2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election
The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. This marked the third time Aiona had been the Republican gubernatorial nominee, having previously run unsuccessfully in 2010 and 2014. Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote with Aiona receiving 36.8% of the vote.[1][2]
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| Turnout | 48.4%  | |||||||||||||||||||
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  Green: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Aiona: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Hawaii |
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Green's performance was the highest percentage of the vote ever received by any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history, surpassing the record from the previous election. Despite this, Aiona performed 3 points better and received 20,000 more raw votes than Andria Tupola did in 2018, likely because there were no third-party candidates in the 2022 race. Green was the first Hawaii governor born after Hawaii's statehood.
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Josh Green, lieutenant governor of Hawaii (2018–present) and former state senator (2008–2018)[3][4]
Eliminated in primary
- David Bourgoin, candidate for mayor of Honolulu in 2020[5]
- Vicky Cayetano, former First Lady of Hawaii (1997–2002) and wife to former governor Ben Cayetano[6][7][8]
- Kai Kahele, U.S. representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2021–2023)[9][10]
- Richard Kim, dentist, musician, and candidate for governor in 2018[5]
- Clyde Lewman, realtor[5]
- Van Tanabe, perennial candidate[5]
Withdrew
- Kirk Caldwell, former mayor of Honolulu (2013–2021) and former state representative (2002–2008)[11][12]
Declined
- Donovan Dela Cruz, state senator (2011–present)[3][4]
- Colleen Hanabusa, former U.S. representative for Hawaii's 1st congressional district (2011–2015, 2016–2019), candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014, candidate for governor in 2018, and candidate for mayor of Honolulu in 2020[13]
- Sharon Har, state representative (2007–present)[14]
Endorsements
Kirk Caldwell (withdrew)
- Individual
Vicky Cayetano
- Organizations
- Patsy T. Mink Foundation[16]
Josh Green
- Labor unions
- Hawaii Fire Fighters Association[16]
- Hawaii Government Employees Association (HGEA), AFSCME Local 152, AFL–CIO[17][18][16]
- Hawaii Lodging and Tourism Association[16]
- Hawaii Regional Council of Carpenters[16]
- Hawaii State AFL-CIO[16]
- Hawaii State Teachers Association (HSTA)[17][18][16]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 1186, 1260 and 1357[16]
- International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 142[16]
- Maui Lodging and Tourism Association[16]
- Operating Engineers Local 3[16]
- Plumbers & Fitters UA Local 675[16]
- Unite Here Local 5 hotel workers union[16]
- University of Hawaii Professional Assembly (UHPA)[16]
- Publications
- Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [19]
Kai Kahele
Polling
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kirk Caldwell |
Vicky Cayetano |
Josh Green |
Kai Kahele |
Undecided | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | July 12–17, 2022 | 317 (LV) | ± 5.6% | – | 19% | 55% | 16% | 10% | ||||||||
| MRG Research | June 28–30, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 15% | 48% | 16% | 22% | ||||||||
| Caldwell withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] | February 8–9, 2022 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 5% | 10% | 46% | 14% | 25% | ||||||||
| – | 10% | 48% | 17% | 25% | ||||||||||||
| Mason-Dixon | January 24–28, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 11% | 8% | 58% | – | 23% | ||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] | November 5–6, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 7% | 14% | 51% | – | 28% | ||||||||
| – | 21% | 58% | – | – | ||||||||||||
Results
Results by county:
Green—60–70%
Green—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Green | 158,161 | 62.91% | |
| Democratic | Vicky Cayetano | 52,447 | 20.86% | |
| Democratic | Kai Kahele | 37,738 | 15.01% | |
| Democratic | Van Tanabe | 1,236 | 0.49% | |
| Democratic | Richard Kim | 991 | 0.39% | |
| Democratic | David Bourgoin | 590 | 0.23% | |
| Democratic | Clyde Lewman | 249 | 0.10% | |
| Total votes | 251,412 | 100.0% | ||
Nominee
- Sylvia Luke, state representative (1999–present) and House Finance Committee chair (2013–present)[22][23]
Eliminated in primary
- Keith Amemiya, business executive and candidate for mayor of Honolulu in 2020[24]
- Ikaika Anderson, former member (2009–2020) and chair (2019–2020) of the Honolulu City Council[25]
- Daniel H. Cunningham, independent candidate for governor in 2002 and 2010[5]
- Sherry Menor-McNamara, president and CEO of Chamber of Commerce Hawaii (2013–present)[26]
- Sam Puletasi, candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014 and for Hawaii's 1st congressional district in 2016 and 2018[5]
Withdrew
- Jill Tokuda, former state senator (2006–2018) and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2018[27] (successfully ran for U.S. House)[28][29]
Declined
- Sergio Alcubilla, attorney and former director of external relations, Legal Aid Society of Hawaii (running for Hawaii's 1st congressional district)[30]
- Donovan Dela Cruz, state senator[31]
- Joey Manahan, Honolulu City Councilmember (2013–2021) and former state representative (2007–2013)[32][33]
- Kym Pine, former state representative, former Honolulu City Councilmember, and candidate for Mayor of Honolulu in 2020[31]
- Scott Saiki, Speaker of the Hawaii House of Representatives[31]
Endorsements
Keith Amemiya
- Labor unions
Ikaika Anderson
- Individuals
- Neil Abercrombie, former governor of Hawaii[34]
- Bernard Carvalho, former mayor of Kauai County[17]
- Ann Kobayashi, former Honolulu city councilmember and chair[34]
- Tommy Waters, Honolulu city councilmember and chair[34]
- Kumu Hinaleimoana Wong-Kalu, Native Hawaiian scholar and advocate[34]
- Labor unions
- Hawai‘i Regional Council of Carpenters (HRCC)[35]
- Masons Union No. 1[35]
- State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers (SHOPO)[36]
Sherry Menor-McNamara
- Organizations
- Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Hawaii[35]
Sylvia Luke
- Labor unions
- Hawaii Government Employees Association (HGEA), AFSCME Local 152, AFL–CIO[17][18][37][35]
- Hawaii State Teachers Association (HSTA)[17][18]
- IBEW Local 1186[35]
- ILWU Local 142[35]
- Plasterers & Cement Masons, Local 630[17][35]
- Plumbers & Fitters UA, Local 675[17][35]
- United Public Workers, AFSCME, Local 646, AFL-CIO[35]
- University of Hawaii Professional Assembly (UHPA)[17][35]
- Organizations and professional associations
- Americans for Democratic Action[35]
- General Contractors Association of Hawai‘i[35]
- Patsy T. Mink PAC[35]
- Publications
- Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[38]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Keith Amemiya |
Ikaika Anderson |
Sylvia Luke |
Sherry Menor-McNamara |
Jill Tokuda |
Undecided | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | July 12–17, 2022 | 317 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 19% | 18% | 21% | 4% | – | 38% | |||||||
| MRG Research | June 28–30, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 7% | – | 48% | |||||||
| Tokuda withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Mason-Dixon | January 24–28, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 60% | |||||||
Results
Results by county:
Luke—<40%
Anderson—<40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sylvia Luke | 87,797 | 36.23% | |
| Democratic | Ikaika Anderson | 67,462 | 27.84% | |
| Democratic | Keith Amemiya | 57,199 | 23.60% | |
| Democratic | Sherry Menor-McNamara | 25,349 | 10.46% | |
| Democratic | Sam Puletasi | 2,328 | 0.96% | |
| Democratic | Daniel Cunningham | 2,215 | 0.91% | |
| Total votes | 242,350 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Nominee
- Duke Aiona, former Lieutenant Governor (2002–2010) and nominee for governor in 2010 and 2014[39][40]
Eliminated in primary
- Gary Cordery, businessman[41]
- George Hawat[5]
- Keline-Kameyo Kahau, Aloha ʻĀina candidate for Hawaii House of Representatives in 2020 (also filed for Aloha ʻĀina primary)[5]
- Lynn Barry Mariano, retired Army Officer and Civil Servant[42]
- Paul Morgan, business consultant and former member of the Hawaii Army National Guard[43][44]
- Moses Paskowitz, realtor[5]
- B.J. Penn, mixed martial arts and Brazilian jiu-jitsu practitioner and former UFC Champion[45]
- Heidi Tsuneyoshi, Honolulu City Councilmember[46]
- Walter Woods[5]
Declined
- Peter Savio, businessperson and real estate developer[47]
- Andria Tupola, Honolulu City Councilmember (2021–present), former Minority Leader of the Hawaii House of Representatives (2017–2018), and nominee for governor in 2018[48]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Duke Aiona |
Gary Cordery |
Lynn Barry Mariano |
Paul Morgan |
B.J. Penn |
Heidi Haunani Tsuneyoshi |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | July 12–17, 2022 | 133 (LV) | ± 8.7% | 48% | – | – | – | 26% | 9% | 17% |
| MRG Research | June 28–30, 2022 | 269 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 27% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 29% |
Results
Results by county:
Aiona—50–60%
Aiona—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Duke Aiona | 37,608 | 49.57% | |
| Republican | B.J. Penn | 19,817 | 26.12% | |
| Republican | Gary Cordery | 8,258 | 10.88% | |
| Republican | Heidi Haunani Tsuneyoshi | 7,255 | 9.56% | |
| Republican | Lynn Barry Mariano | 903 | 1.19% | |
| Republican | Paul Morgan | 796 | 1.05% | |
| Republican | Keline Kahau | 469 | 0.62% | |
| Republican | Walter Woods | 438 | 0.58% | |
| Republican | Moses Paskowitz | 189 | 0.25% | |
| Republican | George Hawat | 140 | 0.18% | |
| Total votes | 75,873 | 100.0% | ||
Nominee
- Seaula Tupa'i Jr., pastor[5]
Results
Results by county:
Tupai—60–70%
Tupai—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Seaula Tupai Jr. | 35,798 | 53.56% | |
| Republican | Rob Burns | 23,121 | 34.60% | |
| Republican | Tae Kim | 7,911 | 11.84% | |
| Total votes | 66,830 | 100.0% | ||
Nonpartisan primary
Under Hawaii law, a nonpartisan candidate must either receive at least ten percent of the vote for that office (32,729 votes for governor or 30,918 votes for lieutenant governor) or receive a vote "equal to or greater than the lowest vote received by the partisan candidate who was nominated" (37,608 votes for governor or 35,798 votes for lieutenant governor) to qualify for the general election ballot.[50] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election.
Eliminated in primary
- Caleb Nazara, pastor
- Keleionalani Taylor, activist
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonpartisan | Keleionalani Taylor | 755 | 61.94% | |
| Nonpartisan | Caleb Nazara | 464 | 38.06% | |
| Total votes | 1,219 | 100.0% | ||
Nominee
- Charles Keoho
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonpartisan | Charles Keoho | 1,030 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 1,030 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[51] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[52] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] | Safe D | January 26, 2022 |
| Politico[54] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[55] | Safe D | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[56] | Solid D | May 12, 2022 |
| 538[57] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[58] | Safe D | November 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Josh Green (D)
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Hawaii Fire Fighters Association[16]
- Hawaii Government Employees Association (HGEA), AFSCME Local 152, AFL–CIO[17][18][16]
- Hawaii Lodging and Tourism Association[16]
- Hawaii Regional Council of Carpenters[16]
- Hawaii State American Federation of Labor & Congress of Industrial Organizations AFL-CIO[16]
- Hawaii State Teachers Association (HSTA)[17][18][16]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 1186, 1260 and 1357[16]
- International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 142[16]
- Maui Lodging and Tourism Association[16]
- National Education Association[60]
- Operating Engineers Local 3[16]
- Plumbers & Fitters UA Local 675[16]
- Unite Here Local 5[16]
- University of Hawaii Professional Assembly (UHPA)[16]
- Publications
- Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[19] (co-endorsed with Aiona)
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 261,025 | 63.16% | +0.49% | ||
| Republican |
|
152,237 | 36.84% | +3.14% | |
| Total votes | 413,262 | 100.00% | |||
| Turnout | 417,215 | 48.44% | –4.24 | ||
| Registered electors | 861,358 | ||||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which endorsed Josh Green
References
- "Hawaii election results". The New York Times. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 14, 2022.
- Blaze Lovell (November 8, 2022). "Hawaii Governor: Josh Green Easily Defeats Duke Aiona". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved November 14, 2022.
- Nagaoka, Ashley (August 15, 2019). "Believe it or not, race to replace Gov. Ige is already taking shape". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
- Blair, Chad (October 1, 2019). "Caldwell Schedules Campaign Fundraiser For Governor's Race". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
- "2022 Office of Elections Filing Report". Hawaii Office of Elections. March 4, 2022. Retrieved March 11, 2022.
- Dayton, Kevin (July 15, 2021). "Former First Lady Vicky Cayetano Is Mulling A Run For Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat.
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- "Vicky Cayetano launches Democratic gubernatorial campaign". news.yahoo.com. August 31, 2021. Retrieved September 10, 2021.
- McIntire, Mary Ellen (April 28, 2022). "Report: Hawaii's Kahele to run for governor instead of reelection". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2022.
- Nakaso, Dan (May 7, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele announces bid for governor". Retrieved May 7, 2022.
- Blair, Chad (May 4, 2022). "Kirk Caldwell Drops Out Of Race For Hawaii Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
- "'Not my time': Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell drops out of race for governor". Hawaii News Now. May 4, 2022. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
- Wells, Dylan (December 22, 2020). "NEW: Former Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D-HI 01) is not ruling out running for governor in 2022. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. David Ige (D), who cannot run in 2022 because of term limits. #HIGov #Hileg". National Journal. Retrieved December 22, 2020.
- Morales, Manolo (February 26, 2021). "Police Report Disputes Rep. Sharon Har's Statement about DUI Arrest". KHON2. Retrieved June 5, 2021.
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- Nakaso, Dan (July 4, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele gets key union backing, Lt. Gov. Josh Green adds to long list". Retrieved July 16, 2022.
- Nakaso, Dan (April 3, 2022). "Endorsements stacking up for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
- Dayton, Kevin (March 28, 2022). "Lt. Gov. Josh Green Is Racking Up Union Endorsements, Adding To His Momentum". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
- Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board (July 24, 2022). "Editorial: For governor's race, it's Josh Green and Duke Aiona".
- "Congressman Kaialiʻi Kahele makes official announcement of run for Hawaiʻi Governor". www.mauinow.com. May 7, 2022. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
- "August 13, 2022 Primary Election - Statewide Summary" (PDF). State of Hawaii - Office of Elections.
- Blair, Chad (October 24, 2021). "Hawaii Rep. Sylvia Luke Plans To Run For Lieutenant Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
- "State Rep. Sylvia Luke announces run for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now.
- Nakaso, Dan (November 7, 2021). "Keith Amemiya joins race for lieutenant governor". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 8, 2021.
- "Ikaika Anderson Launches Campaign for Hawaii Lt. Governor". October 12, 2021.
- Nakaso, Dan (November 3, 2021). "Chamber of Commerce Hawaii leader Sherry Menor-McNamara running for lieutenant governor". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
- "Former State Senator Jill Tokuda seeking to be Hawaiʻi's next lieutenant governor". October 7, 2021.
- Nakaso, Dan (April 26, 2022). "Former state Sen. Jill Tokuda files to challenge Kai Kahele for congressional seat". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
- Richardson, Mahealani (April 27, 2022). "Mounting speculation about a Kahele run for governor triggers 'grand chess game'". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
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- Nakaso, Dan (October 13, 2021). "Race expanding for Hawaii's next lieutenant governor". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
- "Lee Cataluna: Candidates for LG May Find the Game Has Changed". October 13, 2021.
- Ancheta, Dillon (October 12, 2021). "Former City Council chair criticized by constituent at Lt. Gov. campaign launch". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved December 5, 2021.
- Nakaso, Dan (July 12, 2022). "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor". Retrieved July 16, 2022.
- "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. race". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
- "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now. March 22, 2022. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
- Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board (July 24, 2022). "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke". Honolulu Star-Advertiser.
- "Former Lt. Gov. James 'Duke' Aiona files papers to run for governor". Hawaii News Now. June 7, 2022.
- "'We lack a moral compass': Duke Aiona finally explains his decision to join the race for governor". Hawaii News Now. June 15, 2022.
- "Vote Gary Cordery for Governor - Gary Cordery For Governor". March 7, 2022.
- "Hawaii veteran joins governor's race on Republican ticket". February 2022.
- "Paul Morgan To Officially Announce His Candidacy for Hawai'i Governor". Retrieved September 9, 2021.
- "Paul Morgan For Governor". Retrieved September 9, 2021.
- "Wanting to eliminate mandates, UFC fighter BJ Penn eyes run for governor". October 5, 2021.
- "City Councilmember Heidi Tsuneyoshi announces run for governor". February 23, 2022.
- Richardson, Mahealani (January 6, 2022). "Businessman's potential gubernatorial run could shake up general election race". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved January 23, 2022.
- "City Council Member Andria Tupola Will Not Run for Governor Next Year". August 5, 2021.
- Dan Nakaso (July 20, 2022). "Hawaii police union endorses Aiona for governor".
- "NONPARTISAN CANDIDATES IN PARTISAN CONTESTS". Office of Elections. State of Hawaii.
- "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
- "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "Hawaii Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
- "Josh Green's Ratings and Endorsements - Vote Smart". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
- "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Education Votes. Retrieved October 29, 2022.
- "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
- "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Hawaii - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 17, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
- "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - City and County of Honolulu - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 16, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
- "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Kauai - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
- "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Maui - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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