2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.[1]

2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)
 
Nominee Mike Enzi Charlie Hardy Curt Gottshall
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 121,554 29,377 13,311
Percentage 72.2% 17.4% 7.9%

County results
Enzi:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. senator before election

Mike Enzi
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Enzi
Republican

Republican primary

No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.[2]

Declared

  • Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[3][4]
  • Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker[5][6]
  • Mike Enzi, incumbent senator[7]
  • James "Coaltrain" Gregory[5]
  • Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant[5]

Withdrew

Endorsements

Mike Enzi
Liz Cheney (withdrawn)
U.S. Ambassadors
Individuals

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Enzi
Liz
Cheney
Undecided
Harper Polling July 17–18, 2013 422 ± 4.77% 55% 21% 24%
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013 780 ± 3.5% 54% 26% 19%
Wickers Group ^ August 22–28, 2013 400 ± 4.5% 61% 21% 18%
Wickers Group ^ October 25–28, 2013 400 ± 4.5% 69% 17% 14%
  • ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Liz
Cheney
Cynthia
Lummis
Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013 780 ± 3.5% 34% 41% 25%

Results

Results by county:
  Enzi
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Enzi (incumbent) 77,965 78.51%
Republican Bryan E. Miller 9,330 9.39%
Republican James "Coaltrain" Gregory 3,740 3.77%
Republican Thomas Bleming 2,504 2.52%
Republican Arthur Bruce Clifton 1,403 1.41%
Republican Write-in 346 0.35%
Republican Over Votes 51 0.05%
Republican Under Votes 3,973 4.00%
Total votes 99,312 100.00%

Democratic primary

Declared

  • William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate[5]
  • Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012[20]
  • Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate[5][21][22]
  • Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010[23]

Declined

Results

Results by county:
  Hardy
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Wilde
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Hardy 7,200 39.33%
Democratic Rex Wilde 3,012 16.46%
Democratic Al Hamburg 2,988 16.32%
Democratic William Bryk 1,670 9.12%
Democratic Write-in 216 1.18%
Democratic Over Votes 31 0.17%
Democratic Under Votes 3,189 17.42%
Total votes 18,306 100.00%

Independents and Third Parties

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[27] Solid R November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[29] Safe R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[30] Safe R November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Enzi (R)
Charlie
Hardy (D)
Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 419 ± 5.1% 66% 23% 5% 7%
Rasmussen Reports August 20–21, 2014 700 ± 4% 63% 27% 4% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 350 ± 8% 66% 21% 4% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 264 ± 7% 75% 17% 2% 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 258 ± 11% 67% 27% 0% 6%
Hypothetical polling
With Enzi
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Enzi (R)
Dave
Freudenthal (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 54% 31% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Enzi (R)
Gary
Trauner (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 66% 19% 14%
With Cheney
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Liz
Cheney (R)
Dave
Freudenthal (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 42% 45% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Liz
Cheney (R)
Gary
Trauner (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 49% 31% 20%

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2014[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Enzi (incumbent) 121,554 72.19% -3.44%
Democratic Charlie Hardy 29,377 17.45% -6.81%
Independent Curt Gottshall 13,311 7.90% N/A
Libertarian Joseph Porambo 3,677 2.18% N/A
Write-in 471 0.28% +0.17%
Total votes 168,390 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

See also

References

  1. Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
  2. Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.
  3. "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
  4. "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  5. "2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  6. "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  7. Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
  8. Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times. Retrieved January 6, 2014.
  9. Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  10. Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
  11. "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  12. Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  13. Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  14. Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  15. "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
  16. "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  17. Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
  18. Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  19. "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
  20. Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  21. Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  22. Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  23. Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  24. Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  25. Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  26. Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
  27. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  28. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  29. "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  30. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  31. "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.
Official campaign websites (Archived)
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