2021 Zagreb local elections

Elections were held in Zagreb on 16 May 2021 for the 53rd mayor of Zagreb, the two deputy mayors, the 47 members of the Zagreb Assembly, the councils of districts and the local committees, as part of the 2021 Croatian local elections.[3] The runoff for the mayor took place on 30 May 2021.

Main article: 2021 Croatian local elections
2021 Zagreb local elections
16 May 2021
30 May 2021 (runoff for mayor)
Mayoral election
Turnout47.14% (first round)[1] Increase 6.00 pp
45.07% (runoff)[2] Increase 3.93 pp
 
Candidate Tomislav Tomašević Miroslav Škoro
Party We Can! DP
Alliance Green-Left Coalition DP-ZL
First round 147,631
45.15%		 39,789
12.16%
Runoff 199,630
63.87%		 106,300
34.01%
Mayor before election

Jelena Pavičić Vukičević (Acting)
BM 365

 Elected Mayor

Tomislav Tomašević
We Can!

Assembly election
All 47 seats in the Zagreb Assembly
24 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader % Seats +/–
Green–Left Tomislav Tomašević 40.83 23 +20
HDZ coalition Mislav Herman 11.30 6 -8
DP coalition Miroslav Škoro 10.59 5 +4
BM 365 Jelena Pavičić Vukičević 9.04 5 -6
SDP Joško Klisović 8.88 5 -2
Most Zvonimir Troskot 6.20 3 +3
Speaker before Speaker after
Mislav Herman
HDZ		 Joško Klisović
SDP

As Zagreb, being the national capital, is the only Croatian city to enjoy a special status within Croatia's regional administrative framework (being both a city and a county), the mayor of Zagreb likewise also enjoys a status equal to that of a county prefect (Croatian: župan) of one of Croatia's other 20 counties (Croatian: županija). The city's county-level status is also highlighted in the name of its legislature, which is uniquely styled as a city assembly (Croatian: skupština; a term reserved for units with regional self-government, i.e. counties), and not as a city council (Croatian: vijeće; which is used for units with local self-government, i.e. cities and municipalities).

The elections followed in the wake of the late February death of long-time Zagreb mayor Milan Bandić. Since the start of the campaign, and especially in May 2021, polling for mayor had consistently placed left-wing social activist and environmental researcher, Tomislav Tomašević, clearly in the lead, with 30–40 percent of the vote (as was also the case with his Green–Left Coalition in the Assembly election). Meanwhile, the candidates of Croatia's two major parties – the HDZ and the SDP, were well behind, as were conservative musician-turned-politician Miroslav Škoro, acting mayor Jelena Pavičić Vukičević and former Minister of Justice Vesna Škare-Ožbolt.[4][5][6] In the week leading up to the election, several candidates filed charges against one of the polling agencies, Akter Public, accusing it of influencing public opinion to benefit Miroslav Škoro over several other candidates.[7][8][9][10][11] Akter Public issued a denial, while Škoro's Homeland Movement admitted that it had engaged in business transactions with Akter Public.[12]

The first round of the mayoral election, held on 16 May 2021, was convincingly won by leftist candidate Tomislav Tomašević (with 45.15%), while right-wing nationalist Miroslav Škoro finished a distant second (with 12.16%). Furthermore, Tomašević's number of votes is the highest of any first round candidate since the introduction of direct mayoral elections in 2009.[13] However, as no candidate received a majority of the votes, a run-off took place on 30 May 2021.[14] Tomašević was elected mayor with 63.87% of the vote, against Škoro's 34.01%.[15] In addition, just as was the case in the first round, Tomašević's second round performance once more set a new record for the number of votes received by a mayor candidate in Zagreb. Namely, his almost 200 thousand votes was larger by nearly 30,000 than that which Milan Bandić received in the second round of the 2013 election.[16][17]

Meanwhile, in the Assembly election, the Green–Left Coalition won 23 of out the 47 seats (thus falling just one seat short of an overall majority), and later entered into a coalition with the centre-left Social Democratic Party, which won 5 seats.[18][19]

Background
Six-term mayor Milan Bandić (BM 365) was seeking re-election but died during the pre-election campaign period, after 17 years and 165 days in office.

The longest-serving and six-time elected mayor of Zagreb, Milan Bandić, died from a heart attack on 28 February 2021, less than three months before the election.[20][21] Following his death, one of the deputy mayors, Jelena Pavičić Vukičević, temporarily assumed the powers and duties of mayor. Also, she became the acting president of the Bandić's Labour and Solidarity Party.[22] It will thus be the first time since the 1997 elections that Bandić won't be running for the mayorship.

The Croatian government officially called the election on 14 April 2021, with the potential candidates then having two weeks to collect the number of signatures required by the Law on Local Elections.[23][24]

Campaign

Pre-election period and first round

The election is taking place during the global COVID-19 pandemic, which has affected more than 63,000 people in Zagreb and caused over 2,000 deaths in the city, as of May 2021.[25] Furthermore, Zagreb is still recovering from a series of natural disasters which struck the city during 2020. Namely, a major earthquake occurred in the city on 22 March 2020 and caused extensive damage to historic buildings. Then, nine months later, an even stronger earthquake in Petrinja only further weakened already damaged structures in Zagreb. Therefore, one of the main topics of the campaign is the adoption of a law on reconstructing the affected areas of the city.[26]

Other major campaign issues include the troubling state of the city's finances,[27][28] its allegedly oversized bureaucratic apparatus,[29] as well as the corruption, nepotism and cronyism which took place during the Bandić administration.[30][31][26]

Second round

On the night of 16 May 2021, when it became clear that no candidate had won enough votes for an outright victory, and when it was increasingly apparent that Tomislav Tomašević and Miroslav Škoro would thus face each other in a run-off, Škoro declared to his supporters that "regardless of who will win – Jelena Pavičić Vukičević, Davor Filipović or Miroslav Škoro" he would "stand against the left, especially a left of this kind, which has often shown that it contains elements of that to which neither Croatia nor Zagreb should return". He furthermore stated that the Green–Left Coalition is "neither green nor left, but extremely left".[32] Such statements may be signaling a campaign which will be highly ideologically polarised between progressive and traditionalist voters. Austrian Der Standard wrote that Škoro's statements polarise the right-wing voters and could cause some to turn against him in the runoff.[33]

The Independent and German Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung described the unexpectedly high vote shares attained by Tomašević and We can! as an upset for the ruling Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ).[34][35] The Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung wrote that "anything but a new victory for [Tomašević on 30 May] would be a sensation", and called the Croatian local elections a disaster for Croatia's biggest left-wing party, the SDP, which won just 8.9 percent of the vote for the Zagreb Assembly and generally performed poorly across the country. Zagreb was described as a possible "springboard" for the green politics of We can! in the national political arena, should their campaign promises be executed and should the fight against Bandić's "corruption and clientelism" succeed.[35][36]

Mayoral candidates

On 30 April 2021, the State Electoral Commission (SEC) confirmed that ten potential candidates had submitted at least 5,000 valid signatures from registered voters, and that they, as well as their running mates, had thus qualified to be official candidates for mayor and deputy mayor.[37]

Candidate Party affiliation Running mates Party affiliation Notes about the candidate Proof of nomination
Davor Filipović Croatian Democratic Union Iva Hraste-Sočo[38] Croatian Democratic Union Associate professor at the Faculty of Economics of the University of Zagreb. Member of the Zagreb Assembly. Submitted 13,000 signatures to the State Electoral Commission on 29 April 2021.[39]
Mirjana Kujundžić Tiljak[38]
Joško Klisović Social Democratic Party Dina Vasić[40] Independent Former Deputy Minister of Foreign and European Affairs. Submitted 6,500 signatures to the State Electoral Commission on 29 April 2021.[41]
Renato Petek[40]
Anka Mrak-Taritaš Civic Liberal Alliance Mirando Mrsić[42] Democrats Member of the Croatian Parliament for the Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats (2016–2017) and the Civic Liberal Alliance (2017–present). Runner-up in the 2017 Zagreb election. Submitted 6,206 signatures to the State Electoral Commission on 28 April 2021.[43]
Marko Torjanac[42] Independent
Davor Nađi[44] Focus Davor Huić[45] Focus Member of the Croatian Parliament for Focus (2020–present). Former Deputy Mayor of Sveta Nedelja. Submitted 6,000 signatures to the State Electoral Commission (as announced by Nađi on Facebook).
Mario Kolar
Jelena Pavičić Vukičević Bandić Milan 365 Ivica Lovrić[46] Bandić Milan 365 Incumbent First Deputy Mayor of Zagreb (2017–2021) and Acting Mayor of Zagreb (2021). Second Deputy Mayor of Zagreb (2009–2013). Submitted 12,000 signatures to the State Electoral Commission on 22 April 2021.[47]
Otto Barić[46] Independent
Vesna Škare-Ožbolt.jpg
 Vesna Škare Ožbolt Independent Kristina Sušac[48] Independent Lawyer. Former Minister of Justice (2003–2006). Submitted 8,000 signatures to the State Electoral Commission on 29 April 2021.[49]
Ivan Slade Šilović[48]
Miroslav Škoro.jpg
 Miroslav Škoro Homeland Movement Slaven Dobrović[50][51] Homeland Movement[52] Folk musician. Independent presidential candidate in the first round of the 2019–20 election. Member of the Croatian Parliament for the Croatian Democratic Union (2008) and the Homeland Movement (2020–present), and a Deputy Speaker of Parliament (2020–present). Submitted 14,000 signatures to the State Electoral Commission on 27 April 2021.[47]
Ana Lederer[51] Bloc for Croatia[50]
Željko Tokić Independent Brunela Rajilić Independent Entrepreneur. Nominated by a group of registered voters.[53] Submitted an undisclosed number of signatures to the State Electoral Commission.
Tena Tuzla
Tomislav Tomašević We can!, Zagreb is OURS Danijela Dolenec[54] We can!, Zagreb is OURS Member of the Croatian Parliament for We can! (2020–present). Member of the Zagreb Assembly. Submitted 20,236 signatures to the State Electoral Commission on 29 April 2021.[55]
Luka Korlaet[54]
Zvonimir Troskot Bridge of Independent Lists Iva Rem[56] Bridge of Independent Lists Economist. Member of the Croatian Parliament for the Bridge of Independent Lists (2020–present). Submitted 8,700 signatures to the State Electoral Commission on 29 April 2021.[57]
Dajana Paušić Podhraški[56]

Failed candidates

The following individuals failed to submit signatures to the State Electoral Commission by the deadline on 29 April 2021.

Withdrawn candidates

These individuals withdrawn their bids as candidates for the mayor.

Results

Mayoral election

On 30 April 2021, the State Electoral Commission (SEC) announced that 10 candidates had presented enough valid signatures from registered voters in order to be placed on the ballot in the elections for the mayor of Zagreb.[37]

Candidates First round[67] Second round[68]
Candidate Party Votes % Votes %
Tomislav Tomašević We Can! / Zagreb is OURS! 147,631 45.15 199,630 63.87
Miroslav Škoro Homeland Movement 39,789 12.16 106,300 34.01
Jelena Pavičić Vukičević Bandić Milan 365 36,309 11.10
Davor Filipović Croatian Democratic Union 32,151 9.83
Joško Klisović Social Democratic Party 25,601 7.82
Vesna Škare Ožbolt Independent 16,682 5.10
Zvonimir Troskot Bridge of Independent Lists 13,480 4.12
Davor Nađi Focus 6,492 1.98
Anka Mrak-Taritaš Civic Liberal Alliance 2,743 0.83
Željko Tokić Independent 1,298 0.39
Total: 322,176 98.60% 305,930 97.93%
Invalid votes: 4,589 1.40% 6,456 2.07%
Uncast ballots: 210 – 148 –
Turnout: 326,975 47.14% 312,534 45.07%
Registered voters: 693,645 693,509

The percentage of the vote for each candidate is calculated from the number of total ballots (including invalid,
blank and uncast ballots)
The percentages of valid and invalid votes are calculated from the number of total ballots, but excluding uncast
ballots
The turnout percentage is calculated from the number of registered voters

Source:[69]

Assembly election

On 30 April 2021, the State Electoral Commission (SEC) announced that 22 party lists, independent lists and voters' group candidate lists had presented enough valid signatures from registered voters in order to be placed on the ballot for the elections to the Zagreb Assembly.[70]

The Zagreb City Assembly has 47 members elected by proportional representation in a single city-wide electoral constituency. In order to qualify for legislative representation, a party or coalition must receive at least 5% of the number of valid votes cast in an election. The method used to distribute seats among such parties or coalitions is the D'Hondt method.[71][72]

Party list Previous
seats		 Votes % Seats % Seat
change
We Can!
Zagreb is Ours!
New Left
Green Alternative - Sustainable Development of Croatia
For the City
4 / 51
 130,850 40.83
23 / 47
 Increase 19
Croatian Democratic Union
Croatian Social Liberal Party
Croatian Party of Pensioners
14 / 51
 36,232 11.30
6 / 47
 Decrease 8
Homeland Movement
Green List
1 / 51
 33,943 10.59
5 / 47
 Increase 4
Bandić Milan 365 - Labour and Solidarity Party
11 / 51
 28,996 9.04
5 / 47
 Decrease 6
Social Democratic Party of Croatia
7 / 51
 28,456 8.88
5 / 47
 Decrease 2
Bridge of Independent Lists
0 / 51
 19,872 6.20
3 / 47
 Increase 3
Independent list of Vesna Škare Ožbolt
0 / 51
 14,247 4.44
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Focus
0 / 51
 7,302 2.27
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Croatian Sovereignists
Croatian Conservative Party
Hrast - Movement for a Successful Croatia
Independents for Croatia
Croatian Party of Rights
Generation of Renewal
0 / 51
 3,130 0.97
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Centre
0 / 51
 2,909 0.90
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Civic Liberal Alliance
Democrats
0 / 51
 2,537 0.79
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Bloc of Pensioners Together
0 / 51
 2,285 0.71
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Agramers – Independent List
0 / 51
 1,801 0.56
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Workers' Front
1 / 51
 1,385 0.43
0 / 47
 Decrease 1
Authentic Croatian Peasant Party
Croatian Peasant Party of Stjepan Radić
Croatian Radić Party
Let's Change Croatia
Croatian Party of all Chakavians, Kajkavians and Shtokavians
0 / 51
 1,286 0.40
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Independent List of Tomislav Stojak
0 / 51
 1,143 0.35
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Independent list of Željko Tokić
0 / 51
 1,030 0.32
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Zagorje Party
0 / 51
 719 0.22
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Croatian People's Party - Liberal Democrats
1 / 51
 647 0.20
0 / 47
 Decrease 1
Authentic Croatian Party of Rights
0 / 51
 640 0.19
0 / 47
 Steady 0
Movement for a Modern Croatia
0 / 51
 520 0.16
0 / 47
 Steady 0
People's Party - Reformists
1 / 51
 473 0.14
0 / 47
 Decrease 1
Total: 320,403 98.16 47 100% Decrease 4
Invalid votes: 6,007 1.84
Turnout: 326,680 47.09
Registered voters: 693,670

The percentages of votes from each list are calculated from number of valid voters
The percentages of valid and invalid votes are calculated from the turnout number
The turnout percentage is calculated from the number of registered voters

Source:[73]

Elected lists and candidates

Six lists received at least 5% of the valid votes cast on 16 May 2021, making them eligible to take part in the distribution of seats using the D'Hondt method. The party list with the most elected candidates was the Green-Left Coalition, followed by the coalition led by the Croatian Democratic Union, a three-way tie between the coalition led by the Homeland Movement, Bandić Milan 365 - Labour and Solidarity Party and the Social Democratic Party, and, finally, by the Bridge of Independent Lists.

The following table contains the names of the Assembly members elected from each party list.[74] It is to be noted that if a member-elect refuses to take up his or her seat in the Assembly, or if he or she is legally prevented from doing so (e.g. because they are elected to an incompatible political office, such as mayor or deputy mayor),[71] then the candidate who is next on the list will take office as a member of the Assembly. In this context, mayor Tomislav Tomašević, as well as his two deputies, Danijela Dolenec and Luka Korlaet, were ineligible to take up their seats in the Assembly, and were replaced by Marija Krnić, Sanja Bilas and Ana Profeta, respectively.

The Law on Local Elections permits a member of the Zagreb Assembly to simultaneously serve as a Member of the Croatian Parliament. Thus, at least seven Assembly members are currently due to hold office in both bodies during their term: Damir Bakić (We Can!), Stephen N. Bartulica (Homeland Movement), Ivana Kekin (New Left), Vilim Matula (We Can!), Urša Raukar-Gamulin (We Can!), Miroslav Škoro (Homeland Movement) and Zvonimir Troskot (Bridge of Independent Lists). Meanwhile, Rada Borić (New Left) will resign as an MP and serve only in the City Assembly.[75] Furthermore, Tomislav Tomašević will also have to resign from Parliament before assuming office as mayor.[76] Tomašević's parliamentary seat will be filled by Urša Raukar-Gamulin (We Can!),[77] while Borić will be replaced by Ivana Kekin (New Left).[78]

Due to the failure to represent the representatives of the Serbian national minority in the council, by-elections were announced for October 3, 2021 for the election of one representative of the minority. This will increase the number of representatives in the council to 48.[79] The seat was won by Nikola Vukobratović of SDSS who run unopposed.[80]

4: BM365 7: DP - ZL 10: HDZ - HSLS - HSU 13: MOST 14: M! - ZJN! - NLj - ZA-ORAH - ZG 19: SDP
1 – Jelena Pavičić Vukičević
2 – Ivica Lovrić
3 – Otto Barić
4 – Ljubo Jurčić
5 – Višnja Fortuna		 1 – Miroslav Škoro
2 – Zlatko Hasanbegović
3 – Nenad Matić
4 – Stephen Nikola Bartulica
5 – Slaven Dobrović		 1 – Mislav Herman
2 – Davor Filipović
3 – Iva Hraste-Sočo
4 – Mario Župan
5 – Darko Klasić
6 – Frane Barbarić		 1 – Zvonimir Troskot
2 – Marko Sladoljev
3 – Trpimir Goluža		 1 – Rada Borić
2 – Zorislav-Antun Petrović
3 – Ivana Kekin
4 – Urša Raukar-Gamulin
5 – Teodor Celakoski
6 – Marijana Sumpor
7 – Damir Bakić
8 – Iva Ivšić
9 – Marina Ivandić
10 – Vilim Matula
11 – Mauro Sirotnjak
12 – Marta Kiš
13 – Svibor Jančić
14 – Marijana Rimanić
15 – Robert Faber
16 – Tihomir Milovac
17 – Jelena Miloš
18 – Marija Brajdić Vuković
19 – Daniela Širinić
20 – Tomislav Domes
21 – Marija Krnić
22 – Sanja Bilas
23 – Ana Profeta		 1 – Joško Klisović
2 – Dina Vasić
3 – Renato Petek
4 – Ivan Račan
5 – Davorka Moslavac Forjan

Councils of the city districts

During the local elections voters also had the chance to elect their representatives in the councils of each of Zagreb's 17 city districts.

Distribution of seats per district[81]
District Možemo!-ZJN-NL-ORaH-ZG HDZ-HSLS-HSU SDP BM 365 DP-ZL Most Škare
Ožbolt's
list		 Others Total seats
Donji Grad 10 2 1 – 1 – 1 – 15
Gornji Grad – Medveščak 8 2 2 – 1 1 1 15
Trnje 8 2 2 1 1 1 – – 15
Maksimir 8 2 1 – 2 1 1 – 15
Peščenica – Žitnjak 8 3 2 2 2 1 1 – 19
Novi Zagreb – istok 11 2 2 1 2 – 1 – 19
Novi Zagreb – zapad 8 3 2 2 2 1 1 – 19
Trešnjevka – sjever 12 2 2 1 1 1 – – 19
Trešnjevka – jug 11 3 3 – 1 1 – – 19
Črnomerec 9 2 1 1 1 1 – – 15
Gornja Dubrava 7 3 1 3 3 1 1 – 19
Donja Dubrava 5 2 1 2 2 1 1 1* 15
Stenjevec 10 2 2 – 2 3 – – 19
Podsused – Vrapče 8 2 2 1 1 1 – – 15
Podsljeme 4 2 – 1 1 – – 3** 11
Sesvete 5 3 1 4 2 3 1 – 19
Brezovica 2 1 2 3 1 – 1 1*** 11
Totals134382722 2617 105 279

* Antun Bošnjaković's list
** Krešimir Kompesak's list
*** Youth for Brezovica

Opinion polls

Some of the polls have attracted controversy due to being commissioned by certain candidates. The first Ipsos poll which showed Pavičić Vukičević entering the second round was commissioned by the acting mayor herself.[82][83] Akter Public was accused by several candidates of attempting to influence voters to vote for Miroslav Škoro in an illegal phone campaign. Two candidates filed charges against the agency. The phone number from which the illegal campaign was carried out was registered to Akter Public, according to the Croatian Regulatory Authority for Network Industries. Akter Public denied using this number. Miroslav Škoro's Homeland Movement admitted hiring the agency for purposes of media buying. Akter Public's polls showed Škoro reaching the second round of the mayoral elections.[84]

Graphical summary (first round)

First round
Polling Firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Tomislav Tomašević Davor Filipović Joško Klisović Miroslav Škoro Vesna Škare-Ožbolt Jelena Pavičić Vukičević Zvonimir Troskot Anka Mrak-Taritaš Davor Nađi Marina Pavković Željko Uhlir Mirando Mrsić Renato Petek Otto Barić Jr. Others Undecided Lead
Election results 16 May — 45.15 9.83 7.82 12.16 5.10 11.10 4.12 0.83 1.98 - - - - - - - 32.99
Average

(different polling companies 2 weeks before the election)

 38.04 11.26 8.74 10.74 7.26 11.36 3.60 1.82 1.58 - - - - - - - 25.62
2x1 komunikacije Archived 14 May 2021 at the Wayback Machine 13 May 891 38.8 8.8 6.0 11.9 6.3 14.3 3.1 1.0 1.2 - - - - - 0.6 8.0 24.5
Promocija plus 11−12 May 800 36.0 12.7 11.9 11.1 8.1 8.2 3.1 2.2 1.4 - - - - - 0.3 5.0 23.3
MASMI 6−12 May 800 38.1 12.1 8.1 10.5 6.8 8.6 4.9 1.5 1.8 - - - - - 0.8 - 26.0
HR Rejting 4−6 May 800 35.8 11.6 11.0 8.8 8.5 8.2 2.3 2.1 1.5 - - - - - 0.2 10.1 24.2
IPSOS 5−6 May 700 41.5 11.1 6.7 11.4 6.6 8.9 4.7 2.3 2.0 - - - - - 0.2 4.7 30.1
2x1 komunikacije 6 May 880 32.2 8.4 7.6 10.5 6.3 15.2 3.5 3.4 2.2 - - - - - 1.3 9.6 17.0
Akter public[lower-alpha 1] 30 April – 4 May 1,340 30.7 7.9 10.2 15.5[lower-alpha 1] 5.1 9.1 2.5 4.9 - - - - - - - - 15.2
2x1 komunikacije 25 April 880 33.4 8.0 8.4 9.9 7.6 13.9 3.1 2.3 1.8 - - - - - 1.6 10.1 19.5
Promocija plus 16−19 April 600 34.6 10.3 10.1 8.0 5.9 7.8 2.5 2.9 2.1 1.0 0.4 - - - 1.5 12.9 24.3
Akter public[lower-alpha 1] 23 March – 13 April 2,750 31.1 5.7 11.2 14.8[lower-alpha 1] 6.3 7.4 4.1 4.8 - - - - - - 0.8 13.8 16.3
Ipsos[lower-alpha 2] 14–16 April 800 39.6 7.6 6.5 9.6 5.7 16.6[lower-alpha 2] 5.0 3.0 3.7 - - 0.3 - - 0.2 2.2 23.0
MASMI 8–12 April 800 37.2 13.4 7.6 7.7 10.1 6.5 4.8 3.2 1.6 - - - - - 6.4 23.8
MASMI 11–16 March 800 37.6 10.7 11.7 8.3 10.2 4.3 5.8 - 1.2 0.5 0.3 1.4 1.1 - - 6.9 25.9
2x1 komunikacije 15–16 March 510 37.3 8.2 8.6 7.7 7.8 8.8 2.2 1.6 2.2 - - - - - 3.7 12.0 28.5
Promocija plus 8–9 March 600 39.7 8.6 12.2 7.5 7.9 6.4 2.1 - 3.2 0.6 0.6 0.9 - - 0.6 9.8 27.5
IPSOS 2–3 March 600 38.0 11.7 15.8 6.3 9.6 4.9 6.5 - 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.9 0.4 3.1 22.2

Second round
Polling Firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Tomislav Tomašević Joško Klisović Davor Filipović Miroslav Škoro Jelena Pavičić Vukičević Vesna Škare-Ožbolt Undecided Will not vote Lead
Promocija plus 21−22 May 2021 800 62.9 – – 20.5 – – 13.2 3.4 42.4
IPSOS 16−17 May 2021 4,000 60.4 – – 21.7 – – 17.9 – 38.7
Promocija plus 11−12 May 2021 800 51.0 22.7 – – – – 11.2 15.1 28.3
59.8 – 23.5 – – – 5.7 11.0 36.3
62.0 – – 19.4 – – 7.8 10.9 42.6
57.2 – – – 23.2 - 9.9 9.7 34
MASMI 6–12 May 2021 800 58 – 26 – – – 7.7 8.3 32
57.5 – – 29.1 – – 6.2 7.1 28.4
60.6 – – – 21.2 – – – 39.4
HR Rejting 4−6 May 2021 800 52.6 22.1 – – – – 10.3 15.0 30.5
60.5 – 23.3 – – – 6.7 9.6 37.2
64.7 – – 19.5 – – 6.9 8.9 45.2
58.7 – – – 24.8 – 6.6 9.9 33.9
55.3 – – – – 29.9 6.6 8.1 25.4
IPSOS 5−6 May 2021 700 59.9 18.9 – – – – 6.6 14.0 41.0
59.5 – 26.6 – – – 4.8 8.6 32.9
62.7 – – 25.2 – – 3.9 7.8 37.5
60.2 – – – 25.9 – 4.0 9.1 34.3
56.7 – – – – 29.7 3.1 10.0 27.0
Promocija plus 16−19 April 2021 600 52.5 21.1 – – – – 26.4 − 31.4
61.8 – 21.3 – – – 16.9 – 40.5
64.8 – – 18.4 – – 16.8 − 46.4
59.1 – – − 23.3 – 17.6 − 35.8
57.0 – – − – 26.5 16.5 − 30.5
MASMI 11−16 March 2021 800 49.4 13.3 – – – – 14.1 23.2 36.1
56.3 – 19.0 – – – 10.0 14.7 37.3
57.6 – – 16.0 – – 9.2 17.2 41.6
IPSOS 2−3 March 2021 600 53.5 22.5 – – – – 24.0 – 31.0
64.2 – 24.2 – – – 11.6 – 40.0

Graphical summary

Bold: electoral lists which would be eligible to receive seats

Polling Firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Možemo HDZ SDP DP Škare-Ožbolt's List BM 365 Most Others Undecided Lead
Election results 16 May — 40.83 11.30 8.88 10.59 4.44 9.04 6.20 8.72 – 29.53
Vote average 32.51 14.83 11.89 8.2 6.07 6.27 4.57 – – 17.68
Seat average (D'Hondt method) 20 9 7 5 3 3 0 – – 11
Promocija plus 11−12 May 2021 800 33 15.2 14.3 8.1 5.0 6.1 4.4 4.8 9.1 17.8
MASMI 6−12 May 2021 800 33.5 16.9 9.8 9.9 5.5 6 4.8 – – 16.6
HR Rejting 4−6 May 2021 800 30.3 14.9 14.5 7.9 5.6 5.3 3.8 3.2 13.0 15.4
IPSOS 5−6 May 2021 700 36.6 9.0 6.4 10.0 5.7 8.9 3.7 7.5 12.2 26.6
Promocija plus 16−19 April 2021 600 28.7 13.4 13.0 7.1 3.8 5.4 3.6 8.7 16.3 15.3
MASMI 8–12 April 2021 800 29.3 19.7 11.4 8.0 9.6 4.6 5.8 – – 9.6
IPSOS 2–3 March 2021 600 36.2 14.7 13.8 6.4 7.3 7.6 5.9 2.9 5.0 21.5

See also

Notes
  1. Akter Public is involved in a controversy with Miroslav Škoro[84]
  2. This survey was commissioned by Jelena Pavičić Vukičević[82]

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