2010 Iowa gubernatorial election
The 2010 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the governor and lieutenant governor, to serve a four-year term beginning on January 14, 2011. In Iowa, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on the same ballot.
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 County results Branstad: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Culver: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Iowa |
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The two major party candidates were first-term incumbent governor Chet Culver, a Democrat, who ran for re-election with first-term incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge, and former four-term governor Terry Branstad, who won a three-way primary for the Republican nomination and ran with State Senator Kim Reynolds.
Branstad defeated Culver in the general election, becoming the first challenger to unseat an incumbent Iowa governor since Harold Hughes in 1962.[1][2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Chet Culver, incumbent Governor
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chet Culver (incumbent) | 56,293 | 95.69 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 2,534 | 4.31 | |
| Total votes | 58,827 | 100 | ||
Republican primary
On ballot
As listed by the Iowa Secretary of State's office:[4]
- Terry Branstad, former Governor[5]
- Rod Roberts, State Representative[6]
- Bob Vander Plaats, businessman and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006[6]
Withdrew
- State Senator Paul McKinley withdrew after Terry Branstad formed an exploratory committee[7]
- Cedar Rapids businessman Christian Fong suspended his campaign due to a lack of campaign finances[8]
- Minority Leader of the Iowa House of Representatives Christopher Rants withdrew from the race due to lack of campaign funds[9]
- State Senator Jerry Behn withdrew from the race and endorsed Terry Branstad[10]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Terry Branstad |
Bob Vander Plaats |
Rod Roberts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today | June 1–3, 2010 | 57% | 29% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 25–27, 2010 | 46% | 31% | 13% |
Results
Results by county:
Branstad—70–80%
Branstad—60–70%
Branstad—50–60%
Branstad—40–50%
Vander Plaats—40–50%
Vander Plaats—50–60%
Vander Plaats—60–70%
Vander Plaats—70–80%
Roberts—70–80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Terry Branstad | 114,450 | 50.30 | |
| Republican | Bob Vander Plaats | 93,058 | 40.90 | |
| Republican | Rod Roberts | 19,896 | 8.74 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 121 | 0.05 | |
| Total votes | 227,525 | 100 | ||
General election
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Branstad and Culver at a debate
Candidates
- Chet Culver (D), incumbent governor; running with incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge.
- Gregory James Hughes (I), running with Robin Prior-Calef.[1][11]
- Terry Branstad (R), former four-term governor; running with State Senator Kim Reynolds.
- Eric Cooper (L), professor at Iowa State University; running with judicial administrator Nick Weltha.[12]
- Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines school board; running with truck driver Rick Marlar. Narcisse is a Democrat and Marlar is a Republican.[13] Narcisse's campaign and that of Senate District 45 candidate Douglas William Phillips were not affiliated, though both appeared on the ballot under the "Iowa Party" name.[14][15]
- David Rosenfeld (SWP), running with Helen Meyers.[1][16]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[17] | Likely R (flip) | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[18] | Likely R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[19] | Likely R (flip) | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Likely R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[21] | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Chet Culver (D) |
Terry Branstad (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23, 2010 | 37% | 55% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 5, 2010 | 36% | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 14, 2010 | 31% | 57% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 25–27, 2010 | 37% | 52% |
| KCCI-TV | May 3–5, 2010 | 41% | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 29, 2010 | 38% | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 17, 2010 | 36% | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 18, 2010 | 37% | 53% |
| KCCI-TV | February 15–17, 2010 | 38% | 54% |
| Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today | January 31 – February 3, 2010 | 33% | 53% |
| Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today | November 8–11, 2009 | 33% | 57% |
| Daily Kos/Research 2000 | October 12–14, 2009 | 43% | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 22, 2009 | 34% | 54% |
| Iowa First Foundation | July 23–July 26, 2009 | 34% | 53% |
| Concordia Group LLC | July 2009 | 37% | 53% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Terry Branstad | 592,494 | 52.81% | +8.43% | |
| Democratic | Chet Culver (incumbent) | 484,798 | 43.21% | -10.81% | |
| Iowa Party[15] | Jonathan Narcisse | 20,859 | 1.86% | n/a | |
| Libertarian | Eric Cooper | 14,398 | 1.28% | +0.74% | |
| Independent[11] | Gregory Hughes | 3,884 | 0.35% | n/a | |
| Socialist Workers | David Rosenfeld[16] | 2,757 | 0.25% | +0.06% | |
| Write-in | 2,823 | 0.25% | n/a | ||
| Total votes | 1,122,013 | 100.00% | n/a | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Adams (largest city: Corning)
- Audubon (largest city: Audubon)
- Benton (largest city: Vinton)
- Emmet (largest city: Estherville)
- Greene (largest city: Jefferson)
- Hamilton (largest city: Webster City)
- Hardin (largest city: Iowa Falls)
- Iowa (largest city: Williamsburg)
- Kossuth (largest city: Algona)
- Palo Alto (largest city: Emmetsburg)
- Warren (largest city: Indianola)
- Winnebago (largest city: Forest City)
- Allamakee (largest city: Waukon)
- Boone (largest city: Boone)
- Bremer (largest city: Waverly)
- Buchanan (largest city: Independence)
- Cedar (largest city: Tipton)
- Cerro Gordo (largest city: Mason City)
- Chickasaw (largest city: New Hampton)
- Clarke (largest city: Osceola)
- Clayton (largest city: Guttenberg)
- Clinton (largest city: Clinton)
- Fayette (largest city: Oelwein)
- Floyd (largest city: Charles City)
- Howard (largest city: Cresco)
- Jackson (largest city: Maquoketa)
- Jasper (largest city: Newton)
- Jones (largest city: Anamosa)
- Louisa (largest city: Wapello)
- Marshall (largest city: Marshalltown)
- Mitchell (largest city: Osage)
- Muscatine (largest city: Muscatine)
- Poweshiek (largest city: Grinnell)
- Tama (largest city: Tama)
- Union (largest city: Creston)
- Wapello (largest city: Ottumwa)
- Webster (largest city: Fort Dodge)
- Winneshiek (largest city: Decorah)
- Worth (largest city: Northwood)
- Appanoose (Largest city: Centerville)
- Davis (Largest city: Bloomfield)
- Decatur (Largest city: Lamoni)
- Hancock (Largest city: Garner)
- Henry (Largest city: Mount Pleasant)
- Lucas (Largest city: Chariton)
- Monona (Largest city: Onawa)
- Monroe (Largest city: Albia)
- Ringgold (Largest city: Mount Ayr)
- Taylor (Largest city: Bedford)
- Wayne (Largest city: Corydon)
- Wright (Largest city: Eagle Grove)
References
- "2010 Iowa gubernatorial election results" (PDF). SOS.Iowa.gov. Retrieved November 24, 2019.
- Bureau, ROD BOSHART, Lee-Gazette Des Moines. "Terry Branstad 'ready to lead the charge' as Iowa's governor". Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - "Iowa Governor Primary Results". Iowa Secretary of State. June 8, 2010. Archived from the original on September 29, 2011. Retrieved June 9, 2010.
- "Candidate Listing by Office, June 8, 2010 Primary Election" (PDF). Iowa Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 1, 2010.
- "Gov. Terry Branstad announces 2010 run for governor | Branstad – Reynolds 2010". Governorbranstad2010.com. January 19, 2010. Archived from the original on August 19, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- "Roberts claims GOP's fresh face in governor bid". Des Moines Register.
- "Paul McKinley for Iowa". Mckinleyforiowa.com. Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- "GOP's Fong withdraws, will stay active". Christian Fong. December 2, 2009. Archived from the original on July 8, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- "Politically Speaking". Sioux City Journal. February 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- "Behn out of GOP governor race, backs Branstad | Des Moines Register Staff Blogs". Blogs.desmoinesregister.com. December 22, 2009. Archived from the original on July 9, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- "Polls open Tuesday for 2010 midterm general election - Mount Vernon - Lisbon Sun - www.mtvernonlisbonsun.com". www.mvlsun.com.
- Henderson, O. Kay (April 26, 2010). "Libertarians nominate statewide candidates for '10". RadioIowa. Retrieved July 16, 2010.
- Clayworth, Jason (July 1, 2010). "Narcisse: I'm an independent candidate for gov". Des Moines Register. Retrieved July 16, 2010.
- Deeth, John (August 26, 2010). "What's an Iowa Party?". Retrieved April 28, 2014.
- "Fifth candidate files for Iowa governor's race | Elections | qctimes.com". qctimes.com.
- Boshart, Rod. "Socialist party seeks state office". Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier.
- "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
External links
- Iowa Secretary of State – Voter/Elections
- Iowa Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Iowa Governor from Follow the Money
- 2010 Iowa Gubernatorial General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Iowa Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Iowa Governor – Branstad vs. Culver from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Iowa Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Debates
- Iowa Gubernatorial Debate, C-SPAN, September 14, 2010
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
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