2010 Iowa gubernatorial election

The 2010 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the governor and lieutenant governor, to serve a four-year term beginning on January 14, 2011. In Iowa, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on the same ballot.

2010 Iowa gubernatorial election

November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Terry Branstad Chet Culver
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Kim Reynolds Patty Judge
Popular vote 592,494[1] 484,798[1]
Percentage 52.8% 43.2%

County results
Branstad:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Culver:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Chet Culver
Democratic

Elected Governor

Terry Branstad
Republican

The two major party candidates were first-term incumbent governor Chet Culver, a Democrat, who ran for re-election with first-term incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge, and former four-term governor Terry Branstad, who won a three-way primary for the Republican nomination and ran with State Senator Kim Reynolds.

Branstad defeated Culver in the general election, becoming the first challenger to unseat an incumbent Iowa governor since Harold Hughes in 1962.[1][2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Chet Culver, incumbent Governor

Results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chet Culver (incumbent) 56,293 95.69
Democratic Write-ins 2,534 4.31
Total votes 58,827 100

Republican primary

On ballot

As listed by the Iowa Secretary of State's office:[4]

Withdrew

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Terry
Branstad
Bob
Vander Plaats
Rod
Roberts
Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today June 1–3, 2010 57% 29% 8%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 46% 31% 13%

Results

Results by county:
  Branstad—70–80%
  Branstad—60–70%
  Branstad—50–60%
  Branstad—40–50%
  Vander Plaats—40–50%
  Vander Plaats—50–60%
  Vander Plaats—60–70%
  Vander Plaats—70–80%
  Roberts—70–80%
Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Terry Branstad 114,450 50.30
Republican Bob Vander Plaats 93,058 40.90
Republican Rod Roberts 19,896 8.74
Republican Write-ins 121 0.05
Total votes 227,525 100

General election

Branstad and Culver at a debate

Candidates

  • Chet Culver (D), incumbent governor; running with incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge.
  • Gregory James Hughes (I), running with Robin Prior-Calef.[1][11]
  • Terry Branstad (R), former four-term governor; running with State Senator Kim Reynolds.
  • Eric Cooper (L), professor at Iowa State University; running with judicial administrator Nick Weltha.[12]
  • Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines school board; running with truck driver Rick Marlar. Narcisse is a Democrat and Marlar is a Republican.[13] Narcisse's campaign and that of Senate District 45 candidate Douglas William Phillips were not affiliated, though both appeared on the ballot under the "Iowa Party" name.[14][15]
  • David Rosenfeld (SWP), running with Helen Meyers.[1][16]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[17] Likely R (flip) October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[18] Likely R (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[19] Likely R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Likely R (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[21] Tossup October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Chet
Culver (D)
Terry
Branstad (R)
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2010 37% 55%
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2010 36% 52%
Rasmussen Reports June 14, 2010 31% 57%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 37% 52%
KCCI-TV May 3–5, 2010 41% 48%
Rasmussen Reports April 29, 2010 38% 53%
Rasmussen Reports March 17, 2010 36% 52%
Rasmussen Reports February 18, 2010 37% 53%
KCCI-TV February 15–17, 2010 38% 54%
Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today January 31 – February 3, 2010 33% 53%
Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Archived 2013-01-21 at archive.today November 8–11, 2009 33% 57%
Daily Kos/Research 2000 October 12–14, 2009 43% 48%
Rasmussen Reports September 22, 2009 34% 54%
Iowa First Foundation July 23–July 26, 2009 34% 53%
Concordia Group LLC July 2009 37% 53%

Results

2010 Iowa gubernatorial election[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Terry Branstad 592,494 52.81% +8.43%
Democratic Chet Culver (incumbent) 484,798 43.21% -10.81%
Iowa Party[15] Jonathan Narcisse 20,859 1.86% n/a
Libertarian Eric Cooper 14,398 1.28% +0.74%
Independent[11] Gregory Hughes 3,884 0.35% n/a
Socialist Workers David Rosenfeld[16] 2,757 0.25% +0.06%
Write-in 2,823 0.25% n/a
Total votes 1,122,013 100.00% n/a
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

  1. "2010 Iowa gubernatorial election results" (PDF). SOS.Iowa.gov. Retrieved November 24, 2019.
  2. Bureau, ROD BOSHART, Lee-Gazette Des Moines. "Terry Branstad 'ready to lead the charge' as Iowa's governor". Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  3. "Iowa Governor Primary Results". Iowa Secretary of State. June 8, 2010. Archived from the original on September 29, 2011. Retrieved June 9, 2010.
  4. "Candidate Listing by Office, June 8, 2010 Primary Election" (PDF). Iowa Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 1, 2010.
  5. "Gov. Terry Branstad announces 2010 run for governor | Branstad – Reynolds 2010". Governorbranstad2010.com. January 19, 2010. Archived from the original on August 19, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  6. "Roberts claims GOP's fresh face in governor bid". Des Moines Register.
  7. "Paul McKinley for Iowa". Mckinleyforiowa.com. Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. "GOP's Fong withdraws, will stay active". Christian Fong. December 2, 2009. Archived from the original on July 8, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. "Politically Speaking". Sioux City Journal. February 18, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. "Behn out of GOP governor race, backs Branstad | Des Moines Register Staff Blogs". Blogs.desmoinesregister.com. December 22, 2009. Archived from the original on July 9, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. "Polls open Tuesday for 2010 midterm general election - Mount Vernon - Lisbon Sun - www.mtvernonlisbonsun.com". www.mvlsun.com.
  12. Henderson, O. Kay (April 26, 2010). "Libertarians nominate statewide candidates for '10". RadioIowa. Retrieved July 16, 2010.
  13. Clayworth, Jason (July 1, 2010). "Narcisse: I'm an independent candidate for gov". Des Moines Register. Retrieved July 16, 2010.
  14. Deeth, John (August 26, 2010). "What's an Iowa Party?". Retrieved April 28, 2014.
  15. "Fifth candidate files for Iowa governor's race | Elections | qctimes.com". qctimes.com.
  16. Boshart, Rod. "Socialist party seeks state office". Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier.
  17. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  18. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  19. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  20. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  21. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
Debates
Official campaign websites (Archived)
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