2023 Jacksonville mayoral election
The 2023 Jacksonville mayoral election was held on March 21, 2023, with a runoff held on May 16. Incumbent Republican mayor Lenny Curry was term-limited and could not seek a third term in office. Seven candidates filed to run, including four Republicans, two Democrats, and an independent. Jacksonville mayoral elections use a blanket primary system where all candidates, regardless of party affiliation, appear on the same ballot.
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Turnout | First round: 25.7% 1.14 pp Final round: 33.07% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Deegan: <30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Davis: <30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Ferraro: 30–40% 40–50% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
Nonprofit founder Donna Deegan, a Democrat, and Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce president Daniel Davis, a Republican, took the top two spots in the primary election. Because no candidate surpassed 50% of the vote, Deegan and Davis advanced to a runoff. Candidates eliminated in the initial primary included city councilors Al Ferraro and LeAnna Cumber, both Republicans, and former state senate minority leader Audrey Gibson, a Democrat.[2]
Deegan defeated Davis in the runoff, becoming the first woman ever to be elected Mayor of Jacksonville and the first Democrat to be elected since Alvin Brown in 2011.[3] About 217,000 people voted in the runoff election, for a turnout of 33%.[4] Deegan's win resulted in Jacksonville losing its status as the most populous city in the United States with a Republican mayor; that instead became Fort Worth, Texas.[5]
Background
Jacksonville became the most populous city in the United States with a Republican mayor when Democrats flipped the mayorship of San Diego, California in 2020. Republicans had held the mayorship of Jacksonville continuously since 1993 with the exception of one four-year period when Democrat Alvin Brown served as mayor following his upset victory in the 2011 election. However, the consolidated city-county of Jacksonville and Duval County has historically been more Democratic-leaning than other counties in the state. In 2018, the Democratic nominees for governor and U.S. Senate both narrowly carried Jacksonville even as they lost statewide; in 2022, although the city voted for the Republican nominee in the gubernatorial and Senate contests, it still voted to the left of the state as a whole.[6]
Primary election
Campaign
The two leading Republicans were backed by different factions of the business community; Daniel Davis aligned himself with the network of developers, CEOs, and elected officials who backed incumbent mayor Lenny Curry and who traditionally hold great influence over city elections, while LeAnna Cumber was backed by a more conservative group of outsiders.[7] Florida Politics commented that Cumber had the support of "various anti-Lenny Curry Republicans" in local government.[8] Cumber heavily criticized Curry's effort to raise the Jacksonville gas tax, while Davis avoided taking positions on specific city issues and instead made broad appeals for unity.[7] Al Ferraro was considered to have the most conservative platform of any candidate but lacked the fundraising and endorsements of Cumber and Davis, though his position improved over time due to well-received debate performances and improving polling numbers.[9]
The campaign between Cumber and Davis was heated, with Davis running ads labeling Cumber a "fake conservative" because she donated to Democratic politicians in the past and Cumber running ads claiming that Davis "voted to make it easier for criminals to cover up sexual assaults against children," criticizing him for voting to let DACA recipients get driver's licenses, and accusing him of contributing to rising crime rates in Jacksonville.[10][11][12][13] Both candidates also ran ads accusing each other of supporting the privatization of JEA, the city's publicly-owned electric utility, though they each denied that they would sell it if elected mayor.[14] In February 2023, the city council began investigating ties between Cumber's husband and a company that attempted to buy JEA. Cumber claimed the probe was orchestrated by allies of Davis to help him win the mayoral election.[15]
In comparison, the two Democrats largely avoided criticizing each other and both ran on their own strengths, with Donna Deegan running a positive TV ad focused on her life story.[16] Audrey Gibson is a longtime fixture of Jacksonville politics and had a reputation for working across the aisle during her time in the state legislature.[7] Additionally, she was considered to have an advantage because 55% of registered Democrats in Jacksonville are black and she has a history of performing well in heavily African-American areas.[17] However, Deegan has a great deal of name recognition from her time as a television journalist and the frequent public appearances she made during her mayoral bid. She prioritized small donors and was the only candidate to qualify for the ballot via petition rather than paying a fee. Deegan raised significantly more than Gibson, though her fundraising was still considered lackluster in comparison to Cumber and Davis.[7]
Declared
- LeAnna Cumber, city councilor[18][19]
- Daniel Davis, president of the Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce, former state representative, and former president of the Jacksonville City Council[20][19]
- Al Ferraro, city councilor[21][19]
- Frank Keasler, consultant[22][19]
Declined
- Ron Salem, at-large city councilor[25]
Declared
- Donna Deegan, breast cancer nonprofit founder, former First Coast News anchor, cousin of former mayor Tommy Hazouri, and nominee for Florida's 4th congressional district in 2020[26][19]
- Audrey Gibson, former Minority Leader of the Florida Senate[27][19]
Declined
- Brenda Priestly Jackson, city councilor (ran for an at-large council seat)[29]
- Kimberly Daniels, state representative and former city councilor[29]
Declared
Did not qualify
Fundraising
As of December, Cumber and Davis held a wide lead in fundraising; Davis led with $4.5 million on hand while Cumber had $2.8 million. Al Ferraro lagged behind with $240,000. Among the Democrats, Donna Deegan had the most cash on hand with $590,000, while Audrey Gibson followed with $250,000.[30]
Endorsements
In March 2023, flyers were distributed at polling places in northwest Jacksonville that listed candidates purportedly endorsed by former U.S. Representative Corrine Brown in the Jacksonville primary elections. The flyer recommended a Democratic candidate in every race except the mayoral race, where it recommended Republican LeAnna Cumber. Brown, a Democrat, claimed the flyers were fake and said that she had not endorsed any candidates yet, though she said there were "very qualified Democrats in the race for Mayor."[31]
- Federal officials
- Eduardo Aguirre, former United States Ambassador to Spain (2005–2009) and director of the United States Citizenship and Immigration Services (2003–2005)[32]
- Sada Cumber, former United States Special Envoy to the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (2008–2009) (her uncle-in-law)[32]
- Rick Perry, former United States Secretary of Energy (2017–2019) and Governor of Texas (2000–2015)[32]
- Frank Zeidman, former Chairman Emeritus of the United States Holocaust Museum Council (2002–2010) and Republican Jewish Coalition Board Member (2014–present)[32]
- U.S. Senators
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[33]
- U.S. Representatives
- Jim Banks, U.S. Representative from IN-3 (2017–present)[33]
- Statewide officials
- Jennifer Carroll, former Lieutenant Governor of Florida (2011–2013)[34]
- State legislators
- Jay Fant, former state representative from the 15th district (2014–2018)[33]
- Dick Kravitz, former state representative from the 19th district (2000–2008)[35]
- Local officials
- William Bishop, former president of the Jacksonville city council (2012–2015) from the 2nd district (2007–2015)[35]
- April Carney, Duval County Public Schools board member from the 2nd district (2022–present)[36]
- Randy DeFoor, Jacksonville city councilor from the 14th district (2019–present)[37]
- Jerry Holland, Duval County property appraiser (2019–present) and former president of the Jacksonville city council (2002–2003) from the 3rd district (1999–2005)[38]
- Edward Skinner Jones, former Neptune Beach city councilor (1997–2005)[39]
- Lauren Key, Neptune Beach city councilor from the 2nd district (2020–present)[39]
- Sean Lynch, mayor of Baldwin (2016–present)[40]
- Josh Messinger, Neptune Beach city councilor from the 4th district (2018–present)[39]
- Jessica Ring, Atlantic Beach city commissioner from the 5th district (2022–present)[39]
- Jack Webb, former president of the Jacksonville city council (2010–2011) from the 6th district (2007–2011)[35]
- Scott Wilson, former president of the Jacksonville city council (2019–2020) from the 4th district (2015–2023)[35]
- Labor unions
- Florida First Coast Chapter of the Associated Builders and Contractors[41]
- Organizations
- Florida State Hispanic Chamber of Commerce[36]
- First Coast Chapter of the National Association of Manufacturers[36]
- Federal officials
- John Rutherford, U.S. Representative for Florida's 4th congressional district (2017–present) and former Jacksonville Sheriff (2003–2015)[42]
- Local officials
- John Peyton, former Mayor of Jacksonville (2003–2011)[20]
- T.K. Waters, Jacksonville Sheriff (2023–present)[43]
- Organizations
- Jacksonville Fraternal Order of Police[44]
- State officials
- Nikki Fried, former Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–2023)[45]
- Local officials
- Garrett Dennis, former Jacksonville city councilor from the 9th district (2015–2022)[46]
- Ellen Glasser, former mayor of Atlantic Beach (2017–2022) (Republican)[47]
- Harriet Pruette, former mayor of Neptune Beach (2008–2016)[47]
- Labor unions
- North Florida Letters Carriers Local Branch 53[48]
- Organizations
- EMILY's List[49]
- Jacksonville National Organization for Women PAC (co-endorsement with Gibson)[46]
- Ruth's List Florida[50]
- Organizations
- Jacksonville National Organization for Women PAC (co-endorsement with Deegan)[46]
- Organizations
- Organizations
- Jacksonville Association of Fire Fighters[44]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Allen (I) |
Cumber (R) |
Davis (R) |
Deegan (D) |
Ferraro (R) |
Gibson (D) |
Keasler (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida | February 20–24, 2023 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 37% | 8% | 7% | 1% | – | 22% |
Florida Politics/St. Pete Polls | February 13, 2023 | 478 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 4% | 18% | 35% | 11% | 10% | <1% | – | 20% |
University of North Florida | August 8–12, 2022 | 491 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 31% | 8% | 10% | <1% | 10%[lower-alpha 2] | 20% |
Frederick Polls (D)[upper-alpha 1] | June 22–25, 2022 | 618 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 8% | 17% | 30% | 11% | 17% | 3% | 1%[lower-alpha 3] | 9% |
University of North Florida | February 11–16, 2022 | 443 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 41% | 7% | – | – | 22%[lower-alpha 4] | – |
University of North Florida | May 11–16, 2021 | 1,263 (RV) | ± 2.8% | – | 3% | 6% | 19% | 3% | – | – | 57%[lower-alpha 5] | 13% |
Results
The Republican candidates combined for roughly 51% of the vote, while the Democrats combined for 48%. This was the highest first-round combined vote share for Democrats in a Jacksonville mayoral race since the 1995 election.[52]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donna Deegan | 66,160 | 39.43% | |
Republican | Daniel Davis | 41,492 | 24.73% | |
Republican | Al Ferraro | 27,256 | 16.24% | |
Democratic | Audrey Gibson | 14,433 | 8.60% | |
Republican | LeAnna Cumber | 12,715 | 7.58% | |
Republican | Frank Keasler | 4,010 | 2.39% | |
Independent | Omega Allen | 1,583 | 0.94% | |
Write-in | 153 | 0.09% | ||
Total votes | 167,802 | 100.00% |
Runoff
Endorsements
Endorsements in bold were made after the first round.
- Federal officials
- John Rutherford, U.S. Representative for Florida's 4th congressional district (2017–present) and former Jacksonville Sheriff (2003–2015)[42]
- U.S. Senators
- Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present) and former Governor of Florida (2011–2019)[53]
- Statewide elected officials
- Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present)[54]
- Wilton Simpson, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2023–present)[55]
- State legislators
- Dean Black, state representative from the 15th district (2022–present) and chair of the Duval County Republican Party (2018–present)[56]
- Local officials
- Joe Carlucci, Jacksonville city councilor-elect from the 5th district (2023–present)[57]
- Lenny Curry, Mayor of Jacksonville (2015–2023)[54]
- John Peyton, former Mayor of Jacksonville (2003–2011)[20]
- T.K. Waters, Jacksonville Sheriff (2023–present)[43]
- Organizations
- Jacksonville Fraternal Order of Police[44]
- Political parties
- Duval County Republican Party[58]
- Federal officials
- Al Lawson, former U.S. Representative for Florida's 5th congressional district (2017–2023)[59]
- State officials
- Nikki Fried, former Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–2023)[45]
- Local officials
- Anna Lopez Brosche, former at-large (2018–2019) president of the Jacksonville city council (2015–2019) and runner-up for mayor in 2019 (Republican)[60]
- Matt Carlucci, at-large Jacksonville city councilor (1987–present) (Republican)[24]
- Randy DeFoor, Jacksonville city councilor from the 14th district (2019–present) (Republican)[61] (endorsed Cumber in the first round)[37]
- Garrett Dennis, former Jacksonville city councilor from the 9th district (2015–2022)[46]
- Ellen Glasser, former mayor of Atlantic Beach (2017–2022) (Republican)[47]
- Suzanne Jenkins, former vice president of the Jacksonville city council (2001–2002) from the 4th district (1999–2007) (Republican)[62]
- Harriet Pruette, former mayor of Neptune Beach (2008–2016)[47]
- Eric Smith, former at-large (1979–1999) president of the Jacksonville city council (1990–1991, 1996–1997)[62]
- Scott Wilson, former president of the Jacksonville city council (2019–2020) from the 4th district (2015–2023) (Republican)[62] (endorsed Cumber in the first round)[35]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Florida[63]
- North Florida Letters Carriers Local Branch 53[48]
- Newspapers and other media
- The Florida Squeeze[64]
- Organizations
- Center for Biological Diversity Action Fund[65]
- EMILY's List[49]
- Equality Florida Action PAC[66]
- Food & Water Action[65]
- Friends of the Earth Action Fund[65]
- Jacksonville National Organization for Women PAC (co-endorsed Gibson in the first round)[46]
- Jacksonville Young Democrats[67]
- Ruth's List Florida[50]
- Political parties
- Duval County Democratic Party[68]
- Stage legislators
- Audrey Gibson, former Florida Senate Minority Leader (2018–2020) from the 6th district (2011–2022) and 4th-place finisher in the primary election (Democratic)[69]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Deegan (D) |
Davis (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Politics/St. Pete Polls | May 14, 2023 | 416 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
University of North Florida | April 10–14, 2023 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
Frederick Polls (D)[upper-alpha 1] | April 3–4, 2023 | 1,162 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 46% | –[lower-alpha 6] |
University of North Florida | February 20–24, 2023 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 14% |
Florida Politics/St. Pete Polls | February 13, 2023 | 478 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 26% | 23% |
- Donna Deegan vs. LeAnna Cumber
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Deegan (D) |
Cumber (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida | February 20–24, 2023 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 30% | 18% |
Florida Politics/St. Pete Polls | February 13, 2023 | 478 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 55% | 16% | 30% |
- Donna Deegan vs. Al Ferraro
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Deegan (D) |
Ferraro (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida | February 20–24, 2023 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donna Deegan | 113,226 | 52.08% | ||
Republican | Daniel Davis | 104,172 | 47.92% | ||
Total votes | 217,398 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Darcy Richardson and Theresa Richardson each with <1%; "Someone else" with 10%
- Darcy Richardson with 1%
- Darcy Richardson with 2%; other unspecified candidates with 20%
- Matt Carlucci with 18%; Alvin Brown with 14%; Joyce Morgan with 5%; "Other" with 20%
- Respondents were not given the option to say they were undecided.
- Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by Deegan's campaign
References
- Hogan, Mike (May 19, 2023). "2023 Unitary General". Florida Elections Commission Duval County Supervisor of Elections. Retrieved May 20, 2023.
- "Daniel Davis, Donna Deegan headed for runoff in Jacksonville mayor's race". First Coast News. March 21, 2023.
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- Anderson, Curt; Farrington, Brendan (May 17, 2023). "Jacksonville elects first female mayor, giving Florida Democrats a rare win in GOP-dominated state". AP News.
- Singer, Jeff (May 16, 2023). "Democrats win mayor's race in Jacksonville, the biggest city in America run by the GOP". Daily Kos.
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- Heddles, Claire (December 3, 2021). "Councilman Matt Carlucci drops out of Jacksonville mayoral race". WJCT Public Media. Retrieved May 5, 2022.
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- Samantha Mathers (May 25, 2021). "Jacksonville City Councilman Ron Salem files for re-election". Action News Jax. CBS News 47 and Fox 30.
- Mathers, Samantha (November 9, 2021). "It's official: Donna Deegan announces run for Jacksonville Mayor". Action News Jacksonville. CBS News 47 and Fox 30.
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- Gancarski, A.G. (February 20, 2023). "Jennifer Carroll, Quisha King back LeAnna Cumber for Jax Mayor". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
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- Gancarski, A.G. (July 19, 2022). "Randy DeFoor endorses LeAnna Cumber for Jacksonville Mayor". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 29, 2022.
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- Holthaus, Hanna (March 31, 2023). "Florida Governor Ron DeSantis endorses Daniel Davis for Jacksonville mayor". The Florida Times-Union. Retrieved March 31, 2023.
- Gancarski, A.G. (April 11, 2023). "Donors rally to Daniel Davis in Jacksonville mayoral race". Florida Politics.
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- Gancarski, A.G. (April 11, 2023). "Al Lawson endorses Donna Deegan for Jacksonville Mayor". Florida Politics.
- Gancarski, A.G. (May 15, 2023). "Anna Brosche latest former Republican official to back Donna Deegan for Jax Mayor". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 15, 2023.
- "Randy DeFoor endorses Donna Deegan for Jacksonville Mayor". 104.5 WOKV. CBS News 47, Fox 30, and Action News Jax. May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
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- Jacksonville Young Democrats of America (@JaxYoungDems) (March 22, 2023). "Well friends, we made it through another DUUUVAL Election Night and one things for certain: we HAVE to get Donna Deegan elected Mayor". Twitter. Retrieved May 15, 2023.
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- Gancarski, A.G. (March 23, 2023). "Audrey Gibson will not endorse Donna Deegan for Jacksonville Mayor". Florida Politics.
"I'm not endorsing anyone," she said.
- Hogan, Mike (May 19, 2023). "Duval County - 2023 Unitary General Official Results". Duval Elections Florida Elections Commission. Retrieved May 20, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
- LeAnna Cumber (R) for Mayor
- Donna Deegan (D) for Mayor
- Al Ferraro (R) for Mayor
- Audrey Gibson (D) for Mayor
- Frank Keasler (R) for Mayor
- Omega Allen (I) for Mayor
- Daniel Davis (R) for Mayor
Preceded by 2019 |
Jacksonville mayoral election 2023 |
Succeeded by 2027 |