Fredericton (federal electoral district)

Fredericton (formerly Fredericton—York—Sunbury) is a federal electoral district in New Brunswick, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1988. Its population in 2021 was 87,436. Its predecessor riding, York—Sunbury, was represented in the House of Commons from 1917 to 1988. Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding will be re-named Fredericton—Oromocto, at the first election held after approximately April 2024. Its border with Tobique—Mactaquac will be rerouted to follow the northern border of the City of Fredericton (2023 borders), and it will lose the remainder of the Parishes of Maugerville, Sheffield and Canning to Miramichi—Grand Lake; and will lose Burton Parish to Saint John—St. Croix, except for those parts of the parish that will be transferred to the Town of Oromocto in 2023.[2]

Fredericton
New Brunswick electoral district
Fredericton in relation to other New Brunswick federal electoral districts (2012 boundaries)
Coordinates:45.955°N 66.463°W / 45.955; -66.463
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Jenica Atwin
Liberal
District created1914
First contested1917
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2021)[1]87,436
Electors (2021)66,043
Area (km²)[1]1,499.26
Pop. density (per km²)58.3
Census division(s)Sunbury, Queens, York
Census subdivision(s)Fredericton, Oromocto, Lincoln, Burton, New Maryland, St. Mary's 24, Minto

The district includes the city of Fredericton, and the towns of Oromocto, and Minto and vicinity.

The neighbouring ridings are Miramichi, Beauséjour, Fundy Royal, New Brunswick Southwest, and Tobique—Mactaquac.

Political geography

Historical population
YearPop.±%
200182,782    
200685,886+3.7%
201193,181+8.5%

"York—Sunbury" riding was created in 1914 from parts of Sunbury—Queen's and York ridings. Previously, York County was its own riding and Sunbury County was joined with Queens County.

The riding was named after York and Sunbury counties of which it was composed.

In 1987, York—Sunbury was abolished. Some rural areas in the southern parts of the riding were transferred to Carleton—Charlotte riding, and a largely uninhabited area, moved to Miramichi. The remainder was incorporated into "Fredericton" riding. It was renamed "Fredericton—York—Sunbury" shortly after the 1988 election.

Fredericton-York-Sudbury was abolished in 1996 when more rural areas were moved into other districts (particularly Tobique—Mactaquac and New Brunswick Southwest, and a new riding named "Fredericton" was created. The Minto and Chipman areas were added to the riding in 2003. As per the 2012 federal electoral redistribution, this riding will lost territory to Miramichi—Grand Lake, New Brunswick Southwest and Tobique—Mactaquac, and gained some land from New Brunswick Southwest.

In the 2008 election, the Conservatives gained this seat from the Liberals. The Conservatives were strongest in the rural parts of this riding, outside of Fredericton proper. Within the city, the Liberals still held their own with the NDP capturing a handful of polls, including the University of New Brunswick, and a couple along Parkside Drive.

In the 2019 election, the riding got its first-ever "third party" MP from the Greens. Jenica Atwin won the seat from the former incumbent Liberal MP, Matt DeCourcey, who came third behind the Conservative candidate.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
York—Sunbury
Riding created from Sunbury—Queen's and York
13th  1917–1921     Harry Fulton McLeod Government (Unionist)
 1921–1921     Richard Hanson Conservative
14th  1921–1925
15th  1925–1926
16th  1926–1930
17th  1930–1935
18th  1935–1940     William George Clark Liberal
19th  1940–1945     Richard Hanson National Government
20th  1945–1947     Hedley Francis Gregory Bridges Liberal
 1947–1949 Milton Fowler Gregg
21st  1949–1953
22nd  1953–1957
23rd  1957–1958     John Chester MacRae Progressive Conservative
24th  1958–1962
25th  1962–1963
26th  1963–1965
27th  1965–1968
28th  1968–1972
29th  1972–1974 Robert Howie
30th  1974–1979
31st  1979–1980
32nd  1980–1984
33rd  1984–1988
Fredericton
34th  1988–1993     Bud Bird Progressive Conservative
Fredericton—York—Sunbury
35th  1993–1997     Andy Scott Liberal
Fredericton
36th  1997–2000     Andy Scott Liberal
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011     Keith Ashfield Conservative
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019     Matt DeCourcey Liberal
43rd  2019–2021     Jenica Atwin Green
 2021–2021     Liberal
44th  2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in York—Sunbury, Fredericton (1987-1989), Fredericton—York—Sunbury, Fredericton (1997-present) (1914-, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Fredericton, 1997-present

Graph of election results in Fredericton (1996-, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021 general election

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalJenica Atwin16,31637.03+9.62$74,982.23
ConservativeAndrea Johnson15,81435.89+5.51$60,825.30
GreenNicole O'Byrne5,66612.86-20.82$91,899.74
New DemocraticShawn Oldenburg5,56412.63+6.67$1,870.60
IndependentJen Smith3100.70N/Anone listed
LibertarianBrandon Kirby2340.53+0.28$0.00
CommunistJune Patterson1580.36+0.20$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 44,062100.00$104,943.51
Total rejected ballots 301
Turnout 44,36366.72-7.92
Registered voters 66,043
Liberal gain from Green Swing +15.22
Source: Elections Canada[3][4]

2019 general election

2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
GreenJenica Atwin16,64033.68+21.26$55,541.51
ConservativeAndrea Johnson15,01130.38+1.96$81,269.70
LiberalMatt DeCourcey13,54427.41−21.85$82,534.73
New DemocraticMackenzie Thomason2,9465.96−3.93$1,197.20
People'sJason Paull7761.57New$1,322.69
Animal ProtectionLesley Thomas2860.58New$2,894.40
LibertarianBrandon Kirby1260.26New$965.26
CommunistJacob Patterson800.16New$476.56
Total valid votes/expense limit 49,40999.39 $101,795.92
Total rejected ballots 3010.61+0.20
Turnout 49,71074.63−1.10
Eligible voters 66,606
Green gain from Liberal Swing +9.65
Source: Elections Canada[5][6]

2015 general election

2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalMatt DeCourcey23,01649.26+25.24$98,991.33
ConservativeKeith Ashfield13,28028.42-18.55$79,507.14
GreenMary Lou Babineau5,80412.42+8.27$159,022.44
New DemocraticSharon Scott-Levesque4,6229.89-14.41
Total valid votes/expense limit 46,722100.0 $195,873.36
Total rejected ballots 1880.40
Turnout 46,91077.43
Eligible voters 60,587
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +21.90
Source: Elections Canada[7][8][9]
2011 federal election redistributed results[10]
Party Vote  %
  Conservative18,21346.97
  New Democratic9,42324.30
  Liberal9,31424.02
  Green1,6094.15
  Others2130.55

2011 general election

2011 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeKeith Ashfield21,57348.38+5.85$80,569.94
New DemocraticJesse Travis10,62623.83+8.47$8,535.27
LiberalRandy McKeen10,33623.18-8.35$53,834.28
GreenLouise Comeau1,7904.01-6.15$8,177.72
IndependentAdam Scott Ness2660.60$101.69
Total valid votes/expense limit 44,591100.0   $83,547.51
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 2070.46-0.11
Turnout 44,79864.24+2.11
Eligible voters 69,732
Conservative hold Swing -1.31
Sources:[11][12]

2008 general election

2008 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeKeith Ashfield17,96242.53+7.87$73,954.11
LiberalDavid Innes13,31931.53-10.27$64,776.23
New DemocraticJesse Travis6,49015.36-5.89$6,944.89
GreenMary Lou Babineau4,29310.16+8.28$8,526.99
Canadian ActionBen Kelly1680.39none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 42,232100.0   $80,195
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 2420.57+0.13
Turnout 42,47462.13-5.86
Eligible voters 68,368
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +9.07

2006 general election

2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalAndy Scott19,64941.80-4.95$63,544.32
ConservativePat Lynch16,29234.66+1.18$57,563.68
New DemocraticJohn Carty9,98821.25+3.89$33,143.96
GreenPhilip Duchastel8841.88-0.47none listed
IndependentDavid Raymond Amos1980.42none listed
Total valid votes/Expense limit 47,011100.0   $75,043
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 2070.44
Turnout 47,21867.99
Eligible voters 69,453
Liberal hold Swing -3.06

2004 general election

2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalAndy Scott19,81946.75+8.97$60,726.40
ConservativeKent Fox14,19333.48-21.22$61,658.27
New DemocraticJohn Carty7,36017.36+10.41$21,188.88
GreenDaron Letts9972.35$1,194.22
Total valid votes/Expense limit 42,396100.0   $73,437
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 2640.62
Turnout 42,63361.82
Eligible voters 68,968
Liberal notional hold Swing +15.10
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals.
2000 federal election redistributed results
Party Vote  %
  Liberal15,15137.78
  Progressive Conservative12,18530.38
  Alliance9,75324.32
  New Democratic2,7876.95
  Others2280.57

2000 general election

2000 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAndy Scott14,17538.60+4.48
Progressive ConservativeRaj Venugopal10,91929.73-0.44
AllianceAllan Neill8,81424.00+2.24
New DemocraticMichael Dunn2,5847.04-6.02
Natural LawWilliam Parker2330.63-0.26
Total valid votes 36,725100.00
Rejected ballots 2130.58
Turnout 36,93862.8

Change for the Canadian Alliance is based on the 1997 results of its predecessors, the Reform Party.

1997 general election

1997 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAndy Scott12,25234.12-12.54
Progressive ConservativeCleveland Allaby10,83530.17+0.95
ReformMark McCready7,81521.76+4.74
New DemocraticPatricia Hughes4,68913.06+8.06
Natural LawJeanne Geldart3210.89+0.07
Total valid votes 35,912 100.00

Change from 1993 is not based on redistributed results.

Fredericton—York—Sunbury, 1989–1997

1993 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalAndy Scott21,86846.66+6.94
Progressive ConservativeBud Bird13,69629.22-13.76
ReformJack Lamey7,97717.02Ø
New DemocraticPauline MacKenzie2,3435.00-5.32
Natural LawNeil Dickie3820.82Ø
Canada PartySteven Gillrie3730.80Ø
IndependentDoreen Fraser2260.48-5.30
Total valid votes 46 865100.00

Doreen Fraser was nominated as a Confederation of Regions candidate, but was listed as an Independent because that party did not run enough candidates to be officially recognized.

Fredericton, 1987–1989

1988 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeBud Bird20,49442.98-15.87
LiberalBrad Woodside18,93939.72+16.66
New DemocraticAllan Sharp4,92210.32-6.89
Confederation of RegionsGreg Hargrove2,7555.78Ø
RhinocerosChris Fullerton3160.66Ø
IndependentHarry Marshall2530.53-0.35
Total valid votes 47,679 100.00

York—Sunbury, 1917–1987

Graph of election results in York—Sunbury (1914-1987, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
1984 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Howie25,19058.85+11.15
LiberalLoretta Washburn9,87323.06-13.90
New DemocraticAllan Sharp7,36617.21+2.66
IndependentHarry Marshall3770.88+0.34
Total valid votes 42,806100.00
1980 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Howie18,24647.70-7.35
LiberalDan Hurley14,13836.96+7.02
New DemocraticPhillip Booker5,56714.55+0.19
IndependentHarry Marshall2050.54-0.11
LibertarianJay Nauss950.25Ø
Total valid votes 38,251 100.00
1979 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Howie21,72255.05+4.78
LiberalPete Mockler11,81529.94-10.32
New DemocraticPhillip Booker5,66514.36+4.90
IndependentHarry Marshall2580.65Ø
Total valid votes 39,460100.00
1974 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Howie17,67350.27-2.70
LiberalJohn McNair14,15340.26+2.97
New DemocraticKevin White3,3279.46-0.27
Total valid votes 35,153100.00
1972 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Howie20,36252.97-2.42
LiberalRay Dixon14,33537.29-4.05
New DemocraticBeverley Wallace3,7419.73+6.46
Total valid votes 38,438100.00
1968 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeJohn Chester MacRae17,39455.39+6.87
LiberalPaul Burden12,98341.34-4.40
New DemocraticPatrick Callaghan1,0283.27-2.47
Total valid votes 31,405 100.00
1965 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeJohn Chester MacRae15,81348.52+0.04
LiberalPaul Burden14,90945.74+0.78
New DemocraticPatrick Callaghan1,8725.74+2.67
Total valid votes 32,594100.00
1963 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeJohn Chester MacRae15,82748.48-0.11
LiberalDavid Dickson14,67844.96+2.09
Social CreditGeorge Nickerson1,1423.50-1.32
New DemocraticLovell Clark1,0013.07-0.65
Total valid votes 32,648100.00
1962 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeJohn Chester MacRae15,25548.59-4.83
LiberalDavid Dickson13,46142.87-1.45
Social CreditGeorge Nickerson1,5134.82Ø
New DemocraticJohn Simonds1,1673.72+1.46
Total valid votes 31,396100.00

Changes for the New Democratic Party are based on the 1958 results of its predecessor, the Cooperative Commonwealth Federation.

1958 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeJohn Chester MacRae15,81353.42+3.96
LiberalDavid Dickson13,11844.32-3.89
Co-operative CommonwealthLawrence Bright6692.26-0.07
Total valid votes 29,600100.00
1957 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeJohn Chester MacRae13,35649.46+6.71
LiberalMilton Fowler Gregg13,01848.21-4.49
Co-operative CommonwealthLawrence Bright6282.33-2.21
Total valid votes 27,002100.00
1953 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalMilton Fowler Gregg12,88852.70+3.90
Progressive ConservativeEwart Clair Atkinson10,45542.75-1.91
Co-operative CommonwealthCharles Watson1,1114.54-1.99
Total valid votes 24,454100.00
1949 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalMilton Fowler Gregg12,15848.80-2.47
Progressive ConservativeEwart Clair Atkinson11,12744.66+10.65
Co-operative CommonwealthMurray Young1,6286.53-8.19
Total valid votes 24,913100.00
By-election on 1947

On the death of Francis Bridges

Party Candidate Votes % ±%
LiberalMilton Fowler Gregg12,23751.27+3.05
Progressive ConservativeErnest William Sansom8,11934.01-10.31
Co-operative CommonwealthMurray Young3,51414.72+7.27
Total valid votes 23,870100.00
1945 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalHedley Francis Gregory Bridges10,82848.22-0.68
Progressive ConservativeErnest William Sansom9,95344.32-6.78
Co-operative CommonwealthMurray Young1,6747.45Ø
Total valid votes 22,455100.00
1940 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
National GovernmentRichard Hanson10,35251.10+5.53
LiberalPeter J. Hughes9,90848.90+2.05
Total valid votes 20,260100.00
1935 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalWilliam George Clark9,29646.85+15.92
ConservativeRichard Hanson9,04245.57-23.50
ReconstructionErrol MacDonald1,5067.59Ø
Total valid votes 19,844 100.00
1930 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
ConservativeRichard Hanson10,16669.07+3.61
LiberalFraser Winslow4,55230.93-3.61
Total valid votes 14,718100.00
1926 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
ConservativeRichard Hanson8,45165.46-7.46
LiberalPeter J. Hughes4,45934.54+7.46
Total valid votes 12,910 100.00
1925 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
ConservativeRichard Hanson8,63672.92+19.97
LiberalCharles Robert Hawkins3,20727.08-19.97
Total valid votes 11,843100.00
1921 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%±%
ConservativeRichard Hanson7,77752.95-0.62
LiberalWilliam James Osborne6,91147.05+0.62
Total valid votes 14,688 100.00
By-election on 1921
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
ConservativeRichard Hanson7,10753.57-15.65
LiberalErnest W. Stairs6,16046.43+15.65
Total valid votes 13,267 100.00
1917 Canadian federal election: Fredericton
Party Candidate Votes%
Government (Unionist)Harry Fulton McLeod6,95769.22
LiberalNelson Brown3,09330.78
Total valid votes 10,050 100.00

Student Vote results

2011 election

In 2011, a Student Vote was conducted at participating Canadian schools to parallel the 2011 Canadian federal election results. The vote was designed to educate students and simulate the electoral process for persons who have not yet reached the legal majority. Schools with a large student body that reside in another electoral district had the option to vote for candidates outside of the electoral district then where they were physically located.[13]

2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%
New DemocraticJesse Travis1,06730.02
ConservativeKeith Ashfield1,03529.12
GreenLouise Comeau64818.23
LiberalRandy McKeen63117.75
IndependentAdam Scott Ness1734.87
Total valid votes 3,554100.00

See also

References

  • "Fredericton (federal electoral district) (Code 13003) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
  • Campaign expense data from Elections Canada
Riding history from the Library of Parliament

Notes

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