the California State Senate[361]
- Organizations
- Orange County Republican Party[361]
- Individuals
- Larry Elder, radio host and candidate in the 2021 California gubernatorial recall election[361]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Lisa Bartlett (R) |
Brian Maryott (R) |
Mike Levin (D) |
Josiah O'Neil (R) |
Christopher Rodriguez (R) |
Nadia Smalley (D) |
Renee Taylor (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
co/efficient (R)[upper-alpha 11] | May 12, 2022 | – (LV) | – | 9% | 9% | 42% | 4% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 21% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
Inside Elections[12] | Tilt D | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Tossup | October 26, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Tossup | October 18, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Likely D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Lean D | October 4, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mike Levin (D) |
Brian Maryott (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 27–31, 2022 | 568 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
co/efficient (R)[upper-alpha 11] | May 12, 2022 | – (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Mike Levin (incumbent) | 92,211 | 48.9 | |
Republican | Brian Maryott | 35,805 | 19.0 | |
Republican | Lisa Bartlett | 20,163 | 10.7 | |
Republican | Christopher Rodriguez | 18,248 | 9.7 | |
Republican | Josiah O'Neil | 14,746 | 7.8 | |
Democratic | Nadia Smalley | 4,804 | 2.5 | |
Republican | Renee Taylor | 2,597 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 188,574 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Mike Levin (incumbent) | 153,541 | 52.6 | |
Republican | Brian Maryott | 138,194 | 47.4 | |
Total votes | 291,735 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 50
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Republican Darrell Issa to Democrat Scott Peters. Peters, who had represented the 52nd district since 2013, was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Corey Gustafson (Republican), educator[107]
- Scott Peters (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[362]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Newspapers
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Scott Peters (incumbent) | 89,894 | 52.3 | |
Republican | Corey Gustafson | 51,312 | 29.9 | |
Democratic | Kylie Taitano | 16,065 | 9.4 | |
Republican | David Chiddick | 9,333 | 5.4 | |
No party preference | Adam Schindler | 5,168 | 3.0 | |
Total votes | 171,772 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Scott Peters (incumbent) | 168,816 | 62.8 | |
Republican | Corey Gustafson | 99,819 | 37.2 | |
Total votes | 268,635 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 51
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Juan Vargas to fellow Democrat Sara Jacobs. Jacobs, who had represented the 53rd district since 2021, was elected with 59.5% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Stan Caplan (Republican), small business owner[107]
- Sara Jacobs (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[347]
Eliminated in primary
- Jose Cortes (Peace and Freedom), customer service representative[368][107]
Endorsements
- Organizations
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Sara Jacobs (incumbent) | 91,329 | 60.5 | |
Republican | Stan Caplan | 56,183 | 37.2 | |
Peace and Freedom | Jose Cortes | 3,343 | 2.2 | |
Democratic | Barrett Holman Leak (write-in) | 55 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 150,910 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Sara Jacobs (incumbent) | 144,186 | 61.9 | |
Republican | Stan Caplan | 88,886 | 38.1 | |
Total votes | 233,072 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 52
| ||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Scott Peters to fellow Democrat Juan Vargas. Vargas, who had represented the 51st district since 2013, was re-elected with 68.3% of the vote in 2020.[5]
Advanced to general
- Tyler Geffeney (Republican), minister[107]
- Juan Vargas (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[370]
Eliminated in primary
- Joaquín Vázquez (Democratic), community organizer and candidate for the 53rd district in 2020[371]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- California Environmental Voters[26]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Pro-Israel America[254]
- Sierra Club[29]
- Labor unions
- Newspapers
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[114]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid D | December 21, 2021 |
Inside Elections[12] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
Politico[14] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[15] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[16] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[17] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[18] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[19] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Results
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Juan Vargas (incumbent) | 56,827 | 59.1 | |
Republican | Tyler Geffeney | 29,348 | 30.5 | |
Democratic | Joaquín Vázquez | 9,965 | 10.4 | |
Total votes | 96,140 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Juan Vargas (incumbent) | 100,686 | 66.7 | |
Republican | Tyler Geffeney | 50,330 | 33.3 | |
Total votes | 151,016 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Archived May 15, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- Dueñas ran as a Green in 2018, but as a Democrat in 2020
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Kiley's campaign
- Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Duarte's campaign committee
- This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC
- Poll sponsored by Mullin's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Canepa's campaign
- Poll sponsored jointly by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and Salas's campaign committee
- Poll sponsored by Jacobs's campaign
- Poll sponsored by Smith's campaign
- Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Kim's campaign committee
- Poll sponsored by WelcomePAC, which supports Rollins
- This poll was sponsored by Rodriguez's campaign
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