2014 Georgia gubernatorial election

The 2014 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Georgia, concurrently with the election to Georgia's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 Georgia gubernatorial election

November 4, 2014
Turnout42.25%
 
Nominee Nathan Deal Jason Carter
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,345,237 1,144,794
Percentage 52.7% 44.9%

County results
Deal:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Carter:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Nathan Deal
Republican

Elected Governor

Nathan Deal
Republican

Incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal was re-elected to serve a second term in office by a margin of 7.8%. He turned back two primary challengers and in the general election, defeated Democratic State Senator Jason Carter and Libertarian nominee businessman and engineer Andrew Hunt, who were unopposed in their respective primaries.

Republican primary

Declared

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal
John
Barge
David
Pennington
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage May 18, 2014 852 ±3.36% 62.1% 5.1% 9.9% 22.9%
SurveyUSA May 8–12, 2014 634 ± 4% 63% 10% 15% 12%
SurveyUSA April 24–27, 2014 501 ± 4.3% 64% 10% 11% 16%
InsiderAdvantage April 13–15, 2014 804 ±3.4% 61% 4% 7% 28%
Landmark/Rosetta March 23–24, 2014 600 ± 4% 58% 8% 7% 27%
SurveyUSA March 16–18, 2014 508 ± 4.2% 65% 7% 11% 17%
Public Policy Polling August 2–5, 2013 260 ± 6.1% 71% 8% 21%
71% 11% 19%
20/20 Insight, LLC May 7–9, 2013  ? ± ? 53% 18% 29%

Results

Results by county:
  Deal
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Pennington
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Nathan Deal (incumbent) 430,170 72.15
Republican David Pennington 99,548 16.70
Republican John Barge 66,500 11.15
Total votes 596,218 100

Democratic primary

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jason Carter 304,243 100
Total votes 304,243 100

Libertarian primary

Declared

  • Andrew Hunt, businessman and engineer[11]

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Lean R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[14] Lean R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[15] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
Andrew
Hunt (L)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 975 ± 3.1% 47% 43% 4% 6%
49% 45% 6%
Landmark Communications November 2, 2014 1,500 ± 2.5% 51% 45% 3% 2%
Insider Advantage November 2, 2014 1,463 ± 3% 47% 44% 5% 4%
SurveyUSA October 30 – November 2, 2014 591 ± 4.1% 47% 42% 5% 5%
YouGov October 25–31, 2014 1,743 ± 3.2% 45% 41% 1% 1% 12%
NBC News/Marist October 26–30, 2014 603 LV ± 4% 48% 43% 3% 1% 5%
875 RV ± 3.3% 46% 42% 4% 1% 7%
Landmark Communications October 29, 2014 1,500 ± 2.5% 48% 46% 4% 3%
Vox Populi Polling October 28, 2014 602 ± 4% 49% 42% 3% 7%
Monmouth October 26–28, 2014 436 ± 4.7% 48% 42% 5% 5%
Rasmussen Reports October 25–27, 2014 977 ± 3% 49% 43% 2% 6%
SurveyUSA October 24–27, 2014 611 ± 4% 46% 44% 3% 6%
Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2014 771 ± ?% 48% 45% 4% 3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,774 ± 4% 47% 43% 2% 0% 8%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution October 16–23, 2014 1,170 ± 3.6% 46% 41% 6% 7%
Insider Advantage October 21–22, 2014 704 ± 3.7% 44% 44% 5% 8%
CNN/ORC International October 19–22, 2014 565 ± 4% 46% 48% 6%
Landmark Communications October 20–21, 2014 1,000 ± 2.75% 48% 45% 5% 2%
SurveyUSA October 17–20, 2014 606 ± 4.1% 45% 43% 4% 8%
GaPundit.com October 13–14, 2014 1,543 ± 2.49% 44% 44% 6% 5%
SurveyUSA October 10–13, 2014 563 ± 4.2% 46% 46% 4% 4%
Landmark Communications October 7–9, 2014 1,000 ± 3.1% 45% 45% 5% 5%
SurveyUSA October 2–6, 2014 566 ± 4.2% 46% 44% 4% 7%
Public Policy Polling October 2–5, 2014 895 ± 3.3% 46% 41% 4% 9%
50% 45% 5%
Hickman Analytics September 26 – October 5, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 44% 36% 9% 13%
Rasmussen Reports September 30 – October 1, 2014 1,000 ± 4% 49% 43% 2% 6%
Insider Advantage September 29 – October 1, 2014 947 ± 3.2% 44% 43% 4% 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,851 ± 3% 48% 43% 1% 0% 7%
SurveyUSA September 19–22, 2014 550 ± 4.3% 44% 45% 4% 7%
Rasmussen Reports September 15–16, 2014 750 ± 4% 45% 44% 3% 8%
Insider Advantage September 10–11, 2014 1,167 ± 2.9% 44% 40% 7% 9%
Landmark Communications September 9–11, 2014 1,109 ± 2.9% 44% 47% 4% 5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution September 8–11, 2014 884 ± 4% 43% 42% 7% 8%
SurveyUSA September 5–8, 2014 558 ± 4.2% 45% 44% 4% 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,900 ± 3% 47% 39% 4% 1% 9%
GaPundit.com August 24–25, 2014 1,578 ± 2.47% 44% 42% 7% 8%
Landmark Communications August 20–21, 2014 600 ± 4% 40% 44% 16%
SurveyUSA August 14–17, 2014 560 ± 4.2% 48% 39% 4% 8%
InsiderAdvantage August 12–13, 2014 719 ± 3.7% 43% 39% 7% 11%
Hicks Evaluation Group August 8–10, 2014 788 ± 3.48% 45% 45% 9%
Landmark Communications July 25, 2014 750 ± 3.8% 40% 47% 5% 9%
Rasmussen Reports July 23–24, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 45% 3% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 2,568 ± 3.4% 50% 41% 1% 8%
Landmark Communications July 15, 2014 750 ± 4 41% 49% 4% 6%
Public Policy Polling July 11–13, 2014 664 ± ? 41% 40% 8% 11%
Insider Advantage June 24–25, 2014 1,349 ± 2.7% 47% 40% 3% 10%
SurveyUSA June 3–5, 2014 999 ± 3.2% 44% 38% 7% 11%
Rasmussen Reports May 21–22, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 48% 3% 7%
Public Policy Polling May 21–22, 2014 803 ± ?% 43% 43% 7% 7%
SurveyUSA May 8–12, 2014 1,380 ± 2.7% 43% 37% 7% 14%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution May 5–8, 2014 1,012 ± 4% 48% 44% 8%
Saint Leo May 5–6, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 38% 35% 11% 16%
NBC News/Marist April 30 – May 5, 2014 2,196 ± 2.1% 50% 40% 1% 10%
SurveyUSA April 24–27, 2014 1,567 ± 2.5% 41% 37% 9% 13%
Public Policy Polling April 1–3, 2014 628 ± 4% 42% 43% 15%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone March 30, 2014 575 ± 4% 43% 39% 18%
Insider Advantage March 13, 2014 486 ± 4.3% 38% 41% 21%
Public Policy Polling February 19–20, 2014 833 ± 4% 45% 42% 12%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution January 6–9, 2014 802 ± 4% 47% 38% 15%
Insider Advantage January 6, 2014 529 ± 4.6% 44% 22% 34%
Anzalone Liszt Grove October 14–20, 2013 600 ± 4% 44% 36% 20%
Public Policy Polling October 7–8, 2013 602 ± 4.1% 44% 40% 16%
Public Policy Polling August 2–5, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 48% 33% 19%
20/20 Insight, LLC May 7–9, 2013 1,483 ± 2.5% 42% 45% 13%
Public Policy Polling February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 46% 38% 16%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 46% 38% 17%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 2–5, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 47% 34% 19%
20/20 Insight, LLC May 7–9, 2013 1,483 ± 2.5% 45% 39% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
John
Barrow (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 48% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 44% 40% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Scott
Holcomb (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 2–5, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 48% 28% 24%
20/20 Insight, LLC May 7–9, 2013 1,483 ± 2.5% 41% 41% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Kasim
Reed (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 48% 38% 14%
Public Policy Polling November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 47% 40% 13%
Hypothetical runoff polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
Other Undecided
NBC News/Marist October 26–30, 2014 603 LV ± 4% 50% 46% <1% 4%
875 RV ± 3.3% 48% 45% 1% 6%

Results

2014 Georgia gubernatorial election[16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Nathan Deal (incumbent) 1,345,237 52.74% -0.28%
Democratic Jason Carter 1,144,794 44.88% +1.91%
Libertarian Andrew Hunt 60,185 2.36% -1.65%
Write-in 432 0.02% +0.02%
Total votes 2,550,648 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. Cassidy, Christina A. (August 31, 2013). "Ga. schools superintendent to run for governor". Marietta Daily Journal. Associated Press. Retrieved August 31, 2013.
  2. Bluestein, Greg (July 9, 2013). "Dalton's mayor to challenge Deal in GOP primary". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  3. "UNOFFICIAL RESULTS General Primary/General Nonpartisan/Special Election May 20, 2014". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
  4. Christina A. Cassidy (November 7, 2013). "Jason Carter, Jimmy Carter's Grandson, To Run For Georgia Governor". The Huffington Post. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
  5. Cassidy, Christina A. (November 7, 2013). "Jimmy Carter's Grandson to Run for Ga. Governor". ABC News. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
  6. "Your Daily Jolt: John Barge kicks off gubernatorial run today". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. September 3, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
  7. Hula, Ed (August 14, 2013). "Shirley Franklin Speculation-Could She Run for Office?". Peach Pundit. Retrieved August 18, 2013.
  8. Mimms, Sarah (May 1, 2013). "Holcomb Considering Ga. Senate, Gubernatorial Bids". National Journal. Archived from the original on May 3, 2013. Retrieved May 1, 2013.
  9. Holcomb, Scott (November 7, 2013). "I just donated – you should too..." Twitter. Retrieved December 16, 2013.
  10. "Mayor Kasim Reed announces candidacy for re-election". CBS Atlanta. August 26, 2013. Archived from the original on August 26, 2013. Retrieved August 27, 2013.
  11. "Dr. Andrew Hunt". Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 7 April 2014. Retrieved 17 December 2014.
  12. "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  13. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  14. "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  15. "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  16. "GA – Election Results". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 28, 2015.
Official campaign websites (Archived)
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