Hull—Aylmer

Hull—Aylmer (formerly known as Hull) is a federal electoral district in Quebec, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1917.

For the provincial electoral district, see Hull (provincial electoral district). For the British constituency, see Hull (UK Parliament constituency).

Hull—Aylmer
Quebec electoral district
Hull—Aylmer in relation to districts in the Gatineau/Hull region (2003 boundaries)
Coordinates:45.429°N 75.802°W / 45.429; -75.802
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Greg Fergus
Liberal
District created1914
First contested1917
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)[1]105,419
Electors (2019)79,072
Area (km²)[2]65
Pop. density (per km²)1,621.8
Census division(s)Gatineau
Census subdivision(s)Gatineau

It was created as "Hull" in 1914 from parts of Labelle and Wright ridings. It was renamed "Hull—Aylmer" in 1984.

It encompasses the parts of the sectors of Hull and Aylmer located in the city of Gatineau, Quebec. The neighbouring ridings are Gatineau, Pontiac, Ottawa West—Nepean, Ottawa Centre, and Ottawa—Vanier.

With its large percentage of civil servants, the riding was a Liberal stronghold for almost a century, and the safest Liberal riding in the province outside Greater Montreal. Even when the rest of the province was turning its back on the Liberals, they survived in Hull—Aylmer in 1984, 2004 and 2006. In 2008, however, it was the only riding in Canada where four candidates received over 15% of the vote, and was the only riding in Quebec outside the Montreal area the Liberals won. In a major turnaround during the 2011 elections, however, the New Democratic Party won the riding as part of its sweep of the Outaouais. To date, this is the only time the Liberals have lost this riding in an election. The winner of that election, Nycole Turmel, was the interim leader of the NDP from July 28, 2011 until March 24, 2012, following the death of NDP leader Jack Layton. The only other time it was out of Liberal hands was from 1990 to 1993, when Gilles Rocheleau crossed the floor to the Bloc Québécois.

Hull—Aylmer lost territory to Pontiac during the 2012 electoral redistribution. It reverted to form at the 2015 election, when Liberal Greg Fergus handily defeated Turmel as part of the Liberals' clean sweep of the Outaouais.

Political geography

In the 2006 election, only five polls in the Aylmer sector did not vote Liberal. In the Hull sector, the Bloc Québécois performed very well in almost every neighbourhood. The Bloc's support was the most highly concentrated in the Wrightville, Mont-Bleu and Des Hautes Plaines neighbourhoods of Hull, but they also performed well in Le Plateau, Birch Manor, Jardins-Mackenzie-King, Jardins-Alexandre-Taché, Val-Tétreau, Lac-des-Fées and Ironside. Liberal support was constrained mostly to the neighbourhood of Parc-de-la-Montagne and the Île de Hull which was generally evenly split between the two parties. The Conservatives did not win a single poll in the riding, despite finishing ahead of the NDP which won two in Aylmer. The NDP won a poll in Lakeview Terrace as well as a poll in Parc-Glenwood, where it received less than 25% of the vote, despite winning it.

The strength of the Liberal party in this riding over so many years stems from the federal government influence generally seen in the city of Gatineau. This was the legacy of the federal bilingualism policy of the 1970s (which saw the liberal government of Pierre Trudeau in power) which resulted in the requirement for federal jobs to be distributed on both sides of the river. This was the impetus for the construction of the Portage complex in downtown Hull, which today dominates the commercial sector of the city. A significant number of residents in the riding work for the federal public service, with many working in the federal departments and agencies based in the Place du Portage buildings of downtown Hull. This is in addition to the residents who commute across the bridge to federal jobs in Ottawa.

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census[3]

Ethnic groups: 71.7% White, 11.6% Black, 4.0% Indigenous, 3.9% Arab, 2.4% Latin American, 1.9% Chinese, 1.1% South Asian

Languages: 60.9% French, 17.5% English, 3.2% Arabic, 2.4% Spanish, 1.0% Portuguese, 1.0% Mandarin

Religions: 57.8% Christian (43.7% Catholic, 1.4% Christian Orthodox, 1.1% Anglican, 11.6% Other), 6.7% Muslim, 33.4% None

Median income: $46,000 (2020)

Average income: $55,200 (2020)

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Hull
Riding created from Labelle and Wright
13th  1917–1921     Joseph-Éloi Fontaine Liberal
14th  1921–1925
15th  1925–1926
16th  1926–1930
17th  1930–1935 Alphonse Fournier
18th  1935–1940
19th  1940–1945
20th  1945–1949
21st  1949–1953
22nd  1953–1957 Alexis Caron
23rd  1957–1958
24th  1958–1962
25th  1962–1963
26th  1963–1965
27th  1965–1966
 1966–1968 Pierre Caron
28th  1968–1972 Gaston Isabelle
29th  1972–1974
30th  1974–1979
31st  1979–1980
32nd  1980–1984
Hull—Aylmer
33rd  1984–1988     Gaston Isabelle Liberal
34th  1988–1990 Gilles Rocheleau
 1990–1990     Independent
 1990–1993     Bloc Québécois
35th  1993–1997     Marcel Massé Liberal
36th  1997–1999
 1999–2000 Marcel Proulx
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015     Nycole Turmel New Democratic
42nd  2015–2019     Greg Fergus Liberal
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present

Election results

Hull—Aylmer, 1984–present
Graph of election results in Hull—Aylmer (since 1984, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalGreg Fergus26,89252.5-1.6$63,261.55
Bloc QuébécoisSimon Provost8,32316.2+1.6$12,271.08
New DemocraticSamuel Gendron6,48312.7-0.9$1,357.33
ConservativeSandrine Perion5,50710.7+1.6$12,393.59
People'sEric Fleury1,8643.6+2.4$2,637.53
GreenSimon Gnocchini-Messier1,4592.8-4.2$9,342.81
FreeJosée Lafleur3750.7N/A$4,513.90
RhinocerosMike LeBlanc2030.4±0.0$0.00
IndependentCatherine Dickins1430.3N/A$0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 51,24998.7–$109,916.55
Total rejected ballots 6661.3
Turnout 51,91566.5
Registered voters 78,032
Liberal hold Swing -1.6
Source: Elections Canada[4]
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalGreg Fergus29,73254.1+2.73none listed
Bloc QuébécoisJoanie Riopel8,01114.6+8.06$2,949.94
New DemocraticNicolas Thibodeau7,46713.6-17.92$26,504.52
ConservativeMike Duggan4,9799.1+1.38$18,923.80
GreenJosée Poirier Defoy3,8697.0+5.13$9,958.48
People'sRowen Tanguay6381.2$638.31
RhinocerosSébastien Grenier1950.4$0.00
Marxist–LeninistAlexandre Deschênes1020.2+0.02$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 54,993100.0
Total rejected ballots 692
Turnout 55,68570.4
Eligible voters 79,072
Liberal hold Swing -2.67
Source: Elections Canada[5][6]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalGreg Fergus28,47851.37+30.88$77,403.19
New DemocraticNycole Turmel17,47231.52-27.26$73,823.88
ConservativeÉtienne Boulrice4,2787.72-2.33$3,208.51
Bloc QuébécoisMaude Chouinard-Boucher3,6256.54-2.14$5,830.63
GreenRoger Fleury1,0351.87-0.14$6,523.33
Christian HeritageSean J. Mulligan2910.52–$5,299.81
IndependentLuc Desjardins1600.3––
Marxist–LeninistGabriel Girard1010.18––
Total valid votes/Expense limit 55,440100.0 $213,352.22
Total rejected ballots 391––
Turnout 55,83170.8%–
Eligible voters 78,773
Liberal gain from New Democratic Swing 28.92%
Source: Elections Canada[7][8]
2011 federal election redistributed results[9]
Party Vote  %
  New Democratic29,55358.78
  Liberal10,30220.49
  Conservative5,05110.05
  Bloc Québécois4,3628.68
  Green1,0122.01
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticNycole Turmel35,19459.20+39.37
LiberalMarcel Proulx12,05120.27-17.20
ConservativeNancy Brassard-Fortin6,05810.19-4.94
Bloc QuébécoisDino Lemay5,0198.44-13.63
GreenRoger Fleury1,1251.89-3.37
Total valid votes/Expense limit 59,447100.00
Total rejected ballots 355 0.59
Turnout 59,802 65.50
Eligible voters 91,302––
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalMarcel Proulx19,74737.47+4.78$79,069
Bloc QuébécoisRaphaël Déry11,63522.07-7.30$69,055
New DemocraticPierre Ducasse10,45419.83+4.33$47,534
ConservativePaul Fréchette7,97615.13-2.07$56,752
GreenFrédéric Pouyot2,7745.26+0.26$3,327
Marxist–LeninistGabriel Girard-Bernier1210.230.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 52,707100.00 $89,492
Total rejected ballots ––
Turnout ––
  Liberal hold Swing +6.04
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%Expenditures
LiberalMarcel Proulx17,57632.67$74,347
Bloc QuébécoisAlain Charette15,78829.35$36,796
ConservativeGilles Poirier9,28417.26$57,405
New DemocraticPierre Laliberté8,33415.49$28,016
GreenChristian Doyle2,6874.99$1,907
Marxist–LeninistGabriel Girard-Bernier1250.23$19
Total valid votes/expenditure limit 53,794 100.00 $82,541
Total rejected ballots 323
Turnout 54,117 64.25
Electors on the lists 84,233
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalMarcel Proulx20,13541.87-9.53$61,882
Bloc QuébécoisAlain Charette15,62632.49+9.41$22,285
New DemocraticPierre Laliberté5,70911.87+8.38$23,285
ConservativePierrette Bellefeuille3,9638.24-9.72$11,618
GreenGail Walker2,5615.33–$2,380
Marxist–LeninistChristian Legeais980.20-0.04
Total valid votes/Expense limit 48,092100.00 $81,460

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in the 2000 election.

2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalMarcel Proulx22,38551.40-2.63
Bloc QuébécoisCaroline Brouard10,05123.08-2.40
Progressive ConservativeGuy Dufort4,1819.60+1.39
AllianceMichel Geisterfer3,6398.36+7.36
New DemocraticPeter Piening1,5213.49-4.19
MarijuanaAubert Martins8922.05
Natural LawRita Bouchard4260.98+0.39
IndependentRon Gray1840.42
Canadian ActionRobert Brooks1670.38
Marxist–LeninistAlexandre Legeais1060.24
Total valid votes 43,552100.00

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1999 by-election.

Canadian federal by-election, 15 November 1999
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Resignation of Marcel Massé, 10 September 1999
LiberalMarcel Proulx9,53254.03-0.08
Bloc QuébécoisRobert Bélanger4,49525.48+4.70
Progressive ConservativeRichard St-Cyr1,4488.21-9.51
New DemocraticAlain Cossette1,3567.69+4.93
GreenGail Walker3071.74+0.51
Christian HeritageRon Gray1761.00+0.42
ReformLuiz Da Silva1750.99-0.97
Natural LawJean-Claude Pommet1030.58+0.03
IndependentJohn C. Turmel510.29
Total valid votes 17,643100.00
1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalMarcel Massé25,83554.11+0.85
Bloc QuébécoisGinette Tétreault9,92220.78-6.42
Progressive ConservativeStéphane Rondeau8,46117.72+11.55
New DemocraticPeter Piening1,3172.76+0.20
ReformCamille Fortin9351.96
GreenGail Walker5861.23+0.34
Christian HeritageRon Gray2750.58
Natural LawRobert Mayer2660.56-0.21
Marxist–LeninistPierre Soublière1510.32+0.01
Total valid votes 47,748100.00
1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalMarcel Massé27,98853.26+3.43
Bloc QuébécoisGilles Rocheleau14,29327.20
IndependentTony Cannavino4,5838.72
Progressive ConservativePierre Chénier3,2446.17-25.70
New DemocraticFrancine Bourque1,3462.56-12.83
GreenGeorge Halpern4680.89
Natural LawRobert Mayer4010.76
Marxist–LeninistFrançoise Roy1620.31
AbolitionistLinda Dubois630.12
Total valid votes 52,548100.00
1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalGilles Rocheleau23,21849.83+9.26
Progressive ConservativeNicole Moreault14,84931.87-5.15
New DemocraticDanielle Lapointe-Vienneau7,17015.39-4.23
RhinocerosDenis Le Citron Patenaude6611.42
IndependentGlen Kealey5591.20
IndependentSerge Lafortune1340.29
Total valid votes 46,591100.00
1984 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalGaston Isabelle17,05840.58-27.55
Progressive ConservativePierre Ménard15,56337.02+31.74
New DemocraticJacques Audette8,24719.62-4.91
Parti nationalisteCarol Anctil1,0152.41
Commonwealth of CanadaÉmile Chartrand1560.37
Total valid votes 42,039100.00

Hull, 1917–1984
Graph of election results in Hull (1921-1980, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
1980 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalGaston Isabelle27,93868.13-2.04
New DemocraticMichel Légère10,05924.53+7.97
Progressive ConservativeRonald Lefebvre2,1675.28-0.07
RhinocerosSylvain Dompierre5981.46-0.47
IndependentMarc Bonhomme1740.42
Marxist–LeninistPierre J.G. Soublière700.17-0.07
Total valid votes 41,006100.00
1979 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalGaston Isabelle30,41370.18-1.04
New DemocraticMichel Légère7,17516.56+8.36
Social CreditJean Tessier2,3575.44-3.29
Progressive ConservativeJean-Paul St-Amand2,3205.35-5.26
RhinocerosPierre Cantin8351.93
Union populaireRené Coté1320.30
Marxist–LeninistPierre Soublière1060.24
Total valid votes 43,338100.00
1974 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalGaston Isabelle26,87271.21+6.27
Progressive ConservativeLucille Hodgins4,00610.62-0.39
Social CreditRené Ouellette3,2928.72-4.13
New DemocraticCarole Campeau Fortin3,0938.20-1.81
IndependentRaoul Gendron4721.25+0.06
Total valid votes 37,735100.00
1972 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalGaston Isabelle24,63064.94-3.78
Social CreditYvon Boisclair4,87412.85-3.03
Progressive ConservativeAndré Lacroix4,17311.00+0.06
New DemocraticCarole Fortin3,79610.016.57
IndependentRaoul Gendron4531.190.19
Total valid votes 37,926100.00

Note: Social Credit vote is compared to Ralliement créditiste vote in the 1968 election.

1968 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalGaston Isabelle22,98268.72+16.48
Ralliement créditisteJoseph-René Villeneuve5,31115.88-22.53
Progressive ConservativeJean-Marie Séguin3,66110.95+6.81
New DemocraticRichard Thibault1,1513.44-0.56
Independent LiberalRaoul Gendron3371.01-0.20
Total valid votes 33,442100.00
Canadian federal by-election, 29 May 1967
Party Candidate Votes%±%
On Mr. Caron's death, 31 August 1966
LiberalPierre Caron11,85452.25-2.44
Ralliement créditisteRené Villeneuve8,71538.41+8.36
Progressive ConservativeJean-Claude Émond9394.14-1.61
New DemocraticRichard Thibault9074.00-2.94
Independent LiberalRaoul Gendron2741.21
Total valid votes 22,689100.00
1965 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlexis Caron17,83254.68+1.71
Ralliement créditisteMarcel Clément9,79830.05-6.59
New DemocraticRené Desjardins2,2616.93+4.53
Progressive ConservativeGérard Girouard1,8735.74-2.24
Independent LiberalGertrude Laflèche6922.12
Independent LiberalRobert Lawlis1540.47
Total valid votes 32,610100.00

Note: Ralliement créditiste vote is compared to Social Credit vote in the 1963 election.

1963 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlexis Caron19,66752.97+4.81
Social CreditMarcel Clément13,60336.64+5.37
Progressive ConservativeJules Barrière2,9657.99-9.77
New DemocraticClaude Morissette8912.40-0.40
Total valid votes 37,126100.00
1962 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlexis Caron17,93248.17-8.02
Social CreditMarcel Clément11,64231.27+24.34
Progressive ConservativeArmand Turpin6,61217.76-18.15
New DemocraticHubert Boyer1,0432.80
Total valid votes 37,229100.00
1958 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlexis Caron20,13256.18+11.52
Progressive ConservativeLionel Mougeot12,86935.91+21.78
Social CreditMarcellin Clément2,4846.93+0.15
Independent LiberalRaoul Gendron3480.97
Total valid votes 35,833100.00
1957 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlexis Caron15,55144.66-30.46
Independent LiberalRaymond Brunet11,98134.41
Progressive ConservativeAvila Labelle4,92214.14-7.38
Social CreditMarcellin Clément2,3636.79
Total valid votes 34,817100.00
1953 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlexis Caron21,78575.13+9.60
Progressive ConservativeDaniel Lafortune6,23921.52-3.57
Co-operative CommonwealthLaurent Larose7072.44-0.30
Labor–ProgressiveErnest Gervais2660.92
Total valid votes 28,997100.00
1949 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlphonse Fournier18,44665.53+6.30
Progressive ConservativeJacques Boucher7,06025.08-11.45
Union des électeursCécile Brunet1,8716.65+4.30
Co-operative CommonwealthLaurent-Joseph Larose7712.74+0.85
Total valid votes 28,148100.00
1945 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlphonse Fournier15,01259.23+8.66
Progressive ConservativeArmand Turpin9,25836.53
Union des électeursAlcide Whitmore5962.35-29.48
Co-operative CommonwealthFrançois-Joseph Gavard4781.89
Total valid votes 25,344100.00

Note: Union des électeurs vote is compared to New Democracy vote in 1940 election. Social Credit vote is compared to New Democracy vote in 1940 election. Labour-Progressive vote is compared to Communist vote in 1940 election.

1940 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlphonse Fournier11,25350.57+5.73
New DemocracyArmand Turpin7,08331.83
LabourThéodore Lambert3,91617.60
Total valid votes 22,252100.00
1935 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlphonse Fournier9,37044.84-23.13
ReconstructionAimé Guertin5,24425.09
Independent LiberalJoseph Édouard Laflamme3,39016.22
ConservativeRodolphe Moreau2,89413.85-18.18
Total valid votes 20,898100.00
1930 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAlphonse Fournier12,54367.97-15.33
ConservativeJean-Noël Beauchamp5,91132.03+15.33
Total valid votes 18,454100.00
1926 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalJoseph-Éloi Fontaine10,89983.30+14.10
ConservativeFrançois-Albert Dumas2,18516.70-14.10
Total valid votes 13,084100.00
1925 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalJoseph-Éloi Fontaine10,24869.20-13.50
ConservativeLouis Cousineau4,56130.80
Total valid votes 14,809100.00
1921 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%
LiberalJoseph-Éloi Fontaine11,99882.70
ProgressiveSylvio Lafortune2,51017.30
Total valid votes 14,508100.00
1917 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes
Opposition (Laurier Liberals)Joseph-Éloi Fontaineacclaimed

See also

References
  • "Hull—Aylmer (Code 24023) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 7, 2011.
  • Campaign expense data from Elections Canada
  • Riding history for Hull from the Library of Parliament
  • Riding history for Hull—Aylmer from the Library of Parliament

Notes
  1. Statistics Canada: 2016
  2. Statistics Canada: 2016
  3. Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Hull--Aylmer [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Quebec". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  4. "Confirmed candidates — Hull—Aylmer". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 20, 2021.
  5. "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  6. "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  7. Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Hull—Aylmer, 30 September 2015
  8. Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2015-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  9. Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
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