2024 London mayoral election

2024 London mayoral election
2 May 2024 (2024-05-02)
 
Candidate Sadiq Khan Susan Hall Zoë Garbett
Party Labour Conservative Green
Incumbent mayor

Sadiq Khan
Labour


The 2024 London mayoral election is due to be held on 2 May 2024 to elect the mayor of London. It will take place simultaneously with elections to the London Assembly and local elections across England and Wales. Following the Elections Act 2022, voting in this election will take place under the first-past-the-post system for the first time, replacing the supplementary vote system.

Sadiq Khan, who has served as the mayor of London since 2016, will be seeking re-election as the Labour candidate. The Conservative Party has announced former London Assembly Conservative leader Susan Hall as their candidate, while the Green Party nominated Hackney borough councillor Zoë Garbett.

Background

The mayor of London has responsibilities covering policing, transport, housing, planning, economic development, arts, culture and the environment. They control a budget of around £18 billion per year.[1] Mayors are typically elected for a period of four years, with no limit to the number of terms served.[2] Under the Greater London Authority Act 1999, mayoral elections are held on the first Thursday in May in the fourth calendar year following the previous election, unless varied by an order by the Secretary of State. On 13 March 2020, the government announced the election would be postponed until 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[3] The change in election date has been ignored when calculating the four-yearly election cycle. Consequently, this election will be held only three years after the 2021 London mayoral election that saw the Labour mayor Sadiq Khan re-elected.[4]

In the 2022 London local elections, Labour gained control of Barnet, Wandsworth and Westminster councils from the Conservatives, but lost Croydon to no overall control, Harrow to the Conservatives and Tower Hamlets to Aspire, a local political party led by Lutfur Rahman. Labour saw a small net gain in seats of 28 to 1,156 while the Conservatives lost 104 seats, winning 404 across Greater London. The Liberal Democrats and Greens both made gains, winning 180 and 18 seats respectively.[5]

Khan froze London Underground fares from 2016 to 2020 and introduced a violence reduction unit into the Metropolitan Police.[6] In August 2023, he funded free school meals for all primary school children in London not covered by the UK government.[7]

Ultra Low Emission Zone

Khan introduced an Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ), initially planned by Boris Johnson when he was mayor, in April 2019. The scheme means that vehicles that fail to meet emissions standards need to pay a £12.50 charge each day they drive within the zone, with money raised from charges used to invest in improving transport and air quality. The zone was expanded in October 2021 to cover the area between the North Circular Road and the South Circular Road. Khan announced plans to expand the ULEZ to cover the whole of Greater London in August 2023.[8] The proposal was voted through by the London Assembly with support from Labour, Liberal Democrat and Green members and opposition from the Conservatives.[9] Khan expressed a desire to replace the ULEZ in the future with a more comprehensive road pricing scheme.[8] In July 2023, Labour failed to win the Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election by a narrow margin, which was credited to local opposition to expansion of the ULEZ.[10] Khan later extended financial support available to scrap non-compliant vehicles to all London residents rather than the previous plan to apply a means test, funded from reserves.[11]

Electoral system

The election will take place using first-past-the-post voting where voters choose a single candidate and the candidate with the greatest number of votes is elected mayor.[12]

In previous mayoral elections, a supplementary vote system was employed under which voters would choose a first and second preference candidate, with second preferences being considered if no candidate won a majority of first preference votes. The Greater London Authority considered changing to counting votes by hand instead of electronically to save money.[13]

All registered electors (British, Commonwealth and European Union citizens) living in London aged 18 or over will be entitled to vote in the mayoral election.

Campaign

The incumbent mayor Sadiq Khan announced in January 2022 that he would seek election to a third term as mayor of London. There had been speculation as to whether he would instead seek election to the House of Commons in hope of becoming leader of the Labour Party.[14][15] The Labour Party officially reselected Khan as its candidate in December 2022 following a vote of party members and affiliated trade unions.[16][17] Khan pledged to maintain the 2030 target for Greater London Authority operations to reach net zero emissions, including decarbonising all buses.[18]

In July 2023, the Conservatives selected Susan Hall, a member of the London Assembly who led the Conservative group there from 2019 to 2023, as their candidate.[19] Several people in the party said they should make the election a "referendum" on expansion of the ULEZ.[20] Hall said she would reverse expansion of the ULEZ immediately if elected, listing policing and housing as her other priorities.[21] Hall is considered to be on the right wing of the Conservative Party and had enthusiastically supported Liz Truss as prime minister and Donald Trump as president of the United States.[22] The Conservatives complained to the Evening Standard about the picture it used to illustrate her win, calling it a "clear mockery".[23] She said she would remove 20mph speed limits on main roads. She promised to extend Khan's policy of free school meals for all primary school students for at least one more year.[7] Hall said she would "ban officers overtly supporting LGBT campaigns by wearing rainbow flag badges, or engaging in anti-racism gestures".[24] She supported "more family homes, even if they are high-density, low-rise, as long as they are beautiful homes".[25]

In September 2023, Hall was reported to have liked a tweet that praised Enoch Powell (who gained fame for his Rivers of Blood speech) and liked tweets that described London's mayor Sadiq Khan as "our nipple height mayor of Londonistan" and a "traitor rat".[24][26] When asked about the tweets, a spokesman for Hall's campaign said "Susan engages with many people on Twitter without endorsing their views".[26] She later disavowed Powell.[25]

In February 2023 the Green Party selected Zoë Garbett, a councillor on Hackney London Borough Council who works on health inequalities for the NHS, to be their mayoral candidate.[27] Garbett also ran in the 2023 Hackney mayoral by-election.[28] She said that if elected mayor she would introduce free bus transport for people under the age of 22, de-prioritise policing of cannabis and improve protection for renters.[29][27] She said she supported expansion of the ULEZ to cover all of Greater London, but wanted greater financial support for owners of non-compliant cars.[27] She advocated a "London living wage" of £15 an hour.[29]

The Liberal Democrats selected Rob Blackie in August 2023. Blackie said he would provide legal support to undocumented immigrants who had lived in London for several years to seek citizenship, promised to deprioritise poling drug possession and maintain Khan's policy of free school meals for at least one more year.[30]

Reform UK announced the campaigner Howard Cox as their candidate in May 2023. Cox had campaigned against increases in hydrocarbon oil duty, a tax on fossil fuels used by most road motor vehicles.[31] Reform said that Cox would abolish the ULEZ entirely, end low traffic neighbourhood schemes and reduce the use of 20mph speed limits.[31] He said he also wanted to "triple" the number of police officers on the street and the amount of social housing being built.[32] Cox said he had previously always voted Conservative.[33] He said he recognised climate change, but did not believe it was caused by human activity and asserted that it is not a crisis.[33] The party leader, Richard Tice, said the Conservatives should stand down and endorse Reform UK.[33]

Candidates

Labour Party

The incumbent mayor Sadiq Khan announced in January 2022 that he would run for re-election. He became Labour's candidate after party members and affiliates voted to automatically reselect him in December 2022.[34][35] 96% of local parties and party affilitates voted to re-select him without a contest, with some constituency Labour Parties, including Leyton and Wanstead and Tottenham, voting to open selection to more candidates.[36] Khan had worked as a solicitor before being elected the Labour MP for Tooting in the 2005 general election. He held junior ministerial positions in Gordon Brown's government including spending a year as transport minister. From 2010 to 2015 he served as shadow justice secretary in Ed Miliband's shadow cabinet. He was first elected mayor of London in 2016, defeating the Conservative candidate Zac Goldsmith. He was re-elected in the delayed 2021 London mayoral election, this time beating the Conservative candidate Shaun Bailey.

The shadow foreign secretary David Lammy and the former speaker of the House of Commons John Bercow had been suggested as possible alternative candidates for the party.[37][38]

Conservative Party

In May 2023, the Conservatives set a timetable to announce a mayoral candidate on 18 July.[39][40] Applications opened on 9 May and closed on 24 May, after which a longlist was produced. A committee was due to produce a shortlist of up to three candidates on 4 June, with local members voting to select a candidate from 4 July to 18 July.[41] It was reported that the Conservatives were seeking to find a celebrity or high-profile businessperson to run as their candidate, such as Karren Brady or Robert Rinder, but the party's former mayoral nominee Steven Norris said it was difficult to convince them to "potentially ruin their reputation, for half the city to hate them".[42]

Several Conservative members declared their candidacies, including members of the London Assembly Andrew Boff, Susan Hall and Nick Rogers, the Minister for London Paul Scully MP, the MS Natasha Asghar, the former councillor Duwayne Brooks, the former special advisers Samuel Kasumu and Daniel Korski, and the businesspeople Natalie Campbell and Alex Challoner. Boff has sought the Conservative nomination in five previous mayoral elections, while Brooks sought the Liberal Democrat nomination in 2012 and 2016 and the Conservative nomination in 2021.[43] Kasumu had worked as an adviser to Boris Johnson, but resigned in 2021, saying he thought that the Conservative Party were trying to "pick a fight on the culture war and to exploit division".[44]

On the question of expansion of the Ultra Low Emission Zone to cover all of Greater London, Boff, Campbell, Rogers and Scully all said they would unilaterally reverse it if elected while Kasumu said he would grant referendums to affected boroughs to decide whether to be part of it.[39][45][43] On housing, Kasumu said he wanted to "make boroughs more accountable for house building" while Rogers promised to develop policy aimed at renters.[39][46] Scully said he would find new sites for housing, concentrating height in central London.[45] Challoner said he would build five new neighbourhoods with ten thousand homes each.[47] On policing and crime, Brooks said he would abolish the Directorate of Professional Standards of the Metropolitan Police, with investigations of police to be instead conducted by a new body of former police officers and lawyers.[43] Campbell said she wanted to be more of a chief executive officer for London than a mayor.[48] Challoner said he would establish a new police unit for burglary and car-related crimes.[47]

Kasumu was endorsed by Steve Baker, Grant Shapps, Priti Patel and Nadine Dorries.[49][50] Scully was endorsed by Rogers, who withdrew from the election on 19 May.[51]

On 11 June, it was announced that Hall, Korski and the lawyer Mozammel Hossain had been chosen as the party's shortlist.[52] Scully had been expected to be included, and Hossain's candidacy had not previously been public.[53][54]

Hall is the only candidate to have held elected office, as a former council leader and member of the London Assembly.[55] She said she would "get the basics right" by focusing on "policing, transport and housing" instead of "fancy ideas". On transport, she opposed expansion of the Ultra Low Emission Zone and said she would remove Low Traffic Neighbourhoods wherever she had the authority to.[56][57] She opposes road pricing. She expressed concern that some striking London Underground staff "are earning far more than average" and pledged to review their pay and benefits.[57] On crime, she said she would introduce a new unit of the Metropolitan police dedicated to burglary, theft, mugging and fences.[58] On housing, she advocated high-density "green, community-oriented places" but opposed any construction on the green belt. She voted for the UK to leave the European Union in the 2016 referendum and supported the leadership campaign of Liz Truss.[57]

Hossain is a criminal barrister. He said he would appeal more than the other candidates to ethnic minority voters.[59] He said he would lobby the government for deregulation to "attract big business".[60] He supported more use of stop and search said he would "crack down" on drill music.[61][62] He voted for the UK to remain in the European Union in the 2016 referendum.[60] Hossain's campaign manager, Ben Mallett, and another member of his team, Malin Bogue both appeared in a short video clip taken at a Christmas party on 14 December 2020 at Conservative Campaign Headquarters, made available by the Daily Mirror in June 2023. His supporter Nick Candy was also at the event, which was held while London was in Tier 2 COVID-19 restrictions, one of the events collectively known as Partygate.[63] The clip shows people ignoring social distancing, including Bogue dancing with someone.[64] The invitation for the event, sent out on behalf of Mallet, described it with the words "Jingle and Mingle".[65] Hossain was also supported by Iain Duncan Smith.[62]

According to The Telegraph, Korski was the candidate preferred by the Conservative Party's leadership.[57] Instead of ULEZ expansion, Korski said he wanted to plant trees, electrify buses and referred to "large ventilators on billboards that suck the pollution out of the air" in Peru as a better solution.[66] He said he would build more housing over train stations and railway track.[67] He also said he wanted to create a tourist tax to fund a new "minor crimes constabulary" among other police projects.[67] He voted for the UK to remain in the European Union in the 2016 referendum and supported Tom Tugendhat's leadership campaign.[60][68] Korski was endorsed by George Freeman and Michael Gove and claimed endorsements from Alicia Kearns, Andrew Mitchell, Joanna Shields and Tugendhat.[69][70][54]

During a hustings event, all of the candidates said they would cancel expansion of the ULEZ, with Korski supporting a road pricing system instead. All the candidates said they would invest more in community policing.[55]

In June 2023, TV producer Daisy Goodwin said that Korski had groped her during a meeting in Downing Street a decade earlier. (She had described the event some years earlier but without naming Korski).[71] Korski denied the allegation.[72] On 28 June, he withdrew his candidacy.[73] He said that he had mentioned the existence of the “story” to the party during the selection process.[74]

Some argued that the contest should be re-started after Korski pulled out. Broadcaster and former Conservative Party Parliamentary candidate Iain Dale, who said he himself was approached on three separate occasions, was critical of the decision not to do so.[75]

Susan Hall was announced as the candidate on 19 July 2023, winning 57% of the vote against Hossain.[76][19]

Candidate Votes  %
Susan Hall
57%
Mozammel Hossain
43%

Nominated

Shortlisted

Applied but not shortlisted

Withdrew

Declined

Green Party

The Green Party nominated Zoë Garbett as its candidate. Garbett was elected as councillor for Dalston ward on Hackney London Borough Council in 2022, simultaneously coming second in the election for mayor of Hackney with 17.0% of the vote.[86] At the time of her selection she worked for the NHS on health inequalities.[87][88] She had been endorsed by the party's only MP Caroline Lucas and two members of the London Assembly, Siân Berry and Caroline Russell; Berry had served as the party's mayoral candidate on three former occasions.[89][90]

Two other candidates, the councillor and former MEP Scott Ainslie and the councillor Benali Hamdache, contested the nomination. Ainslie had campaigned on "retrofitting London’s homes, delivering free school meals for all primary school children, and ensuring London's pension funds are divested from fossil fuels" while Hamdache had advocated "a tourist tax and a workplace parking levy in London" and replacing the London Assembly with a new London Parliament.[91]

Nominated

Lost nomination

Declined

Results
Green Party London mayoral candidate selection[92]
Candidate Votes  %
Zoë Garbett
51.2%
Benali Hamdache
26.5%
Scott Ainslie
20.5%
Reopen nominations
1.8%

Liberal Democrats
Portrait of Rob Blackie
Rob Blackie was selected as the Liberal Democrat candidate

The Liberal Democrats announced their candidate, Rob Blackie on 11 August 2023. He was chosen by a vote of party members from a shortlist of two, Blackie and Chris French.[94] Blackie works in digital marketing and worked on the Best for Britain anti-Brexit campaign. He said he would re-priortise the Met Police towards sexual offences and away from "low-level drug offences". He also promised cleaner rivers, more solar panels and better transport links for outer London.[95] French, who works as a community advocate and previously served as a special constable, had said he would reform policing and reduce health inequalities.[96]

Reform UK

Reform UK selected Howard Cox, a campaigner against hydrocarbon oil duty increases, as its candidate.[32]

Declared

The businessperson Natalie Campbell, who applied for the Conservative candidacy, announced that she would run as an independent. She said she would consider abolishing the Metropolitan Police and replacing them with a new police force. She had opposed the expansion of the ULEZ, but said she would only reverse it if it were cost-effective.[97]

Publicly expressed interest

The satirical candidate Count Binface, who came ninth out of twenty candidates in the 2021 London mayoral election with 1.0% of the vote, expressed interest in running again.[98]

Potential

It was speculated that the former leader of the Labour Party Jeremy Corbyn might stand as an independent candidate.[99] Corbyn is the MP for Islington North and is a member of the Labour Party, but has had the Labour whip suspended since 2020 when he said that the scale of antisemitism in the Labour Party had been "dramatically overstated for political reasons".[100] Corbyn said he would think about standing when asked at the Edinburgh Festival Fringe in August 2023.[101]

It has also been speculated that the former prime minister Boris Johnson might stand as an independent candidate. Johnson previously served as mayor of London from 2008 to 2016.[102]

In August 2023, former Conservative cabinet minister and 2019 leadership election candidate, Rory Stewart, declined to rule out contesting the mayoralty in 2024 upon relocating to Britain;[103] having withdrawn his initial candidacy ahead of the previous election in 2021.

Opinion polls
Dates
conducted		 Pollster Client Sample size
Khan Hall Garbett Blackie Cox Jeremy Corbyn Others Lead
Lab Con Green Lib Dem Reform Ind
9–21 Sep 2023 JL Partners The Sun 1,000 40% 36% 6% 6% 9% – 3% 4%
37% 35% 6% 5% 8% 6% 3% 2%
4–6 Sep 2023 Redfield & Wilton The Times 1,100 33% 32% 9% 16% 4% – 6% 1%
25% 30% 6% 15% 5% 15% 3% 5%
30 Jun – 5 Jul 2023 Survation N/A 1,060 43% 31%[lower-alpha 1] 9% 16%[lower-alpha 2] 1% – 1% 12%
10–12 Jun 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,100 41% 33%[lower-alpha 1] 7% 8%[lower-alpha 2] 5% – 5% 8%
32% 28%[lower-alpha 1] 9% 10%[lower-alpha 2] 8% 7% 6% 4%
6 May 2021 2021 mayoral election – 40% 35.3% 7.8% 4.4% - – 12.5% 4.7%

Notes
  1. Generic Conservative Party candidate
  2. Generic Liberal Democrat candidate

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