2012 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the 13 U.S. representatives from the state of North Carolina. The elections coincided with the U.S. presidential election, N.C. gubernatorial election, statewide judicial elections, Council of State elections and various local elections. Primary elections were held on May 8, 2012; for races in which no candidate received 40 percent of the vote in the primary, runoff elections (officially known as "second" primaries) were held on July 17.[1][2]

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina

November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)

All 13 North Carolina seats in the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 6 7
Seats won 9 4
Seat change Increase 3 Decrease 3
Popular vote 2,137,167 2,218,357
Percentage 48.75% 50.60%
Swing Decrease 5.38% Increase 5.35%

North Carolina was one of five states (along with Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Arizona) where the party that won the most seats did not win the most votes in the state.

Overview

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina[3]
Party Votes Percentage Seats before Seats after +/–
Democratic 2,218,357 50.60% 7 4 -3
Republican 2,137,167 48.75% 6 9 +3
Libertarian 24,142 0.55% 0 0 -
Write-in 4,446 0.10% 0 0 -
Totals 4,384,112 100.00% 13 13

Redistricting

A redistricting map, drawn to reflect changes observed in the 2010 United States Census, was passed into law in July 2011. The map must receive approval from either the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia or the U.S. Department of Justice before it can be enforced (under the 1965 Voting Rights Act).[4] The North Carolina chapter of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People challenged the map on the grounds that it reduces the influence of African American voters.[5]

North Carolina's congressional districts after 2010 Census redistricting[6]

District 1

Incumbent Democrat G. K. Butterfield], who had represented the district since 2004, ran for re-election. The 1st district, which is majority-minority and already strongly favored Democrats, favored them even more so after redistricting.[4] The redrawn district had a PVI of D+17, where the old 1st had a PVI of D+9.

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Dan Whittacre, High School Teacher, HHS Federal Agent

Primary results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic G. K. Butterfield (incumbent) 89,531 81.1
Democratic Dan Whittacre 20,822 18.9
Total votes 28,582 100.0
Nominee
  • Pete DiLauro, former law enforcement officer

Endorsements

Results

North Carolina's 1st congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic G. K. Butterfield (incumbent) 254,644 75.3
Republican Pete DiLauro 77,288 22.9
Libertarian Darryl Holloman 6,134 1.8
Total votes 338,066 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

Incumbent Republican Renee Ellmers, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. The 2nd district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting, with The Hill ranking Ellmers at second in its list of house members most helped by redistricting.[15] The redrawn district had a PVI of R+11, where the old 2nd had a PVI of R+2.

Nominee
  • Renee Ellmers, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Renee Ellmers (incumbent) 37,661 56.0
Republican Richard Speer 20,099 29.9
Republican Sonya Holmes 6,535 9.7
Republican Clement F. Munno 2,982 4.4
Total votes 67,277 100.0
Nominee
  • Steve Wilkins, retired US Army officer and businessman
Eliminated in primary
  • Toni Morris, professional counselor
Withdrawn
  • Jim Bibbs
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Wilkins 24,327 50.7
Democratic Toni Morris 20,431 42.6
Democratic Jim Bibbs (Withdrawn) 3,238 6.7
Total votes 47,996 100.0
Nominee
  • Brian Irving, retired US Air Force officer

Endorsements

Steve Wilkins (D)
Labor unions
Newspapers
Did not endorse

Results

North Carolina's 2nd congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Renee Ellmers (incumbent) 174,066 55.9
Democratic Steve Wilkins 128,973 41.4
Libertarian Brian Irving 8,358 2.7
Total votes 311,397 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

Incumbent Republican Walter B. Jones Jr., who had represented the district since 1995, ran for re-election.[27] The 3rd district was made slightly more favorable to Democrats in redistricting, but continued to strongly favor Republicans.[4] The redrawn district had a PVI of R+10, where the old 3rd had a PVI of R+16.

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Walter B. Jones (incumbent) 42,644 69.0
Republican Frank Palombo 19,166 31.0
Total votes 61,810 100.0
Nominee
  • Erik Anderson, former US Marine

Endorsements

Results

North Carolina's 3rd congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Walter B. Jones Jr. (incumbent) 195,571 63.1
Democratic Erik Anderson 114,314 36.9
Total votes 309,885 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

Democrat David Price, who had represented North Carolina's 4th congressional district since 1997 and previously served from 1987 until 1995, ran for re-election.[29] Brad Miller, who has represented the 13th district since 2003, considered challenging Price in the 4th district primary after having his home drawn into it, but announced in January 2012 that he would not seek either seat and would instead retire.[30]

Democratic primary

Price was unopposed in the Democratic primary.[31]

Nominee
Declined
  • Brad Miller, incumbent U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 13th congressional district
Nominee
  • Tim D'Annunzio, businessman and candidate for North Carolina's 8th congressional district in 2010.[31]
Eliminated in primary
  • Jim Allen, Electrical contractor
  • George Hutchins, former US Marine, veteran of the first Gulf War and candidate for this district in 2010
Withdrawn
  • Doug Yopp, Director of the Friends of the Library at NC State[32]

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim D'Annunzio 14,065 46.4
Republican Jim Allen 10,430 34.4
Republican George Frank Hutchins 5,811 19.2
Total votes 30,306 100.0

Endorsements

Results

North Carolina's 4th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Price (incumbent) 259,534 74.5
Republican Tim D'Annunzio 88,951 25.5
Total votes 348,485 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

Republican Virginia Foxx, who had represented North Carolina's 5th congressional district since 2005, ran for re-election. The 5th district was made slightly more favorable to Democrats in redistricting, but continued to strongly favor Republicans.[4]

Nominee
  • Virginia Foxx, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Bruce Peller, dentist[36]
Withdrawn

Primary results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elisabeth Motsinger 38,512 69.7
Democratic Bruce G. Peller 16,716 30.3
Total votes 55,228 100.0

Endorsements

Elisabeth Motsinger (D)

Results

North Carolina's 5th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Virginia Foxx (incumbent) 200,945 57.5
Democratic Elisabeth Motsinger 148,252 42.5
Total votes 349,197 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

Republican Howard Coble, who had represented North Carolina's 6th congressional district since 1985, ran for re-election.[39] The 6th district was expected to continue to strongly favor Republicans.[4]

Nominee
  • Howard Coble, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Howard Coble (incumbent) 50,701 57.3
Republican Bill Flynn 19,741 22.3
Republican Billy Yow 18,057 20.4
Total votes 88,499 100.0
Nominee

Endorsements

Tony Foriest (D)
Newspapers

Results

North Carolina's 6th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Howard Coble (incumbent) 222,116 60.9
Democratic Anthony Foriest 142,467 39.1
Total votes 364,583 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2012 North Carolina's 7th congressional district election

November 6, 2012
 
Nominee Mike McIntyre David Rouzer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 168,695 168,041
Percentage 50.1% 49.9%

County results
McIntyre:      50–60%      60–70%      70-80%
Rouzer:      50–60%      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Mike McIntyre
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike McIntyre
Democratic

The home of Democrat Mike McIntyre, who has represented North Carolina's 7th congressional district since 1997, was drawn into the 8th district in redistricting. McIntyre, who had briefly considered running for governor following Bev Perdue's announcement that she would not seek re-election,[44] decided to seek re-election in the newly redrawn 7th district.[45] The district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting: 58% of its residents voted for Republican nominee John McCain in the 2008 presidential election.[4]

Nominee
  • Mike McIntyre, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Timothy Alan Wilkes

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Rouzer 34,647 48.5
Republican Ilario Gregory Pantano 31,752 44.5
Republican Randy Crow 5,012 7.0
Total votes 71,411 100.0

Campaign

McIntyre was heavily targeted by Republicans, especially after the GOP-controlled North Carolina General Assembly had redrawn congressional boundaries to put his home in Robeson County into the 8th district, something that McIntyre accused the GOP of doing “solely for the reason of giving my opponent a seat in Congress”.[46]

Nearly $9 million was spent by both parties,[47] with McIntyre airing ads stating he was a “strong conservative and Christian who walks his faith every day” and Rouzer trying to tie McIntyre to his votes for Nancy Pelosi and for the stimulus.

Endorsements

David Rouzer (R)
U.S Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Local officials
Individuals

McIntyre was the lone Democratic federal candidate endorsed by National Right to Life Committee in this election cycle.[60]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
McIntyre (D)
David
Rouzer (R)
Undecided
Wenzel Strategies October 23–24, 2012 600 ± 3.98% 39% 45% 17%
North Star Opinion Research (R-YG Action) August 12-13, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 49% 40% 11%
Grove Insight July 26-29, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 52% 34% 13%
Public Opinion Strategies Rouzer (R) July 22–23, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 44% 40% 15%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[61] Tossup November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[62] Tossup November 2, 2012
Roll Call[63] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] Lean D November 5, 2012
NY Times[65] Lean D November 4, 2012
RCP[66] Tossup November 4, 2012
The Hill[67] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

The election outcome left McIntyre the winner by 655 votes. A recount requested by Rouzer began on November 26, 2012; two days later, Rouzer conceded the race to McIntyre.[68][69]

North Carolina's 7th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike McIntyre (incumbent) 168,695 50.1
Republican David Rouzer 168,041 49.9
Total votes 336,736 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

Democrat Larry Kissell, who had represented North Carolina's 8th congressional district since 2009, ran for re-election.[70] The home of Kissell's fellow Democrat Mike McIntyre, who has represented the 7th district since 1997, was drawn into the 8th district in redistricting, but McIntyre sought re-election in the 7th district. The 8th district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting: only 42% of its residents voted for Democratic nominee Barack Obama in the 2008 presidential election.[4]

Nominee
  • Larry Kissell, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
  • Marcus Williams, attorney and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2008[71]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Larry Kissell (incumbent) 45,987 72.6
Democratic Marcus Williams 17,393 27.4
Total votes 63,380 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Daniel Barry, insurance executive[76][77]
Declined

Endorsements

Scott Keadle (R)
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Hudson 21,451 32.1
Republican Scott Keadle 14,687 22.0
Republican Vernon Robinson 12,181 18.2
Republican Fred F. Steen II 9,670 14.4
Republican John M. Whitley 8,894 13.3
Total votes 67,277 100.0

Runoff results

Republican primary runoff results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Hudson 10,699 63.6
Republican Scott Keadle 6,118 36.4
Total votes 16,817 100.0

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Larry
Kissell (D)
Richard
Hudson (R)
Undecided
Anzalone Liszt Research Kissell (D) September 25–27, 2012 400 ±4.9% 40% 39% 21%
NRCC September 25, 2012 784 ±3.5% 41% 50% 9%
Anzalone Liszt Research Kissell (D) August 6–9, 2012 500 ±4.4% 43% 39% 18%
Anzalone Liszt Research Kissell (D) March 15–20, 2012 500 ±4.4% 46% 36% 18%

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[90] Likely R (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[62] Likely R (flip) November 2, 2012
Roll Call[63] Likely R (flip) November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] Likely R (flip) November 5, 2012
NY Times[65] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[66] Likely R (flip) November 4, 2012
The Hill[67] Likely R (flip) November 4, 2012

Result

North Carolina's 8th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Hudson 160,695 53.2
Democratic Larry Kissell (incumbent) 137,139 45.4
Independent Antonio Blue (write-in) 3,990 1.3
n/a Write-ins 456 0.1
Total votes 302,280 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 9

Republican Sue Myrick, who had represented North Carolina's 9th congressional district since 1995, did not seek another term.[91] Curtis Campbell ran as the Libertarian nominee.

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Michael Schaffer, real estate broker (endorsed Barry)[99]
Declined

In the Republican primary, Pittenger and Pendergraph qualified for the runoff election, earning 33% and 25% of the vote, respectively. On July 17, Pittenger won the primary runoff.[101]

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Robert Pittenger 29,999 32.4
Republican Jim Pendergraph 23,401 25.3
Republican Edwin B. Peacock III 11,336 12.3
Republican Ric Killian 9,691 10.5
Republican Dan Barry 5,515 6.0
Republican Andy Dulin 4,526 4.9
Republican Mike Steinberg 2,297 2.5
Republican Jon Gauthier 2,056 2.2
Republican Ken Leonczyk 2,047 2.2
Republican Richard Lynch 1,000 1.1
Republican Michael Shaffer (withdrew) 579 0.6
Total votes 92,447 100.0

Runoff results

Republican primary runoff results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Robert Pittenger 18,982 52.9
Republican Jim Pendergraph 16,902 47.1
Total votes 35,884 100.0
Nominee
Declined

Endorsements

Jennifer Roberts (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Local officials
Individuals

Results

North Carolina's 9th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Robert Pittenger 194,537 51.8
Democratic Jennifer Roberts 171,503 45.6
Libertarian Curtis Campbell 9,650 2.6
Total votes 375,690 100.0
Republican hold

District 10

Republican Patrick McHenry, who has represented North Carolina's 10th congressional district since 2005, ran for re-election. Though the 10th district was made more favorable to Democrats in redistricting, it was expected to continue to strongly favor Republicans.[4]

Nominee
  • Patrick McHenry, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Patrick McHenry (incumbent) 58,844 72.5
Republican Ken H. Fortenberry 15,936 19.7
Republican Don Peterson 6,337 7.8
Total votes 81,117 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patsy Keever 36,791 57.9
Democratic Terry Michelle Bellamy 16,865 26.5
Democratic Timothy Murphy 9,908 15.6
Total votes 63,564 100.0

Endorsements

Results

North Carolina's 10th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Patrick McHenry (incumbent) 190,826 57.0
Democratic Patsy Keever 144,023 43.0
Total votes 334,849 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

Democrat Heath Shuler, who had represented North Carolina's 11th congressional district since 2007, chose not to run for re-election.[115] [116] The 11th district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting: more than three-quarters of voters in Asheville were removed from the district, while Avery, Burke, Caldwell and Mitchell counties, all of which favor Republicans, were added to it.[4]

Nominee
  • Hayden Rogers, Rep. Shuler's former chief of staff[117]
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hayden Rogers 35,518 55.7
Democratic Cecil Bothwell 19,161 30.1
Democratic Tom Hill 9,049 14.2
Total votes 63,728 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined
  • Jeff Miller, businessman and nominee for this district in 2010[124]

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Meadows 35,733 37.8
Republican Vance Patterson 22,306 23.6
Republican Jeff Hunt 13,353 14.2
Republican Ethan Wingfield 10,697 11.3
Republican Susan Harris 5,825 6.2
Republican Kenny West 3,970 4.2
Republican Spence Campbell 1,799 1.9
Republican Chris Petrella 778 0.8
Total votes 94,461 100.0

Runoff results

Republican primary runoff results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Meadows 17,520 76.2
Republican Vance Patterson 5,471 23.8
Total votes 22,991 100.0

Endorsements

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[130] Likely R (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[62] Likely R (flip) November 2, 2012
Roll Call[63] Safe R (flip) November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] Likely R (flip) November 5, 2012
NY Times[65] Lean R (flip) November 4, 2012
RCP[66] Likely R (flip) November 4, 2012
The Hill[67] Likely R (flip) November 4, 2012

Results

North Carolina's 11th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Meadows 190,319 57.4
Democratic Hayden Rogers 141,107 42.6
Total votes 331,426 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 12

Democrat Mel Watt, who has represented North Carolina's 12th congressional district since 1993, ran for re-election.[131] The 12th district was made more favorable to Democrats in redistricting.[4]

Watt faced Republican Jack Brosch [132] and Libertarian Lon Cecil in the general election in November.

Nominee
  • Mel Watt, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mel Watt (incumbent) 52,968 80.9
Democratic Matt Newton 12,495 19.1
Total votes 65,463 100.0
Nominee
  • Jack Brosch, business owner

Endorsements

Results

North Carolina's 12th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Melvin Watt (incumbent) 247,591 79.6
Republican Jack Brosch 63,317 20.4
Total votes 310,908 100.0
Democratic hold

District 13

Democrat Brad Miller, who had represented North Carolina's 13th congressional district since 2003, did not seek re-election.[136] The 13th district was made more favorable to Republicans in redistricting.[4]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Bernard Holliday, Baptist minister[137]
Declined
Primary results
Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charles Malone 45,865 66.9
Democratic Bernard Holliday 22,703 33.1
Total votes 68,568 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican George Holding 37,341 43.5
Republican Paul Coble 29,354 34.2
Republican Bill Randall 19,119 22.3
Total votes 85,814 100.0

Endorsements

Charles Malone (D)
Labor unions
Newspapers
George Holding (R)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Newspapers

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[146] Likely R (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[62] Safe R (flip) November 2, 2012
Roll Call[63] Safe R (flip) November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] Safe R (flip) November 5, 2012
NY Times[65] Lean R (flip) November 4, 2012
RCP[66] Safe R (flip) November 4, 2012
The Hill[67] Likely R (flip) November 4, 2012

Results

North Carolina's 13th congressional district, 2012[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican George Holding 210,495 56.8
Democratic Charles Malone 160,115 43.2
Total votes 370,610 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

References

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