2014 Kansas gubernatorial election

The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

See also: 2014 Kansas elections

2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
November 4, 2014
 
Nominee Sam Brownback Paul Davis
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeff Colyer Jill Docking
Popular vote 433,196 401,100
Percentage 49.8% 46.1%
County results
Brownback:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Davis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

 Elected Governor

Sam Brownback
Republican

Elections in Kansas
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Incumbent Republican Governor Sam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term.[1] He was opposed in the general election by Democrat Paul Davis, the Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.

The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback's aggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values.[2] The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.7%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. As of 2023, this is the most recent time a Republican was elected Governor of Kansas. This is was also the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won Jefferson County.

Republican primary

Declared
  • Jennifer Winn, businesswoman[3]
  • Running mate: Robin Lais, advertising agency owner and natural healing shop owner[4]
  • Former running mate: Ethan McCord, Iraq War veteran[5]

Declined

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback		 Jennifer
Winn		 Undecided
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 691 ± 3.7% 60% 30% 9%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 508 ± 4.4% 55% 37% 8%

Results
Results by county:
  Brownback—70–80%
  Brownback—60–70%
  Brownback—50–60%
  Winn—50–60%
Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 166,687 63.2
Republican Jennifer Winn 96,907 36.7
Total votes 263,594 100

Democratic primary

Declared

Declined

Results
Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Davis 66,357 100
Total votes 66,357 100

Libertarian nomination

Declared
  • Keen Umbehr, attorney[14]
  • Running mate: Josh Umbehr, physician and son of Keen Umbehr[15]

General election

Debates

Endorsements
Sam Brownback (R)
Republican politicians
Democratic politicians
Other individuals
Organizations
Paul Davis (D)
Democratic politicians
Republican politicians[23][24]

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[27] Tossup November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[28] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Paul
Davis (D)		 Keen
Umbehr (L)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 963 ± 3.2% 45% 46% 4% — 4%
47% 48% — — 3%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2014 752 ± ? 44% 48% 5% — 3%
YouGov October 25–31, 2014 1,137 ± 4.8% 39% 38% 2% 1% 21%
Fox News October 28–30, 2014 907 ± 3% 42% 48% 4% <1% 5%
Survey USA October 22–26, 2014 623 ± 4% 43% 46% 5% — 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,973 ± 4% 43% 40% — 1% 16%
NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014 757 LV ± 3.6% 44% 45% 5% 1% 6%
1,055 RV ± 3% 43% 43% 6% 1% 7%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–21, 2014 960 ± 3% 45% 52% — 1% 2%
Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 2014 1,124 ± 3% 44% 49% — — 7%
Monmouth University October 16–19, 2014 429 ± 4.7% 45% 50% — 2% 5%
Remington Research October 9–12, 2014 1,091 ± 2.97% 48% 45% 3% — 4%
Public Policy Polling October 9–12, 2014 1,081 ± 3% 42% 42% 6% — 10%
44% 45% — — 12%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014 702 ± 3.5% 46% 40% 2% 2% 11%
CNN/ORC October 2–6, 2014 687 ± 3.5% 49% 49% — — 2%
SurveyUSA October 2–5, 2014 549 ± 4.3% 42% 47% 4% — 7%
Gravis Marketing September 30–October 1, 2014 850 ± 3% 40% 48% — — 12%
NBC News/Marist September 27–October 1, 2014 636 LV ± 3.9% 43% 44% 4% 1% 7%
1,097 RV ± 3% 41% 43% 5% 1% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 2,013 ± 3% 45% 42% — 0% 12%
Suffolk University September 27–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42% 46% 6% — 7%
Fort Hays State University September 10–27, 2014 685 ± 3.8% 37% 39% 9% — 16%
Remington Research September 23, 2014 625 ± 3.91% 44% 46% 5% — 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 43% 47% — 4% 6%
Fox News September 14–16, 2014 604 ± 4% 41% 45% 4% — 8%
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 2014 1,328 ± 2.7% 38% 42% 7% — 14%
39% 45% — — 15%
KSN/SurveyUSA September 4–7, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 40% 47% 5% — 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 839 ± 5% 47% 40% — 2% 11%
SurveyUSA August 20–23, 2014 560 ± 4.2% 40% 48% 5% — 6%
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014 903 ± 3.3% 37% 39% 9% — 15%
Rasmussen Reports August 6–7, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 51% — 3% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,274 ± 6.1% 52% 40% — 3% 5%
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 1,208 ± 2.9% 40% 48% 5% — 7%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 1,068 ± 3.1% 41% 47% — 5% 7%
Rasmussen Reports April 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 47% 40% — 6% 7%
Public Policy Polling April 1–2, 2014 886 ± 3.1% 41% 45% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014 693 ± 3.7% 40% 42% — — 18%
Wilson Perkins Allen January 29, 2014  ? ± ? 42% 31% — — 27%
SurveyUSA October 23–24, 2013 511 ± 4.4% 39% 43% — 12% 6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Carl
Brewer (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 44% 40% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Tom
Holland (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 45% 38% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Mark
Parkinson (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 45% 39% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Joe
Reardon (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 45% 36% — 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Kathleen
Sebelius (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 48% 43% — 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Sam
Brownback (R)		 Chad
Taylor (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 1,229 ± 2.8% 44% 34% — 22%

Results
Kansas gubernatorial election, 2014[29]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Sam Brownback (incumbent) 433,196 49.82% -13.46%
Democratic Paul Davis 401,100 46.13% +13.92%
Libertarian Keen Umbehr 35,206 4.05% +1.37%
Total votes 869,502 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References
  1. "Brownback running for re-election". Lawrence Journal-World. June 21, 2013. Retrieved August 16, 2013.
  2. "Brownback defeats Davis in Kansas Governor's race". Archived from the original on November 29, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  3. "Wichita woman enters governor's race". KAKE. January 12, 2014. Archived from the original on March 25, 2014. Retrieved March 31, 2014.
  4. Benchaabane, Nassim (June 2, 2014). "Wichita candidate for governor announces new running mate". The Wichita Eagle. Archived from the original on June 26, 2014. Retrieved June 25, 2014.
  5. "Wikileaks Soldier to Run for Ks Lt. Governor". The Kansas City Star. February 11, 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  6. "In case there's any doubt: Kris Kobach running for re-election in 2014". Midwest Democracy. February 1, 2013. Archived from the original on February 6, 2013. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
  7. Hanna, John (July 31, 2013). "Ex-Kan. ag chief not thinking about gov.'s race". The Wichita Eagle. Associated Press. Archived from the original on August 6, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
  8. Kraske, Steve (June 23, 2013). "Sandy Praeger finds herself an outsider among Kansas Republicans". The Kansas City Star. Archived from the original on June 27, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  9. Loomis, Burdett (August 4, 2013). "Burdett Loomis: Who will take on Brownback?". The Wichita Eagle. Archived from the original on September 16, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  10. "2014 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
  11. Carpenter, Tim (September 17, 2013). "Davis launches Democratic campaign for Kansas governor". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Archived from the original on September 17, 2013. Retrieved September 17, 2013.
  12. "Brownback and His Opponents". Morning Sun. April 16, 2013. Retrieved June 14, 2013.
  13. John Hanna (August 8, 2013). "Paul Davis forms committee for Kansas governor's race". The Wichita Eagle. Archived from the original on August 11, 2013. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
  14. Carpenter, Tim (August 29, 2013). "Alma lawyer seeks Libertarian nomination for governor". CJOnline. Retrieved October 2, 2013.
  15. Kelsey Ryan (May 27, 2014). "Kansas Man Serving as Dad's Running Mate in Governor's Race". Governing. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
  16. Nonpartisan report: Davis' tax-freeze plan stalls $20M in Brownback-endorsed cuts
  17. Former congresswoman endorses Brownback
  18. "Wyandotte County Democrats endorse Gov. Brownback". KSN-TV. September 26, 2014. Retrieved October 4, 2014.
  19. "Former CEO in Wichita, Touts Brownback". Archived from the original on October 20, 2014. Retrieved October 16, 2014.
  20. NFIB endorses Brownback for second term as Governor
  21. Kansas Rifle Association Endorses Brownback
  22. "Former GOP, Dem lieutenant governors join Davis campaign". The Topeka Capital-Journal. June 30, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
  23. "Republicans for Kansas Values – Biographies and Memberships". Paul Davis for Governor. July 17, 2014. Archived from the original on July 19, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
  24. "Who are the 104?". The Topeka Capital-Journal. July 17, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
  25. "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  26. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  27. "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  28. "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  29. "Kansas Secretary of State 2014 General Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Retrieved December 14, 2014.
Campaign websites
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