2014 Texas gubernatorial election
The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Perry, who had served since the resignation of then-Governor George W. Bush on December 21, 2000, declined to run for an unprecedented fourth full term, making this the first open election for governor of the state since 1990.
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| Turnout | 33.7% (of registered voters) 25.0% (of voting age population)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
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Davis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Texas |
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 Government |
The election took place between nominees who were selected on March 4, 2014: Republican State Attorney General Greg Abbott and Democratic State Senator Wendy Davis. Also on the ballot were Libertarian Party candidate Kathie Glass[2] and Green Party candidate Brandon Parmer.[3] Abbott was projected to carry the election, and ultimately won handily with a 20.4 percentage point advantage.[4] Exit polls showed Abbott winning Whites (72% to 25%), while Davis received majorities among African Americans (92% to 7%) and Hispanics (55% to 44%). Abbott won roughly half of Hispanic men, 54% of all women, and 62% of married women.[5]
Abbott took office on January 20, 2015, as the 48th Governor of Texas.
Republican primary
Declared
- Greg Abbott, Attorney General of Texas[6]
- Lisa Fritsch, author and radio show host[7]
- Larry Kilgore, perennial candidate[8]
- Miriam Martinez, former Univision personality[9]
Withdrew
- Tom Pauken, former Texas Workforce Commissioner and former chairman of the Republican Party of Texas[10]
Declined
- David Dewhurst, Lieutenant Governor of Texas (ran for re-election and lost the party primary runoff)[11][12]
- Debra Medina, activist and candidate for Governor of Texas in 2010 (running for Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts)[13][14]
- Rick Perry, incumbent Governor of Texas
Endorsements
Greg Abbott
- Texas Municipal Police Association[15]
- Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and 2008 Republican vice presidential candidate[16]
Tom Pauken
- Citizens for the Republic[17]
- Mark Levin, talk radio host, lawyer, and author[18]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott |
Lisa Fritsch |
Larry Kilgore |
Miriam Martinez |
Tom Pauken |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 461 | ± 4.56% | 90% | 4% | 1% | 5% | — | — | — |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 519 | ± 5.02% | 50% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | — | 42% |
| Texas Lyceum | September 6–20, 2013 | 279 | ± 5.87% | 22% | — | 2% | 1% | 0% | — | 74% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry |
Greg Abbott |
Someone else | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 318 | ± ?% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
| 44% | — | 39% | 17% | ||||
| UoT/Texas Tribune | May 31–June 9, 2013 | 492 | ± 5.27% | 45% | 19% | 11% | 25% |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | February 15–24, 2013 | 549 | ± 4.18% | 49% | 17% | — | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | — | 41% | 13% |
| 41% | 38% | — | 20% | ||||
| Burnt Orange Report | May 15–16, 2012 | 462 | ± 4.6% | 42% | 35% | 7% | 16% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Abbott | 1,224,014 | 91.48 | |
| Republican | Lisa Fritsch | 59,221 | 4.42 | |
| Republican | Miriam Martinez | 35,585 | 2.65 | |
| Republican | Larry Kilgore | 19,055 | 1.42 | |
| Total votes | 1,337,875 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
Declared
- Wendy Davis, state senator[20][21]
- Ray Madrigal, perennial candidate[22]
Declined
- Julian Castro, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former mayor of San Antonio[23]
- Kinky Friedman, singer, songwriter, novelist, humorist and independent candidate for governor in 2006 (candidate in May 27 runoff for Texas Commissioner of Agriculture)[24][25]
- Annise Parker, Mayor of Houston[26]
- Mike Villarreal, state representative[27]
- Kirk Watson, state senator and former mayor of Austin[28]
- Bill White, former Mayor of Houston and nominee for governor in 2010[29]
Endorsements
Wendy Davis
- Julian Castro, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former Mayor of San Antonio[30]
- Howard Dean, former Chair of the Democratic National Committee, former Governor of Vermont, candidate for President in 2004[31]
- Democracy for America[31]
- EMILY's List[31]
- Human Rights Campaign[32]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Wendy Davis |
Ray Madrigal |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 263 | ± 6.04% | 87% | 13% | — | — |
Results
Results by county:
Davis—>90%
Davis—80–90%
Davis—70–80%
Davis—60–70%
Davis—50–60%
Tie
Madrigal—50–60%
Madrigal—60–70%
No vote
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Wendy Davis | 432,595 | 78.08 | |
| Democratic | Ray Madrigal | 121,419 | 21.91 | |
| Total votes | 554,014 | 100 | ||
Libertarian nomination
Declared
Withdrew
- Gene Chapman, candidate for President of the United States in 2008[38][39]
- R. Lee Wrights, Vice Chair of the Libertarian National Committee and candidate for President of the United States in 2012[40][41]
Results
Kathie Glass was nominated at the 2014 party convention.[2]
Green nomination
Declared
- Brandon Parmer, candidate for Texas's 6th congressional district in 2012[42]
Independents
Declared
- Sarah M. Pavitt, an Army veteran and cousin of former SOCOM commander William H. McRaven, ran as a write-in candidate.[43]
Declined
- Debra Medina, activist and Republican candidate for governor in 2010 (ran unsuccessfully for Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts)[44]
General election
Debates
The first of two confirmed gubernatorial debates between Wendy Davis and Greg Abbott took place at the Edinburg Conference Center at Renaissance at 18:00 on Friday, September 19, co-hosted by KGBT-TV, The Monitor and KTLM-TV.[45] KGBT-TV posted the complete video online and can be viewed here.[46] The debate took place in Edinburg, Texas, and it gave both candidates an opportunity to appeal to the Hispanic community, a grouping seen by Reuters as an "increasingly important voting bloc in Texas."[47] The second debate took place on September 30 and was also posted online.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[48] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[50] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[51] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 3,987 | ± 3% | 57% | 37% | 0% | 6% |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | October 10–19, 2014 | 866 | ± 3.6% | 54% | 38% | 8%[52] | — |
| Survey Research Center | September 22–October 16, 2014 | 781 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 32% | 2%[53] | 17% |
| Crosswind Communications | October 9–12, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.33% | 52% | 31% | 0% | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 1–2, 2014 | 840 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | 3% | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 4,177 | ± 2% | 54% | 40% | 0% | 5% |
| Texas Lyceum | September 11–25, 2014 | 666 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 40% | 4%[54] | 8% |
| Benenson* | September 2–4, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 38% | — | 16% |
| WPA Opinion Research^ | September 3, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 53% | 35% | — | 12% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 4,189 | ± 2% | 56% | 38% | 2% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 4–5, 2014 | 850 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 3% | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 4,320 | ± 3.7% | 54% | 37% | 1% | 9% |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | May 30–June 8, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 44% | 32% | 7%[55] | 17% |
| Texas Tech University | April 14–17, 2014 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 25% | 6% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 10–13, 2014 | 559 | ± 4.1% | 51% | 37% | — | 13% |
| Emerson College Archived March 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | March 7–12, 2014 | 494 | ± ? | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 3–4, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 41% | 1% | 4% |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 47% | 36% | — | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–4, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 35% | — | 15% |
| 47% | 37% | 9% | 8% | ||||
| UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 1,200 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 34% | — | 25% |
| 40% | 35% | 5%[56] | 20% | ||||
| Texas Lyceum | September 6–20, 2013 | 798 | ± 3.47% | 29% | 21% | — | 50% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
Hypothetical polling
- With Castro
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Julian Castro (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | — | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 36% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Julian Castro (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
- With Davis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Pauken (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 1,200 | ± 3.3% | 34% | 38% | — | 28% |
| 33% | 36% | 6% | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 39% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 41% | — | 13% |
- With Parker
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Annise Parker (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 31% | — | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Annise Parker (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
- With White
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Bill White (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 36% | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Bill White (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 47% | — | 9% |
- * Poll for the Wendy Davis campaign
- ^ Poll for the Greg Abbott campaign
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Abbott | 2,796,547 | 59.27% | +4.30% | |
| Democratic | Wendy Davis | 1,835,596 | 38.90% | -3.40% | |
| Libertarian | Kathie Glass | 66,543 | 1.41% | -0.78% | |
| Green | Brandon Parmer | 18,520 | 0.39% | 0.00% | |
| Independent | Sarah M. Pavitt (write-in) | 1,062 | 0.02% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 4,718,268 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Bexar (largest city: San Antonio)
- Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
- Harris (largest community: Houston)
- Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
- Reeves (largest municipality: Pecos)
- Foard (Largest city: Crowell)
- Trinity (Largest city: Trinity)
- Falls (Largest city: Marlin)
- La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
See also
References
- "Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current)". www.sos.state.tx.us. Retrieved April 3, 2019.
- "2014 Statewide Offices List". Libertarian Party of Texas. Archived from the original on July 26, 2014. Retrieved July 15, 2014.
- "Green Party of Texas - Peace * Justice * Democracy * Ecology". Retrieved October 11, 2014.
- "Up and down the ballot, a night of dominance for GOP in Texas and in Harris County". Houston Chronicle. November 5, 2014. Retrieved November 15, 2014.
- "2014 Exit Polls - Politics - Fox News". Fox News. Retrieved November 15, 2014.
- Hoppe, Christy (July 14, 2013). "Greg Abbott makes it official: He's running for governor of Texas". Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved July 15, 2013.
- Rauf, David (October 8, 2013). "Another Republican jumps into the race for Texas governor". San Antonio Express-News. Archived from the original on October 12, 2013. Retrieved October 9, 2013.
- Fernandez, Manny (November 23, 2012). "With Stickers, a Petition and Even a Middle Name, Secession Fever Hits Texas". The New York Times. Retrieved February 20, 2013.
- "Miriam Martinez says she'll run for governor". The Monitor. Retrieved January 22, 2013.
- "Tom Pauken withdraws from GOP governor's race". The Dallas Morning News. December 5, 2013. Archived from the original on December 8, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
- Stutz, Terrence. "David Dewhurst '101 percent' sure he'll seek re-election as Texas lieutenant governor | Dallasnews.com - News for Dallas, Texas - The Dallas Morning News". Dallasnews.com. Archived from the original on April 3, 2015. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
- "Dewhurst affirms re-election campaign". KTRK-TV Houston. Associated Press. August 7, 2013. Archived from the original on September 11, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
- "Debra Medina - Looking forward to a weekend of..." Facebook. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
- "Medina may run for Texas office again in 2014 - PoliTex". Blogs.star-telegram.com. February 20, 2012. Archived from the original on May 11, 2013. Retrieved June 24, 2013.
- "Texas Municipal Police Association Endorses Greg Abbott". Abbott for Governor. July 29, 2013. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
- Mccalmont, Lucy (February 19, 2014). "Palin backs Abbott in Texas". POLITICO. Retrieved April 3, 2019.
- "TOM PAUKEN FOR GOVERNOR OF TEXAS". Citizens for the Republic. July 19, 2013. Archived from the original on February 1, 2014. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
- "I want to thank my good friend and fellow Reaganite Mark Levin". Facebook. September 21, 2013. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
- http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist169_state.htm 2014 Republican Party Primary Election
- "Wendy Davis tells Democrats she's in". Politico. September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 26, 2013.
- "Wendy Davis, of filibuster fame, to run for Texas governor". Reuters. September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 27, 2013.
- "2014 campaign now off and running in Texas". Star-Telegram. November 9, 2013. Archived from the original on November 10, 2013. Retrieved November 15, 2013.
- Cooper, Gary (January 17, 2013). "Mayor Julian Castro says he's not running for governor in 2014". KENS 5. Retrieved January 18, 2013.
- "First Reading". www.statesman.com. Retrieved April 24, 2013.
- Kennedy, Bud (June 29, 2013). "To Kinky Friedman, a Wendy-for-governor campaign is no joke | Bud Kennedy | Fort Worth, Arlin". Star-telegram.com. Archived from the original on October 6, 2013. Retrieved October 5, 2013.
- "Twitter / anniseparker: LOL. I appreciate the". Twitter.com. Retrieved July 18, 2013.
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- "2014 Texas Governor's Race: Democratic Primary Preview". Burnt Orange Report. February 18, 2013. Retrieved June 26, 2013.
- "Bill White says Texas lagging in skilled jobs - Houston Chronicle". Chron.com. February 28, 2013. Retrieved June 20, 2013.
- Gonzalez, John W. (October 7, 2013). "Mayor Castro endorses Wendy Davis for governor". San Antonio Express-News. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
- Joseph, Cameron (October 4, 2013). "EMILY's List endorses Wendy Davis". The Hill. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
- "HRC Endorses Wendy Davis for Texas Governor". Human Rights Campaign. January 29, 2014. Archived from the original on February 3, 2014. Retrieved January 31, 2014.
- http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist170_state.htm 2014 Democratic Party Primary Election
- "Interview with Texas Libertarian Party Gubernatorial Hopeful Robert Bell". Independent Political Report. January 27, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2014.
- "Retired Army sergeant running for governor". Killeen Daily Herald. January 5, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2014.
- "Libertarian Kathie Glass Announces Bid for Governor". The Texas Tribune. June 26, 2013. Retrieved October 5, 2013.
- "2014 Texas Statewide Candidates". Burnt Orange Report. Retrieved October 5, 2013.
- "Chapman for Governor". The Dalhart Texan. July 15, 2013. Archived from the original on October 16, 2013. Retrieved July 15, 2013.
- "Chapman Withdraws from Texas Gubernatorial Race" – Very Good Citizenship Today, personal blog of Gene Chapman. Published 8 January 2014. Retrieved 12 January 2014.
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- Ziggler, Jed (January 20, 2014). "Lee Wrights Drops Out of Texas Gubernatorial Race". Independent Political Report. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
- "Texas Greens Occupy Ballot In 2014". Green Party. December 10, 2013. Archived from the original on February 1, 2014. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
- Jeff Winkler (October 31, 2014). "If Three's a Crowd..." Texas Monthly. Retrieved November 3, 2014.
- Peggy Fikac (October 28, 2013). "Medina not about to run for governor". Express News. Retrieved November 5, 2013.(registration required)
- Abbott, Davis to debate in the Rio Grande Valley, staff, Action 4 News, September 19, 2014
- Texas Governor Debate, KGBT-TV, September 19, 2014
- Richter, Marie (September 20, 2014). "Texas gubernatorial candidates court Hispanic vote in debate". Reuters. Retrieved September 21, 2014.
- "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- Kathie Glass (L) 6%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
- Kathie Glass (L) 1%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%
- Kathie Glass (L) 2%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
- Kathie Glass (L) 3%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%, Other 3%
- Kathie Glass (L)
- "Office of the Secretary of State Race Summary Report 2014 General Election". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved August 3, 2015.
External links
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