2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 to elect the twenty-seven Congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty-seven Congressional Districts, a two-seat increase due to the 2010 United States Census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. The primary elections were held August 14, 2012.
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All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
Redistricting
In November 2010, Florida voters passed two amendments to the Florida Constitution which would require Congressional and state legislative Districts to be compact and follow geographical boundaries, thereby preventing gerrymandering. Shortly after the amendments were passed U.S. Representatives Corrine Brown and Mario Diaz-Balart filed a lawsuit asking that the amendment concerning Congressional Districts be declared invalid.[1] Brown and Diaz-Balart alleged that the power to change rules for congressional redistricting lies exclusively with the state legislature, and as such cannot be changed through a referendum; however in January 2012 a three-judge panel of the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected their arguments.[2]
Redistricting legislation which would create one new district each in North Florida and Central Florida was passed by a committee of the Florida House of Representatives on January 27,[3] by the full House of Representatives on February 3,[4] and by the Florida Senate on February 9. Shortly after, the Florida Democratic Party announced it would file a lawsuit, alleging that the map violated the Fair Districts provision, which requires that maps do not intentionally favor parties or incumbents. Separately, a coalition of groups including Common Cause, the League of Women Voters and the National Council of La Raza announced it would file its own challenge on the legislation's being signed into law.[5]
Overview
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Florida. All vote totals come from the Florida Secretary of State's website along with the individual counties' election department websites.
United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012 | |||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
Republican | 4,157,046 | 51.61% | 17 | -2 | |
Democratic | 3,678,725 | 45.67% | 10 | +4 | |
Other Parties | 219,374 | 2.72% | 0 | - | |
Totals | 8,055,145 | 100% | 27 | +2 |
District 1
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County results Miller: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 1st district voting age population is 77.6% White (single race), 12.9% Blacks (includes multirace), 4.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5% other races [6] Republican incumbent Jeff Miller, who has represented Florida's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.
Nominee
- Jeff Miller, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
- James Bryan, army veteran[7]
Nominee
- Calen Fretts, vice chair of the Libertarian Party of Okaloosa County[8]
Independents
William Cleave Drummond, II ran for election as a write-in candidate.[7]
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jeff Miller (incumbent) | 238,440 | 69.6 | |
Democratic | Jim Bryan | 92,961 | 27.1 | |
Libertarian | Calen Fretts | 11,176 | 3.3 | |
Independent | William Cleave (write-in) | 17 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 342,594 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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County results Southerland: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 2nd district voting age population is 68.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 23.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 4.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.3% other races (non-Hispanic)[6] Republican incumbent Steve Southerland was first elected to represent Florida's 2nd congressional district in 2010 and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.[7]
Nominee
- Steve Southerland, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Former Republican state senator Nancy Argenziano was being barred from running as a Democrat by state law, tried to ran on the Independent Party of Florida line, but ultimately withdrew.[12]
Nominee
- Al Lawson, state senator and candidate for this seat in 2010[13]
Eliminated in primary
- Leonard Bembry, state representative[14]
- Alvin Peters, attorney and former chairman of the Bay County Democratic Party[15]
- Mark Schlakman
Withdrawn
- Nancy Argenziano, former Republican state senator[16]
- Jay Liles, activist
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Al Lawson | 46,900 | 54.6 | |
Democratic | Leonard Bembry | 22,357 | 26.0 | |
Democratic | Alvin L. Peters | 11,919 | 13.9 | |
Democratic | Mark Schlakman | 4,653 | 5.4 | |
Total votes | 85,829 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[18]
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Southerland (R) |
Al Lawson (D) |
Undecided |
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StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | 8% |
Lester (D-DCCC) | September 15–17, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Likely R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Southerland defeated Lawson for re-election to a second term 53% votes to 47% on November 6, 2012.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Steve Southerland (incumbent) | 175,856 | 52.7 | ||
Democratic | Al Lawson | 157,634 | 47.2 | ||
Independent | Floyd Patrick Miller (write-in) | 228 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 333,718 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 3
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County results Yoho: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 3rd district voting age population is 75.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic)[6] Republican Cliff Stearns, who had represented the 6th District since 1989, had his home in Ocala drawn into the neighboring 11th District. However, he opted to seek reelection in the 3rd, which contained more than two-thirds of his former territory.
Republican primary
Stearns was upset in the primary by Ted Yoho, a large-animal veterinarian from Gainesville.
Nominee
- Ted Yoho, veterinarian
Eliminated in primary
- James Jett, police officer
- Steve Oelrich, state senator
- Cliff Stearns, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ted Yoho | 22,273 | 34.4 | |
Republican | Cliff Stearns (incumbent) | 21,398 | 33.0 | |
Republican | Steve Oelrich | 12,329 | 19.0 | |
Republican | James Jett | 8,769 | 13.5 | |
Total votes | 64,769 | 100.0 |
Nominee
- J.R. Gaillot, policy consultant
Endorsements
- Organizations
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Yoho (R) |
J. R. Gaillot (D) |
Undecided |
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StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | 56% | 31% | 13% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Ted Yoho | 204,331 | 64.7 | ||
Democratic | J. R. Gaillot | 102,468 | 32.5 | ||
Independent | Philip Dodds | 8,870 | 2.8 | ||
Total votes | 315,669 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 4
Florida's new 4th district voting age population is 74.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.9% other races (non-Hispanic)[6] Republican incumbent Ander Crenshaw, who has represented the 4th District since 2001, ran for re-election.[28]
Nominee
- Ander Crenshaw, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Bob Black
- Deborah Pueschel
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) | 46,788 | 71.9 | |
Republican | Bob Black | 11,816 | 18.1 | |
Republican | Deborah Katz Pueschel | 6,505 | 10.0 | |
Total votes | 65,109 | 100.0 |
Withdrawn
- Gary Koniz
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) | 239,988 | 76.1 | |
Independent | Jim Klauder | 75,236 | 23.8 | |
Independent | Gary Koniz (write-in) | 246 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 315,470 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
District 5
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County results Brown: 60–70% 70–80% Kolb: 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 5th district voting age population is 49% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 36.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 10% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.1% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.7% other races (non-Hispanic)[6] It is the successor to the former 3rd district, which has been represented by Democrat Corrine Brown since 1993.[29]
Nominee
- Corrine Brown, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
- LeAnne Kolb[30]
Libertarian primary
Gerald Nyren announced plans to run as a Libertarian Party candidate.[31]
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Corrine Brown (incumbent) | 190,472 | 70.8 | |
Republican | LeAnne Kolb | 70,700 | 26.3 | |
Independent | Eileen Fleming | 7,978 | 3.0 | |
Independent | Bruce Raey Riggs (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 269,153 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 6
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County results DeSantis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, most of the old 7th district was renumbered as the new 6th district. John Mica, who has represented the 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the neighboring 7th District, and opted to seek re-election there.
Florida's new 6th district voting age population is 82.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 5.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Ron DeSantis, Iraq War veteran and former prosecutor[35]
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Clark, member of the Jacksonville City Council
- Fred Costello, state representative
- William Billy Kogut
- Craig Miller, businessman and Vietnam War veteran
- Alec Pueschel
- Beverly Slough, chairman of St. Johns County School District Board
Declined
- John Mica, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ron DeSantis | 24,132 | 38.8 | |
Republican | Fred Costello | 14,189 | 22.8 | |
Republican | Beverly Slough | 8,229 | 13.2 | |
Republican | Craig Miller | 8,113 | 13.1 | |
Republican | Richard Clark | 6,090 | 9.8 | |
Republican | Alec Pueschel | 739 | 1.2 | |
Republican | William Billy Kogut | 628 | 1.0 | |
Total votes | 62,120 | 100.0 |
Nominee
- Heather Beaven, former Navy cryptologist and nominee for the 7th district in 2010[36]
Eliminated in primary
- Vipin Verma, attorney[37]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Heather Beaven | 29,909 | 80.5 | |
Democratic | Vipin Verma | 7,253 | 19.5 | |
Total votes | 37,162 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Ron DeSantis | 195,962 | 57.3 | ||
Democratic | Heather Beaven | 146,489 | 42.8 | ||
Total votes | 342,451 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 7
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County results Mica: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new 7th District is the successor to the old 24th District, represented by Republican Sandy Adams since 2011. John Mica, who had represented the old 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the new 7th. The new district voting age population is 70.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.1% non-Hispanic blacks (includes multirace), 8.1 percent Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.9 percent Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace) and 4.7% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Nominee
- John Mica, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 6th district
Eliminated in primary
- Sandy Adams, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 24th district
Endorsements
- Organizations
Primary results
Mica defeated Adams in the Republican primary with 61 percent of the vote.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Mica (incumbent) | 32,119 | 61.2 | |
Republican | Sandy Adams (incumbent) | 20,404 | 38.8 | |
Total votes | 52,523 | 100.0 |
Nominee
- Jason Kendall, social media consultant and sales manager
Eliminated in primary
- Nicholas Ruiz
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jason H. Kendall | 12,816 | 61.3 | |
Democratic | Nicholas Ruiz | 8,088 | 38.7 | |
Total votes | 20,904 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | John Mica (incumbent) | 185,518 | 58.7 | ||
Democratic | Jason H. Kenall | 130,479 | 41.3 | ||
Independent | Fred Marra (write-in) | 13 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 316,010 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 8
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County results Posey: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new 8th District was the successor to the 15th District, represented by Republican Bill Posey since 2009. The voting age population was 80.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
- Shannon Roberts, former NASA & federal official and Cape Canaveral City Council Member[41]
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 205,432 | 58.9 | ||
Democratic | Shannon Roberts | 130,870 | 37.5 | ||
Independent | Richard Gillmor | 12,607 | 3.6 | ||
Total votes | 348,909 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 9
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County results Grayson: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new 9th district, an open seat located south of Orlando, is expected to favor Democrats.[42] It contains all of Osceola County, part of Orange County (including the Orlando International Airport), and part of Polk County. The district's inhabitants voted overwhelmingly for President Barack Obama, preferring him to John McCain 60-39%. In addition, the district will contain a plurality of whites, at 43%, followed by Hispanics and blacks, who will make up 41% and 12% of the population, respectively.[43][44][45] The new 9th district voting age population is 42.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 39.1% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.1% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.6% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative[46]
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Julius Melendez
- John Quinones
- Mark Oxner, businessman
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Todd Long | 12,585 | 47.3 | |
Republican | John "Q" Quinones | 7,514 | 28.3 | |
Republican | Julius Anthony Melendez | 3,983 | 15.0 | |
Republican | Mark Oxner | 2,510 | 9.4 | |
Total votes | 26,592 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[32]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[33]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[34]
- Organizations
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alan Grayson (D) |
Todd Long (R) |
Undecided |
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Gravis Marketing (D-Grayson) | October 11–12, 2012 | 487 | ± 4.5% | 56% | 41% | 3% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 363 | ± 5.1% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Kitchens (D-Grayson) | September 18–21, 2012 | 507 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | 19% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 629 | ± 5.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Safe D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Safe D (flip) | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe D (flip) | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Alan Grayson | 164,891 | 62.5 | ||
Republican | Todd Long | 98,856 | 37.5 | ||
Total votes | 263,747 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
District 10
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County results Webster: 50–60% Demings: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, the 8th district was renumbered as the 10th district. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the 8th district since January 2011, sort re-election.[42] The new 10th district voting age population is 69.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.4% other races (non-Hispanic).[6]
Nominee
- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
- Val Demings, former Chief of the Orlando Police Department and wife of the Orange County Sheriff[51]
Declined
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative[52]
Endorsements
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[32]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[33]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[34]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[18]
- EMILY's List[53]
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Daniel Webster (R) |
Val Demings (D) |
Undecided |
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Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC) | October 11–14, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 498 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC) | September 22–25, 2012 | 402 | ± % | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Lean R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 164,649 | 51.7 | ||
Democratic | Val Demings | 153,574 | 48.3 | ||
Independent | Naipaul Seegolam (write-in) | 46 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 318,269 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 11
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County results Nugent: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, most of the old 5th District became the 11th District. Rich Nugent, who had represented the 5th since 2011, ran for re-election in the 11th.[54] The new 11th district voting age population is 83.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7.3% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Rich Nugent, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
- David Werder[41]
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rich Nugent (incumbent) | 218,360 | 64.5 | ||
Democratic | H. David Werder | 120,303 | 35.5 | ||
Total votes | 338,663 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 12
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County results Bilirakis : 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, most of the old 9th District became the 12th district. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who has represented the 9th District since 2007, ran for re-election in the 12th.[55] The new 12th district voting age population is 82.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 9.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.5% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
- Jonathan Snow, photo specialist and former teacher[41]
Independents
John Russell, an acute care nurse practitioner, had announced prior to redistricting that he would run as an independent in the 11th District.[56] However, after he was drawn into the 12th, he opted to seek election there.[41]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gus Bilirakis (R) |
Jonathan Snow (D) |
Paul Elliott (I) |
John Russell (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | 57% | 27% | 2% | 2% | 12% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 209,604 | 63.5 | ||
Democratic | Jonathan Michael Snow | 108,770 | 32.9 | ||
Independent | John Russell | 6,878 | 2.1 | ||
Independent | Paul Siney Elliott | 4,915 | 1.5 | ||
Total votes | 330,167 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 13
In redistricting, most of the old 10th District became the 13th District. Bill Young, who has represented the 10th and its predecessors since 1971, ran for re-election. The new 13th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Bill Young, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Darren Ayres
- Madeline Vance
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | C. W. Bill Young (incumbent) | 39,395 | 69.1 | |
Republican | Darren Ayres | 10,548 | 18.5 | |
Republican | Madeline Vance | 7,049 | 12.4 | |
Total votes | 56,992 | 100.0 |
Nominee
- Jessica Ehrlich, attorney and former Legislative Counsel for Representatives Clay Shaw and Stephen Lynch[57]
Withdrawn
- Nina Hayden
Declined
- Charlie Justice, former state senator and nominee for this seat in 2010[58]
- Rick Kriseman, state representative
- Janet Long, former state representative
- Kenneth Welch, Pinellas County Commissioner
Declined
- Charlie Crist, former Governor and candidate for Senate in 2010[59]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Emerging Races" Program[18]
- EMILY's List[53]
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Young (R) |
Jessica Ehrlich (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 533 | ± 4.3% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,691 | ± 5.0% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
DCCC (D) | July 18, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 35% | 16% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Safe R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Young (incumbent) | 189,605 | 57.6 | ||
Democratic | Jessica Ehrlich | 139,742 | 42.4 | ||
Total votes | 329,347 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 14
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County results Castor: 60–70% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, the 11th District was renumbered as the 14th District. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the 11th since 2007, ran for re-election here.[41] Florida's new 14th district voting age population is 46.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 24% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 24% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.8% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
- Evelio Otero, retired Air Force Colonel
Eliminated in primary
- Eddie Adams, architect
Declined
- Michael S. Bennett, state senator[60][61][62]
- Shawn Harrison, state representative[63]
- Mark Sharpe, Hillsborough County Commissioner and nominee for the 11th district in 1994 and 1996[64]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Evelio "EJ" Otero | 12,084 | 60.3 | |
Republican | Eddie Adams | 7,953 | 39.7 | |
Total votes | 20,037 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kathy Castor (D) |
EJ Otero (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,459 | ± 5.0% | 59% | 32% | 9% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | 197,121 | 70.2 | ||
Republican | EJ Otero | 83,480 | 29.8 | ||
Total votes | 280,601 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold | |||||
District 15
In redistricting, the 12th district was renumbered as the 15th district. Dennis Ross, who has represented the 12th district since 2011, ran for re-election[65] The new 15th district voting age population is 68.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative
General election
No other party put up a candidate.
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dennis Ross (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Republican hold | ||||
District 16
In redistricting, the Florida's 13th congressional district was renumbered as the 16th district. Republican Vern Buchanan, who has represented the 13th since 2007, ran for re-election in the 16th after deciding against running for the U.S. Senate.[66][67] The new 16th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Prior to redistricting, former state representative Keith Fitzgerald had announced he would seek the Democratic nomination to challenge Buchanan.[68]
Nominee
- Keith Fitzgerald, former state representative
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[32]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[33]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[34]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[18]
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan (R) |
Keith Fitzgerald (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 897 | ± 5.0% | 56% | 37% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Fitzgerald) | July 18–19, 2012 | 586 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 36% | 19% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan) | July 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan) | March 20–21, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 58% | 36% | 6% |
SEA Polling (D-Fitzgerald) | February 12–18, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Likely R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Likely R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Likely R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 187,147 | 53.6 | ||
Democratic | Keith Fitzgerald | 161,929 | 46.4 | ||
Total votes | 349,076 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 17
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Rooney: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The new 17th district, an open seat for a large district comprising parts of 10 South and Central Florida counties as well as parts of the Everglades watershed, is expected to favor Republicans.[42][69] Republican Tom Rooney, who has represented the 16th district since 2009, ran for re-election in the new 17th district.[70] The new 17th district voting age population is 75.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 7.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.3% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Tom Rooney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Joe Arnold, member of Okeechobee County school board
Withdrawn
- Karen Diebel, former Winter Park city commissioner and candidate for the24th district in 2010[71]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Rooney (incumbent) | 37,881 | 73.2 | |
Republican | Joe Arnold | 13,871 | 26.8 | |
Total votes | 51,752 | 100.0 |
Nominee
- William Bronson, retired Delta Air Lines pilot (formerly an unsuccessful Republican candidate in Massachusetts and Georgia)
Minor Parties
26-year-old Tom Baumann from Miami (who ran unsuccessful campaigns in Minnesota and in the Borough of Manhattan) ran as a write-in candidate for the Socialist Workers Party .
Campaign
As of the September FEC financial reporting deadline Rooney had collected $930,248 in campaign contributions and had $564,716 on hand; the FEC had no reports on Bronson or Baumann.[69][72][73]
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Rooney (incumbent) | 165,488 | 58.6 | ||
Democratic | William Bronson | 116,766 | 41.4 | ||
Socialist Workers | Tom Baumann (write-in) | 12 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 282,266 | 100.0 | |||
Republican win (new seat) |
District 18
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Murphy: 50–60% West: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, ran for re-election in the new 18th district.[74] The new 18th district voting age population is 74.7% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 11.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Allen West, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Crowder, Martin County Sheriff[75]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Allen B. West (incumbent) | 45,790 | 74.4 | |
Republican | Robert L. Crowder | 15,758 | 25.6 | |
Total votes | 61,548 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Patrick Murphy, an environmental services executive, had planned to seek the Democratic nomination in the 22nd district,[76] but announced in February 2012 that he would continue to challenge West in the 18th district.[77]
Nominee
- Patrick Murphy, environmental services executive
Eliminated in primary
- Jerry Buechler
- Jim Horn
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Patrick Murphy | 26,791 | 79.7 | |
Democratic | Jim Horn | 3,843 | 11.4 | |
Democratic | Jerry Lee Buechler | 2,984 | 8.9 | |
Total votes | 33,618 | 100.0 |
Independents
Marilyn Davis Holloman qualified to run as a write-in.[78] Everett Wilkinson, the chair of the South Florida Tea Party and registered to vote with no party affiliation, decided not to run.[79]
Endorsements
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[32]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[33]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[34]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[18]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2012
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allen West (R) |
Patrick Murphy (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 25–26, 2012 | 631 | ± ?% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy) | October 16–17, 2012 | 333 | ± 5.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Sunshine State News/VSS | October 16–17, 2012 | 752 | ± 3.6% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 902 | ± 3.3% | 53% | 41% | 7% |
Kimball Political Consulting (R) | September 28, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC) Archived November 30, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | September 26–27, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-West) | September 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 535 | ± 5.0% | 49% | 43% | 9% |
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) | August 21–24, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy) | May 6–8, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Patrick Murphy | 166,257 | 50.3 | ||
Republican | Allen West (incumbent) | 164,353 | 49.7 | ||
Independent | Marilyn Davis Holloman (write-in) | 55 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 330,665 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 19
In redistricting, the 14th district was renumbered as the 19th district.[42] Connie Mack IV, who has represented the 14th district since 2005, will run for the U.S. Senate rather than for re-election.[81] The new 19th district voting age population is 77.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Trey Radel, conservative radio talk show host[82]
Eliminated in primary
- Gary Aubuchon, state representative[83]
- Joe Davidow, attorney[84]
- Byron Donalds, banker
- Chauncey Goss, son of former Director of Central Intelligence Porter Goss[85]
- Paige Kreegel, state representative[86]
Withdrawn
- Timothy John Rossano[87]
Declined
- Tom Grady, commissioner of the Florida Office of Financial Regulation
- Dudley Goodlette, state representative[88]
- Tammy Hall, Lee County Commissioner[89][90]
- Jeff Kottkamp, former Lieutenant Governor of Florida[90]
- Ray Judah, Lee County Commissioner[89][90]
- Ray Price, member of the Naples City Council
- Garrett Richter, state senator[89]
- Burt Saunders, former state senator[89][90]
- John Sawyer, state representative[91]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Trey Radel | 22,304 | 30.0 | |
Republican | Chauncey Porter Goss | 16,005 | 21.5 | |
Republican | Paige Kreegel | 13,167 | 17.7 | |
Republican | Gary Aubuchon | 11,498 | 15.5 | |
Republican | Byron Donalds | 10,389 | 14.0 | |
Republican | Joe Davidow | 1,028 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 74,391 | 100.0 |
Nominee
Independents
Brandon Smith is on the general election ballot as an independent candidate.
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Trey Radel | 189,833 | 62.0 | ||
Democratic | Jim Roach | 109,746 | 35.8 | ||
Independent | Brandon M. Smith | 6,637 | 2.2 | ||
Total votes | 306,216 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 20
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Hastings: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, the 23rd District was renumbered as the 20th District. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who has represented the 23rd since 1993, ran for reelection—in effect, trading district numbers with fellow Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz. The new 20th district voting age population is 49.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 35.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn
- Bernard Sansaricq, former president of the Senate of Haiti and nominee for this seat in 2010[93]
Independents
- Randall Terry, anti-abortion activist
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 214,727 | 87.9 | ||
Independent | Randall Terry | 29,553 | 12.1 | ||
Independent | Anthony M. Dutrow (write-in) | 5 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 244,285 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold | |||||
District 21
In redistricting, most of the old 19th District became the 21st District. Ted Deutch, who has represented the 19th district since April 2010, ran for re-election[94] The new 21st district voting age population is 66.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative
Independents
Cesar Augusto Henao Cañas was an independent candidate.[95]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 221,263 | 77.8 | ||
Independent | W. Michael (Mike) Trout | 37,776 | 13.3 | ||
Independent | Cesar Henao | 25,361 | 8.9 | ||
Total votes | 284,400 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold | |||||
District 22
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Frankel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Republican Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, sought re-election in the new 18th district.[74] The new 22nd district voting age population is 69.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Adam Hasner, former majority leader of the Florida House of Representatives[96]
Declined
- Chip LaMarca, Broward County Commissioner[97]
Nominee
- Lois Frankel, former mayor of West Palm Beach, Florida[96]
Eliminated in primary
- Kristin Jacobs, Broward County Commissioner[98]
Declined
- John Rodstrom, Broward County Commissioner[99]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel | 18,483 | 61.4 | |
Democratic | Kristin Jacobs | 11,644 | 38.6 | |
Total votes | 30,127 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[32]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[33]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[34]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Majority Makers" Program[18]
- EMILY's List[53]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[48]
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Hasner (R) |
Lois Frankel (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anzalone-Liszt (D-Frankel) | October 18–21, 2012 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Sunshine State News/VSS | October 14–16, 2012 | 750 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
DCCC (D) | October 10, 2012 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 13% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,054 | ± 5.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Likely D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Likely D (flip) | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Lean D (flip) | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel | 171,021 | 54.6 | ||
Republican | Adam Hasner | 142,050 | 45.4 | ||
Total votes | 313,071 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 23
In redistricting, the 20th District was renumbered as the 23rd District. DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz who has represented the 20th since 2005, ran for re-election. The new 23rd district voting age population is 48.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Karen Harrington | 8,043 | 47.8 | |
Republican | Joe Kaufman | 3,383 | 20.1 | |
Republican | Ozzie deFaria | 2,356 | 14.0 | |
Republican | Juan Eliel Garcia | 1,674 | 9.9 | |
Republican | Gineen Bresso | 1,380 | 8.2 | |
Total votes | 16,836 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 174,205 | 63.2 | ||
Republican | Karen Harrington | 98,096 | 35.6 | ||
Independent | Ilya Katz | 3,129 | 1.1 | ||
Total votes | 275,430 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold | |||||
District 24
In redistricting, most of the old 17th District was renumbered as the 24th District. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the 17th since 2011, sought reelection. Thr new 24th district voting age population was 51.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 3.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.5% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Rudy Moise, doctor and candidate for this seat in 2010
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 42,807 | 66.4 | |
Democratic | Rudolph Moise | 21,680 | 33.6 | |
Total votes | 64,487 | 100.0 |
General election
Wilson was unopposed in the general election.
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 25
| |||||||||||||||||||||
County results Diaz-Balart: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, the 21st district was renumbered as the 25th district. Republican Mario Diaz-Balart, who has represented the 21st district since 2011, ran for re-election.[42] The new 25th district voting age population is 68.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 21.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Mario Diaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mario Diaz-Balart (incumbent) | 151,466 | 75.6 | ||
Independent | Stanley Blumenthal | 31,664 | 15.8 | ||
Independent | VoteForEddie.com[104] | 17,099 | 8.5 | ||
Total votes | 200,229 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
District 26
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Garcia: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
In redistricting, the old 25th District was renumbered as the 26th district. Republican David Rivera, who has represented the 25th since 2011, ran for reelection.[42] The new 26th district voting age population is 67.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 20.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.4% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- David Rivera, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
Nominee
- Joe Garcia, attorney, activist and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Gustavo Marin, nonprofit consultant, university professor, and political analyst
- Gloria Romero Roses, managing partner at Nexus Homes
- Lamar Sternad, hotel Auditor
Declined
- Luis Garcia, state representative[106]
- Annette Taddeo, businesswoman and nominee for the 18th district in 2008,[107]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Garcia | 13,927 | 53.4 | |
Democratic | Gloria Romero Roses | 8,027 | 30.8 | |
Democratic | Lamar Sternad | 2,856 | 10.9 | |
Democratic | Gustavo Marin | 1,286 | 4.9 | |
Total votes | 26,096 | 100.0 |
Campaign
Due to redistricting and constitutional amendments passed in 2010 restricting gerrymandering, the race was considered a toss-up. While the old 25th leaned Republican, the new district was split narrowly in half between Republicans and Democrats.
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[32]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[33]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[34]
- Organizations
- Democracy for America[47]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[18]
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Rivera (R) |
Joe Garcia (D) |
Angel Fernandez (I) |
José Peixoto (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson (D-DCCC) | October 9–11, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 35% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 15% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 473 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 41% | 2% | 3% | 12% |
NORS (R-Rivera) | September 13–19, 2012 | 422 | ± ?% | 44% | 38% | — | — | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America) | September 12–13, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 46% | — | — | 16% |
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) | September 8–13, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 41% | 50% | — | — | 9% |
Benenson (D-Garcia) | August 20–22, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 49% | — | — | 11% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[20] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[21] | Lean D (flip) | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Lean D (flip) | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times[23] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[24] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[25] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Garcia | 135,694 | 53.6 | ||
Republican | David Rivera (incumbent) | 108,820 | 43.0 | ||
Independent | Angel Fernandez | 5,726 | 2.3 | ||
Independent | José Peixoto | 2,717 | 1.1 | ||
Total votes | 252,957 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 27
In redistricting, the old 18th District was renumbered as the 27th District. Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who has represented the 18th since 1989, will ran for re-election. The new 27th district voting age population is 72.8% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 17.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 5.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2% other races (non-Hispanic)[6]
Nominee
- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, incumbent U.S. Representative
Nominee
- Manny Yevancey[41]
Withdrawn
- Patrick Post
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (incumbent) | 138,488 | 60.2 | ||
Democratic | Manny Yevancey | 85,020 | 36.9 | ||
Independent | Thomas Joe Cruz-Wiggins | 6,663 | 2.9 | ||
Total votes | 230,171 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold | |||||
References
- Wells, Carrie (November 3, 2010). "Lawsuits Already Filed Over District Lines Amendments". The Ledger. Archived from the original on November 5, 2010. Retrieved February 11, 2012.
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External links
- Florida Division of Elections
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012 at Ballotpedia
- Florida U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Florida from OpenSecrets
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
- Election 2012: Video candidate interviews, Orlando Sentinel