2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election
The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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| Elections in Hawaii |
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Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. In Hawaii, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor run in separate primaries and are then elected on the same ticket. Incumbent Democratic governor Neil Abercrombie ran for re-election to a second term in office, but was defeated by State Senator David Ige in the Democratic primary, making Abercrombie the first incumbent governor to lose renomination in Hawaii history. Incumbent Democratic lieutenant governor Shan Tsutsui was renominated.
The Republicans nominated former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona and pastor and former circuit court judge Elwin Ahu. Also running as an independent was former mayor of Honolulu Mufi Hannemann and former Honolulu parks and recreation director Les Chang. Ige and Tsutsui won the election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Declared
- Neil Abercrombie, incumbent governor[1]
- David Ige, state senator[2]
- Van K. Tanabe, candidate for governor in 2010[3]
- Declined
Endorsements
Neil Abercrombie
- Individuals
- Organizations
David Ige
- Individuals
- George Ariyoshi, former Governor[7]
- Ben Cayetano, former Governor[7]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, July 4, 2014 - YouTube
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Neil Abercrombie |
David Ige |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ward Research | July 21–29, 2014 | 458 | ± 4.6% | 36% | 54% | — | 11% |
| Civil Beat | July 24–28, 2014 | 895 | ± 3.3% | 41% | 51% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 23–24, 2014 | 410 | ± ? | 39% | 49% | — | 12% |
| Civil Beat | June 7–9, 2014 | 729 | ± 3.6% | 37% | 48% | — | 15% |
| SMS Research* | March 24–April 25, 2014 | 1,402 | ± 2.6% | 42% | 28% | — | 30% |
| Civil Beat | February 12–15, 2014 | 643 | ± 3.9% | 37% | 37% | — | 26% |
| Ward Research | January 29–February 3, 2014 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 47% | 38% | — | 14% |
- * Internal poll for Neil Abercrombie campaign
Results
Results by county:
Map legend
- Ige—70–80%
- Ige—60–70%
- Ige—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Ige | 157,050 | 66.01 | |
| Democratic | Neil Abercrombie (incumbent) | 73,507 | 30.09 | |
| Democratic | Van Tanabe | 2,622 | 1.01 | |
| Democratic | Blank vote | 4,614 | 1.94 | |
| Democratic | Over vote | 124 | 0.05 | |
| Total votes | 237,917 | 100.00 | ||
Lieutenant governor
Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor in 2010 with 37% of the vote and was elected alongside Abercrombie. After the death of U.S. Senator Daniel Inouye in December 2012, Abercrombie appointed Schatz to succeed him in the Senate. Schatz resigned as lieutenant governor and was succeeded by Shan Tsutsui, the president of the Hawaii Senate.[9]
Candidates
- Declared
- Clayton Hee, state senator, candidate for lieutenant governor in 2002 and candidate for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district in 2006[10]
- Shan Tsutsui, incumbent lieutenant governor[11]
Results
Results by county:
Map legend
- Tsutsui—70–80%
- Tsutsui—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Shan Tsutsui (incumbent) | 120,779 | 50.77 | |
| Democratic | Clayton Hee | 81,255 | 34.15 | |
| Democratic | Mary Zanakis | 18,174 | 7.64 | |
| Democratic | Miles Shiratori | 2,593 | 1.09 | |
| Democratic | Sam Puletasi | 2,126 | 0.89 | |
| Democratic | Blank vote | 12,850 | 5.04 | |
| Democratic | Over vote | 139 | 0.06 | |
| Total votes | 237,916 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Declared
- Duke Aiona, former lieutenant governor and nominee for governor in 2010[12]
- Declined
- Charles Djou, former U.S. Representative (running for HI-01)[13]
- Mufi Hannemann, Democratic former mayor of Honolulu, candidate for governor in 2010 and candidate for HI-02 in 2012 (running as an Independent)[14]
Endorsements
Duke Aiona
Results
Results by county:
Map legend
- Aiona—>90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Duke Aiona | 41,832 | 94.77 | |
| Republican | Stuart Todd Gregory | 640 | 1.45 | |
| Republican | Charles (Trump) Collins | 580 | 1.31 | |
| Republican | Blank vote | 1,054 | 2.39 | |
| Republican | Over vote | 36 | 0.08 | |
| Total votes | 44,142 | 100.00 | ||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Elwin Ahu | 27,678 | 62.07 | |
| Republican | Warner "Kimo" Sutton | 11,511 | 26.08 | |
| Republican | Blank vote | 4,921 | 11.15 | |
| Republican | Over vote | 32 | 0.07 | |
| Total votes | 44,142 | 100.00 | ||
Libertarian nomination
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Jeff Davis | 587 | 82.56 | |
| Libertarian | Blank vote | 124 | 17.44 | |
| Total votes | 711 | 100.00 | ||
Candidates
- Declared
- Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin | 555 | 78.06 | |
| Libertarian | Blank vote | 156 | 21.94 | |
| Total votes | 711 | 100.00 | ||
Hawaii Independent primary
Candidates
- Declared
- Mufi Hannemann, Democratic former mayor of Honolulu, candidate for governor in 2010 and candidate for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district in 2012[20]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Mufi Hannemann | 2,103 | 88.62 | |
| Independent | Blank vote | 269 | 11.34 | |
| Independent | Over vote | 1 | 0.04 | |
| Total votes | 2,373 | 100.00 | ||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Les Chang | 1,370 | 57.73 | |
| Independent | Blank vote | 1,002 | 42.23 | |
| Independent | Over vote | 1 | 0.04 | |
| Total votes | 2,373 | 100.00 | ||
No Party primary
Hawaii has strict criteria for independent candidates seeking to participate in the general election.[21] Three of the four candidates were disqualified for not having a running mate. The other candidate also had no running mate, but had already withdrawn from the race. They all still appeared on the ballot, alongside a notice about their status.[22]
Withdrew
- Joe Spatola[22]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Misty Davis | 201 | 18.03 | |
| Independent | Richard Morse | 98 | 8.79 | |
| Independent | Khis Dejean Caldwell | 85 | 7.62 | |
| Independent | Joe Spatola | 40 | 3.59 | |
| Independent | Blank vote | 687 | 61.61 | |
| Independent | Over vote | 4 | 0.36 | |
| Total votes | 1,115 | 100.00 | ||
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 26, 2014 - YouTube
- Complete video of debate, October 9, 2014 - YouTube
- Complete video of debate, October 15, 2014 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Lean D | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[25] | Lean D | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[26] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Ige (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Mufi Hannemann (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,002 | ± 6% | 54% | 22% | 5% | 0% | 19% |
| Civil Beat | October 16–19, 2014 | 1,221 | ± 2.8% | 40% | 34% | 11% | 6%[27] | 8% |
| 27% | 26% | — | — | 47% | ||||
| Tarrance Group/RGA | October 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 39% | 36% | 12% | 3%[27] | 11% |
| Ward Research | October 11–18, 2014 | 605 | ± 4% | 47% | 35% | 12% | 1%[27] | 6% |
| Global Strategy Group | October 3–8, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 33% | 10% | 2% | 10% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,319 | ± 4% | 41% | 35% | 6% | 0% | 18% |
| Civil Beat | September 11–14, 2014 | 1,055 | ± 3% | 43% | 39% | 8% | 2%[27] | 8% |
| 48% | 45% | — | — | 7% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | September 9–10, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 40% | 39% | 14% | 2% | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 655 | ± 6% | 37% | 35% | 6% | 2% | 20% |
| Ward Research | July 21–29, 2014 | 612 | ± 4% | 34% | 41% | 15% | — | 10% |
| Civil Beat | June 7–9, 2014 | 1,078 | ± 3% | 31% | 31% | 17% | — | 21% |
| Ward Research | January 29 – February 3, 2014 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 34% | 51% | — | — | 15% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Neil Abercrombie (D) |
Duke Aiona (R) |
Mufi Hannemann (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ward Research | July 21–29, 2014 | 612 | ± 4% | 30% | 45% | 14% | — | 11% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,083 | ± 3% | 37% | 40% | — | 14% | 7% |
| Civil Beat | June 7–9, 2014 | 1,078 | ± 3% | 27% | 33% | 18% | — | 22% |
| Ward Research | January 29 – February 3, 2014 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 40% | 48% | — | — | 12% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Ige | 181,106 | 49.45% | -9.16% | |
| Republican | Duke Aiona | 135,775 | 37.08% | -4.31% | |
| Independent | Mufi Hannemann | 42,934 | 11.72% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Jeff Davis | 6,395 | 1.75% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 366,210 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
References
- "Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie says he will seek second term". April 29, 2013. Retrieved May 2, 2013.
- "Hawaii Gov. Abercrombie gets a primary challenger". The Washington Post. July 9, 2013. Retrieved July 10, 2013.
- "Candidate Q&A — Governor of Hawaii: Van Tanabe". Civil Beat. July 9, 2014. Retrieved August 1, 2014.
- "Case To Join Outrigger, Says Political Career Likely Over". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 12, 2013. Archived from the original on August 20, 2013. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
- "President endorses Abercrombie for re-election". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. December 20, 2013. Retrieved January 18, 2014.
- "IBEW backs Governor Abercrombie for Re-Election". Hawaii News Now. June 7, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- Kerr, Keoki (November 18, 2013). "Cayetano drops support for Abercrombie, backs Ige". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- "Primary Election 2014 -State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
- Tran, Cam (December 27, 2012). "Tsutsui's promotion causes ripple effect: Senate to vote on new president on opening day". KITV. Archived from the original on January 27, 2013.
- "Hee Candidacy Shakes Up Gov and Lt. Gov Races, and Hawaii Senate". Honolulu Civil Beat. May 11, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
- "Lt. Governor Shan Tsutsui Will Run in 2014". Hawaii Reporter. May 31, 2013. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
- "Republican Duke Aiona officially enters Hawaii race for governor; race has echoes of 2010". The Republic. May 19, 2014. Archived from the original on May 21, 2014. Retrieved May 20, 2014.
- Ian Scheuring (March 21, 2014). "State GOP chair confirms Djou congressional run". Hawaii News Now.
- Derrick DePledge (January 17, 2014). "'In discussions ...'". Governing. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- "Boxer Manny Pacquiao endorses Duke Aiona for governor". KITV4. October 14, 2014. Archived from the original on December 9, 2014. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
- "Pastor to seek Republican nomination for lieutenant gov". Honolulu Star Advertiser. February 27, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
- DePledge, Derrick (June 3, 2014). "Hannemann picks ex-parks chief as gubernatorial running mate". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved June 30, 2014.
- "Pastor seeks GOP nomination for lieutenant governor". Find Law. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
- "Jeff 'The Solar Guy' Davis Running for Hawaii Governor". January 9, 2014. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved February 8, 2014.
- "Mufi Hannemann announces candidacy for Hawaii governor's race". Hawaii News Now. April 25, 2014. Retrieved April 25, 2014.
- "No Independent Candidate Polls Enough Votes in Hawaii Primary to Advance to General Election Ballot". Ballot Access News. August 10, 2014. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
- "Nonpartisans in Hawaii governor race disqualified". West Hawaii Today. June 25, 2014. Archived from the original on October 28, 2014. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
- "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- Jeff Davis (L)
- "2014 General election results" (PDF).
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Neil Abercrombie
- Duke Aiona
- "Jeff Davis". Archived from the original on February 27, 2014.
- Mufi Hannemann
- David Ige
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