2014 California gubernatorial election
The 2014 California gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of California, concurrently with elections for the rest of California's executive branch, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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| Turnout | 30.94%[1]  28.65pp | ||||||||||||||||
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Brown: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kashkari: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in California |
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Incumbent Democratic Governor Jerry Brown ran for re-election to a second consecutive and fourth overall term in office. Although governors are limited to lifetime service of two terms in office, Brown previously served as governor from 1975 to 1983, and the law only affects terms served after November 6, 1990.[2][3][4]
A primary election was held on June 3, 2014. Under California's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. Washington is the only other state with this system, a so-called "top two primary" (Louisiana has a similar "jungle primary"). Brown and Republican Neel Kashkari finished first and second, respectively, and contested in the general election,[5] which Brown won. He won the largest gubernatorial victory since 1986, "despite running a virtually nonexistent campaign."[6] This was the first time since 1978 that a Democrat carried Nevada County.
Primary election
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Republican candidate Kashkari campaigns at the San Diego LGBT Pride Parade.
A certified list of candidates was released by the Secretary of State on March 27, 2014. The primary election took place on Tuesday, June 3, 2014, from 7am to 8pm.[7]
Declared
- Akinyemi Agbede, candidate for Mayor of Orange County, Florida in 2010[8]
- Jerry Brown, incumbent Governor of California[9]
Withdrew
- Geby Espinosa, gym owner
- Hanala Sagal, author and fitness personality
- Michael Strimling, attorney
Declined
- Kamala Harris, Attorney General of California (ran for re-election)[10][11]
- Gavin Newsom, Lieutenant Governor of California (ran for re-election)[12]
- Hilda Solis, former United States Secretary of Labor and former U.S. Representative (ran for Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors)[13]
- Antonio Villaraigosa, former Mayor of Los Angeles[10][14]
Declared
- Richard Aguirre, real estate investor and Democratic candidate for governor in 2010[15]
- Glenn Champ, businessman and engineer[15][16]
- Tim Donnelly, state assemblyman and Minuteman founder[17]
- Neel Kashkari, former Acting Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Financial Stability[18]
- Alma Marie Winston[8]
Withdrew
- Andrew Blount, Mayor of Laguna Hills[19][20]
- Dennis Jackson, manufacturer
- Abel Maldonado, former Lieutenant Governor of California, candidate for Controller in 2006, and candidate for CA-24 in 2012[21][22]
Declined
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. Representative and House Majority Whip[10]
- John Moorlach, Orange County Supervisor[23]
- Steve Poizner, former Insurance Commissioner of California and candidate for governor in 2010[24]
- George Radanovich, former U.S. Representative[25]
- Meg Whitman, CEO of Hewlett-Packard, former CEO of eBay and nominee for governor in 2010[26][27]
Declined
- James P. Gray, former Orange County Superior Court Judge and Libertarian Party nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2012[10]
Declared
- Luis J. Rodriguez, author, progressive activist and Justice Party nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2012[28]
American Independent Party
Endorsed Tim Donnelly[29]
Withdrew
- Robert Ornelas, American Independent Party nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2012
Declared
- Cindy Sheehan, anti-war activist and Peace and Freedom Party nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2012[30]
Declared
- Bogdan Ambrozewicz, small business owner, Independent candidate for the State Senate in 2012 and Republican candidate for the State Assembly in 2011[31]
- Janel Buycks, minister/business owner[15][32]
- Rakesh Kumar Christian, small business owner, independent candidate for governor in 2010[8]
- Joe Leicht, golf course operator[15]
- Robert Newman, psychologist, farmer and Republican candidate for governor in 2003, 2006, and 2010[15]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Andrew Blount (R) |
Tim Donnelly (R) |
Neel Kashkari (R) |
Abel Maldonado (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GQR | May 21–28, 2014 | 626 | ± 4.4% | 50% | — | 13% | 18% | — | 5% | 14% |
| SurveyUSA | May 16–19, 2014 | 610 | ± 4% | 57% | — | 18% | 11% | — | 4% | 10% |
| PPIC | May 8–15, 2014 | 901 | ± 4.9% | 48% | — | 15% | 10% | — | 1% | 27% |
| PPIC | April 8–15, 2014 | 944 | ± 5.1% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 2% | — | 2% | 38% |
| Field Poll | March 18–April 5, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.5% | 57% | 3% | 17% | 2% | — | 1% | 20% |
| PPIC | March 11–18, 2014 | 936 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 2% | 10% | 2% | — | 3% | 36% |
| Field Poll Archived December 10, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | November 15–December 3, 2013 | 836 | ± 3.5% | 52% | — | 9% | 3% | 11% | — | 25% |
| PPIC | November 12–19, 2013 | 1,081 | ± 4.5% | 46% | — | 16% | — | 7% | 1% | 29% |
Polling with all candidates listed
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry Brown (incumbent) | – | 45.6 | |
| Republican | Tim Donnelly | – | 18.3 | |
| Republican | Glenn Champ | – | 7.3 | |
| Republican | Andrew Blount | – | 5.4 | |
| Republican | Alma Marie Winston | – | 4.1 | |
| Republican | Neel Kashkari | – | 3.8 | |
| No party preference | Robert Newman | – | 3.1 | |
| Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | – | 2.8 | |
| Green | Luis J. Rodriguez | – | 2.6 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Cindy Sheehan | – | 2.3 | |
| Republican | Richard William Aguirre | – | 1.7 | |
| No party preference | "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz | – | 0.9 | |
| No party preference | Janel Hyeshia Buycks | – | 0.8 | |
| No party preference | Rakesh Kumar Christian | – | 0.7 | |
| No party preference | Joe Leicht | – | 0.6 | |
| Total votes | – | 100 | ||
Results
Results by county:
Donnelly >= 30%
Brown >= 30%
Brown >= 40%
Brown >= 50%
Brown >= 60%
Brown >= 70%
Brown >= 80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry Brown (incumbent) | 2,354,769 | 54.34 | |
| Republican | Neel Kashkari | 839,767 | 19.38 | |
| Republican | Tim Donnelly | 643,236 | 14.85 | |
| Republican | Andrew Blount | 89,749 | 2.07 | |
| Republican | Glenn Champ | 76,066 | 1.76 | |
| Green | Luis J. Rodriguez | 66,872 | 1.54 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Cindy Sheehan | 52,707 | 1.22 | |
| Republican | Alma Marie Winston | 46,042 | 1.06 | |
| No party preference | Robert Newman | 44,120 | 1.02 | |
| Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | 37,024 | 0.85 | |
| Republican | Richard William Aguirre | 35,125 | 0.81 | |
| No party preference | "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz | 14,929 | 0.35 | |
| No party preference | Janel Hyeshia Buycks | 12,136 | 0.28 | |
| No party preference | Rakesh Kumar Christian | 11,142 | 0.26 | |
| No party preference | Joe Leicht | 9,307 | 0.22 | |
| Write-In | Karen Jill Bernal | 17 | <0.01 | |
| Write-In | Nickolas Wildstar | 17 | <0.01 | |
| Write-In | Jimelle L. Walls | 3 | <0.01 | |
| Total votes | 4,333,028 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 14.67 | |||
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 4, 2014 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Solid D | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[36] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[37] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Neel Kashkari (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | October 28–31, 2014 | 705 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 33% | 16% | |
| GQR/American Viewpoint | October 22–29, 2014 | 1,162 | ± 3.3% | 56% | 37% | — | 7% |
| Field Poll | October 15–28, 2014 | 941 | ± 3.4% | 54% | 33% | — | 13% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 7,463 | ± 2% | 55% | 37% | 1% | 8% |
| PPIC | October 12–19, 2014 | 1,704 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 36% | — | 12% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 7,943 | ± 2% | 56% | 36% | 1% | 7% |
| PPIC | September 8–15, 2014 | 916 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 33% | 2% | 11% |
| LA Times/USC | September 2–9, 2014 | 1,089 | ± 3.3% | 57% | 36% | — | 7% |
| GQR/AV | September 2–8, 2014 | 8,941 | ± 2% | 57% | 32% | — | 11% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 8,941 | ± 2% | 53% | 35% | 2% | 10% |
| Field Poll | August 14–28, 2014 | 467 | ± 4.8% | 50% | 34% | — | 16% |
| Gravis Marketing | July 22–24, 2014 | 580 | ± 4% | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 9,393 | ± ? | 57% | 33% | 3% | 7% |
| PPIC | July 8–15, 2014 | 984 | ± 4.7% | 52% | 33% | 4% | 11% |
| Field Poll | June 5–22, 2014 | 2,013 | ± 3.2% | 52% | 32% | 0% | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 4–5, 2014 | 823 | ± 4% | 52% | 33% | 5% | 10% |
| GQR | May 21–28, 2014 | 626 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 35% | 2% | 9% |
| MFour/Tulchin Research | August 27–30, 2013 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 15% | 8% | 33% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Tim Donnelly (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GQR | May 21–28, 2014 | 626 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 32% | 3% | 11% |
| PPIC | January 14–21, 2014 | 1,706 | ± 3.8% | 53% | 17% | — | 30% |
| MFour/Tulchin Research | August 27–30, 2013 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 21% | 7% | 30% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Abel Maldonado (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MFour/Tulchin Research | August 27–30, 2013 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 21% | 9% | 29% |
Results
Brown won easily, by nearly twenty points. He outperformed his majority margin from 2010. As expected, Brown did very well in Los Angeles and in the San Francisco Bay Area. Kashkari conceded defeat right after the polls closed in California.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry Brown (incumbent) | 4,388,368 | 59.97% | +6.20% | |
| Republican | Neel Kashkari | 2,929,213 | 40.03% | −0.86% | |
| Total votes | 7,317,581 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Results by County
| County | Brown | % | Kashkari | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alameda | 293,081 | 82.2 | 63,593 | 17.8 |
| Alpine | 284 | 61.9 | 175 | 38.1 |
| Amador | 5,682 | 44.6 | 7,071 | 55.4 |
| Butte | 29,520 | 47.8 | 32,249 | 52.2 |
| Calaveras | 6,870 | 43.7 | 8,841 | 56.3 |
| Colusa | 1,789 | 42.7 | 2,398 | 57.3 |
| Contra Costa | 174,403 | 68.6 | 79,660 | 31.4 |
| Del Norte | 3,488 | 49.6 | 3,539 | 50.4 |
| El Dorado | 27,916 | 45.5 | 33,443 | 54.5 |
| Fresno | 76,143 | 47.6 | 83,744 | 52.4 |
| Glenn | 2,049 | 34.4 | 3,908 | 65.6 |
| Humboldt | 24,003 | 64.6 | 13,146 | 35.4 |
| Imperial | 13,457 | 64.3 | 7,484 | 35.7 |
| Inyo | 2,317 | 42.7 | 3,112 | 57.3 |
| Kern | 54,269 | 40.9 | 78,417 | 59.1 |
| Kings | 8,752 | 39.2 | 13,575 | 60.8 |
| Lake | 10,722 | 61.3 | 6,775 | 38.7 |
| Lassen | 2,213 | 32.4 | 4,609 | 67.6 |
| Los Angeles | 978,142 | 66.8 | 485,186 | 33.2 |
| Madera | 9,974 | 37.2 | 16,825 | 62.8 |
| Marin | 69,751 | 79.4 | 18,147 | 20.6 |
| Mariposa | 2,499 | 38.2 | 4,038 | 61.8 |
| Mendocino | 17,340 | 71.8 | 6,825 | 28.2 |
| Merced | 18,945 | 50.1 | 18,848 | 49.9 |
| Modoc | 770 | 27.2 | 2,061 | 72.8 |
| Mono | 1,632 | 53.1 | 1,442 | 46.9 |
| Monterey | 51,315 | 69.4 | 22,591 | 30.6 |
| Napa | 25,846 | 68.2 | 12,059 | 31.8 |
| Nevada | 20,976 | 54.6 | 17,419 | 45.4 |
| Orange | 275,707 | 44.4 | 344,817 | 55.6 |
| Placer | 51,241 | 45.4 | 61,604 | 54.6 |
| Plumas | 2,966 | 41.7 | 4,139 | 58.3 |
| Riverside | 165,340 | 47.1 | 185,805 | 52.9 |
| Sacramento | 202,416 | 62.3 | 122,342 | 37.7 |
| San Benito | 8,654 | 63.5 | 4,969 | 36.5 |
| San Bernardino | 134,417 | 46.9 | 152,458 | 53.1 |
| San Diego | 346,419 | 51.1 | 331,942 | 48.9 |
| San Francisco | 196,745 | 88.2 | 26,442 | 11.8 |
| San Joaquin | 62,614 | 53.5 | 54,331 | 46.5 |
| San Luis Obispo | 46,606 | 54.3 | 39,186 | 45.7 |
| San Mateo | 120,280 | 75.2 | 39,615 | 24.8 |
| Santa Barbara | 64,912 | 58.3 | 46,503 | 41.7 |
| Santa Clara | 288,732 | 72.9 | 107,113 | 27.1 |
| Santa Cruz | 56,977 | 78.6 | 15,499 | 21.4 |
| Shasta | 21,509 | 38.1 | 35,007 | 61.9 |
| Sierra | 679 | 44.2 | 857 | 55.8 |
| Siskiyou | 6,103 | 44.2 | 7,717 | 55.8 |
| Solano | 57,874 | 64.6 | 31,754 | 35.4 |
| Sonoma | 107,328 | 74.8 | 36,249 | 25.2 |
| Stanislaus | 46,566 | 51.5 | 43,786 | 48.5 |
| Sutter | 8,688 | 42.7 | 11,644 | 57.3 |
| Tehama | 5,408 | 35.2 | 9,952 | 64.8 |
| Trinity | 1,711 | 44.2 | 2,163 | 55.8 |
| Tulare | 23,708 | 38.4 | 37,996 | 61.6 |
| Tuolumne | 7,951 | 46.7 | 9,058 | 53.3 |
| Ventura | 106,072 | 53.1 | 93,797 | 46.9 |
| Yolo | 31,431 | 69.1 | 14,043 | 30.9 |
| Yuba | 5,166 | 41.6 | 7,245 | 58.4 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Del Norte (largest community: Crescent City)
- Merced (largest community: Merced)
- Mono (largest municipality: Mammoth Lakes)
- Nevada (largest town: Truckee)
- San Luis Obispo (largest town: San Luis Obispo)
- San Diego (largest community: San Diego)
- Stanislaus (largest community: Modesto)
- Ventura (largest city: Ventura)
By congressional district
Brown won 41 of the 53 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.[39]
References
- "Statement of Vote November 4, 2014, General Election" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved December 30, 2014.
- "Summary of Qualifications and Requirements for the Offices of Governor and Lieutenant Governor". California Secretary of State Department. Archived from the original on July 6, 2014. Retrieved May 24, 2014.
- "Campaign Finance: Brown For Governor 2014". California Secretary of State. Retrieved August 6, 2013.
- "Brown Shows Early Lead for 2014 California Gubernatorial Race". IVN. Archived from the original on August 8, 2013. Retrieved August 6, 2013.
- "Governor: Tim Donnelly congratulates Neel Kashkari". IVN. Archived from the original on June 4, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
- "Jerry Brown Coasts To Re-Election With Nonexistent Campaign". Huffington Post. November 5, 2014. Retrieved November 30, 2014.
- "Key Dates and Deadlines: June 3, 2014, Statewide Direct Primary Election". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on February 3, 2014. Retrieved February 1, 2014.
- "Preliminary statewide candidates Form 501 status report" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 11, 2014. Retrieved March 19, 2014.
- "California Gov. Jerry Brown to run for reelection". The Sacramento Bee. February 27, 2014. Archived from the original on March 2, 2014. Retrieved February 27, 2014.
- "Forecast: Who Will Run for California Governor in 2014?". IVN.us. November 3, 2012. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
- Associated Press. Attorney General Harris to announce re-election bid Archived March 4, 2014, at the Wayback Machine. KPCC, Feb. 11, 2014. Retrieved Feb. 28, 2014.
- ABC7 Eyewitness News. Gavin Newsom announces candidacy for re-election for Lieutenant Governor of California. Twitter.com. Mar. 6, 2014.
- "Hilda Solis, Next CA Gov? All Options Open for Outgoing Labor Secretary". Latino.foxnews.com. January 17, 2013. Retrieved February 5, 2013.
- Orlov, Rick (June 21, 2013). "Antonio Villaraigosa reflects on eight years". Los Angeles Daily News. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
- "Certified list of candidates for the June 3, 2014 statewide direct primary election" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved January 15, 2023.
- Mehta, Seema (March 21, 2014). "GOP candidate for governor is a registered sex offender". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
- Siders, David (November 5, 2013). "Republican Tim Donnelly announces bid for California governor". Sacramento Bee. Archived from the original on February 28, 2014. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
- Mehta, Seema (January 21, 2014). "Neel Kashkari, ex-Treasury official, running for California Governor". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
- Seema Mehta (February 26, 2014). "Laguna Hills mayor enters governor's race". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
- Seema Mehta (April 29, 2014). "John and Ken to host debate for GOP governor candidates". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
- "Former Lt. Governor Abel Maldonado confirms he'll run for governor". Retrieved August 22, 2013.
- Mehta, Seema (January 16, 2014). "Abel Maldonado ends California gubernatorial bid: 'Now is not my time'". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved January 16, 2014.
- Galvin, Andrew (June 10, 2013). "Supervisor Moorlach won't run for governor". The Orange County Register. Retrieved June 14, 2013.
- "Steve Poizner: "I would have been a much, much stronger candidate than Meg Whitman against Jerry Brown"". Blog.sfgate.com. Retrieved September 27, 2013.
- "George Radanovich to announce he won't run for governor". ABC30. March 6, 2014. Archived from the original on March 11, 2014. Retrieved March 11, 2014.
- "HP Hires Former eBay Head Meg Whitman As CEO". NPR. September 23, 2011. Retrieved September 27, 2013.
- Worthen, Ben (September 23, 2011). "H-P Names Whitman CEO, Lane Executive Chair - WSJ.com". Online.wsj.com. Retrieved September 27, 2013.
- "Green Party Announce California Governor Candidate | DC". Democracychronicles.com. August 17, 2013. Archived from the original on December 12, 2013. Retrieved September 21, 2013.
- "Voter Information Guide and Sample Ballot - Statewide Primary Election Tuesday, June 3, 2014" (PDF). San Bernardino County Elections Office. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 27, 2015.
- Siders, David. "Capitol Alert: Activist Cindy Sheehan plans run for California governor in 2014". Blogs.sacbee.com. Archived from the original on August 22, 2013. Retrieved September 21, 2013.
- Ratajczak, Jim (March 3, 2011). "Candidate Ambrozewicz born to run". Mountain Democrat. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
- Norwood, Juliana (August 1, 2013). "Christian conglomerate strives to employ a struggling community". Our Weekly. Retrieved March 10, 2014.
- "Statement of Vote June 3, 2014, Statewide Direct Primary Election" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 4, 2014. Retrieved September 25, 2014.
- "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "Complete Statement of vote" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved October 10, 2018.
- "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links
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