2002 Iowa gubernatorial election
The 2002 Iowa gubernatorial election took place November 5, 2002. Incumbent Democratic Governor of Iowa Tom Vilsack sought re-election to a second term as governor. Governor Vilsack won his party's nomination uncontested, while Doug Gross, an advisor to former Governor Terry Branstad, narrowly won the Republican Party's primary in a crowded and competitive primary election. In the general election, Vilsack was able to improve slightly on his margin of victory four years earlier to win what would be his second and final term as governor.
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 County results Vilsack: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Gross: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70-80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Iowa |
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Democratic primary
Candidates
- Tom Vilsack, incumbent Governor of Iowa
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Vilsack (incumbent) | 79,277 | 98.55 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 1,166 | 1.45 | |
| Total votes | 80,443 | 100 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Doug Gross, advisor to former Governor Terry Branstad
- Steve Sukup, Iowa State Representative (1995–2003)
- Bob Vander Plaats, family values activist
Results
Primary results by county:
Gross
- Gross—61-70%
- Gross—51-60%
- Gross—41-50%
- Gross—31-40%
Sukup
- Sukup—81-90%
- Sukup—71-80%
- Sukup—61-70%
- Sukup—51-60%
- Sukup—41-50%
- Sukup—31-40%
Vander Plaats
- Vander Plaats—81-90%
- Vander Plaats—71-80%
- Vander Plaats—61-70%
- Vander Plaats—51-60%
- Vander Plaats—41-50%
- Vander Plaats—31-40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Doug Gross | 71,478 | 35.88 | |
| Republican | Steve Sukup | 64,490 | 32.37 | |
| Republican | Bob Vander Plaats | 63,077 | 31.66 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 189 | 0.09 | |
| Total votes | 199,234 | 100 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[2] | Tossup | October 31, 2002 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[3] | Lean D | November 4, 2002 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Tom Vilsack (D) |
Doug Gross (R) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | October 27–29, 2002 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 42% | 3% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Vilsack (incumbent) | 540,449 | 52.69% | +0.39% | |
| Republican | Doug Gross | 456,612 | 44.51% | -2.00% | |
| Green | Jay Robinson | 14,628 | 1.43% | ||
| Libertarian | Clyde Cleveland | 13,098 | 1.28% | ||
| Write-ins | 1,025 | 0.10% | |||
| Majority | 83,837 | 8.17% | +2.37% | ||
| Turnout | 1,025,802 | ||||
| Democratic hold | Swing | ||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Adams (largest city: Corning)
- Hardin (largest city: Iowa Falls)
- Winnebago (largest city: Forest City)
- Clarke (largest city: Osceola)
- Louisa (largest city: Wapello)
- Mitchell (largest city: Osage)
- Union (largest city: Creston)
- Appanoose (Largest city: Centerville)
- Decatur (Largest city: Lamoni)
- Lucas (Largest city: Chariton)
- Monona (Largest city: Onawa)
- Ringgold (Largest city: Mount Ayr)
- Taylor (Largest city: Bedford)
- Wayne (Largest city: Corydon)
- Wright (Largest city: Eagle Grove)
- Cherokee (Largest city: Cherokee)
- Calhoun (Largest city: Rockwell City)
- Carroll (Largest city: Carroll)
- Keokuk (Largest city: Sigourney)
- Woodbury (Largest city: Sioux City)
- Washington (Largest city: Washington)
- Pocahontas (Largest city: Pocahontas)
- Franklin (Largest city: Hampton)
- Delaware (Largest city: Manchester)
- Humboldt (largest city: Humboldt)
- Adair (Largest city: Greenfield)
- Scott (largest city: Davenport)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Jefferson (Largest city: Fairfield)
- Dickinson (Largest city: Spirit Lake)
- Sac (largest city: Sac City)
- Winneshiek (largest city: Decorah)
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- "Canvass Summary - Election: 2002 Primary Election (6/4/2002)" (PDF). State of Iowa Secretary of State.
- "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived from the original on December 8, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
- "Governors Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on December 12, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
- "Election: 2002 General Election (11/5/2002)" (PDF). State of Iowa Secretary of State.
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