Fort Rouge (electoral district)

Fort Rouge is a provincial electoral division in the Canadian province of Manitoba. It was created by redistribution in 1957, and formally came into existence in the general election of 1958. The riding was eliminated in 1989, and re-established in 1999. It is located in the central section of the City of Winnipeg.

Fort Rouge
Manitoba electoral district
Location in Winnipeg
Provincial electoral district
LegislatureLegislative Assembly of Manitoba
MLA
 
 
 
Wab Kinew
New Democratic
District created1957
First contested1958
Last contested2023

Fort Rouge is bordered on the east by St. Boniface, to the south by Fort Garry-Riverview, to the north by Logan, and to the west by River Heights. The actual Legislative Assembly of Manitoba building is located across the river from Fort Rouge.

The riding's population in 1996 was 20,364. In 1999, the average family income was $49,361, and the unemployment rate was 8.70%. 39.6% of Fort Rouge's residents are listed as low-income, the sixth-highest rate in the province. Almost 80% of occupied dwelling are rentals, and over 20% of households are single-parent families. Almost 25% of Fort Rouge's residents have a university degree—one of the highest rates in the province.

Fort Rouge has an immigrant population of 20%. Eight per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal. The service sector accounts for 21% of Fort Rouge's industry, with a further 11% in social services.

The seat was held by the Progressive Conservatives from 1958 to 1973, and was a rare bastion of Liberal strength in the province from 1973 to 1981. Lloyd Axworthy was the riding's representative from 1973 to 1979; for a time, he was the only Liberal in the legislature. Roland Penner's election for the New Democratic Party in 1981, however, foretold of future NDP successes in the riding. Though Jim Carr would win the riding back for the Liberals in 1988, the seat would be broken into Crescentwood, Broadway and Osborne for the 1990 election. By the time the seat was reestablished in 1999, Crescentwood, Broadway and Osborne would all have NDP representatives, with Crescentwood MLA Tim Sale becoming the first MLA of the reestablished Fort Rouge. It has been continuously represented by the NDP since the riding was reestablished in 1999.

In the 2007, 2011 and 2016 provincial elections the Liberals were the main challengers to the NDP, though the party would continue to hold the seat with Jennifer Howard. In 2016, Liberal leader Rana Bokhari ran in Fort Rouge, losing to the NDP star candidate Wab Kinew. At the 2015 federal election, according to Elections Canada data, Fort Rouge voted heavily Liberal.[1] In the 2019 and 2023 elections, the Progressive Conservatives finished second behind the NDP, with the Liberals falling behind Green candidate James Beddome in 2019.

The district is represented by NDP leader and Premier Wab Kinew.

List of provincial representatives

Name Party Took office Left office
Gurney Evans PC 1958 1969
Inez Trueman PC 1969 1973
Lloyd Axworthy Lib 1973 1979
June Westbury Lib 1979 1981
Roland Penner NDP 1981 1988
Jim Carr Lib 1988 1990
See Broadway, Osborne, Crescentwood (1990-1999)
Tim Sale NDP 1999 2007
Jennifer Howard NDP 2007 2016
Wab Kinew NDP 2016 present

Opinion polls

Polling firm Last date of polling Link NDP Liberal PC Green Other
Mainstreet Research/Postmedia March 22, 2016 HTML 29 32 30 8

Electoral results

1958 general election

1958 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%
Progressive ConservativeGurney Evans3,64754.83
Liberal–ProgressiveJames Edward "Jimmy" Wilson1,86227.99
Co-operative CommonwealthErnest Draffin1,14317.18
Total valid votes 6,652
Rejected 26
Eligible voters / Turnout 12,01055.60
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1959 general election

1959 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeGurney Evans4,35256.341.52
Liberal–ProgressiveJerry Marrin1,94725.21-2.78
Co-operative CommonwealthRobert C. Murdoch1,42518.451.27
Total valid votes 7,724
Rejected 55
Eligible voters / Turnout 12,18363.858.25
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1962 general election

1962 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeGurney Evans3,50752.94-3.41
LiberalBrock McArthur2,12832.126.91
New DemocraticWilliam R. Reid99014.94-3.51
Total valid votes 6,625
Rejected 76
Eligible voters / Turnout 11,98955.89-7.96
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1966 general election

1966 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeGurney Evans3,76746.72-6.22
LiberalFrancis C. Muldoon2,45130.40-1.72
New DemocraticLen Green1,84522.887.94
Total valid votes 8,063
Rejected 22
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,10561.695.80
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1969 general election

1969 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeInez Trueman2,75038.53-8.19
New DemocraticUna Decter2,44634.2711.39
LiberalJane Sayler Heffelfinger1,94127.20-3.20
Total valid votes 7,137
Rejected 51
Eligible voters / Turnout 12,32858.31-3.39
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1973 general election

1973 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalLloyd Axworthy4,18136.499.30
New DemocraticSamia Friesen3,61431.54-2.73
Progressive ConservativeInez Trueman3,53130.82-7.71
IndependentLane McDonald1311.14
Total valid votes 11,457
Rejected 79
Eligible voters / Turnout 14,34080.4522.14
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1977 general election

1977 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalLloyd Axworthy4,15339.543.05
Progressive ConservativeJulian Hugh McDonald3,48633.192.37
New DemocraticErmano Barone2,86327.26-4.28
Total valid votes 10,502
Rejected 55
Eligible voters / Turnout 14,27273.97-6.48
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1979 by-election

Manitoba provincial by-election, October 16, 1979
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalJune Westbury2,65939.22-0.33
New DemocraticVictor Steven "Vic" Savino2,29133.796.53
Progressive ConservativeJulian Hugh McDonald1,83026.99-6.20
Total valid votes 6,780
Rejected N/A
Eligible voters / Turnout N/A
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1981 general election

1981 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
New DemocraticRoland Penner4,34244.5710.77
Progressive ConservativePerry Schulman2,84329.182.19
LiberalJune Westbury2,41524.79-14.43
ProgressiveBud Boyce1431.47
Total valid votes 9,743
Rejected 77
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,67171.83
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1986 general election

1986 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
New DemocraticRoland Penner4,22348.864.30
Progressive ConservativeRobert P. Haier2,59029.970.79
LiberalLionel Ditz1,68319.47-5.31
LibertarianClancy Smith1011.17
CommunistNigel Hanrahan460.53
Total valid votes 8,643
Rejected 53
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,51764.33-7.50
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1988 general election

1988 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalJim Carr5,12748.9129.44
New DemocraticRoland Penner2,91227.78-21.08
Progressive ConservativeRobert Haier2,30321.97-8.00
ProgressiveGordon Pratt750.72
LibertarianDennis Owens660.63-0.54
Total valid votes 10,483
Rejected 50
Eligible voters / turnout 15,05769.955.62
Liberal gain from New Democratic Swing +25.22
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1999 general election

1999 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%Expenditures
New DemocraticTim Sale4,75948.68$25,152.00
Progressive ConservativeRon Paley2,97130.39$26,322.65
LiberalJohn Shanski1,87019.13$24,461.96
GreenAlex Reid1761.80$256.65
Total valid votes 9,776
Rejected 52
Eligible voters / turnout 14,06469.88
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

2003 general election

2003 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticTim Sale4,11857.638.95$16,724.33
Progressive ConservativeMark Francis1,40919.72-10.67$8,860.98
LiberalDavid Henteleff1,21216.96-2.17$4,299.83
GreenMikel Magnusson3554.973.17$48.24
LibertarianJim Weidman510.71$0.00
Total valid votes 7,145
Rejected 59
Eligible voters / turnout 13,18254.65-15.23
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2003). Statement of Votes for the 38th Provincial General Election, June 3, 2003 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

2007 general election

2007 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticJennifer Howard3,82846.97-10.67$25.968.04
LiberalPaul Hesse2,48830.5313.56$23,866.84
Progressive ConservativeChristine Waddell1,20214.75-4.97$11,369.89
GreenGerald H. Enns5116.271.30$905.51
IndependentRon Nash921.13$261.98
CommunistFrank Komarniski290.36
Total valid votes 8,150
Rejected 53
Eligible voters / turnout 13,16962.297.64
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2007). Statement of Votes for the 39th Provincial General Election, May 22, 2007 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

2011 general election

2011 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticJennifer Howard4,50151.264.29$28,361.23
LiberalPaul Hesse2,03123.13-7.40$31,673.03
Progressive ConservativeSonny Dominique1,77020.165.41$17,369.18
GreenStephen Weedon4785.44-0.83$24.14
Total valid votes 8,780
Rejected 54
Eligible voters / turnout 14,42961.22-1.07
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2011). Statement of Votes for the 40th Provincial General Election, October 4, 2011 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.
"Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved September 12, 2018.

2016 general election

2016 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticWab Kinew3,36037.63-13.63$39,199.49
Progressive ConservativeAudrey Gordon2,57128.808.64$42,245.54
LiberalRana Bokhari1,79220.07-3.06$30,238.82
GreenGrant Sharp98311.015.57$322.90
ManitobaMatthew Ostrove1751.96$945.26
CommunistPaula Ducharme470.53$33.67
Total valid votes / expense limit 8,928$44,855.00
Rejected 125
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,89665.153.92
New Democratic hold Swing –11.04
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2016). Statement of Votes for the 41st Provincial General Election, April 19, 2016 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.
"Election Returns: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2016. Retrieved September 10, 2018.

2019 general election

2019 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticWab Kinew5,05551.2413.60$23,922.64
Progressive ConservativeEdna Nabess1,85718.82-9.97$7,290.07
GreenJames Beddome1,58016.015.00$8,974.33
LiberalCyndy Friesen1,29013.08-7.00$8,223.63
Manitoba FirstMichael McCracken540.55-1.41$582.58
Manitoba ForwardBradley Hebert300.30$0.00
Total valid votes 9,866
Rejected 47
Eligible voters / Turnout 16,87058.76-6.39
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). Statement of Votes for the 42nd Provincial General Election, September 10, 2019 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.
"Candidate Election Returns". Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved March 2, 2020.

2023 general election

2023 Manitoba general election
** Preliminary results — Not yet official **
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticWab Kinew6,75970.62+19.38
Progressive ConservativeRejeanne Caron1,56216.32-2.50
LiberalKatherine Johnson1,14912.01-1.07
CommunistRobert Crooks1011.06
Total valid votes/Expense limit 9,57199.49
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 490.51
Turnout 9,62058.65-0.11
Eligible voters 16,401
New Democratic hold Swing +10.94
Source(s)
Source: "2023 Election Results Map". Elections Manitoba. October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 6, 2023.

Previous boundaries

The 1999-2011 boundaries of the riding of Fort Rouge highlighted in red.

References

  1. CBC "2015 federal election: How did your Manitoba neighbours vote?" 2 March 2016

49.873°N 97.147°W / 49.873; -97.147

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